Roy Halladay Sets Deadline For Trade

2:39pm: Ken Rosenthal and Jon Paul Morosi of FOX Sports talked to Halladay's other agent Greg Landry, who suggested the pitcher will not rule out any teams or contractual scenarios.  Landry said each situation will be looked at on its own merits.

7:50am: Roy Halladay "will not approve any proposed deal after he reports to spring training," ESPN's Buster Olney learned from his representatives.  The goal is to avoid a media frenzy during the season.  So, the option of waiting until the trade deadline is out.  Given the uncertain nature of draft pick compensation, I'd say Halladay is now highly likely to be traded during the offseason.

One of Doc's agents, Jeff Berry, wouldn't say whether his client will require a contract extension upon a trade.  Berry explained:

"Obviously, there are recent contract markers for a pitcher of this magnitude.  That being said, each potential trade situation will be evaluated on a case-by-case basis, with a critical factor being the legitimate opportunity for Roy to pursue multiple World Series championships."

A source of Olney's believes Halladay would accept a deal to the Red Sox, Yankees, Phillies, or Angels.  You have to think the field isn't limited to those four clubs though.

Cubs Do Not Offer Arb To Gregg, Harden

The Cubs did not offer arbitration to free agents Kevin Gregg (A), Rich Harden (B), Reed Johnson (neither), and Chad Fox (neither), tweets MLB.com's Carrie Muskat.  Dave Kaplan had written the same earlier today.

The Harden decision is worth questioning…was he really not worth risking a one-year deal on?  In the Cubs' defense, as Bruce Miles of the Daily Herald writes, the team has more info on Harden than anyone.    

Phillies Eyeing John Smoltz

The Phillies have kicked the tires on free agent pitcher John Smoltz, according to ESPN's Jayson Stark.  Smoltz could be a fit as a starter or late-inning reliever, assuming he gets past his dislike of Citizens Bank Park.  Smoltz, 43 in May, pitched well for the Cardinals last year, posting 40 strikeouts and nine walks in 38 innings.  His strikeout-walk numbers for Boston were strong as well, though he had problems with hits and home runs.

Stark, by the way, believes the Phillies will not offer arbitration to either of their Type B free agent relievers, Chan Ho Park and Scott Eyre.

Red Sox Interested In Adam Everett, Adam Kennedy

1:53pm: Michael Silverman of the Boston Herald says the Red Sox also expressed preliminary interest in infielder Adam Kennedy.  Kennedy, 34 in January, hit .289/.348/.410 in 586 plate appearances for the A's while playing mostly second and third base.

12:16pm: The Red Sox called to express preliminary interest in free agent shortstop Adam Everett, according to WEEI's Alex Speier.  Everett would be a defensive-minded signing, while the Dustin Pedroia idea would be more offensive-minded.  Marco Scutaro is the most prominent free agent choice, while Miguel Tejada's name has come up as well.

Are there any reasonable options for the Red Sox on the trade market?  Probably not, unless they can pluck someone from the Angels.

Free Agent Arbitration Primer

What does it mean when we say a free agent was offered arbitration?  When a team offers arbitration to one of its own free agents, it is offering the player a 2010 contract at a to-be-determined salary.  Last year, out of 24 such offers, only two players (Darren Oliver and David Weathers) accepted.

One reason "offering arbitration" to free agents is confusing is that the actual process of arbitration rarely comes into play.  Even with Oliver and Weathers last year, the sides agreed on 2010 salaries without arbitration hearings.  In an arbitration hearing, a third-party panel must choose between one salary figure submitted by the team and another submitted by the player.  These hearings only take place if the sides cannot agree on a salary.  Clearing up a common error: if a free agent accepts arbitration, the team and the player can submit any salary figure they want.

If most free agents turn down arbitration offers, why do we care?  Turning down an arbitration offer makes draft pick compensation possible for the team losing the free agent.  Free agents can be classified as Type A, B, or nothing.  Check our list to see the current designations, and click here to see the stats the Elias Sports Bureau uses to assign them.

Shortstop Marco Scutaro will be our example of a Type A free agent.  Say the Blue Jays offer him arbitration, and he turns it down because he feels he can do better than a one-year contract if he hits the open market.  Say also that the Red Sox sign Scutaro, and do not sign any other Type A free agents.  In this case, the Blue Jays are given Boston's #29 pick in the June 2010 draft as well as a pick in a supplemental round that takes place after the first round.  It's important to note that the supplemental pick is squeezed into the draft but it does not come from the Red Sox.  Therefore, the Sox only surrendered one pick to sign Scutaro, even though the Blue Jays received two.

In the Scutaro example, the Blue Jays were given Boston's first-round draft pick.  With Type A free agent draft pick compensation, only first-round picks outside of the top 15 are eligible to be taken by another team.  The first 15 picks are protected.  In those cases, the team gives up its second-round pick.  For example, if the Astros sign Scutaro, the Blue Jays get their second-round (#41) pick rather than their protected first-round (#8) pick.  Here's the 2010 draft order; note that the first 16 picks are protected next year because the Rangers will receive a compensatory pick for failing to sign Matt Purke.

Now, if one team signs multiple Type As from other teams, as the Yankees did last year, draft pick compensation gets muddier.  Click here to read up on that.

We'll use outfielder Marlon Byrd as our Type B example.  Say the Rangers offer him arbitration and he turns it down in search of a better contract.  Say also that the Cubs sign Byrd.  The Cubs do not give a draft pick to the Rangers.  The Rangers do gain a draft pick – it is squeezed into the supplemental round.  Therefore, signing a Type A free agent who was offered and turned down arbitration costs one draft pick, but signing such a Type B does not.  Players who were not offered arbitration do not have draft pick compensation.  Same goes for players who were designated neither A nor B.

Another cause for confusion: we have a different concept that also uses the word "arbitration."  When we say Felix Hernandez is arbitration-eligible, we mean that he has between two-plus and five-plus years of service time, and therefore has some say in his salary.  Hernandez is under the Mariners' control.  The only question is what they will pay him next year, and that's the one similarity with free agent compensation.  Felix and the Mariners each submit salary figures, and if they can't agree an arbitration panel must choose one.

Upcoming deadlines: on December 1st (by 11pm CST), we'll learn whether teams offer arbitration to their free agents.  Expect 20-25 offers.  By December 7th, those 20-25 players must choose whether to accept.  Expect only a handful to accept.  Those who accept are no longer free agents.

The unrelated non-tender deadline is December 12th.  That is when teams decide whether to tender a contract to arbitration-eligible players.  These players have fewer than six years of service time, and are under team control for 2010 if the team wants them.  If not, the players are non-tendered and become free agents.  We'll be adding many names to the free agent list on December 12th.

Blue Jays Offer Arb To Scutaro, Barajas

The Blue Jays offered arbitration to free agents Marco Scutaro (A) and Rod Barajas (B), tweets Michael Silverman of the Boston Herald

Most believe Scutaro will turn down the offer in search of a multiyear contract.  If so, the team signing him will have to give up a draft pick.  The Jays could net two picks for Scutaro and one for Barajas, assuming both turn down the arb offers by December 7th.

Keep this in mind with Scutaro – while he is a Type A, his 83.069 number is outranked by Rafael Soriano, John Lackey, Mike Gonzalez, Johnny Damon, Jason Bay, Jose Valverde, and Matt HollidayIt is possible the Blue Jays will not receive a first-round pick for Scutaro, instead getting a second or even third-rounder along with their supplemental pick.

White Sox Do Not Offer Arb To Dye, Dotel

The White Sox will not offer arbitration to Jermaine Dye (A), Octavio Dotel (A), Scott Podsednik (neither), or Ramon Castro (neither), tweets White Sox VP Scott Reifert.  None of these decisions come as a surprise.  Note that teams interested in Dye and Dotel can now be certain that the players will not cost draft picks.

Gregg Zaun To Sign By Week’s End

Free agent catcher Gregg Zaun did an interview with Canada's The Sports Network (hat tip to DRays Bay).  Asked when we'll hear news of his signing, Zaun replied:

It'll be done before the end of this week, before the Winter Meetings. All I can say right now is there is more than one club involved and not all of them are in the American League.

Today we'll learn whether Zaun, a Type B free agent, is offered arbitration by the Rays.  My guess is they won't, mainly because they already turned down his $2MM club option.  Where do you think Zaun will land?  The Blue Jays, Royals, Mariners, Giants, Astros, Nationals, and Mets might consider offering up a starting job.

Padres Do Not Offer Arb To Brian Giles

The Padres will not offer arbitration to Type B free agent outfielder Brian Giles, MLB.com's Corey Brock learned from GM Jed Hoyer.  Backup catcher Henry Blanco, who is neither A nor B, also will not get an offer.  Brock says the Padres would like to re-sign Blanco, but Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports believes he's close to a deal with the Mets.

Giles was an easy decision after he fell off a cliff in 2009, hitting just .191/.277/.271 in 253 plate appearances while earning $9MM.  Giles dealt with a knee injury during the season.