A’s Don’t Have To Make Trades

The A's are in last place, 7.5 games behind the Rangers and they've already been involved in their share of trade rumors, but as Scott Ostler of the San Francisco Chronicle reports, they don't have to shed payroll. Now riding a six-game win streak, the A's can hold onto players like Matt Holliday and Orlando Cabrera if they continue to win.

The A's would receive two draft picks if Holliday signs elsewhere after the season, so they wouldn't lose him for nothing. Billy Beane points out that the A's haven't had many top picks over the years and he'd like the chance to bolster his farm system with some early selections. Of course the A's are still five games below .500, so this doesn't mean they won't talk trades eventually, they just don't have to.

Red Sox Inquired On Cabrera, Aren’t Interested

Sean McAdam of the Boston Herald reports that the Red Sox aren't interested in bringing Orlando Cabrera back to Boston, though they did inquire about the shortstop. McAdam's sources say the Red Sox would have to give up too much "in terms of his remaining salary and prospects." Instead, they're content to play Nick Green and Julio Lugo until Jed Lowrie returns. One team apparently determined that Cabrera, a two-time Gold Glover, is the worst defensive shortstop in the American League.

The Red Sox inquired on "a number of other veteran shortstops," including Jack Wilson, but they decided the asking price was too high. Even if Lowrie struggles once he returns, they'll have time to deal before the July 31st trade deadline.

Red Sox Show Interest In Orlando Cabrera

According to ESPN.com's Buster Olney, the Red Sox have "had conversations" with the A's about shortstop Orlando Cabrera, who was Boston's shortstop on their 2004 World Series club. Cabrera is hitting just .235/.286/.303 after signing a one year, $4MM contract this offseason. He will receive a $250,000 bonus if traded. Boston shortstops have hit .235-.311-.325 this season.

Olney also says the Red Sox have also talked to the Pirates about Jack Wilson, but says the two teams don't match up well because "the Red Sox probably would prefer to keep some financial flexibility in the event that they need to acquire a DH type" in case David Ortiz doesn't turn it around. Wilson is still owed close to $6MM this season.

Olney on Reyes, McLouth, Holliday

ESPN.com's Buster Olney wonders if the currently injured Jose Reyes has already peaked, quoting a scout who says "I don't see a lot of evolution there … Jimmy Rollins struggled early in his career, but then he just kept getting better and better, and I'm not really seeing that in Reyes." Olney likens the situation to Mark Prior's, who seemingly held the Cubs hostage with his potential. Reyes will turn just 26 next week, but Olney says that going forward "the Mets should not assume that Reyes is going to be an unmovable foundation piece," however he is not advocating a trade just yet.

Here's the rest of Olney's rumors:

  • Olney heard that the Pirates were concerned about Nate McLouth's defensive abilities, so they moved him now before his trade value diminished.
  • Billy Beane will soon have to make a decision about whether or not he should trade Matt Holliday, because other teams will start inquiring soon.
  • Olney speculates that the Cardinals could be interested in Holliday, which would satisfy Tony LaRussa's desire for a big bat. He also says that Cards' prospect Brett Wallace would be a good fit for Oakland, but that seems like a hefty price for just three or four months of Holliday.

Matt Holliday Uncensored

A's outfielder Matt Holliday appeared on SIRIUS XM Radio's MLB Home Plate Channel Tuesday afternoon and let loose about his expectations for the July 31 trade deadline (Quotes courtesy of MLB.com's Mychael Urban).

Asked if the A's had discussed with him a potential contract extension:
"They have not approached me or my representation at all," Holliday replied. "I would assume that being a smaller-market team that is into developing young players currently, that they will probably either trade me at some point or take their [compensatory] draft picks [for losing a Type A free agent] at the end of the year.

"It's sort of the understanding that I have. So we'll just kind of see what happens. I'm taking it day-by-day and just trying to go out there and play the best that I can to help our team win, and then move on to the next day.

Asked if he'd rather be traded or spend the rest of the season in Oakland, Holliday offered a lengthy response:

"That's an interesting question.  I'd like for this to work out. I've had a great time with my teammates and have really appreciated the way this organization has treated me in this first couple of months. The guys have been great, and I see a lot of potential in this team, but we obviously aren't playing very well.

"We got off to a rough start and we've had some injuries and find ourselves 10 or 11 games back in the race. So I would say if it looks like we're not going to be able to get back into the race or get healthy, I think every player wants a chance to win, and I'm no exception. I'd love to play in the postseason again. That was the time of my life in baseball … getting a chance to play in the postseason in 2007.

Here's where it gets interesting…

"So if it looks like we're not going to be able to make it to the postseason and they can get some good players for me, I'd be OK with getting a chance to go try to make it to the postseason and play in October."

Ben worked up a nice profile on Holliday's situation earlier today.  The 29-year-old Scott Boras client is batting just .275/.368/.440 this season, but has hit .330/.459/.534 since May 4th.  As his batting line rises, so too will his trade value.  What contenders might find him desirable?

Draft Updates: Braves, Reds, Tigers

The draft's a week away and here's what some teams are thinking as the big day approaches.

  • The Braves will take the best available player with their seventh overall pick, according to Mark Bowman of MLB.com. It's the earliest pick they've had since 1991, but they'll have to wait until 87th for their next turn. Zack Wheeler, a Georgia high school pitcher, could be available when the Braves select.
  • MLB.com's Mark Sheldon reports that the Reds would like to add catching depth and left-handed pitching in the draft, which they say could be deepest in rounds 2-6. Cincinnati has the eighth pick of the first round, when high school lefty Tyler Matzek could be available.
  • As MLB.com's Jason Beck reports, the Tigers are looking for pitching with the ninth pick. Pitchers Jacob Turner and Shelby Miller have caught the Tigers' attention.
  • MLB.com's Thomas Harding points out that no one on the current Rockies roster was drafted in the last three years. This time around, they'll draft 11th.
  • The Royals say they'll take the best available player with the 12th pick, according to MLB.com's Dick Kaegel. This is the first time in four years that the Royals don't have a top-three pick.
  • MLB.com's Mychael Urban reports that the A's agree with many teams: this year's first round is littered with power arms. The A's don't know what options they'll have with their 13th pick, however.

Taking Stock Of Matt Holliday

At the start of the year, we expected Matt Holliday to establish himself as the top free agent player heading into the offseason. After two months in Oakland, there's no question his value has sunk. Buster Olney says Holliday will be in position to command three-year offers worth just $30-35MM. There's still a lot of baseball left, but let's take a look at some of the reasons his value is so low:

  • Holliday's hitting just .275/.368/.440
  • His slugging percentage this year is 200 points lower than his career mark at Coors Field.
  • He's attempted just five steals after stealing 28 bases last year.  

But he still has a lot going for him:

  • He has Scott Boras for an agent.
  • He's hitting .330/.459/.534 since May 4th, with five homers and all four of his steals.  
  • If he's dealt to a contender and makes the playoffs he could boost his value by playing well in October.

Discussion: Justin Duchscherer

A's right-hander Justin Duchscherer is a free agent after this season, but he hasn't thrown a pitch all year due to lingering elbow discomfort and suffered yet another setback on Friday. Heading into the '09 season, things were looking up for "The Duke of Hurl."  The 32-year-old had a 2.54 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 95/34 K/BB ratio for Oakland in 2008 and was cruising toward his first major contract.  What now?

I thought it'd be interesting to poll the readers.  Can he still demand a hefty multi-year deal? Will A's GM Billy Beane try to deal him once he returns?  What clubs are a good fit?  Obviously a lot depends on his performance in the season's final few months, but let's assume he pitches as well as he did last year.  

Take in the full MLBTR archive on Duchscherer right here.

Odds & Ends: DeRosa, Bruney, Cooper

Let's kick it off today with some odds and ends.

Giants Not Dangling Cain, Not Interested In Holliday

Henry Schulman of the San Francisco Chronicle provides an update on a few Giants rumors.

  • Schulman's "very high-level" Giants source says Matt Cain is not being dangled, contrary to an earlier rumor.
  • Schulman agrees with Juan C. Rodriguez's report that the Giants have asked the Marlins about Dan Uggla.
  • Schulman believes the Giants are talking to the Nationals about Nick Johnson.  However, his source said the team has no interest in Matt Holliday.  Much has been made of Holliday's slow start, but keep in mind he's hitting .296/.406/.494 in May.
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