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Offseason Outlook: San Francisco Giants

By Anthony Franco | October 24, 2025 at 7:00pm CDT

The first year of Buster Posey's front office tenure saw the Giants add a pair of stars. The end result was the same league average record that defined the Farhan Zaidi era. That spurred a bold change in the dugout. The Giants fired three-time Manager of the Year Bob Melvin while turning to the college ranks with a splash hire of former University of Tennessee head coach Tony Vitello.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Rafael Devers, DH: $238.5MM through 2033
  • Willy Adames, SS: $150MM through 2031
  • Matt Chapman, 3B: $125MM through 2030
  • Jung Hoo Lee, CF: $85MM through 2029 (can opt out after '27)
  • Logan Webb, RHP: $70MM through 2028
  • Robbie Ray, LHP: $25MM through 2026

Option Decisions

  • Team holds $4MM option on C Tom Murphy ($250K buyout)

2026 guaranteed contracts: $132.75MM
Total future commitments: $693.75MM through 2033

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • JT Brubaker (5.162): $2.1MM
  • Andrew Knizner (5.090): $1.3MM
  • Joey Lucchesi (5.047): $2MM
  • Ryan Walker (2.136): $2.5MM
  • Patrick Bailey (2.136): $2.2MM

Non-tender candidates: Brubaker, Knizner, Lucchesi

Free Agents

  • Justin Verlander, Wilmer Flores, Dominic Smith, Tom Murphy

After a few years of coming up empty on star pursuits, the Giants landed two impact hitters within the first nine months of Buster Posey's tenure atop baseball operations. They signed Willy Adames to a seven-year, $182MM free agent deal that represented the largest in franchise history. They made an even bigger commitment when they pulled off the Rafael Devers blockbuster in June. The Giants took on more than $240MM on Devers' contract over eight and a half seasons.

While the moves added much needed star talent to the San Francisco lineup, they didn't push the team to a playoff berth. On the heels of another .500 finish, they're now emphasizing a deeper pitching staff. "I think our focus is going to be on pitching, to try to fortify our starting staff. The same goes with the bullpen," Posey told Alex Pavlovic and Laura Britt of NBC Sports Bay Area. "I believe that pitching and defense wins, so that's where we'll probably start looking this offseason when free agency does happen."

That won't happen for another week or two, but the Giants didn't waste any time making significant changes. They fired manager Bob Melvin the day after the end of the regular season. A few weeks later, they zeroed in on Tony Vitello as their hire. There isn't any precedent for a top-tier college baseball coach jumping directly into MLB managing without any coaching or front office experience in pro ball.

There have been a few instances of teams poaching college pitching coaches. There are also examples of the "college to professional head coach" move in the NFL, NHL and NBA. Vitello will be the first test case in Major League Baseball. It remains to be seen how much of Melvin's staff will be retained. Bench coach Ryan Christenson and third base coach Matt Williams were out as soon as Melvin was dismissed.

The front office's focus now turns to the roster. They should have a good amount of payroll space with which to work. They have $132.75MM in guaranteed commitments for six highly-priced players. It's one of the game's lightest arbitration classes, though, with MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz projecting the group for a little over $10MM. Non-tenders of JT Brubaker, Joey Lucchesi and Andrew Knizner would drop that below $5MM, as Patrick Bailey and Ryan Walker are their only two locks to be offered contracts.

That'd put their Opening Day payroll projection in the $150-155MM range if they filled the rest of the roster with minimum salaried players. RosterResource estimates their luxury tax number around $174MM, which is $70MM below the base threshold. The Giants ducked the luxury tax this year but had exceeded the threshold as recently as 2024. Even if they're not willing to go all the way to $244MM, they should be able to make multiple notable additions.

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Front Office Originals San Francisco Giants

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View Comments (13)
Post a Comment

13 Comments

  1. Brew88

    3 hours ago

    They sure are talented on paper.

    Reply
    • oldgfan

      3 hours ago

      Ya, but need it on grass too.
      Personally I think things are looking up.

      Reply
  2. Redwolves3

    3 hours ago

    Posey shocked MLB hiring Vitello. Now he can focus on giving Vitello quality SP-RP-offensive bats this offseason via FA and/or trades

    1
    Reply
    • oldgfan

      2 hours ago

      If we’re greedy… A RH Starter, A LH Starter, A Closer.
      On the other side… Power Bat OF, 2B, and Backup Catcher will do.
      Go Buster !

      1
      Reply
      • Redwolves3

        1 hour ago

        This offseason is def time for Posey to get greedy & let LA Deferrals, Padres & Diamondbacks know there’s going to be a different Giants team in 2026

        Posey’s already shown next year won’t be status quo – especially hiring Vitello

        1
        Reply
  3. mikenedy

    2 hours ago

    To make any noise in the division they have to land a damn good #2/#3 (Peralta=Woodruff=Ryan) starter and add some experienced bullpen arms. They need to get a real leadoff hitter (more speed). and a 30/30 guy would be ideal. They need to improve their defense. They have some guys they could move in trades and they probably won’t spend lavishly in free agency so trades will have to be one of the ways they improve.

    Reply
  4. AndyWarpath

    2 hours ago

    Would love to see a trade for Steven Kwan. Thinking a Davidson/McDonald/Velasquez/Matos package might be a fair price to pay. On the pitching side, I like Brandon Woodruff, Zac Gallen, Ryan Helsley, and Devin Williams on short term deals to help re establish their value.

    Reply
    • oldgfan

      1 hour ago

      No on Bo Davidson !
      He’s a keeper.

      Reply
    • TigersLoveCinnamon

      36 mins ago

      That’s a joke of a trade right?

      Reply
  5. foppert3

    35 mins ago

    It’s all a bit scary. Need multiple pitchers of all descriptions. The dynamic duo have so much work to do.

    Reply
    • oldgfan

      30 mins ago

      I’m optimistic about it.
      A Dodger spanking always helps….
      I really don’t think SFG is too far away from serious contention for years to come with a few tweaks here and there. I have faith in Buster really wanting that as well.

      Reply
  6. TigersLoveCinnamon

    28 mins ago

    Honestly they should trade Ramos if he even has any value left, dude is completely lost in the field. Find a cf’er, move lee to right, bring back rogers(and another top pen arm), scherzer is probably coming after the manager hire. Sign a decent 3, but give McDonald a chance at #5 to prove the end of the year wasn’t a fluke

    Reply
    • oldgfan

      1 min ago

      Not to hip on Scherzer. Seems like another Verlander gamble. Agree on Rodgers. Miller might be closer material, so pen is not the worst problem. Gallen or Valdez would be nice. Ramos might still have some value with youth and hard hit rate. I think Bo Davidson takes his job pretty soon anyway. Agree on McDonald too. I’m really hoping the “fluke” was the post all star break collapse.

      Reply

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