The Yankees and outfielder/first baseman Cody Bellinger have reunited on a new contract. The Boras Corporation client reportedly gets a five-year deal with a $162.5MM guarantee, with no deferrals. He gets a $20MM signing bonus followed by salaries of $32.5MM in each of the first two years, $25.8MM in each of the next two, then $25.9MM in the final season. Bellinger can opt out after the second or third season, though those opt-outs are pushed by a year if the 2027 season is canceled by a lockout. Bellinger also gets a full no-trade clause. The Yankees have not yet announced a corresponding 40-man roster move.
It always seemed like a good bet that Bellinger would return to the Yankees, since their first season together was a success. But there was a standoff recently, as the club and Bellinger’s camp had a bit of a gap. It was reported earlier this month that the Yankees had an offer out to Bellinger. No details on that offer were revealed but it was reported a few days later that they had made a second offer.
Subsequent reporting on the negotiations suggested the Yanks had put forth a five-year offer worth more than $150MM, but with Bellinger’s camp hoping to get the length pushed to seven years. That gap seemingly put things on ice for a moment, with alternative paths available to both parties. The Yankees showed interest in other players, including outfielder Luis Robert Jr., while Bellinger still had potential fits with teams like the Dodgers and Mets.
But the market has changed quite a bit in the past week. The Dodgers and Mets got into a bidding war over Kyle Tucker, with the Dodgers coming out on top. The Mets then pivoted to signing Bo Bichette to bolster their infield, followed by trading infielder Luisangel Acuña to the White Sox as part of their package to land Robert.
Those moves took away some alternate paths from the Yankees but also removed a couple of logical landing spots for Bellinger. He had also been connected to the Blue Jays, Giants and Phillies throughout the winter but none of those clubs seemed to be strongly in the mix. The Yanks seemingly didn’t budge far from where their reported offer was a few weeks ago, though they did add the opt-outs. It was reported a few days ago that they were willing to include those.
Though Bellinger and Boras didn’t quite get the seven years they were looking for, the deal comes in fairly close to expectations from the beginning of the offseason. For instance, MLBTR predicted Bellinger to land a guarantee of $140MM over five years. Bellinger has secured himself a floor just above that. There’s also a path to boosting his future earnings again with more opt-out opportunities down the line.
He is now 30, turning 31 in July, so he will be 32 years old by the end of the 2027 season. Alex Bregman and Kyle Schwarber both just got five-year deals this offseason, with Schwarber going into his age-33 season and Bregman age-32. Schwarber got a $150MM guarantee and Bregman $175MM, though Bregman’s deals had deferrals which pushed the net present value pretty close to Schwarber’s guarantee.
For Bellinger, he can bank $85MM over the next two years, when factoring in the signing bonus and the front-loaded salaries. When his first opt-out decision comes around, he would still have three years and $77.5MM left on this deal. If he continues to be a productive player between now and then, he should be in a good position to opt out. The lockout-specific provision of the opt-outs appears to be a way for the Yankees to get at least two years of Bellinger’s services.
While Bellinger has maintained some future earning potential, he has also secured himself a strong base after a few years of uncertainty. When he first hit the open market, he had shown both huge upside and a massive downside. In 2019, then with the Dodgers, Bellinger was the National League MVP. He hit 47 home runs that year. Offense was up all around the league thanks to some juiced balls but Bellinger also drew walks at a 14.4% clip and only struck out 16.4% of the time. His .305/.406/.629 line led to a 161 wRC+, even in the heightened offensive environment of that season. He stole 15 bases and got strong reviews for his defense. FanGraphs credited him with 7.8 wins above replacement.
But his production backed up a bit in 2020 and he infamously injured his shoulder in the NLCS during a post-homer celebration with teammate Enrique Hernández, as seen in this video from MLB.com.
Bellinger underwent surgery after the season and his performance was awful for two years after. He slashed .193/.256/.355 over 2021 and 2022, getting non-tendered by the Dodgers after the latter campaign. He latched on with the Cubs for 2023, signing a one-year deal worth $17.5MM. He had a strong bounceback season in Wrigley, hitting 26 home runs and slashing .307/.356/.525 for a 135 wRC+.
Going into 2024, Bellinger and his reps at the Boras Corporation were hoping to cash in. He had seemingly put the low points behind him. He was still young, going into his age-28 season, and had shown MVP upside. The previous offseason, Trea Turner and Xander Bogaerts had both secured 11-year deals. This was seemingly a way to lower the competitive balance tax hit of those deals, as a player’s CBT hit is calculated based on a deal’s average annual value.
MLBTR expected this trend to continue with Bellinger, predicting him for a 12-year deal worth $264MM. That seemed to be at least somewhat aligned with what Bellinger and Boras felt he could get, as they reportedly went out looking to top $200MM.
It did not play out that way. Though Bellinger’s 2023 season was a success, there was seemingly some concern about some lackluster batted-ball data. And with the injury-marred seasons still somewhat fresh in the collective memory, his market never quite developed as hoped.
It wasn’t just Bellinger, as several other players lingered unsigned that season. They came to be known as the “Boras Four”, as they were all repped by the same agency. Bellinger, Blake Snell, Matt Chapman and Jordan Montgomery all settled for short-term deals well below expectations. Bellinger returned to the Cubs on a three-year deal with an $80MM guarantee, with chances to opt out after each season.
The first season of that pact wasn’t a roaring success, as Bellinger was good but not great. He hit 18 home runs and slashed .266/.325/.426 for a wRC+ of 108. Bellinger decided to forgo the first opt-out opportunity and stick with the Cubs. The team didn’t hold up their end of the reunion, however, as they shipped Bellinger to the Yankees. It was effectively a salary dump. The Cubs got Cody Poteet in return, whom they designated for assignment a few months later.
The Cubs ate $5MM in the swap, leaving the Yanks theoretically on the hook for $47.5MM over two years, though with Bellinger still having another opt-out remaining. As mentioned earlier, the Yankees and Bellinger turned out to be a great match. He hit 29 home runs on the year and slashed .272/.334/.480 for a 125 wRC+. Yankee Stadium and its short porch in right field seemed to be a good fit for him, as he slashed .302/.365/.544 at home on the year. He stole 13 bases overall and continued to get good grades for his glovework, earning 4.9 fWAR.
Bellinger triggered his opt-out and took another crack at free agency, which led to this pact. As mentioned, it’s possible that Bellinger will return to the open market yet again in the future. For now, though it came about in circuitous fashion, he has pushed his earning floor above the $200MM he was looking for a few years ago.
His three-year deal with the Cubs paid him $27.5MM in each of the first two years. He collected a $5MM buyout when he opted out of the final season, meaning he banked $60MM on the pact. Combined with this deal with the Yankees, he’ll earn $222.5MM even if he doesn’t trigger either of the opt-outs in this deal.
For players taking the short-term route and hoping for more earnings later, this is another example of how the path is viable. It doesn’t always work out, as Montgomery will surely tell you, but the hit rate is pretty decent. Chapman, Snell, Bellinger, Bregman, Carlos Rodón, Pete Alonso and Carlos Correa have all signed two- or three-year deals with opt-outs and then later signed a longer deal worth nine figures.
For the Yankees, this gets their outfield back to its 2025 level. Both Bellinger and Trent Grisham became free agents at the end of last season but both have now re-signed. They project to line up in two outfield spots with Aaron Judge in another and Giancarlo Stanton in the designated hitter slot. Bellinger can also play a bit of first base but the Yanks could give Ben Rice the regular job there after his breakout season. Rice can also catch, so perhaps Bellinger would slide to first base if Rice is needed behind the plate.
It’s possible the Yankees now look to move some outfield depth in the wake of this deal. Jasson Domínguez was once a top prospect but had an underwhelming season in 2025. He was roughly league average at the plate but with poor defensive metrics. The Yankees also have Spencer Jones pushing for a job after he hit 35 home runs in the minors last year but he also struck out in 35.4% of his plate appearances.
Neither Domínguez nor Jones has a great path to playing time right now. That could change as the season goes along. Stanton is 36 years old and has made at least one trip to the injured list in seven straight seasons now. Judge will turn 34 soon. Even if he himself stays healthy, the Yanks may want to put Judge in the DH slot if Stanton is hurt.
Perhaps the Yankees will keep both Domínguez and Jones around as depth for such situations, as both players are still optionable, but either or both could also be trade fodder. Club owner Hal Steinbrenner has previously expressed a desire to keep the payroll beneath $300MM. The Yanks are now a bit over that. RosterResource has them at $304MM in terms of pure payroll, with a $318MM CBT number.
That CBT number is over the top tier, which is $304MM. Since the Yankees have paid the tax in at least three consecutive years, that puts them in the highest possible tax bracket. They were at about $285MM or so before the Bellinger deal, so they paid a 95% tax on the part of the deal pushing them to the top line and then a 110% tax on the part that went beyond it. In the end, they’re adding more than $30MM in taxes to their ledger, on top of what they are paying Bellinger. They still arguably need some pitching help, so perhaps they would trade from their outfield depth instead of adding more money via free agency.
For the other clubs in the league, this further narrows down the list of available options. As of the start of the year, there were still many players available in free agency or in trade, but the dominos have been falling in quick succession lately. The Cubs got a deal done with Bregman, which prompted the Red Sox to sign Ranger Suárez and the Diamondbacks to get Nolan Arenado. The Tucker deal pushed the Mets to Bichette and Robert, which may have helped the Phillies reunite with J.T. Realmuto and pushed Bellinger to get back together with the Yankees. The Realmuto deal seemingly led to Victor Caratini signing with the Twins. All that happened in the past 11 days.
Pitchers and catchers will be reporting to spring training in less than three weeks. With Bellinger now off the board, the top unsigned free agents include Framber Valdez, Zac Gallen, Eugenio Suárez, Harrison Bader, Chris Bassitt and others. There are still a few theoretical trade candidates out there, including Brendan Donovan and MacKenzie Gore.
Jeff Passan of ESPN first reported that the Yanks and Bellinger were in agreement on a deal. Bob Nightengale of USA Today first reported the five-year length and guarantee. Brendan Kuty of The Athletic first reported the lack of deferrals. Passan then reported the opt-outs, signing bonus and no-trade clause. Nightengale then reported the salary for the first two seasons. Jon Heyman of The New York Post reported the full salary breakdown. Nightengale added the detail of the opt-outs being pushed in the event of the 2027 season being canceled. Photos courtesy of Wendell Cruz, Vincent Carchietta, Imagn Images


We knew this was gonna happen
This was a fair deal and exactly what many of us expected.
Both sides needed the other.
No reason not to take some time to get it right.
Yeah we knew he was returning to the Yankees. Bellinger was just using other teams to get more money and it worked. His numbers are much better in that park than anywhere else.
We all knew this was most likely but it my view it’s too much money, especially with the opt outs. If he does use one, at the end the Yankees will again be bidding against themselves.
Over his career he has been a better player at home not just last year.
I think if he opts out, they will just let him leave. And if he opts out, it means he’s had two very good years so they got their moneys worth.
💯 agree with you and I believe it even benefits the Yankees if he does opt out. They can let him walk and not pay him for his decline years.
I mean Yankee Stadium is a Little League park for Lefty hitters
I went to a Little League stadium and the wall was 180 feet or something like that. So maybe a T-Ball League Park for 4 year olds?
@gomer Aside from 2019 with the juiced ball last year was his best year and his best home #s.
Not sure what that had to do with my comment?
Aside from the added benefit of a juiced ball his best #s came last season during home games in a park ideal for a hitter such as him.
You implied that hes just simply been a better player at home throughout his career. That is not the case and even if it was that provides nothing to show its a benefit and not happenstance. Home games for Yankees is an environment where LH hitters with moderate power have and will continue to thrive.
If he opt outs let him go. Eventually you have to say enough is enough. The guy wanted a 7 yr deal that no team would give him. He woudl go anywhere. So let the guy leave.
Tucker’s and Bichette’s contracts make Bellinger’s contract a bargain in comparison. This is a solid deal for both sides especially assuming Bellinger maintains his 2025 stats for a couple of seasons.
@dewey
Or Dominguez or Spencer could be ready for an expanded role and they let him walk and repurpose the money elsewhere?
@Tigers
Yes but let’s please stop acting like his homers were all wall-scrapers. Just like Yanks stadium benefits dead pull lefties, Wrigley worked against lefties as the RF wall was 340 ft. But they are plenty of stadiums that a 325 ft homer would clear.
I am not sure about bargain but hopefully a fair value. If he plays well in the 2nd year of the contract he makes $42.5M/year and opts out. That is a pretty darn high AAV.
@Knicks Actually about 24 of his HRs were. Im a fan of Bellinger but Im not going to deny reality.
Cody Bellinger – Spray Charts | FanGraphs Baseball share.google/sQMfXJNOEEks1Wkdd
24 of his homers were what?
Wall scrapers?
@Knicks The spray short shows what they were, short right. In most ballpark many of those 24 would not have been HRs.
Aloha MLB100, something I have not been a fan of a team deferring large amounts of salaries into the future. It’s buying championships today and paying for them into the future. Having said that, I’d be okay with 10, maybe 15% deferred but with parameters that the deferred salary is paid within 5 or less years. I couldn’t believe that Jed deferred 40% of Alex’s salary and that he and Boras agreed to it. I impressed that Cody’s deal has no deferment. I wish Cody well. Mahalo!
Can’t wait for 2035 to come. Seeing the Dodgers paying so much money. 🙂
@kgcubs Well you should be happy to know that per the CBA teams can not wait til the future to pay for deferrals. They have 2 yrs from date of each referral to fund the principal needed to accrue to future paid value.
So they gain ultimately a 1 yr cushion at the most and and likely rarely wait the full 2 yrs. Im sure they have someone eyeing projections on the rate use and they try and time the funding accordingly.
Ultimately teams are not truly paying the amount reported on these contracts, much of it is just the accrued interest. Deferred contracts should all be reported with current value of those contracts(most have reported this). Its the time value of $ at work, it is in no way what is often falsely perceived which is the notion teams are running up a credit card to pay later.
We are consistently missing what’s really going on with the Dodgers and Mets when it comes to deferred contracts.
Guggenheim can loan money from their investment firm to the Dodgers to fund deferred contracts. That money gets set aside for future payments to players like Ohtani or Freeman. But here’s the kicker—Guggenheim still invests that money and keeps the capital gains. They’re essentially lending to themselves, moving cash from one pocket to another, and continuing to do what they do best: generate investment returns.
kgc
“It’s buying championships today and paying for them into the future.”
Deferrals have to be funded in the current year. Teams put the money into an account to gain interest, and pay the player in the future. IOW: they ARE paying players now
“that the deferred salary is paid within 5 or less years”
Why? What problem does that solve? Does your increased understanding of your first point change your second point?
@Knicks Assuming their is no contractual language preventing such a conflict of interest, it is capital Guggenhiem would have tied up and not able to lend elsewhere at a higher rate. So the opportunity cost would negate any gains under the scenario you are proposing.
Ultimately it is still just inflating the value with the time value of $ no matter how one attempts to spin it.
JuanUribeJazzHands
Deferrals have to be funded in the current year.
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While I agree that deferrals are a nothing-burger, I’m curious where the funding issue is in the CBA. I looked for it and didn’t find it.
Past that, deferrals make no sense for either side if you are required to expend the money you are holding back. Theoretically, I want to hold back $10M so I can invest in my business and grow it quicker than the ~ 4.5% I am paying you. If I am required to deposit your $10M in a separate account yielding the same 4.5%, then I don’t see the point.
JB
I haven’t read it in the CBA that I remember, but it was reported all over the place after the Ohtani contact.
Like here
share.google/XCjkG6hlPujKyetyG
@Tigers
Completey incorrect and your missing a simone point. Guggenheim Partners is in the business of investing money for its clients. They might have $300 billion in assets managed. The Guggenheim Sports Group can borrow money from Guggenheim Partners and use that to fund the deferred contracts. Then they can use that money and invest it in whatever they want to and pocket any capital gains. So they agree doing the same exact things they’re just shofting the money cum one account to another and then doing what they do anyways. It’s almost like money laundering. I can be a drug cartel owner and also own a legitimate business like a car dealership. I can take $10 million in drug proceeds and buy a fleet of 2026 vehicles. I can ask those vehicle cheaper than my competition, make a smaller profit and now I have cleaned that money+ profit earned. Only difference is, in the case of Ohtani for instance, they might borrow, let’s say the full amount that will be deferred + what they have to pay him in 2026. They put the 2026 amount into the general payroll account and the rest into escrow to satisfy the obligations set by the CBA. They can them ACCESS those funds to invest as they see fit as long as they guarantee it with some sort of collateral. If those hundreds of millions earn capital gains over the next 10 years?, which they will because that’s what they do as expats in their industry, then they cash out the investment, pay it out to Ohtani when it’s due and pocket the difference (profit). It’s like your boss holding part of your salary for the next 10 years and investing it for profit and then giving you what’s been held 10 years from now. The other 28 teams are not set up to do that.
MLB,
As long as his performance doesn’t crater, Bellinger will end up with more money than this deal when all is said and done. When he opts out after season 2 of the deal he will have collected $85 million, a $42.5 million AAV. He will only need a deal of $77.5 million to match what he opts out of for the last 3 seasons.
At 31 years old when he opts out and based on his 4.0 WAR average the last 3 seasons, a 3/78 deal with a $26 million AAV at that point would be automatic. A 4/100 would also be a probable outcome for him. With salary inflation, possibly more.
A 5+ WAR like he had last season in either of the 1st two seasons of this new deal would make a deal starting in 2028 with an AAV higher than $32.5 million and 3-4 years almost a certainty. He could realistically get a 4/140 deal if he he has 9.0-10.0 WAR in those two seasons.
ONLY if and when Mets went elsewhere for a CFer.
Belli is not really a center fielder though…once in awhile, sure.
He’s an excellent 1st baseman though, at least he was for the dodgers
Mets likely saw him as a CFer until Benge was ready to assume the position.
The deal is structured so he’s almost guaranteed to walk after year two since it’s front loaded. That actually might better for the Yankees.
Negative. The looming strike will
Push the option back another year which is even better. He is not opting out at age 33 going into his age 34 season at $26 million avv that deal is structured but if he does it’s a win for Yankees since they have Cole, Rodon, Bellinger all off the books which is $89 million
There will be a 2027 season. The owners will lockout, they’ll be ridiculous things said by both sides, horrible media reports, and a new deal will be in place by March 2027.
People have been predicting a work stoppage since the last CBA was signed. It gets tired. There is way too much money being made by both sides to have actual games lost.
The season will not start on time. Both sides unfortunately need to feel pain before this will be settled.
How much you have to lose my friend as you’re delusional if you think the lockout will end in March. Owners will need to make all the players bleed lost salaries for at least thru June to bust up the union or get more desirable terms.
justkidding
People have been predicting a work stoppage since the last CBA was signed.
=======================
They have been predicting work stoppages since the last work stoppage in 1994. Not being privy to the books, I can’t be sure, but I’d be surprised if BB missed any games.
If Bellinger is getting the full $20M signing bonus up front and doesn’t need to repay any of it for opting out, there’s no doubt he’ll opt out after Year 2 of this deal if his numbers are still strong. He’ll get paid $85M for the 1st two years of the deal and then ‘only’ make $77.5M over the last 3 years of the contract.
For all intents and purposes, this could become a 2-year, $85M deal for Bellinger. Not a bad payday for an imperfect player.
Dorothy, I’m not sure if the rules but in the next CBA it hopefully will include a provision that signing bonuses are prorated and should be partially refunded with nominal interest if the contract is ended by the player prematurely.
@LordD99
Yeah, in the early going it’s a lot like the Bichette deal, where in this case Bellinger’s first two years are worth 2/85m to him, then he gets to decide on the remaining 3/77.5m.
The alternative is an opt out after three years, banking 3/110.8m and leaving 2/51.7m on the table.
It would be interesting to make some assumptions and calculate the real value of the deal, because the opt outs are worth at least another $10m to Bellinger.
It’s not unfair to say he got close to Bichette’s deal, PLUS another $51.7m to bank if his decline after his age 32 season has been steep. That scenario’s probably somewhere in the 20-30% range.
@LordD I like the tactic they used here. To me an opt out after 2026 has less value. Players will have to opt on or out with uncertainty looming in 2027 and a high probability of less games for that season.
What Id be leery of here is what impact a labor stoppage would have on Bellinger. It is probably just a coincidence but the delayed shortened 2020 is where he fell apart. A work stoppage harms most(injured players benefit some) but a break in routine could have played into Bellinger’s falling apart. I guess time will tell.
It will also be better for Bellinger. At 31 he will definitely be able to get a 3-4 year deal and more than $26 million AAV at that point.
Yeah but why did it take this long?
Because options are a thing. Bellinger had options, which increased his leverage. His current options are limited, so he took the deal.
I don’t think he had near as many options as you think. Outside of Yankees Stadium his numbers are basically about average. At home is where his numbers jumped. Every team knew that.
The Mets and possibly the Jays were options that could afford him. Mets went with Roberts, and spring training is around the corner. They held out long enough to get everything they could from the Yankees.
Well for all you’ll that said he wasn’t coming back this is for you.
@big
People need to pump the brakes on the narrative that Cody Bellinger’s home runs would only translate to Yankee Stadium.
Yes, Yankee Stadium’s short porch in right field (314 feet down the line, 353 feet in right-center) is favorable for left-handed pull hitters. But let’s get some perspective here.
Bellinger spent the last two years pripr hitting in Wrigley Field, which is actually one of the more challenging parks for left-handed pull hitters. The right field wall at Wrigley sits at 353 feet down the line and stretches to 368 feet in right-center—significantly deeper than Yankee Stadium’s dimensions. If there’s a park that would suppress pulled power from lefties, it’s Wrigley.
Bellinger’s home runs weren’t cheap wall-scrapers. The majority of his pulled home runs were legitimate shots with plenty of distance. Based on Statcast data, those same pulled homers would have cleared the fence in approximately 25-28 of the 30 MLB ballparks. These were no-doubters, not balls sneaking over by a few feet.
Sure, maybe 2 or 3 of his home runs would only translate to Yankee Stadium specifically. But that’s it. Had Bellinger signed with virtually any other team, the vast majority of those same home runs still would have cleared the walls.
The short porch helps, but Bellinger isn’t dependent on it. His power is legit. I think the desire for a new contract was more of a factor than the stadium.
@Yankee
MLB employs consultants to periodically inspect stadiums
Pink tutu please. Might I suggest a fusia colored lipstick? You know, back in the 70s you wouldn’t have stood out as much.
The rumors were he was only getting offered 3 years and the money was a little lower on the yearly pay. He was targeting long term like Tucker. I suspect when the Yankees went to 5 and added the opt outs they had met in the middle.
@goose
Where these rumors please because where in the best rumor site and never heard that at all.
Foul Territory podcast. They feature Ken Rosenthal and former major leaguers A.J. Pierzynski, Erik Kratz, Todd Frazier, Jason Kipnis, Kevin Pillar, Brock Holt
The Foul Territory podcast is really good. They get former GMs like Bowden, Jeff Luhnow, Thad Levine, Farhan Zaidi and Neal Huntington.
Goose FT is really good but listening to Kratz ask a question is tedious to say the least.
He was holding out as long as possible to get a little more money from the Yankees. He was hoping and planning to the Yankees the whole time. The first Spring Training baseball game is ONE month from today. 🙂
It took this long because Cody smokes a lot of pot and kept forgetting the current terms of the negotiations so Boras would have to keep reminding him.
The deal took the right amount of time to fall into place. The Yankees were not ready to pay $162 million until they saw the deals for Schwarber, Alonso, Tucker and Bichette. Not do I blame them, going into the offseason I thought five years and $150 would get it done. The other contracts showed that it would take just a hair more.
By waiting an extra month, Boras got Belli maybe an extra $12.5 million, front-loaded money, plus opt-outs. And the parties still got it done with plenty of time to report to ST on time. This was done well, no Jordan Montgomery here.
why did it take this long?
======================
Why do you feel that this is a long time? I don’t see any advantage signing in December v January.
Oh wow, another large market team signing the best talent.
Milwaukee and Seattle were two of the very best teams last year. It’s great how exciting baseball is just the way it is!
As a Jays fan I approve this signing. I was worried the Jays might get him.
I think he will be OK for the Yankees because he hits well there. But not a good fit in TOR.
As soon as the Mets traded for Luis Robert it was a forgone conclusion that Belli would re-sign with the Yankees. I don’t think he was ever leaving the Yankees
No surprise. Wonder what the opt out is.
That he can opt out
What else you looking for?
Clearly he’s asking after which year the opt out is, or if there are multiple opt outs. Article has been updated since his post.
Opt outs, of course.
A Hop out maybe? You don’t see them written into contracts because the opt out is easier, less physically demanding on ones knees and such.
😂
So they’re bringing back most of their own free agents? Who else have they added this offseason?
Good for the Yanks. I’m glad Bellinger got a deal he deserved. At 30 years old with 30 career war, I think he still has a chance to make it to the Hall.
What you think he needs, 60 total war ?
Goldy, Machado, and Freeman are right around 60 right now, so I guess if all 3 get in, it seems like he would too if he doubles his war.
80?
Belli will make it to the Hall as an audience member for when Aaron Judge goes. Belli deserves this contract but he is not on a HOF trajectory himself.
2020, 2021, and 2022 dimmed his chances significantly.
Agreed. The HOF should be for really great players, not really good players.
@Team
The HOF has been watered down of late. However, I agree that Bellinger is far from being worthy. He would need to have an exceptional 10 year run to reach the usual benchmarks. For him, 450 homers and a key member of a couple of WS teams in NY might be enough.
I’ll take the under.
Agree. He may not even get to 50
His best offensive n defensive seasons are behind him
His only shot is longevity
Hall of Fame??? What? Four of his nine seasons have been middling to awful. His advanced stats do not even hint at a return to his highest levels. Decent player, no where near the Hall.
And his MVP season was when he knew what pitches were coming.
Make it to the Hall? Only way that happens is if he buys a ticket, same as the rest of us.
Is Jack Clark in the Hall? Bobby Bonds? Excellent player but not a HoFer, ever.
Jack Clark was fierce in his prime. As a Red Sox fan, I saw the grand slam he hit for them in his first game with the team on TV – I was psyched! I believe it happened against the Blue Jays.
He should definitely make it into the Hall of very good.
Here we go again with this bogus HOF talk about another maybe average MLB player compared to true HOF names that belong there.
@Gunnar
Sure, but that chance is around 1%.
He’ll need about 8 seasons at his average season from 2023 to 2025, meaning he’ll have to play at his current level through his age 37 season (half of which he plays at age 38).
Since 2000, who has done that who hasn’t been associated with PEDs?
Freddie Freeman has a similar body type but has been in decline (something that Bellinger can’t afford) since the end of 2023, his age 33 season, and Bellinger’s not in Freddie’s zip code as a player.
The Yankees haven’t been good, either, at extracting new performance levels from older players, or even keeping them healthy and productive.
@Gunnar Bellinger would have to put together a string of impressive seasons and probably at least one MVP to get to HOF. If he plays that long more than half of games will have been played in RF or 1B. Those positions have had the highest standard of offensive stats for HOF.
He would need to add about 35 WAR to his 30.4 total to be considered. Voters will take into account the shortened 2020 season, but I think the injury in 2020 in the WS celebration and the 2 year recovery time from it took him out of the running. I don’t think he can average 5 WAR for the next 7 seasons.
Weathers trade was pretty low cost and fills the need to have a starter until Cole and Rodon are ready.
Stop crying, Jesus Christ
run it back with the same team, but with Rodon out to start the year
Are you also saying groceries are only good if you get them at another store rather than the one in your neighborhood?
Too much, imho, but he’s a decent player. The Yanks holding up the entire offseason for him is craaaaazy. Good news is: we are almost back to our early-exit team from last season!
Add 1 Gerrit Cole.
theonlydynasty:
Isn’t Cole not expected back before June though? And can it be totally relied upon that he’s going to be the same pitcher at this age coming off injury that he was before?
Last a saw he was expected back early may, so somewhere in the first month or so. In reality he’s not much more of an if than every other pitcher in mlb.Just hope they perform to the norm they’ve set and pray for health
theonlydynasty:
I just looked it up. Cole is expected back late May or early June. Of course that’s with no setbacks.
Of course he can!
99Captain Judge99:
If you’re relying on a guy in his mid 30s coming off a major injury then you could be very disappointed. I’m not saying you will be, but you can’t guarantee that Cole will be the same coming back. He has to prove that.
@Miken31- you might be right Cole might not be the same. But let’s face it, if he’s 80-85% of what he was, he’s still better than most pitchers out there. That’s what I was trying to say. I don’t want Peralta for 1 year. I want Gore, or even to sign Framber for 5 years. Still thinking Framber is going to the Mutts or the Orioles. We’ll see.
Rodon is expected back in May and Cole in June. In November Boone said that a 14 month rehab schedule put Cole on pace to start a rehab assignment in late May or early June. If you are expecting pre-elbow surgery performance out of the gate you are going to be disappointed. Over 90% of mid-season returns to play from TJ surgeries result in an ERA more than 1 point higher than career averages in that first partial season back.
Miken, it’s almost a guarantee that he will not be the same in the first 3-4 months back. There is a better than 90% chance that his ERA will be a full point higher or more.
…and subtract whatever other pitcher gets hurt. The gap to the Dodgers has widened and the Yanks have not responded.
Not if they trade for Skubal. Rotation of Skubal,Cole,Fried,Rondon,Gill would be far better than any rotation in baseball
Not far better. The Dodgers would have Yamamoto, Snell, Sasaki, Ohtani, Ryan.
@sausage
There’s no arm race. The Yanks have choked in the WS the last two years. Health and doing your job is what’s needed. Yanks have the ally to have a very good rotation even if Cole has some rust. A healthy Freid/Rondon/Gil/Warren/Schlittler/Weathers plus what you get from Cole has the potential to be great. Hopefully Bednar and Doval can perform to their abilities and the mix of middle innings guys will be up to snuff. Having starters than can go 6 innings on the regular would help.
He has a MVP. Let’s say he retires at 40, he just needs to average out 3 war a season for 10 years to have a good chance to make it in the Hall of Fame.
The gap with the Dodgers has increased all around baseball, with no simple solution in sight. Now, the Yankees certainly could spend more given their market and I understand the frustrations of Yankees fans under the Hal era.
But the market advantages enjoyed by the Dodgers makes even a NY team anxious.
You forgot Glasnow
Chasefor28nyy:
There are teams with far better farm systems that will be going after Skubal if he’s really available. I.e. the Dodgers and the Mets.
The Yankees are not getting Skubal. Get this silly thought out of your head. The only way they get him or Skenes, or whatever pitcher is the next thing, is through free agency.
sub Schlittler for Gil. It’s even better
Astros
At the moment, don’t you think Glasnow is ahead of Sasaki and Sheehan and Stone are ahead of Ryan?
What about Schlittler?
Yankee George would’ve traded for Skubal. Hal won’t.
The Dodgers aren’t the Yankees direct competition. You have to get past Toronto and the other AL teams first.
Assuming all goes well with the Dodgers season.
Schlittler >> Gil, though
George would have also overpaid for a bunch of mediocre declining free agents. They started their dominant run in the 1990s after he was suspended and couldn’t meddle anymore. Although I agree he would have been trying his best to get Skubal for this year.
I follow the Rays. Hey, they would be better too if they traded for Skubal!
I would be shocked if the Yankees made any other significant moves.
Belli was the star deal. Grisham fills CF for another year with a decent floor. Rosario is the right-handed infield utility with DeJong as the minor league punt for the same role. They are committed to McMahon at 3B and Rice at 1B because they represent efficient options. Caballero and Cabrera (when healthy) also represent utility/bench pieces. Volpe and Wells are (much to Yankees’ fans chagrin) are entrenched at their respective positions for at least another year because of their youth, relative remaining ceiling, and low cost of employment relative to superior replacements.
Weathers is the direct support to the rotation which already features Fried, Schlittler, Gil, and Warren with Blackburn and Yarbrough as minor league support.
The bullpen was addressed at the deadline with Bednar to close and Doval to set up (replacing Willams and Weaver respectively).
The team will still have room to address needs at the deadline if necessary. But they currently (with Belli again in the fold) have arguably the most talented team in the AL which doesn’t need any more immediate additions.
Yarbrough and Blackburn are on the 40-man roster. I don’t think the Yankees are the most talented either.
With the Blue Jays losing Bichette and not signing Tucker and Bregman, they will likely be the 2nd or 3rd best team in the AL east now.
Who is superior to them in the AL? All the talent is in the NL. I’m not a Yankee fan btw.
I was going to come on here and make fun of the premise, but I looked closer and Bellinger’s actually got a shot. Given his inconsistency and already low bat speed, I’d say it’s more of a 1-in-5 shot than a sure thing, but it’s legit. Cody Bellinger could ultimately make the Hall of Fame. Especially if he feasts on the Yankees short porch for 5 more years….
@CarverAndrews
I, for one, am not frustrated as the Yankees have operated above the Cohen tax line. Dipping below to reset the tax would be frustrating.
@Carver
lack of spending “under the Hal era” seems so funny when you consider that they have held the record for largest contract ever when they extended Alex Rodriguez, signed Sabathia, traded for Stanton, signed Cole, resigned Judge, offered Soto $750 million and then signed Freid to what was then the largest contract offered to a SP not named Ohtani. We need to get past that narrative.
@theraven
Ppl said the same thing when Soto was on the market at age 24 coming off a .940, 35 homer season. Yet, they got him for a them middle relief pitcher that was member atop 100 prospect, a young back up catcher and a couple of pitching prospects in Thorpe and Vasquez who were not consensus top 100 guys. Not even sure if either age top 5 organization guys. I’m pretty sure that if Schlittler had not debuted this year a package of Schlittler, Lombard and maybe a Jones/Lagrange/Lewis would’ve been highly thought of. We are way too conditioned in thinking that a prospect not on the top 100 list isn’t a legit prospect. Good scouts don’t rely on lists.
@chucky
Why because he’s too cheap..haha? Crazy. The better question is, should he trade Schlittler for a Boras client on a 1 year deal? You talk about leverage for Boras to bend you over?
@Hammer
THANK YOU!!!! People romanticize Big George like he didn’t cause the great depression of the 80s and really 90s. He wanted to trade Bernie dang it. I love the nig guys lust to win but what did he do to win after 1979?
If the Tigers trade Skubal I think it would be to the Dodgers or Mets. But I still don’t think we trade him. Look at what we received for Justin Verlander. 2 top prospects that never made it and a catcher who’s career BA is under .200. Just keep him and win the AL Central again. Teams over value prospects.
You got Ryan Clifford and Drew Gilbert. Clifford is one of your top prospects and he could for sure make it. Gilbert is well… yeah.
Warren, Gil, Lombard, and Dominguez would be hard to pass up!
slider32:
The point is that is most of your dominant chips to trade. Other teams have a lot more than that to trade.
Yamamoto, Ohtani and Sasaki all will have elbow issues like most Japanese players who don’t hold up to the larger baseballs and shorter rest they are used to. Ohtani is 1 more TJS away from being a DH for rest of his career.
Can you tell me next weeks lotto numbers please?
I have always had a bit of a soft spot for Belli (even when he destroyed my Friars back in the day). The AAV/NTC seems a bit much for current Belli.
@Steve
Considering that his age his $32 mil slides right in between what Alonso and Bregman signed for and far below Bichette and Tucker. Tucker is a better player but certainly not 2x the player.
is Tucker the better player? he’s younger, but peripherals are the same and Belli can play all three outfield plus 1st above average. In my opinion, the defensive aspect makes him more valuable.
@luc
Slightly better and younger but certainly not worth a multiple of what Beli is getting
Luc: I agree with that sentiment. I really like Tucker as a hitter in YS, but imho, Belli at this rate is a better buy than Tucker at his. Now, LAD? The money simply doesn’t matter because they want to win. But, just about every other team, except possibly the Mets, Belli is far and away the better deal.
Maybe it is too much, DiMaggio, but keeping him away from Toronto is well worth the overpay. He’s a great fit with the Bombers, and his swing is perfect for Yankee Stadium.
I agree it’s too much but at least they didn’t cave on the years. Hopefully Cashman has learned a lesson from the long term contracts trying to lower AAV.
at least the season will be little more entertaining now with Bellinger back on the fold. I figured this was gonna happen and it was just negotiating strategy by Boris that they were other teams that were willing to pay more with longer terms.
And besides, we’re not winning anything with Cashman and Boone anyway
@DR
Since when is either pitching or batting cleanup? Did the Yanks lose because Cole, Judge, etc wet the bed or nah? We need to start holding players accountable. This is not a team headed into the playoffs dependent on Chein-Ming Wang or Domingo Germain to lead the way. Judge and others have to do their jobs to. Only things in a little concerned on, ate lack of contingency if Wells is injured or Ryan McMahon who in not a huge fan of either but clearly we were desperate. I truly feel one clear mistake Cashman made was not valuing Caleb Durbin as a possible 3B. I’m cool with going after Williams because it was a logical move that simply didn’t end well but having a glaring need at 3b and not considering Durbin they’re when you knew we lacked depth there and might have to depend on DJ, Cabrera and Peraza for 600 PA was a bad choice. But of the team is good enough to win 95 games in the Rest then they should be good enough to win it all imo.
Belli and Grisham for the price of Tucker.
Price is fine….if Tucker is getting $57M a year, and he will benefit from Yankee Stadium more than most. Opt outs and no-trade are possibly questionable but they could also be moot, If he opts out he would have had amazing year(s) so thats fine for the Yankees.
I disagree, that’s a good deal for him. He brings versatility and pop. Really good player that fit the team. That’s only incrementally more than what was originally said at 155. Cashman did what he had too and don’t forget after year 2 if he opts out that’s money saved then.
@Yankee
Why ppl think Cashman can’t walk and chew gum at the same time is perplexing. I doubt there’s a single FA that the Yanks are serious about that they whiffed on. They may have felt th he eventual price was too crazy, which should always be the case unless you’re talking about the elite of the elite, which there weren’t any in this year’s class.
Knicks – That kinda doesn’t make sense. If “whiffing” isn’t being outbid because you thought the price was too high, then what exactly is “whiffing”?
You make it sound like the Yankees sign free agents all the time despite being outbid, that is simply not the case.
@Fever
If the Yanks wanted Tucker bad enough and offered 4/$300 mil and Boras accepted is that really “winning”? If the Yanks lost Judge to the SF Giants, with the reports being the Giants offer was slightly more money, then that would’ve been a major wiff. Who did they aggressively pursue that they didn’t get? They were never really linked to any other major FA. They likely did their due diligence and when Boras told them the price and that the main competition came from the Dodgers, Mets and Jays them he kept it moving.
Knicks – Market price is defined as what others are willing to pay. If you want something that is one of a kind, you almost never can get it for significantly less than what others are willing to pay.
The Yanks badly wanted Yamamoto, Soto, Seager, Correa, Harper, and Machado to name a few. None of them signed with the Yankees.
@Fever
True market value is defined by consensus and competition across multiple bidders. What the Mets and Blue Jays did was create their own market, one that had little to do with the actual valuation the other 28 teams placed on Tucker. We are in the middle of a weapons war between two billionaire funds management owners who don’t like each other. Cohen lost his bid to buy the Dodgers and this is a pissing contest. Cohen goes hard for one guy each year and then they preach financial restraint with the rest.
Knicks – Not consensus. Look at the escalating top salaries, it’s always based on just one player.
Look at the highest AAV for position players:
Trout $36M signed 2019
Judge $40M signed 2022
Ohtani $46M signed 2023
Soto $51M signed 2024
Tucker $57M signed Jan2026
All it takes is one player to set a precedent, and a new market rate is established.
I did thoroughly enjoy your earlier post on Cohen and Walter, but they are not the only ones involved in raising the market prices. Look at how much the Rangers spent, and I’m not just talking about ARod’s contract in 2000.
Seager $325M in 2021
Semien $175M in 2021
deGrom $185M in 2022
What about the Padres:
Tatis $340M in 2021
Xander $280M in 2022
Machado $350M in 2023
And the Phillies:
Harper $330M
Turner $300M
Nola $172M
Wheeler $126M ($42M AAV)
Every time a superstar becomes a free agent or signs a longterm extension, he will likely break an all-time salary record. You will never see salaries retreat. Skubal will likely set a new record, and Acuna might after 2028.
@Fever
The market isn’t set by a yearly calendar correlation. Top salary isn’t, or shouldn’t be set just because the norm is reach deal must exceed the previous. In the card of Trout, Judge and Ohtani, each was coming of a year when they had an OPS over 1.000+ won the MVP. Also, Trout, Judge, Ohtani and Soto were Uber special because they had several MVP, several +1.000 OPS seasons, dual pitching threats in the case of Ohtani and a very young age in the case of Soto. There really wasn’t anything special about the year Tucker had. He’s getting paid a ridiculous price for good but not elite production. We aren’t talking about a slight overpay and we’re not talking about a huge time lapse. The Dodgers and Mets were in a market of their own. And I promise you, no one that isn’t in that elite level will come close to that any time soon, unless signed by the Mets or Dodgers, or Jays if the owner wants to chime in on this battle.
Clip,
Cashman did good not to cave in to more years. Hopefully the Yankees offseason can get moving, it’s been stopped because of Bellinger. Cody will have another great year, that stadium suits him so congrats on getting him back!
Given what Alonzo, who is subpar defensively, got from the Orioles, it’s maybe a 15% overpay for Bellinger. But the Yankees painted themselves into a corner and Boras kept on pretending that Bellinger deserved seven years.
If this was 6/165, people might not think it was an overpay, and then they’d all forget their positions when the Yankees send him away Arenado-style during year 5.
Yeah, thank God it’s over. Tired of hearing about these negotiations.
Some fans don’t really appreciate the importance of competitive September baseball. Yankees are consistently in competition in September and then fans complain about “early-exit” (which was funny btw) but don’t consider how fortunate it is to be able to stay interested in their team for an entire season and not just Nov-July like the other NY team.
Boycott the Amazin’ Mess next season!
BOOOOOOO STEARNS!!!!!
The thing about exiting early is in a short series, quite literally anything can happen. Slumps vs. Hot streaks vs. A few moves that go right vs. A few that don’t, heck sometimes even just one!
I appreciate and applaud my team that gives me that anxiety lol. Seriously, no complaints here. We tied for the best record in the AL last season, so I can see why Cashman’s plan was mostly to run it back.
As for the Mets, I also applaud them for having a plan. Sure getting rid of fan favorites wasn’t popular, but Stearns is making some interesting moves and you cannot fault them for that Tucker offer. Will it take them over the edge, possibly!
Definitely will be interesting to see what else nothing teams do to improve.
Bellinger is well worth $32.5 million AAV.
His 5.1 WAR last season was worth $50 million.
His 4.0 WAR average the past 3 seasons was worth $40 million per season
His average season was All Star caliber. Last season was better.
Players deserve to be compensated for their level of performance and $40-50 million was what his deserved.
What he said.
Of course, in the middle of the Mets/Bichette presser.
If you can’t be petty then what’s the point?
Worst soap opera ever finally ends. Boras con using Mets exposed as a fraud
Does this mean $162.5M total and $20M is the signing bonus (so $32.5M AAV for his official salary) or is it $162.5M total and an annual AAV of $28.5M?
Signing bonuses count for CBT and AAV.
I think it just means he gets the money upfront.
It is more money upfront, but the reason for doing that is state taxes. Bellinger will pay NY state taxes for every game he plays in NY. Bonuses however count toward the state taxes for where Bellinger resides, which I think is AZ, which has a much lower tax rate than NY. It’s how states with a higher tax rate, like NY and CA, as well as Canada, can get players to sign, without having to offset the tax rate by a higher salary.
The bonus does count toward the CBT. If it didn’t there’d be widespread abuse. Usually bonuses are given to offset state taxes.
Still won’t win to many big swings on that team and no contact hitters
So you’re saying you’d rather have Luis Arraez than Cody Bellinger?
If I’m the Yankees, I’d rather have more contact hitters to surround Judge. They have too much power. Stanton, Grisham, Jazz, Volpe, and Belli are all home run hitters. They have no one who can consistently get on base for Judge or protect him. That’s why they either score a ton or do nothing. The old Yankees never had only power hitters. When they were a dynasty, they were a smart team.
Too much power is NEVER a problem.
Bellinger had the 19th best strikeout percentage in all of baseball last year.
Yankees scored the most runs, had the the best wrc+ and tied for the 2nd best obp. Wth are you even talking about?
Worked reasonably well last year. Trip to WS indicates a good team by any measure.
Yeah, and their defense was terrible, and this year they regressed, just like Philly. Those power guys aren’t all the answers.
The most efficient way to score runs is homers. You need at least 3 singles or walks to score one run. It’s simple math. If you have a live up full of power hitters, all you need is 2 or 3 of them to have a good game to win the game most nights. A team full of contact hitters needs everyone in the lineup clicking to be successful. It’s why players like Luis Arraez are going extinct. They’re not efficient enough to have much value in the modern game.
I prefer scoring more runs over hitting more singles.
holy moly
Darn, he didn’t get the full billion dollars.
So he squeezed out an extra 2.5. but there’s one question. How much is deferred 😉
It says none
$162.5MM is a bit steep. Hopefully he plays well and opts out after year 2 because the back end of this deal is going to be ugly
He’s 29. The full length of the deal ends when he’s 34.
Belli turns 31 in July so he’ll be 36 in the final year. His power has already declined and his athleticism likely will as he ages too. I don’t want to see what a mid 30s Belli looks like with the Yankees
You’re correct. I was looking at the wrong player’s bref page.
His power has declined because he has shorten up his swing in two-strikes counts for the past few seasons.
I believe his hard hit rate has been in decline for several years now. My point was that his declining power at 30 doesn’t bode well for how he’ll look at 35. He will likely slow done and become a worse defender as well. The contract structure makes it seem like the Yankees are encouraging him to opt out after year 2 so hopefully that’s what happens
YankeesBleacherCreature:
His hard hit rate was well below average last season. There is some legitimate concern about his offense going forward.
His hard hit rate is low because he cuts down on his swing with two strikes to avoid striking out. I would much rather have hitters do that then swing from their heels with two strikes in order to maintain a hard hit rate.
That might explain part of the issue but Belli’s power is definitely trending down since his shoulder injury
rmullig2:
That sounds like nonsense to me. What data do you have to back that up? That might impact it somewhat, but that’s not gonna make it as low as it is. He he’s not constantly doing that in every two strike count. And he he’s not always going to be in two strike counts.
@Miken31
There have been numerous past articles on both The Athletic and Fangraphs regarding Belli’s two-strikes contact approach. Parsed data is available on FG. Also watch his hands move up on his bat when he’s at two strikes. He started doing that his last season with the Cubs.
rmull – Rafaela is another player who does that. He hacks away at the first pitch and continues to do it with one strike. However with two strikes he shortens his swing.
It’s not a bad approach, if you have enough discipline to not swing at the first pitch because opponents likely won’t throw you a strike on that first pitch.
YankeesBleacherCreature:
That’s fine, but can that be directly correlated to how poor his hard hit contact rate is? In other words, is the hard hit rate acceptable on other pitches? I don’t know if that can be isolated, but despite a different approach with two strikes, I think the hard rate is still an issue. He’s not the only hitter who chokes up with two strikes. There’s something more going on there. Because it hasn’t been an issue just the past two seasons.
Not really. Springer just put up the best season of his career at 36.
Big Cody fan and I wish him well… but I predict this will not be a good signing for the Yankees.
Bob said what about the opt outs??
Boras magic.
Yankees saw that the White Sox were looking to add to their outfield and got scared.
Genuinely funny
Thank God that’s out the way. Our should’ve been the easiest transaction of the offseason. Now tidy up things with a couple of small signings/trades. Please keep Dominguez in the fold. He had a solid rookie year, Grisham isn’t a certainty for this season nor beyond this season and Stanton, or someone else, will likely get injured this giving him a party to everyday at bats. Keep the pitching. I have faith in Warren and Gil to them into really good pitchers. I’m excited to see what good coaching, good health and perhaps mentoring from Max Freid might do to get the best out of Weathers. Valdez? Maybe a guy like Robertson for mid innings? Let’s go! Blue Jays made a lot of moves but I’m not scared of Cease, Ponce and they’ve lost Bichette. I’m a little concerned about the Ted Sox pitching but they lost Bregman. We can still dominate the East and let’s try to slay Goliath in the world series.
Um, the Yankees are David in this scenario? No. Just no. The Yankees are just a less efficient Goliath. Get back to us after you root for the Rockies or A’s for a year.
@Zippy
Compared to the Dodgers and Mets spending capabilities they are much more of a David than they are a Goliath. #levels2thisShoot
BREGMAN…best baseball player contract manipulator? Got over $40M AAV from Red Sox for history of sub-par defense, who’s only amassed 100 RBI twice.
“Alex Bregman, Who Drew a Jewish Star on His Cap After Oct. 7, Inks $175M Deal With the Cubs”
Uh yeah Yankees are definitely GOLIATH and have always been even before the Dodgers have become the pay-whatever-it-takes to get every top-tier player for their fans who don’t even show up to the game until the 4th inning and leave after the 7th.
Are you saying the Red Sox are David because Bregman’s Jewish? What in the world are you talking about?
@disappoint
I’m leave this one alone.. haha
Bregman is no loss to the Red Sox. Post injury Stats:
.244 average, 7 HR, and 29 RBIs in 258 at-bats.
I like your positive attitude Knicks. It’s 29 against 1 now when it comes to the Dodgers and we should all be rooting each other on.
We did it, gang, we beat the Boras and got our guy. And at the least have him for 2 years before any opt out shenanigans.
Fantastic! Stoked.
Now go get a little bullpen help please.
BEST COMMENT OF THE BUNCH: “beat the Boras”
A win all its own!
Sal this is the second time Cashman made Boras blink recently. It also happened with the Cole “opt out”. Now I’m sure Cole knew he had a problem but I doubt Cashman knew about it.
Has a swing made for the Stadium, as he has proven. Belli Bomb should be a Yankee.
Putz…
That would buy a fair bit of weed…
Yankees had to find a way to get this done.
Now, all they have to do is keep him away from over-exuberant high-fives ….
Going to be another huge battle to win the AL East this year!
Basically, nobody else wanted him enough to lure him away from the Yanks. Those home/road splits scared every other team. So this reunion was very predictable.
That said, Bellinger has shown the ability to take advantage of Yankee Stadium, and real wins will result from that ability.
@Casey
The world seems to assume that the Yanks wall is 100ft. Every other teams is 200 ft. That Beli’s average homer was 101 ft. Research it guys. Stays showed his homers weren’t wall scrapers and would’ve existed about 24 other parks. Correlation isn’t causation.
his xHR rate is lower in 21/29 other parks though and his OPS was almost .200 points higher in Yankee stadium. I think it’s fair to say it’s not like all his power was just barely over the wall, but the home/road splits were still likely a warning flag to some degree for other clubs
Great Yankees great! Bellinger, you finally saw sense!
Now go trade Dominguez/Jones,Schlittler,and another high prospect or two for Skubal off-season would be perfect. Don’t let the Dodgers trade for him.
@chase
Cashman would never make the mistake of using a package like that for 1 year of an elite market setting Boras client.
This was probably one of the most expected moves of free agency. Know the most of the top FA’s are off the board, we are accelerating. The Yankees become so much better and Bellinger became even richer. Good for the Yankees, they have a better chance with Bellinger.
This was always the deal he deserved. He earned this deal- no more, no less. It’s a fair total, it’s a fair AAV, I think those opt outs are concessions for his ego and deep down he’s gotta know he is not going to beat this deal or at best, if the first three years go really well, the Yankees might tack on 1 year/$35.5M or something.
Fair? Think about your job and consider that word you just used…”FAIR”… Let’s say you are an ultra-performer at your company and they reward you with a $100K guaranteed salary for 5 years at the company. Then a few years later all these people who do less work than you and call in sick more than you do get guaranteed salaries for $130k-$150k per year. The inflation in baseball is off the charts!!
162.5 m for a dude w a 105 wRC+ the last 5 years and a 112 ops+ zips projection
Yiiiiiiiiiikes
Can anybody even explain how to calculate ops+ zips or even what the average is? These useless stats nowadays are just as pointless as the number below the words “SPEED LIMIT” in Florida.
And the inevitable becomes inevitable
Yankees had zero negotiating leverage. They didn’t get any other big free agent hitters.
The good old days of the Yankees buying all the most expensive free agents are dead. Just like Yankee George.
I knew this was gonna happen when the Mets traded for Luis Robert Jr.
The writing was on the wall
$30 million a year is the new $15 million a year when it comes to MLB salaries. Some owners who can’t afford to build out a whole resort/hotel/retail/real estate development to support their business cash flow will have to sell or remain permanently non-competitive. The team should no longer be considered the prized asset but rather one of the pieces of a massive business, entertainment, retail complex. I wish a gambling casino would not a key piece of the business enterprise because so many people lose their money but I’m sure many such complexes will include casinos and not just condominiums, townhouses, luxury, apartments, conference centers, retail malls,, dining.
I think it was likely the Mess traded for 110-game maximum Luis because they knew Bellinger was making the correct decision.
disappointmets:
What makes the Yankees the correct decision?
Yesssssss! The beginning of a good offseason. Now let’s make some more moves.
What other moves? The offseason is practically over, unless you want framber, giolito, gallen, or Eugenio
Sensible deal. Yanks still have a good floor offensively with Judge, Stanton (if healthy), Jazz, Belli, and Rice. Curious to see if Wells, Volpe, and Jasson can take steps forward. McMahon provides the defensive value at 3B as does Grish in CF.
Dominguez and Spencer Jones are the big question marks in terms of still having ceilings you can dream on. And the rotation has great depth especially when Cole, Rodon, and Schmidt return, so the team is still in good (but not perfect) shape.
Our long national nightmare has come to an end….
“there’s a $20MM signing bonus and full no-trade clause. Bellinger gets $32.5MM in each of the first two seasons,”
Im not sure which way this reads:
Is the total value $42.5M per season or $32.5M per season?
Signing bonuses are included in the total contact, they just structure it this way so players get paid if there is a lockout or other reasons (current value vs future value?). There are lots of shenanigans with regards to this but this one is pretty normal.
Im not sure what you mean.
If Bellinger puts every dollar from the deal in his mattress and walks away from the deal after 2027, is there $65M or $85M in the mattress? Im not to be pedantic, I asked the first question poorly.
I’d really like to know honestly who else was ramping up their bidding for this guy. There might’ve been some other teams in somewhat but I seriously doubt it was this kind of money coming from other teams. Yankees sometimes bid against themselves.
Jays need a bat (none left now), Mets possibly pre-Luis Roberts trade. Thats about it.
what might have happened is that Boras read the market, realized he wasn’t getting more than 5, took what was on the table with a little sweetener, and Cashman didn;t want to backtrack on what he previously discussed
Yanks won the game of chicken. Belli’s home-road splits always had him going back to the Bronx….
Jerry I knew the Yankees were gonna re-sign him. I have no proof but I don’t think there was much of a market outside of the Yankees for this guy. I think there was a small market but not much at all. I don’t think anybody offered him anywhere near the kind of money the Yankees did. Sometimes it seems like the Yankees bid against themselves. This guy is too inconsistent. I know what he did last year but five years seems like a lot. I don’t know.
Kudos to the Yankees for not being bullied by Boras. Market was never at 7 for Belli. Mets trade made this happen.
Truly a blessing in disguise for Bellinger. Signing with the Mess would have been a terrible regret.
Good for Belli and the Yanks. Not sure I understand the negativity on bringing back the same guys when they were the best offense in baseball.
There’s usually some hostility to Boras-reppped players, and he’s getting a lot of money and more years than his potential performance probably merits. The contract does have the possibility of going DJM way.
Absolutely. You’ll always have to spend more than what market value indicates to get the top free agents though. I don’t see him falling off a cliff like DJM when you factor in his defense but certainly in the realm of possibilities.
Half of his 30war comes from 3 good years. Don’t over think it people, of his career war projection
Mets made a mistake trading for Robert instead of this guy.
but their the Mets- its a Mets thing!
Bo was the mistake as was Polanco, Bellinger would have filled a need at possibly 2 positions.
Amazing that you guys aren’t working in front offices in the league.
I like the player, concerned at his volatile career, we may be in for a down season. Thing i do not like is that it blocks Jasson and Jones.
Is Andruw Jones making a comeback? haha I don’t think he’d be eligible for the HoF then…
Won’t block the Martian. Will mean Spencer Jones has to play every day at Triple-A Scranton with orders to cut down on his strikeouts.
@Yanks
It gives the Yanks depth. Based on his glaring flaw there’s no need to rush Jones. He can use another year at AAA and make him earn a call up. Yanks need depth. With Stanton’s health, at bats could easily open up. It also protects injuries to Grisham, Judge, Rice and Wells. Rice gets hurt they can slide Beli to 1B. Wells gets hurt they can slide Rice to catcher and Beli to 1b. If Grisham isn’t the real deal they can slide Beli to CF or use Dominguez there. If Dominguez has a other solid year and Grisham walks in FA then he inherits the position. Dominguez is only 22. No need to trade him.
BuT tHe DoDgErS aRe RuInInG bAsEbAlL!!!!
You’re telling someone got signed and Passan and the collective baseball world is not blaming us for the signing taking so long to happen, for structure of his contract, and yada yada yada?!??!
Crazy….
TOLD YA SO! Bellinger made the best Bellinger move for Bellinger the human, not necessarily Bellinger the bank account and agent commissions. He must have read my posts…smart man. All you posters take note haha. Maybe I should become a sports agent…hmm…
Signing with the Amazin’ Mess would have been a horrible regret. I could see it with my future-predicting-mind’s-eye. Now he likely won’t have to become a member of the 2026 Stearns-started support group for Rich Victims of Booing.
Sir please , enhance your calm
The worst thing in baseball isn’t the Dodgers. It’s opt outs. It gives the players too much power
It is funny
Hey, if I stink next year I’ll take your millions
If I’m remotely decent I’ll leave you and see what better offer I can get
The worst thing in baseball isn’t the Dodgers or opt outs.
It’s ownerships who don’t prioritize Championships.
Market value is market value. Without the opt outs, the contracts would have to be for more dollars.
Baseball ownership is paying a smaller percentage of its revenues to the talent than any other professional league. And that is a strong trend. The owners have too much power relative to the players in Major League Baseball.
BB
“Market value is market value. Without the opt outs, the contracts would have to be for more dollars.”
At least one [redacted] person on this site, gets it
Happy to have him back and also happy to see they didn’t go beyond the 5 years.
I think we still need another RH bat off the bench to pair with Rosario when dealing with a tough lefty. Rosario platoons with McMahon but we don’t really have anyone to platoon with Grisham or Domínguez. Bellinger actually hit well against LHP last year, but having a RH OF on the bench can’t hurt. Honestly, the team is so lefty heavy, tough lefties may prove to be a pain.
Another 1-2 bullpen pieces would be nice too. I think they go into the season with the current rotation and rely on Weathers, Warren and Yarbrough to round out the rotation until Rodon and Cole are back. Probably have those 3 plus Gil fighting for the 3 spots after Fried and Schlittler.
well that’s 10 free agents picked correctly. Might not be tops, but it’s my personal best
This is a great fit for both sides. As a Mets fan it would have been nice but Bellinger is where he needs to be.
talking HofF for Belli???? Remember how sport writers were talking about kris Bryant HofF trojectory after only 2+ years in the league?? How did that play out??
Won’t age well. This is an overpay.
So name a high profile player signing for a contract that isn’t an overpay over the last 3-5 years……he’s 31 and if he stays will be 36….not exactly the old age home and he may still provide better than average offense/defense…..
The future holds increased ticket prices, higher MLB.TV sub cost, and insane money shelled out at stadiums for disgusting cold food. Just drink beer and go to 1 game a year now. Then the following season will be another fan-diminishing player vs. ownership public battle. They were on to something good with speeding up the game, but it’s about to come crashing down.
Alas!
Wow! Huge overpay by the Yankees. I say that as a big fan of Bellinger. I may hate the Yankees but I am happy to admit when they make a good signing. Bellinger getting more than Alonso is just the Yankees admitting they had no other options.
Good for Belly.
And if they chose not to re-sign him and offered a substantially lower AAV and years contract, exactly who could have been had otherwise……or do you put all your chips in the middle and hope Jones/Martian is the answer in left…and hope that Rice doesn’t get hurt at 1st…..his signing gives Judge DH days, plays the corners at GG levels, can play Center and 1B at better than league average,…that’s called versatility…..
I generally try not to add bad contracts when ownership has a budget. The George spending days appear to be over.
I think this winds up hamstringing the Yankees before their next win, which is unlikely to be in the next 5 years.
Huge over pay??? Lmfao!!! Look no further than Bichette, Tucker, Bregman deals are all albatross
Anthony maresca:
Except some of those that you’re citing are short-term contracts or contracts with opt outs. Long-term contracts tend to be the albatross i.e. the one Bellinger just signed.
You’re not wrong at all. I slam them all. Crazy AAVs but the 5 year term for a guy who was dfa just a few years ago as useless carries even more risk.
Belli is almost a year younger than Alonso and is more defensively versatile. He also has put up more WAR over the past 3 years than Alonso. Those are probably the leading reasons he got a little more. Alonso is a consistent power hitter that is locked at 1B/DH. No idea who will have the best ROI, but it seems Belli’s defensive versatility, strong defensive grades in the corners and some speed on the bases, while still producing decent power and on-base, gave him a little more value.
Fair assessment based on the current market. Just hard to not laugh at a deal like this for a guy who was dfa just a few short years ago. Alonso was never that guy.
Let’s get Saurez to play 3rd. I know his glove isn’t great but he’d be a big bat in the lineup
The Yankees already have a capable 3B in McDonough.
@chuck
Who?
$162.5M/5 years. Lop off the extra half million and that’s a clean 200K per game, 162 games per season, over 5 seasons. Not bad work if you can get it.
The amount of money some of these players are getting is ridiculous.
Owners*
Once Robert was traded to the Mets, the writing was on the wall that no one was going to give Bellinger 7 years or beat the Yankees’ offer.
I was still worried that the Jays were crazy enough to go to 7 years.
The good news is the Yankees have some young potential. If Schlittler, Gil, Rice and Dominquez show improvement they are better off than last year. Schlittler is really the key because it could give the Yankees two excellent starters at the top of the rotation. Rodon is back to his now you see me and now you don’t health. The question is will Cole be more like Bradish last year in his return from surgery or like Stryder.
The bad news is team defense is still a big question mark and the division as a hole improved across the board. .
I don’t agree with you regarding defense. All of the starters are above-average defensively with the exception of SS, 1B, and LF. Caballero can also play well all over.
“improved” on paper….nobody ever was given the WS trophy based on paper best lineups….that’s why you play 162 plus playoffs…and frankly, more often than not, the best teams on paper don’t win it all…..
Bullpens change year to year and the Yankees have a bunch of minor league arms they can call up and groom.
Also, you speak as if lineups of other foes like the Jays for example will perform exactly the same this year as last year when they got career years out of players like Clement and Barger….and they also have been actively trying to get another closer they feel so good about their bullpen….
My point is that;s why you play the games instead of anointing the WS trophy based on paper of past performance….The Yankees have as good a chance at achieving their past years performance as any team in the East….
The Yanks are ruining baseball!!
I’m just glad that it’s the Yankees and not my team that signed him. Given his suitability to the stadium, this makes complete sense.
You would’ve been just fine had the Dodgers signed both Tucker and Belli 🙂
Not me YBC. The Dodgers will get four of Tucker’s best years. They got three of Belli’s best years: 8, 7 and 6 years ago! Belli’s next five do not look like something I’d want to pay for. In two years, one of DePaula, Quintero, Sirota will be outperforming Belli at a fraction of the cost.
Not mad at this signing, I like Belli. But theyre essentially trotting out the same squad and hoping something changes, despite everyone in the AL East making significant additions. This is pretty much wraps on the Yankees offseason if i’d have to guess
@begamin you’re not entirely wrong. I wish Boras didn’t drag it out so much and maybe if Cash didn’t have to focus so much on getting Beli done, they could have gotten at least one of Cabrera or Peralta. I won’t be shocked if they get Donovan or Gore but I don’t think those are big enough to move the needle that much
I like the guy and he’s definitely valuable and versatile.
That said, this seems like a definite overpay for somewhat inconsistent production.
He was lucky to get five in my opinion. The whole talk of seven was nuts and Bora$ trying to get them to bid against themselves again.
The most drawn out will they won’t they flirtations I’ve seen since castle
This is the son of Clay Bellinger, former Yankees outfielder.
Overpay
We’re getting the band back together.
Toronto wasn’t interested apparently.
Toronto is trying to sustain winning. This is a desperation move not a winning move.
Toronto would need am offense player for the infield not an OF we have plenty.
I think Toronto is good to go TBH. They were inches away from winning it all last year and they added some nice pieces. And they still have some attractive trade chips at the deadline to add more. The AL east is Toronto’s division for the foreseeable future without some significant changes to the other teams in the division or some cliff like collapses to Torontos young core.
I disagree we lost our top rbi guy and best contact hitter in Bo.
You’re assuming that the guys who contributed career years like Clement and Barger are going to put up similar numbers for this coming season which is yet to be seen….and they[‘ve been bullpen hunting for a close which shows how confident they are about the back end of their bullpen….and they lost Biggio…funny how everyone assumes certain teams that haven’t proved consistency in making the playoffs year after year, except for the Yankees , are touted as WS for sure…….you’re forgetting about the RedSox, and the Rays, with the O’s not far behind with a different HC….the East will always be up for grabs by who plays best…..Jays aren’t a lock for anything …sorry to burst your bubble….
Burst my bubble? I said the Jay’s are in trouble bc they let Bo go.
I was replying to Yanks4life not you…
Oh OK my bad
Probably the most anticlimactic signing of the offseason
Was only a matter of time
Basically a 2 year $85 million contract. Such an overpay. And if he doesn’t opt out it means he’s cooked and they are on the hook for the rest of the contract with a non-contributing player. So bad. So so bad. Freaking Cashman you boomer retire already.
Cashman has more baseball smarts than Stearns.
Lots of bitter Mets fans chiming in because they got Luis Roberts, Jr. instead.
YankeesBleacherCreature:
I’m a Mets fan and I’m not bitter. I wanted nothing to do with Bellinger. His home road splits were so extreme last year, I felt like he was going to be a bust if he signed with the Mets. And his hard hit rate is bad and luckily to get worse. I wanted nothing to do with Bellinger on a long-term contract.
Ya. I totally agree. Anytime a free agent is signed it’s ruining baseball. Players should play for free and teams should field a team of only players they drafted.
Cody did well, that ballpark is ideal for his swing. Boras held out and squeezed every penny he could for his client.
Overall, it’s a bit anti-climactic, I think most of us had him going back to the Yanks for around what he signed for.
I like Robert at $20 million with a team option at $20 for year two better than this deal. Robert was disappointing the last two seasons, only 1.4 bWAR each year. Bellinger was -1.6 bWAR in 2021, 1.3 bWAR in 2022 and 2.2 bWAR in 2024. Coming off last season, not to mention his long ago MVP year, one has to say Bellinger is the better player. But given the difference in cost and the real chance that over the next two seasons, much less the next five, Robert will be as valuable as Bellinger, I like the Mets’ deal better.
Bronz, your math and reasoning aren’t going to convince many….Robert is an overhyped injury prone maybe with a very sketchy resume as compared to Belli…..and his offense isn’t comparable as is his overhyped center field defense too….Belli will give you GG corner defense and well above average 1st base also…..not even comparable regardless of the cost difference….if there’s anybody overpaid, it’s Roberts. Mets contract.
Luis Robert is brittle if he’s not loafing. Why do you think the White Sox finally unloaded him after 2 years of trying?
It’ll be hilarious if he puts up 2020-2022 type stats for the whole contract.
as a NYY fan I’m ho-hum with this, they’d be worse w/o him, not much better with him, so there you go
@mengis
With him the Yanks had the most productive offensive OF in baseball.
that’s pretty funny, gotta hand it to you there
Gives me 12 right on the contest board. Best I’ve ever done on this site. Ha
Thank god we don’t have to see stupid Yankees / Redsox every Sunday on ESPN!
yeah, always thought the rivalry got way too much hype. Just 2 cities who think alike
Just curious what MLB rivalry would you put above NYY/BOS?
Dodgers/Giants is the only one close
you pick, doesn’t matter to me.
ESPN no longer has Sunday Night Baseball — NBC picked it up in the TV contracts that start this spring — and the first Yankees-Red Sox series this year is a midweek set at Fenway in late April.
Happy for Belli, good player, good man
Well. Hell.
So, 2yr/87M contract, 43.5M avg, and then he can either opt out if he does well, or if injured or sucking he can stay for a good chunk of money. Just don’t see him worth this amount of money. But, the Yankees do and that’s all that matters.
All this time to bid against themselves and now they go Belli up.
@why
but they didn’t bid against themselves.
No one else was going to sign him.
Not for that.
Overpay, but likely less so if he’s good and opts out. Basically, he’s near matching the deals for 26 and 27 with Bichette, and then we will see. Almost $26 Million a year for years 3-5 may not be enough for him–and that might actually help the Yankees, who, at some point, are going to want to get below the final penalty rate
42.5 MM per year including the signing bonus, and then he opts out, right?
This was the biggest “no duh “ signing of the year. Who didn’t expect it!
This wasn’t really on my bingo card unless “Cody Bellinger signs on January 21”counts?
Overpay
Hopefully he doesn’t celebrate his contract too hard.
Scott Boras was seeing Bellingers suitors fading away & was forced to accept whatever the Yankees were offering.
We know that Boras didn’t get the Contract he really wanted for Bellinger & for his own wallet
I know most people on here “knew” this was going to happen. I was holding out hope for the Mets to make a deal. Too bad for the Mets but yay Yankees!
“Bellinger can opt out after the second or third season, though those opt-outs are pushed by a year if the 2027 season is canceled by a lockout.” Are there other contracts that include lockout language?
Boras blinked.
He’ll never admit it, but he blinked!
What I don’t like about this deal for the Yankees is Bellinger has had a lot of peaks and valleys in his career. Maybe it’s a good gamble and maybe a bit of a bargain betting on his prime years being a lot more peaks but when you give him an opt out after years two and three he can essentially make it a two year deal and if he flops he can make it a five year deal. To me seems like if you take on the risks with Bellinger the payoff needs to reflect that risk
D expensive and better ways to spend $ but a perfect fit for them.
👏🏻 MLB
Broken joke.
Its about time! Now the yankees offense is back and plenty capable. I can see a trade with potentially 3 roster guys McMahon, Dominguez or JC escarra for a Right handed AAAA catcher to be a back up or for a pitcher. McMahon would be a salary dump and the yankees would use cabrera and Rosario for 3b. escarra would be a casualty of being to left hand heavy for a line up as they could use a righty bench bat. Spencer Jones becomes the 4th OF. Dominguez is traded to get more pitching along with prospects or for a reliever.
But with offense set and the yankees picking up weathers, cade winquest and resigning yarborough. And getting a fresh start from Jake bird or yerry de Los santos And getting cole back the team is slightly improved. 95wins..
The Red Sox went wheeling and dealing to put themselves into the picture. Yankees aren’t a wheeler-dealer ballclub.
Predicting this guy will not opt out because by the 3rd year of the deal it will seem like they signed Jacoby Ellsbury all over again.
Same old Yankees. Or, I guess, the second coming of the 2025 Yankees.
The Cubs chances of a reunion go Up In Smoke. Was predicting a 4/20 deal so this is good for the Belli csmp. Lively up Yourself.
Not even close to worth it. it will be great when this sport pays people not for what they have done, but for what they will do. Also, F all new york and california teams
Who hurt you
And Cashman once again gave up all leverage in the deal. Foolish to provide a no-trade clause as it was unnecessary to get Bellinger to sign as he will get no better contract offers anywhere else. Foolish to give opt-outs as it gives all the leverage to Bellinger. Once again Cashman being the fool. Now, stuck with Bellinger for five years as his decline continues. Bellinger needed NYY far more than NYY needed Bellinger.
Ran the exact same team back but older and for more money. We’re winning 88 games and getting a 2nd wild card spot. ALDS elimination. We’ll see what happens in ’27. Go Yanks but I wish there was a better, more aggressive plan this off-season.
There’s still time to make a splash or two. Give it a few weeks.
One of the more interesting former ROY, former MVP, awful for couple years, return to success with some low MVP votes players of the past decade.
wow, huge overpay
Yanks won 94 last year, and this team is better with the additions of Cole, McMahon, Cabby, Bednar, and Doval.
Yay.
No one else wanted him for that price.
Yanks outbid themselves for this guy.
Wasn’t Gore already traded to the Rangers? Is he going to get traded again?
Go figure Bellingers resigning article was posted at 4:20 PM
The signing was made official today that’s why.
Am I the only one that is REALLY disheartened to see language included in the contract regarding a cancelled 2027 season? It’s one thing for fans to speculate, but to actually see it included in legal documents is so much worse.
Why? Mlb salaries are wayyyyyy out of hand. $60 million avv for Tucker who is not even a top 15 player in mlb!!! Bichette $42 million???? Mlb needs a salary cap and I honestly believe the owners will stay united to finally succeed. At a minimum they need a floor of at least $100 million to make sure owners are reinvesting in their clubs to compete, eliminate the tax free deferrals and tax the entire total dollars towards luxury tax and most importantly a much harsher luxury tax penalty for repeated offenders such as 150% tax, lost of draft picks in first 3 rounds for repeated offender plus install an international draft based on worst to best records for all players outside of US so Japanese players don’t keep going to Dodgers only cause of warmer weather and demographics. The salary cap restrictions would not apply if the player resigns with their own club for any unlimited dollar amount.
I know there are disagreements, but I don’t really care. I have no sympathy for any of them. I just want to watch baseball, not solve everyone’s financial “problems.” If people making millions cannot figure out how to fairly divide the mountains of money involved in the sport, don’t take it out on the fans that just want to watch sports and forget about their own REAL problems for a few hours.
None of that you’ve proposed is going to result in the changes you want to see. What does a $100M floor solve? That’s just raising the minimum wage of players for teams milking revenue-sharing.
The real dilemma isn’t just big market teams vs small market teams. It’s teams owned by owners of huge financial investment firms like the Guggenheim Partners that own the Dodgers and Lakers and 72Point that owns the Mets vs all other teams that drive the majority of their income from the teams revenue. Yanks owner is worth about 3 billion compared to the owners of Dodgers (12 billion) and Mets (23 billion). The financial firms they own handle tens to hundreds of billions of dollars. They can offer Framber Valdez 4/$200 million with a ton of it deferred 10 years out and not blink an eye. All they have to is borrow the funds from their firms and transfer it to the team and funds the escrow account and then use the funds to invest it for profit which is weeks at they already do. It’s almost like money laundering. The real solution is to limit team owners from using funds not derived from baseball revenue.
MLB has Debt Service Rules which limits how much a team can borrow relative to its earnings (EBITDA). Both Dodgers and Mets are forbidden from over-leveraging their respective franchises and risking future bankruptcy.
The Dodgers make around $1B in revenue so let’s not make excuses for the Hal who owns the team with the highest valuation. Because he doesn’t own a PE firm doesn’t mean he doesn’t have other lucrative income streams.
This is a win win for Yankees cause rest assured they will let Bellinger walk after 2027 season or 2028 if lockout cancels 2027 season rather then trying deal with an aging player on wrong side of 32-33 yrs old trying to secure another higher avv short term deal or worst 5 yrs regardless how well Bellinger does. Yankees will have a 2028 payroll of approximately $170 million and reset the luxury tax clock then another $70 million from Cole, Rodon and Gil all off the books to build a very good ballclub to start 2029 with only about $100 million in obligations on the books with lots of young talent already in the lineup and rotation. Frugal Hal going the Marlins and Rays route to keep payroll low.
Why would he walk?
If he is a 4-5 WAR player in 27 he will walk. First 2 years he is paid $82M. If he has a decent year in 27 he can do better than the last 3 years on this contract.
Yes. Thanks . under those circumstances I can see that.
Lollipops.
Kindergartners are coming!
$85M/2 and $77.5M/3. Slightly pricey, but not unreasonable.
How do signing bonuses effect the luxury taxes?
It’s divided evenly through the five years he’s signed for even though he gets a lump sum “bonus” upfront.
Thank you!
Pittsburgh, Chisox, Baltimore and maybe the Cubs.
Now that the Minnesota Twins have traded away 2B Edouard Julien and pitcher Pierson Ohl for a low A level pitcher, there is NO REASON why the Minnesota Twins do not resign Luis Arreaz on a two year $18 million contract. Signing Arraez would vastly improve the Twins and let them compete for a title at BARGAIN rates.
Now that the Minnesota Twins have traded away 2B Edouard Julien and pitcher Pierson Ohl for a low A level pitcher, there is NO REASON why the Minnesota Twins do not resign Luis Arreaz on a two year $18 million contract. Signing Arraez would vastly improve the Twins and let them compete for a title at BARGAIN rates.