MLBTR continues our division by division look at next year’s team/mutual option class with the NL East. Only three teams in the division have such options, though Atlanta’s group of decisions involve some of the more notable players in the class.
Previous installments: player options/opt-outs, NL West, AL West, NL Central, AL Central
Atlanta Braves
- Ozzie Albies, 2B ($7MM club option, $4MM buyout)
This is the final guaranteed season of the $35MM extension which Albies signed early in 2019. The deal was widely considered a massively team-friendly contract the day it happened, and that has proven to be the case. Albies has made a pair of All-Star teams, won two Silver Slugger Awards, and twice found his name on MVP ballots over the course of the deal.
There’s no intrigue to this one. The Braves will exercise the option, which ends up being a $3MM investment after factoring in the $4MM buyout. There will be another $7MM club option (with no buyout) for 2027 that will probably be a similarly easy call. Albies’ offense has declined over the past two seasons, as he’s hitting just .246/.300/.398 in 553 plate appearances since the start of 2024. The $3MM difference between the option price and the buyout is low-end utility player money, though. Even if the Braves start to question whether Albies remains the answer at second base, there’d be surplus trade value.
- Orlando Arcia, SS ($2MM club option, $1MM buyout)
Atlanta signed Arcia to a three-year, $7.3MM extension on the eve of the 2023 season. It looked like an odd move at the time, an unnecessary multi-year commitment for a likely utility infielder. Then Arcia broke out with an All-Star season while replacing Dansby Swanson as Atlanta’s everyday shortstop. The contract looked like a major coup for the front office.
Things have swung back in the opposite direction over the past year-plus. Arcia’s bat cratered last year, as he turned in a .218/.271/.354 line over 602 plate appearances. While the Braves stuck with him as their starting shortstop, he’s lost that role with a dismal start to the ’25 season. Arcia has hit .200 with eight strikeouts, one walk, and one extra-base hit (a double) through 31 trips. Nick Allen jumped him on the depth chart and has started the past five games. Arcia wouldn’t need to do much to convince the Braves to exercise an option that amounts to a $1MM decision, but he’s no longer a lock to even stick on the roster all season.
- Pierce Johnson, RHP ($7MM club option, $250K buyout)
Johnson dominated over 24 appearances after being acquired from the Rockies at the 2023 deadline. The righty would have been one of the better setup men in the following free agent class, but the Braves signed him to a two-year extension with a $14.25MM guarantee to keep him off the market. He has made consecutive $7MM salaries and has a matching club option with a $250K buyout for next season.
It has worked out nicely. Johnson fired 56 1/3 innings of 3.67 ERA ball with a strong 28.4% strikeout rate last year. He has punched out 10 while allowing four runs through 9 1/3 frames to begin this season. His whiffs are slightly down, while opponents are making more hard contact than they did a season ago. Those are worth monitoring, but Johnson’s overall body of work in Atlanta consists of a 2.89 earned run average with 109 strikeouts over 89 1/3 innings. As of now, a $6.75MM price point seems like solid value.
- Chris Sale, LHP ($18MM club option, no buyout)
Sale’s first season in Atlanta was brilliant. He posted an MLB-best 2.38 ERA while leading the National League with 225 strikeouts. He won his first career Cy Young award after finishing in the top six on seven occasions earlier in his career. He reestablished himself as an ace following some injury-plagued years. The trade in which he was acquired from the Red Sox for struggling second baseman Vaughn Grissom has been a steal.
The left-hander’s uneven start to 2025 has contributed to the Braves’ mediocre April. Sale has allowed 5.40 earned runs per nine through his first six outings. They’ve gone 3-3 in those contests. It’s largely the product of an inflated .400 batting average on balls in play against him. Sale’s 27.3% strikeout rate is down nearly five percentage points relative to last season, but it remains a well above-average mark for a starting pitcher. He’s getting whiffs on 12.9% of his offerings. His slider has been as lethal as ever. Opponents have feasted on his fastball so far, but there’s no dramatic change in velocity or spin. While the poor start has probably tanked his chance of repeating as the Cy Young winner, the $18MM option still seems like an easy “yes” for the front office.
Miami Marlins
- None
New York Mets
- Brooks Raley, LHP (club option, terms unreported)
Over the weekend, Raley reportedly agreed to terms with the Mets on a one-year deal with a club option. The signing has not been finalized, nor has the money been reported. Raley is working back from last May’s Tommy John surgery.
- Drew Smith, RHP ($2MM club option, no buyout)
The Mets also re-signed Smith on a one-year deal with an option after TJS — a July operation, in his case. He’s making $1MM for what will probably be a completely lost season. The Mets get an affordable $2MM option for next season that they’re likely to exercise so long as Smith doesn’t suffer a setback. If they do pick it up, he could earn another $750K based on his appearance total next season. Smith would make $50K apiece at 30, 35, and 40 appearances; $75K for 45 and 50 games; $100K at 55 and 60 appearances; and $125K each for 65 and 70 games. He owns a 3.48 ERA over parts of six seasons as a quality middle reliever for New York.
Philadelphia Phillies
- José Alvarado, LHP ($9MM club option, $500K buyout)
Alvarado signed for two years and $18.55MM in new money on a deal covering the 2024-25 seasons. He has made $9MM salaries in each of the past two years and has a matching option with a $500K buyout. That’s a little below the market rate for high-leverage relievers, which Alvarado has proven himself to be.
Over parts of five seasons with the Phils, the lefty carries a 3.34 earned run average. Bouts of wildness have led to some inconsistency, but he’s shown the ability to miss bats at plus rates while throwing as hard as any left-hander in the sport. Alvarado’s 24.4% strikeout rate last season was oddly pedestrian, but he’s fanned nearly 30% of batters faced in his career.
He has been back at peak form to begin this season. He has punched out 18 of 56 hitters (32.1%) while allowing only three runs through 13 2/3 innings. Alvarado has collected five saves and a pair of holds without blowing a lead, and he’s operating with career-best control (3.6% walk rate). It’s tough to envision him continuing to throw this many strikes — he walked more than 10% of opponents in seven consecutive years leading up to this one — but he’s the Phils’ most trusted reliever right now. This is tending towards an easy pickup.
- Matt Strahm, LHP ($4.5MM club/vesting option)
Shortly before Opening Day last year, Strahm preemptively signed a one-year extension covering the 2025 season. The lefty is making $7.5MM this year and has a club/vesting option for next season. It begins as a $4.5MM team option. The price would jump by $1MM apiece if he reaches 40, 50 and 60 innings pitched this year. If he hits 60 innings and passes a postseason physical, it vests at $7.5MM. It’s a straight vesting option, not one with an opt-out, so Strahm would return on a guaranteed deal if it triggers.
That’s a result with which the Phillies would probably be happy. Strahm turned in an excellent ’24 campaign, working to a 1.87 ERA while striking out a third of opposing hitters over 66 appearances. He has fanned 15 through his first 11 2/3 frames this year. Strahm has surrendered five runs, four earned, on 11 hits and four walks. His 91.8 MPH average four-seam fastball is down from last season’s 93.4 mark, which is a little alarming, but the results have been solid and he remains one of the more reliable setup options for skipper Rob Thomson.
Washington Nationals
- None
Where’s the b0ner that says the Braves will only move forward without albies and Acuna?
That would be TradeAcuna. Of course he totally ignored the writers breakdown of Albies option next season. Sensible facts aren’t a part of his takes.
It was funny watching him hit the back of his own helmet, knocking the front down over his own eyes, and having to blindly take a pitch. And, he nearly repeated it on his next swing.
Here’s the B0ner!!!
I knew you’d pop-up eventually
Give us your take on Kelenic’s failures. Thanks.
Braves will prob exercise all their options assuming how all those players are playing today and their health, although I would say Arcia is the most likely not to be exercised. Sale and Johnson are pure locks in my opinion. Ozzie is prob a lock also because although he has absolutely tanked and is showing further signs of regression, his contract is so good that he doesn’t have to do much to bring value on it. Plus we know what potential he carries. Worst case, they exercise and he ends up on the bench as a slightly expensive bench bat (which I don’t think will happen). And although I absolutely hate Arcia and have for a while, his contract is and always has been that of a bench player. Which is why it was soooooo frustrating that he was starting and performing so poorly. Essentially 1 million for him to continue to be a bench bat is perfectly fine. If it were me, I’d cut him loose and find someone else with more skills that are useful. Kinda like Nick Allen. Aricas range and glove have taken a turn for the worse, he’s as slow as a sloth, and quite frankly, Snit will always be tempted to play him (although I think Snit will retire this year). So I say cut Arcia, have a sort leash on Ozzie and trade him quick if we need to and exercise the others. Btw, if the Braves weren’t crushing it today, I’d say we should be sellers at the deadline and should trade Ozzie, Ozuna, and even consider trading Sale to really rebuild that farm system. I’d even try to package Arcia in there just to rid of the little dead money he holds over us. I’d include RI in there but he went from being one of the best closers in baseball to worst. I think he will bounce back but he’s not gonna bring the same value we’d like. I’m sure I’m missing someone else with an expiring contract but if we aren’t in it by the time the playoffs come, we have to sell those guys in my opinion.
Not disagreeing w/your assessment of Arcia’s skills, but the Braves have no plan at backup SS if Allen gets hurt and they’ve cut Arcia. He’s just a cheap insurance policy against an Allen injury now. As much as I like Eli White, not confident that he could be a full time SS. Need to add a SS after the season.
Suffice to say its an easy pickup, but I do certainly fall into the camp of doubting that Albies is a real plus player anymore. Injuries and uninspiring play have been par for the course the better part of the last 6 seasons.
Unless they implode the Phillies will be renewing the contracts for Alvarez and Strahm.