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SATURDAY: ESPN's Buster Olney says the Padres offered Hoffman a $4MM salary for '09, plus an option for '10 that includes a buyout. Tough call for Hoffman.
THURSDAY: Tom Krasovic of the San Diego Union-Tribune talked to Padres GM Kevin Towers about the Hoffman situation. Towers says he made an offer to Hoffman on Friday and has yet to receive a response.
TUESDAY: Trevor Hoffman wants to continue pitching. The Padres would like to retain his services. It sounds like a perfect match. According to Corey Brock of MLB.com, the two sides could get something done soon. The Padres will offer their long-time closer a deal this week, in hopes to sign him before the beginning of free agency.
Hoffman made $7.5 million in his age-40 season, posting a 3.77 ERA and recording 30 saves for the last-place Friars. Despite his highest ERA since 1995 and the fewest innings since his injury-shortened 2003 campaign, he thinks he's got plenty of innings left in his arm:
"Well, I think I have more than one [season left]. My body feels good. My arm feels a heck of a lot better than it has the last few years. The competitive juices are still there."
Brock speculates that Hoffman could be in line for a one-year deal with incentives, possibly with a team option for 2010. That sounds reasonable enough. Will it be enough for Hoffman, though?
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I have a hard time believing he'll pitch past 2009 as the Padres closer. He is definitely slowing down and despite that whole 'arm feels better juices flowing' line, he's not as dominating as he was two years ago, let alone more.
One year and an option or let's move on and find a new young closer
Posted by: AnteaterPadre | October 14, 2008 at 11:40 AM
Hoffman is probably going to have to take a pay cut and settle for one year, and if he starts slow I can see them attempting to move him out of the closers role. Seems to me that Hoffman has always been more than generous with the Pads, and he probably understands that he doesn't have much time left anyway, so I can see him taking 1-yr/$5 million with a team option for 2010.
Posted by: pageian | October 14, 2008 at 12:02 PM
Why would the Padres shop Peavy to dump salary so they can retain Hoffman? Then again I think it's more likely that Peavy stays than not. I just don't see any team throwing a Haren-like package out there that Peavy would accept a deal to, outside of the teams in the NL Central.
Could the Mets possibly go after Hoffman? Offering him 1/10 with an option for 2010 would make way more sense than giving K-Rod 5/75 or Fuentes 3/39.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 14, 2008 at 12:33 PM
Can't see Hoffman really getting more than about 1 year 4.5 million with a club option. I think that is fair considering the team payroll will be close to 50 million. Plus, why would you pay a closer who has one at best two years left in him more than that when you have no intentions of competing.
Posted by: Chris | October 14, 2008 at 01:06 PM
"Why would the Padres shop Peavy to dump salary so they can retain Hoffman?"
Because the extent of what they'd be paying Hoffman would be whatever they sign him for in 2009. They'll pay Peavy $8 million (?) in '09 but his salary goes WAY up after that, so the total commitment is much higher. If the Pads wait and shop Peavy after '09 then they're trying to sell him when he's expensive, and who knows he could be hurt by then. By shopping Peavy now they'll get a greater return because he's still got a relatively inexpensive year coming in '09.
Posted by: pageian | October 14, 2008 at 02:36 PM
Hoffman is tremendous and means more to the Padres than his saves total. He is great in the community and has been the one constant since the Tony Gwynn era in San Diego.
Seems like the two sides should be able to get together and create a deal based off Wake's current situation in Boston. Mutual options from here on out for $5m + incentives seems reasonable.
Fans come out to see Trevor. Who else are they going to come see in 09?
Posted by: bjsguess | October 14, 2008 at 04:29 PM
"Fans come out to see Trevor. Who else are they going to come see in 09?"
I sort of feel like this is an odd statement. Do fans actually go to the park for the possibility of watching Hoffman have a 75% chance of closing out a game with mid 80's fastballs?
I mean I completely agree that Hoffman means more to the Padres than simply his performance as a player, and will likely be retained for that reason, but I just would be surprised if Padres fans told me they went to games to watch Trevor Hoffman anymore. Maybe I just don't get as excited about watching a guy throw changeups as other people, when he's got a 3.70 ERA. The whole sentimental thing doesn't get to me so much. But then again as a Cubs fan I try not to think about the past..
Posted by: scribbletone | October 14, 2008 at 04:42 PM
"Who else are they going to come see in 09?"
And well I guess you could say Adrian Gonzalez, Chase Headley, Brian Giles, and possibly Kevin Kouzmanoff and Jake Peavy, but then again that doesn't excite me much either.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 14, 2008 at 04:43 PM
If the Padres want to put some fans in seats, Kevin Towers needs to convince Ned Colletti to trade Andruw Jones for Khalil Greene. Even with his recent slump, Jones is still a name-recognized player capable of bouncing back and competing for Comeback Player of the Year.
Before any bashing of this proposal, here are my points:
-Andruw Jones has his best career numbers at Petco Park.
-If the Dodgers kick in $5MM and take on the contract of Khalil Greene, than the Padres are essentially paying Jones what they already have committed to Greene; all the while, the Dodgers have an extra $6MM to aide in re-signing Manny.
I'd love to see this deal done. The idea of Andruw Jones reviving his career in the relaxed atmosphere of San Diego could definitely get fans excited. More so than Grandpa Hoffman.
And Khalil Greene makes sense for the Dodgers, while they give Chin-lung Hu a full year in AAA; this assumes they miss out on re-signing Rafael Furcal - which is more money saved for Manny.
It makes a lot of sense to me. If the Padres also got Boston to give them Lugo and some cash, all of a sudden the lineup gets interesting: (1) Julio Lugo (2) Brian Giles (3) Andruw Jones (4) Adrian Gonzalez (5) Kevin Kouzmanoff (6) Chase Headley (7) Edgar Gonzalez (8) Nick Hundley
Posted by: WestCoastBias | October 14, 2008 at 05:56 PM
WestCoastBias-
I feel like adding Andruw Jones and Julio Lugo could benefit the team, somehow, if they both bounced back. But in that ballpark it just seems like it would be difficult for two guys who were so lost to find their footing.
And also when you consider that the Padres are trying to dump salary, not take on more, it seems like the Pads would be more likely to persue cheaper bounce back candidates
Posted by: scribbletone | October 14, 2008 at 07:21 PM
Scribble ...
From the stands it's hard to see the difference between 85 and 95 :)
All I can say is that the atmosphere changes. The music starts up, people come to their feet, and it is exciting as a fan.
I didn't mean to disrespect any of the other Padres players. Guys like Gonzalez are substantially better and make a larger contribution. All I can say is that the feeling is different when Adrian steps up to the plate vs Trevor coming into the game.
Posted by: bjsguess | October 14, 2008 at 07:25 PM
With Andruw, my argument is that the salary could be a wash with Khalil.
With Lugo, I'd say he already bounced back with his 350 OBP this year; he's just stuck behind Jed Lowrie. And if the Red Sox paid half, we'd only be dealing with a $3MM salary.
Posted by: WestCoastBias | October 14, 2008 at 09:02 PM
"With Andruw, my argument is that the salary could be a wash with Khalil."
But Jones makes $15M in '09, while Greene makes $6.5M. The Dodgers would have to eat $8.5M in order to make that deal work, I'm just not sure I see them being so open to doing that. If the salaries are a wash, then the equation changes somewhat.
As for the Lugo idea, considering that he has 2/18 left with a $9M vesting option for 2011, the Red Sox would have to eat far more than half for the Pads to be paying $3M/yr.
I don't know where you're getting your contract information, but it's all somewhat off.
I recommend using Cot's Baseball Contracts to look up contracts: http://mlbcontracts.blogspot.com/
Posted by: scribbletone | October 14, 2008 at 09:16 PM
If only everyone knew about Cots and the Cube or Baseball Reference. The world would be a happier place.
I don't get the idea of taking on Jones from the Padres perspective.
First, you can throw out his tiny sample size at Petco. It is statistically irrelevant.
Next, don't assume that he will bounce back because SD is less stressful. The only place more stressful than SD may be with the LAD. We all saw how that went.
Finally, what do the Padres do about short? If you want Lugo it will cost you either $ or prospects. The Padres don't want to give up either.
So, let's just say under best case scenario you can swap Jones for Green with the Dodgers picking up the difference in salary. Then you turn around and add Lugo at 2/18 w/ a possible extra year at $9m.
At the end of the day you traded away a better shortstop, increased your payroll by $9m and added a CF who has been arguably the worst offensive player in baseball over the past 2 years.
I'm just struggling to see how that helps the Padres. It's a whole lot if's that have to work out just right.
Posted by: bjsguess | October 15, 2008 at 01:34 AM
BTW - I like the idea of moving Jones but it has to be to a team with deep pockets. The Yanks have a gaping hole in CF, money to burn, and might be willing to take on a guy like Jones (assuming that the Dodgers eat enough salary to bring him down to like $8m for the year).
I don't see any other big market clubs who are willing to roll the dice on Jones and have a need for a CF. OK - maybe the White Sox. But if they are going to do that why not just keep KGJ? He stinks but he doesn't stink as bad as Andruw.
Posted by: bjsguess | October 15, 2008 at 01:38 AM
The idea of Khalil Greene having a bounce back season seems way more likely than Andruw Jones and also, he brings around that pesky Scott Boras baggage everywhere with him. What if Jones starts bad again in '09, is benched and then Boras starts his yapping (or through a proxie like Jones) about not starting on a non contender? What then?
As poor as Jones looked last year, it would amaze me if anyone would take him of of the Dodgers hands without them eating the entire amount anyway, only Dontrelle willis comes to mind that at this moment may be the most absolute worst contract out there vs performance last season for non injured players, or did play in some of the season.
Lugo is not looking good on his vesting option, he is only roughly 1/2 way to his 2400 PA needed to kick it in for 2011. He's not going to get anywhere near the remaining 1200 with Boston and only way he gets them elsewhere is to eat more than 3 million of his yearly salary that was posted above, or trade for another horrible contract.
Echo thoughts on Cot's contracts should be required for all posters here, it updates within hours on players when traded also.
Would be nice if the site here had a top list of all teams best web sites for prospects, it can be difficult to find information on a few teams, even after a few years and some web sites do not last.
Posted by: johns | October 15, 2008 at 04:44 AM
If you don't get chills when hells bells starts up you don't deserve to be a pads fan.
Posted by: handjobber89 | October 16, 2008 at 11:36 PM
I get thrills when Hell's Bells starts up, but I'd get the same thrills with that music playing and Heath Bell closing things out.
As to page ian's post:
"Because the extent of what they'd be paying Hoffman would be whatever they sign him for in 2009. They'll pay Peavy $8 million (?) in '09 but his salary goes WAY up after that, so the total commitment is much higher. If the Pads wait and shop Peavy after '09 then they're trying to sell him when he's expensive, and who knows he could be hurt by then. By shopping Peavy now they'll get a greater return because he's still got a relatively inexpensive year coming in '09."
Not sure I follow you there. Jake could get hurt in 09, that true, but that's about the only uncertainty associated with waiting another year. In 2010, Jake will still be young, good and cheap. Next year's salary is 11 million which is way below market value for a pitcherf is calber. But even after that, things remain cheap. his salary tops out at 17 million which is a lot of money, but in today's market, teams would pay 20-22 million/year for Jake. Hence, not sure I agree with your post. Wecould keep him and trade him in 2010. BTW, there is also a chance he goes out and wins a 2nd Cy Young, and then he'd be really hot stuff. Things to consider (don't always look at worst-case scenario)...
Posted by: tomfromsd | October 17, 2008 at 05:08 AM
Well, I think its pretty clear now with the "shop Jake aggressively" story that the Padres are going into rebuild mode. They should've blasted this team down to the foundations last June/July, but that's another story. Thus I think the Trevor signing is to keep one of the few shreds of dignity we have left. You don't kick a probable HOFer who has spent virtually his entire career with your team to the curb that easily. He's willing to take the SD discount, and he's still an effective RP (1.82 WXRL) even if he was only the 3rd best RP in the Padres bullpen last year. He's been the one constant for the Padres for over a decade, bridging the Gwynn era to this one, and even if hearing Hells Bells fills me with more dread than certainty these days, I still get to my feet when Trevor comes in. Yes, you should not bring emotion into a business decision, but every once in a while you have to make an exception, and I don't think signing Trevor to a 1-2 year deal at $4-6m p/a is going to bury them.
Posted by: VAFriar | October 17, 2008 at 08:36 AM
Resigning Hoffman just isn't a good business decision for this team. I'd like to see them go through the dreds and pick out a Luis Gonzalez and an Al Reyes rather than sign Trevor.
It's definitely a contract based upon respect and tenure, and I like to see that in today's game. But I think Trevor's contract will do more bad than good for San Diego.
Posted by: www.homehalfway.net | October 17, 2008 at 09:38 AM
dregs* man, I can't type today.
Posted by: www.homehalfway.net | October 17, 2008 at 09:38 AM
... are they expecting him to be the closer for these years or middle relief/bullpen vet
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | October 18, 2008 at 05:57 PM
Get rid of him...he sucks let Heath Bell close it out.
Posted by: SuperChargers | October 18, 2008 at 06:49 PM