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Managers And GMs On Expiring Contracts

By Mark Polishuk | October 15, 2010 at 6:36pm CDT

If you haven't gotten enough of this offseason's dugout and front office hot stove action, it's never too early to look ahead to what positions could be open next winter.  With a tip of the hat to Cot's Baseball Contracts, here's a look at the managers and GMs who are entering the final year of their current deals.

  • Baltimore — We've already heard that Andy MacPhail, the team's president of baseball operations, isn't planning to discuss an extension this winter.  This isn't necessarily a sign that MacPhail is either a lame duck or wants to leave after next season, since Jeff Zrebiec of the Baltimore Sun points out that MacPhail isn't the type to negotiate a new contract in the media.
  • Boston — Terry Francona is technically on this list since 2011 is the last guaranteed year of his contract, but he has club options for both 2012 and 2013.  Barring something totally unforseen, it's a lock that the Red Sox will pick up those options and have their two-time World Series-winning manager in the dugout for years to come.
  • Chicago — Ozzie Guillen has a club option for 2012 that becomes guaranteed if the White Sox win the AL Central next season, and the manager has been vocal about wanting to "know where he stands in the eyes of the organization."  Given the roller-coaster relationship between Guillen and GM Kenny Williams, who knows what might happen next winter if the Sox aren't division champions.  Williams, for his part, has a unique perpetual contract with the club that rolls over every season and pays him a year's severance if he's fired.  Williams would probably be favored to stay if he and Guillen's relationship ever deteriorated into a 'he goes or I go' showdown.
  • Cincinnati — Manager Dusty Baker has already received an extension from the Reds, and GM Walt Jocketty is likely to receive the same treatment this offseason.
  • Detroit — The Tigers have almost $70MM worth of salaries coming off the books, thus making it a very important winter for GM Dave Dombrowski to set up not just the 2011 Tigers as contenders, but the next several editions of the team.  Dombrowski and manager Jim Leyland built up a lot of goodwill in Detroit after winning the AL pennant in 2006, but the Tigers haven't returned to the postseason since.  Leyland already feels the pressure, and though Dombrowski has done an admirable job in rebuilding the Tigers from their laughingstock status at the start of the century, the GM could be on the hot seat too if this winter's moves backfire in 2011.
  • New York — The three-year extension that Brian Cashman signed after the 2008 season is up after 2011, but it's hard to see Cashman leaving, especially if he gets another World Series ring this fall.  As we've seen with Joe Girardi, Derek Jeter and Mariano Rivera, the Yankee policy of avoiding in-season negotiations extends to even the franchise's biggest names, so we likely won't hear any news about a new deal for Cashman until October 2011 at the earliest.
  • Philadelphia — Charlie Manuel signed a one-year extension for 2011 after the Phillies won the 2008 World Series, and GM Ruben Amaro Jr.'s deal also runs out after next season.  The Phils won't let either man go anywhere. 
  • Pittsburgh — GM Neal Huntington signed an extension through 2011 last winter and it wouldn't be a surprise to see him receive another one-year extension this offseason.  The Pirates have seen their loss total increase in each of the three seasons of Huntington's tenure (95 to 99 to 105) and the firing of manager John Russell indicates that there is some urgency in Pittsburgh to get the franchise back on track.  Expectations are still very modest for next year's club, but another 105-loss campaign will probably get Huntington fired.
  • San Francisco — Bruce Bochy and Brian Sabean both have club options for 2012 that look like locks to be picked up given the Giants' ongoing playoff success.
  • Texas — Jon Daniels is under contract through 2011 but he has the option of opting out of his Rangers contract this winter since the team was sold.  There have been whispers about the Mets being interested in Daniels, but there has been no contact between the Amazin's and the Texas GM.  As in the Giants, Phillies and Reds situations, playoff success is a great way to earn an extension.  Count on Daniels and manager Ron Washington to still be at the Ballpark through 2012.
  • Washington — Though Stephen Strasburg's injury erased any hope the Nationals had of contending next season, the team is ready to spend some money this winter, even looking at top-tier free agents like Cliff Lee.  The bottom line is that continued improvement is expected in Washington, or else manager Jim Riggleman won't have his club option picked up for 2012.

 

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Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox Chicago White Sox Cincinnati Reds Detroit Tigers New York Yankees San Francisco Giants Texas Rangers Washington Nationals

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Odds & Ends: Lee, Astros, Hermida, Rockies

By Luke Adams 2 | October 14, 2010 at 7:40pm CDT

As Cliff Lee prepares to face the Yankees in the ALCS, he's trying not to think about his impending free agency, according to T.R. Sullivan and Bill Ladson. Still, Lee hinted to the MLB.com writers that winning the World Series with the Rangers this year would make it that much harder to leave Texas. Here are a few other links from around the league, as we count down the final 24 hours until the ALCS gets underway….

  • The Astros removed three players from their 40-man roster, outrighting Brian Esposito, Anderson Hernandez, and Wladimir Sutil to Triple-A, according to a team release.
  • Jeremy Hermida appreciates that the Athletics allowed him to reach free agency early in the offseason, says Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle.
  • Troy Renck of the Denver Post asked Lance Berkman about the possibility of coming to Colorado for next season, and Berkman said he might be interested (Twitter links). Of course, the 34-year-old will be looking for an everyday role, and Todd Helton is still very much in the first base picture for the Rockies.
  • In a separate tweet, Renck adds that even with Jarrod Saltalamacchia under contract, the Red Sox could still inquire on Chris Iannetta this winter.
  • Fangraphs' Jack Moore argues that Paul Janish's play at shortstop should prompt the Reds to turn down Orlando Cabrera's 2011 option. Yesterday, over 80% of you opined that Cincinnati wouldn't exercise Cabrera's option.
  • The Triple-A Portland Beavers will be sold to a group led by Padres owner Jeff Moorad, as J. Harry Jones of the San Diego Union-Tribune writes. If everything proceeds as planned, the club will play in Tucson in 2011 and then move permanently to Escondido in 2012, according to Jones and Josh Leventhal of Baseball America.
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Cincinnati Reds Colorado Rockies Houston Astros Oakland Athletics San Diego Padres Texas Rangers Anderson Hernandez Brian Esposito Chris Iannetta Cliff Lee Jeremy Hermida Lance Berkman Orlando Cabrera Wladimir Sutil

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Poll: Will The Reds Pick Up Cabrera’s Option?

By Zachary Links | October 13, 2010 at 9:12pm CDT

Last winter the Reds signed Orlando Cabrera to a one-year deal in part because of his leadership abilities and playoff experience.  The veteran earned $2.02MM in 2010 with a $4MM mutual option for 2011.  If Cincinnati declines the option, the buyout will be for $1MM and if Cabrera declines, it will be for $500K.

While Mark Sheldon of MLB.com writes that Cabrera delivered on the leadership, his offensive numbers slipped in 2010.  The soon-to-be 36-year-old hit .263/.303/.354 in 123 games while playing above-average (5.3 UZR/150) defense.  Meanwhile, Paul Janish improved his offensive production, posting a slash line of .260/.338/.385 in 82 games while also playing a solid shortstop (2.2 UZR/150) in a limited role.  Janish also did a solid job of filling in for Cabrera when he was injured for critical games in August.

Will the Reds pick up their end of Cabrera's option?

Click here to take the poll, and here to view the results.

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Cincinnati Reds MLBTR Polls Orlando Cabrera

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Rhodes, Gomes Want To Return To Reds

By Zachary Links | October 11, 2010 at 5:20pm CDT

Both reliever Arthur Rhodes and left fielder Jonny Gomes would like to return to the Reds in 2011, writes MLB.com's Mark Sheldon. 

Rhodes, 40, is coming off of a two-year, $4MM deal.  The veteran turned in one of his best seasons to date, recording a 2.29 ERA with 8.2 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 in a career-high 69 apperances.  After earning his first career All-Star nod, the lefty told the Reds that he would "love to come back".  Rhodes has yet to receive an indication from the Reds one way or another.

Gomes' future is also up in the air as Cincinnati holds a $1.75MM club option on his contract.  While his service time dictates that he would be arbitration-eligible this winter, Gomes' deal calls for him to be released if his option is not exercised.  The soon-to-be 30-year-old didn't re-up with the Reds until just before Spring Training last year and says that he's prepared for that scenario again this year.  He earned $800K in 2010 as he hit .266/.327/.431 with 18 HRs in 148 games.  The Reds have until two weeks after the World Series to decide on Gomes' option but like Rhodes, the outfielder has yet to hear anything from the club.

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Cincinnati Reds Arthur Rhodes Jonny Gomes

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Reds Will Exercise Arroyo’s Option

By Steve Adams | October 9, 2010 at 2:42pm CDT

The Cincinnati Enquirer's John Fay tweets that Reds' GM Walt Jocketty has said he will "definitely" pick up Bronson Arroyo's $11MM option for 2011. Jocketty says they'll try to add years to the contract as well. If that fails, Arroyo is essentially on a one-year, $9MM deal, as the Reds would've had to pay a $2MM buy out on the option anyway.

Arroyo, 34 in February, was traded to the Reds from Boston along with $1.5MM in exchange for Wily Mo Pena back in 2006. The trade came as a surprise move, as Arroyo had just signed an extension with the Red Sox two months prior. In February of 2007, he signed a two-year $25MM extension with the Reds that includes this $11MM option.

Arroyo has been a workhorse for the Reds over the course of his Cincinnati tenure, throwing 200 innings or more in every season, and compiling a 3.97 ERA over that time with 6.2 K/9 and a solid 2.6 BB/9. While his strikeouts are down over the past two seasons, his control has improved and he's become more difficult to hit. Arroyo allowed a career-best 7.8 hits per nine innings in 2010 (though that was likely aided by a .246 BABIP — well below his career .290 mark), helping the Reds to the NL Central Division Championship.

The Reds will have their hands full in trying to extend Arroyo, as he's made it clear this season that he won't accept a discount to stay with the Reds. Back in July, Arroyo told Fay that he wouldn't consider restructuring his contract at a discount like teammate Scott Rolen did. Arroyo said that got burned when he took a discount to stay in Boston and was traded months later, and that he had to look out for his own best interest this time around.

One thing the Reds will have in their favor is that Arroyo has said that he would prefer to remain with the Reds for at least three more years. He cited liking the city and the team's young talent as reasons.

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Cincinnati Reds Transactions Bronson Arroyo

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Free Agent Stock Watch: Ramon Hernandez

By Luke Adams 2 | October 7, 2010 at 6:08pm CDT

Ramon Hernandez was on the wrong side of history last night, as part of a Reds lineup that couldn't scratch out a single hit against Roy Halladay. But on the whole, 2010 has been a successful year for the Cincinnati backstop. Hernandez signed a one-year, $3MM contract with the Reds last winter, which included a vesting option for 2011. The 34-year-old fell short of playing the 120 games needed to guarantee his return to the Reds, so he could be heading to free agency this winter. Let's break down his stock, as the Reds prepare for Friday's game….

The Pros

  • Hernandez posted the best OBP and third-best OPS of his career in 2010. His final totals in 352 plate appearances were .297/.364/.428, which represents his best slash line since 2006.
  • His play behind the plate still appears solid. He threw out more than a third of potential basestealers and allowed just two passed balls over the last two seasons.
  • The Reds have a pre-arbitration catcher in Ryan Hanigan, and, as Hal McCoy of the Dayton Daily News points out, their minor league system seems to be "catcher-rich." As such, there's a chance the Reds will decide not to offer Hernandez arbitration, in which case he wouldn't cost a draft pick to sign.

The Cons

  • Hernandez split time this year with Hanigan, who earned 58 starts. Given that he'll turn 35 in May, Hernandez's days of playing 120+ games behind the plate might be behind him.
  • In addition to his age, Hernandez's health may be a concern. After undergoing knee surgery in 2009, the veteran spent some time on the disabled list in 2010 with knee soreness.
  • Unlike free agent catchers Victor Martinez and John Buck, Hernandez doesn't hit for much power anymore. He hit just 12 longballs during his two years in Cincinnati.
  • Hernandez projects as a Type A free agent, so if he turns down an arbitration offer from the Reds, clubs may be reluctant to give up a high draft pick to sign him.

The Verdict

Whether or not the Reds offer Hernandez arbitration will play a significant role in what sort of contract he earns this offfseason. If the team makes an arbitration offer, the catcher could very well accept it, knowing that his Type A status might hurt his open market value. Even without an arbitration offer, Hernandez may not do better than a one-year deal, given his age and injury history. While his productive 2010 campaign should earn him a raise on last year's $3MM salary, it appears to be a buyer's market for catchers.

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Cincinnati Reds Free Agent Stock Watch Ramon Hernandez

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Odds & Ends: Dodgers, Theriot, Padres, Reds, Harper

By Zachary Links | October 5, 2010 at 9:08pm CDT

Some links on the eve of playoff baseball..

  • The Dodgers have asked Rick Honeycutt to return next season but the pitching coach is weighing his options, tweets Ken Davidoff of Newsday.
  • Dave Cameron of U.S.S. Mariner takes a look at potential second base candidates for the M's in 2011.  Ryan Theriot, who was less-than-stellar for the Cubs and Dodgers this season, is among the players listed.
  • Jerry Hairston Jr. told Jim Bowden of XM Radio (via Twitter) that he wants to return to the Padres in 2011.
  • The Reds could be in position to contend for years to come if they keep their key pieces, writes MLB.com's Mark Sheldon.
  • While the O's projected rotation for 2011 is young, GM Andy MacPhail hasn't ruled out the possibility of bringing a veteran aboard to fill the place of pending free agent Kevin Millwood.
  • The Nats probably won't have Bryce Harper play in the Arizona Fall League this year, writes Adam Kilgore of the Washington Post.
  • You can expect a busy winter in San Diego, writes Bill Center of the Union-Tribune.
  • Mariners CEO Howard Lincoln and GM Jack Zduriencik sent a letter to fans promising better times ahead.  Larry Stone of The Seattle Times notes that Josh Lueke was omitted from a list of the system's "hard-throwing pitchers".
  • Jim Callis of Baseball America (via Twitter) believes that the Mets should hire Logan White as their next GM.
  • The Pirates have interviewed Eric Wedge for their vacant managerial opening, tweets Jenifer Langosch of MLB.com.
  • Dejan Kovacevic of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette gives his thoughts on John Russell's tenure as Pirates skipper.
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Baltimore Orioles Cincinnati Reds New York Mets Pittsburgh Pirates Seattle Mariners Washington Nationals Bryce Harper Jerry Hairston Jr. Josh Lueke Kevin Millwood Ryan Theriot

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Arbitration Eligibles: Cincinnati Reds

By Tim Dierkes | October 5, 2010 at 3:56pm CDT

The Reds are next in our arbitration eligibles series…

  • First time: Joey Votto, Edinson Volquez, Johnny Cueto, Jay Bruce, Bill Bray
  • Second time: Jared Burton, Corky Miller, Laynce Nix
  • Third time: Jonny Gomes

Votto will reach arbitration with a .314/.401/.557 career line in 456 games, including 268 runs, 90 home runs, 298 RBIs, 28 steals, a second-place Rookie of the Year finish, an All-Star appearance, and probably an MVP award.  He'll have no problem making $7MM or more, and he doesn't know if he'd be interested in a long-term deal.

Rotation members Volquez and Cueto will certainly be tendered contracts too.  John Danks' first-time arbitration salary of $3.45MM could be a target, though Cueto has the superior platform year among the two Reds pitchers. 

Bruce isn't going anywhere either.  MLBTR broke the news in June that he will be the Super Two with the least amount of service time this offseason, at two years and 125 days.  Carlos Quentin's $3.2MM might be his goal.

Bray is worth tendering.  He had Tommy John surgery in May of '09, limiting his career numbers.  He was pretty good in 28.3 big league innings this year in his return.  Burton would be slightly more expensive, coming from an $810K salary.  Dealing with asthma and lack of strength this year, Burton spent most of the season at Triple A.  I could see this one going either way depending on how the Reds feel about his health.  His raise would be minimal.

Miller, who was outrighted in July but had his contract purchased in September, will likely be non-tendered for the flexibility.  Nix was outrighted in November of last year and re-signed to a minor league deal.  He was better this year, but was limited by an August ankle injury.  I lean toward the Reds non-tendering him and attempting to re-sign him to a minor league deal again.

The Reds non-tendered Gomes last year coming off a .267/.338/.541 season, re-signing him in February.  He performed worse on a rate basis with more playing time this year, but managed to knock in 86 runs.  Gomes' current contract with the Reds has a $1.75MM club option for 2011 with a $500K buyout.  I'm not sure if they'll find the $1.25MM net price to their liking, but according to Cot's Baseball Contracts the Reds have to release Gomes if they decline his option.  Perhaps that means he's not technically arbitration eligible.

If the Reds let all of their free agents leave and also cut Gomes, Miller, and Nix, I estimate they'd have around $60MM committed.  That'd mean $16MM to work with if payroll is held steady, and perhaps more given this year's attendance jump and playoff revenue.

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Arbitration Eligibles Cincinnati Reds

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Reds Sign Dusty Baker To Extension

By Tim Dierkes | October 4, 2010 at 10:51am CDT

The Reds announced their two-year extension with manager Dusty Baker, tweets SI's Jon Heyman.  Baker's likely deal was first reported by Hal McCoy of the Dayton Daily News on September 30th.

The Reds initially hired Baker with a three-year, $10.5MM deal back in '07.  The Reds finished under .500 in '08 and '09 but won the NL Central this year.

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Cincinnati Reds Transactions

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Free Agent Stock Watch: Aaron Harang

By Tim Dierkes | October 3, 2010 at 6:16pm CDT

Aaron Harang may have made his last start as a member of the Reds today, writes MLB.com's Mark Sheldon.  The big righty had his outing cut short by a blister, and probably will not make the postseason roster.  The Reds are certain to choose Harang's $2MM buyout over his $12.75MM club option for 2011.  His best years were 2005-07, when the workhorse tossed 677.6 innings of 3.77 ball.  Let's assess his situation.

The Pros

  • Even as he started to slip in recent years, Harang's peripherals remained respectable.  He's prone to hits and homers, but at least he gets strikeouts and limits walks typically.
  • He's highly likely to sign a one-year deal.
  • Harang will not cost a draft pick to sign.  In fact, he's below a Type B.

The Cons

  • He's always been a flyball pitcher.  He's also so hittable that many of his frequent home runs allowed will come with runners on base.
  • This year Harang's strikeout rate was his lowest since '03, while his walk rate was his highest since '04.
  • Harang hasn't reached 200 innings since '07, as he's dealt with forearm and back injuries as well as an appendectomy.

The Verdict

Harang needs a big ballpark, and could join the long list of free agents hoping to rebuild value in San Diego.  He could be looking at a base salary in the $3-4MM range for 2011.

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Cincinnati Reds Free Agent Stock Watch Aaron Harang

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