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Olney On The Battle For Young Talent

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 5:11pm CDT

Baseball's becoming younger and teams are changing the way they operate, as ESPN.com's Buster Olney shows. In the steroid era, teams relied on players older than 30 for their production. With the help of Baseball Prospectus, Olney shows that teams have become much more reliant on younger players. Here are the reasons why teams rely on young talent and the effect this reliance has around the league:

  • Players are cheapest for their first six years in the majors, before they become free agents.
  • As Oakland GM Billy Beane says, "everybody" is now working to develop their own talent.
  • Even Yankees GM Brian Cashman prefers to develop his own players.
  • Since teams are heavily invested in their top minor leaguers, they're providing them with better nutrition and more ways to stay in shape. 
  • Teams are willing to spend considerably more on amateur players, internationally and in the draft.
  • There's now less information sharing between rival organizations, as the competition for talent has increased.  
  • Some teams, like the Red Sox, are sending multiple scouts to watch players since they want to be more confident in their evaluations.
  • Teams have adopted a "broader use of statistics in evaluating players."  
  • Teams will poach the best coaches from other organizations to maximize their return on every player. 
  • There's more of a personal emphasis on players than before.  
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Discussion: Trade Deadline Predictions

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 15, 2009 at 4:17pm CDT

Just for fun, why don't we kick off the second half of the MLB season with a few trade deadline predictions? Here are three from me and I'm looking forward to reading yours in the comments below:

  • The Blue Jays will trade Roy Halladay to the Phillies for a group of prospects headed by Kyle Drabek, Michael Taylor or Dominic Brown. 
  • The Nationals will trade Nick Johnson to salvage some value from their first baseman before he hits free agency. Johnson missed three quarters of last season, so he's not likely to rank high enough under the Elias rankings to bring the Nats compensation picks and they won't want to let him walk for nothing.
  • The A's will hold onto Matt Holliday as the market for pricey ($13.5MM), slumping (no homers since June 5th) players isn't strong.  
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All-Star Game 2009 Open Thread

By | July 14, 2009 at 7:06pm CDT

The 2009 All-Star Game is about to get underway at the new Busch Stadium in St. Louis.  We're not expecting a whole lot of rumors during play, but an open thread to discuss the game and/or trade possibilities seems fitting.

  • Will the National League finally come out on top?
  • Can Albert Pujols rise to the occasion in front of the home crowd?
  • Let's hear it, MLBTR community.  I'll be around all night to field questions and make comments.
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MLBTR Transactions-Only RSS Feed

By Tim Dierkes | July 14, 2009 at 2:57pm CDT

Looking for a bare bones version of MLBTR?  We have a new RSS feed available for those who'd like to monitor only the actual transactions and none of the rumors.  This transactions-only feed resides at:

http://feeds.feedburner.com/MLBTRTransactions

Of course, you can still subscribe to MLBTR's all-inclusive feed here (23K subscribers and counting!):

http://feeds.feedburner.com/MlbTradeRumors

If you're new to RSS, consider signing up for Google Reader and adding a few feeds from your favorite blogs and websites.  It's a free and easy way to be alerted to new posts minutes and even seconds after they're published.

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Trade Candidates

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 14, 2009 at 12:30pm CDT

With a mere two and a half weeks to go before the deadline, here are your trade candidates at each position:

  • Catchers
  • Middle Infielders 
  • Corner Infielders
  • Outfielders 
  • Starting Pitchers 
  • Relievers  
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Playoff Odds Update

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | July 12, 2009 at 6:32pm CDT

It's been a while since we last checked in on the playoff odds. Lots of teams say they expect to contend, but let's take a look at which teams have fallen out of the pennant race. These clubs have less than a 10% chance of making the playoffs, according to Baseball Prospectus. 

  • Reds – 4.5%
  • Astros – 4.4%
  • Blue Jays – 2.8%
  • Pirates - 0.9% 
  • Royals – 0.8% 
  • Indians – 0.5% 
  • Diamondbacks – 0.3%  
  • Athletics – 0.3% 
  • Orioles – 0.0%    
  • Padres – 0.0% 
  • Nationals – 0.0% 

None of these teams are close and eight of them have less than a 1% chance. It would take a surprisingly good second half for one of these clubs to make the playoffs, but that doesn't mean the Reds and Astros are sellers, since they're close enough to contention that firesales would be tough to justify to the fans.

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Discussion: St. Louis Cardinals

By Mike Axisa | July 11, 2009 at 7:00pm CDT

The Cardinals came into today with the best record in the NL Central, yet GM John Mozeliak is still out there looking for ways to improve his team. Newly acquired Mark DeRosa went down with a torn tendon sheath in his wrist just ten plate appearances into his Redbird career, but the team was still looking to add another bat even before he went down. More recently, we've heard that they're very interested in starter Roy Halladay despite having limited payroll flexibility.

What do you guys think the Cardinals should do? They come into today with the third best team ERA in the game at 3.75, but rank just middle of the pack with 394 runs scored. Should they look to add a big bat to protect Albert Pujols, who will only get fewer pitches to hit in the second half, or bring in another arm to solidify the pitching staff? Do they have the resources to do both?

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Discussion: Jonathan Sanchez

By Mike Axisa | July 11, 2009 at 10:43am CDT

Giants southpaw Jonathan Sanchez is no stranger to the trade rumor circuit, having been dangling for a big bat since last season. Just over three weeks ago we heard that Sanchez's stock was declining sharply because of his struggles as a starter.

However it's safe to say after last night's no-hit effort that Sanchez's stock is back up, but just how much? One game shouldn't be weighed so heavily, but what should be done isn't always what is done. Could Sanchez get the Gigantes that big bat now? Is he enough to land a Nick Johnson or Adam LaRoche? What do you guys think?

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Discussion: What Should The Indians Do?

By Mike Axisa | July 10, 2009 at 9:22pm CDT

Earlier tonight we noted that the Indians were looking to "cut corners because of the economy" when setting next year's payroll, not something you'd like to hear from the team with worst record in the American League and second worst overall. The Indians have already moved Mark DeRosa, and they have several other desirable pieces in closer Kerry Wood and infielder Jamey Carroll.

However, the Tribe's two best trade chips are reigning Cy Young Award winner Cliff Lee and All Star backstop Victor Martinez, but the club hasn't made it known that either player is available just yet. The team holds options on both players for 2010, totalling $15MM combined.

Given their financial situation for next year, do you think the Indians should deal Lee and V-Mart now and maximize the return, or hold on to them and try to contend next year? Both players would bring significant young and cost controlled piece back, and if GM Mark Shapiro plays his cards right, he could be looking at not one, but two Mark Teixeira-esque hauls here. So, what do you think?

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Odds & Ends: Washburn, White Sox, Braves

By Eddie Schmid | July 7, 2009 at 8:30pm CDT

Seeking out the freshest links so you don't have to–don't change the channel, here are some Odds & Ends:

  • Mark Bowman at MLB.com gives an extensive look at the Braves' situation, wondering if GM Frank Wren will be a buyer or a seller.
  • The AP talked to White Sox GM Kenny Williams, fresh off his recent deal for Tony Pena, who says that low attendance numbers could affect the team's ability to make a big splash at the deadline.
  • Anthony Castrovince at MLB.com examines the Indians' return for C.C. Sabathia and wonders if it was enough.
  • Ryan Divish at the Tacoma News-Tribune talks Jarrod Washburn, who is doing wonders for his trade value this season.
  • Tom Haudricourt at the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel says Ryan Braun finished talking with Doug Melvin, and the controversy over Braun's comments about the team needing a pitcher seem to be behind them.
  • Jon Heyman at SI tweets that the Diamondbacks could envision newly-acquired Brandon Allen as their starting first baseman next season.
  • Jim Callis at Baseball America examines recent draft pick signings and notes that only two have been above slot, and barely.
  • Thomas Boswell at the Washington Post thinks the Nationals are due for a major overhaul.
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