The Angels have been mired in mediocrity for more than a decade now, despite employing both Mike Trout and Shohei Ohtani at the peak of their powers in that time. It’s been tough to be an Angels fan for a very long time, but this year has offered the Anaheim faithful at least some hope. The team, while two games under .500, is still at least nominally in the Wild Card race as they sit just four games back of a playoff spot in the expanded postseason field.
It wouldn’t be the first time the club has been aggressive in spite of long postseason odds. They bought aggressively at the 2023 trade deadline, adding a group of players headlined by Lucas Giolito as they fought to make the playoffs during Ohtani’s final year under club control despite Fangraphs giving the club just a 19.5% chance at the postseason on July 31 of that year. The Angels find themselves in a situation with at least some parallels to that season now.
While Trout remains under club control for quite some time, he has a chance to finish this season healthier than he’s been at any point in his thirties and has looked very much like the player he was throughout the 2010s since returning from his latest IL stint at the end of May. In 45 games since being activated, Trout has hit a robust .279/.424/.468 (147 wRC+) and tied Juan Soto for the highest walk rate in all of baseball. His .397 xwOBA this season is the eleventh-highest figure in the sport among qualified hitters, suggesting even better days could be ahead if he can just stay on the field. For a team that hasn’t made the postseason since Trout was 22 years old, any opportunity to get their franchise face and future Hall of Famer onto the sport’s biggest stage is one that the Angels should take seriously.
On the other hand, Trout’s continued health is obviously far from a guarantee. It’s already unknown when he’ll be ready to do more than DH. And after the past half decade, no one should be surprised if another injury were to sideline him down the stretch. What’s more, the Angels are simply not in the same position they found themselves in back in 2023. They’re four games out of a playoff spot entering play today, compared to just half a game out on July 31 of 2023. Only five teams in all of baseball have a lower run differential than Anaheim, which has allowed 61 more runs than it’s scored this year, and Fangraphs gives the Halos just a 4.8% chance of the postseason entering play today.
Perhaps the course of action for the Angels is simply to stand pat. Luis Rengifo is in the midst of a brutal season, leaving the player who would otherwise be their top trade chip unlikely to bring much value to the table. Kyle Hendricks, Yoan Moncada, and other rentals on the club have not done much to position themselves as top-of-the-line trade pieces, meaning closer Kenley Jansen could be the only rental piece on the roster with a substantial market. Trading longer-term pieces like Yusei Kikuchi and Reid Detmers could bring back more value, but would signal a willingness to forgo mid-term competitiveness despite the fact that Trout is already in his age-33 season. That would be something of a shock for Angels ownership to sign off on, given their previous tendencies.
How do MLBTR readers think the Angels will approach this coming deadline? Will they engage in a proper selloff, or could they instead stand pat in hopes of making a postseason run—or perhaps even do some light buying? Have your say in the poll below:
This summer is the Angels property to sell?
It is sometimes amazing to find out what Arte owns…
Sell the F-ing team ice agents take Arte Moreno to alligators Alcatraz that way, end the Angels fans misery
I say bye trade some prospects. These players are playing their hearts out You can’t give up on them and pull the rug underneath them now!
Not mentioning Taylor Ward makes this article unserious
He would bring a decent return
He’s not going anywhere. They will be more competitive next year and they hardly trade played with more years of control.
The angels will never trade Taylor ward, just like how the Rockies will never trade McMahon
After the weekend series, call up Dombro and say “Ward for Painter.” Maybe hes drunk? Otherwise, carry on.
They shouldn’t. Their offense is good, but they need pitching in the worst way. I think they are playing well enough to get make the wild card if they can get a legit rotation.
That’s what I thought back in 2023 when they were also close to .500 this time in July and then they traded for giolito
That was not a good move… the angels always collapse in the dog days of august
Going for it with Ohtani wasn’t a bad move, however every move Minasian made was bad….everyone.
They also had a crazy amount of injuries in 2023, which contributed to their collapse. The difference is they’ve been unusually healthy this season. Even Trout has only missed about a month and other players like Moncada and Soler haven’t stayed too long on the DL.
I still don’t think it’s wise to trade for rental pieces as they aren’t that good to contend this season for anything more than a wild card spot. But I’m not opposed to trading for players under contract or control through next season or beyond.
And of course, if Perry receives trade offers with strong packages for Jansen, Anderson, Moncada, Soler or Rengifo, then you need to consider making those deals.
So, I think they should do a little buying and selling at the deadline.
This team isn’t going to be good until Minasian and Moreno are gone.
I don’t trust anything they do.
The angels haven’t made the playoffs in over a decade. Just getting into a wild card game would be huge for them. They got the offense, but I don’t think they have the pieces to trade for any front line starter without taking a major step back. I suppose that’s what happens when you draft players onto your major league roster. Which by the way, I absolutely love.
While I agree with your sentiment, I feel that they can win* despite Arte/Perry (not this year, but in next couple of years) just as they won under Disney, which was also terrible ownership. They just need to stay on course with their youngsters and draft picks until it gels. And they’ve been showing glimpses this season.
To clarify, I don’t necessarily say win* as in winning a world series, but meant more in terms of a winning culture (like they had in the 2000s), winning divisions and regularly getting into the postseason.
Orange, I wish I could see it.
I can’t see one position where they have a top of the line player. And I won’t see Neto as a top of the line player with 3% Range. That’s their best player.
So, they need to be above average at every position. And I don’t see that either. Too many holes.
To me, I see a lot of Freddie Freeman in Shanuel. He could wins batting title one year and if he can add another 7-10 home runs to his game, he’ll he a very legit hitter.
Freeman has slugged. Schanuel is slugging under 400.
My hope he could become Mark Hargrove, but they spent a year trying to get him to pull the ball.
I was hoping for Mike Hargrove. But he has to get back to what he was.
He’s shown really good progress in slug this year. But that’s what I’m saying. He’s certainly big enough to unlock a lot more natural power. If he does that, with his bat to ball skills, he could be really special.
orange2001: ” just as they won under Disney, which was also terrible ownership”
Disney had full control of the Angels for six full seasons (1997-2022). The team had a winning record for four of those six seasons, cumulating with 99 wins and a WS ring in 2002.
Under Moreno, the big-market Angels haven’t had a playoff appearance or even a winning season in a decade. The last playoff game win was over 15 years ago. The farm is consistently ranked one of the worst in the MLB. There have been drug and bribery scandals.
I guess I’ll take the “terrible ownership” by Disney over the “terrible ownership” by Moreno.
Yes. We need a good old fashion fire sale. I’d like to see something similar to the Cleveland Spiders / St. Louis Browns trade.
We all need a good Old Fashioned as Angels fans.
Is that why I’ve suddenly been craving them when I go out for drinks with friends over the last few years?
Whiskey or Brandy?
@big deke Whiskey. I didn’t know they made old fashioneds with brandy.
It’s a midwest thing, I went to college and was a bartender in Wisconsin.
Probably stand pat, but Perry might try and add to make a competitive playoff push…
Jansen would bring in some substantial prospects back, but sadly knowing the Angels they’ll muck it up…
That and Jansen has stated quite publicly that he does not want to be traded because he wants to stay and help the team win.
That’s nice of Jansen, he probably won’t be traded. Angels front office probably won’t do much this deadline anyway.
Yeah, they kept Pillar last year because he wanted to stay and help, so I can see this happening with Jansen as well.
It could also be that they didn’t get any good offers. Angels seem to over-value their players.
And willing to bet they also didn’t receive any good offers (if any) for Pillar last season. They didn’t hesitate to trade Estevez and Garcia as they received nice packages for both… and they would’ve done the same had someone offered 2 fringe prospects for him.
Angels are probably going to be delusional again and buy at the deadline just to win 75 games
This younger version of the Angels has at least been watchable, unlike some other recent years.
If I actually knew what the Angels should do, I’m fairly sure I’d be running the Angels.
Did you watch that minor league game yesterday? Sorting by Fangraphs team defense the Angels ranks 30th.
How are they watchable? They have been outscored by 61 runs. We are very lucky to be close to 500.
At Halo11 – we gifted the game to the Mets yesterday. That’s about 12 this year by my count.
For me, there are four things that make a team unwatchable.
1) Do their batters strike out a lot? The Angels rank 29th. but I can live with that because they hit for power.
2). Do they turn outs into outs? The Angels rank 30th.in defense. 30th in outs above average.
3). Do their pitchers throw strikes? The Angels lead the league in walks.
4). Does their bullpen shut the door? The Angels pen is 29th in ERA. Mixed bag in blowing games. 29th in negative win probability, Fifth in Win Probability Added.
It’s a hard team to watch.
Bro, you are the cal Ripken of self hating Angel fan. I get it, Arte has zapped the joy, Not trading Ohtani for Caminero & Baz wakes me up some nights, but this team is very obviously the most exciting version of the angels in 7 years, cmon.
Why, because I see a team that doesn’t play good baseball and I notice.
I prefer reality.
I appreciate good baseball. And I don’t think you understand what good baseball looks like.
I’m a Cardinals fan and I think the Angels are a lot more enjoyable to watch than the Cardinals. The Angels don’t go entire series without scoring any runs. Though, I also really enjoy watching the Athletics as well. Big fan of all the talented youth in the game right now.
The Cardinals have scored more runs than the Angels and have outscored their opponents by 6 runs. They are also second in defense.
You must be the Cal Ripken of self hating Cardinals fans. :).
I guess the grass is always greener.
Look from June 1 on. And I’d still rather watch a team score 3-4 consistently every night than a team that puts up three in 6 games, then put up 8 and then back to being shut out.
They both have a similar amount of games scoring 2 or less run,
The Angels are 4 and 24.
The Cardinals are 4 and 28.
And the Angels just boot two balls. I’d rather a team turn outs into outs than single out four games.
Now 4 and 25.
If I knew what they should do, they’d do the opposite.
It doesn’t matter. Minasian will not have a single meeting where he is not the sucker at the table.
How many years is this owner/management team going to be in place?
Bullpen ERA since Perry took over,..25th. This year 28th. He can’t even fix the little things.
@Halo11Fan
Coming from the Dumpster fire ran Wilpon Mets, we in Metsville feel your pain. Hopefully Moreno wakes up one day and realizes the damage he’s done to not only a once great organization, but a loyal fan base. A fan base that now has to endure watching not only the Dodgers win for so long but doing so with the Angels own superstar. Ultimate proof that millionaires are dumb too.
Does Artie ever sell? The -Freak- Show Must Go On. Ahahahahahahaha!
No but they should
The Angels should not re-do 2023. That was uniquely justifiable because of Ohtani.
I expect they’ll buy because they’re the Angels, but it will be a mistake.
Angels should trade ward soler moncada Hendricks Jansen Renfigo we need to restock our farm system and push for next year to make the playoffs our young nucleus of Neto Schanuel ohoppe Adell Moore Soriano plus trout can make the playoffs with pitching additions in the offseason
Next year Trout will be a year older and probably hurt all season. They need to get TOR pitching and make a run at it. The west is a bad, they can make noise if they had pitching.
Given the headline, I assumed this article would be about Artie finally selling the team. No such luck for Angels fans.
Hear me out potential buyers, we have a 3B who hits lots of doubles and has won a World Series.
Lol
The Angels won’t “sell” necessarily. Maybe they deal a Pitcher or two to the Phillies, as has been the custom in recent years, but they won’t do anything drastic
Oh and also trade Anderson he should bring good prospects back
What they should do: Trade everyone, punt on the season, and with the pieces they’d get back for Trout alone, be in a good spot for the future.
What they will do: Trade scraps for scraps, hold on to Trout, and will be stuck in below averageness for the foreseeable future.
People who insist on including Trout in any kind of trade situation clearly have zero idea what they’re talking about.
They should sell. But my guess is that they wait until it is too late, and make one inconsequential sale.
The rental players, aside from Jansen, nobody wants.
The controllable players are decent enough that one could see continued progress into next year, so trading someone like Ward punts competitiveness next year.
They’ll stand pat unless there is some lower level reliever from the Giants or Braves that is offered/given to him.
Arte being Arte is more likely to extend Rendon than to sell…
Have you forgot that he opted NOT to get anything for Ohtani a couple years ago?
Focusing on run differential is kinda weak, especially for this site. They’ve improved since mid May. Injuries set them back, but this team didnt do much in the pitching dept beyond Kikuchi and Jansen yet look where they’re at. They’ve more competitive than experts predicted. If they add pieces, they’d be closer. Need to improve SP, BP, and contact bat prefer LH. People want them to sell but prospects aren’t guaranteed and they’re kinda close this year. If they eat $ and go over the tax for this year and possibly next, they could align themselves for higher projections. They finally have a core. But owner is inept, GM is confusing, and the fans not outside of Arte selling, not sure what they support
The naive 19% who think the Angels will push their chips in and go for it remind me of all the sports writers over the past 10+ years who have preseason picked the Angels to win the division while disregarding how bad the rest of the team is and what the management has historically done (or not done, rather).
Its not about whether they’ll make the post season, its the attempt. Seeing as they tried this in 2023, and the team is better this year, I can see it happening.
What amuses me is the 13% (currently 161 votes) who think the team is going to do a full tear-down. That’s never happened under Arte and won’t this year, either.
I don’t want to sell, perhaps add if the opportunity is right but not for the sake of making the playoffs this year. I think Moncada could be brought back cheap and I think that would be a good move, at least for next year. Renfigo should be traded because he is a significant liability on defense, despite his offensive production (which is off this year). He simply costs more games on defense then any value that he could add at the plate. Jansen, I would say make the deal as long as the return makes sense, otherwise ride it out since he is one of the reasons the team is in contention. As for Ward, keep him. He will leave a gaping hole and as we have seen, it takes years to fill the holes. Keeping him bodes well for signing him in the future. I don’t want to see a dumpster sale. I also don’t want to see young talent shipped off for temporary players.
Deben cambiar a Soler, Jansen, Rengifo, Moncada,Anderson y Trout.
Deben quitar de la receptoría a O’Hoppe y ponerlo de DH y otra posición.
Adquirir lanzadores.
They should sell.
I think they will just put everyone on waivers instead of trading them
Only if it’s required to put them back under the luxury tax line.
Honestly what is their “window”? I don’t even know. It’s kinda sorta now? Now-ish?
The angels GM looks like that Costco kid grown up
I always wondered what happened to this franchise. In the early 2000’s, they were the team to beat in the West and often talked more about than the Dodgers
I’ve felt since day one this season, if the Angels finish at or above .500 ball, the season is a success. That being said, if they can fleece someone like the Red Sox like they did last year, sure why not.
But…..realistically they do not have anyone of any real value, other than their core young group, that they can get much value back. I do not believe they should trade anyone less than 28 years of age this time around. Trade expiring contracts to desperate clubs, and build the team for more wins next year.
No.
Because Moreno is an idiot.
You have to have something that somebody else wants in order to sell. Saddy, they do not.
MrJimi
You say that but look what they got for Garcia last year. The trade deadline brings out some desperate teams!
Sell what?
Sell, sell, sell then sell some more!! Please!!!