The Athletics are lined up to be sellers at the deadline, but their July 31 moves won’t extend to a certain long-term closer. Mason Miller appears to be more or less untouchable, as USA Today’s Bob Nightengale writes that the A’s are telling interested teams that the reliever isn’t available in trade talks.
While things could conceivably change if a particular club makes an outsized offer, it makes sense that the A’s have no interest in moving Miller, who is under team control through the 2029 season. The right-hander has yet to even reach salary arbitration, though he’ll hit that milestone a year early since Miller is on pace to easily qualify for Super Two status. This means he’ll gain four years of arbitration eligibility instead of the usual three.
Since traditional counting statistics are weighed more heavily in arbitration cases than more advanced analytics, a closer who racks up big save totals can put himself in line for some increasingly hefty paydays through the arb process. As such, Miller stands to cash in given that that he already posted 47 saves (out of 53 chances) over his three MLB seasons. While this rising price tag might make the Athletics more open to dealing Miller at some point during his arbitration years, there isn’t any urgency for the A’s to make a move just yet, even if he has been whispered in trade speculation for over a year.
[Related: Athletics Trade Deadline Outlook, for MLBTR Front Office subscribers]
After making his big league debut in 2023, Miller was installed as the Athletics’ closer at the start of the 2024 campaign and he essentially hasn’t looked back. The righty has a 3.22 ERA and a stunning 37.5% strikeout rate over 134 career innings, with an average fastball velocity of 100.2mph. That high-octane fastball is paired with an 87.2mph slider that has been one of the more effective pitchers in baseball over the last two seasons. Control is a question mark, as Miller’s below-average walk rate in 2024 has sunk to a troubling 12% in 2025.
Between this control issue and the general volatility of relief pitching, an argument can be made that the A’s would be well served to sell high on Miller while he is at peak trade value. Miller dealt with some early-career injuries that necessitated his move from starting pitching to the bullpen in the first place, so this health history is another reason the front office could reasonably consider a trade at some point.
On the flip side, the Athletics have shown indications that they’re ready to end their rebuild, even if their results in 2025 have been disappointing. The club locked up Lawrence Butler and Brent Rooker to long-term extensions this past spring, and signed Luis Severino to a team-record $67MM free agent deal this past offseason. This counts as a massive spending splurge by the Athletics’ traditionally low-spending standards, though it appears as though their extension discussions didn’t extend to Miller, who said in mid-March that the club had yet to broach the subject of a long-term extension. Some sort of multi-year agreement might be a wise move for the A’s to gain some cost certainty through Miller’s arbitration years, even if the club might be hesitate about a commitment beyond the 2029 campaign.
Michael Jordan was untouchable, everyone else has a price.
Wrong sport brochacho
He didn’t make it past AA. Don’t think the demand was there for him besides being a promotional gimmick.
Gimmick or not, he went out there and still played some level of professional baseball.
Michael Jordan never got traded, in baseball or in basketball, so I’m not sure why you’re mentioning him.
Misdirection.
In storage I have several cases full of pristine Michael Jordan White Sox Upper Deck Rookie Cards, can cut you a fair deal.
Ungraded 1991 Upper Deck Michael Jordan #SP1 being described as “near mint” sell at about $15-20 and a PSA 9 Mint #SP1 sells for $60-70 each. How many are in that case?
Dumb. 100 mph relievers are just major injuries waiting to happen (and iirc, Miller’s already had one of those). And his run prevention is good not great. If someone is desperate enough to offer a top 25 type prospect, they have to take it.
@seam I agree. Relief pitching is so volatile and those high velocity guys so fragile, you gotta be ready to deal.
Agreed. There’s the injury timebomb and the fact that so many relievers, given the small sample size they pitch, can be very inconsistent. For example, Alexis Diaz looked untouchable a couple of years ago. Dodgers just got him for a song and he might not even be worth that anymore.
The A’s should have traded Miller last year while his value was at its peak. At this point they’re probably better off waiting until next year and hoping he rounds back into form
He’s got a 2.87 FIP this year and the exact same K/9 as last year at 14.4. I don’t think his value has dropped all that much.
If I was planning on dealing him in the next year I would do so now rather than gamble on him not getting hurt while being able to deal him with having more control and for more post season runs like today.
If they’re wanting him to be their closer when they open in Vegas, probably best to see if a reasonable extension works for both parties. That might be tough to get done because Mason would know that with no extension he would likely be traded to a better team in a better park and get to compete for a WS.
Personally I would deal him at this deadline and look to get a piece or two that could be big parts of the core in a couple years. Heck you might get an everyday piece and your next closer.
Vegas? Everyday piece without being traded 2-3 years later? Next best closer? Doubt all of those things for West Sacramento.
Dumb is a gross understatement. It’s downright delusional and counterproductive. He absolutely should be dealt for the highest possible near mlb prospect return.
Lady doth protest too much.
Closer with lots of club control are perfect for bad teams to keep trading until the club is relevant. Get a starter or middle of lineup headliner your scouts like.
It makes no sense to not listen on a reliever, even as good as Miller. The idea that they will be relevant while owned by Fisher is absurd.
If the Yankees offered Judge i would think about it.
If the Athletics get a good offer, trading him wouldn’t be a bad idea, get some MLB ready players in return.
wondering when the great A’s sell off of 2025 will begin .. getting close for them to gift Atlanta a couple of good players for a bunch of minor league disappointments
Part of the reluctance is the A’s have no potential replacement at Closer if they trade Miller away.
Last year, they had Lucas Erceg but traded him away to the Royals.
What is to be closed?
They’re 42-58? Who cares if they have a closer? They’ll probably only have 12-15 save opportunities the rest of the season.
Last place teams like West Sacramento that are 15 games out in their division and 10 out of the third WC spot with no shot at improving much next season do not need a lights out closer. Anyone will do.
Perkins, though he’s more likely SP replacement for Severino once a NY team meets Oaklands price…
Closers are worthless on a bad team
I am not a big believer in the value of relievers. To me they are volatile and are from year to year. Also I agree with you 100 percent Closers are worthless on a bad team and to me are absolutely expendable.
If Rangers were like Walcott for Mason Miller Oakland would be like deal BUDDY.
No, that would make the Rangers too good. Not allowing it.
Oakland would do that so fast.
Griffin Burkholder and Mick Abel?
Aidan Miller may be too valuable, but it feels like the Phillies need to go all in the mext two years.
It is Nightengale trying to spread this rumor and he is almost always wrong, so Miller is almost certain to be traded?