When Justin Steele went under the knife for UCL revision surgery last month, ending his 2025 season early, the pressure of carrying the load at the front of the Cubs’ rotation went from being shared between two All-Star southpaws to falling entirely on the shoulders of Shota Imanaga. Imanaga’s first eight starts of the year have generally gone quite well, as he’s pitched to a 2.82 ERA despite his peripherals regressing significantly (4.52 FIP, 4.69 SIERA) relative to last year’s dominant rookie campaign.
Unfortunately, his own season was at least temporarily derailed yesterday when Chicago placed him on the injured list due to a strained left hamstring. Fortunately, the Cubs and Imanaga appear to view the strain as a fairly mild one. Manager Craig Counsell suggested during his postgame interview yesterday (h/t Marquee Sports Network) that the outcome was “pretty good news” and that it was at least possible that Imanaga wouldn’t take much longer than a minimum stay on the shelf to recover. Even so, another starter will be needed to join Jameson Taillon, Matthew Boyd, Ben Brown, and Colin Rea in the rotation.
Perhaps the Cubs need look no further than the hurler at Triple-A who was already on the same schedule as Imanaga prior to the injury. Top pitching prospect Cade Horton, selected in the first round of the 2022 draft, has been nothing short of dominant so far this year. A consensus top-50 prospect in the sport, Horton has made six starts for the club’s Iowa affiliate this year and has posted a sparkling 1.24 ERA in that time with a strikeout rate of 30.6%. It’s the sort of dominance that will naturally lead to fans calling for a big league debut, and those calls have only grown louder in the aftermath of Imanaga’s injury. It’s hard to argue any pitcher currently on the big league roster has a higher ceiling than Horton, who sports a mid-90s fastball that touches 98 and a plus slider as part of a strong four-pitch mix.
For his part, Counsell told reporters (including Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun Times) that Horton is “an option” to replace Imanaga in the rotation. With that being said, Counsell also noted that veteran right-hander Chris Flexen remains stretched out after recently having his contract selected from Triple-A ahead of a uniform opt-out opportunity in his contract on May 1. Flexen threw 54 pitches in three scoreless relief innings last week and sported a 1.16 ERA with a 22.3% strikeout rate in 23 1/3 innings of work at Triple-A before his contract was selected. A veteran of eight MLB seasons who also briefly pitched for the KBO League’s Doosan Bears, Flexen has generally been a roughly average swingman since he returned from South Korea with a 4.56 ERA (90 ERA+) in 582 2/3 innings of work.
His numbers fell off substantially over the past two years, but it’s hard to deny that he’s looked impressive since joining Chicago on a minor league deal. Still, there’s no question that Horton is the more talented pitcher with much higher upside. Horton seems likely to have a very successful career with the Cubs in the coming years, but there are other considerations that could tip the scale towards Flexen. The Cubs’ bullpen, which ranks bottom ten in the majors with a 4.37 ERA, has already been stretched somewhat by short starts from Rea and Brown this year. Horton would add another hurler who can’t be expected to pitch deep into games to the rotation mix, seeing as he’s maxed out at just 78 pitches this year. Flexen, meanwhile, has maxed out at 95 pitches and pitched into the sixth inning in three of his four full-length starts with Iowa.
Horton’s injury woes over the years, from Tommy John surgery in college to a subscapularis strain that cost him most of his 2024 season, have left the Cubs in a position where they’ll need to carefully manage the talented right-hander’s innings this year. For a team with postseason aspirations, it’s fair to wonder if calling him up in early May is the right call when his electric arm may be needed come October. On the other hand, however, it’s worth noting that Horton did not throw a single pitch after May 29 last year. Health for a pitcher is never guaranteed, so it’s possible the Cubs would be best off simply calling up Horton now while he’s pitching well and figuring out how to manage his innings later by either shutting him down at some point this year or moving him to the bullpen.
How do MLBTR readers think the Cubs should handle the vacancy in their rotation while Imanaga is out of commission? Should they turn to the high-upside prospect knocking on the door of the big leagues while he’s healthy and pitching well, or instead opt to use Flexen in order to manage Horton’s innings and preserve the bullpen? Have your say in the poll below:
Cubs will patch the rotation with Flexseal and call it a day.
Not to be too literal, but that might be one of those sticky substances MLB does not like.
Call up a guy with durability issues this early? Careful what you wish for, you just might get it.
Let’s see if the farm system can produce elite pitching. Been a long time. Doubtful
Where did Steele come from?
Wire to wire 2024, Steele was developed in chi… But he was drafted back in 2014… You must have missed the “been a long time” part of the statement.
Not elite, he’s a good 2, but not a wipeout high K pitcher. Good luck in the dog days as they wilt and keep looking at the waiver wire for help.
Horton fits the profile of Kerry Wood and Mark Prior – incredible talent when healthy……which could be rare.
I think Flexen gets the first crack at a spot start.
In my experience, whatever you hope the Cubs will do, they will do the opposite.
Does opposite mean chicken salad on rye?
Find out what you have in this guy before trade deadline, and quit jacking around and go get a real 3rd baseman this isn’t a rebuilding club with time for Shaw to develop
Certainly won’t be getting a decent 3rd baseman this early in the season
Flexen threw the ninth tonight, so Horton is even more likely to get the call for a start.
Based on talent Horton deserves the call. But he’s on an innings limit in 2025 and he’s probably not going to help come playoff time. I would call him up but only for a short period of time and hope he doesn’t get hurt. Find another pitcher come July.
Hate to say it, but I’m getting Jaret Wright vibes here. I hope I’m wrong.
I remember that guy, that’s not a player I’d want to be compared to Horton. Now you’re making think on this guy some…
Yes. And if Hoyer has the guts to admit a mistake, the corresponding move should be to relese Pressley. They have to pay him either way, and he is obviously washed up. They have eight better relievers.
I’m hoping that Pressly’s 8 earned runs tonight will cement it in Jed’s concrete head that he’s no fit for a team of this caliber.
release Merryweather instead and if you have to release someone else later then go to pressly
They need to dump Ryan Pressely ASAP …Starting to look like Hector Neris …
Been a while since I’ve seen that big of a meltdown. 8 ER in less than an inning. Yikes.
BEST. INNING. EVER !
It shouldn’t even be a debate. The uber-talented Horton is the easy choice over the journeyman Flexen.
I just have 2 questions and then I’ll relent. Why wouldn’t you bring up Horton because he’s pitching well and why waste the innings he has in AAA when he can pitch in the Majors? And why would you bring him up to pitch on the road against the Mets when you can maneuver it and let him start agst the Marlins and White Sox at home? I’ll wait.
Saw this after I commented. Agreed – NO point in wasting his innings in Iowa. He should have been in Chicago last night, even if he just pitched the 11th instead of Pressly.
Better to start him on the road vs home in general. Less pressure to perform with the home fans removed.
Mets are kinda a trial by fire but you want to see if his stuff plays vs a contender.
The Cubs just brought in their Closer in a tie game and he gave up 9 runs. That means he couldn’t even be trusted to hold an 8 run lead. What about that makes sense? You want your best prospect to feel comfortable in his first start and what better place than Wrigley where he can do no wrong? Sorry but I don’t buy it.
@uncle – I’m guessing it’s less stressful for a pitcher to make his mlb debut away than at home. This practice is not uncommon as seen this before with other teams.
Just curious, Where exactly is that written? So you’re saying that it’s less pressure to pitch in NY against the Mets and Lindor, Soto and Alonso than against the Marlins who’s team batting average is less than .200 and in Wrigley? Let me get a pen and write that down. Let’s see, Pitching in NY is less stressful than pitching in Chicago. Got it. Sorry but it still doesn’t look right. I’m erasing it.
If they are going to limit Horton’s innings either way, why use them up in Iowa? Any innings he can throw, should be in Chicago.
call up horton, definitely a better option then flexen and too early to make a trade
It’s gonna be Flexen. Hoyer wont call up Horton this early.
Horton + 1 every 5 days might work – even if the Cubs aren’t keeping tabs on his IPs or pitch count. Health is the key Horton. Durability. Wouldn’t want to see a situation similiar to what happened with Strasburg a few years ago when he was shut down in August for precautionary reasons when the Nats were playing well.
Holes at 3rd and relief pitching like closer and starting pitching. Amazing where they’re at! Temporary???