Jay Bruce Exits With Oblique Strain
Phillies slugger Jay Bruce exited Tuesday evening’s contest with a strained right oblique muscle, the Phillies announced. There’s no word on a a trip to the injured list, but the Phillies will likely have additional info after the game.
The majority of oblique strains send players to the injured list, and it’s not uncommon for position players to miss around a month with even a Grade 1 strain. Losing Bruce would be a blow to the Phillies’ lineup; while he’s only mustered a paltry .277 OBP since his acquisition, Bruce entered play Tuesday hitting .266 and slugging a whopping .574 with the Phils. He’s already drilled 10 long balls and six doubles with Philadelphia, and he’d plated 29 runs in his first 32 games with the team.
Bruce’s acquisition helped to offset the loss of Andrew McCutchen, who suffered a torn ACL earlier this season and won’t return until 2020. An absence for Bruce could open the door for the return of Nick Williams — the one-time top prospect who has yet to solidify himself as a big league regular in the manner most envisioned when he was rising through the minor leagues. The 25-year-old Williams logged an ugly .173/.221/.259 slash through 86 plate appearances with the Phillies earlier in 2019 before being optioned to Triple-A, but that poor output came in an extremely limited role that was surely foreign to him.
Since being sent to Triple-A for regular at-bats, Williams has laid waste to International League pitching. In 120 trips to the plate, he’s recorded a superlative .358/.417/.651 with six homers, 10 doubles and two triples. He’d be the obvious candidate to replace Bruce on a short-term basis, but one can only wonder whether the Phils would again look to the trade market for another outfield option. While the Phillies have quickly faded in the NL East race, they’re still very much in the thick of the NL Wild Card mix. And after such an aggressive offseason, it’d be a disheartening concession for the team’s decision-makers to operate as anything other than a deadline buyer.
Multiple Teams Showing Initial Interest In Robbie Ray
TODAY: You can add the Brewers to the stack of club’s showing initial interest in Ray, Morosi tweets. It seems safe to presume that just about every organization with a rotation need will at least take a look at the southpaw.
YESTERDAY, 10:25pm: The Yankees are also among the teams interested in Ray, Jon Heyman of MLB Network tweets. Considering they’ve historically liked Ray, that’s not surprising.
4:48pm: Diamondbacks starter Robbie Ray is one of the top rotation targets on this summer’s trade market. The Arizona organization will have to decide whether the time is right to cash in on the southpaw, who’s earning $6.05MM in 2019 and can be controlled via arbitration for one more season beyond the present.
The Astros and Phillies are two of the teams showing “recent interest” in Ray, according to MLB.com’s Jon Morosi. It’s unsurprising to see this particular connection; both of those organizations is in obvious need of starting pitching and already pursued Ray over the offseason. No doubt other organizations are also taking a look at Ray in anticipation of the Snakes entertaining offers.
At this point, it’s unclear just how the Arizona organization will behave at the deadline. The club itself does not fully know, GM Mike Hazen has indicated. Final decisions will surely come down to details that aren’t yet known: where exactly are the Snakes in the Wild Card standings? And what package of young talent can they achieve for Ray and others?
The ‘Stros and Phils are surely interested in gaining an understanding not just of what kind of pieces the D-Backs would want, but how inclined they are to pursue a deal in earnest. While the Houston organization will surely be in on rental assets, it has reasons to prefer controllable arms. It makes much more sense for the Philadelphia club to focus on the latter class, given its recent struggles.
It’ll certainly be interesting to see how negotiations progress on Ray. He’s a particular target for strikeout-loving teams — so long as they can live with his walk issues and a few more long balls than might be preferred. Since the start of his breakout 2017 campaign, Ray has thrown nearly four hundred innings of 3.47 ERA ball with 12.0 K/9 and 4.5 BB/9 along with 1.3 dingers per nine. Though the best run of results came at the front end of that time period, by most measures Ray has been much the same pitcher throughout. There were some health hiccups last year, but he has stayed on the mound this season. All things considered, Ray is quite an appealing target for the right contender.
The situation is made all the more interesting by the D-Backs’ own circumstances. Both Hazen and CEO Derrick Hall have made clear the organization isn’t looking for anything close to a full rebuild. That’s not to say that they wouldn’t be interested in highly talented but far-off prospects, but the Arizona org is not going to punt on the present entirely. That stance promises to impact the sort of deal structures that are pursued. The Snakes acquired talented players at or near the majors — Luke Weaver, Carson Kelly, and Andy Young — in last winter’s Paul Goldschmidt deal, which could provide something of a model for a Ray swap.
Mychal Givens Drawing Trade Interest
The Orioles made their first of what will likely be several trades over the weekend when they dealt Andrew Cashner to the Red Sox, and Roch Kubatko of MASNsports.com reports that closer Mychal Givens is drawing interest and is “definitely” available — a departure from recent seasons under previous front office management. The Phillies and Nationals, in particular, have interest in Givens, per the report. Obviously, a deal with the Nats would be difficult to hammer out when the two clubs continue to be embroiled in the ongoing dispute over MASN television rights fees.
Givens’ 2019 numbers are pedestrian at first glance. The right-hander’s 4.50 ERA is wholly unremarkable, and even last season’s 3.99 mark hardly generates excitement. Front offices aren’t going to put much stock in earned run average when evaluating a pitcher, however, particularly amid 2019’s home run deluge. Givens entered the season having averaged well less than a homer per nine innings pitched in his career, but he’s served up eight long balls in 36 innings in 2019. That’s led to a spike in his ERA, but it’s of some note that nine of the 18 earned runs he’s given up this year were surrendered in a combined two outings (a four-run meltdown in June and a five-run outing in May — both fueled by homers).
Looking beyond his ho-hum ERA, Givens offers a fair bit of intrigue. First and foremost, this year’s 12.8 K/9 and 34.5 percent overall strikeout rate are easily career-best marks. He’s also sporting a career-high 15.3 percent swinging-strike rate and 32 percent opponents’ chase rate on out-of-zone pitches. Givens’ 95.1 mph average fastball is right in line with his career rate, and the spin rate on that heater checks into the 77th percentile among MLB hurlers.
A rudimentary look at Givens’ splits reveals what many would expect to be the case: his home park hasn’t done him any favors. Six of the eight long ball surrendered by Givens have come at Camden Yards. On the road, opponents have managed an awful .185/.286/.315 output against him.
Digging a bit deeper, opposing hitters have posted a .350 weighted on-base average (wOBA) against Givens, but that’s almost entirely a function of the aforementioned home run issues. He’s yielded just a .217 batting average and a .304 on-base percentage thus far on the season. Based on the quality of contact he’s allowed, Statcast projects an expected wOBA of just .297 — significantly lower than the league average of .324 (excluding pitchers).
With any trade candidate, the player’s contract plays a sizable role in driving trade interest. In the case of Givens, the Orioles are in an advantageous position. He’s earning a minimal $2.15MM in 2019 and is controlled via arbitration through the 2021 season. With only about $890K of this season’s salary yet to be paid out, Givens is affordable for any contender and can also be viewed as a relatively long-term option, both of which should fuel interest between now and July 31. He may not be as appealing a trade chip as teammate Trey Mancini, but Givens is the highest-valued asset the Orioles seem decidedly likely to move.
Phillies Place Tommy Hunter On IL, Recall Edubray Ramos
The Phillies announced today that right-handed reliever Tommy Hunter has been placed on the 10-day injured list with a right forearm strain. Fellow right-hander Edubray Ramos has been recalled from Triple-A Lehigh Valley to take Hunter’s 25-man roster spot.
Forearm strains are always ominous for pitchers, but it seems especially alarming in Hunter’s case. The 33-year-old had only been activated from the IL two weeks ago after sitting out the first three months of the season with the same injury. While there’s no timetable yet for Hunter’s return, if his recovery for the new injury takes anywhere near as long as the road back from his first malady, it could put his season in jeopardy. Hunter told the Philadelphia Inquirer’s Matt Breen (via Twitter) that while he’s optimistic about his ability to return this season, he believes his new injury is similar to the one which shut him down at the season’s outset. Hunter has thrown just 5.1 innings this season, the second of a two-year, 18MM deal that hasn’t worked out well for the team to this point.
Ramos, 26, is up for for his fourth separate stint with the club in 2019. A solid contributor from 2016-2018, his numbers have taken a downturn this year. After striking out 26.5% of hitters over his first three MLB seasons, Ramos has seen that rate plummet to 15.8% this year. An IL stint for shoulder stiffness could help explain his struggles, as Ramos’ average fastball is over two miles per hour slower than it was in 2018, per Brooks Baseball. His velocity didn’t bounce back immediately after he returned from the injury, though, and his results in Lehigh Valley this year have only marginally surpassed the mediocre production he’s managed in the majors.
Phillies Sign Logan Morrison
The Phillies have signed free-agent first baseman Logan Morrison to a minor league contract, Joel Sherman of the New York Post reports. Morrison became available when he opted out of a minors pact with the Yankees on July 2.
The 32-year-old Morrison is only two seasons removed from serving as one of the majors’ finest offensive producers. He slashed .246/.353/.516 (130 wRC+) with 38 home runs in 601 plate appearances with the Rays that year to earn a $6.5MM guarantee with the Twins entering 2018. Morrison wasn’t nearly as good last year, though, owing in part to a labrum tear that ended his season in August. He then went without a contract until signing a minors pact with the Yankees toward the end of April.
Morrison never reached the majors with the Yankees, instead hitting an excellent .289/.341/.658 (143 wRC+) with 15 HRs in 164 PA with their Triple-A affiliate. With Rhys Hoskins holding down first in Philadelphia, it’ll also be difficult for Morrison to find much playing time with his new team.
Phillies Designate Rob Brantly For Assignment
The Phillies have designated catcher Rob Brantly for assignment among a series of roster moves, the team reports.
Brantly’s contract was selected yesterday by Philly, presumably to hold down the weekend fort with catcher J.T. Realmuto away on paternity leave. In 182 plate appearances for AAA-Lehigh Valley in ’19, the former Tiger and Marlin farmhand has turned in one of his best seasons yet. The lefty’s walked more than he’s struck out so far in the International League, posting a stellar .306/.401/.452 line for the club.
He’ll likely go unclaimed on waivers, but the offensive gestation period for a catcher can be lengthy, and it’s possible Brantly has now positioned himself as a legitimate MLB backup option. In 429 career plate appearances with the White Sox and Marlins, Brantly’s paired a .229/.294/.332 (72 wRC+) slash with unseemly defensive metrics behind the plate.
Andy MacPhail Discusses Phillies’ Deadline Approach
Philadelphia came into 2019 mired in a seven-year playoff drought, but an aggressive winter made the club a popular pick to turn around its fortunes this season. With the second half of the campaign now underway, the good news for the Phillies is that they are in possession of a playoff spot. The bad: It’s by the slimmest of margins.
Owners of an underwhelming 47-44 record and losers of 22 of 36 – including a 4-0 home defeat against the Nationals on Friday – the Phillies are tied with the Brewers for the NL’s last wild-card position. Earning a place in a one-game playoff appears to be Philly’s most realistic path to the postseason, as the team’s sputtering and sitting a lofty seven back of the first-place Braves in the NL East.
The Phillies have obvious weak points, including throughout their pitching staff, but it doesn’t seem they’re lining up as aggressive buyers with the July 31 trade deadline approaching. President of baseball operations Andy MacPhail spoke about the Philllies’ status with Todd Zolecki of MLB.com and other reporters Friday, admitting he and his front office cohorts “don’t believe” the roster’s one trade away from turning into a World Series winner.
MacPhail acknowledged that an extremely impressive run of baseball to end July could sway him toward a bolder deadline approach. As of now, though, MacPhail’s expecting “to be a little judicious and careful about what talent’s walking out the door” in trades. That suggests MacPhail and general manager Matt Klentak won’t be dealing any of the Phillies’ very best prospects away this summer, at least not for short-term help. However, the Phillies are willing to take advantage of their financial clout to better their roster. They could land upgrades by taking on salary in exchange for giving up “lesser talent,” as Zolecki writes. MacPhail certainly isn’t ruling it out.
“Our ownership has been pretty clear, and they’ve demonstrated by their actions, that salary is not something that is going to be … it has to make some sense, but that’s not going to be something that’s going to hold us back,” MacPhail said.
While it remains to be seen what the Phillies will do at the deadline, their 2019 is looking a bit too similar to their disappointing 2018 right now. The Phillies got off to a solid start then, even sitting atop the NL East from July 6 through Aug. 12, before petering out and finishing two games below .500. Acquiring several veteran stopgaps (Wilson Ramos, Asdrubal Cabrera, Justin Bour, Jose Bautista and others) couldn’t save the Phillies’ season a year ago. We’ll find out in the next two-plus weeks the caliber of help they’ll bring in this summer in an effort to return to the postseason.
Phillies Select Rob Brantly, Move Pat Neshek To 60-Day IL
2:08pm: It’s possible Neshek has thrown his last pitch for the Phils. He tells reporters, including Matt Breen of the Philadelphia Inquirer (Twitter link) that the best-case scenario is a return in early or mid-September. (His deal includes a club option for 2020, though that seems unlikely to be exercised.)
1:04pm: The Phillies have selected the contract of catcher Rob Brantly, per a club announcement. He’ll take the active roster spot of J.T. Realmuto, who’ll take a brief step away on paternity leave.
To create a 40-man roster spot, the Phils have moved reliever Pat Neshek to the 60-day injured list. Neshek has been sidelined for several weeks with a hamstring injury. Given the placement, he won’t be eligible to return until late in August.
Brantly, who’s days from his thirtieth birthday, will get his first time in a major league uni since 2017. He’s a .230/.294/.333 hitter in 428 career plate appearances at the game’s highest level, most of which came way back in 2012-13.
Phillies Hurt By Lack Of Offseason Rotation Moves
- The Phillies focused heavily on position-player additions during their splashy offseason, but a lack of focus on the rotation looks to now be a mistake, the Philadelphia Inquirer’s Scott Lauber writes. The team’s starters have delivered middling-to-mediocre results all season, and depth has now become a particular issue given Jake Arrieta‘s injury concerns. While the Phils could still make a move to acquire a starting pitcher (or two) at the deadline, such a move will cost the club more prospects from a system that has already been thinned out by other trades. As Lauber notes, the Phillies also haven’t done a great job of developing their own pitchers over the last four years, with Aaron Nola standing out as the last success story.
Jake Arrieta To Pitch Through Injury – For Now
Phillies right-hander Jake Arrieta may be facing season-ending surgery on a bone spur in his elbow, but he’ll continue to pitch while the team evaluates his health. The plan is for Arrieta to take the ball sometime during Philadelphia’s series against the Nationals this weekend, Phillies manager Gabe Kapler told SportsRadio 94WIP on Wednesday (via ESPN.com).
While Kapler admitted the injury has hampered Arrieta, he added that “it’s always worth considering if Jake at 85 percent of himself is a better option than what we have at Triple-A.”
Three members of the Phillies’ 40-man roster – Enyel De Los Santos, Cole Irvin and Drew Anderson – are on Triple-A Lehigh Valley’s pitching staff. Santos, Irvin and Anderson have all spent some time in the majors this year, but they’ve each struggled over limited sample sizes. While De Los Santos and Irvin have put up mid-3.00s ERAs in the minors this year, their effective run prevention has come with less enticing peripherals. Anderson, meanwhile, owns a near-6.00 ERA with Lehigh Valley in 2019. The 22-year-old JoJo Romero is Philly’s seventh-ranked prospect at MLB.com (one spot behind De Los Santos, nine ahead of Irvin), but he isn’t on the 40-man and hasn’t earned a promotion anyway. Romero sports an ERA a tad south of 10.00 in seven Triple-A starts.
Not only do the Phillies lack starting options they’re fully comfortable with below the majors, but their big league rotation hasn’t lit it up. The team’s starters rank 19th in the majors in K/BB ratio, 24th in ERA and 25th in FIP, owing in part to Arrieta’s disappointing performance. Now in the second season of a three-year, $75MM contract, the 33-year-old has pitched to a 4.67 ERA/5.07 FIP with 7.08 K/9 and 3.33 BB/9 in 108 innings. Arrieta’s contract gives him the right to opt out after the season, while the Phillies could void his opt-out and opt into two more years and $40MM. Neither one of those things will happen, though, so the Phillies will end up owing him another $20MM in 2020.
Despite the Phillies’ pricey commitment to Arrieta, they’ll run the risk of having him continue to pitch through injury for the time being. Regardless of whether he holds up, the Phillies seem like shoo-ins to fortify their rotation from outside before the July 31 trade deadline. In the meantime, the club will start the second half of the season Friday at 47-43 and a half-game up on the NL’s second wild-card spot.