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Kosuke Fukudome Projections

For all you fantasy geeks out there, I compiled projections from three sources to try to get a read on Kosuke Fukudome will do in his first season with the Cubs.  The Cubs care most about his OBP, and the consensus is that it'll be at least .370.   His stolen base total will be of interest to fantasy owners, and that's anyone's guess. 


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If he hits .300 and 15 HR and has a 1.5-to-1 K/BB ratio in his 1st year, he's worth every penny.

There will be an adjustment period. How long is a guess. I think a couple months would be fine. I think he will end up with good numbers and play fundamental ball. Fundamental ball on a Cub team would be great!

I think the cubs would be satisfied with any of those, because you know the defense and arm are going to transfer.

If Pie survives a big trade, the Cubs have an awsome outfield of arms. All 3 would be able to gun down runners or get the ball in quickly.

Offensively, he's Jacques Jones with more walks. Defensively, he's Jacques Jones with a better arm. I'm glad to have him but we shoulda kept Jones to play center. I love the way Pie plays, but he still can't hit big-league pitching.

His totals might be better in Wrigley, but power never translates well from Japan to the majors. I think it will be closer to 15 HRs. Of course, who am I to quibble over 7-8 HRs against respected stat projections? If OBP is so important, why aren't more teams in on Bonds, and if it's defense, why didn't Andruw earn more? It just seemed to me that the Cubs are making moves for the sake of making moves.

Offensively, he will probably hit more than 5 home runs, and doesn't strike out as much, and walks a ton more, while taking more pitches. He is much better than Jones.

Defensively he is Jones with 10 times the arm. Not just strength, but everyone and their grandma were running on those pathetic worm burners he was throwing. He is a GG caliber RF, and Pie is defensively one of the better ones in all of baseball. So now we have two GG calibur defensive outfielder and the other one is average with a terriffic arm.

What is there to complain about again?

Nothing to complain about at all. I don't think any more moves are vital, we are pretty set. Maybe an extra bench player, or possibly a starter, Dempster in the starting 5 makes me want to throw up. Getting Roberts would be good, but not necessary.

Maybe this will dislodge Soriano from the lead-off spot. Putting his low OBP and high SLG there and not behind Lee/Ramirez is a gross misallocation of resources.

Soriano is one of the worst clutch hitters in baseball and hits way better at leadoff. He folds faster than Superman on laundry day with RISP. He's a .900 OPS hitter in the leadoff spot and probably an .810 OPS hitter hitting in an RBI spot. You'll get your 100 RBIs but you'll also get a ton of men stranded on base.

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