Rosenthal’s Latest: Andruw, Rowand, Castillo
Ken Rosenthal has cranked out another rumor-filled column. A summary is below.
- The Marlins are insisting on Howie Kendrick in a Miguel Cabrera deal. The Angels are understandably reluctant.
- The Nationals could sign Andruw Jones long-term if they felt it was a bargain – say, $13MM a year. The Giants, White Sox, and Padres may be in the mix as well. Hmmm, White Sox and Boras? And if Scott Boras changes his tune and hunts for a one-year "rebuild value" contract for Jones, the Red Sox could get involved.
- The Phillies think Aaron Rowand will end up getting a 4/52 contract, though Rosenthal expects him to get the fifth guaranteed year. It’s previously been reported that Rowand is looking for a six-year, $84MM deal. Yikes.
- Aside from the Astros and Mets, the Indians, Padres, and Dodgers could get in on Luis Castillo. In the Tribe’s case, it would involve a scenario where Jhonny Peralta was dealt.
- Interesting note on Curt Schilling‘s $2MM in weight incentives – the target weights are aggressively low, and the weigh-ins will be done randomly. So, no cheating the system. By the way, isn’t it ridiculous that one Cy vote gets him $1MM? Sportswriters have given out single votes on a whim for much dumber reasons.
- The Red Sox are apparently asking a lot for Coco Crisp, more than the Twins are ready to give up.
- The Indians and Brewers have an excess of starters. Names that could hit the market include Cliff Lee, Dave Bush, and Chris Capuano. The Nationals have their eye on Lee. He came up as an Expo through Double A.
- The Nationals might be able to get something good for outfielder Ryan Church. In general, Jim Bowden desires a young MLB-ready starter like Kevin Mulvey or Kevin Slowey.
Jake Peavy For Phil Hughes and Melky Cabrera?
This is barely a rumor, but I have been getting emails about it. Buster Olney said today in his blog that trade talk has run rampant at the GM meetings, even stretching towards deals with little chance of happening.
Olney says the Padres and Yankees briefly discussed a trade that would send Phil Hughes and Melky Cabrera to the Padres for ace Jake Peavy. He also said that trade "almost certainly won’t happen." Peavy makes $6MM in 2008 and $8MM in 2009, with another possible $3MM in incentives over those two years. Peavy expects to be traded before reaching free agency – he knows the Padres won’t pony up $18MM a year. You have to figure Kevin Towers will at least listen. Michael Silverman has heard whispers that Peavy might be available.
Even though it’s highly unlikely, would this be a fair trade?
Clement Drawing Interest From Padres, Royals
Matt Clement is an interesting rehab project. The 33-year old had rotator cuff and labrum surgery, and was last seen topping out at 87 in September. With the right strengthening work, plus the National League, he could be a nice surprise in 2008.
I’m sure he wants to start, so there wouldn’t be a fit with the Red Sox. Nick Cafardo says the Padres and Royals are in on him so far. It wouldn’t be surprising to see the Nationals get involved. I think Clement will land in San Diego with $2-3MM guaranteed and maybe another $3MM in incentives. He came up through the Padres’ system, taking his lumps before being traded for Mark Kotsay. He’s going to have to reinvent himself as a finesse guy with good control. Wade Miller was a somewhat similar case; he wasn’t able to do it.
Twins Willing To Trade Garza
Terry Ryan hung on to his fine corral of young pitchers, and it’s hard to find fault with that. However, new GM Bill Smith is open to dealing one of them for a high impact young hitter.
Specifically, Joe Christensen says the Twins are willing to move 24 year-old Matt Garza, who posted a 3.69 ERA this year. The price would be huge – the names the Twins have in mind are Delmon Young, B.J. Upton, and Carlos Gomez. Upton, a favorite of theirs, seems like the least available of the three. Marc Topkin agrees that a Young-Garza rumor has been floating around.
If the Twins want to make a lesser deal, teams have also been asking about Kevin Slowey and Scott Baker. But those two aren’t chopped liver, and Rocco Baldelli doesn’t seem like enough. The Padres want in on the young pitchers, but aren’t willing to give up third baseman Chase Headley.
There’s also word in Christensen’s article that the Twins haven’t heard back from Torii Hunter and Carlos Silva regarding their weak offers. A more legitimate effort will be made to re-sign Johan Santana.
Padres Sign Greg Maddux
As expected, the Padres inked third starter Greg Maddux to a fair one-year, $10MM deal. Who says all Scott Boras clients are money-greedy?
The Padres still have more starting pitching on the agenda. They’ve been linked to other ex-Cubs in Matt Clement and Mark Prior. Jayson Stark said recently that the vibe was that Prior would be non-tendered. Josh Towers also may be on the radar.
Failing that, the Padres could always sign Freddy Garcia, as suggested in my 2008 Top 50 Free Agents List.
Padres Rumors: Crisp, Pie, Andruw, Eckstein
Tom Krasovic continues to set the standard for Padres inside information. Today’s column is especially delicious for rumor junkies, with tons of new material to chew on.
- Kevin Towers expects to fill his center field vacancy via trade. He may first want to wait to see if Mike Cameron accepts the team’s upcoming offer of arbitration. Cameron is a Type B free agent. Remember that he will be limited to 137 games in ’07.
- As for trade candidates, Coco Crisp is on the radar but the Padres smartly won’t part with Chase Headley.
- Krasovic notes that Bud Black’s connection with Angels manager Mike Scioscia could play a role now that Trader Bill Stoneman isn’t the GM. Reggie Willits or Nathan Haynes might be in play for the Padres.
- The Padres really seem to like Felix Pie, and could re-open talks that would include Khalil Greene. They’ve asked about Tony Gwynn Jr. of the Brewers in the past. And it does sound like the Royals are willing to talk about David DeJesus.
- Sounds like the Padres will offer Andruw Jones $14-16MM on a one-year contract. Scott Boras hasn’t seemed open to this with Jones, but time will tell.
- The Tigers will have competition from the Padres for Geoff Jenkins. Krasovic envisions a Jenkins/Scott Hairston platoon in left and expects the Friars to make an offer.
- Two starters will be acquired even after Greg Maddux is retained. Rehabbing former Mark Prior and Matt Clement would both like to play in San Diego. There has to be some sort of cosmic rule about having three ex-Cubs in the rotation. That is not recommended. Plus the Padres were on Curt Schilling‘s list. And don’t forget the team’s previous trade interest in Josh Towers, who seems likely to be non-tendered and could be solid in PETCO.
- The Padres could pursue David Eckstein as a second baseman and leadoff man. But that would seemingly block Matt Antonelli for longer than necessary. Plus such a switch wouldn’t be in Eckstein’s best interests financially.
- Towers likes Jason Kendall, perhaps as a backup, but faces opposition in the organization.
- In another article, Towers lends credence to the theory that the Marlins could sign Alex Rodriguez.
Padres Rumors: Maddux, Cabrera, Barrett, Bradley
As usual, Tom Krasovic has the scoop with the Padres.
- The Padres expect Greg Maddux back, at a salary near the $10MM he earned in ’07. One way it could happen – Mad Dog declines his $8.75MM player option and the Padres exercise their $11MM club option. Otherwise they’ll just tear it up and figure something out.
- The Padres will pass on available third basemen Alex Rodriguez and Miguel Cabrera. It sounds like a Padres team source is indicating the Marlins plan to shop Cabrera aggressively. As if this offseason wasn’t going to be crazy enough, here’s another marquee player on the market. The Padres have some depth at third base, so they’ll sit out.
- Apparently the Elias rankings have leaked out somewhere, though I haven’t seen the list yet. Michael Barrett and Milton Bradley both earned Type A designation, though it won’t matter if the Padres don’t offer arbitration to either. With either player there’s a decent chance he would accept the offer. Barrett maybe not, as he might be able to find a two-year deal elsewhere. Still, it’d be risky. Unfortunately Mike Cameron and Doug Brocail got the Type B designation (not that that makes sense). Cameron will probably get offered arbitration; it would’ve been nice to get the Braves’ 18th overall pick.
Mike Cameron Suspended For Stimulant
Mike Cameron recently appeared on XX Sports Radio in San Diego today and stated that he will receive a 25-game suspension for a banned substance, but not a steroid. That implies a stimulant, for which the penalty is 25 games for a second positive test (example: Neifi Perez). Actually Neifi tested positive a third time and snagged an 80 game ban. Here’s the press release for Cameron.
This should knock his price down a bit, knowing that Cameron can only play 137 games next season. The Braves are considered a strong contender for him.
Schilling Names Targets
UPDATE, 10-31-07: Gordon Edes and Amalie Benjamin of the Boston Globe spoke to a Red Sox source who does not expect Schilling to return to the team. The Red Sox will offer an incentive-based contract. The source added that Tim Wakefield‘s option is likely to be exercised.
FROM 10/30/07:
Interesting. After Boston, Curt Schilling has 12 teams he’d consider pitching for in 2008. Here they are:
Indians
Tigers
Angels
Mets
Phillies
Braves
Dodgers
Padres
Diamondbacks
Cubs
Cardinals
Brewers
Schilling had talked about the idea of going somewhere he could tutor young pitchers, like Tampa Bay. But it sounds like that idea is out and he wants to play for a contender. Not that the Rays can’t contend in ’08. I’m curious as to why the White Sox and Rockies were excluded, but who knows.
That’s a nice extensive list, so it should be fun if Boston passes. At a reasonable one-year commitment, any of the dozen should have interest no matter what their rotation looks like.
Needs and Luxuries: San Diego Padres
As promised, here is the Padres’ entry in the Needs and Luxuries series.
C – Josh Bard
1B – Adrian Gonzalez
2B – Matt Antonelli
SS – Khalil Greene
3B – Kevin Kouzmanoff
LF – Scott Hairston
CF – Jason Lane
RF – Brian Giles
SP – Jake Peavy
SP – Chris Young
SP – Greg Maddux
SP – Justin Germano
SP –
Setup: Heath Bell
Closer: Trevor Hoffman
Needs
The 2007 Padres were 15th of 16 NL teams with a .322 OBP. They were 12th with a .411 SLG. Those numbers may be misleading – looking only at road games, the Padres were 6th in OBP and 3rd in SLG. Still, you’d like to have a few regulars top a .760 OPS at home next year (no one pulled it off in ’07).
Center field, left field, and second base are question marks heading into ’08. There are viable in-house options. Antonelli was named "the best second base prospect in the game" by Kevin Goldstein after a breakout year. He played college ball; he’ll be 23 in April. He’s only got 49 games of Double A experience under his belt, so the Padres could bring in some veteran competition this spring.
Hairston and Lane are both interesting outfield candidates, perhaps for a left field platoon. If Hairston can stay healthy he may finally establish himself as a regular. Kouzmanoff could enter the LF mix as well with third base prospect Chase Headley coming on strong. Intriguing one-year option: Barry Bonds.
As for center field, that’ll be filled from the outside. Kosuke Fukudome could play there for a year and shift to right field after that. Kevin Towers may make a huge one-year offer to Andruw Jones; Boras has scoffed at the one-year idea but you never know. Trading for Coco Crisp doesn’t make sense; the Friars need to add offense. Aaron Rowand could be a consideration.
It’ll be interesting to see how Kevin Towers fills his fifth starter spot. He could sign Josh Towers if he’s non-tendered. He could go for rehab projects like Matt Clement, Mark Prior, or a million others.
Luxuries
Towers continues to create solid relievers out of nowhere. Many have seen success vanish after San Diego, but there will still be a market for guys like Heath Bell (1.46 ERA in 49 road innings). The Padres could use Bell to pursue Adam Dunn or Jason Bay. It would take more, but that could be a starting point.
Kouzmanoff or Hairston could also be expendable. Chase Headley hit .330/.437/.580 in 433 Double A at-bats and plays solid defense (Kouz does not, by most accounts). Kouzmanoff has more value than Hairston right now, and this is a great time to have an extra third baseman. The Twins and Phillies could have interest. After an awful April, Kouzmanoff hit .303/.355/.504 in 110 games.
The Padres entered ’07 with a $58MM payroll, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see $10-12MM added to that. Expect one major acquisition this winter, with Fukudome the favorite.