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Poll: Which Teams Should Make The Biggest Push For Jarren Duran?

By Nick Deeds | July 10, 2025 at 8:32pm CDT

The Red Sox have fought their way back into playoff contention after their shocking trade of franchise face Rafael Devers last month. Boston has rattled off a seven-game win streak to put themselves at a 50-45 record entering play today and in a statistical tie with the Mariners for the final AL Wild Card spot. That hasn’t stopped some of their top players from finding their names in the rumor mill, however. While it would be shocking for a team in playoff position that has plenty of uncertainty on the infield as it is to trade away someone like Alex Bregman, the Red Sox do have an overflowing outfield mix that could at least theoretically be put to use this summer and bring back some much-needed pitching help.

Masataka Yoshida returned to the Red Sox yesterday after missing the first half of the season while rehabbing his surgically repaired shoulder, and with his return comes an embarrassment of riches in the Red Sox outfield. Roman Anthony entered the season as the sport’s consensus top prospect and, after a slow start, has taken off in recent weeks with a .308/.413/.462 slash line since the Devers trade. Fellow youngster Ceddanne Rafaela has also caught fire of late, with an absurd .303/.341/.630 slash line since the start of June that he’s paired with some of the best outfield defense in the entire American League. And that’s before even getting into Wilyer Abreu and Jarren Duran, both of whom established themselves as impact players with big campaigns in 2024.

It’s Duran who’s gotten the most attention as a trade candidate of that group, and he’s certainly attractive. He’s just one year removed from a top-ten finish in AL MVP voting, and while his 2025 season (105 wRC+) has left something to be desired, it’s easy for teams to dream on that upside given his three-and-a-half years of team control remaining. There aren’t many teams in baseball who wouldn’t stand to benefit from adding someone of Duran’s caliber to their lineup, but which clubs should be most interested in his services? A look at some potential fits:

San Diego Padres

The most discussed potential suitor for Duran early on, San Diego has targeted the outfielder in the past and that interest appears to be ongoing. The Padres are operating under a tight budget, so a player like Duran who remains in the early years of arbitration is an attractive addition. They’ve also got a gaping hole in the lineup after their left field platoon of Jason Heyward and Connor Joe to open the season did not work out. Gavin Sheets is currently holding down the fort at the position, and while his 118 wRC+ this year has been impressive he’s also a poor defender best suited to DH work. Adding Duran, then, could upgrade the club both offensively and defensively.

Houston Astros

There might be no team that’s a better on-paper fit for Duran than the Astros. With Yordan Alvarez on the injured list for most of the season and Kyle Tucker having been dealt to Chicago, Houston has no left-handed regulars in its lineup. That lack of lefty bats has made them a pedestrian offense (103 wRC+) against right-handed pitching this year, and while Cam Smith has settled in well as the club’s new right fielder a combination of Taylor Trammell, Cooper Hummel, and Jose Altuve in left isn’t great. Duran would be a perfect addition for the club, though a farm system typically viewed as one of the weakest in the majors could make acquiring a talent of his caliber difficult.

Kansas City Royals

The Royals have been looking to find help for Bobby Witt Jr. in their lineup, and while they thought they found just that this winter when they traded for Jonathan India, the addition hasn’t worked out as hoped so far. No team gets less production from their outfield mix than Kansas City, and while Jac Caglianone should contribute at some point, the rest of the group is in need of a serious makeover. Duran would be a strong addition who could fill the leadoff role India was brought in to address, but the team’s 46-48 record could make buying this summer a tough sell unless they can rattle off a big win streak. While other contenders are likely more motivated to make a deal now, the Royals could be an especially interesting suitor if Duran remains in Boston headed into the winter.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies are clinging to a small lead over the Mets in the NL East at the moment, and they’re doing that without much production from their outfield. Brandon Marsh has turned things around after a disastrous start to the year and is now roughly league average overall, and Nick Castellanos remains his usual self. The addition of Max Kepler simply hasn’t worked out, however, and Johan Rojas hasn’t looked good as anything more than a defense-first bench option either. Replacing Kepler with Duran would not only help the Phillies in the short-term, but it would also allow the team to add a controllable, cost-effective bat to the lineup at a time where multiple significant pieces (Kyle Schwarber, J.T. Realmuto, Ranger Suarez) will either need to be re-signed or replaced.

Other Options

While the four teams mentioned above are arguably the teams that could benefit most from adding Duran, there are certainly other clubs that should have at least some interest in his services. Michael Conforto’s OPS is below .600, and with him ticketed for free agency after the season the Dodgers would certainly stand to improve from adding Duran and could make room for him long-term. The Mariners could be a tricky fit given that both Duran and Randy Arozarena are best suited to left field, but they could certainly use an extra outfield bat. The Pirates are clear sellers this season but need reliable bats to surround Paul Skenes and the rest of their young rotation, and even Bob Nutting can afford an arbitration-level player like Duran. The Twins will need a replacement for Harrison Bader’s production going forward, and perhaps Duran could serve as a bridge to Walker Jenkins and Emmanuel Rodriguez for Minnesota.

If the Red Sox decide to move Duran, which club would benefit most from bringing him in? Have your say in the poll below:

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Boston Red Sox Houston Astros Kansas City Royals MLBTR Originals MLBTR Polls Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres Jarren Duran

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The Opener: Meyers, Doubleheader, Yankees

By Nick Deeds | July 10, 2025 at 8:36am CDT

Here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world today:

1. Meyers to undergo testing:

Astros center fielder Jake Meyers has been out in recent days due to right calf tightness but was penciled back into the lineup for Wednesday’s game. Unfortunately, Meyers was lifted the game before it even began. The 29-year-old aggravated the injury while jogging out to center field and was helped off the field by a trainer before the first pitch was even thrown. As noted by Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle, manager Joe Espada told reporters after the game that Meyers would undergo testing after the game and the club would know more about his status today. The Astros already have eight position players on the injured list. Meyers would be a ninth, if he needs an IL stint. Because of that slew of injuries, Houston doesn’t have any additional minor league position players on the 40-man roster at this point. They need to reinstate Christian Walker from the paternity list, however, which could fill Meyers’ spot. That would likely leave center field to be manned by Taylor Trammell and Kenedy Corona, although Chas McCormick is currently on a minor league rehab assignment.

2. Doubleheader in Baltimore today:

Yesterday’s game between the Mets and Orioles was postponed due to rain. Anthony DiComo and Jake Rill of MLB.com wrote yesterday about the makeup game, which is scheduled to take place as part of a split doubleheader later today. Today’s regularly scheduled game has been moved up from 1:05pm local time to 12:05pm, while Game 2 is scheduled to begin at 5:05pm. Fans who can’t attend today’s rescheduled game but had tickets for yesterday’s postponed contest can find exchange options here. On the field, the Orioles will send Charlie Morton (5.47 ERA) to the mound for Game 1 opposite Mets southpaw David Peterson (3.18 ERA), while Tomoyuki Sugano (4.44 ERA) will take the mound in Game 2 against an as-of-yet unannounced Mets starter.

3. Yankees eyeing a sweep:

Today’s game between the Yankees and the Mariners will have a significant impact on the AL Wild Card picture. The Yankees are looking for a sweep after taking the first two games in this week’s set, but they’ll have an uphill battle in order to secure that third win. Marcus Stroman (7.45 ERA in five starts) is on the mound at 7:05pm local time for the Bronx Bombers today, and while he’s looked better than that ERA would suggest since returning from the injured list he’ll be tasked with taking on young Mariners star Bryan Woo, who has a 2.77 ERA in 17 starts this year. If the Mariners lose today’s game, they’ll be at risk of losing their spot in the AL Wild Card race to the Red Sox, with whom they’re currently tied in the standings. A loss for the Yankees, meanwhile, would mean that they risk falling behind the Rays in the AL East and losing their hold on the top AL Wild Card spot.

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The Opener

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Poll: What Should The Braves Do With Ozzie Albies?

By Nick Deeds | July 9, 2025 at 5:51pm CDT

It’s been a tough season all around in Atlanta. The club has lost four of its top five starters (Chris Sale, Reynaldo Lopez, Spencer Schwellenbach, and AJ Smith-Shawver) to the injured list so far, with Spencer Strider having spent time on the shelf earlier in the year as well. The offense has produced well below expectations despite brilliant performances from Ronald Acuna Jr. and the club’s catching tandem, as well as the ever-steady production of Matt Olson at first base. The bullpen, typically anchored by Raisel Iglesias, has looked uncharacteristically shaky. For all the things that have gone wrong this year, perhaps none have been as frustrating for the club as the struggles of Ozzie Albies.

Albies, 28, is a three-time All-Star who entered the 2025 season with a career 108 wRC+ and more than 20 career WAR according to both FanGraphs and Baseball Reference. He has not looked at all like himself this season. Across 90 games and 383 plate appearances, he’s slashed just .223/.292/.315 (72 wRC+). His expected numbers (.291 xwOBA) are stronger than his actual production (.274 wOBA), but both figures are well below par this season. That’s come in spite of a strikeout rate (15.4%) that’s lower than his career norms and a walk rate (8.1%) that’s actually the highest of his career.

With his plate discipline numbers looking better than ever, the culprit behind Albies’ lack of productivity is clear: power. The infielder has just six home runs this year and 19 extra-base hits total. His .092 ISO (slugging minus average) is the seventh-lowest figure in baseball and trails even contact-oriented bats like Nico Hoerner and Bryson Stott. It’s not impossible to be a productive bat with that level of power; Hoerner has a 104 wRC+ with an ISO just two points higher than Albies, while J.P. Crawford has an identical ISO and a wRC+ of 128. It’s a profile that requires even better plate discipline numbers than Albies has, however. Crawford’s production is boosted by an excellent 13.3% walk rate, while Hoerner strikes out at a microscopic 6.7% clip.

Aside from that, both hitters also carry BABIPs over .300. Albies sits at just .251 this season. That’s very low and should be expected to come up at least a little bit, but the switch-hitter has a BABIP of just .289 for his career and has posted a figure over .300 in a full season just once before, in the 2019 season. Rather than better fortune on batted balls, Albies’ previous production came by way of 25-to-30 homer thump when healthy. Unfortunately, that power has disappeared. Albies hit just 10 homers in 99 games last year, and that might’ve looked like an anomaly at the time, but this year’s lack of pop now makes it look like the start of a new normal.

If Albies can’t turn things around soon, how should the Braves approach their second baseman? He’s proven capable of being a star when at his best, so the idea of trading him at such a low point in his value would be difficult to swallow. Declining his $7MM club option for 2026 seems like it should be off the table entirely, particularly given the $4MM buyout that effectively makes it a $3MM decision.

At the same time, Atlanta has just three more seasons of team control over Acuna, and 2026 will be Sale’s final year before he reaches free agency unless he agrees to another extension. The Braves have been clear that they don’t plan to sell much this summer, if they do at all. But the offseason will see players like Iglesias and Marcell Ozuna depart for free agency, necessitating a reconstruction of the roster anyway. Could seeing about an upgrade at second base be a sensible part of that offseason retool?

With so many of Atlanta’s most important pieces nearing the open market in the next few years, it can be argued that the Braves would be better served trying to find more certain production at the keystone by targeting a player like Gleyber Torres in free agency. The flip side of that, of course, is that Albies’ contract is exceptionally cost-effective. Torres’ $15MM salary with the Tigers this year is already more than double Albies’ salary for next season if his option is picked up, and Torres appears ticketed for a much bigger payday in his return to free agency this winter. Rolling the dice on Albies could be easier to stomach if other pieces of the Braves’ current core like Michael Harris II and Jurickson Profar can put up big numbers in the second half and assuage concerns over another season where the team is mired in an offensive malaise.

How do MLBTR readers think Atlanta’s front office should approach the situation they’ve found themselves in with Albies? Should they stick with him going forward due to his potential upside and cheap salary, or should they see what they can get on the trade market in hopes of replacing him with a steadier option? Have your say in the poll below:

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Atlanta Braves MLBTR Originals MLBTR Polls Ozzie Albies

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The Opener: Glasnow, Schlittler, Red Sox

By Nick Deeds | July 9, 2025 at 8:44am CDT

Here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world throughout the day today:

1. Glasnow returns:

After a strong first season in Los Angeles last year, right-hander Tyler Glasnow hasn’t been able to give the Dodgers much due to inflammation in his throwing shoulder that’s limited him to just five starts in 2025. That’ll change today, as Glasnow is slated to be activated for this afternoon’s game against the Brewers, scheduled for 1:10pm local time in Milwaukee. Glasnow posted a rather pedestrian 4.50 ERA in his five outings before going on the shelf and has struggled to an 8.31 ERA in his three rehab outings at Triple-A, but he remains one of the game’s most overpowering pitchers when healthy. Glasnow’s opponent will be veteran southpaw Jose Quintana, who has a 3.44 ERA through 12 starts this year.

2. Schlittler to make MLB debut: 

The Yankees recently lost right-hander Clarke Schmidt to what is likely to wind up being season-ending Tommy John surgery. Schmidt’s 3.32 ERA in 14 starts won’t be easy to replace, but the Yankees are calling on Cam Schlittler to try and fill the void. The 24-year-old righty has looked quite good at Double- and Triple-A this year, and it was enough for the Yankees to have him start against the Mariners in his big league debut at 7:05pm local time in New York. His opponent will be fellow rookie Logan Evans, who has put together an excellent 2.96 ERA across eight starts with Seattle while filling in for various injured pitchers throughout the season. Schlitter’s addition to the Yankees’ roster still hasn’t been announced, so corresponding moves to create room on the 40-man and active rosters will be necessary.

3. Red Sox to activate Yoshida:

It’s been an unusual year for Masataka Yoshida, who underwent shoulder surgery during the offseason and has been sidelined ever since—even though he was healthy enough to hit. Yoshida hadn’t been able to play the field to this point in the season, and with Rafael Devers at DH on regular basis that meant the Red Sox had no room for him until he was ready to play the outfield. All of that changed once Devers was traded to the Giants last month. Roman Anthony had been serving as the club’s DH since the trade, but Yoshida has been on a rehab assignment and is expected to be activated for a home game against the visiting Rockies, scheduled for 7:10pm local time. Boston’s opponent today will be right-hander Antonio Senzatela, who has a 6.57 ERA in 86 1/3 innings of work this year. A corresponding move will be needed to activate Yoshida. MassLive’s Chris Cotillo reports that outfielder Nate Eaton has been sent to Triple-A already, though that move hasn’t been formally announced.

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The Opener

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Poll: The Yankees’ Biggest Need At The Deadline

By Nick Deeds | July 8, 2025 at 4:00pm CDT

It’s been a tough few weeks for the Yankees. On May 28, the club was riding high with a seven-game cushion in the AL East. At that point, it seemed as though their biggest concern this summer would be vying for a bye through the Wild Card series rather than holding off their division rivals. That’s not how things have played out. New York has gone just 7-15 over its past 22 games and now sits 3.5 games back of the Blue Jays in the AL East with just a one-game cushion in a highly competitive AL Wild Card race.

The good news for the Yankees is that we’re just a few short weeks from the trade deadline, and help should be available for the club. As GM Brian Cashman and the rest of the front office gear up for trade season, it’s fair to wonder what the club’s biggest need this summer is going to be, although they may have provided some clarity on that as recently as this morning.

The Yankees’ need at either second or third base has been plainly apparent since the offseason. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has played both positions this season and delivered when healthy this year, with an impressive 136 wRC+ in 59 games, but he missed a month with an oblique strain and has battled injuries throughout his young career.

Chisholm has played third base since returning from the injured list early last month, but skipper Aaron Boone revealed this morning that Chisholm is moving back to second base. Boone called third base a “fluid” position and noted that Oswald Peraza will get the first look there tonight. DJ LeMahieu, who’s being displaced at second base by the Chisholm move, has plenty of experience at third base but hasn’t played there this season. Boone said today that playing third is now physically challenging for LeMahieu and not a consideration going forward.

Peraza, meanwhile, has not answered questions about whether or not he’s capable of hitting in the majors. The 25-year-old has hit just .154/.225/.262 (37 wRC+) this year with a 28.2% strikeout rate and little power. While he’s a solid enough defender all around the infield, he’s shown very few signs of life on offense. Jeimer Candelario just signed a minor league deal, but he’s a reclamation project at this point.

The early season heroics of Aaron Judge helped to mask the lackluster offensive production the Yankees were receiving from the tandem of LeMahieu and Peraza, but the team has gotten below average production from both second (89 wRC+) and third base (93 wRC+) even with Chisholm chipping in at both positions. A bat like that of Eugenio Suárez could transform the Yankees lineup, but even less flashy additions like Willi Castro, Amed Rosario, and Ryan McMahon could be a major help. Not only would that sort of addition shore up an infield in desperate need of additional depth, but it could help jump start a lineup that’s been in a collective slump of late. Over the past month, the Yankees rank just 16th in runs scored. They’ve scored one run or fewer runs seven times in that span. That type of offensive production is hard for even a dominant pitching staff to turn into wins.

Of course, the pitching staff has been far from dominant of late. Yankees starters have generally impressed on the season, with an 3.72 ERA and 3.79 FIP, but since the calendar flipped to June that’s ticked up to a 3.94 ERA and 4.15 FIP. They’re just 15th in the majors in rotation FIP since the start of June, and that’s including strong work from Clarke Schmidt, whose season appears finished as he awaits a likely Tommy John surgery. Schmidt joins Gerrit Cole on the shelf for the remainder of the year. The Yankees’ rotation now includes Max Fried, Carlos Rodon, Marcus Stroman and rookie Will Warren. Prospect Cam Schlittler is being called up to make his MLB debut and start tomorrow’s game.

Luis Gil is expected back at some point down the stretch, but a team relying on rookies like Schlittler and Warren (who has a 5.02 ERA in 18 starts this year) could benefit from another playoff-caliber starting pitcher. Given their long-term strength in the rotation, it would be understandable if the Yankees weren’t interested in paying for a controllable arm like Sandy Alcantara or Mitch Keller. Even so, swinging a deal for a solid veteran rental like Merrill Kelly or Seth Lugo would go a long way to improving the look of the team’s rotation headed into the stretch run.

The Yankees’ bullpen has also had some troubles throughout the season. Early in the year, newly-acquired closer Devin Williams was lit up badly enough that his ERA crept up over 11.00 and he was removed from the ninth inning. He’s eventually gotten to the point where he’s looking right for the most part again, with a 2.31 ERA and 1.54 FIP since the start of June. Even so, the step forward from Williams has been balanced out in recent weeks by injuries to key arms like Mark Leiter Jr., Jake Cousins and Fernando Cruz. Meanwhile, late-inning arms like Luke Weaver and Jonathan Loaisiga have struggled considerably returning from IL stints of their own. Adding some sort of depth to a bullpen that’s shown cracks all throughout the season would make some sense.

Judge, Fried, and more recently Williams have provided the sort of superstar production that can help paper over issues and keep the team afloat, but the depth behind those stars is clearly lacking. Which of the Yankees’ needs to MLBTR readers think is most important to address? Have your say in the poll below:

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MLBTR Originals MLBTR Polls New York Yankees

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The Opener: Blue Jays, Greene, MLBTR Chat

By Nick Deeds | July 8, 2025 at 8:27am CDT

Here are three things for MLBTR readers to keep an eye on around the baseball world throughout the day:

1. Blue Jays go for ten straight wins:

The Blue Jays have ridden a nine-game winning streak to a comfortable 3.5-game lead over the Yankees for the top spot in the American League East. Toronto is tied with Philadelphia for the fifth-best record in the majors. The Jays are set to go for their tenth consecutive victory today in a road date with the White Sox. Veteran righty Chris Bassitt (4.32 ERA) takes on right-hander Aaron Civale, whom the Sox acquired just under one month ago. Civale has a 4.60 ERA in nine starts this year but a 3.83 mark in 40 innings since returning from the injured list in late May.

2. Setback for Greene?

Reds ace Hunter Greene has been on the injured list since June 4 due to a groin strain — his second of the season — but has been expected to return to the majors not long after the All-Star break. That timeline is being thrown off course, however, as Gordon Wittenmyer of the Cincinnati Enquirer noted yesterday that the righty has been scratched from his scheduled rehab start today after consulting with the team’s medical staff. Neither Greene nor manager Terry Francona provided much clarity on a timeline for the right-hander’s return, but Wittenmyer suggests that Greene’s timeline could be pushed back into August.

The Reds are just 46-45 this year despite going 15-11 in June without Greene, who has posted a 2.72 ERA in 11 starts this year. As the trade deadline looms, the Reds face an increasing deficit in both the NL Central (8.5 games) and the Wild Card race (3.5 games). Will they be able to stay afloat long enough for Greene to make an impact down the stretch? Will his murky outlook spur the front office to pursue additional help?

3. MLBTR Chat today:

We’re now into the second week of July, which means we’re just a few short weeks away from this year’s trade deadline. While it will be difficult for another in-season blockbuster to top the Rafael Devers deal from June, MLBTR recently published our Top 40 Trade Candidates For The 2025 Deadline list with a number of intriguing names in the mix. Whether you’re looking ahead to the deadline or still trying to sort between the contenders and pretenders, MLBTR’s Steve Adams has you covered in a live chat scheduled for 1pm CT today. You can click here to ask a question in advance, join in live once the chat begins, or read the transcript once the chat is complete.

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The Opener

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Giants’ Erik Miller Diagnosed With UCL Sprain

By Nick Deeds | July 7, 2025 at 9:57pm CDT

July 7: Miller tells Shayna Rubin of The San Francisco Chronicle that he was diagnosed with a mild UCL sprain. He’ll miss at least five weeks, but there’s no indication that surgery is yet a possibility.

July 5: The Giants announced a pair of roster moves this evening after announcing the return of Matt Chapman earlier in the day. The club placed left-hander Erik Miller on the 15-day injured list due to a left elbow sprain and selected the contract of left-hander Scott Alexander to replace him on the active roster. A 40-man roster spot was already open after the club’s DFA of Sergio Alcantara earlier today.

The loss of Miller is a significant one, as he’s served as San Francisco’s primary late-inning lefty this season. The southpaw has been utterly dominant this season with a sterling 1.50 ERA across 36 appearances, though his 17.2% strikeout rate and 3.92 FIP both suggest there’s plenty of good luck baked into that run prevention number. A look under the hood reveals Miller has managed to strand 89.4% of the baserunners he’s allowed this year, has floated a 15.6% walk rate that would raise eyebrows even with a higher strikeout rate, and that he’s managed to go all season without allowing a home run. None of that feels especially sustainable, and the cracks have begun to show in recent weeks as he’s actually walked more batters than he’s struck out over his last 18 appearances.

Despite all those red flags, the run prevention Miller has provided has been undeniable and will be nearly impossible to replace. Tyler Rogers, Randy Rodriguez, and Camilo Doval have formed a solid late-inning nucleus, but now the Giants will turn to Joey Lucchesi and Alexander as their lefty arms in the bullpen. Lucchesi has a 4.50 ERA in six innings of work, though his six strikeouts in that time are somewhat encouraging. As for Alexander, he pitched to a 6.06 ERA with a 7.01 FIP for the Rockies earlier this year but is now back in the Bay Area after spending two seasons with the Giants and one season in Oakland between 2022 and ’24.

He posted a 3.28 ERA and a 3.43 FIP in 117 appearances during that three-year stretch, and if he can unlock anything close to that production for the Giants this year he’ll be a worthy replacement for Miller in the bullpen who might even end up with more sustainable peripherals. Alexander’s production is carried primarily by high ground ball rates. His career rate entering this year stood at 67.4% and it’s never fallen below 60% in a season. That has changed this year, however, as he’s generated grounders on just 53.4% of batted balls. The Giants are surely hoping that pitching half of his games at Coors Field had an impact on his ability to keep the ball on the ground and that he’ll be able to rediscover his worm-burning ways now that he’s part of their relief corps again.

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San Francisco Giants Transactions Erik Miller Scott Alexander

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Poll: Should The Marlins Still Trade Sandy Alcantara This Summer?

By Nick Deeds | July 7, 2025 at 12:15pm CDT

When we first polled MLBTR readers on the possibility of the Marlins trading Sandy Alcantara back in April, more than 87% of respondents said that Miami should try to trade Alcantara this year, before the trade deadline. There was certainly logic to that idea. After all, the Marlins were in a season where they had no hope of competing and Alcantara was widely expected to be the most sought-after player on the trade market. At the time, he had made three starts with a 4.70 ERA that appeared elevated, but he also had solid peripherals that suggested he was likely to be a surefire playoff starter for any team in need of rotation help.

Things have changed since then. Alcantara now sports a 7.01 ERA on the season as he’s struggled badly in his return from Tommy John surgery. His stretch of eight starts immediately following that poll saw him pitch to a shocking 10.09 ERA with a 16.1% strikeout rate, a 12.1% walk rate, and a FIP of 6.00. That stretch of brutal performances has evened out a bit since the calendar flipped to June, but even in six starts since then he’s posted a 4.89 ERA. That’s hardly an enticing figure for a team in need of a pitcher capable of fronting a playoff rotation, to say nothing of how concerning the season-long numbers are at this point.

Given Alcantara’s weak numbers, it’s easy to make the argument against parting ways with him at this point. His value is arguably at an all-time low, and the emergence of Edward Cabrera (3.33 ERA in 15 starts) this year means he isn’t even the Marlins’ best trade chip for the summer. Despite all of his struggles this year, Alcantara is still a former Cy Young award winner who is more than capable of turning things around. In fact, he’s already begun to show signs of improvement. While his last six starts have yielded that aforementioned unsightly 4.89 ERA, during that time his strikeout rate (18.2%) is trending in the right direction and his walk rate (4.1%) is actually better than ever. It’s not at all hard to imagine a strong second half putting the Marlins in position to get more for Alcantara this winter even in spite of the fact that he would be available for one less pennant race if traded after the season.

On the other hand, the possibility that Alcantara does not turn things around must be considered. It’s easy to forget in the glow of his dominant Cy Young season in 2022, but the right-hander’s 2023 was actually rather pedestrian as he posted a 4.14 ERA with a 4.03 FIP. That’s certainly a useful pitcher, but hardly the sort of ace a World Series contender would feel confident starting Game 1 of a playoff series with. The farther Alcantara’s peak in 2022 fades from memory, the lower his value will go and the harder it will be to convince interested teams that they’re buying low on an ace-caliber arm, unless he’s able to recapture that form.

Additionally, the market conditions this summer are very seller-friendly. There are only a handful of clubs certain to sell, and even fewer who both have and are willing to part with quality, controllable pieces. That gives the Marlins a great deal of power on the trade market, as they hold two of the best controllable arms who are expected to be available in Cabrera and Alcantara. With so many contenders in need of starting pitching and limited options available, it’s at least conceivable that a desperate team would be willing to take the risk of paying something close to full value for Alcantara’s services despite his brutal performance this year. The risk in waiting to deal a talented player whose production has taken a nosedive can be seen with the White Sox, who have frequently declined to trade Luis Robert Jr. in recent years amid hopes that he would put up a healthy, dominant season to raise his value. That hasn’t happened and now the Sox might not be able to get anything of note in return.

How should the Marlins handle the Alcantara question this summer? Should they trade him for what they can get this summer, or hold him to see if he can bounce back? Have your say in the poll below:

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MLBTR Originals MLBTR Polls Miami Marlins Sandy Alcantara

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The Opener: Nationals, Tigers, Rays, Pitchers’ Duel

By Nick Deeds | July 7, 2025 at 8:21am CDT

Here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world throughout the day today:

1. Nationals leadership changes:

Yesterday, the Nationals made the decision to part ways with both GM Mike Rizzo and manager Davey Martinez. The team has already named Mike DeBartolo as the team’s interim GM who will handle baseball operations for the remainder of the season. He’ll be thrown right into the thick of things, with the 2025 draft (where the Nationals have the first overall pick) just a week away and trade season already upon us. It seems one of his first tasks while in charge will be selecting an interim manager to help guide the club, as the Nationals did not initially announce a replacement for Martinez. That decision is expected sometime today, and whoever is selected will join Warren Schaeffer, Don Kelly, and Tony Mansolino as in-season managerial hires this year.

2. Series Preview: Tigers vs Rays

A series between two of the AL’s top contenders begins today as the Rays head to Detroit for a three-game set against the Tigers. Tampa enters the series having recently pulled into a tie with the Yankees for second place in the AL East, just three games back of the division-leading Blue Jays. Detroit, meanwhile, has the best record in the majors and has won seven of their last ten games. The Rays, meanwhile, have gone just 4-6 in that time. The series kicks off later today with right-hander Shane Baz (4.33 ERA) on the mound for Tampa. The Tigers don’t have an announced starter for today’s game but could turn to Dietrich Enns (who has a 7.00 ERA in nine innings this year) for bulk innings if they opt for a bullpen game. The series will have more traditional pitching matchups the rest of the way, with right-hander Ryan Pepiot (3.34 ERA) taking on Jack Flaherty (4.84 ERA) tomorrow. The series wraps up Wednesday with right-hander Zack Littell (3.50 ERA) on the mound against righty Reese Olson (2.89 ERA in ten starts).

3. Pitchers’ Duel in Milwaukee:

Another series between two contending clubs is taking place today in Milwaukee, where the Dodgers will be taking on the Brewers in a series that will kick off with an exciting pitchers’ duel today between two hurlers who will represent the National League in this year’s All-Star game. Right-hander Freddy Peralta is on the mound for the Brewers against Dodgers ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Yamamoto has made just 17 starts this year as the Dodgers have monitored his workload closely, but those starts have been dominant with a 2.51 ERA and a 28.6% strikeout rate. Peralta has been no slouch either, as he’s posted a 2.91 ERA in 99 innings of work with a 25.5% strikeout rate. First pitch in this intriguing matchup is scheduled for 6:40pm local time.

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The Opener

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Diamondbacks Place Pavin Smith On IL, Select Tristin English

By Nick Deeds | July 6, 2025 at 2:03pm CDT

The Diamondbacks announced a series of roster moves this afternoon headlined by their placement of first baseman Pavin Smith on the injured list with an oblique strain. Infielder Tristin English had his contract selected from Triple-A to replace Smith on the roster while left-hander Tommy Henry was recalled to the majors and placed on the 60-day injured list to create a 40-man roster spot for English.

Smith, 29, has played just one of Arizona’s last four games and now heads to the shelf with an oblique strain. The severity of the injury is not yet known, nor is it clear when Smith will be able to return, though he’ll be out until after the All-Star break at the very least. It’s a tough blow for a Diamondbacks roster that’s already been ravaged by injuries to key pieces like Corbin Burnes, A.J. Puk, Justin Martinez, and Gabriel Moreno this season.

The club’s first-round pick all the way back in 2017, Smith made his big league debut in 2020 but scuffled at the big league level for several years before finally breaking out during his age-28 season last year. Since then, Smith has been a key cog in the Diamondbacks’ lineup with a fantastic .265/.363/.485 slash line in 139 games, with 17 homers, 26 doubles, and a 13.7% walk rate. That sort of production is difficult to replace, and bench pieces like Randal Grichuk and Jake McCarthy will be called upon to help take up the load in the Arizona lineup.

One other potential contributor could be English, who is set to make his MLB debut should he make it into a game. The club’s third-rounder back in 2019, English has spent time in all four corners throughout his time in the minors can could be a major help for the club off the bench or against left-handed pitchers. The 28-year-old scuffled a bit at Triple-A last year but has hit incredibly well across 58 games at the level this season with a .338/.388/.549 slash line to go with nine home runs, 23 doubles, and a strikeout rate of just 14.2%. Eugenio Suarez and Josh Naylor have the infield corners locked down on a fairly regular basis for the Diamondbacks, though Smith’s departure leaves DH at-bats for the taking and English could contribute in the outfield as well. It’s also possible that Naylor, who has been playing through a neck injury in recent days, could benefit from extra time at DH that would allow English to step in at first base.

As for Henry, the southpaw underwent elbow surgery late last month. Manager Torey Lovullo told reporters (including Alex Weiner of AZ Sports) today that Henry’s procedure repaired his UCL with an internal brace rather than a full replacement (Tommy John) surgery. That could improve Henry’s odds of pitching at some point during the 2026 season, but the decision to move him to the 60-day IL remains largely procedural as he won’t pitch again in 2025 regardless. With that being said, the move does afford Henry the opportunity to collect an MLB salary and earn big league service time while he rehabs his surgically repaired elbow.

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Arizona Diamondbacks Transactions Pavin Smith Tommy Henry Tristin English

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