As Spring Training gets underway, players on the roster bubble all around the league are vying for the handful of vacant spots on their clubs’ respective depth charts. In most cases, the players who find themselves in that situation are either up-and-coming youngsters or veterans on minor league deals trying to play their way back into the majors. It’s a lot less common to find a veteran player on a significant contract who could be in danger of losing his roster spot entering camp, but that’s the exact situation Red Sox DH Masataka Yoshida could find himself in this spring.
Yoshida, 32, has two years and $36MM remaining on the contract he signed with Boston when coming over to MLB from Japan. Despite that big investment the Red Sox made in Yoshida, however, things haven’t gone especially well. After a rookie season where he graded out as an exceptionally weak left fielder defensively while posting a 111 wRC+, Yoshida was used in a pure DH role for 2024 as he played through a shoulder injury that hampered his ability to throw. His wRC+ ticked up slightly to 116 that year, though he made it into just 108 games. His role shrunk further in 2025, as he spent most of the season on the injured list and was used only sparingly even upon his return to action. He appeared in just 55 games overall and was far less productive than he had been in the past, slashing just .266/.307/.388 (88 wRC+) in 205 trips to the plate.
One down season where Yoshida played just a third of the campaign wouldn’t normally be cause to cut a player, especially one making that much money. The Red Sox find themselves in a bit of a bind in terms of roster-building headed into the year, however. Despite years of speculation, Boston has declined so far to trade one of Jarren Duran or Wilyer Abreu, leaving them both in the everyday lineup alongside Ceddanne Rafaela and Roman Anthony. Rafaela is a capable defender on the infield, but would be wasted on the dirt given his status as one of the top defensive center fielders in the sport. That leaves Duran, Abreu, and Anthony to handle the two outfield corners, and the logical choice rather than benching one of the team’s best bats is to simply play whoever isn’t on the grass that day at DH.
That leaves Yoshida without a clear way to force his way into the lineup. It’s unclear if the 5’8” Yoshida would be able to handle first base even if called upon to do so, and he has no experience at the position to speak of. Even if he could, Willson Contreras figures to get everyday reps after being acquired from the Cardinals this offseason. Even if an injury occurred in the outfield, it’s unclear if Yoshida would be the team’s first choice to fill the gap. Triston Casas may not be ready to return from injury to start the year, but figures to be back at some point in the first half and at the very least could be a more credible back up to Contreras at first base than Yoshida. Kristian Campbell struggled in his first year as a big leaguer, but the Red Sox reportedly plan to use him primarily in the outfield.
Yoshida has been in trade rumors for a while but remains on the roster. It’s not hard to see him having a larger role on another roster, as even with his lackluster defense he remains a career 109 wRC+ hitter who has struck out in just 13.0% of his big league at-bats. He can be productive at the plate with a very high-contact approach which could be very valuable to teams with swing and miss concerns or a preference for contact hitters, though the contract remains an obstacle.
The question, then, becomes whether the Red Sox would be willing to cut loose a player who figures to be productive if given an opportunity because that opportunity doesn’t exist with the club as presently constructed. It’s hard to see Yoshida as the best use of one of the team’s limited bench spots. Connor Wong (or another backup catcher) figures to take one spot, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa was brought in to be a utility infielder and will surely take another. Romy Gonzalez was very productive last year and would be a worthwhile platoon partner for Marcelo Mayer or Abreu in a heavily left-handed Red Sox lineup, and that leaves just one spot on the bench available. Bringing in another right-handed bat like Campbell, Nate Eaton, Andruw Monasterio, or non-roster invitee Brendan Rodgers would make a lot of sense given the heavily left-handed Red Sox lineup. Even a more versatile lefty like Tsung-Che Cheng would arguably be a better use of the roster spot than a largely DH-only player like Yoshida. And if the Red Sox ever wanted a big lefty bat for their bench, they could simply turn to the optionable Casas.
How do MLBTR readers think the Red Sox will handle Yoshida this spring, barring injuries? Will they look to move on from him to create more flexibility on the bench, or will they stick with him in hopes they can find him enough playing time to allow him to rebuild value? Have your say in the poll below:
Will Masataka Yoshida be with the Red Sox on Opening Day?
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Yes, he'll be a member of the Red Sox organization to start the season. 53% (994)
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No, he'll either be traded or cut from the roster during Spring Training. 47% (898)
Total votes: 1,892

Still can’t believe they signed this guy.
The move made sense back then, but he has progressively gotten worse every year. With the Red Sox outfield consisting of Duran, Anthony, Abreu, and Rafaela, Yoshida is unlikely to get any playing time unless any of the 4 get hurt.
clof – His health has also gotten progressively worse, that is the biggest reason for his poor performance. He hasn’t had a normal season physically since coming to America.
I neglected to mention this, but yes, he hasn’t been the same since he got injuries.
I was the best hitter on the team in September and the playoffs..so thats not not nothing
Injuries happen and I expect Yoshida’s whereabouts to be determined by his spring training production. Most likely he’s on the opening day starting lineup and how long he remains depends on how Casas rebounds and his continued success. Henry will not eat the money of a guy who can hit. As Pool said, he was their most consistent hitter last year at the end of the season.
Fever- It would be nice to see Yoshida finally have a healthy year. Based on how he ended last year, he has the potential to get on base at a very high rate. While he doesn’t hit for power, if positioned correctly in the lineup he could still have a real impact. Seems like he has too much offensive potential to just release.
I wouldn’t go so far as to say it made sense. They insanely overpaid for a guy as a knee jerk after losing Bogaerts.
okbud:
Neither the Red Sox or the Friars have made the WS since then, and SD would trade the remaining $210M on Bogaerts for Yoshi’s $36M in a second if given the chance.
So, advantage Boston.
That’s no advantage nobody in baseball is wanting or would pay Bogey that amount for the remainder of that idiocy taken on by SD…dumbest contract ever maybe, IDK Think Chris Davis, Puablo Sandoval, Rusney Castillo, Carl Crawford ridiculous…
The scouting report from the ferris wheel was glowing. His fielding looked spectacular from there
I bet he’ll be cut. I still don’t see why the would keep him. You are going to pay him no matter what, but without his production, will the Red Sox still be able to win? The answer is yes. So why let him take up a roster spot? He’ll be released, who wants him?
I mean he’s probably better than bleday
732 ops last year. 832 year before. 36m owed still. Cutting him would be stupid but it’s the same team that trades mid rotation starter for utility player and cy young caliber starter for a quad A utility player so who freaking knows what they are capable of.
AI – That made me smile because it was both funny and accurate.
I think the plan will be to start the season with him and if he’s healthy he hits well enough to re-establish some trade value.
They will have the roster space to start the season. Casas will likely be in the minors to start the season, Romy will likely be on the IL, KC will likely be in the minors to start the season, and Ref is gone so there will definitely be room for a career 109 OPS+ hitter on a team that is projected to struggle offensively.
Him and Ref would have been a heck of a platoon. Yosh isn’t getting 600 abs pr 500 or even 400. Just use his bat in right situation. Don’t know if there is any value to be reestablished. Teams other than Boston didn’t think much of him before. Is he going to start running faster playing better defense? Guys a platoon dh pinch hitter. Someone could get hurt and if Sox eat enough salary like all but a few million they can move him sure.
Horrible signing but he is paid for and still useful so use him. There’s nothing left out there to spend $ on now. Red Sox shouldn’t be cash strapped.
Has the Boston FO “cursed” itself since it traded Betts?
Not cursed at all. Actually done better than many teams. Middle of the pack at worst. Just 1 bad trade. Epically bad. I rarely give F and it got one. Durbin trade was a passing grade. Just what cost $ power and pitching. Durbin is a great utility player and starting worthy. I get it. They have lots of pitching. But Oviedo Gray will be free agents and Harrison won’t. Milwaukee wouldn’t gave up Durbin for Gray or Oviedo though. At least I don’t think I am not a mind reader. I wouldn’t have.
Betts trade wasn’t bad. 1 expensive year during pandemic I believe and included Price.
Speaking of I liked the Verdugo trade.
Priester trade was a win.
Both Priester trades a win.
Crochet trade a win.
Oviedo trade fair.
I think I liked or was fine with Gray Contreras. If I hated it I think I would remember.
Like getting Devers off the books and it got Harrison that lead to Durbin and depth.
Theo Cherington Dave Bloom all were good. Breslow has been good other than Sale trade.
Richard Fitts and Brandon Clarke for Sonny Gray when comparing that to Anderson Brito and Jacob Melton for Mike Burrows shows Red Sox got burned. I would not say the second Priester trade was good, but maybe. Betts was horrible, who exactly is Jeter Downs? Connor Wong barely had impact, but sure, the Verdugo trade seems fine.
Your post shows why an above average hitter (even if no D position) is kept rather than dumped. On a 162 season injuries and even multiple injuries happen . Depth helps, as said in the article, Ceddanne can cover the middle infield – TEAMS also lose players to injury. No team is build around 9 « Cal Ripken clones » . They have depth – both financially and on the field for the mid season tweaking. No sense going *all in* after 0 games played. And if, they stink (I hope not) then they can move Abreu or Duran for better pieces for the future.
Astros – Exactly! Fitts and Clarke for one year of a declining 36-year-old pitcher with a history of poor performance in big markets and a $21M salary is not a good trade on paper.
If Breslow knew he would be signing Ranger, he doesn’t make the Gray trade.
French – I don’t see Rafaela playing the infield much this year, if at all. They got a lot of infield depth, he’s not needed there.
If Rafaela continues to be the worst hitter in MLB, he would be the one to get benched or moved.
No
When Boston traded a mid rotation starter for Milwaukee extra utility players all I heard was how Boston has so much pitching they don’t need him. So Fitts Clarke are just throw aways with Sox fans reasoning. Cards I imagine are very happy with their return and salary dump. Those prospects weren’t close to getting Burrows though. Cards won trade but I wouldn’t call it awful or anything for Boston. Below average. Lackluster. Why wouldn’t you just sign someone in free agency and keep your prospects? All that but not a must fire breslow trade.
Priester trade should be thought as good. If they have so much pitching they don’t need Harrison they don’t need Priester either. With that draft pick they could have drafted a future #3 starter. The guy they drafted could even be better than that. Or could be a reliever. We’ll see. I really liked the hs arm class that year but see why Boston went that way. Also got two top 30 guys who in Bostons system are probably top 20. If you don’t need Fitz Harrison I guess you don’t need Priester.
Betts was just a pandemic salary dump.
Remember they got Priester for completely free. That’s more on Cherington being a idiot than Boston doing well. You want to give us a starting pitcher for a quad A 2b umm ok. That was the poor man’s Sale trade.
I can take or leave Breslow. Middle of pack.
AI – Breslow deserves the standard 4 years before we can pass judgment. He came to Boston with zero CBO experience and he’s surrounded by clowns, not an easy way to gain experience.
Whereas Larry surrounded Theo with a superteam of execs.
Astro- I think we need to see how Gray performs in Boston before saying they got burned. While Fitts was major league ready I don’t see him becoming a top starter. I would have preferred that Gray not be able to opt out of the 2027 option so if he had a great year we could hold onto him for another. With all of the other moves made for pitching it does seem strange to give up two young pitchers for a rental, but if he helps them win a World Series all is good.
I guess, but if you don’t win a WS and get eliminated in say the WC round and Gray opts out, that would be a big loss.
Agree. That would make the trade much less palatable. I am never a fan of rentals.
Astros – I’d say there’s zero chance the Sox pick up the $30M option.
He is hopefully healthy. I bet he stays. Too much money to eat.
Money’s sunk and not the issue. Roster space and playing time is.
There is 0 reason to release him. See my above comment on why
Cutting him would be a terrible idea..hes definitely one of the best 9 actual hitters on the team..he just has no position its a problem you don’t fix by just releasing him..hes worth more to Boston on the bench than on some teams raking for the league min..the padres would grab him in a second..hes way better than andujar or castellanos
He probably gets traded for a low leverage reliever, sorry
If they cover like 2/3 of his salary, sure.
2/3 of his salary isn’t enough to bring back a low leverage reliever. He’s a 1 year 4MM guy at best and he’s owed $36MM over 2
They would need to cover 28-30 M of the 36M
They have him and Casas as two backups that should be starters. Don’t need both.
They will hold both as long as they can for injury security. If another team has a bad loss they may be able to trade Yoshida without paying as much. If there isn’t a role for him by season start they can salary dump him or just release him if they can’t find a taker.
But they do need them. It’s 162 games to play – injuries happen, slumps happen – it’s no longer 8-10 players guaranteed playing daily. Thus at day 0 it’s better to have competition and cover than scrambling if X or Y is out for 4 months and no one to cover . Why Casas is still here, why Ceddanne can fill those 2 middle infield spots, why they traded for Durbin. And why they sold off Harrison too so they had financial flexibility too.
How about taking on another bad contract somewhere…and they can add at least 10m in cash along with a mid/level prospect or 3…
Frankly I’d be happy with a bag of used gum…even if they had to pay a major portion of Uoushi’ contract, the open roster spot is worth it.
Let’s see how he does in WBC. A good performance there, an injury on some other team, Sox could be in a strong position. With Casas and Campbell as high upside but still questionable floor guys, there’s value to waiting for at least a decent deal. But clearly not one that requires giving up a top prospect to dump his salary.
I hate to say but I truly don’t think the wbc is swaying anyone’s decision
choo – It would be a good way to prove he is healthy, and he will be playing outfield too. A big performance in the tournament will sway some opinions for sure.
I really want to agree but it’s such a small sample size against inconsistent competition. I just don’t see it making a difference
pool link broken for the app
Isn’t he on a Major League contract wnyway? Why would he not make the team?
Red Sox want to dump him to avoid paying that $18m dollar salary this year after injuries and poor performance when healthy. He has below average bat skills and poor defense and is 4th in their OF depth chart.
Best way for them is via a trade or waivers, worst case scenario is to retain him or cut him and pay off that large salary.
Clofreesz- if they released him they’d still be on the hook for $18 million. MLB deals are guaranteed money. .. the one time he was healthy and had a consistent role, he was a really good hitter. So saying he’s been a poor performer when healthy is untrue. He’s a poor defender but not far off from Duran. And in terms of his bat, he’s a high contact guy that doesn’t k much. Hits the ball on the ground and the line a lot. They have prioritized making their team a more contact oriented team this offseason. Subtracting his bat would counteract that.
He had a good 2023, but he hasn’t lived up to expectations ever since his injuries. When he had playing time, he produced poorly last year. (Although he might’ve been recovering from injuries in the process) Also, Duran isn’t a terrible defender like Yoshida, he was one of the top fielders in 2024 and was above average in 2025.
Putting the ball in play is a double-edged sword. On one hand, you can potentially move runners up/force them to make plays, but he grounds out into many force plays/double plays. (20 DP in 2023, his fully healthy season)
I don’t want to give up on Yoshida yet, but this might be his last season in Boston. We’ll see his fate after Spring Training ends.
Thank you. I didn’t know that
No one is claiming him. Doubtful anyone trades for him. Sox are paying for him so might as well enjoy his 700 800 ops. If he can’t provide that then dfa him. But he doesn’t need to play outfield every day or much at all. Just dh. Pinch hit. Injury replacement.
Sox have better hitters to DH. They would literally be playing with a 25 man roster if they kept him.
They’re better off trading Duran for something good and playing yoshida imo
Clo – Below average bat skills? When healthy he is an above average contact hitter.
You’re not really judging him on just the PA’s when he was injured or returning from injury, are you?
All I can say is, I’m not an expert on other teams outside of my division. (AL West) I’m only going with what the information I see so far with my eyes.
Any corrections you give me I will concede as you have far more insight into your supported teams. They are greatly appreciated for me to understand the whole nature of things.
Clofreesz
9 hours ago
All I can say is, I’m not an expert on other teams outside of my division. (AL West) I’m only going with what the information I see so far with my eyes.
_____________________________________
If you are not an expert, then why are you making such conclusions?
Yoshi was the top hitter in the playoff series against the Yankees, and his 2025 September regular season stats were .837 OPS.
”Mr. 40 Million” Bregman had .680 OPS after All-Star, but no one criticizes him.
The problem for Ioshi is that the Red Sox already have four outfielders – Anthony, Duran, Rafaela, Abreu – and the only spot for him is designated hitter, but that spot will likely be a rotating slot in 2026, so he may not get regular playing time.
He was literally their best hitter the last months of the season and their best hitter in the playoffs. He’s also one of the hardest guys to strike out in mlb. I don’t understand these morons that think he’s some 4a player.
Ham – They did the same thing with Sale, claiming he was washed up 2 years ago. They don’t even consider the fact Yoshida, like Sale, had injuries and other issues impacting performance.
In other words, no sign of critical thinking whatsoever.
Clofreesz
He has below average bat skills
=======================
Nonsense. He will out-hit a number of other DH’s. His problem is that his LH bat is completely redundant and is a poor fielder. But he can hit.
It’s stupid because they are a team that needs leadership and wants to be better in the low k/ high contact department. He provides all of this. Some stupid sports writer suggested he could be traded. .. all of the other guys, Campbell, Casas, Montesario, etc have options. Injuries are inevitable over 162, they don’t have to make the opening day roster in order to make an impact on the 2026 mlb team. .. if Masa DHs 4 out of every 5 games and Duran DHs that one game per week and plays LF 3 days per week, each of Anthony, Yoshida, Abreu, Duran, rafaela have 1 day off per week and each plays 130 games out of 162. That’s before guys over/underperforming and injuries. … depth isn’t a bad thing and Masa creates it.
123 – Good post, but the problem is thus far Duran (.620 OPS) , Abreu (.589), Rafaela (.642) and Yoshida (.650) have all performed poorly against LHP.
Since Yoshida has performed the best, he makes more sense on the roster.
Fever Pitch Guy
9 hours ago
123 – Good post, but the problem is thus far Duran (.620 OPS) , Abreu (.589), Rafaela (.642) and Yoshida (.650) have all performed poorly against LHP.
__________________________________
I understand that you don’t like Abreu and Rafaela, but present the facts correctly and don’t distort them.
Abreu had a .676 OPS in 2025 in a small sample size against left-handed pitchers (2024 – .533 OPS), but he wasn’t given the chance to play a full season.
Rafaela vs. left-handed pitchers 2024 – .603 OPS, 2025 – .678 OPS.
Duran vs. left-handed pitchers 2024 – .665 OPS, 2025 – .600 OPS.
Yoshi vs. left-handed pitchers 2023 – .745 Ops, 2024/2025 – .545 Ops.
We can clearly see that Abreu and Rafaela have improved against left-handed pitchers, while Duran and Yoshi have regressed.
That appears to be the roster building challenge. It’s not that Boston’s lineup skews left handed. It’s that the left handed hitters are so platoon profiled so it’s difficult to put another left handed hitter on the bench.
Even your one right handed hitting OF has reverse splits and is terrible against lefties. Otherwise, it’d almost make more sense to forego his elite CF defense and let Duran play CF against RHP. Duran is decent in CF isn’t he? The metrics say he is anyway. Even if he’s only good and not great like Rafaela, he’d be flanked by excellent corner OF defenders anyway. And it’s not exactly a fly ball rotation.
KamKid
18 minutes ago
Even your one right handed hitting OF has reverse splits and is terrible against lefties. Otherwise, it’d almost make more sense to forego his elite CF defense and let Duran play CF against RHP. Duran is decent in CF isn’t he?
_________________________________
Where are you getting this information from?
2025 vs. left-handed pitchers:
Rafaela – .678 Ops
Abreu – .676 Ops
Duran – .600 Ops
KamKid
28 minutes ago
__________________________
In fact, Duran hasn’t played well in center field (exception 2024). I think that was an outlier. He could be average, and don’t forget he’ll be 30 years old.
Rafaela is an elite center defender; he’s only 25 and will continue to improve.
Bogey, I’m getting it from Fangraphs that shows an 81 wRC+ last year vs lefties and a 96 vs. righties. And it’s 72 vs. lefties and 91 vs righties for his career. That looks like pretty wide and sustained reverse splits to me. His production vs. righties is worth playing with the elite defense. But that makes a CF platoon of Duran and Rafaela to open up playing time for Yoshida make less sense.
KamKid
48 seconds ago
—————————
Based on the data you mentioned, Rafaela improved offensively against both right-handed and left-handed hitters in 2025.
Why do you think he can’t improve in 2026? He’s a young player, 25 years old, and he’s improving offensively.
Bogey – I don’t dislike anyone on the team. Just because I point out valid concerns about each, each justified with facts and stats, doesn’t mean I dislike either of them. It’s especially silly you say that about Abreu, because if you were familiar with my postings you’d know I have been his biggest supporter since the day he was traded to the Red Sox.
Yes small sample size, which is why I used career numbers instead of cherrypicking just last year’s numbers. I am hoping Abreu can improve against LHP, and equally important I am hoping he can stay healthy for a full season. Then Rafaela can get less playing time.
Kam – Fantastic post! It’s unfortunate how some are so hyper-obsessed with players being lefty or righty that they don’t even bother to consider how the players perform against lefties and righties.
Roman is a perfect example. He is a lefty, but his .770 OPS against LHP (which most certainly will improve) proves he performs much better against LHP than even RHB such as Rafaela.
If Roman ever sits against a LHP just to get the righty Rafaela in the lineup, it will be a travesty of epic proportions.
Bogey – Do you understand what reverse splits are? Sounds like you don’t.
Even if you look at each of Rafaela’s 3 seasons individually, he’s got reverse splits each season.
Fever Pitch Guy
3 minutes ago
_________________________
You presented the information incorrectly and failed to point out the improvements Rafaela and Abreu to achieved in 2025—they’re young players and developing.
Your dislike for Rafaela is understandable, you have never spoken positively about this player, despite his progress.
It looks like we saw (career season from Duran in 2024). It’s unlikely he’ll repeat those 8.7 WAR numbers.
Bogey – Why do you hate Duran so much?
You point to one season of Abreu when making a determination, but you discount one season of Duran?
And nobody is questioning Rafaela’s defense, it’s his hitting that is extremely awful.
Bogey – You are making very ridiculous comments now, please stop.
Everyone knows Rafaela has been statistically the worst hitter in MLB since the All-Star break. If you’re going to use present tense, you cannot say he’s improving. You must use the most recent data, which clearly indicates he is severely regressing.
Fever Pitch Guy
52 seconds ago
Bogey – Why do you hate Duran
___________________________________
When did I say I hated Duran?
Please point me to the post where I said that.
I provided information from 2025.
Abreu had a .676 OPS in 2025 in a small sample size against left-handed pitchers (2024 – .533 OPS), but he wasn’t given the chance to play a full season.
Rafaela vs. left-handed pitchers 2024 – .603 OPS, 2025 – .678 OPS.
Duran vs. left-handed pitchers 2024 – .665 OPS, 2025 – .600 OPS.
Yoshi vs. left-handed pitchers 2023 – .745 Ops, 2024/2025 – .545 Ops.
I showed that of the above players, Rafaela hit better against lefties than Duran, Abreu (small sample), and Yoshida in 2025.
You ignored Rafaela and Abreu’s progress against left-handed pitchers and Duran and Yoshida’s regress against left-handed pitchers and took career stats against left-handed pitchers.
I politely corrected you so that you convey the information accurately.
Yeah, you can’t take a take talent like Anthony at this stage of his career and shield him from lefties. That’s a good way to ensure he ends up as a platoon player in the long run. Maybe in high leverage, you would pinch hit for him now and again, but I’m not sure that even makes much sense. He struck out a ton against them but still hit the ball really hard when he did make contact.
I’d make sure anytime Crochet or Suarez needed to throw to live batters that Anthony was standing in there against them.
Fever Pitch Guy
8 minutes ago
Bogey – Do you understand what reverse splits are? Sounds like you don’t.
Even if you look at each of Rafaela’s 3 seasons individually, he’s got reverse splits each season.
_________________________________
I know what a reverse split is.
C. Rafaela
2024 – 142 AB vs. LHP .603 Ops
402 Ops vs RHP .685 Ops
2025 – 150 AB vs. LHP .678 Ops
396 AB vs RHP .720 Ops
Where do you see the reverse dynamic here?
I see a +75 OPS gain against lefties and +35 OPS against righties in 2025.
You ignore these facts and call Rafaela a terrible player without evidence.
I’ve cited evidence of his improved attack against both left-handed and right-handed pitchers.
You don’t want to give Rafaela a chance, even though he improved in many ways in 2025, the same way many Red Sox fans were ready to dump Duran (for a bad 2022.)
Kam – Roman actually improved against LHP as the season went on, I’d attribute his beginning struggles to a simple learning curve.
Mayer is the one who really, really struggled against LHP …. only 4 hits and a walk in 27 PA’s.
Bogey – Where do I see the reverse dynamics? That confirms you aren’t familiar with reverse splits.
Rafaela is righthanded.
Righty hitters typically perform better against lefty pitchers.
Rafaela performs worse against lefty pitchers.
I do not call Rafaela a terrible player, in fact I have praised his defense many times.
You are ignoring the fact he was the worst hitter in MLB since the All-Star break.
Did he improve his full season numbers last year? Yes, slightly. But his season numbers would hold a lot more weight if he had a strong second half instead of a horrific one.
Fever Pitch Guy
31 minutes ago
Bogey – You are making very ridiculous comments now, please stop.
Everyone knows Rafaela has been statistically the worst hitter in MLB since the All-Star break. If you’re going to use present tense, you cannot say he’s improving. You must use the most recent data, which clearly indicates he is severely regressing.
______________________________
You’re again distorting the information and misinterpreting it.
Rafaela – 2024 pre-All-Star Game .686 OPS, post-All-Star Game .630 OPS.
2025 – pre-All-Star Game .797 OPS, post-All-Star Game .587
From the performance trend, we can see that his stats in 2025 have improved by 100+ surgeries.
Yes, Rafaela has been playing poorly since the All-Star Game.
However, to say he’s a terrible player overall is incompetent.
If Rafaela were a terrible player, we wouldn’t have seen any improvement in his overall performance.
Perhaps playing in a centerfield position will help him focus on consistent attacking play over the course of a full season 2026.
Bogey, I don’t think any player can’t improve. I don’t see great reason to believe in a particular path to Rafaela becoming a good hitter. He doesn’t do anything well at the plate that makes you think there’s upside to tap into. I guess he could improve everything by small margins and it would add up. But the plate discipline is awful and I tend to bet against those types even when they have big tools and Rafaela doesn’t seem to.
Regardless, that wasn’t the point of my post. The article is about how Yoshida fits and my thought process was where to find PAs for him when everyone else is left handed. The obvious place to look was at the right handed OF who hasn’t hit well and think he could sit against righties. The metrics show Duran was excellent in CF in ‘24 with a +9 FRV in over 800 innings and similar on a rate basis last year with +2 in just under 200 innings. But Rafaela has had reverse splits and has held his line high enough against righties to want his glove in CF because the glove is indeed elite out there. So I came to the conclusion that Yoshida is difficult to fit onto the roster. I don’t even much care other than the Sox being a division rival that looks well positioned for a while if they hit on the upside of the younger guys.
Fever Pitch Guy
7 minutes ago
Bogey – Where do I see the reverse dynamics? That confirms you aren’t familiar with reverse splits.
Rafaela is righthanded.
Righty hitters typically perform better against lefty pitchers.
Rafaela performs worse against lefty pitchers.
_____________________________________
C.Rafaela
2025 – 150 AB vs. LHP .678 Ops
396 AB vs RHP .720 Ops
I don’t think Rafaela played that badly against left-handed pitchers compared to right-handed pitchers in 2025.
You are ignoring the fact he was the worst hitter in MLB since the All-Star break.
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I highly doubt he was the worst hitter in MLB since the All-Star Game.
Kam – I am positive a trade is coming. Even if Yoshida goes away today, there’s no way the Sox will rotate Duran/Abreu/Rafaela/Roman in the DH role.
I saw an MLB projected OD lineup yesterday that had Roman as the DH ….. they absolutely cannot derail his development and devalue him by having him DH 40 games a year. He is way too young and way too good defensively to be a DH.
I think Cora repeatedly saying he wants Abreu to play every day could be a sign that he’s trying to build up his value for a potential trade.
Bogey – I already provided the link. Worst wRC+ and second worst OPS of all qualified MLB players.
Look it up. I bring a ton of facts to this place, it’s silly to accuse me of being wrong.
Fever Pitch Guy
2 hours ago
Bogey – Where do I see the reverse dynamics? That confirms you aren’t familiar with reverse splits.
Rafaela is righthanded.
Righty hitters typically perform better against lefty pitchers.
Rafaela performs worse against lefty pitchers.
I do not call Rafaela a terrible player, in fact I have praised his defense many times.
You are ignoring the fact he was the worst hitter in MLB since
the All-Star break.
Did he improve his full season numbers last year? Yes, slightly. But his season numbers would hold a lot more weight if he had a strong second half instead of a horrific one.
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This is your post you published earlier.
I don’t see the word “qualified” here.
You called Rafaela the worst hitter in MLB after the All-Star Game.
Where are the “qualified” ones?
Fever Pitch Guy
2 minutes ago
Bogey – I already provided the link. Worst wRC+ and second worst OPS of all qualified MLB players.
_____________________________________
In this post you already use the word “qualified”, although in the previous post the word “qualified” MLB players wasn’t used.
I caught you in a lie.
KamKid
2 hours ago
Bogey, I don’t think any player can’t improve. I don’t see great reason to believe in a particular path to Rafaela becoming a good hitter. He doesn’t do anything well at the plate that makes you think there’s upside to tap into. I guess he could improve everything by small margins and it would add up. But the plate discipline is awful and I tend to bet against those types even when they have big tools and Rafaela doesn’t seem to.
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I provide you with evidence that Rafaela has improved in literally everything.
2024 – ISO – .143, HR% – 2.6, SO% – 26.4, BB – 2.6%, EV – 85.9, Hard H% – 36.9, WPA – (-1.3), SB – 65.5%, Wrc+ 81
2025 – ISO – .165, HR% – 2.7, SO% – 19.9, BB – 4.8%, EV – 87.7, Hard H% –38.7, WPA – (+0.5), SB – 80%, Wrc+ 91.
Key points: Rafaela lowered his strikeout rate by 6.5% and increased his walk rate by 2.2% in 2025.
Are you saying that a 19.9% strikeout rate is poor discipline?
Don’t be salty.
KamKid
3 hours ago
But the plate discipline is awful and I tend to bet against those types even when they have big tools and Rafaela doesn’t seem to.
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Here’s some more data for you:
Red Sox 2025;
1.Yoshida – SO% 11.7
2.Bregman – SO% 14.1
3.Toro – SO% 14.8
4.Rafaela – SO% 19.9
5.Eaton – SO% 21.1
6.Wong – SO% 22.3
7.Devers – SO% 22.8
8.Sogard – SO% 23.1
9.Romy – SO% 23.8
10.Casas – SO% 24.1
11.Abreu – SO% 24.2
12.Hamilton – SO% 24.2
13.Duran – SO% 24.3
14.Lowe – SO% 24.4
15.Narvaez – SO% 24.9
16.Refsnyder – SO% 25.8
17.Story – SO% 26.9
18.Campbell – SO% 27.4
19.Anthony – SO% 27.7
20 Mayer – SO% 30.1
Where is Rafaela’s discipline problem if he ranks fourth in strikeout percentage?
Bogey – Awww you don’t know what “Qualified” means either.
That’s okay, I’m always happy to help :O)
Bogey – Listen to Kam, he knows his stuff.
Rafaela had the 3rd-highest swing rate in MLB last season.
He did not improve much last year. You need to look not only at the numbers, but the rankings.
Fever Pitch Guy
58 minutes ago
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When you’re shoved in the facts by presenting statistics, you start making up some mythical rankings.
Rafaela did what was asked of him last season – he lowered his strikeout rate from 26.4% to 19.9% and increased his walk rate from 2.6% to 4.8%. That’s a significant improvement, not a minor one.
Just admit you were wrong.
What’s the problem?
I’m not even sure what to say Bogey. I’m not salty. I don’t care enough to be salty. I’m curious about the roster decisions.
But if your idea of evaluating plate discipline is K rate on its own, I think you might benefit from a deeper look. His 42.2% chase rate is 2nd percentile. The only way to argue that it isn’t a plate discipline problem is if he can make both lots of contact and good quality of contact on pitches outside the zone. But he doesn’t make a lot of contact outside the zone. It’s 56.7% compared to aggressive guys at the top of the league in outside contact like Arraez (92.9%), Jacob Wilson (84.6%), and Sal Frelick (80.8%). But since Rafaela is only just slightly above average at contact rates out of the zone and chases a ton, he has a poor 26.8% (34th percentile) whiff rate. You think that 19.9% K rate is good. But for a guy who swings at a whopping 58.3% of pitches he sees, that’s actually pretty high. He swings so much, you expect him to make contact before strike three. It also means he rarely walks so his bb/k of 0.24 was very low. And the biggest reason it’s a problem for him is that he’s hitting pitcher’s pitches and the resulting quality of contact is quite poor.
Bogey – OPS and wRC+ both say Rafaela has been the worst hitter in MLB since July 14th.
That makes me right.
Just admit you were wrong.
What’s the problem?
Kam – I have a friend who is related to Salty. She can attest you are not Jarrod Saltalamacchia.
Fever Pitch Guy
6 minutes ago
Bogey – OPS and wRC+ both say Rafaela has been the worst hitter in MLB since July 14th.
That makes me right.
Just admit you were wrong.
What’s the problem?
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Without statistical confirmation, I have to believe you hahaha.
You’re a liar.
Because Rafaela’s OPS for August 2025 was .583 OPS, and for September 2025, .669 OPS.
So, he did start hitting better in September.
That’s why I don’t take trolls like you at their word.
KamKid
19 hours ago
Are you saying that a drop in strikeout percentage from 26.4% to 19.9% and an increase in walk rate from 2.6% to 4.8% doesn’t matter?
Rafaela ranked fourth in strikeout percentage among Red Sox players in 2025.
Only Yoshida, Bregman, and Toro were better.
Bogey – Your true colors are showing. I gave you the statistical confirmation numerous times, and I even provided the link to it.
Now you’re ignoring that and falsely claiming I didn’t provide it, and you’re falsely calling me a liar, and you’re resorting to namecalling by calling me a troll.
I thought you were the kid from Ukraine who posted here about a year ago, that’s why I cut you some slack. Clearly you’re not him.
Been a long time since I’ve muted anyone, the streak has ended.
Fever Pitch Guy
6 minutes ago
—————————
In 2024, Rafaela had the opposite trend: .655 OPS in August and .512 OPS in September.
Therefore, in 2024, he experienced a decline after the All-Star Game and until the end of the season.
And in 2025, after the All-Star Game and until the beginning of September.
And in September 2025, Rafaela began to improve in attack.
That’s why you can’t take people like you at your word without statistics, because you lump everything together and don’t back it up with evidence.
Fever Pitch Guy
4 minutes ago
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Where did you send this link? I didn’t see it.
Fever Pitch Guy
4 minutes ago
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I thought you were the kid from Ukraine who posted here about a year ago, that’s why I cut you some slack. Clearly you’re not him.
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I’m that guy from Ukraine, you are right.
If there’s no path to plying time when everyone is healthy and performing, his guaranteed major league contract at more than market value is one mechanism for Boston just to retain him as depth. They could DFA him, he has three years of service so could refuse an outright, but less than five years of service so would have to forego his salary to do so.
I think it would spur a few interesting decisions. A team with some need for a bat knowing they aren’t just going to wait out the DFA process and get him at league minimum, might come forward and say “we value him at $x”. Boston would have to decide if that’s worth the money savings or if he’s worth that much to them as depth. Yoshida himself might have to decide if making that much money on his guaranteed deal while being buried on the depth chart and playing in the minors is the better situation or if he might be better to reject the outright and make less somewhere where he is getting the playing time to reestablish value. I doubt the latter except that NPB teams aren’t poor and a one year deal where he’s successful in the majors could open up his market more and he could get a decent deal in NPB again. Not at his current AAV but also probably still decent money. Masahiro Tanaka made good money going back to NPB.
Not much sense in trading him right until a better option opens up. Maybe if Casas gets healthy and in shape…maybe. They’re paying him regardless, you could do a lot worse for a guy off the bench.
No, that’s Craig Breslow’s job.
There is NO WAY these cheap owners will cut him and eat the $32 million. I bet they try to put him on waivers and hope someone claims him.
Cheap lol lol. Its called smart. If it was up tonu Boegarts would be playing SS with a 300 million contract. So shhh
He won’t get claimed.
As the Phillies found out with Castellanos no one is trading for a player they can just wait for you to release and not have to take on salary and give up a player for.
The Sox backed themselves in this corner but i imagine Yoshida makes the team, at least until Casas is ready
Casas needs significant time in AAA. He’s been a mixed bag when he’s been on the field and he’s hardly been on the field the last few years. Trading/releasing one of their best bat to ball guys for the sake of getting rid of him makes no sense, especially considering they are trying to get better in that department as a team this offseason
Rsox – I think the off-the-field issues played a part in Cast getting released. There are no such issues with Yoshida, he’s remained a very popular player who has maintained a great disposition despite all he’s been put through.
They definitely did, but the point i was making is Dombrowski had zero leverage to trade Castellanos because all 29 other teams knew the Phillies would eventually release him. The Sox may eventually have to face a decision about Yoshida that all 29 other teams will realize why trade for him when they can just wait til he’s released
Rsox – I get your point, but I don’t think the Sox are close to being in a position where they are forced to release him. I agree with you they may eventually be there though.
If a team has an outfielder or DH go down for the season they may be able to offload him. They would need to eat like $20-26M of that money.
I wonder how that would resonate with future Japanese free agents? This guys a hero back in Japan. 3x Gold medal winner. Japanese championship. 5x all-star. 2 batting title.
Future Japanese will do the same as American or any other player and go wherever the $ is.
Knicks – Great point! As proof, I’ve said the exact same thing in the past ;O)
The poll link doesn’t work on the app…..
jorge – Then don’t use the app.
I went to the doctor today, held my arm out straight and told him it hurts when I do that.
He told me “Then don’t do that”.
Please stop perpetuating the ‘Red Sox lineup is heavily left-handed’ narrative. There are a bunch of commentors who believe it and are themselves too lazy to look. The lineup has 5 RHHs and 4 LHHs. As you mentioned, the rest of the expected bench is all right-handed. So this is a RHH-heavy team at this point. Even before this season, the issue was simply needing ‘1’ middle-of-the-order RH bat who can play the infield, which they got, but then they lost Bregman who has been replaced by Droban. Depending on the outlook of Droban, it can be argued that the top of the lineup is lefty heavy, but that’s it.
As of right now, if the Red Sox were to cut or trade Yoshida they would need another LHH player to replace him as Rafaela & Narvaez (and perhaps Droban) shouldn’t be expected to hit against RHPs in late-game situations. So it would take Seigler or Gasper having a big spring to take Yoshida’s spot, and even then, they both have options and it wouldn’t make sense to cut Yoshida for a player who ‘may’ be able to exceed him in a rather small role.
Obviously if Yoshida looks great in the spring and another team is willing to take a good chunk of his contract, I’d expect him to get dealt, but that’s the only scenario that makes sense at this point.
Agree with most you said except that Sox aren’t too left handed. Anthony, Mayer, Duran, Abreu & Yoshida are all left handed hitters. Yes, Story, Contrares, Rafaela and the catching platoon is right handed.
How is 4/9 of a starting lineup vs RHP too left-handed heavy? Especially with only 1/4 of the projected bench left-handed. You can’t make a lineup more balanced than that. The math isn’t hard.
Against LHPs they will likely have only 2-3 LHHs.
(You missed Durbin, who is starting while missing Yoshida, who is a bench player atm)
Durbin, I believe. Not Droban. But I knew what you meant.
Never mind. I voted on the website…..
Tolle and Yoshida for Latz, Foscue and Yolfran Castillo
Helllllll naahhh. Red Sox aint doing that.
Rangers say no.
Since Payton Tolle is in the deal, the Red Sox say no. Katz, Foscue, and Yolfran Castillo is not enough to move the needle, nor is dumping Yoshida.
Will he and should he be are two very different questions. The organization refuses to deal with the OF log jam and will now have more issues at DH if/when Casas is ready. So he will be, but he shouldn’t be.
Casas has options. He’s guaranteed nothing.
You’re right, Casas isn’t guaranteed anything but he’s a much better hitter than Yoshida if he’s healthy.
Yoshida getting a lot of bad press for .282/.337/.425 in 1200+ PA’s. He made good contact last season in limited at-bats, if he couples his hard-hit rate from ’25 with his FB% from ’24 and gets some batted ball luck he will have a big season.
Id trade for Yoshida, he is a great option at DH.
Joe – You’re talking 2023 Casas. Let’s hope that is possible after two very serious injuries.
That’s a little above league average. And he can’t play in the field. As a comp, Mike Tauchman was better than that last year and CAN play a position, and just signed a minor league deal.
Yoshida is essentially a worse version of Arraez. Arraez has bounced around a lot because while the numbers look attractive, if your main tool is your bat you need to bring more power to the table.
And FPG – yeah, I would rush the kid back. He has options so if he is healthy enough to come off the IL they can option him so he can get more reps. But I do think that Casas is a better hitter than Yoshida. But it’s hard to miss essentially two seasons at a key point in your development, hopefully casas does well.
This WCSoxfan guy is wrong. Very very wrong.
The Red Sox projected lineup is
1b Contreras
2b Mayer
Ss Story
3b Durbin
Of Anthony
Of Abreu
Of Raffaela
C Narvaez
Dh Casas
Bench
Yoshida
Wong
Gonzalez
?
Thats 6 lefties not 4 like this guy said. I would reply to his post but apparently he muted me from the last conversation we had when I told him.he couldn’t count. And he still cant. Trading Hamilton and getting Durbin helped but the lineup still has too many lefties.
Duran is in there is missed him.
I don’t think he included Casas.
Why wouldnt you include Casas?
I named 6 lefties he said there is 4. there is not 4 there is 6. This is his quote
The lineup has 5 RHHs and 4 LHHs. As you mentioned, the rest of the expected bench is all right-handed.
Thats not true
He looked at the depth chart I must guess. He also said that.
What?
Where’s Duran…?
Who’s on first
Thats 4 lefties (Abreu, Anthony, Casas, Mayer). Contreras, Durbin, Story, Narvaez, and Rafaela are all right-handed.
Casas isnt likely to start the year in Bodton, but Duran (who bats lefty) is…
King. Of. Cards
10 hours ago
This WCSoxfan guy is wrong. Very very wrong.
The Red Sox projected lineup is
1b Contreras
2b Mayer
Ss Story
3b Durbin
Of Anthony
Of Abreu
Of Raffaela
C Narvaez
Dh Casas
Bench
Yoshida
Wong
Gonzalez
?
Thats 6 lefties not 4 like this guy said. I would reply to his post but apparently he muted me from the last conversation we had when I told him.he couldn’t count. And he still cant. Trading Hamilton and getting Durbin helped but the lineup still has too many lefties.
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Your lineup and bench have 5 lefties instead of 6: Mayer, Anthony, Abreu, Casas, and Yoshida.
You can’t count, hahaha.
I tried to edit the post to add Duran. I added a post saying I forgot Duran.
Did you not notice that????
Casas is likely opening the season at Worcester so the lineup is probably:
C Narvaez
1B Contreras
2B Mayer
3B Durbin
SS Story
LF Anthony
CF Rafaela
RF Abreu
DH Duran
Bench
C Wong
IF Gonzalez
IF Kiner-Falefa
OF Yoshida
Nate Eaton makes it if anyone else gets injured
Yoshida is not getting waived with $36m left and he is an above average hitter. Its a sunk cost. IF they got out of 45% of remaining salary they would consider dumping him but the guy can hit. Sox might DH Matso 2 or 3x a week and regular PH duties which may benefit the team despite the sunk cost. IKF ultra-versatility offsets part of Yoshida negatives. You can plug Matso as PH regularly and not have to place him in the field the next half inning as IKF (a weak bat) can play any spot on the field. It’s not ideal, but Matso is a solid bat off the bench when needed.
Bench = Wong. Yoshida, IKF and either Gonzalez or Eaton is fine bench to start the season. It’s a marathon so Casas, Soguard, Romero and even Campbell may all see trips to Fenway at some point.
The Red Sox clearly have a dump number that the market hasn’t met yet. They are hoping a good WBC/early season performance translates to someone coughing up $12m of what Yoshi is owed, then he is gone. I agree with the sentiments about Casas and Campbell in AAA for the 1st 2 months at least. But if Yoshi tanks and these guys push then by June 1 he is gone.
I think he’s on the roster but the Sox are probably hoping he gets off to a hot start this spring which is entirely possible because he’s a really good hitter. Hit like .330 with a .830 OPS in September. I think Ceddane will end up sitting more than people think, especially if Wyler is competitive against lefties at all.
York – Well of course, who else could win the Massa Very Popular award?
Send him and $15-20 mil to a team with playoff aspirations that will enviably have some injuries to players this spring. Just send the bosox a bucket of seeds and that 17 year old in the Dominican league
Teams are pretty fond of forcing their competition to eat bad investments. Why wouldn’t they be?
Too much money to eat, he’ll make the roster.
If he’s released he’ll be a Padre probably haha
Wow, close voting.
Casas starting the year on the IL puts the argument on ice for a while. Masa, Wong, IKF and I’d say Eaton because he could play OF in a pinch. Thats my guess at the bench at the zero-games-played part of the season.
Besides I don’t see anyone who would be a certain upgrade over Masa. If he’s healthy, he’ll be on the ML roster.
But he’ll never play.
Every game it’s a tie or the Red Sox are down in the 8th/9th inning, he’ll be pinch hitting for Narvaez/Rafaela. That’s not 18mil/yr value, but he’ll definitely be playing and the backup options (Gasper and Seiger) HAVE options.
That’s assuming everyone in the OF stays healthy (which they won’t) and that nobody in the OF gets a day off against a RHP (which they will – although not often).
I’d expect him to get 200-300 PA. Not enough to be worth the contract, but still a useful piece.
Could he take the long side of a DH platoon? Looks like he hits RHP at a nice clip – .795 OPS career and .732 last year in an injury marred season.
A team signs a guy, then the tears fall like rain. Good grief. He wasn’t young, big or powerful when signed. So why cry now ? Baseball ain’t a cheap game, and probably not for anyone faint of heart. He’ll play somewhere.
I don’t understand, per roster resource he has 3 options remaining. Why wouldn’t you option him to Pawtucket instead of releasing him?
Obviously if you can find a trade, great.
That is probably not correct.
He has to approve any demotion to WOR. Part of his contract
The Red Sox cannot option Yoshida to the minor leagues without his consent.
Per Chris Cotillo of MassLive
“ Yoshida, as per terms of his contract, would have to consent to being optioned to the minors. It’s unclear if he’d accept. The Red Sox could try to designate him for assignment or outright release him, though that is obviously not a preferred option.‘
Something around Javier Baez for Yoshida could work. Carpenter can play RF. Baez is more expensive and worse so there might have to be some additional pieces.
Or they could just make him a high leverage pinch hitter for the lineup black holes like Manny Mota.
It only works for Detroit. Red Sox don’t want to add salary when they are just under the limits of the 2nd tax bracket.
The sox need to lose and older guy whose cartilage is about to crumble, not replace one for another, lol. I think Baez is paid more as well?
You also don’t want to sacrifice the glass jaw of Carpenter by playing him in the OF. Ensconcing him at DH as often as possible is truly the best option for the Tigers IMO.
Romy is going on DL so Masa starts on the bench and gets ABs and does very well. Maybe he gets traded after that; maybe not.
I hope Yoshida hits like 1.000 and plays an awesome LF for Japan in the WBC so some team will be duped into trading for him.
Defense is his problem. Actually he’s a solid hitter, just not what baseball pays much for. He’s a contact hitter who doesn’t strike out much. His 162 game average according to Baseball Reference is .282, 16 HR, 82 RBI & 7 SB and only 84K’s. If his defense was good most teams would love to have that type of player on their team.
Astros might do it, if Boston eats some payroll. Maybe a lotto ticket, surplus arm and some cash gets it done.
After reading this it just feels like there is a Preller move in there somewhere.
Time to cut bait, not sure how many more 4-3 groundouts I can stomach out of this overpriced, permanently injured midget.
Classy.
When it’s time to go it’s time to go. Shouldn’t have paid 90 million for him in the first place. Now to add insult to injury he’s totally useless as a player. Not one above average tool on the guy.
“overpriced, permanently injured midget.”
ok, bud. Time to go
Muted
Do you need a tissue or will you be ok?😭😭
I;ll go with opton C: would like to trade him, but can’t so are stuck with him.
Maybe they’ll do what the Yankees did with Ellsbury – insure him and have him constantly injured. Maybe they already have been?
They have good reason to platoon both right and center, but especially right.
If they platoon RF (Abreu), it would be against LHP. Cora has said that Abreu will see more LHP but regardless Yoshida’s career MLB OPE vs LHP is 0.650. Also Yoshida playing RF in Fenway is …. Comical.
in a perfect world they would find a team with an overpaid rh bat with questionable defense on a team that was too right handed…
Christian Walker?
Well I do remember he was 4 for 7 in the playoff series last year and much the best hitter, actually he was pretty good towards the end!
They should have already released him, which implies to me they aren’t going to.
“The question, then, becomes whether the Red Sox would be willing to cut loose a player who figures to be productive if given an opportunity because that opportunity doesn’t exist with the club as presently constructed.”
“Then” adds nothing to an already very long sentence that is arguably a run-on. It should be removed, and the sentence split in two.