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From Waiver Fodder To MLB Regular?

By Connor Byrne | May 12, 2020 at 1:50am CDT

If you’re a hitter who records a wRC+ of 150 during a season, it means you were absolutely tremendous and 50 percent better than the average offensive player. The Diamondbacks’ Ketel Marte finished with exactly that number last season, and as most who follow baseball know, he was a contender for National League Most Valuable Player honors. Shifting to the AL, the Orioles essentially had their own offensive version of Marte, at least against left-handed pitchers. While facing southpaws, little-known infielder Hanser Alberto batted an eyebrow-raising .398/.414/.534 in 227 plate appearances. Only J.D. Martinez (.404) bettered the right-handed Alberto’s average versus lefties, while just 18 batters defeated his 151 wRC+ against them.

Alberto’s ownership of southpaws was a rare bright spot during a 54-win campaign for the Orioles, and no one could have expected it after he was passed around so much during the previous offseason. The Rangers, with whom Alberto appeared in the majors from 2015-16 and again in 2018, designated Alberto for assignment and he left the organization when the Yankees claimed him on waivers in November 2018. He never suited up for the Yankees, though, as they lost him to the Orioles via waivers in January 2019. That was not the end of a busy offseason for Alberto, whom the Giants picked up on waivers in February before the Orioles claimed him yet again in March.

You have to give credit to the 27-year-old Alberto for persevering through a whirlwind of transactions and emerging as one of the O’s most productive players a season ago. The question now is whether Baltimore has a keeper or at least a valuable trade chip in Alberto.

First of all, the fact that Alberto thrashed lefties last year isn’t the only positive. He’s also versatile enough to play multiple infield positions (second and third) and under affordable control via arbitration through 2022. Problem is that it’s hard to envision Alberto sustaining his 2019 production. Prior to then, he was just a .192/.210/.231 hitter with zero home runs in 192 major league plate appearances. That doesn’t mean the light bulb couldn’t have gone on – Alberto was a solid .309/.330/.438 batter over 1,000 Triple-A attempts before last season – but it appears there was a substantial amount of luck lifting him up during his first year in Baltimore.

Alberto concluded last season with an overall line of .305/.329/.422 (96 wRC+) and 12 dingers and 1.9 fWAR in 550 PA. He also led the league in strikeout percentage (9.1) and came in 10th in contact percentage (86.5). Looks like good news, but was it impactful contact? Not really. According to FanGraphs, Alberto ranked dead last among 135 qualified hitters in hard-contact percentage (24.6). Statcast also wasn’t enthralled, ranking Alberto in the bottom 1 percent of the majors in hard-hit rate, average exit velocity and walk percentage. Alberto did place in the game’s 88th percentile in expected batting average (.290), but even that looks as if it will be difficult to maintain. Just about all of his damage came off southpaws (righties held him to an awful 57 wRC+), but he posted a .435 batting average on balls in play against them that you can’t reasonably expect to carry over.

While Alberto’s bottom-line production versus lefties was otherworldly last year, chances are that it won’t continue. But even if it doesn’t, you can’t criticize Baltimore in this case. The team has already gotten far more value from Alberto than it could have realistically anticipated when it added him to its roster.

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.

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Baltimore Orioles MLBTR Originals Hanser Alberto

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View Comments (14)
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14 Comments

  1. jorge78

    5 years ago

    Unfortunately there are less left handers in MLB than right handers…..

    1
    Reply
    • trog

      5 years ago

      lol. I thought the same thing. The title is “regular?”, but the article is about his platoon stats being hard to maintain, which has nothing to do with being a regular.

      1
      Reply
      • mstrchef13

        5 years ago

        Except that he is a regular, expected to play the majority of the time at 2B for the Orioles this year. The article focuses on his stats vs LHP because that is where his value was derived last year. His stats vs RHP are rather meh. Analytics doesn’t like Alberto because of his extraordinarily low OBP, and gives him no credit for his similarly extraordinarily low whiff rate. He’s an adequate defender and is in reality just a placeholder until the O’s get a 2B prospect to break through.

        1
        Reply
  2. Briffle2

    5 years ago

    If he can hit 300 every year he’ll be useful, otherwise he’ll be way below average.

    Reply
  3. mlbnyyfan

    5 years ago

    Alberto finally found a team willing to give him consistent at bats. Sometimes you have to thrive on a bad team because a good team not taking any chances. Urshela was able to seize the moment last year due to injuries. Players also need to get lucky right place right time

    2
    Reply
    • Jcool90

      5 years ago

      Correct on both of ur points my friend

      Reply
  4. dragongrave

    5 years ago

    Too bad more right handed pitching and he hit just 238/604 against right handers. He is nothing more than a platoon/bench bat. He got lucky to get that many at bats against lefties last year. His 40/60 split with lefties to righties is amazingly high, where JD only saw 170 PAs against lefties and 487 against righties or 25/75. If this kid had a 25/75 split then he would be looking at a combined slash line of 278 average which is good but sub 300 OBP which basically just makes him Kevin Pillar with a bat. Not very good and not very valuable.

    1
    Reply
  5. njbirdsfan

    5 years ago

    Wow no comments trashing the O’s…I’m disappointed.

    2
    Reply
    • jerseyjoe

      5 years ago

      We are both shocked NJ O’s fans! Only a matter of time.

      Reply
  6. Eatdust666

    5 years ago

    It is definitely shocking

    Reply
  7. DarkSide830

    5 years ago

    i gotta admit i did not see this one coming

    Reply
  8. tnh2115

    5 years ago

    I’m not really sure what the point of the statement “the Orioles essentially had their own Marte, at least against LHP” is. I get that Marte’s wRC+ and Alberto’s vs LHP were almost identical, but Marte is a plus runner that adds value on the bases while Alberto is average at best as a runner/base runner. Also, their offensive profiles are quite different – While both rarely strike out, Marte walks far more often than Alberto and posted a full season ISO nearly twice as high as Alberto’s vs L. The main driver behind Alberto’s success (as noted) is a .435 BABIP, and Marte’s underlying batted ball data is also much better. I guess I see some similarities as they’re both low K players that can play multiple spots well, but I just don’t really see the comparison – Marte’s wRC+ was largely skill, Alberto’s vs L seems to be more a matter of luck

    1
    Reply
  9. Mlbprodude

    5 years ago

    Ban Bang

    Reply
  10. BSpar

    5 years ago

    Kettle is a supreme talent. This guy is definitely a really good ut player in certain situations. There is value to that

    Reply

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