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Offseason Outlook: Cincinnati Reds

By Anthony Franco | October 10, 2025 at 10:47am CDT

The Reds made the postseason in a 162-game schedule for the first time in 12 years. They looked overmatched against the Dodgers and were swept out of the Wild Card Series. This year was a nice stepping stone, but the Reds need to add a couple bats to pull alongside the true best teams in the National League.

Guaranteed Contracts

  • Hunter Greene, RHP: $41MM through 2028 (including buyout of ’29 club option)
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes, 3B: $36MM through 2029 (including buyout of '30 club option)
  • Jose Trevino, C: $11.25MM through 2027 (including buyout of '28 club option)

Other Financial Commitments

  • Owe $15MM to released 3B Jeimer Candelario

Option Decisions

  • Team, OF Austin Hays hold $12MM mutual option ($1MM buyout)
  • Team holds $6.5MM option on RHP Scott Barlow ($1MM buyout)
  • Team holds $3MM option on LHP Brent Suter ($250K buyout)

2026 financial commitments: $37.5MM
Total future commitments: $105.5MM

Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

  • Brady Singer (5.156): $11.9MM
  • Santiago Espinal (5.149): $2.9MM
  • Gavin Lux (5.114): $5MM
  • Tyler Stephenson (5.056): $6.4MM
  • Ian Gibaut (4.077): $1.5MM
  • Sam Moll (4.023): $1.2MM
  • Nick Lodolo (4.000): $4.3MM
  • Graham Ashcraft (3.130): $1.4MM
  • TJ Friedl (3.112): $4.9MM
  • Tony Santillan (3.099): $2.4MM
  • Spencer Steer (3.035): $4.5MM
  • Will Benson (3.003): $1.7MM
  • Matt McLain (2.140): $2.6MM

Non-tender candidates: Lux, Espinal, Gibaut, Moll, Benson

Free Agents

  • Zack Littell, Nick Martinez, Austin Hays, Emilio Pagán, Miguel Andujar, Wade Miley

The Reds ranked 14th in MLB with 4.42 runs per game. That's an underwhelming mark for a team that plays in one of the league's most favorable hitter's parks. They'll need to improve upon a .245/.315/.391 batting line. The offense should be the offseason priority, but their first couple decisions are in the bullpen.

Cincinnati holds options on relievers Scott Barlow and Brent Suter. It's an easy call to move on from Barlow, who'll receive a $1MM buyout. They'll probably also opt for a $250K buyout on Suter, as the Cincinnati native struggled to a 7.36 ERA after the All-Star Break. Closer Emilio Pagán hits the market following one of the best seasons of his career. Nick Martinez will again be a free agent after playing this year on a $21.05MM qualifying offer salary.

If Pagán walks, the Reds could be in the market for a closer. They're not going to spend at the level it'd take to bring in Edwin Díaz, nor does a splash for Robert Suarez seem advisable given their needs on offense. Old friend Raisel Iglesias will be available on a one or two-year deal at age 36, though he pitched well enough with Atlanta to command an eight-figure salary. Kenley Jansen will sign a decent one-year deal, while Ryan Helsley and Michael Kopech are probably looking for pillow contracts. Devin Williams, Brad Keller, Luke Weaver, Kyle Finnegan and Pagán himself should all be looking at multi-year contracts -- though it'd be a surprise if Pagán commands more than two guaranteed years entering his age-35 season.

Tony Santillan, Graham Ashcraft and Connor Phillips are Cincy's top returning leverage arms. Santillan has a little bit of closing experience, while Phillips has shown wipeout stuff with hit-or-miss command. If the Reds find the prices too high on free agent closers, perhaps they'll let Santillan and Phillips compete for the ninth inning while pursuing a setup type like Tyler Rogers or Phil Maton. In any case, they should bring in at least one back-end arm.

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2025-26 Offseason Outlook Cincinnati Reds Front Office Originals

The Opener: ALDS, NLDS, Phillies
Main
Orioles’ Albert Suarez Expected To Avoid Surgery
View Comments (12)
Post a Comment

12 Comments

  1. MLB Top 100 Commenter

    3 hours ago

    Santana is good enough to close, need to add a solid bat.

    Reply
  2. BobinTexas

    3 hours ago

    Please MLBTR: we really, REALLY need a link to where all of these articles are kept for each team.

    4
    Reply
    • Blue Baron

      2 hours ago

      BobinTexas: Most likely on each team’s page.

      1
      Reply
    • Chicago Expat

      13 mins ago

      At the bottom of each of the articles is a grey box meta-tag for the phrase “2025-26 Offseason Outlook.” This will bring up every one of the articles in this series to date.

      My apologies if that isn’t what you’re asking for.

      1
      Reply
  3. Reds2024

    2 hours ago

    Reds need to figure out RF and DH.

    2
    Reply
    • Alan Horn

      2 hours ago

      I would say LF and DH. They have Marte in RF.

      4
      Reply
    • King123

      2 hours ago

      Reds are gonna need at least two impact bats to make a run. I know it’s a pipe dream but signing Schwarber and Arraez would do it. And maybe they can get Andujar back on the cheap.

      1
      Reply
  4. raulp

    2 hours ago

    The Reds made the postseason in a 162-game schedule for the first time in 12 years. They looked overmatched against the Dodgers and were swept out of the Wild Card Series. This year was a nice stepping stone, but the Reds need to add a couple bats to pull alongside the true best teams in the National League.

    Guaranteed Contracts

    Hunter Greene, RHP: $41MM through 2028 (including buyout of ’29 club option)
    Ke’Bryan Hayes, 3B: $36MM through 2029 (including buyout of ’30 club option)
    Jose Trevino, C: $11.25MM through 2027 (including buyout of ’28 club option)
    Other Financial Commitments

    Owe $15MM to released 3B Jeimer Candelario
    Option Decisions

    Team, OF Austin Hays hold $12MM mutual option ($1MM buyout)
    Team holds $6.5MM option on RHP Scott Barlow ($1MM buyout)
    Team holds $3MM option on LHP Brent Suter ($250K buyout)
    2026 financial commitments: $37.5MM
    Total future commitments: $105.5MM

    Arbitration-Eligible Players (service time in parentheses; projected salaries courtesy of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz)

    Brady Singer (5.156): $11.9MM
    Santiago Espinal (5.149): $2.9MM
    Gavin Lux (5.114): $5MM
    Tyler Stephenson (5.056): $6.4MM
    Ian Gibaut (4.077): $1.5MM
    Sam Moll (4.023): $1.2MM
    Nick Lodolo (4.000): $4.3MM
    Graham Ashcraft (3.130): $1.4MM
    TJ Friedl (3.112): $4.9MM
    Tony Santillan (3.099): $2.4MM
    Spencer Steer (3.035): $4.5MM
    Will Benson (3.003): $1.7MM
    Matt McLain (2.140): $2.6MM
    Non-tender candidates: Lux, Espinal, Gibaut, Moll, Benson

    Free Agents

    Zack Littell, Nick Martinez, Austin Hays, Emilio Pagán, Miguel Andujar, Wade Miley
    The Reds ranked 14th in MLB with 4.42 runs per game. That’s an underwhelming mark for a team that plays in one of the league’s most favorable hitter’s parks. They’ll need to improve upon a .245/.315/.391 batting line. The offense should be the offseason priority, but their first couple decisions are in the bullpen.

    Cincinnati holds options on relievers Scott Barlow and Brent Suter. It’s an easy call to move on from Barlow, who’ll receive a $1MM buyout. They’ll probably also opt for a $250K buyout on Suter, as the Cincinnati native struggled to a 7.36 ERA after the All-Star Break. Closer Emilio Pagán hits the market following one of the best seasons of his career. Nick Martinez will again be a free agent after playing this year on a $21.05MM qualifying offer salary.

    If Pagán walks, the Reds could be in the market for a closer. They’re not going to spend at the level it’d take to bring in Edwin Díaz, nor does a splash for Robert Suarez seem advisable given their needs on offense. Old friend Raisel Iglesias will be available on a one or two-year deal at age 36, though he pitched well enough with Atlanta to command an eight-figure salary. Kenley Jansen will sign a decent one-year deal, while Ryan Helsley and Michael Kopech are probably looking for pillow contracts. Devin Williams, Brad Keller, Luke Weaver, Kyle Finnegan and Pagán himself should all be looking at multi-year contracts — though it’d be a surprise if Pagán commands more than two guaranteed years entering his age-35 season.

    Tony Santillan, Graham Ashcraft and Connor Phillips are Cincy’s top returning leverage arms. Santillan has a little bit of closing experience, while Phillips has shown wipeout stuff with hit-or-miss command. If the Reds find the prices too high on free agent closers, perhaps they’ll let Santillan and Phillips compete for the ninth inning while pursuing a setup type like Tyler Rogers or Phil Maton. In any case, they should bring in at least one back-end arm.

    3
    Reply
  5. The Raven

    1 hour ago

    $37 million for 2026? Why even bother?

    Reply
    • This one belongs to the Reds

      36 mins ago

      And it will top out around 100 million again. The only reason it ended higher was taking on Hayes and Littell contracts.

      They haven’t extended anyone outside of Greene and Trevino of all people, so they will probably let Stevenson walk if he is still around.

      Next season De La Cruz and Abbott hits arbitration and the countdown begins on those guys too.

      That’s being a Reds fan since 2022, folks.

      Reply
  6. johnnyangel

    34 mins ago

    As an Angels fan, I thought the Reds were a pretty good match to address each other’s needs.

    Ward (or Adell) for Singer would be a close one-for-one-ish swap.

    Reply
  7. rolandoroom

    5 mins ago

    I would call Brady Singer a non-tender candidate.

    If Reds fans are lucky, payroll will be in the $150 mil range. Having a guy who, at best, is going to give up 4 runs-per-9 for an offense that struggles to score that much isn’t worth 9%-10% of your payroll.

    Ideally, I’d trade him before December and get something in return from a higher $$$ team that views his salary as a drop in the bucket.

    Reply

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