24 extra picks were granted for the 2010 draft due to free agent compensation, ranging from #18 to #80. Using Eddie Bajek's projected Elias rankings from May 23rd, let's try to guess which Type A and B free agents are likely to get arbitration offers.
All the projected Type As:
- Bronson Arroyo – Reds
- Carl Crawford – Rays
- Johnny Damon – Tigers
- Jorge de la Rosa – Rockies
- Scott Downs – Blue Jays
- Adam Dunn – Nationals
- Pedro Feliciano – Mets
- Frank Francisco – Rangers
- Vladimir Guerrero – Rangers
- Matt Guerrier – Twins
- Brad Hawpe – Rockies
- Derek Jeter – Yankees
- Hiroki Kuroda – Dodgers
- Cliff Lee – Mariners
- Derrek Lee – Cubs
- Ted Lilly – Cubs
- Felipe Lopez – Cardinals
- Victor Martinez – Red Sox
- Bengie Molina – Giants
- Andy Pettitte – Yankees
- A.J. Pierzynski – White Sox
- Manny Ramirez – Dodgers
- Arthur Rhodes – Reds
- Mariano Rivera – Yankees
- Rafael Soriano – Rays
- Miguel Tejada – Orioles
- Javier Vazquez – Yankees
- Jayson Werth – Phillies
- Dan Wheeler – Rays
Expect something like 30 Type As, with 10-15 getting arbitration offers. Crawford, Werth, and Lee are locks. The Rays and Phillies should add picks if their outfielders leave, while we're not sure which team Lee will be departing. The Rays may also offer arbitration to Soriano. Other possibilities to get arbitration offers include De La Rosa, Dunn, Guerrero, Lilly, and Martinez. I don't see the Yankees getting draft picks out of their Type As.
Type Bs will result in plenty of draft picks too, in the supplemental round. John Buck (Blue Jays), Adrian Beltre (Red Sox), Carl Pavano (Twins), Adam LaRoche (Diamondbacks for now), David Eckstein (Padres), Juan Uribe (Giants), Jon Garland (Padres) might be offered arbitration. The Rays face some interesting choices with relievers Grant Balfour and Joaquin Benoit, and also have a $4MM club option on Type A reliever Dan Wheeler. The Rays could be next year's Angels, losing multiple big leaguers but adding a slew of draft picks.