5:17PM: Nightengale clarified his earlier report, saying that it was the Twins who first floated Walker’s name and the Astros who passed on moving the first baseman.
2:56PM: The Astros and Twins pulled off a shocking move in the final hours before the deadline that brought three-time All-Star infielder Carlos Correa back home to the team that he spent the first seven seasons of his career with. The deal sent Correa to Houston in exchange for pitching prospect Matt Mikulski, with the Twins retaining $33MM of the $103.4MM remaining on Correa’s contract. USA Today’s Bob Nightengale provided additional details on the Correa negotiations this morning.
Most notably, Nightengale writes that the sides talked about including veteran first baseman Christian Walker as part of the return headed to Minnesota in exchange for Correa’s services. He adds that while the Twins “had the opportunity” to acquire Walker as part of the deal, they passed on taking the final two years and $40MM of his contract on. That’s not exactly a shocking decision. Given that Mikulski is a 26-year-old who has not yet even reached the Double-A level, it’s fair to view the Correa deal as a pure salary dump for Minnesota. Previous reporting has indicated that the Twins are more than $400MM in debt, and Nightengale writes that the club has lost $40MM this year.
That would make adding a larger contract like that of Walker counterproductive in most scenarios. Perhaps there was a version of the deal where the Twins retained less of Correa’s salary while taking on Walker’s contract, but given his mediocre 2025 campaign (96 wRC+, 0.6 fWAR) and the fact that he’s already 34 years old it’s understandable that the Twins wouldn’t be too interested in adding him at the beginning of a rebuild that might not end until Walker has already hit free agency.
There’s at least an argument to be made that he would’ve been a worthwhile addition to the club based on their lack of a long-term solution at the position, however. Kody Clemens is currently serving as the club’s first baseman and has blasted 12 homers in 65 games since landing in Minnesota, but is a career 82 wRC+ hitter in 222 big league games who seems unlikely to sustain that sort of production. Edouard Julien and Jose Miranda are both capable of playing the position and have past big league success but poor performance has relegated them to the minors for much of the year.
That could make the veteran consistency Walker could provide quite attractive in theory, especially after the loss of Correa and others from the clubhouse could leave a dearth of veteran leadership in the clubhouse outside of franchise face Byron Buxton. On the other hand, Walker lacks much upside; even his best seasons with the Diamondbacks saw him peak at a wRC+ of around 120, and the Twins could likely find a younger, cheaper alternative who has more of a chance to develop into a middle-of-the-order force if they were interested in doing so this offseason.
While the Twins may not have been a fit for Walker’s services, Nightengale suggests that the veteran might get shopped by the Astros this winter in a bid to make room for infielder Isaac Paredes as first base next year. That’s a sensible assumption based on the composition of the club’s roster. While the idea of Paredes moving to second was briefly floated last offseason, there’s been a great deal of skepticism since then about his viability as a defender at third base. Yordan Alvarez must be penciled in as the club’s DH even after a 2025 season that has been mostly lost to injury, and with a former Gold Glove shortstop in Correa who’s eager to move to third base in deference to fellow Gold Glove shortstop Jeremy Pena there isn’t room for Paredes on the left side of the infield anymore.
At the same time, Paredes’s bat is much too important to lose from the lineup. The two-time All-Star has hit an impressive .259/.359/.470 with 19 homers, 15 doubles, and triple in 96 games for the Astros this year. The third baseman is expected to miss the remainder of the 2025 season at this point, so fitting him into the lineup is not a concern in the short-term. First base seems like by far the most logic fit the slugger for the 2026 season, however. Paredes is under team control through the end of the 2027 season, so he’ll need to find a new long-term home in Houston with Correa set to take over the hot corner.
That will likely make Walker expendable this offseason. He’s certainly not had the season either side was hoping for when he signed with the Astros on a three-year, $60MM deal this past offseason. Back in June, MLBTR’s Mark Polishuk wrote about the lackluster start Walker had to his Astros career. He’s begun to turn things around since then, with a strong .288/.352/.466 (129 wRC+) slash line in 186 plate appearances since that article was published, but the concerns discussed in that piece still ring true. Walker is an aging, pricey veteran on a multi-year contract who has begun to show signs of decline.
It’s not the easiest profile to find a suitor for, but perhaps there will be a team in need of help at first base this winter with whom the club can work out a trade—particularly if they’re willing to pay down some of Walker’s remaining salary. The veteran’s play over the season’s final two months and into the postseason figures to have a major influence over how feasible an offseason trade will end up being and how much money, if any the Astros would have to retain in order to move him.
If Houston’s front office doesn’t find an offer they deem acceptable for Walker, there are other avenues to working out the infield logjam, though each presents some issues. Perhaps Paredes could see some time at second base despite defensive questions. It’s possible that Walker could get some playing time at DH on days Alvarez plays the outfield, with Jose Altuve at second base. A trade of Paredes could even theoretically be considered, especially if a similarly well-regarded and controllable outfielder was available in return. As the Astros demonstrated for Jose Abreu, they’re also not opposed to simply cutting ties with a struggling veteran who no longer fits the club’s needs, though Walker would surely need to take an extreme turn for the worse in order for that option to be on the table.
This shows Minnesota was cheaper then we thought
$40 million in losses already and $400 million in debt doesn’t necessarily mean they are cheap but there is a definite fundamental business problem with the franchise. Not wanting to take on a $40 million dollar contract while agreeing to pay down Correa’s contract as the article states would be counterproductive.
For the Astros, they will likely get more offers for Paredes than for Walker. $40 million for a 1B/DH is not something most teams are looking for unless they eat at least half the money owed
Can’t dump Walker. And to think, people suggested it was a better signing than Alonso.
Surprised Crane had this sudden about-face with the Stros payroll. But can’t pay Bregman or Tucker….
To be fair, Tucker is going to cost in the neighborhood of $400 million and Bregman will be looking for around $200 million if he opts out of his deal in Boston
Correa still seems like an over-pay. We’ll see what he does in October….
I love this line “wouldn’t be too interested in adding him at the beginning of a rebuild that might not end until Walker has already hit free agency.” Hit free agency?! How about hit the old folks retirement home. The Twins are going to be lost in the wilderness for years.
That’s why I’m inclined to believe Breslow when he said that every time they reached an agreement with Falvey on Joe Ryan the Twins would up the ask. All of the players traded away and they walked away with Mick Abel and less than a handful of additions to their top 30 prospects. Falvey was trying to save face buy fleecing the Sox and it didn’t work
Good. It would have made no cents (heh) if they had taken on Walkers dead $.
If the deal would have been Walker to MN and no money going to Houston it would have been a great move for MN. It would have been 3.5 million for the next 2 years for Walker.
At least someone seems to get this.
It seems so obvious that that couldn’t have been the deal. It must have been Walker AND the Twins sending some money (much less than $33 million) to Houston.
Exactly! There would be no reason to take on Walker and pay down the $33M.
Twins won’t have a hard time filling 1B for less than $7mil the next two years. Better to give the young guns the playing time anyway
I remember fans debating during the 2012 draft (and after) about Correa, Seager, Addison Russell, Gavin Cecchini, Deven Marrero, and even Daniel Robertson (to a lesser extent) becoming the top SS in that draft.
Out of all the SS drafted (and signed) in the 2012 draft, Chris Taylor ranks 3rd in bWAR. I wonder if teams would take him over most of the other guys or would they just assume they would trade him for Zach Lee too. Silly mariners
There were talks the Tigers going after Walker last offseason. I’m glad they didn’t. Tork has been pretty solid this year. He’s played above average first base and got back to hitting Tork bombs. The average still isn’t the greatest but we’ll take it.
Wait, Minnesota asked for Walker? Nightengale needs to clarify the financials for that proposal.
Also, I have have a hard time believing that the Twins at $400m + in the hole.
Based on his picture, Matt Mikulski spends way too much time in the tanning beds. Based on his stats, he spends way too much time in the tanning beds…
The Twins didn’t think Walker would be worth $7MM over 2 years?
I’d think they could’ve gotten someone to roll the dice on walker for a total of $10MM. He’s not far removed from being a good 1B.