It’s been three years since Christian Walker rode the waiver carousel. A 2012 fourth-round pick of the Orioles, Walker’s chance of being a regular with the Baltimore organization likely went up in flames the moment owner Peter Angelos green-lighted the seven-year, $161MM deal that brought Chris Davis back to the club after he’d reached free agency. The Orioles still had a designated hitter spot, but a year later in the 2016-17 offseason, the Orioles re-signed Mark Trumbo to a three-year deal that only further cut into Walker’s opportunities. In Spring Training 2017, Walker was cut loose when the O’s acquired Richard Bleier from the Yankees.
From there, it was a whirlwind month for Walker — and likely one with a fair bit of frustration. After being blocked in Baltimore by Davis and Trumbo, Walker was surely hoping for a clearer path to the Majors. Instead, he landed in the National League, with no DH… behind Freddie Freeman. The Braves claimed Walker four days after his DFA in Baltimore but tried to sneak him through waivers themselves not two weeks later. Walker was again left to hope for a path to the Majors. Upon landing in Cincinnati on another claim, he was, of course, looking straight up at an in-his-prime Joey Votto. Three weeks later, Walker hit waivers again when the Reds tried to outright him at the end of camp. This time, he landed directly behind Paul Goldschmidt in Arizona.
The D-backs finally succeeded in passing him through waivers, though they selected him back to the big leagues later that year. For two seasons, Walker obliterated Triple-A opposition, slashing a combined .305/.372/.586 (142 wRC+) with 50 home runs, 59 doubles and 13 triples. And yet, his Major League counterpart matched him blow for blow in the big leagues; Goldschmidt posted a ridiculous .294/.396/.547 (144 wRC+) with 69 home runs, 69 doubles and eight triples. By the time the 2018 season concluded, Walker was out of minor league options while Goldschmidt entered the final season of his contract.
A trade of Goldschmidt seemed plausible but hardly a sure thing entering the winter of 2018-19. There was little hope of the D-backs re-signing him with Zack Greinke still on the books. Goldschmidt had already signed one team-friendly extension in his career and wasn’t likely to do so a second time. The D-backs explored deals involving both Goldschmidt and Greinke that winter, ultimately lining up with the Cardinals on a return of Luke Weaver, Carson Kelly, Andy Young and a Competitive Balance draft pick (Round B).
Even at that point, though, Walker wasn’t a lock to step into Goldschmidt’s shoes. The D-backs had re-signed Eduardo Escobar to a three-year deal, crowding the third base mix and perhaps pushing Jake Lamb across the diamond to first base. Lamb’s 2018 season was ruined by a shoulder injury, but he hit 59 home runs from 2016-17, batting a combined .248/.345/.498 along the way. A platoon looked to be the likeliest outcome for the right-handed-hitting Walker and the lefty-swinging Lamb, and that’s indeed how the club operated — until Lamb landed on the injured list once again on April 5 with a quadriceps injury that would sideline him into late June.
Prior to the 2019 season, Walker hadn’t started consecutive games in the Majors since Sept. 2014. With Goldschmidt out the door and Lamb on the shelf, however, the everyday opportunity he’d sought in the nearly five years since making his MLB debut was sitting right in front of him, and he seized it. Walker appeared inn 71 games while Lamb was on the IL — starting 66 of them — and hit .258/.333/.461 with 11 homers, 17 doubles, a triple, four steals and elite defense at first base. Even with Lamb back in the fold and playing on a $4.825MM salary, Walker had earned the trust of the organization and earned himself an everyday role.
By season’s end, the then-28-year-old Walker had compiled a .259/.348/.476 slash and 29 home runs. While his hitter-friendly home park and the juiced ball that prompted home run totals throughout the league to explode rendered that production perhaps a bit lighter than some might expect (112 wRC+, 111 OPS+), Walker complemented his output at the plate with quality baserunning and with some of the best glovework of any first baseman in the Majors. Walker’s 11 Defensive Runs Saved and 9 Outs Above Average trailed only Oakland’s Matt Olson for the MLB lead at his position. Walker’s 3.0 bWAR, in fact, topped the 2.4 mark of the franchise icon he’d replaced.
It’ll be important to see how he carries himself at the plate in the event of a course correction with regard to the composition of the baseball, but there’s little reason to doubt his ability. Walker (fittingly) drew a base on balls in 11.1 percent of his plate appearances and was among the game’s very best in terms of hard-hit rate (94th percentile), average exit velocity (85th percentile), xwOBA (81st percentile) and percentage of barreled balls (90th percentile). And even if those numbers take a step back, his superb glovework and excellent baserunning (relative to his positional peers) help to give Walker a relatively high floor.
All of that should be music to the ears of the D-backs, whose patience in hanging onto Walker was rewarded not only with a potential everyday heir to the first base slot — but one that can be controlled all the way through the 2024 campaign. Heading into the 2020 season — assuming there is one — there should be little doubt that Walker has a firm grip on the starting job that’s eluded him for his entire career. As insane as it would have sounded when Walker was acquired in 2017 and as improbable as it might’ve seemed even last spring, the D-backs look like they’ve successfully replaced Goldschmidt with a waiver claim.
DarkSide830
absolute props here. no one seemed to want Walker but the DBacks were willing to be patient. it is indeed a virtue.
jdgoat
I never understood why he got passed around so much back then
jbigz12
Because he came off back to back .750 OPS seasons in AAA as a 1B prospect? Are you shocked because that many teams wanted to claim him? Because it doesn’t really surprise me that teams would try to sneak that guy through waivers.
brewsingblue82
Exactly what JB said. I don’t think it was a matter of teams not wanting him, it was a matter of teams that didn’t actually need him for anything more than just depth at the moment being the ones to claim him. But they weren’t trying to let him go by putting him on waivers necessarily. They were just trying to get him into the minors to be used as depth until they had a use for him in the majors.
Stevil
He had hit and power tools and was one of the better hitters in the 2012 draft. That could very well explain why so many teams were willing to take a shot and try to retain him; try to get him on track.
And it worked for Arizona.
Matthew Heywood
He is a perfect example as to why over paying first baseman is a dumb idea as there are forex like this blocked in minors
MaineSkin
Do you think this is a little to broad in terms of “replaced” considering how many fans came to the park for Goldy, jerseys, etc…plus his defense and leadership?
Again paying guys like Trumbo and Crush were 100% influenced by Angelos but he pushed DD to sign Crush for the reasons I stated. Trumbo just happened to be with them as they were competing.
The Os signed Cruz, McLouth and others and let them excel then leave, not sure why Angelos had to mess it up.
jbigz12
Goldschmidt also made 15 million bucks to Walker’s league minimum. I have a feeling that Goldy didn’t bring in enough ticket and jersey sales to cover that gap.
Stevil
Not to mention that a significant percentage of merchandise sales is split equally among all 30 teams.
homerheins
Teams like the Dbacks can’t afford to overpay anyone. Rather, they need to maximize value as much as possible, especially since their rivals have seemingly unlimited resources and Friedman also makes savvy moves (Muncy).
123redsox
Friedman came over from the Ray’s. A small market team. He sure does know a thing or two about hidden talent. There is no excuse for not bringing at least one title to LA given his larger budget AND ability to find under the radar guys to compliment the big names.
Bleedsblue81
No excuse other than the cheaters of the world…aahhemm…still waiting on the red sox novel.
Stevil
No excuse? Like, a cheating Astros’ team?
That said, there are no guarantees in baseball and there are/were few holes or problems with the LA’s roster over the last 4-5 years. Titles or not, they’re still a respectable club that should continue to contend well into the future.
HalosHeavenJJ
Yep. Its like the Angels paying Albert Pujols and letting both Trumbo and CJ Cron go. Neither of the two are dynamic players but either of them plus a couple hundred million dollars is better than just Albert.
homerheins
Yes, the Angels would be a championship team if they held on to all that talent described by the previous article, if they didn’t sign Hamilton and Pujols and instead spent wisely on pitching and defense.
Stevil
Well, if it makes you feel any better, Baltimore (the same team that quit on Walker) shelled out to retain Davis. That wasn’t as bad as Pujols’ deal, but it was a stinker nonetheless.
jbigz12
Walker was done in Baltimore when he was eclipsed by Trey Mancini as a prospect. He spun his wheels in the minor leagues and wasn’t improving. Those AAA numbers from his last 2 seasons in Baltimore don’t exactly scream put him on the major league team. A shame how it all turned out but the Orioles still had the idea of being competitive at that time.
Good for him for the year he had though. Hopefully he has a couple more.
scottaz
This is a feel good story in Ariz. No one expected Goldies’ replacement to even come close to Goldies’ production, but Walker exceeded that production. Still, because Walker replaced a franchise icon and team leader, I think Walker is under appreciated by Dbacks fans. The lone negative is his age, after finally making it to the majors. He’ll have a short career as a Dbacks starter before being replaced in 2 years by Seth Beer or Pavin Smith.
thebaseballfanatic
Pavin says “hold my beer”
Billy Mumphreys Downfall
lol why is this 13 year old making corny boomer jokes
thebaseballfanatic
lol why is this adult criticizing children for no apparent reason
jbigz12
That works well for AZ. They’ll pay Walker the minimum this year and only have to pay him his first arb salary the next. If they want to go with Beer or Smith after that—Walker will probably have surplus value in a trade. (Assuming he keeps this up)
VegasSDfan
Exceeded that production? Which portion?
oldmansteve
Dbacks are hoping for the DH int he NL to promote Beer. Dude looks like a 40 year old Manny in LF
thebaseballfanatic
I almost laughed at the misfortune that Walker has gone through. As a player it would be infuriating to be waived over and over and never getting a chance at everyday playing time. It’s a great feel-good story that he was able to succeed at the MLB level in 2019.
Afk711
Just goes to show how easy it is to find 1B and how bad the Hosmer contract is.
GiantsX3
My wife and I live in Reno and watched Walker during his time at Triple A. Glad to see he finally got his shot and hope he stays at the show for years to come.
vtadave
Hey we live here too. Been fun watching Cron recently eh?
MJ 3
Living just South of Reno and getting to catch a game when we come up for shopping. It has been a been an fun last few year with some of the talent that has been on display.
Jgwi2az
There are plenty of 1b only types in the minors that would get a shot in the right situation. That’s why I was annoyed when the year the Brewers opened a season with Rafael Bentancourt as their starting 1b
JRamHOF
You might be thinking of Yuniesky Betancourt
Revbdubs
Could not tell the difference at the plate, to be fair.
Revbdubs
Could not tell the difference at the plate, to be fair.
Jgwi2az
Darn it. No editing crappy typing here
homerheins
Walker was one of the best things about watching last year’s team, and I am excited going forward because he has the work ethic, attitude, and talent of a champion. I predict he gets better in every area. I look forward to him hitting several more big home runs against Kershaw.
Rangers29
I wish the Rangers were as well run as the D-backs (and maybe as lucky). I mean they can find guys floating around the waiver wire and turn them into steals, get S. Marte for none of their great prospects, suck the Astros dry of most of their trade-able prospects, and while doing all they’ve done… they still have a good farm system!
jbigz12
They traded 2 guys with significant ceilings for Marte. Pittsburgh is shooting for the moon. You don’t know about them because they’re very young. Two guys who could very easily be top 50 prospects before their minor league careers are over.
A prospect with a prototypical ML starter build. Malone was a 1st round pick out of HS and a SS that fangraphs already slapped a 50 grade on. That deal could sting a lot worse than if they would’ve traded a prospect everyone already knew about. Like Seth Beer or something. Those 2 have really high ceilings. Obviously with any guys in the low minors there’s the risk it doesn’t happen.
Rangers29
Yes, I understand what you’re saying, but I just meant that they weren’t high enough in the system yet to look at it as a huge loss. Now in 5 years if Malone turns into the next Gerrit Cole, then great, but right now the risk-reward of the two prospects that you don’t know for sure. If the D-backs had made a swap of say Daulton Varsho for Marte, then people would freak out, because Varsho is close enough to the MLB to where you can tell he is almost guaranteed to contribute some way shape or form on the major league club even if in a minuscule manner. All I’m saying is that the two prospects they traded have a lot higher risk and reward then anybody higher in their system.
BTW when I said, “get S. Marte for none of their great prospects” I mean like top 10 or so in their system.
jbigz12
Yeah I gotcha. Peguero and Malone both should’ve been top 10 D’backs prospect though. Maybe one of them was right outside the top 10 for AZ—I’m not 100% on that. I’ve seen a lot of people dump on that deal from Pitt’s side and I don’t really see why.
From the D’backs perspective I get it. Neither one of those guys is helping til 2022 at the absolute earliest.
From the Pirates POV I think it’s a great deal though. They’re shooting for upside when they’re years off from being a contender.
Rangers29
I think people are going to make fun of any moves the Pirates make in the next couple years, even if they are good, because I guess it’s a running joke since the Archer trade. If I were Ben Cherington, right now I’d be trading for a few more high A and double A pitchers with some good upside. Because unless they trade Reynolds or Bell they are not going to get any top prospects, but if they can make a deal with Musgrove or maybe Kela, then they can garner a few more of those high upside pitchers that aren’t too far off from the majors. Build for 2022, rely on the draft, and don’t trade your super talented players.
HalosHeavenJJ
Agreed. Pittsburgh is aiming for an All Star to develop rather than taking the safer, closer to big league ready prospects. They have to know most of the lottery tickets won’t hit and that they’ll ultimately lose plenty of trades, but they also know that developing/acquiring one star player is vital.
Rangers29
Here’s my favorite example of a lotto ticket working out. Brett Nicholas was a backup catcher for the Rangers, he was traded to the Padres for a failed High A reliever Emmanuel Clase. The Rangers found something special in Clase and low and behold he was traded to the Indians for Corey Kluber as the main piece in the trade. That’s a good lotto ticket.
Stevil
Worth noting that Walker (Taijuan) was the centerpiece in the return for Arizona. But they absolutely deserve credit for their developmental program.
Another thing is that the ranking systems mean little or nothing to teams. They have their own analysis and often value prospects differently.
jbigz12
I don’t think anyone discussed Taijuan here.
But, yes for anyone who needs to hear it. Top 30 team lists are for fans not front offices.
SalaryCapMyth
Difficult not to cheer for Walker. Credit given to Arizona for being patient and while that is true, I think the bigger story is Walker himself. Really think about this guy. He was passed on by Baltimore and after that, ends up behind not one, not two but THREE iconic, future HoF first basemen but he kept plugging away.
Walker demonstrated determination and even MORE patience and is finally being rewarded. With that kind of character it’s unfortunate the Braves couldnt find a better use for him.
pageian
That’s some good front officing.
Griffin Design
Slugging first basemen are a dime a dozen. I loved Goldy but was glad he was not given a mega-contract.
homerheins
But how many can you mention that do everything well: overall hitting (power and on base), base-running, elite defense, and great attitude/chemistry for clubhouse? Although I agree with you not to overpay. Hosmer is the best example of what not to do, especially since the guy was always a big ground ball hitter.
Griffin Design
my point is, 1st base is the one position I would not give out a large contract for even for a franchise guy like Goldy. Replacement level production is too easy to come by.
JoeBrady
Hosmer was an awful signing for almost every reason you could think of:
1-5 of the 8 years was going to be in his 30s.
2-They had Myers on a l/t contract already playing 1st.
3-They had a decent prospect in Naylor that has no place to play, except 1st.
4-I like to throw out a player’s contract year & rookie year, to get a better view of what their production usually looks like. Hosmer’s WAR/650 was a very mediocre 2.0. Even including his complete career, it was still only 2.3.
Just like with Zito, Davis, etc., the worst part of the Hosmer deal was that it was always going to be a bad deal.
JoeBrady
1-A lesson in not over-investing in a 1B. Guys like Moreland always seem to be available. Mediocre, to be sure, but cheap and short-term.
2-Every farm should 1-2 mediocre 1B prospects and #6/7 type RPs. Minimum wage, mediocre production, affords the luxury of a good UIF and #4 OF.
homerheins
I appreciate all the comments about thinking differently about 1st basemen. I actually value defense there more than most because getting more outs than average is so valuable and so underrated. However, I believe athletic sluggers can move there more easily than any other position and be successful. For instance, I am curious if Sano’s value increases at 1st. I think it will. Imagine if he became an above average defender, which is possible because he moves really well for a large man. First base is one of the easiest positions on the diamond, but it is still not easy to be elite at that position because there are a lot of things you have to do really well. Hence, why David Ortiz was a liability out there.
Thomas Bliss
I bet it was hard for Walker to see a couple of his college teammates like Whit Merrifield and Jackie Bradley Jr playing regularly in the majors and having successful careers while you’re stuck in triple “A” all this time. I’m glad he got to experience last year and hopefully it’s only the beginning for him. Go Gamecocks!
swinging wood
LolOrioles