MLBTR Writer Predictions

Five MLBTR writers give 2012 predictions!  Click here to see postseason and award picks from Tim Dierkes, Ben Nicholson-Smith, Mike Axisa, Mark Polishuk, and Steve Adams.  Make your predictions in the comments and we'll check back here in November.


Full Story | 106 Comments | Categories: Uncategorized

Leave a Reply

106 Comments on "MLBTR Writer Predictions"


j6takish
3 years 3 months ago

Brett Lawrie lost rookie eligibility, correct?
 

Runtime
3 years 3 months ago

Sadly.

LazerTown
3 years 3 months ago

Seeing no red sox on the list made me slightly more happy.

notsureifsrs
3 years 3 months ago

no red sox and no braves. the recency bias is strong in these ones

5 different NL cy young predictions is pretty cool though

chico65
3 years 3 months ago

Huh.  Always thought you might have been a Pedroia fan.

wickedkevin
3 years 3 months ago

 The amount of pessimism in RSN is astounding.

Havok9120
3 years 3 months ago

 Very true, but that doesn’t mean that its totally unfounded.

johnsilver
3 years 3 months ago

Lot of faith there guys in the -0- offense and all pitching Rays to not just make the playoffs, but even advance. This isn’t the early-mid 70’s Orioles rotation, nor do they have a Frank Robinson/Boog Powell style bat, backed up with GG people in Belanger,Brooks Robinson, Paul Blair even to bail them out.

Maddon has his work cut out getting this team to win even 90 games this season.

notsureifsrs
3 years 3 months ago

they all have the rays making the playoffs, but only two to the ALCS and none to the WS. interesting

johnsilver
3 years 3 months ago

   I
guess a couple figured that pitching could only carry them so far. Like
through 1 game series and the lack of offense would show up.

Kind of odd would think if the Rays could send David Price out there
in a 1 game series one would think they would stand a very good chance
of advancing, unless it was vs Detroit and against Verlander. Then
noticed 1 has the Rays over Detroit.

Anything can happen in a 1 gamer.. Shame fall is not warmer nation
w8ide so they could play longer series..Say at least a 3 gamer. 1 game
series is just not right. That 1 game series from 78 still sticks
sickeningly in my mind from a Sox fan point of view.

inleylandwetrust
3 years 3 months ago

With longoria, upton, Jennings, Pena, Zobrist, and Scott I think they’ll have a pretty underrated offense this season.

Havok9120
3 years 3 months ago

 This is my fear. They aren’t punchless again. They aren’t GREAT, but they aren’t the Phillies offensively.

wickedkevin
3 years 3 months ago

 The Phillies aren’t the Phillies offensively. 

johnsilver
3 years 3 months ago

 That is just it.. Scott they have to hope is back from his shoulder woes and IF he is? Kills Boston and will give super protection to Longoria.. Upton nobody fears and hasn’t hit for 4 seasons, Pena is power only and a GG winner. Longoria is a true threat, Zobrist is good and Jennings is a blue chipper rookie they are pinning their hopes on.

This lineup is just full of holes.

Runtime
3 years 3 months ago

I’m kind of sad that Henderson Alvarez isn’t a rookie anymore… he could have made a good push for ROY.

Then again, Yu Darvish is a “rookie” this year.

3 years 3 months ago

That chart is funny. Marlins and Nationals will not make the postseason. They both look good on PAPER but if either make the postseason I will wear their jersey every Friday for the next year.

lefty177
3 years 3 months ago

AL East-Red Sox
AL Central-Tigers
AL West-Rangers
AL Wild Card 1-Yankees
AL Wild Card 2-Angels
ALCS-Red Sox over Yankees
NL East-Phillies
NL Central-Reds
NL West-Diamondbacks
NL Wild Card 1-Cardinals
NL Wild Card 2-Nationals
NLCS-Diamonbacks over Phillies
World Series-Red Sox over Diamondbacks
AL MVP-Miguel Cabrera
NL MVP-Justin Upton
AL ROY-Matt Moore
NL ROY-Drew Pomeranz
AL Cy Young-Jon Lester
NL Cy Young-Clayton Kershaw

(some of these are iffy choices)

Jonathan Roina
3 years 3 months ago

lemme guess, red sox fan?

wickedkevin
3 years 3 months ago

 (some of these are iffy choices)

You left out Bobby V as manager of the year.

chico65
3 years 3 months ago

I never really thought about it before, but winning the AL MVP will be that much more difficult with the additions of Pujols and Fielder.  Talk about a stacked field.

Runtime
3 years 3 months ago

Poor Jose Bautista… he’s never going to win it now…

chico65
3 years 3 months ago

I was thinking the same thing about Pedroia’s chances for a second.

If Bautista pops another 50 and they take the division he’d have a good chance still, I’d think. 

Havok9120
3 years 3 months ago

Um.

So what you’re saying is that he’s never going to win it now?

Encarnacion's Parrot
3 years 3 months ago

Pedroia shouldn’t have even won an MVP in 2008. He’s a good player, but MVP worthy? He deserved to be in the discussion last year (mostly from his defense), but not in any other year previous IMO.

johnsilver
3 years 3 months ago

They already don’t allow DH’s to win.. Ortiz ’06 when Morneau won it with entirely inferior statistics as an example.. What’s the difference with Pedey winning in ’08 with a down year all over offensively in the AL?

No different than Ortiz crushing Morneau in ’06 and the writers refusing to give it to a DH. Why not refuse to give the Cy Young to a reliever, or MVP to any pitcher? That just makes no sense.. Sorry about that as generally don’t have a real issue with your posts.

Encarnacion's Parrot
3 years 3 months ago

I think in 2008 Grady Sizemore should have won it, but that’s me.

Phadreus
3 years 3 months ago

I am not sure I understand the NL Central predictions.  Other than the Tigers and Phillies, I think that Cards are the next most likely to win their division.  

It seems to me that Milwaukee is a worse team than last year and that Cincinnati is better, but they had a long way to go and are planning on giving 190 precious innings to Arroyo and only 70 or so to Chapman (an absurd decision).  

The Cards on the other hand:
1) Lost Pujols
2) Added Wainwright
3) Lose Carpenter for 2 to 3 months
4) Added Beltran
5) Moved Berkman to 1B
6) Have a real bullpen for the entire season

While Pujols is a HUGE loss, I think that Wainwright could return to being one of the best pitchers in the NL and the other moves mean they are about equal in the end.  

The other thing that surprises me is the pick of Mesoraco for NL ROY.  This is hard to win for a catcher because of playing time and catchers rarely hit when then first come up.  I think he is talented, but I am not sure I put him in the Posey/Mauer level of talent.  More the Wieters level of talent, AKA… popular pre-season ROY pick that doesn’t hit enough to get there.

Harper, Belt, Bauer, Cozart, Shelby Miller, Pomeranz, and maybe Brett Jackson.  Come to think of it, Belt might have lost eligibility.  

Runtime
3 years 3 months ago

Trying to hide my bias here:
AL East-Yankees
AL Central-Tigers
AL West-Angels
AL Wild Card 1-Rays
AL Wild Card 2-Blue Jays
ALCS-Blue Jays over Tigers
NL East-Phillies
NL Central-Brewers
NL West-Giants
NL Wild Card 1-Nationals
NL Wild Card 2-Reds
NLCS-Phillies over Nationals
World Series-Phillies over Blue Jays
AL MVP-Jose Bautista
NL MVP-Joey Votto
AL ROY-Matt Moore
NL ROY-Bryce Harper (I think he’ll get called up mid May and just blow everyone away)
AL Cy Young-Ricky Romero
NL Cy Young-Stephen Strasburg

3 years 3 months ago

how do you see Strasburg as Cy Young this year? 

Runtime
3 years 3 months ago

His stuff is fantastic.

He’s gotta have a “break through” year eventually

notsureifsrs
3 years 3 months ago

absolutely. probably not a year in which he has an innings limit, though

Runtime
3 years 3 months ago

But relievers have won Cy Youngs and they put out much fewer innings

Eric Gagne won with 88 IP

3 years 3 months ago

And 55 saves

Runtime
3 years 3 months ago

So if Strausburg puts up 2003 Gagne numbers… but has 0 Saves, he shouldn’t win?

vtadave
3 years 3 months ago

Correct.  If a starting pitcher pitches 70 innings then no, he shouldn’t win.

Muggi
3 years 3 months ago

 Apples and oranges.

The voters just don’t give it to a SP with under 200ip.

wickedkevin
3 years 3 months ago

The Eck!

inleylandwetrust
3 years 3 months ago

Pitch 160 innings…win CY Young. Definition of a beast!

chico65
3 years 3 months ago

Ha ha ha ha good one there, hiding your bias, ha ha ha

Runtime
3 years 3 months ago

Hey now, I could have easily been mistaken for a Nats fan…

chico65
3 years 3 months ago

What is this “Nats fan” you speak of?  They appear to be extinct in my neck of the woods.

Sully65
3 years 3 months ago

I think the Nats can win this year and I feel they will contend. My question is this the Nats have an inning limit on Stras, why not DL him early in season and bring him up in May? This way you limit his innings during cold damp April as opposed to September when you will really need him ?

Muggi
3 years 3 months ago

 Because without him in April they probably WON’T need him in September. Gio/Jackson/Zimmermann are all decent, but they’re not going to be there without Stras every 5 days.

IMO they’ll grow this season, probably end up above .500 which is a GREAT thing for them. Next season, watch out.

Sully65
3 years 3 months ago

 But if they can’t get to September without him in April, how can they get to October without him in September

Muggi
3 years 3 months ago

 That’s why I don’t think they make it this year.

redsx968
3 years 3 months ago

AL East- Yankees
AL Central- Tigers
AL West- Angels
ALWC1- Rays
ALWC2- Red Sox
ALCS- Yankees over Rays
NL East- Phillies
NL Central- Reds
NL West- D’Backs
NLWC1- Cards
NLWC2- Mets (just kidding- Marlins)
NLCS- Reds over Phillies
World Series- Yankees over Reds
AL MVP- Pujols
NL MVP- Tulo
AL ROY- Yu Darvish
NL ROY- Mesoraco
ALCY- King Felix
NLCY- Halladay

FacelessGeneralManager
3 years 3 months ago

Way to have some guts writers……Not. No dark horses at all this year?

Edit: With the AL picks i mean.

johnsilver
3 years 3 months ago

 Who were they supposed to be? Any team in the AL East (other than the O’s) could make the playoffs. There just is no other team in the Central, or West other than Detroit, Anaheim, or Texas with really a remote chance if you look at it realistically and not trying to sound mean, nor slam the fans of those teams here.

Havok9120
3 years 3 months ago

 Exactly. The only real “dark horse” would have been the Jays, and they’re so dark that they blend perfectly into space.

3 years 3 months ago

Well they were so spot on with their free agency picks…

M_Harden
3 years 3 months ago

No one picked Harper for ROY. Interesting.

3 years 3 months ago

I love how everyone of these writers has over looked the Braves…OK…seems like these guys have that ESPN bias…all the typical bandwagon teams were picked…

vtadave
3 years 3 months ago

Yeah I’m sure they are all Braves haters Jerry.

johnsilver
3 years 3 months ago

 They all left the Cubs off to.. Shame on them :-(

3 years 3 months ago

At what point does it become embarrassing to admit that you’re a cubs fan?

Muggi
3 years 3 months ago

 They’re the bandwagon for a reason. They’re the best teams.

Snoochies8
3 years 3 months ago

 No A’s picks!?! how dare they!!11!! they’re all anti-oakland!!

but really, a lot of those are the picks I would’ve made too

AL East: Yankees
AL Central: Tigers
AL West: Rangers
AL Wildcard 1: Rays
AL Wildcard 2: Angels
NL East: Phillies
NL Central: Reds
NL West: Diamondbacks
NL Wildcard 1: Nationals
NL Wildcard 2: Cardinals

ALCS:Angels over Rangers
NLCS:Reds over Phillies

World Series: Angels over Reds

AL CY Young: CC Sabathia
NL CY Young: Josh Johnson

AL MVP: Prince Fielder
NL MVP: Matt Kemp

AL Rookie of the Year: Yoenis Cespedes (have to have a homer pick in there)
NL Rookie of the Year: Trevor Bauer

3 years 3 months ago

Wow, three of you picked the Brewers to win the NL Central?  And you all picked the Phillies to win the East?  I hope you guys don’t put money on stuff like this.  I’ve got my dollars on the Cardinals winning the NL Central.  Phillies fans are in for a lot of heartbreak this year, I think.  Not enough offense.

SoCalAngelsFan75
3 years 3 months ago

Liking this Steve guy (Go Halos!).  Seriously though, seems like everyone, not just the writers, are in agreement about the contending AL teams.  NL, on the other hand, is pretty much up for grabs.  Should be some interesting races in those divisions.

Tom Cox
3 years 3 months ago

Nobody picks the Red Sox for even a #2 wildcard?  Or Verlander for a Cy Young?

MB923
3 years 3 months ago

Perhaps due to the Red Sox pitching problems, both at the end of the rotation and in the later innings now.

I would not be surprised to see them miss out on a wild card.

LazerTown
3 years 3 months ago

same, they have a somewhat decent team, but are they better than the rangers, angels, rays, yankees?

NO WAY

their only luck is injuries

Havok9120
3 years 3 months ago

Are you a Boston fan? Good Lord, they aren’t THAT bad. They’re basically the same team that crushed the AL for 135 games last season. The entire pitching staff is somewhat thinner, but they aren’t terrible.

I just don’t think you can go along an entire season with this thin a staff. And the minors certainly don’t seem to be offering them any relief.

Havok9120
3 years 3 months ago

With the Sox its all about how their front 3 starters preform and hold up over the course of the season. That ‘pen is awfully thin to make up for even the 2 pitchers they’ll probably have to, but if they also need to make up for the deficiencies of one of the “reliable” guys….

As good as their offense can be its hard to rely on that over the entire course of a season. We shall see.

3 years 3 months ago

Thank God for Steve, picking the Rays for the AL East! As for everyone else picking the Yankees harrumph! Since I am a contrarian, I am picking the field to win the Al Central. The one surprising thing no one picked the Nationals for anything. The other surprising thing no one picked Verlander to repeat for Cy Young. Boy, Verlander gets no love from Kate Upton in the commercial and gets no love from the MLB Rumor staff.  It’s funny last year what was he 24-5, I think I watched all 5 of those losses, I never saw him when he was pitching his best.

lefty177
3 years 3 months ago

then stop watching him pitch & he’ll win 30 games

Havok9120
3 years 3 months ago

 Its hard to win back to back Cy Youngs. His win total was the most dominant thing about his case, especially going into September, and that is not a stat that seems to carry too much weight with the staff here. The competition will probably be fierce again this year.

3 years 3 months ago

I’m still calling it for the Cubs no matter what anyone says.  If we get off to a good start we have nice reinforcements waiting in the wings in the minors.

VegasANGELSFan
3 years 3 months ago

I think you hope for too much: 1) that the Cubs get off to a good start with their sub-par team; and 2) that somehow players that are currently in the minors are going to come up and make the team better THIS year.  They should have a better record than the Astros though… so that’s something. 

What do you like about the Cubs?  Their pitching staff doesn’t look like it will be very good behind Garza.  Their offense also appears pretty bad.  While anyone can win that division, I just don’t see them on the same level of the Brewers, the Cardinals, or my pick for the central division winners, the Reds.  Like I said, anyone can win that division, but I’d be pretty shocked if the Cubs beat out the other non-Astro teams.  It might be a tight race between the Cubs and Pirates for 4th, and I think I like the Pirates in that race.