The Orioles fired manager Brandon Hyde back in May, and since then Tony Mansolino has taken over managerial duties on an interim basis. Mansolino has done reasonably well in the role, as the Orioles have gone on to post a 54-50 record during his time as their interim manager. Turning a team that had one of the worst records in baseball around enough that they’ve won more games than they’ve lost over the past four months is an impressive feat, but Rich Dubroff of Baltimore Baseball suggests that this success doesn’t necessarily mean that Mansolino is a lock to be hired on a permanent basis.
Instead, Dubroff suggests that newly-minted president of baseball operations Mike Elias is likely to conduct a “lengthy” search, and while Mansolino could still be hired in the end the vacancy is likely to attract interest from a number of interesting candidates. It’s easy to see why that would be the case, when comparing Baltimore to the other teams with managerial vacancies. The presence of Paul Skenes gives the Pirates tantalizing potential, but they’ve already wasted his first two seasons under club control and have shown little interest in investing in the team’s payroll to improve the on-field product. The Rockies may not be quite as bad as the 2024 White Sox, but they’re close enough with 108 games already lost this season. The Nationals, meanwhile, have been mired in a rebuild for years and have struggled to get consistency out of even their most talented pieces.
By contrast, the Orioles have an impressive group of positional talent led by a legitimate star in Gunnar Henderson. Jordan Westburg and Adley Rutschman are reliable, proven pieces, and young talents like Jackson Holliday, Coby Mayo, Samuel Basallo, and Colton Cowser offer reason for optimism that more offensive output is on the way in future seasons. While the club’s pitching staff needs work and the offense is perhaps a little too reliant on young talent stepping forward next year, Baltimore seems likely to be more aggressive in improving the team this offseason than any of the aforementioned clubs on top of having a stronger baseline of talent.
Given the likely attractiveness of the Orioles job, Dubroff suggests that a wide range of potential names could emerge as candidates. He specifically name-checks a handful of former managers such as Brad Ausmus and Scott Servais and a trio of active bench coaches (Ryan Flaherty of the Cubs, Danny Lehman of the Dodgers, and George Lombard of the Tigers). One name Dubroff makes clear will not be leading the Orioles’ dugout in 2026 is former manager Buck Showalter, who he notes would “not be a good match” with Elias.
One internal candidate aside from Mansolino gets a mention from Dubroff, as well: John Mabry. Mabry was hired as a senior advisor not long after Hyde’s firing, and brings 14 years in the big leagues to the table as well as stints as a hitting coach for the Cardinals, Royals, and Marlins. Dubroff describes Mabry as a “long-shot” candidate for the role, however, which makes some sense; it would be something of a surprise if the Orioles decided to go with an internal hire and didn’t simply retain Mansolino in the role, given his overall success this year.
While it stands to reason that the Orioles are at least considering many of the names Dubroff mentioned, it should be noted that with two weeks to go in the regular season it’s very likely that the full field of managerial vacancies and candidates won’t come together for a while yet. Atlanta skipper Brian Snitker, for example, has not yet decided on whether he’ll retire following the 2025 campaign. There’s always the possibility that another position or two open up as we get closer to the end of the season, when teams around the league take the annual opportunity to evaluate their dugout and front office personnel.
How is Rutsch “reliable”? As usual, the narrative on the O’s ignores that the offense needs as much help as the pitching. Since Manso took the helm, I’ll spill a little secret – the record is only positive because of the pitching. The hitting has continued to be streaky and prone to imploding under pressure. There’s a serious question mark at 1B and Cowser’s swing and miss is increasingly troubling. Seems like only Beavers, Basallo, and AAAA Rivera can hit in the clutch. And what happens when the league finishes writing the book on the first two? Same with Jeremiah Jackson. I agree with the author’s premise that there is a good floor level of talent to build on, but the hitting is arguably this club’s main weakness as currently constructed. The only other need that comes close is a proper closer.
Mansolino or Don Kelly can come to KC. They both would benefit from a strong GM, which we have. No hate to Q, but I’m not sure he has the “touch,” just the analytics.
I wanted to quantify my statement and the results are a little mixed – maybe someone with statmuse can figure out where the O’s stand since Manso’s first game in 17 May in terms of number of blowouts, double digit runs allowed, double-digit runs scored, games scoring under 5 runs, and one-run games compared to the rest of the league. The numbers I came up with are what follows.
The Orioles’ run differential since Manso’s first game on May 17 is -10. 474 runs scored, 484 allowed. The O’s have had 13 blowout wins vs 30 blowout losses. In one-run games they have a win differential of 2, and are over .500 at 25-23. In the 14 games since Manso took over where the pitching gave up more than ten runs (five of which happened in the month of August after the trade deadline gutted the bullpen), they gave up 166 runs. In those beat downs they scored just 58 runs in response – an average of 4.14 runs per game. In eight of those smackdowns they produced less than five runs, so looking at it that way, six could have been prevented if they had a league-average offense. On the flipside, the offense has only produced 10 or more runs on nine occasions since Manso took over. They have played 69 games where the offense scored fewer than five runs in that same span. SIXTY NINE games of less than 5 runs scored out of 105 played in that timeframe!!! That’s 65% of their games. They rank 20th on the season in RPG at 4.28 but under Manso the number is 4.51, which would be between the A’s & TB if we used that number on the season list, good for 13th place – so at least in the top half of the league, but still in the loser category. Using a similar approach the pitching has allowed 4.61 RPG under Manso, which would improve their season rank from 25th up to a whooping 21st place between the ChiSox and STL.
So, some of the metrics make it look like the hitting is outpacing the pitching and returns to the mean (or just good health) by Cowser, Westburg, Rutsch, & Henderson could have serious impact. The thing I worry about though is that the pitching stats are skewed by a string of poor starts from Brandon Young and occasional blow-ups from Povich and Sugano, and the bullpen was continually let down by Corbin Martin and, to an extent still, by Yennier Cano. The current unit without Martin is stronger, but Cano is still a weak link. The rotation has been seriously reinforced by Bradish and Wells and with Young out of it should be much improved.
All that being said, it looks to me that, best case scenario, the O’s need an impact bat at 1B, a closer, a leverage reliever, the highest caliber starter they can get, a depth starter, and, in a perfect world, another OF with thump (like a perfectly healthy Tyler O’Neil… sigh)
I can see Mansolino getting hired by another team while Elias is figuring out who to hire for the manager position.
Great Googly Moogly….hire Mark Prior…s smart enough to handle Elias and his nonsense
With Mabry there as an advisor, Schumaker might be the favorite before interviews even take place.
The article mentions the Cubs bench coach, but the only name I’m even vaguely familiar with really is John Mabry. Mansolino seems to have done a nice job after Hyde got canned, but it’ll be interesting to see who Orioles fans want as the manager moving forward.
Hire Arron Boone!
I hope they dont try to be cute with this. No need to try to find the next hot up and coming manager. Focus on a manager who can help the strreakiness on the offense and can run a bullpen. I really feel they need a manager who can get through to the supposed superstars on the team that they havent acvomplished anything yet and potential can only get them so far. As some one already pointed out, the inconsistent offense has been the biggest culprit this year. Once starters started to get healthy, the team has been competitive.
Absolutely. I just added some stats to my comment above, but what the totals don’t show is the total lack of competitive at bats for seven innings per night. When the O’s win, it’s on the strength of one or two innings, and it rarely happens early. The pitching has been keeping them in games.
“Seems likely to be more aggressive” What a joke. The only thing that matters is profit. You can take that to the bank.
I would add current Yankees bench coach Brad Ausmus to that mix of names.
He’s already mentioned in the article.
Cool. Missed it.
Experienced manager. Mansolino can walk.
How Mike Elias still has a job (and a promotion apparently….WHAT???) is insane to me! I figure’s he had “pictures” of an Angelos family member, but I guess it’s something else?!?!? He manages the organization like a billionaire who insists on eating Kraft Mac n Cheese for dinner every night! Awesome drafting followed by a wholehearted mismanagement of the assets! Mystifying
I’ll trade you Perry Minasian for him! 😉
I’m sorry no team is honestly not try to win and change the clubhouse culture if you aren’t even considering Mark DeRosa, Billy Ripken, Mike Redmond, Skip Schumacher and a couple others. You have to find one that can manage and teach at the same time really good. Changing clubhouse culture is very important. I think that Murphy in Milwaukee is a perfect example of old school and new school managing combined together. Just no way nerd baseball will completely take over too many human element they can’t account for