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The Opener: Mariners, Muncy, Jays, Yankees

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Here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world throughout the day today:

1. Mariners rotation shuffle:

The Mariners optioned fifth starter Emerson Hancock to the minors yesterday. While they don’t necessarily need a fifth starter for a few days, manager Dan Wilson told reporters yesterday right-hander Logan Evans will be getting the start in today’s game (via Andrew Destin of the Associated Press). That will allow the Mariners to push righty Bryan Woo and the rest of the rotation back a day to get some extra rest ahead of the All-Star break. A rookie who made his MLB debut earlier this year, Evans has a 3.38 ERA in seven MLB starts despite a 4.76 FIP. He’ll be tasked with taking on the Royals and righty Seth Lugo later today, and his performance could end up deciding whether he remains in the rotation for the remainder of the first half or if he’s replaced with another spot starter down the line.

2. Muncy to undergo MRI:

Dodgers infielder Max Muncy needed to be helped off the field yesterday after suffering a knee injury on the bases, but after the game manager Dave Roberts told reporters (including MLB.com’s Sonja Chen) that the team is “optimistic” after initial testing. Still, Muncy is being sent for an MRI today to determine the severity of the injury. Those results could be back in time for the club’s game against the White Sox tonight. An IL trip for Muncy would likely mean an opening for Hyeseong Kim to receive more frequent playing time, though losing a .252/.377/.461 hitter like Muncy from the lineup would certainly be a blow for the Dodgers.

3. Blue Jays challenge for the AL East lead:

Yesterday’s game between the Blue Jays and Yankees was a wild one. The Jays broke out to an 8-0 lead, only for the Yankees to come all the way back before Toronto ultimately won 11-9. After that exciting win, the two clubs now sit tied atop the AL East heading into the final game of the series. Veteran Chris Bassitt has a 4.29 ERA in 17 starts this year and will be on the mound for Toronto coming off a blow-up outing where he surrendered nine runs (eight earned) in just two innings against the Red Sox. He’ll try to turn things around against Yankees righty Clarke Schmidt, who has a 3.09 ERA in 13 starts this season.

Read The Transcript Of Nicklaus Gaut’s Fantasy Baseball Chat

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Nicklaus Gaut will be talking fantasy baseball with Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers today at 11 am Central Time. Get your question in early or participate in the live event at the link below!

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MLB Mailbag: Braves, Cubs, Sasaki, Angels, Volpe

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This week's mailbag is a bit of a hybrid. MLBTR founder Tim Dierkes handles the first handful of questions, while Anthony Franco takes the final few to round it out. We'll get into the Braves' continually sinking playoff chances, trade possibilities for the Cubs, Roki Sasaki's disappointing debut season, deadline outlooks for a handful of bubble teams, and much more!

Kevin asks:

Should the Braves attempt a rebuild, move on from some of the core that is underperforming again and develop a new draft philosophy? Maybe draft some hitters?

Phillip asks:

I am a Braves Fan, win or lose and I watch them every night. This season and the season they won the World Series are 2 different entities. Why would the Braves not trade Raisel Iglesias and Marcell Ozuna? I mean we have so many weaknesses, we have 3 starting pitchers, bottom of our lineup is worst in baseball and our relievers are among the worst in baseball. What could we get for Ozuna and Iglesias?

It's worth considering that the 2021 Braves were 30-35 with 12% playoff odds on 6-16-21.  On 7-2-21, that had risen to 40-41 with a 20.6% chance at the playoffs.  The current team is worse at 38-46, but still holds a 17.2% chance at the playoffs.  It's not that different from where the World Series-winning team once was.

Still, the Braves are 7.5 games out in the Wild Card.  They've played like a 73-win team.  To have a shot at the playoffs they'd need to play more like a 100-win team.  I'm more on the side of Braves fans here than I am on the side of FanGraphs Playoff Odds.  And these guys wrote in before news of Spencer Schwellenbach's injury.

Ozuna, 34, has experienced a power outage this year.  However, his expected slugging percentage is .487 versus his actual .392 mark, and I assume he'll be fine.  He's a DH-only rental making $16MM, so my guess is that he'd bring in 40-grade type prospects.  Iglesias is 35 and making the same money.  His velocity and strikeout rate are slipping, and somehow 18.4% of his flyballs have left the yard.  I think he'd be a pure salary dump.

So while I don't think the Braves will make the playoffs, I also don't think they're re-stocking the farm system by trading Ozuna and Iglesias.

As for Kevin's question, let's do a mini-assessment of the Braves' core, with the player's 2026 age in parentheses.  Money owed in 2025 is not included.

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MLBTR Podcast: Depleted Mets’ Pitching, The Pirates Are Open For Business, And More!

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The latest episode of the MLB Trade Rumors Podcast is now live on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, and wherever you get your podcasts! Make sure you subscribe as well! You can also use the player at this link to listen, if you don’t use Spotify or Apple for podcasts.

This week, host Darragh McDonald is joined by Tim Dierkes of MLB Trade Rumors to discuss…

  • Griffin Canning’s injury dealing another blow to the Mets’ rotation (1:45)
  • Which playoff-caliber starters could be available at the deadline? (6:10)
  • What does Canning’s free agency look like with this injury? (12:55)
  • The Pirates reportedly having almost no one off the table at the deadline (15:10)

Plus, we answer your questions, including…

  • Could the Orioles be sellers at the deadline and then make a late-season run for a Wild Card berth? (28:35)
  • Should the Royals make Vinnie Pasquantino available at the deadline? (31:20)
  • Should the Cubs get Eugenio Suárez from the Diamondbacks? (35:30)
  • Should the Mariners get Josh Naylor of the Diamondbacks or Alex Bregman of the Red Sox? (40:10)
  • If the Reds are sellers, should they make TJ Friedl available? (44:20)
  • The constant tough question of when a small-market team should sell a star player (47:05)

Check out our past episodes!

The podcast intro and outro song “So Long” is provided courtesy of the band Showoff.  Check out their Facebook page here!

Photo courtesy of Wendell Cruz, Imagn Images

Trade Deadline Outlook: Washington Nationals

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MLBTR's new team-by-team deadline preview series (available to Front Office subscribers) continues with a look at the Nationals, who are on pace for their sixth consecutive losing season.  The Nats were hanging in there with a 28-30 record at May's end, but an 11-game losing streak led to a brutal 7-19 record in June, all but officially ending Washington's hopes of an end to its lengthy rebuild process.  While the team's few cornerstone players are breaking out, pretty much the rest of the roster has underachieved, leaving president of baseball operations Mike Rizzo selling once more heading into the July 31 deadline.

Record: 35-50 (0.1% playoff probability, per FanGraphs)

Sell Mode

Impending free agents: Kyle Finnegan, Michael Soroka, Josh Bell, Amed Rosario, Andrew Chafin, Paul DeJong, Derek Law

Finnegan was an All-Star in 2024 and drew attention at last year's trade deadline, though he somewhat surprisingly ended up staying put.  It could be that the Nationals had too high an asking price, or teams had doubts about Finnegan's shaky advanced metrics, or perhaps a combination of both factors ended up keeping Finnegan in the District for the remainder of 2024.  As it happened, Finnegan's performance went south in the second half, and the Nats cut him last winter by non-tendering the reliever instead of a projected $8.6MM arbitration salary.  However, the club shaved some cash off that number by then re-signing Finnegan to a one-year, $6MM deal (with $4MM in deferrals).

Now in his sixth season in D.C., Finnegan has again been pretty solid at the back of the Nats' pen, securing 18 of 23 save opportunities and posting a 2.61 ERA over 31 innings.  Finnegan doesn't fit the typical closer model with his below-average strikeout rates, and while his 96.1mph fastball velocity this season is still impressive, it is also notably slower than his 97.2mph average velo from 2024.  On the plus side, Finnegan's hard-hit ball rate is a strong 37.1% --- a massive turn-around considering few pitchers in the entire sport allowed more hard contact than he did over the 2022-24 seasons.

Washington will surely get more calls about Finnegan this July, and the Nationals may feel more compelled to swing a deal with him just a few months removed from free agency.  It isn't a reach to view Finnegan as a fit on almost any roster, given his low remaining salary, how many contenders need bullpen help, and his experience in high-leverage situations.  The Cubs reportedly had interest in Finnegan this past winter and the Yankees, Phillies, and Dodgers were all linked to Finnegan's market prior to last season's trade deadline, so these teams in particular stand out as potential candidates.

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Mets To Select Rico Garcia

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The Mets are calling up reliever Rico Garcia, reports Anthony DiComo of MLB.com. They’ll formally select his contract tomorrow and already have an opening on the 40-man roster. They’ll need to make a corresponding active roster move involving a pitcher.

Garcia gets his first big league look in two seasons. The Hawaii native signed an offseason minor league contract and has been pitching at Triple-A Syracuse. He has had pedestrian numbers, turning in a 4.45 ERA across 30 1/3 innings. Garcia has recorded an above-average 27.4% strikeout rate but has walked almost 15% of batters faced. He has given up seven home runs, just over two per nine innings.

Most of Garcia’s struggles came in April, when he allowed an ERA above 7.00 with more walks than strikeouts. He has posted a sub-4.00 mark in consecutive months, including a 3.18 ERA with 15 strikeouts and three free passes over 11 1/3 frames in June. Garcia has handled two innings on a few occasions and can provide a fresh arm in long relief on the heels of Wednesday’s doubleheader. Southpaw Brandon Waddell tossed three innings during the first game of the twin bill and won’t be available for a few days. He’s a candidate to be optioned out to make room on the roster.

The 31-year-old Garcia is out of options, so the Mets would need to expose him to waivers to try to send him back to Syracuse. He carries a 7.32 ERA in 35 2/3 MLB frames over parts of four seasons.

D-Backs, Seth Brown Agree To Deal

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The Diamondbacks are in agreement with corner outfielder/first baseman Seth Brown, MLBTR has learned. He’d been released by the A’s last week.

Brown, 33 this month, had spent a decade with the A’s organization. The former 19th-round pick emerged as a productive platoon bat early in his MLB career. He reached 20 home runs in consecutive seasons in 2021 and ’22, combining to hit .234/.304/.483 against right-handed pitching. His numbers have dipped over the two and a half seasons since then, though he staved off what once seemed a likely non-tender by hitting well in the second half last year.

The A’s tendered Brown an arbitration contract at $2.7MM. That didn’t work out, as he stumbled to a .185/.303/.262 showing in 76 trips to the plate. The A’s briefly outrighted him off the 40-man roster, but he quickly hit his way back to the big leagues by mashing seven homers in nine Triple-A contests. Brown suffered a minor elbow injury not long after the A’s reselected his contract, however.

Once he was ready to return from the injured list last week, the team decided not to put him back on the active roster. Brown had surpassed five years of service in the meantime, giving him the right to refuse an outright assignment without forfeiting his salary, so the A’s released him.

Arizona already has lefty-hitting first base/designated hitter options in Josh Naylor and Pavin Smith. They’re operating with an all righty-hitting bench. If Brown cracks the MLB roster at any point, the Snakes would only owe him the prorated portion of the $760K league minimum. He’d be eligible for arbitration next offseason if he finishes the season in the big leagues, albeit as a non-tender candidate.

D-Backs GM Mike Hazen Discusses Deadline Possibilities

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The Diamondbacks remain one of the most pivotal bubble teams with July underway. They’re in fourth place in the NL West entering tonight’s game against San Francisco. They’ve won two in a row to climb back above .500 at 43-42.

On Monday, general manager Mike Hazen appeared on The Show podcast with Joel Sherman and Jon Heyman of The New York Post. Hazen reiterated much of what he told ESPN’s Jesse Rogers last week but provided a little more specificity in the front office’s approach to the deadline.

“I want this team to put us in a position to buy. I want this team to put us in a position to be right beneath where we need to be,” Hazen told The Show. “We don’t have to be all the way back in (playoff position) or ahead; we just need to be within a distance that we feel like we’re being responsible in adding to this team.”

The GM suggested the upcoming two weeks are likely to be the biggest factor. The D-Backs are amidst a four-game series with the Giants. They’ll host the Royals this weekend before kicking off a crucial four-game set in San Diego. They’ll play the Angels in their final series before the All-Star Break. Arizona hosts the Cardinals for three games in their first series out of the break.

Between now and July 20, the D-Backs will take on three of the four teams directly ahead of them in the Wild Card race. Hazen’s comments came before Monday’s series opener with San Francisco. They’ve already taken the first two games in that set, while each of the Reds, Giants, Cardinals, Padres and Mets are coming off losses. On Monday afternoon, they were five games behind St. Louis for the final Wild Card position. That’s down to 2.5 back (of both San Diego and St. Louis) a little more than 48 hours later.

That all serves to highlight how quickly the picture can change this time of year. That’s particularly true for Arizona given how many direct competitors they’re facing. That gives the roster an opportunity to cement their status as deadline buyers. “I want to buy really bad, but we have a responsibility to the organization too. I can’t just blindly go in there and hope,” Hazen said. “That’s the most dangerous word this time of year. We’ve been so up-and-down this year. We have a talented team, this team is capable of playing better. … We need to start ticking off some wins here though.”

The Snakes were already receiving exploratory calls last month from teams that hope to pry some players out of the desert. The Diamondbacks have the best collection of impending free agents among teams on the buy/sell line. Eugenio Suárez and Josh Naylor are two of the top rental bats. Merrill Kelly and Zac Gallen are quality starting pitchers, though the latter is having a down season. Relievers Shelby Miller and Jalen Beeks have performed very well on bargain salaries.

Hazen confirmed the majority of interest they’re receiving is in that group of rentals. “It’d be no surprise who everybody’s coming after. It’s fairly straightforward,” he noted. “Talking about players (under long-term contractual control) gets into a little deeper conversation that we really haven’t had yet. Most of the initial phone calls are on the players that would be expiring.”

If they play well enough to buy, their deadline outlook would be similarly straightforward. Arizona has had one of the best offenses in MLB two years running. The pitching staff has not held up. There’s still a solid rotation nucleus on paper with Kelly, Gallen and Eduardo Rodriguez. They could add a starter and consider optioning the scuffling Brandon Pfaadt, but the more obvious need is a deeper relief group.

“(Bullpen) would for sure be the biggest area of focus for us,” Hazen confirmed. Arizona lost their top two relievers, Justin Martinez and A.J. Puk, to season-ending elbow surgeries. Miller and Beeks have stepped up in bigger than anticipated roles. They’ve scrambled to try to fill out the middle relief group. John Curtiss, Anthony DeSclafani and Jake Woodford were all in Triple-A on minor league deals within the past three weeks. Kyle Backhus is a rookie with eight MLB appearances. Kevin Ginkel and Ryan Thompson have had inconsistent seasons.

Hazen suggested the priority as buyers would be on adding one or two late-game arms. He used the 2023 deadline acquisition of Paul Sewald as an example, noting that acquiring a closer and/or setup man would permit Torey Lovullo to use Miller and Beeks in leverage spots earlier in games. David Bednar and Kyle Finnegan are established closers on non-contenders who are likely to move. Bednar, who comes with another year of arbitration control and has been dominant for the past two months, may be the prize of the relief market. Aroldis Chapman should be available if the Red Sox fall out of contention. Miami’s Anthony Bender and Calvin Faucher are setup types who’d be attainable, while the Orioles are likely to field offers on Seranthony Domínguez and Gregory Soto.

Orioles Sign Jose Barrero To Minor League Deal

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The Orioles announced this afternoon that they’ve added utilityman Jose Barrero on a minor league contract. Francys Romero reported the agreement before the club announcement. He’ll head to Triple-A Norfolk.

Barrero elected free agency last week after being waived by the Cardinals. The 27-year-old had been designated for assignment when St. Louis added Garrett Hampson on a waiver claim from Cincinnati. Barrero had spent almost two months on the Cardinals’ big league roster but rarely played. He appeared in 22 games, coming off the bench all but eight times, and hit .138 in 29 at-bats.

It marked the fifth season in which the righty-hitting Barrero logged some big league time. He was once a highly-regarded prospect in the Cincinnati system and played parts of four seasons with the Reds. A lack of plate discipline undercut the power and athleticism that had intrigued scouts. Barrero has punched out in 36% of his career plate appearances, leading to a .182/.238/.257 slash at the highest level.

Barrero had been out to a hot start in Triple-A before St. Louis called him up. He’d hit .299/.396/.517 with four homers in 23 games. It was a much better minor league showing than he’d managed a year ago, when he limped to a .188/.277/.345 mark with Texas’ top affiliate. Barrero is athletic enough to play any up-the-middle position and provides a versatile upper minors depth piece for the Orioles.

Zach Pop Elects Free Agency

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Zach Pop cleared outright waivers and elected free agency, the Mariners announced. Seattle had designated the righty reliever for assignment over the weekend.

Pop, 28, had a brief run in Dan Wilson’s bullpen. He signed a minor league contract in mid-April and was selected onto the MLB roster on June 13. The Kentucky product made four appearances over the next two weeks. He gave up nine runs (eight earned) on 10 hits and a pair of walks through 5 1/3 innings. Pop recorded only three strikeouts among 30 batters faced with a well below-average 7% swinging strike percentage.

Before his brief run in Seattle, Pop spent a couple seasons as a middle reliever with the Blue Jays. He hasn’t missed many bats but recorded a gaudy 55% ground-ball rate across 48 1/3 innings last year. While hitters had a difficult time elevating the ball, they did a lot of damage when they were able to get it in the air. More than 20% of fly balls cleared the fences, leading to a 5.59 earned run average.

Pop owns a 4.75 ERA in parts of five big league campaigns. He’ll probably be limited to minor league offers but should intrigue teams as a depth option thanks to a sinker that averages around 96 MPH.

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