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Stark On Red Sox Offseason Moves

In his latest column, Jayson Stark weighs in on the moves the Red Sox made this off-season. While Boston did not spend nearly as much as the Yankees, their moves have a ton of upside potential and that no team "had a more underrated offseason than the Red Sox."

  • Stark spoke to one scout that thinks the Red Sox did a better job than the Yankees at filling their needs through free agency.
  • Stark notes that the amount of guaranteed dollars for the Red Sox four free agents (John Smoltz, Brad Penny, Takashi Saito, Rocco Baldelli) is less than what the Yankees will pay AJ Burnett this season.
  • The Red Sox moves also did not leave the team with "long-term inflexibility."
  • One scout believes Smoltz will come back healthy at some point and compares the signing to trading for an impact pitcher at the trade deadline. Stark says the Sox believe $5.5MM for Smoltz is a better gamble than a five- or seven-year deal for "any free-agent pitcher."
  • Stark notes that Penny did not need off-season surgery and one scout says pitching coach John Farrell is the one person that should be able to get the best out of Penny.
  • One scout says that if Saito is healthy, the Red Sox got a steal.
  • Stark says the Red Sox rotation is more "October-ready" than the Yankees, even if the Yankees have the better long-term outlook.

Cork Gaines writes for RaysIndex.com and can be reached here.


Comments

Go Sox!!! :D

This is going to be a wild summer int he AL East.

Meaningless tripe meant to soothe the raw, and tender wounds of Red Sox fans.
You want to talk dollars, and how Burnett costs more than Smoltz and Penny and all those others combined?

Fine. Neither Smoltz, nor Penny come close to AJ Burnett either. John Smoltz, old, over the hill---Penny, unknown commodity.

Tripe.

They are solid to moves, but to say that they are equal to adding Sabathia and Teixeria is ridiculous.

btw, You can get an anonymous scout to say anything.

I think Smoltz is a HUGE risk for the Red Sox.

I will go on record now and say the Dodgers get more from the $5 mill guaranteed they gave Randy Wolf than the $5.5 mill guaranteed they gave Smoltz.

The Yankees will definitely get more for their investment in Burnett this year vs. what the Red Sox get out of Smoltz.

Also, Penny is done. You can bank on that. He is lazy and never worked hard at conditioning and now is paying the price for it.

Unfortunately, I think Saito is done, too. A shame since I really liked the guy but I don't think he can bounce back at 39.

I see a lot of high risk/high reward pitching signings that are goin to end up BAD risks with NO rewards.

I have nothing against the Sox, just calling it like I see it.

This whole article is pointless. The yanks and redsox had completely different needs. The yanks needed big front of the rotation starters to anchor the staff, not older injured players with a high ceiling and bargain deals.

And why do these guys always put a negative spin on how much the yanks spend? (Hypothetically) If the Steinbrenner family generates $250 mil per year through the yanks and decides to put $200 mil of that money back into the team other than pocket it why is that considered a bad thing? I wish more owners were that committed to winning.

Just another espn column about how great the redsox are.

I don't see how Smoltz is a HUGE risk and an even greater risk than Burnett.
Burnett will cost like 13M more and the Yankees made a 5 year commitment to this injury-prone pitcher.
Sure, Smoltz is an old dude who had surgery, but he has huge upside once he can get back to the mount and even step it up a bit in october. And even if he doesn't it does not really matter because it's only a one year deal.

I guess I am getting sick of all the media outlets blowing the Red Sox.

It has been going on for a long time now.

Since 2004, the words "underrated" and "Red Sox" have never been in the same sentence. How can they be underrated when they are forced in front on your face on every media outlet?

I would be willing to say as a "anonymous scout" that without Manny their offense will be overrated.

Smoltz will be back in May and will probably pitch more innings than D.L. Burnett. And guess who wins if they go head to head in the playoffs,SMOLTZ! This probably will never happen as the Elderly Empire seem destined for another 3rd Place Finish! I love petty jealous posters!

before the injury last season, Smoltz was throwing mid 90s fastballs with ridiculous breaking pitches. basically unhittable.

age may catch up with him this season... it must eventually. but smoltz has yet to present a case of "old man arm."

If you have more and bigger needs, you will generally spend more money. End of story.

The Red Sox had FAR fewer holes to fill this offseason. They did not have a major hole on the club. They needed to bolster their bullpen (minor), add rotation insurance and depth Buchholz/Bowden (very minor) and any injuries that happen, and grab a utility guy or two.

The Yankees lost their 2nd and 3rd best hitter (Giambi and Abreu) and their best pitcher last year (Moose). Their rotation last year had also been a mess, with schleps like Ponson getting innings. If you were saying Pettitte was going to be resigned anyways, then they had 3 sure things in Joba, Pettitte, and Wang, with Kennedy and Hughes on the horizon.

They're too completely different scenarios, and they shouldn't be compared to each other.

some people here are too friggin biased towards the Yankees.

To even begin to try and downplay the Smoltz signing (among others) and call it a risk is nonsense, in my eyes.

I'm a Yankee fan, but the Sox DID have the better off-season. Filled their needs better, got a few high upside pitchers (Smoltz and Saito in particular, I'm very 'meh' on Penny) and a capable 4th OF in Baldelli. I like their pickups collectively better than that of the Yankees.

of course, Mr. Red Sox Dynasty above me seems to be wearing his homer glasses (again) as well. must be proud of your cute nicknames..."DL Burnett", "Elderly Empire"...gold star perfomance. gold star.

Since there are people that are comparing Smoltz to Burnett, I just wanted to point out:

Smoltz irregardless of age has ALWAYS been a consumate professional.

Burnett on the other hand as history has shown only really puts in the effort on his "contract" years. Maybe its just a coincedence that his numbers work out that way, but dont you think that that is a HUGE risk? To pay someone that much money to play under that much pressure that may not even put in an effort now that he has the money he wants?

Also, Im pretty sure the Sox will baby Smoltz throughout the season so that have him as a weapon come September and October. If he makes 2 or 3 quality starts in September to help the Sox to the playoffs and a few quality starts in the playoffs then he was well worth the risk the Sox made. Burnett on the other hand will have to be at peak performance all year with no gaps in what he gives to the NY fans, media and on the mound or the city of NY will eat him alive.

Man Red Sox fans are very very cocky. I thought Yankees fans were bad.

I will openly state that I am a Red Sox fan, but I am not one of "those" Red Sox fans that has to try to cause trouble with Yankee fans. I respect the Yankee organization for doing their best to put forward a winning team for their city and their fans. NY has always been a classy organization no matter what Red Sox fans think. I actually think the Yankees made some really good moves this offseason, and it is certainly going to make the AL East Division very interesting this year.

The money issue always seems to come up when discussions happen. It seems like alot of Red Sox fans don't remember that they tried to get Tex and were going to spend just about the same amount for him. But you all lost out.

Against the Grain,

I hope you were not directing that toward me. Please do not misunderstand me.

I do not believe I am cocky, just very passionate about baseball, and about my team.

PREDICTION,the Evil Empire will be bitten in the behind by their long term deals as they fail to sell out those luxury boxes in a brutal economy and A-Roid will soon be exposed for being a liar again when the truth comes out that he was taking HGH during his MVP free agent 2007 season. Just Watch!

Losing Tex was a big blow to the Red Sox, I will openly admit, and I still believe that with the additions the Yankees made, ON PAPER I think the Yankees have the edge this year in the east. Anything can happen to change that: injuries, trades etc. and I dont think the Red Sox will go down without making some kind of move to put them in a fight for the finish race with the Yankees for the Division and the AL Championship.

I was not directing that towards you. You have been the first Red Sox fan that doesn't have blinders on and is interested in baseball and will give credit to other teams on moves they make. It is refreshing. I am being completely serious.

NATUREGIRL7712, just a hunch but i think that was aimed at me but I could be wrong.

Red Sox Dynasty,
Do you remember that the Red Sox almost got A-rod? I wonder if your bitter tune would be different. You don't hear Yankee fans being bitter with losing out on Papi. He was a target for the Yankees.

I think that sometimes fans of NY and Boston lose sight of the fact that this is still a game, not a war. Im sure that if you ask members of each team, they respect each other as professionals and as people. People just get to angry and take things WAY to seriously

You think what was aimed at you?

Couldn't have put it better myself Naturegirl.

This is the greatest game in the world and it is larger than just the Red Sox and the Yankees.

Real genius comments there - "Saito will be a steal if healthy". Yeah no kidding.

Let's also go out on a limb with these predictions:

1. Pujols will be great..unless his elbow goes snap.

2. Kerry Wood will get a lot of saves...unless he tears his rotator cuff.

3. Mark Teixeira will get a lot of RBI...barring injury.

Excellent.

Everyone seems to be very high on pitching coach John Farrell. I guess we can't really judge. But if he's really that good in straightening out damaged pitching arms, then I think the Red Sox should sign Rich Harden and/or Eric Bedard. They could even be relatively cheap if they hit the DL this year again.

VERY, VERY true... If you look at the 2008 World Series, it was Philadelphia against... Tampa. Tampa? Wait did I say Tampa? Not Boston or New York? That is what drives healthy competition... other teams that compete to make the game more interesting. Personally the same team winning year after year after year becomes kind of dull.

Not that I wouldnt want to see the Red Sox/Yankees matchup in October, or a Red Sox/National league World Series matchup. But I was actually really excited for Tampa last year and I was kind of hoping for a Tampa/Chicago Cubs world series... a win win for both cities...

^

friggin moron.

whoops, not you naturegirl. I was referring to Red Sox Dynasty.

Its kind of cool this time of year, going into the regular season. The time of year where there are all kinds of expectations, fans are edgy waiting for the season to start... But you know what the best is? Not knowing how the season is going to turn out for anyone. That there could be surprises that pop up out of nowhere and take everyone by storm. (ie the 2008 Rays.) Its the time of year where everyone THINKS they know what will happen but noone actually does. It gives fans of all teams reason to look forward to something, to hope for the chance that their team can do it this year.

No worries... :-)

I'm just excited for CC to be on the mound in 3 years,about 350 lbs, pitching against the Sox in July when it's 98 out. I wonder how all those years and all that money will look then.
That being said, Tampa Bay looks much stronger...can't wait till opening day.

Thanks for summarizing articles like these. Thanks for the time saved from reading dubious articles like these.

Think of it this way (A lot shorter than this article): If the Yanks and Red Sox switched offseason moves, who leaves with the better offseason?

I am sure Carsten Charles has pitched in the heat before. This isn't is first season, and we are all looking forward to him mowing down the Manny-less Red Sox lineup.

strikethree,

Obviously the Yankees made WAY more of a splash with big name free agents and really improved their team for this year. They also had way more ? marks in their organization to rectify.

The Red Sox had a pretty good team last year and really didnt have that many holes to fill so they chose a more conservative approach to free agent signings.

The Yankees gave themselves the edge this offseason in the east for 2009, but keep in mind that injuries or trades can change the core of a team at any time. Anything can still happen on either side.

The Sox could come up BIG with a trade for a HUGE free agent slugger in July that has Sox fans dancing in the streets ready to raise the World Series flag... and then the very next day the Yankees could be announcing a blockbuster trade for Jake Peavy and raising their own banner... Thats the beauty of it all... anything can and most likely will happen!

Whoops, didnt mean free agent in July... I meant free agent to be... rent a player deal

I wonder what is going to be said by the Red Sox Nation when the Sox overpay for Matt Holliday?

Personally, I would rather see the Sox stick with what they have for this year and see how Lars Anderson progresses before they spend a fortune in dollars and prospects on Matt Holliday. Not that hes not a great player, he is, but not someone I would want to see the Sox break the bank for.

"I wonder what is going to be said by the Red Sox Nation when the Sox overpay for Matt Holliday?"

I'd argue that it is MUCH more likely that the Red Sox just extend Jason Bay. He's voiced his pleasure in playing there and shouldn't cost nearly as much as Holliday would on the open market.

Also, I really LOVE what Boston did during the offseason.

Obviously this team is going to have some huge risks in playing so many injury risks (Lowell, Beckett, Ortiz, Baldelli, Drew, Penny, Saito, Smoltz), but the upside on this team is huge.

They're hardly depending on any of those guys to be major contributors other than Beckett, Drew, Lowell and Ortiz. Saito would just give them another bullpen ace, Penny and Smoltz are high-upside rotation fodder, and Baldelli is a high upside fourth outfielder that could easily man any OF position at any time so long as he's healthy.

Considering the risk in giving long term BIG money to any pitcher, I think signing multiple high upside guys to incentive-laden contracts is a good way for a team like Boston to go about things. They can easily afford the sunk costs of a mistake, and if one of those guys has a monster year then it could potentially make up for failures in the other three signings.

I hope the Sox let Bay go and the Yankees pick him up. He has been one of my favorite players and it is hard to root for him while playing in Boston.

No mention of the trade for Ramon Ramirez?

I think the Yankee and Red Sox off seasons are two different animals. The Yankees did what they had to and the Red Sox did what they had to. Neither team hurt themselves (immediatly) with their off seasons.

Oh thats right the Red Sox don't have J.D. Drew. I forgot. I am a doofus.

A Yankee fan calling out the Red Sox for overpaying? That's interesting.

I wasn't calling out the Red Sox for overpaying I was simply saying that all teams do it and other fans shouldn't criticize other teams for spending some money.

theres a pretty good reason burnett is paid more than those old, rehabbing players. hes much, much better and in his prime and elite.

id rather pay the best than hope some 40 yr olds and bad shoulder pitchers find the fountain of youth

I agree with IAmWeasel.

I think the Yankees simply outspent the competition, which is smart because they don't care about money and they got some marquee, All-Star players to sell tickets at the new Yankee Stadium.

Red Sox was more shrewd and made some interesting, low-risk, high-reward moves and have the prospects to do this, as well as trade some for a big bat at the trade deadline.

Only complaint is Sabathia's postseason resume is troubling. Very troubling.

I wasn't calling out the Red Sox for overpaying I was simply saying that all teams do it and other fans shouldn't criticize other teams for spending some money.

Posted by: Against The Grain | March 10, 2009 at 08:41 PM

Agreed, 100%. My bad for misunderstanding.

Thats the beauty of it all... anything can and most likely will happen!

Posted by: Naturegirl7712 | March 10, 2009 at 07:28 PM

True.

However, the point is that if the Yankees were to make the same moves Boston did, then there would be a flurry of criticisms and outrage.

The Yankees had a lot more weaknesses. It made sense for them based on their goals to patch holes. They came out with an upgraded rotation and the potential for another potent lineup once Arod returns.

I don't understand how one can rate Boston's moves over the Yankee's moves since both teams had different goals. Both teams had good offseasons.

I wonder what Stark would've written if the Sox actually signed Tex. Does that mean their offseason would be OVERRATED because of the money they would have had spent?

Both teams come out competitive so I don't see the point in this article. Even the title is redundant: "Boston's moves could pay big dividends" Duh. Any move can pay off. The same thing could be said that the the Yankees COULD win the WS next year based on this year's offseason moves. Yeah, thanks for the not-so-obvious news Stark.

id rather pay the best than hope some 40 yr olds and bad shoulder pitchers find the fountain of youth

Posted by: Josh | March 10, 2009 at 08:45 PM

That's fine. But Burnett isn't the best. He's a lesser pitcher than Smoltz, even recently. Smoltz had a 2.57 ERA before he got shut down, which is an admittedly small sample. But in 2007, Smoltz was the better pitcher.

Smoltz:
14-8, 3.11 ERA in 205 innings, 197 SO/47 BB, 1.182 WHIP, 6th in CY and an AS appearance

Burnett:
10-8, 3.57 ERA in 165 innings, 176 So/66 BB, 1.189 WHIP


Plus Smoltz is a freak. Give me Smoltz any day of the week.

Boston has a much better long term outlook than the Yanks. Boston seems to be able to inject youth every year and mold it with the veterans to have a strong club. Smoltz is a much better signing than Burnett as he is a low risk/high reward signing. Burnett has an A+ arm when HEALTHY and a 10 cent brain. Burnett has never put it all together and he never will. CC is a much better pitcher than Burnett too. Boston also has a bunch of good young arms coming up in Masterson,Bowden and Buchholz. Lester is only 25 and blossoming into a top starter and Matsuzaka is too. Boston will finish 1st with Tampa and the Yanks battling for 2nd in the East.

1.) First things first - I am a Red Sox fan. And like "Naturegirl" I'm not so blinded by my team allegiances that I won't give the Yankees credit when they deserve it.

2.) To my other Red Sox fans:

Shut up about CC Sabathia and his weight. We signed 2008 Curt Schilling and 2005 David Wells. Sabathia is the best pitcher on the planet and it kills me that the Sox didnt make a more serious run at him (Though I dont mind them not wanting to go 7 years on any SP). And enough with this "postseason history" garbage. The last two times he was in the playoffs he was clearly gassed by teams that taxed his arm pretty hard. The Yankees have enough depth that this shouldn't be an issue. Plus when was the last time any pitcher on this current Sox rotation pitched 240+ IP in back to back seasons?

"No mention of the trade for Ramon Ramirez?"

Shame that Crisp wanted to start and kept requesting a trade, he was the perfect #4 OF. I see Ramirez being behind MDC, Saito and Oki-J in the Middle reliever order, though saw on at least one site that he was projected to be the main setup guy, which is strange.

Of all the DL risk starting pitchers available,Smoltz and Schilling are the 2 that I would take the risk on since both are phenomenal in the post season. Hard to see why teams that Schill even is willing to go to and are a playoff possible team would not try and get him locked up with his post season performance in mind.

I think the big thing that justifies the Yankees signing Sabathia, Burnett and Teixeira is that this team had some serious money coming off their books during the winter.

Yeah, they spent an outrageous amount of money, something no other team could do, but no other team is baseball is capable of having $70M+ come off their books in a single winter. They were essentially replacing the massive salaries of Giambi, Mussina and Pettitte with those of Tex, Sabathia and Burnett.

Either way, maybe all three guys break down and the team is left in an awful position long term. The risk goes both ways.

Shame that Crisp wanted to start and kept requesting a trade, he was the perfect #4 OF. I see Ramirez being behind MDC, Saito and Oki-J in the Middle reliever order, though saw on at least one site that he was projected to be the main setup guy, which is strange.


Posted by: johns | March 11, 2009 at 02:58 AM

------

Not only will he be a terrific piece out of the bullpen (no matter where it is), but in getting him the Red Sox also got a net savings of $5.33 million dollars. One could argue that they got Baldelli, Saito, 1/2 of a Penny and Ramon Ramirez for Coco Crisp.

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