Steve Adams
- Good afternoon! We'll get going at 2pm CT, but feel free to submit questions ahead of time if you prefer! Talk to everyone in a bit.
- Hello! Let's get underway
Dirt
- Michael Harris has gotten on track but Ozzie still isn't doing much with the bat. With Nacho Alvarez getting seasoned, do you think the Braves will pick up the option on Albies, then trade him or just let him walk? What will AA do about the starting rotation?
Steve Adams
- I don't see any scenario where the Braves just buy him out and let him walk to save what would be a net $4MM. Even if they're just done with him, a team would absolutely trade for Albies at a year and $7MM -- especially with a subsequent option for the same amount.Terrible year (well, yearS, plural) or not, Albies is a 28-year-old former All-Star 2B with multiple 30-homer seasons under his belt.Conversely, open up our Contract Tracker -- included with your subscription! -- to check out what kind of position players a year and $7MM can buy you in free agency:
- https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/contracttracker?name=&team=0&position=H...
- You're looking at bounceback shots in the dark for mid-30s veterans like AJ Pollock, Tommy Pham, Carlos Santana, Robinson Chirinos, etc. It's just not a compelling group, and it's only exacerbated in recent years as the general cost of signing free agents has increased.Add in the value the second $7MM option brings if Albies rebounds next year, and he'd still have legitimate trade value, even coming off a down year.
- That's not to say they'd get a top-100 prospect or any kind of real farm-altering prospect, but they could get something with some actual value and not just completely need to dump the money he's owed.
Who gets to The Show 1st?
- Who gets to The Show first? Bubba Chandler or Jonah Tong? When and why?
Steve Adams
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- Chandler. He's been in Triple-A for a full year now. Tong hasn't thrown a pitch in AAA (he's being promoted there today).
- I'd imagine that after August 15, once there are few enough remaining days on the calendar that prospects who are called up can retain their rookie status heading into 2026, Chandler's developmental issues will magically be sorted out and he'll be in the majors
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MLBTR Chat Transcript
Mark P
- After just one Weekend Chat session in all of July, consider this a bonus entry as a follow-up to yesterday’s chat.
Jason
- Are the brewers for real???
Mark P
- They’ve been “for real” for the better part of the decade. Whether this is the Brewers team that breaks through to make some serious noise in October remains to be seen, but is is remarkable how this team keeps reinventing itself and remaining competitive.
Guest
- While many teams went shopping for a dress to the party at the high end stores, the Royals found some gems at thrift store pricing.
Mark P
- I also liked a lot of KC’s moves. It might be too little too late, but they addressed some needs in a pretty low-cost manner.
John
- Is resigning Cedric Mullins a real possibility for the Orioles?
Mark P
- If I’m the Orioles at this point, I go with the youth movement. No more timeshares, no more splitting at-bats with veterans….let the kids play and see what they can do with everyday at-bats.
- If you are adding a veteran, aim higher than Mullins for a real difference-maker in the regular lineup
MLBTR Chat Transcript
Mark P
- The Weekend Chat has returned! We’ll take a minute to get some questions build up, and then get into it…
Guards ball
- Do you think the guardians have a legit shot to still when the Al central considering the hot start we are on since the all star break?
Mark P
- Detroit’s lead is down to six games over Cleveland, which is still pretty substantial. It would take a combo of the Guards both staying hot, and the Tigers continuing their so-so play over the last month for the Guardians to have a legitimate chance.
It would be pretty ironic if, a year after their big late-season surge, the Tigers were caught by another team going on a surprise late run
Rangers Fan
- I’ve seen conflicting reports on the Rangers CBT situation after the trade deadline additions. The local beat writers are acting as if the Rangers will definitively end the season over the CBT threshold. But other sources, like Spotrac and Cot’s, make it seem like the Rangers can and will end up below the CBT threshold. Obviously, bonuses and incentives complicate things, but if you take the incentives that are “very likely” to hit, it appears the Rangers will stay under with a little room for additional bonuses. Do you have any clarity on this?
Mark P
- A team’s final luxury tax number isn’t officially known until the league releases numbers in December. Sites like Cot’s, Spotrac, RosterResource, etc. do a great job in providing projections and estimates, but they’re the first to tell you that they’re working with incomplete information. Many other factors like roster bonuses or other expenses are known sometimes only to the teams themselves, and those the x-factor numbers audited by the league at year’s end
- My guess right now would be that Texas is just barely under the line, given how Cot’s/RR/Spotrac all have them slightly under the $241MM tax line.
Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Anthony Franco
- Hey everyone, hope you've all enjoyed your week!
- Looking forward to another of these, let's get going
Kevin in Tx
- Does Texas rid themselves of Adolis Garcia this winter, his last year of arbitration, I’m guessing a raise to about $12-17 million.
Anthony Franco
- It'd be much closer to 12 than 17. He's not getting an $8M arbitration raise coming off this kind of season. Agree that he's getting non-tendered anyways though
RoxTalks
- Will Brandon Woodruff be extended the QO after he declines his end of the QO?
Anthony Franco
- He's got a $20M mutual option with a $10M buyout. Just clarifying what the questioner means by "declines his end"
- We'll see how he finishes the year but yeah, I think we're trending towards him receiving and declining the QO. Based on our FA deliberations this week, it seems like I'm the low person on staff about Woodruff's earning power, but there's a lot higher upside than there are with some guys who either received the QO last winter (Severino, Martinez) or signed for the same amount (Buehler)
- I feel like Eovaldi's 3/75 is the absolute ceiling and would have him more as a high-AAV two year guy right now, but others at MLBTR (especially Tim Dierkes) think there's a path to a much better deal than that if he shoves through the end of the season and into the playoffs
GWA
- Are the Yanks cooked for 2025.
Anthony Franco
- Eh, I still think they'll hang onto a Wild Card spot. The bullpen's better on paper than it has pitched. It's tough to feel great about them with how badly they've played for the better part of two months, but there's a lot of talent on the roster and they're still in playoff position right now
Alan V
- Who gets your vote for worst owner in Baseball? It could come from Colorado, Anaheim, Pittsburgh, Miami, Oakland Or the Chicago White Sox.
-
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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Steve Adams
- Good afternoon! I'll get going at 3pm CT, but feel free to start firing questions off ahead of time, if you are so inclined!
- Greetings! Plenty to discuss post-deadline, so let's get after it.
Jon D
- If I understand the post-deadline rules, minor leaguers can still be traded, yes? If so, I think the Red Sox need to get Trey Mancini from the D-Backs. I think this can still be done and he could (hopefully) help fill a hole at 1B that Breslow couldn't address. Thoughts?
Steve Adams
- Ran through post-deadline acquisition rules here over the weekend:
https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/08/how-to-acquire-players-after-th...Some, not all minor leaguers can be traded. Any player who's on a minor league contract that has not been selected to the majors this season is eligible. He can only be traded for cash, a PTBNL or other minor leaguers who've not had their contracts selected to a major league roster. The PTBNL cannot be someone on a 40-man roster or someone else who's been previously on a big league roster.There are some oddball exceptions. Cavan Biggio was traded last September because he'd been released from his prior major league contract (not had that contract outrighted) and signed a new minor league deal with the Giants, for instance.
- But by and large, you can cross off the idea of trading for the vast majority of players who've appeared on a major league roster or injured list all season.
- Mancini is eligible to be traded, though if the Red Sox felt he was a prominent upgrade to their first base situation, they could've already acquired him from the D-backs for a song. Arizona isn't going to give Mancini much of a look (if any look at all) -- not after acquiring Tyler Locklear to play 1B going forward.
Duffy Scliff
- Will the Royals pick up Salvy’s player option at season’s end? And should they?
Steve Adams
- It's a club option, not a player (or else it'd be Perez's call, not the team's!)Semantics aside, I expect they will. Perez is a franchise icon at this point, and while his seasonlong numbers aren't great, he's hitting .290/.339/.584 over his past 250 plate appearances. That's 48% better than league-average.
It's a $13.5MM club option with a $2MM buyout, so it's really only a net $11.5MM decision for Kansas City. I'd be surprised if they bought him out.
Jim
- If you were the A's, what off-season moves would you make with an eye toward contending in the postseason in 2026?
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Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Anthony Franco
- Hey everyone, hope you enjoyed the week!
- Going to stay around an hour today, it's been a long week. Let's get going
Angels
- What do you think was the most jarring trade of the year or deadline?
Anthony Franco
- Jarring as in "wow, didn't see that coming" was Devers. Has to be Correa for the deadline
- In terms of a move I just don't understand, it's the Red Sox making the Dustin May trade. They must've really soured on James Tibbs in a span of like six weeks
BeLieber
- What did you think of the risk??
Anthony Franco
- In isolation, Stephen is more than I would've wanted to give up (or expected to get, in Cleveland's case) for Bieber
- That said, the Jays' biggest need IMO was a playoff-caliber starting pitcher. Ultimately, there weren't that many of those guys moved. Everyone else balked at the price on Ryan, Cease, Alcantara, Cabrera, Keller, etc. too
- Bieber has that within the range of outcomes in a way that very few starting pitchers who got traded did. So while my initial reaction to it was "man, I think the Guardians beat the Jays in another trade," I've come more around on it as being defensible for Toronto in light of what didn't happen in the ensuing eight hours
M
- Who do you think did the best at the deadline? Who made out the worst?
Arthur Dent
- Which team(s) did the best job of addressing their needs with deadline deals?
Anthony Franco
- I think the Padres did the best job of checking off every box that they needed. Obviously that's easier to do when you trade away more young talent than any other team. Similar logic with Philly to a lesser extent. Needed an elite late-game arm, paid heavily but got him
- On value alone, I think Texas and Seattle came out pretty well. Rangers did give up a decent amount for Kelly but he was one of the better starters available and they had pretty limited budgetary room. Would be a fair criticism that their biggest need was offense and they didn't address that though
- On the other end, this was a pretty big letdown for Detroit. They got a couple back-end starters, neither of whom is as good as Reese Olson (who they lost to injury). They needed to upgrade the back of the bullpen but instead opted for a bulk approach where they're swapping out three or four mediocre relievers for marginal at best upgrades
BeBopCola
- Do you think the brewers should’ve done a little more to acquire a bat at the deadline?
Anthony Franco
- I'm surprised they didn't get a better utility piece, at least, but I get why they didn't want to disrupt the lineup when it's going this well
- Pretty quiet overall but I'm a fan of the late Shelby Miller dart throw for a couple million dollars
M
- Were you surprised at the small return for anyone? Or thought someone had a significant overpay?
Anthony Franco
- Given how definitively Suárez had pulled away as the best rental bat, I thought Arizona would do better than they did. Not necessarily a top 100 caliber prospect but they're putting a lot into Locklear being a plug and play average or better regular at first base
- Mentioned May already. Not even a huge James Tibbs fan really but I don't see a ton of appeal with May so that felt rich. Mets went a little heavy to get Tyler Rogers
- Really liked the Royals' end of the Fermin trade. Ryan Bergert's a potential #3/4 starter who is MLB ready and they got six years of him for a low-end #1 catcher
-
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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Steve Adams
- Good afternoon! Three days until the deadline. Deals have started up, but the real avalanche is coming. Let's talk about it all!
- We'll get going at 3pm CT, but feel free to submit questions in advance, as usual.
- Good afternoon!
Rox
- Would a Jarren Duran for Mitch Keller 1-for-1 swap work? Or would the Pirates want younger players for the future?
Steve Adams
- If the Pirates are trading Keller, I'd expect it to be for multiple young big leaguers with 6+ years of club control who are years from making any real money.
Matt
- Which available player do you believe Dave Dombrowski would look at and say yes trading a Crawford, Miller or Abel would be worth the investment?
Steve Adams
- Jhoan Duran or Cade Smith
Ryan H
- With Clase out now, is Ryan Helsley now the best reliever likely to be traded?
Steve Adams
- I don't think Clase was ever "likely" to be traded. Helsley is likely to go, but David Bednar is just as likely and I think Bednar is better (and he has a lower 2025 salary with an extra year of club control)
Stavid Dearns
- Going for it here: Luisangel Acuna, Brett Baty, Brandon Sproat, Blade Tidwell, Jesus Baez, Boston Baro for Mitch Keller, David Bednar, and Oneil Cruz-Who says no?
Steve Adams
- With the exception of Baty, that sees like a collection of players whose value is down this season. If you somehow want all of Keller/Bednar/(especially) Cruz, you're going to have to give up WAY more than that. That's a non-starter.
Ken
- Severino, Urias, and $20M to the Cubs for Jaxon Wiggins. Who says no?
Steve Adams
- Severino/Urias isn't enough of an upgrade to part with Wiggins
Cat_Herder
- Paddock trade a depth move or does Fetter spin straw to gold?
Steve Adams
- Curious to see if the Tigers put him in the 'pen, which I think the Twins should've done even though Paddack prefers to start. He looked filthy in relief coming back from Tommy John late in 2023, and he's never been able to hold up as a starter.
Sam
- Hey Steve - Are the Twins in fire sale mode now? Are we going back to the early 2010s of just having a completely depleted roster?
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Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Anthony Franco
- Hey everyone, hope you've enjoyed your week!
- Crunched on time today for obvious reasons so I need to keep this right at an hour. Apologies in advance if I don't get to your question. Let's get rolling
Ewitkows
- Do the Brewers just stand pat? Ortiz has been better and Durbin has been a spark plug at 3B.
Bob
- I think the Brewers should offer a package of some of their top prospects for Oneil Cruz because they could get the most out of him. Is that reasonable?
Daniel H
- Do the Brewers pull the trigger on a 3B/1B power bat, or should I just keep dreaming and have my heart broken again at the deadline.
Anthony Franco
- I lean towards Milwaukee being pretty quiet. Can't see Pittsburgh trading Cruz in division, and I'd be pretty surprised if they did that at all given how badly they need offense
- Durbin has solidified third, doubt they're finding a better shortstop than Ortiz on this market. They make sense for O'Hearn or Josh Bell, I guess, but they'll get Rhys back at some point as well
- Get a better utility infielder than MOnasterio, maybe a rotational outfield bat depending on Frelick's timetable. I don't know that they need to go crazy beyond that. They're already really good and pretty deep everywhere
Hels Bells
- What do the Cardinals get for Ryan Helsley? Could they pry Bobby Miller from the Dodgers? And who will be the top suitors for him?
Anthony Franco
- I think they'd do better than Miller on Helsley, though I get the appeal of trying to take a flier on Miller since the velocity is still elite. Helsley's still the top rental reliever for me, though his value is down from when they should've moved him over the winter
Ken
- On August 1, Jeffrey Springs is playing for whom?
Anthony Franco
- I'll take the Giants
Duran
- At first glance, the Red Sox rejection of the Cease/Salas/prospect trade offer for Duran seems like lunacy. A high-strikeout ace and a blue chip prospect for a guy having a down year that they're running out of space for? But looking at Salas, he’s slashed just .221/.305/.347 over his three years in the minors. Why do prospect outlets rank him so highly? And is the league as a whole just more pessimistic on him than the major prospect outlets?
Anthony Franco
- He was a huge amateur talent and you can kind of write off the poor offensive numbers with how aggressively the Padres moved him. Most 18-year-old catchers are in high school or rookie ball and San Diego had him in High-A (probably too aggressively)
- The back injury is a real concern though. I agree that if the Red Sox actually thought Salas was one of the top 30 prospects in MLB, they'd be willing to give up Duran for him and Cease
Yanks
- What’s your view on the McMahon trade? With Suarez on the block, this feels like a major disappointment
Anthony Franco
- I'm not a huge RyMac fan in general at this point, but only one team can get Suárez and the prospect cost would've been higher than it was on McMahon
- Argument that he fits the ballpark a little better than Suárez does as a lefty bat. I wouldn't be super enthused about taking his entire contract, but he's better than Peraza/Vivas and he's a more sensible Suárez fallback for them than Ke'Bryan Hayes would have been
Taj Boyale?
- Does Joe Boyle get the rotation slot vacated by Taj? If so, will he be on any innings limit or do you think he'll hold that slot for the remainder of the season? Thanks
-
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MLBTR Chat Transcript
Steve Adams
- Good morning! Just over a week until the deadline, and probably days away from the trade market really breaking open. We’ll get going at 1pm CT, but feel free to ask questions ahead of time.
- Greetings! Let’s get underway
Tigertown
- Detroit starting Trey Melton on Wednesday to showcase him. Would Melton and Max Anderson or Jace Jung be enough for Suarez?
Steve Adams
- I don’t really buy into the idea of a prospect call-up being a “showcase” in today’s game, where every team has countless hours of video on these guys and more data than we can process. I don’t think Melton carving through a weak Pirates lineup or being tagged for like four runs in four innings materially changes his perception throughout the league.As for the package, Melton as a centerpiece for Suarez seems feasible, sure. Jace Jung’s stock is down, but either or Jung/Anderson + Melton is a compelling offer.
Mike
- If the cardinals sell, who is on the block besides Helsley? Given Fedde’s massive drop in value, is Helsley the only real trade asset?
Steve Adams
- They’ll get something for Maton and for Matz as well (especially if they eat some of Matz’s salary). Not sure why JoJo Romero isn’t talked about as a viable trade option for them as well — only one additional year of control and third straight season of good numbers. He has a 0.40 ERA since late April.
- And I do expect that they’ll still find a trade for Fedde
Soler
- Do I have any value, or would halos have to eat some of contract?
Steve Adams
- Angels would have to eat almost the entire contract
Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Steve Adams
- Good afternoon! Sorry to not get the queue up for advance questions a bit sooner. I'll get going at 3pm, but feel free to ask a question ahead of time if you prefer.
- Greetings! Let's get underway
Dodger Fan 1750
- Do you see a big trade splash happening soon with the Dodgers? Do you think Mason or Clause is possible for CP? If not pitching, what other trade do you see happening?
Steve Adams
- Everything deadline-wise, for every team, has to happen "soon" -- we're ten days out!But yeah, I think the Dodgers are going to add a reliever of note. I don't think Miller moves. Clase, I can see, but I wouldn't get my hopes up. If the Dodgers come away with Bednar or Helsley, that's still a notable upgrade. And I think both guys end up changing hands.
Coach
- Sandy Leon called up to ATL. Smoke = trade fire?
Steve Adams
- Leon just kind of reinforces the idea that Ozuna's not going to play a ton. His promotion in and of itself isn't a meaningful development so much as just one more piece of evidence to support what already felt inevitable: Ozuna will be traded.
Crusty Old Os Fan
- If a player has an option, and exercises it, is his current team allowed to submit a QO in order to recoup a draft pick?
Steve Adams
- I assume this is supposed to say "opt-out" and not "option"? Yes, a team can make a qualifying offer to a player if he triggers an opt-out in his contract and becomes a free agent
- Well -- as long as he hasn't received a QO in the past and spent the entire season on that club's major league roster/injured list.
Unqualified Reds Armchair GM
- Reds started Marte in right field yesterday. He seemed to handle it fine. Do they go bring back Eugenio to man 3b?
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