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Stark's Latest: Davis, Valdez, Roberts, Lofton

ESPN's Jayson Stark checks in with a blog entry jam-packed with rumorage.

  • Stark says the Giants are shopping Rich Aurilia, Ray Durham, Steve Kline, Randy Winn, Tyler Walker, Rajai Davis, and Merkin Valdez.  The vets we knew about; the last two are a surprise.  Probably stems from both being out of options.
  • Brian Roberts update: Stark talked to a club official who's in touch with the Cubs and O's.  That guy expects a deal to be done next week.  Plus, Stark sees the O's as an active suitor for Kyle Lohse at the right price.
  • Stark confirms the rumblings that the Rays have checked in on Kenny Lofton.  Lofton could be a nice bargain this year for a couple mil.


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don't shop davis and valdez. we should be playing more kids, not trying to trade away the few we have. the sad part is if the prospects were given half a chance, i bet at least a couple of them would surprise some people an earn regular play...but we will never know

If I had a guy on my team named Merkin, I'd try and trade him too...

Baltimore why Lohse? he's a bum

The Front office thinks if they get a guy for a reasonable contract and then deal him at the dealine we got a good deal.

I could see that point but Lohse ? We got lucky with Trachsel going to the Cub's. what would be a reasonable contract? 5 yrs. 50 mil. he was asking for. I know it wouldn't be no where near that but actually what kind of numbers would work?

I wish the Cubs would go after Lofton again. I realize he bats left-handed, the same as Pie, but what the heck. He's still a useful offensive player and a winner.

Well I guess it depends. If both parties are looking for a longer deal I can see 3 years $20 mil. But if it is more of a year rental so he can be dealt mid-season then a 1 Year $5-6 mil.

All depends on what both sides want.

Im so tired of people saying to get lofton. Why? So pie can get pushed back another season. I dont think Lpfton would want to sit on the bench, and hes not very good in CF. Hes not stealing as many bases, I would take the upside of Pie instead of signing Lofton.

The O's probably want Lohse simply to help Trachsel eat innings and keep the O's from putting the burden on all those good young arms. They don't want to wear those guys out before they get a chance to rebuild and compete for a title. I think it's a smart move if they can get him cheap. Supposedly his price has come way down.

Baseball guy, I agree. Let's let Pie play. He looks like he's made some nice adjustments. He's very coachable so it's likely he's going to continue to improve. The Cubs have got to let their prospects play more. Look at how much better Hill got when they just gave him the ball and let him pitch.

Instead of Lohse how about the O's just take Marquis in a trade. Then everybody wins!

Do you think Boras would take Murton and Cedeno for Lohse?

I agree Crunchy, Look what happened to Woods and Prior. That still bums me out. Thanks Dusty!

Lohse would be better than Marquis because Lohse is a better pitcher, and because he would cost probably one year/$6 million, versus Marquis' 2 years/$18 million.

And I think adding Lohse is a good idea. No reason potentially ruining some young special arms so that you can win 70 games instead of 65 games.

MR. CRUNCH, I don't understand, why wouldn't you let your younger arms try to prove thier worth? Are u saying Penn,Liz,Olson ect.in aaa. ball.The way Ilook at it if Penn struggles I'd rather see Liz get a chance then Lohse pitch 160 inings of junk ball.I seen what Penn,Liz,Olson ect.can do in the minors, now it's time for them to get thier chance at a m.l. level.I'm talking atleast 15 to 20 starts. Baltimore isn't competing this yr. what would it hurt? THINK we could trade u both Lohse and Trachsel this time mid season as Trachsel last yr. (jking).

I feel the Orioles have enough young arms, how could they ruin them?

ok first of all INOK his name is WOOD not Woods second of all lets get this deal done personally im a huge cubs fan but im sooo tired of this "rumor" stark better be right and crunchy1 baltimore will not sucessfully rebuild during mcphail's lifetime so whats he gotta worry about?

When would you know if a Penn,Liz ect. are ready to make 30 starts?

By doing what Dusty Baker did to Mark Prior, and excessively using his arm. What if Adam Loewen threw 225 innings of 3.40 ERA, then blew out his arm in late 2009 when they were close to contending in 2010? What if they could've saved his arm by tossing him out there for 180 innings instead, and letting Trachsel and Lohse eat those innings?

Thats why signing Lohse makes sense. They need three solid inning eaters (Trachsel, Cabrera, Lohse) to join the stable of decent to good young pitchers they have.

Who the hell cares, he's dirt cheap!

It's a f&%kin' slip and fall for Angelos!

Lohse is not a great pitcher. He is a servicable 4th starter. Never had an ERA under 4. But the O's just need bodies. Give the other pitchers time in the Bullpen or AAA.

Thanks Da that added a lot... Are you proposing an 8 man rotation Outlaw?

"It's a f&%kin' slip and fall for Angelos!"

Thanks jr .... I spit mountain dew on my laptop!!!

SCRIB, I see your point.So let them pitch in the minors?I wouldn't expect 225 inings, Bedard couldn't crack 200. what's wrong with 150 to 160 inings maybe less.5 to 6 ining starts with a rest if needed? dude i know u think I'm an idiot,maybe I'm rushing. It's been ten long yrs. here in Baltimore and i expect too much.I understand what ur saying thx.

I'd actually be in favor of a 6 man rotation in B-More. Less innings on all of the arms.

But I am not for or against getting Lohse. I think if we are rebuilding we might as well let the kids try. But I am also all for trading or dumping anyone over the age of 30. Who isn't in the bullpen.

Six man rotation good idea,I'd be in favor of that.

"I'd actually be in favor of a 6 man rotation in B-More. Less innings on all of the arms."

That's the Japanese rotation, no? Was a MLB team ever really committed to the six-man rotation? Will one? It's a good idea in theory, but pitching is so shallow I don't think anyone has the balls (...or the luxury).

The Marlins and Rays could consider them as well...

outlaw, I don't think your opinion is bad...but I think what scrib and others like myself are trying to say is that even with a rebuilding team, its good to have guys you know can eat 180 to 210 innings, because you know some of the younger guys aren't ready for the league\workload yet. Another important item here is service time. You don't want to have 5 young starting pitchers all running out of service time at the same time, or running out of options either. I think you get two inning eating veterans, and let the young guys fill out the rotation. I mean, you can have 5 starting in AAA and getting good experience without using any of their options or service time, which will be very valuable come 2010-11.

I don't mean running out of service time like it might sound, I just mean you don't want to have to give them all raises at the same time\have them leave for free agency right when you are ready to compete.

Dusty Baker takes a lot of blame in Chicago for what happened to Wood and Prior, but it really isn't warranted. For one, he has a reputation as someone who uses his starters way too much, but the numbers for IP by starters on teams he's coached is just slightly above average. Secondly, the situation at the time made it necessary to ride Wood and Prior. It's not like they were midseason call-ups and the Cubs were 15 games out of first. They were in a pennant race and trying to win a championship for the first time in almost a century. Wood and Prior were both almost unhittable after the All-Star break and carried the team. At the time, would you have preferred that Dusty yank one of them after 6 innings with a 3-hit shutout going because he'd thrown 85 pitches? Would you have felt more comfortable handing the ball over to Kyle Farnsworth or Mike Remlinger? One or two blown leads down the stretch and the media would have crucified Baker for not sticking with one of the Wonderkids. (Just like Piniella was for yanking Zambrano in Game 1 of the NLDS last season.)

Ah! So innings-eaters save you money! Brilliant!

An 8 man rotation...hmmmm thats very interesting.

Trading Durham, Aurilia, Winn, Kline - Please baseball gods make this happen.

Aduncaroo, see more of the politics of baseball, I can understand that. I'm rushing the situation. These young arms will take time.THX.

Not to take Dusty's side, I didnt think he was a great coach for us but Prior's problems had a lot to do with him getting hit in the elbow from that line drive. Wood's pain comes from his not great throwing motion. But the extra innings didnt help Wood at all.

Did Durham ever end up playing center for Beane? I can't remember...

Outlaw your not an idiot, your frustrated. Your in good company with Cubs fans, we KNOW frustration. Look on the bright side, the O's are collecting a pretty good nucleus of young players. It will be fun watching them develop and in 2/3 years who knows, you might have the last laugh.

"At the time, would you have preferred that Dusty yank one of them after 6 innings with a 3-hit shutout going because he'd thrown 85 pitches?"

No, but I would like him to pull him after 7 when he had thrown 100 pitches and we were up by 7 runs or whatever it was. Dusty isn't totally guilty, but there were times that he left them in for no reason at all...

what could randy winn's trade value possibly be? i'm sure they would take a b-prospect from the twins, maybe a single A pitcher. the twins could use an experienced leadoff guy/CF and winn could do the job. and i believe he's in his last year of his contract. then we could let gomez spend a year in the minors and start next year.

You have to remember that prior was pitching his first full season and wood had never had exactly a history of durability. To an extent, I will agree with you that dusty had to play his best, but I strongly recommend you actually go look at the box scores. Why would dusty be sending prior out in the seventh and eighth innings in consecutive september starts, both blowout wins... (7-0, 8-4, prior throwing 129 and 130 pitches, respectively) Not to mention that he pitched 210+ innings that season... Typically injuries tend to crop up at jumps of 30 innings over previous seasons... Prior had thrown 116 big league innings the previously. year. So, as much as dusty had to ride them to an extent, he clearly didnt have any qualms about it either. Prior was a misleading case, his obvious polish leading many to think that he might be more durable than age factors might indicate, but thats merely an excuse.

For a good laugh, check out dustys recent comments about the reds young hitters, aka, 'walks clog the basepaths'... He is simply an overrated manager who probably shouldnt be allowed to go near young players.

Also, priors main injury had to do with his rotator cuff. I dont think you can really blame the line drive, other than than may have caused a cascade effect, possibly altering mechanics in the short term and therefore creating numerous problems.

yes passedballs that was what I was saying. Everything seemed to go wrong after that line drive. And damn I saw that game and it was ugly. I am not defending Prior because I am not a fan anymore nor am I a fan of Dusty. I just like to state the facts.

I know I made it sound a lot like I was blaming Dusty for Prior's breakdown, but I didn't mean it so much that way. Although I'll always partially blame Baker for what happened to Prior, the more rational part of me tries to restrain from putting it all on him. There were hundreds of factors that went into Dusty's decisions to overuse Prior, and there were hundreds of other factors outside of his overuse that caused Priors downfall.

But I still will always believe that the fact that Prior threw 242 innings (242!!!) at that age was detrimental to his long term health. Maybe his arm was bound to fall apart eventually, but at least I doubt it would've happened so quickly without Dusty.

Nice work, passedballs!

“Stark says the Giants are shopping Rich Aurilia, Ray Durham, Steve Kline, Randy Winn, Tyler Walker, Rajai Davis, and Merkin Valdez. The vets we knew about; the last two are a surprise. Probably stems from both being out of options.”

…Yet this doesn’t contradict, or atleast put into question, the supposed interest in Crede?

I'm still stuck on why the Orioles can't use their young guys and at the same time not over work them?

What are the odds that you start out with 5 guys and end with those same 5 guys? Players will get injured, players will be ineffective. Pitchers will get rotated in and then rotated out. Some will go down to the minors others might stay in the bullpen.

The point is, you can manage a starting rotation that is primarily stocked with young pitchers. Since this year ISN'T about winning, let the kids get broken in and take their lumps now. Give them an extra day of rest when there is no pressure to win. Heck, take a week or two if you get tired. At least this way you can start to see what you have.

If I were an O's fan I would rather them use that $6m and put it towards the draft. We all know they will have a high enough pick to spend it on.

Let's see Trey Hillman start the trend in KC...

Read Aduns 11:23 post above bj. I think he explained it very well.

The thing about Baker is that Prior wasn't the first arm he rode into the ground. People forget, but his history with young pitchers is.. not pretty. His first managerial year with the Giants, he presided over the implosion of Salomon Torres. In his second, it was William Van Landingham's turn. But saddest for me was watching him handle Shawn Estes in the one year Estes was good, at age 24. Did he worry Estes had never pitched more than 70 major-league innings on the way to running him out for 200?

Not Dusty Baker.

Estes hasn't been any good since.

As for the Giants, why should they worry about Valdez (throws 96, but that's about all there is to recommend him) or Davis (great defense, but..)? If you get something useful for 'em, trade away.

Winn, though, should actually draw value. He plays an average center field, and his bat is average-or-better most every year. His contract is reasonable at $8m-ish the next couple years. He's not worth a lot, but he isn't a salary dump.

Oh, and in re the "supposed interest in Crede," I believe it. Because I believe Sabean is an idiot, and only an idiot would trade for Crede.

I think the argument, orioles rotation wise, is just a miscommunication.

I think the point of a durable yet unspectacular arm like lohse is that its the type of acquisition that would allow the orioles to "give them an extra day of rest" or a "week or two if you get tired"
I dont think there is anything wrong with letting the young pitchers get some time in the majors to gain experience, especially for a rebuilding team like the orioles. But, a loshe-esque type player is good to have as a contingency if those "lumps" turn into welts for any of the kids. Couple this with the fact that you don't want to pile too many innings on those arms at such an early point in their career. Let the kids pitch, yes, but there is a difference between that and irresponsibly adding to the already difficult problem of trying to keep any young pitcher healthy.

As someone else noted earlier, an additional reason to let some get more time in the minors is service time. Off the top of my head, i think many of their young guys are young enough and close enough in age that starting the clock on their major league service time would mean you would end up with an entire staff arbitration eligible at the same time, thus creating some financial headaches in a future offseason. Its kinda the argument: If you dont have to rush em, dont rush, cause it might save you a little cash down the line.


In summary, Lohse and "letting the kids pitch" arent mutually exclusive.

I'm going to go out on a limb and say that even if the Os sign Lohse, no rookie or sophomore is going to pitch 200 IP. If that were the case then someone's gong to get damaged in future years. The Orioles have a few guys who need some innings and a portion of that will be in the minors. I expect the Orioles to have a bunch of pitchers with 50-150 IP. And, aside from that, I'll go out on another limb and say that pretty much every team will suffer a pitching rotation injury of some kind. Count on it.

I am also in the Service Time camp. You have to be pretty aware of those arb clocks and plan ahead for them. You can't plan or predict who will be keepers and legit good MLB players but, that's different from having a single injury or two forcing your hand on a player who might be.

Is there anyone other than me who thinks that Winn makes sense for the Cubs as the right handed hitting CF they are looking for. As a switch hitter with power, speed, and the ability to hit he would be a good fit as he would be able to play a servicable CF. Line up of Roberts, Fuku, Soriano, Ramirez, Lee, Winn, Soto, Theriot would be pretty solid with Mark DeRosa as a super sub which Lou desires with all the day games and insurance against injury. Makes sense to me. I'd take Winn over Coco, Byrd, or Payton.

Nate Braxton -Coley, (sounds like a law firm ) Cool name . Anyway , Winn would be a awesome pickup for the Cubs that would give you everything that you mentioned ...but , in picking him up there would be no way Derosa would get enough playing time considering Derosa would need to play some RF to get enough at bats .To get Derosa 130 games played he would probably have to play 35 games at 3B ,20 games at 1B ,20 games at 2B , 25 games at RF ,15 in LF , and maybe 5 at SS . (Just a wild guess). That itself would hurt the playing time of Ward who Lou wants to give at bats to and the fourth OF . The only way that would probably work is if Pie was strictly a late inning replacement for Winn in CF and to give 30 games off to and that wouldn't be enough to allow Pie to grow . Say at the mid season mark if Pie is struggling , that would be a perfect trade to look at , but not now .Before the Cubs were looking at Fukudome seriously this winter I was hoping they would pursue Winn to play RF so we are thinking close to the same thing . No doubt about it though , Winn would make the team strong with him out there as a fourth OF option .

I think Davis would be a decent fit for the Cubs , but he would cost more than Byrd and I don't like the idea of trading away all of the spare pieces before July in case there's a chance to pick up a better right handed pitcher .

Yes, the Orioles do have a bunch of young arms. But who is really ready?

Hayden Penn, who will be outstanding, is coming off elbow surgery and could use a few months at AAA.

Radhammes Liz skipped right over AAA and didn't fare so well in his short stint in the majors last year. Should start at AAA.

Matt Albers needs to earn a spot. He isn't a lock to make the team.

Troy Patton is injured and requires surgery.

Garrett Olson has nothing left to prove at AAA.

The starting rotation would then be:
Guthrie
Loewen
Cabrera
Olson
Trachsel

I see any signing of Lohse as an insurance policy on Trachsel. No need to rush the young arms.

If Sean Gallagher is part of a Brian Roberts trade, Gallagher would start the season at AAA.

It would be pretty stupid of the Giants to trade Davis or Merkin. They are both solid options, especially for a team going nowhere, and they're also making league minimum. If they're traded over those vets, Sabean should really get the boot.

Rich, Ray, Randy, Dave Roberts should all be traded for salary relief. I'd take low level prospects for any of them.

The "fill in" players are already there. Velez 3B, Frandsen 2B, Nate and Rajai OF.

They could also trade Fred Lewis for Crede if they want a more experienced 3B and keep Velez as Utility.

Cubs fans - please take Winn. Hes a good ball player who could rack up a 100 runs and 15 to 20 HR in your lineup. Plus he plays good D and has the wheels to be a lead off guy.

The Giants don't need him and hes being wasted on our joke of a team. We need to play young guys!

I have 2 comments to make. 1 - Regarding the fans that want the O's to pitch all their young players to get them "experience" while they aren't very good. This will only cause disaster. For one, the service clock issue is very important. and two what happens if you have 5 young pitchers and they only give you a total of 900 innings (180 innings per starter)? That still leaves you 558 innings to fill (162 games x 9 innings which assumes no extra inning games). with a bullpen that is already falling apart, you now have to fill 558 innings over 7 relief pitchers and that comes out to 79 innings per reliever. Someone will be hurt.
2 - If I am the cubs I am much more willing to make a deal with the giants than I am with the O's, now hear me out. Trade Murton, Colvin, Gallagher, and a PTBNL (Donaldson) for Winn and Lincecum. Winn gives the cubs added outfield depth and can play all 3 outfield positions. Lincecum secures the 3 spot in the cubs rotation and gives them a formidable 1-4.
The giants fill LF and RF with young talent, they get a picher to replace lincecum, and they get an up and coming catcher that can take over in a year or two. i think this trade works well for both teams although i would like to hear a gints fans opinion. thoughts? giants fans ... bear in mind that the cubs may not be giving enough up player wise and thats because they would be taking on winns contract. however, you could maybe trade salaries in winn and marquis and then the giants would get fair value back prospect wise in return. maybe the cubs would deal veal and/or ceda

The Os bullpen has been upgraded of sorts. There's an abundance of arms in the pen actually.

Why in the world would the Giants trade their best young player in a decade for parts?

They wouldn't. Every time you see a "trade rosin, gravel, a bucket of balls and a PTBNL for [Cain|Lincecum]," you should stop reading. Fanboy fantasy is fun for some. Irrational, but fun.

Nicely put WCW. If floating possible trades for Cain or Lincecum think infield ( not second base) cornerstone type players. Yes more then 1. Yes those two are that good so far. They are the type of pitchers the Giants have not had since the 60’s. No its not guaranteed they will reach potential but then not much ever is.

I know it's already been said, but that Winn/Lincecum deal was pretty funny. The Giants have hit upon two terrific young arms in Cain and Lincecum, but instead of building around them, they're just going to send 'em packing for a platoon OFer, and a couple of decent (but not great) prospect. Right. I'm sure integr96 WOULD rather do that deal than trade with the O's. I would rather Baltimore trade Roberts to Colorado for Ubaldo Jimenez, Franklin Morales, Ian Stewart, and Greg Reynolds, but that ain't happening either.

Trading Rajai Davis or Fred Lewis might net the Giants a prospect at best. Paul McAnulty is out of options with San Diego, and a trade for him using one of the outfielders makes sense to me. Anyone else?

As far as the arb. clock, I don't know how much that applies with regard to Olson, Penn, and Albers. I could be wrong, but haven't their clocks already started? Looking at delewarebird's projected O's rotation, I'm not sure if I'm depressed or excited. On the one hand, Traschel's presence fills me with despair and I'm soooo over Cabrera, but some of the other names are promising. I think about Guthrie (if he's anywhere near his '07 self), Loewen (if HE's alright following surgery), Olson and Albers (who's looked awfully good this spring...as misleading as that can be) at the MLB level. Assuming the deal goes down with Roberts, we'll have Liz, Gallagher, and Penn at AAA (and the Sun had a story today about Liz's improved command! Fingers crossed!). Bowie's rotation should include Tillman, Spoone, and the underrated David Hernandez. Frederick could be ridiculous with Arrieta, Erbe (I still have faith), Beato (see Erbe), Tony Butler, and maybe Tim Bascom. Possibly throw Veal into the mix and maybe a Brian Matusz via the draft (or Aaron Crow or ?) and...damn.

Oh yeah, Zach Britton down in low A could have a break out year as well. Read he looked good in short season, so... It's a crap-shoot with kids, but it's also nice to have that kind of depth. One or two are bound to pop.

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