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Mets To Make Offers To Free Agent Targets

According to David Lennon of Newsday, the Mets will make offers to Francisco Rodriguez and Brian Fuentes this week, and perhaps Derek Lowe and other starters.

Rather than attempt to scare other teams off with massive initial bids, the Mets will make small offers and work their way up.  It seems that the sticking point with K-Rod will be guaranteeing a fourth year.  That was what they had to do to get Billy Wagner three years ago.


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as a met fan, this doesnt make sense to me...k-rod is so much younger than Billy Wagner, and we're LEARY of giving him a 4th year? We did it for billy, just do it for k-rod..get it out of the way, get it over with, and work on the other holes on the mets, like another bat, another copule of bullpen arms, and a starter

As a Mets fan this is a relief (pun somewhat intended). We've been burned so many times (Pedro, Wagner, etc...) with giving into player's ridiculous requests, this my friends is revolutionary. And it doesn't matter that Krod is younger than Wagner, Krod has lost noticable speed on his pitches, and is an arm-injury in the making. There aren't a ton of teams out there who need a closer, so the ball is not in the Mets court to wow the player with an offer. This is smart, finally.

Yea because giving Wagner 4 years worked out so well for them.

well lemme explain myself some more...if the mets have decided "its k-rod" and the money is right, why make the years a deal breaker? YES, people get hurt, but you can't really PREDICT that. BIlly was pretty durable but he got hurt..it happens. Personally, i'd rather sign a young closer for more years, than go hihger on money and less on years

Yes, it would have been hard to predict Wagner's injury, but considering Krod has lost a noticeable amount of mph off his fastball from 2007 to 2008, an injury is bound to finally occur within the years of his next contact (probably with the Mets).

Also, for every closer that has recorded more than 50 saves in a single season, look at the seasons they had afterwards. It's not pretty.

sampsonite,

EXACTLY. Anybody see how quickly Bobby Thigpen fell off the face of the planet after his previous record setting season.

He basically had two average at best years after his record setting year before being out of baseball. Go ahead Mets, give him 4 or 5 years.

I am not worried if the Mets get K-Rod for 4 years but I wouldn't go over that unless it was a team option for a 5th. You'd hope by at least the 3rd year Omar would come up with a trade that would give the Mets bullpen some insurance just in case something does happen to K-Rod.

Plus, he is coming to the NL, where he can have a few more good years if he happens to be declining. At least K-Rod has a career, Fuentes has been so up and down, he couldn't even keep his closers job with the Rockies. Do the Mets really want to invest money in a guy like that?

"as a met fan, this doesnt make sense to me...k-rod is so much younger than Billy Wagner, and we're LEARY of giving him a 4th year? We did it for billy, just do it for k-rod..get it out of the way, get it over with, and work on the other holes on the mets, like another bat, another copule of bullpen arms, and a starter"

Exactly. I mean, we need a closer, so lets just overpay him in years and dollars just so we can have him in November! Forget about his declining peripherals, and about all the bad things that can happen by giving a closer an extra year! I want him now Dadddy!!!!!!!

I love the people who knock K-Rod but offer no other solutions. Fuentes? I'd rather not. Wood? He's a walking injury. Jenks? Not going to happen, Omar wouldn't trade away F-Mart for Johan, he's not going for Jenks, or Street for that matter.

I would say toss out a 3 yr deal in the 12-15M range, with a 4th year club option.

"Exactly. I mean, we need a closer, so lets just overpay him in years and dollars just so we can have him in November! Forget about his declining peripherals, and about all the bad things that can happen by giving a closer an extra year! I want him now Dadddy!!!!!!"

I think it's pretty clear that by year 4 of a K-Rod contract, he won't even nearly be the pitcher that he is now. He's throwing his fastball at 92-93 rather than 96-98, but that's not even the big thing here. The fact is that not only has he taken something off of his fastball, but his slider has declined to the point where he's needed to make his change up a key part of his arsenal. Without that dominant slider, he just simply can't be the 11-13 K/9 pitcher that he was for the past few years. As his physical decline continues, the guy is just going to continue to strike out less guys and become less dominant.

I just wouldn't want to have a top 25 closer be paid like a top 3 one, because he saved 62 games on the best team in baseball once.

"EXACTLY. Anybody see how quickly Bobby Thigpen fell off the face of the planet after his previous record setting season."

Bobby Thigpen had a 4 season stretch where he threw 89.0 IP, 90.0 IP, 79.0 IP, and 88.2 IP. The final of which was his record breaking season. He was abused to death and that's why he fell apart.

K-Rod on the other hand, threw only 68.1 Innings last season, and hasn't thrown over 73 Innings in a season since 2004.

Apples and Oranges.

''Plus, he is coming to the NL, where he can have a few more good years if he happens to be declining. At least K-Rod has a career, Fuentes has been so up and down, he couldn't even keep his closers job with the Rockies. Do the Mets really want to invest money in a guy like that? ''

Fuentes was an all-star for three straight years in Colorado in '05-'07, and he only lost his job on a roadtrip prior to the All-Star Break in '07 where he gave up ten earned runs in five road appearances in Toronto, Chicago, and Houston over the course of a week and his ERA went from 1.89 to 4.17. Then, the Rockies gave the closer job to Manny Corpas, Corpas thrived, and Fuentes gave up a total of THREE earned runs the rest of the season. Don't say Fuentes doesn't even have a career, I mean come on.

With that being said, I am in no way condoning giving Fuentes 3/33, or K-Rod 4/56. I am totally against giving closers long-term deals for big money such as the $15 million per year that K-Rod wants.

Hey philsWSchamps, you are yet another example of a Phillies fan who focuses more on the defeat of the Mets than on the victory of the Phillies. That is very sad. Plus, your team deserves better than that. They earned it, as much as it kills me to admit it. Anywaysss.....

For those of you that don't know, K-Rod's velocity isn't something he lost, it's something he intentionally decreased in order to increase his command. The velocity is still there. I saw him throw mid-to-upper-nineties toward the end of the regular season. When I consider how he was overused by the Angels, I'd do the same thing. If you're constantly throwing 95+ with a large workload, your arm is going to get tired, and your offspeed pitches will eventually suffer as well.

Anyways, my point is that I'd rather give him 4 with a 5th year club option if it meant less $/year. He's only 26, he's a passionate player, and I think Omar should invest in a team, not just a 2009 World Series. We need another whacky/fiery player to offset all the softspoken, diplomatic nice guys we have. (see Wright/Delgado/Beltran)

Why do people think that because Bobby Thigpen went bad after his saves record season? Last time I checked, Francisco Rodriguez is NOT Bobby Thigpen. And besides, do you see how many IP he had in the years before the decline? He was avergaing 75 innings before he went downhill. That very well could be a reason.

MattyMets, do you know how many wrong decisions there are in the ASG?

"Why do people think that because Bobby Thigpen went bad after his saves record season? Last time I checked, Francisco Rodriguez is NOT Bobby Thigpen. And besides, do you see how many IP he had in the years before the decline? He was avergaing 75 innings before he went downhill. That very well could be a reason."

Eric Gagne.

"Krod has lost noticable speed on his pitches, and is an arm-injury in the making. "

K-Rod changed his mechanics this past spring to lessen the strain on his body, as a result of these slightly less violent mechanics he lost a little bit of velocity.

Because of this, He really worked hard and developed his Changeup into a nice offering, and used it alot more in game situations.

He has shown the ability to go back to his old mechanics at any time he pleases in order to get the extra velocity on his Fastball, he did so several times down the stretch.

Point is, this is all part of the evolution of a pitcher, and not something people should be completely freaking out about.

Another thing people seem to be forgetting is that K-Rod will only be 27 years old next season, and even if you give him a 4 year contract you'll only be signing him through Age 30.

I don't know about you, but I'll take my chances that someone holds up from Ages 27-30 anyday of the week.

"Eric Gagne."

Threw 82.1 Innings in 3 consecutive seasons prior to his arm injuries, Apples and Oranges.

Again, K-Rod only threw 68.1 Innings last season, and hasn't thrown over 73 Innings since 2004.

"Fuentes was an all-star for three straight years in Colorado in '05-'07, and he only lost his job on a roadtrip prior to the All-Star Break in '07 where he gave up ten earned runs in five road appearances in Toronto, Chicago, and Houston over the course of a week and his ERA went from 1.89 to 4.17."

Additionally, Fuentes went on the DL IMMEDIATELY following that stretch of games. I don't think the team ever explicitly said that he was pitching with an injury that hampered his performance, but this was my assumption, based on the timing. By the time he got back, Corpas had put up some dominant numbers, and it made sense to keep the hot hand in the closer role.

The "50 save" thing is mostly overblown.

In major league history, there has only been 11 50-save seasons; one of which, obviously, came this season.

Most of the other pitchers did quite well after their 50-save years. Gagne saved 50 in two straight years - after that, he posted a 45-save, 2.19 season. Mariano did it twice; after the first time, he did get hurt the next year. The second time? He came back with one of his best seasons ever.

The best example, other than Thigpen, of a pitcher breaking down horribly after a 50-save campaign was Rod Beck...Beck's ERA climbed to over 5.00 in only 43 appearances the next year.

When you save 50, the likelihood is pretty high that you were worked harder than normal in that season. When you factor in normal attrition rate amongst ALL relievers, and sure - you would expect a few 50-save pitchers to decline the next season; just like a lot of relievers who have fantastic seasons often decline the next year.
---
I am not a Mets fan, but I don't see any issue with giving K-Rod a 4-year deal. However, do they NEED to do it? I am not sure. I realize that the Mets bullpen was terrible in 2008, but sometimes the wisest thing to do with the bullpen is try to go as cheaply as possible, while spending the money elsewhere.

Just because his velocity is dropping, doesn't mean he can't pitch. Lots of pitchers reinvent themselves when they lose their gas.

Randy Johnson throws more sliders now.

Roger Clemens threw a lot more splitters.

There are cases like this everywhere.

K-Rod doesn't need to throw 96mph when his best pitch is his changeup. The fastball only keeps the hitters honest. In fact, slowing his fastball down should do less strain to his arm since he already has a violent delivery. This could actually prolong his career.

K-Rod is still a very good closer. He's behind Rivera, Papelbon, Nathan, and Lidge but thats about it (you could argue Jenks and maybe another 1 or 2).

So what is the alternate route for the mets?

They don't have a good farm system, it's unlikely they could acquire a closer comparable to Krod.

You could overpay for Fuentes, which would save you 5-10 million. Or you could stop citing "declining peripherals" and realize how abysmal your bullpen is.

Sure you need more than just a closer but a good bullpen starts at the top..who the hell can currently and consistently close games for NY?

The Mets should get Brian Fuentes. They can give him a 3 year deal and he'll be their closer until the young relief talent they have is ready to take over.

Fuentes:BB/9 was only 3.16 (better than k-rod)

K/9 was 11.78 (better than k-rod)

H/9 was 6.75 (better than k-rod)

BAA was .205 (better than k-rod)

OBA was .277 (better than k-rod)

SLG was .293 (better than k-rod)

WHIP was 1.10 (better than k-rod)

people really need to look at stats other than era and saves it comes down to a lot more than just that

also Fuentes pitched in colorado his era away from their was 1.84

and i know how much we would like a closer that can deliver down the stretch right? well fuentes era after the all star break was 1.75 ....his save percentage after the all star break was 100 because he went 16/16 ... his era away from colorado after the all star break was 0.00 .....wouldnt we like to have someone like that?

Wagner's injury should have been easy for a scouting department to catch. Bad mechanics + old = ???

K-Rod's mechanics are better, but not perfect and he's younger. Less likely to get hurt, but that 3 MPH velocity decrease with no increased command should concern people.

Read the Mitchell Report, and use that information as knowledge when viewing a player's performance people. Gagne being off the sauce is what caused his decline. His use of steroids fueled that great run.

paulio,

actually i can multi-task. I focus on both. I also have posted on many of the pages on here, whether it be Giants, Tigers, Yankees, Nationals, etc, so go ahead and "TRY" to peg me, but you're wrong. You know its funny because I've only gotten comments like yours from Mets fans.

If I were Omar Minaya, I wouldn't go after K-ROD, I'd go get Wood, (Affeldt sorry he's gone now), Beimel and another solid righty reliever and go ahead and drop Schowenweis, Heilman (maybe you can convince someone he can be a 5th starter) and Feliciano. Also I'd go get Manny, whatever it takes. maybe he could do for you what he did for the Dodgers. Money seems to be little option for the Mets, so why not get the best.

But as a Phils fan, i hope you do none of that.

Anyways, my point is that I'd rather give him 4 with a 5th year club option if it meant less $/year. He's only 26, he's a passionate player, and I think Omar should invest in a team, not just a 2009 World Series. We need another whacky/fiery player to offset all the softspoken, diplomatic nice guys we have. (see Wright/Delgado/Beltran)


haha. Diplomatic? is that what Beltran was when he said "THE METS" were the team to beat now they have Santana last year?

Oh and your Mr Reyes makes up for all your "diplomatic" players with his "style". It would be fun having the contrast of Lidge and K-ROD as closers.

Again this rivalry is fun and very good for our two cities. Hopefully you all start to keep up your end of the bargain soon :-)

Wood. Cruz. Ayala. Affeldt. Maybe not Wood. I would like to have Wood, but I I think building a pen with Cruz, Affeldt, and Ayala in the back end would be fine.

HiHaters6,

isn't Cordero the same "injured" time bomb? To me its taking a shot on someone who can perform on the big stage and I think Wood can do that. Just my opinion. And as a Phils fan I'd hope you'd stand pat. No wait, I take that back. I hope you get all that you ask for and that we STILL beat you so that some of you (you know who you are) give us the credit we deserve.

Anyways I do think it would be fun to add K-Rod's "personality" to the NL East mix.

And keep Heilman. He can still pitch. One bad year doesn't ruin you. Ask the Phils if they are happy they didn't give up on Ryan Madson, when he posted a couple of Heilman 08 type seasons. They are similar pitchers also, with a similar history and similar stuff. No reason to just give up on Heilman. It is just stupid. I know, I know. Buy high, sell low. Thats our motto.

Wood. Cruz. Ayala. Affeldt. Maybe not Wood. I would like to have Wood, but I I think building a pen with Cruz, Affeldt, and Ayala in the back end would be fine.


Sorry nrmax,

Affeldt is gone (Giants for a 2 year 8MM deal.

Whoops. This is what happens when I take like 36 hours off from checking MLBTR. My life goes to shambles.

nrmax,

haha. You know I've always pegged Madson and Heilman as VERY similar pitchers. Around the same age, came up at similar times etc. One's worked out so far and one hasn't. A lot of it has to do with confidence. In 2007 Madson had injury problems and suffered confidence wise and was banished for a short time to the 6th or 7th innings while I believe Heilman was doing OK. Now this year its the reverse.

Relievers are almost impossible to peg, unless you're talking about the best of the best, ie Mariano, Nathan etc.

The other day I went back to the archives here and looked at some of the fans' responses to signings etc and it was kind of comical.

Everyone laughed at the Chad Durbin signing as well as the Lidge trade. Thought that he was finished and the Phillies fans would crucify him for his first blown save. Well we may, but it hasn't happened yet, so no one knows. They also said how Michael Bourn would be a great addition to the Astros. Didnt' happen yet.

And i'm sure you can play that scenario out for all the teams out there. That's what makes all this speculation out there fun.

HiHaters6,

i've been a fan since i was 10 and went to game 6 of the World series in 1980. Best game since the "Blanton home run game" that i went to this year. So its not all of a sudden, but some of us are a lot quieter when we suck.

Ya Victorino got crap for that from his teammates. He shouldn't have done that but that was funny. At least he didn't do it in a game in the middle of May against the Nationals though. You know we love Jose about as much as you love Jimmy.

We'll see IF you get him and IF he's dominant closer for you and if so for how long. Like I've said before, spend all you want to try to catch us, its fun watching you all try.

oh and i wasn't referring to you when i said that some fans didn't give the World champs credit. just wanted to clear that up.

" In 2007 Madson had injury problems and suffered confidence wise and was banished for a short time to the 6th or 7th innings while I believe Heilman was doing OK."

Exactly. The same can be said about Heilman this year. He was a solid workhorse in the pen for 3 years, and he has the potential to get back to that. He is still under relatively cheap control, so why not try to get his value back up. I'm sure a lot of teams would take a chance on him for 2 million.

"isn't Cordero the same "injured" time bomb?"

He's also a lot cheaper, and thus MUCH less of a risk. A guy who costs 1MM/yr going down isn't as big a loss as a guy who costs 10MM/yr going down. The Mets bullpen shouldn't be relying on any one guy; there needs to be multiple guys in there capable of getting outs when needed.

As a Mets fan, I would like to see the Mets bring in:

Cordero (previous closing experience)

Ayala (didn't completely implode as a temp. closer last season; would be better in a 7th inning role)

Beimel and/or Ohman (maybe both then get rid of Feliciano; if only 1 then keep Feliciano). I really like Beimel. He has only let up 1 homerun in the last 2 seasons and that was to Beltran. Thats the type of pitcher I would like to see in a Mets uniform.

KRod

Im not against Fuentes since the left handed hitting in the NL East (Utley, Howard, McCann, possibly Adam Dunn) can really hurt a pitcher but I just am more confident in KRod.

Guys I don't like:

Wood - Too many injuries to be worth the type of money he will likely command. I like his stuff but the last thing the Mets need is to be paying 2 closers not to pitch this season.

Cruz - I HATE walks from a reliever and his Type A status means PASS!

Farnsworth - ENOUGH SAID

"people really need to look at stats other than era and saves it comes down to a lot more than just that"

Sure, like lets look at track records.

You compared what is for all intensive purposes a career year from Brian Fuentes peripherally to the worst season of K-Rod's career peripherally.....and Fuentes barely came out better.

Odds are, like all other career years, that it's due for some regression to his norms. Meanwhile, K-Rod will likely continue on as an elite pitcher in the game.

Not saying Fuentes isn't pretty good, but to compare him in terms of talent to K-Rod is asinine. He's not in the same realm.

R.P. Francisco Rodriguez
R.P. Joe Smith
R.P. Joe Biemel
R.P. Pedro Feliciano
R.P. Juan Rincon
R.P. Chad Cordero
R.P. Eddie Kunz

let Ayala go because he is a type B free agent and the Mets receiver a sandwich pick for him if he declines Arb and signs elsewhere

I don't want K-Rod. Gimme Lowe, Fuentes and Manny: http://tinyurl.com/5czy43

"haha. Diplomatic? is that what Beltran was when he said "THE METS" were the team to beat now they have Santana last year?

Oh and your Mr Reyes makes up for all your "diplomatic" players with his "style". It would be fun having the contrast of Lidge and K-ROD as closers."

I actually forgot about Beltran's comment, but really that's the only "eff everyone else" evidence I've seen from him. As for Reyes, I liked his personality before he was pressured to calm down. I just think that if the NL East (particularly the Phillies and Marlins) are going to hate so much, we might as well go for broke and use it as fuel and stop trying to please everyone. Having players like K-Rod and Reyes play off of each other would not only be tons of fun to watch, it would make Reyes more comfortable in his element. Fans, and the rest of the team, would/should rally behind that.

"I don't want K-Rod. Gimme Lowe, Fuentes and Manny: http://tinyurl.com/5czy43"

Ugh, Lowe? My gut tells me he really just doesn't want to come to the Mets. It seems like a last resort. I'd rather have a team member than a hired gun. I'd rather have Ollie if the Money is right. Something like this:

Santana
Pelfrey
Maine
Ollie
Neise and/or Pedro (incentive deal)

Then spend the bulk of the remaining payroll on the bullpen and maybe an extra bat....possibly Manny or Orlando Hudson...but that's a whole other post.

I'm fine with letting Ayala walk to get a sandwich pick.

Lets say the Mets spend between $18M - $23M on the bullpen with most going to the closer.

The Mets might only have enough to bring in a starter and thats it.

Would an offseason of KRod, Beimel, Cordero, and Lowe be good enough for the Mets?

I still believe they need another bench bat. Sick of seeing Marlon Anderson and Robinson Cancel pinch hitting.

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