Stark’s Latest

Jayson Stark has a new Rumblings and Grumblings column up at ESPN; check it out.  Here are some new trade rumors I picked up from it:

  • Stark’s sources indicate that Kenny Williams is only serious about moving Jose Contreras, not Jon Garland or Javier Vazquez.  Makes sense, if he’s trying to win in 2008.  Problem is that Contreras doesn’t have much trade value, the way he’s been pitching for the last year.
  • Of course the Mets would have interest in Dontrelle Willis if made available, but the Tigers?  That’s a new one.  Not sure why a team so deep in pitching would trade young players for Willis.  But, it’s just a rumor.
  • Zack Greinke is admittedly a long shot to be traded, but that doesn’t mean teams aren’t asking all the time.  The Braves connection is obvious.  Stark says John Schuerholz is getting very aggressive and creative trying to improve his team.  Two prospects on the block are Elvis Andrus and Dan Smith.
  • The Rangers are asking for way too much for their relievers right now.  As you know, the options for Eric Gagne are quite limited because of his no-trade clause and desire to close.  The Cubs, Phillies, and Braves could accomodate him, but it seems the Tigers seemingly don’t want to move Todd Jones out of the closer role.  Odd.
  • The Mets would move Mike Pelfrey in a major trade, perhaps annoyed with the Scott Boras influence on him.
  • The Phillies are falling all over themselves to get a starter, but the main options appear to be Joe Kennedy, Kyle Lohse, and Steve Trachsel.  Awww yeah, World Series here we come.  For good starters or relievers, teams want Shane Victorino.  The Phils need him to take over center field next year.
  • Contrary to previous reports, the Reds intend to hold on to David Weathers.
  • There’s no real fit anywhere for Ken Griffey Jr., given the limited list of teams he’ll play for.
  • Expect the Angels to stand mostly pat, this year and next.  That’s just how they roll.  No A-Rod, no Barry, no Adam Dunn.
  • Relievers under consideration by the Dodgers: Chad Qualls, Dan Wheeler, Octavio Dotel, Al Reyes, and a new one – Luis Vizcaino.
  • Stark believes $30MM a year for A-Rod is laughable.  But Stark and Scott Boras have had public beef before so he may be biased on this.  I can see Boras getting his magic number for Rodriguez.

Rangers Rumors Heating Up

T.R. Sullivan of MLB.com has the latest – the trade market for Rangers is bustling.

  • Mark Teixeira is back and hitting well, and interest is picking up according to  Sullivan.  He names the Red Sox, Angels, Braves, and Yankees as the top suitors, with the Dodgers and Giants on the fringes.  There is a growing sentiment that teams are now overvaluing their prospects and ignoring the high attrition rate (especially for pitchers).  Ken Rosenthal feels this way, and notes that the Braves are exceptional in that they are not afraid to trade youngsters.  Evan Grant agrees, and doesn’t understand why the Mariners aren’t in on Tex.
  • Interestingly, Joaquin Benoit might be the most compelling reliever in trade talks.  The 30 year-old has a fine 3.33 K/BB.  Most publications are listing him as a free agent after 2008, but by my count this is his sixth year of service time.  I’ll have to get some clarification on that.
  • Benoit has moved past Eric Gagne and Akinori Otsuka on some teams’ lists because of Gagne’s desire to stay at closer and Otsuka’s recent injury.
  • Sullivan also reports marginal interest in Ron Mahay, Jamey Wright, Brad Wilkerson, and Kenny Lofton – much not much for Sammy Sosa.

Odds and Ends

Some random lunchtime reading for you:

Odds And Ends

Random stuff for a Thursday afternoon…

Name Change

For a while I used to go by the handle RumorMonger in the comments here at MLBTradeRumors.  Then once I started requiring registration to comment, I switched it to RotoAuthority (the name of my other site and handle over there).  It seemed kind of weird posting on this site under a fantasy baseball moniker, so now I’m just plain old Tim Dierkes in the comments.

Odds and Ends

Today we’ve got a bunch of smaller links, rumors, and signings, so we’ll put it all in one post.

  • The Cardinals signed reliever Ryan Franklin for 2008-09 with a club option for 2010.  I was waiting for the financial details to come out, but they still haven’t.  According to Rick Hummel, it’s at least $2MM per year.  That’s pretty much chump change to almost any team, so no big loss if it doesn’t pan out.  Franklin has actually been the Cardinals’ best pitcher this year.  He deserves credit for his superb control and 50% groundball rate, though he’s been strangely tough to hit for a guy whiffing fewer than four per nine innings.  Franklin has a .226 BABIP, which should regress toward his team’s .294 mark.  Franklin already owns one of the greatest fluke BABIP performances of the decade, when he posted a .248 mark in 2003 en route to a 3.57 ERA.
  • Speaking of questionable reliever contract extensions, Shawn Chacon wants in.  To be fair, his 2.98 relief ERA this year is solid, and his peripheral stats aren’t terrible.  But extending him at $2-3MM annually just doesn’t seem wise for the Pirates.
  • Jim Salisbury discusses the awful Pat Burrell contract, noting that it seemed like a good idea at the time. 
  • Richard Justice tries to figure out why Morgan Ensberg is on the Astros’ roster.  Ensberg has really lost it since he posted a .945 OPS with 36 home runs in 2005.  It wasn’t that long ago; he deserves a look with the Twins or something. 
  • Rob Bradford discusses how the Josh Beckett contract extension came to fruition.  Great timing by Theo Epstein; now he has Beckett at well below market value.  Kenny Williams tried this with Mark Buehrle last summer but was rebuffed.
  • J.P. Ricciardi clarifies his A.J. Burnett comments.
  • A new pitch has been invented.  This is going to take the world by storm.
  • Neifi Perez = busted.
  • Gotham Baseball debunks the Lastings Milledge to Washington for a reliever rumor.  Mark Healey also thinks the Mets’ interest in White Sox starters has been overstated.
  • There’s a good chance Rockies’ first baseman Joe Koshansky is traded.  Let’s not get too excited though; Kevin Goldstein says he becomes an average big league first baseman in a perfect world.  The 25 year-old is slugging .486 at a hitters’ park in Triple A.

Rosenthal’s Latest: Buehrle, Bourn

Just got back from watching the new Transformers movie.  I found it disappointing.  It was a bit cheesier and for-kids than I expected or the ads lead you to believe.  Shia LaBeouf was a bright spot but most of the dialogue makes you wince.  The plot was annoying and I got a little CGI’d out by the end.  I know, what do you expect from Michael Bay.  But I liked The Island.  Just read some reviews of it; 90% of them said something like "This will please fanboys, but I didn’t like it."  "Fanboy" seems a required word for reviewing the movie.  Well, I am not a fanboy of Transformers (my parents bought me Gobots* instead) but I still don’t recommend the movie.  On to baseball.

Ken Rosenthal’s latest column is a little lacking in terms of fresh trade rumors to dissect.  Instead, he’s more focused on informed speculation.

  • Rosenthal believes the White Sox and Mark Buehrle should be able to bridge the gap, which amounts to 18 months of no-trade protection.  That’s the general feeling; it will be nice to see a fan favorite stay.
  • Rosenthal says Kenny Williams has talked to roughly 20 teams about his starting pitchers in one way or another.  Interestingly, he confirms the recent radio rumor that the D-Rays inquired about Buehrle.  Williams has also discussed Jose Contreras and Javier Vazquez with Tampa Bay.  I’ll say it again: the Devil Rays should be contenders in 2008.
  • Trade speculation: Phillies outfielder Michael Bourn to the Rangers for Akinori Otsuka.  Such a move, however, would increase reliance on Pat Burrell and leave the Phillies short-staffed in the outfield for 2008.  Rosenthal believes Bourn could develop into a Juan Pierre type, sans the noodle arm.

*The Gobots’ theme song is awesome.  It’s basically "The Gobots, the Gobots" repeatedly.

My Stance On The All-Star Game

I’m not as into the All-Star Game as I was when I was a kid.  But I do have some thoughts on it:

  • I have always enjoyed having at least one representative from every team.  You don’t want to have an entire team’s fanbase left out of the game.  The game is for the fans and the kids, and we need to see at least one National.  Unfortunately that turned out to be Dmitri Young this year.  Now there’s an unlikely selection.
  • To me, it’s all about what the player is doing this year.  Yes, I know a well-timed couple of months can earn a scrub a spot over a Hall of Famer.  But so what?  Fans have short-term memories.  If the All-Star game was a lifetime achievement award, they wouldn’t hold it every year.

Thursday Morning Readin’

Some random links to check out today:

  • Lion In Oil interviewed ESPN’s Keith Law.  Some great insight in there regarding the responsibilities of general managers that the general public typically doesn’t consider.  As much as I love the business side of baseball, I’d make a terrible GM.  Definitely more of a 9-5er, that Tim Dierkes.  Actually 9-4:52 so I can catch the train I want.
  • J.C. Bradbury – economist, professor, author, blogger – assigns probabilities of various Braves getting traded if the team falls out of contention.  Atlanta is only 3.5 games out but there’s a month to go before the deadline.  How about the idea of trading Chipper Jones?
  • New WHIFF Profile of Boof Bonser.  If you’re not privy to the WHIFF Profiles, you’re missing out.
  • RotoAuthority considers the fantasy futures of starters posting strong numbers in Double A this year.
  • Nate Silver of Baseball Prospectus weighs in on the Cubs’ trade of Michael Barrett and the Cubs’ disturbing trend of trading players when they reach rock bottom.  And contributing to the demise of said players.
  • Jacob Jackson identifies the best unemployed GM in baseball – Paul DePodesta.
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