The Twins placed right-hander Pablo Lopez on the 15-day injured list today due to a right forearm strain. Right-hander Mick Abel was recalled to replace Lopez on the active roster. With just over a week left in the 2025 campaign and Minnesota completely out of the playoff picture, the move to the injured list ends Lopez’s season.
Lopez, 29, finishes the year having been limited to just 14 starts by injuries. After a short stint on the shelf due to a hamstring strain in April, Lopez went on to miss three months over the summer due to a shoulder strain before this forearm strain brought his season to a close. When healthy enough to take the field, Lopez was effective as ever with a 2.74 ERA and 3.20 FIP across his 75 2/3 innings of work. His strikeout rate of 23.4% was a little bit lower than recent years but still only a tick below his career norms, and a 6.4% walk rate is a near perfect match for his career 6.3% rate.
That Lopez has looked more or less the same in terms of production despite all of those injuries should be reassuring for the Twins as they enter an uncertain offseason following a massive sell-off that seemingly plunged them into what could be a protracted rebuild. With two years and $43.5MM left on Lopez’s contract, he would surely be an attractive trade chip to market over the offseason if the Twins want to further focus on loading up with young talent for the future. If he had pitched poorly when on the mound this year, getting much value for Lopez might not on the table for this winter, and they’d have to either sell low on him or hold him into the 2026 season.
Of course, it’s still entirely possible they hold onto Lopez for the time being. It’s not impossible to imagine some teams balking at paying a premium for Lopez’s services with so many injury woes on his resume this season, and today’s news of a forearm strain won’t help those concerns. If teams are wary of Lopez’s health, perhaps Minnesota will decide to hold onto him and hope for better health in 2026. With that being said, the strain appears to be rather mild. Dan Hayes of The Athletic relays that there is “no concern” regarding Lopez’s elbow or UCL, and that the strain is mild enough that he would’ve likely avoided the IL entirely had the Twins still been in the race for the postseason. That description of the injury sounds minor enough that it likely shouldn’t change a team’s evaluation of Lopez significantly, which should is good news for the Twins if they hope to make the right-hander available this offseason.
Of course, if the Twins decide to pivot away from what looks like it could be the start of a rebuild and instead try to augment the club with an eye towards contention in 2026, Lopez will be a key piece of that team alongside other core pieces like Byron Buxton and Joe Ryan. While that trio is some of the only certainty that Twins have at this point, they have very little money on the books after dumping Carlos Correa’s contract to Houston and could have some considerable upside if young players like Luke Keaschall and Brooks Lee manage to step into larger roles next year.
