MLB Rumors - MLB Trade Rumors
Subscribe to MLB Trade Rumors using RSS
Home     Contact     About     Advertise     Archives     Widget     Twitter      RSS Usage

« Odds and Ends: Pavano, Lima, Sabathia | Main | Turnbow Unhappy »

Heyman's Worst-Ever Free Agent Deals

SI.com's Jon Heyman runs down the 13 worst-ever free agent deals.

Do Alfonso Soriano, Vernon Wells, Ken Griffey Jr., or Todd Helton belong?  Just asking (and yes, some of them are technically extensions).  Bobby Bonilla, J.D. Drew, or Roger Clemens?  Do you have any additional suggestions for the list?  I'm interested to read your comments on this.


Full Story |  Comments (85) | Categories:

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d834515b9a69e200e551ef8af88834

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Heyman's Worst-Ever Free Agent Deals:

Comments

I'm just curious: What's so bad about the Vernon Wells contract? I assume it's a bit overvalued, but he's extremely productive and reliable, when healthy. No?

I think this is a good list. I guess you have to put the Higginson contract in the perspective of when it was signed because $35 million over five years doesn't sound that bad anymore.

The only problem I have with the list is that the Driefort contract should be higher, as high as 3rd behind Hampton and Pavano. At least Park, Giambi and Brown all had solid track records. Driefort was never very good to begin with and the Dodgers blew $55 million on him.

I agree, Vernon's contacts not too shabby... The Eric Hinske and Josh Towers years were a lot more questionable JP Ricciardi moves...

I'm not sure why Todd Helton would be on the list. He's never been anything but a solid OBP/HR player.

If Todd Helton is worth $19.1 million in 2011, I'll set myself on fire. It's going to be a hell of a lot worse when it's all said and done than most of the contracts that actually made the list, particularly since it's almost certainly going to hinder the Rockies' ability to re-sign players like Holliday.

Vernon Wells wasnt even a free agent when he signed...he signed an extension.
That doesnt make the deal any better, might even make it WORSE but just wanted to point out that he wasnt a FA

My favorite thing about the Albert Belle contract was that the O's had to keep him on their 40-man roster for THREE YEARS after he retired so they could recoup the $37 million left on his deal in insurance.

Alfonso Soriano will probably be on that list in a few years when cubs fans will be hating him more than Sammy Sosa.

Zito should be much higher on that list. Much higher.


Lugo's abysmal play warrants at least a mention. I'd agree you find 13 worst contracts, but Lugo is a joke.

I think that this is technically a FREE AGENT list, not a resigning one. So Griffy Jr., Vernon Wells, Helton, and similar players may not have been considered since they were never granted free agency. They might be considered some of the worst contracts, but not free agent contracts.
And I say its silly to put anybody on the list who hasn't completed half the contract yet (Lugo, Zito, Pierre). Especially Lugo, who has been a big disappointment, but can hardly be thought of as just outside the top 10 worst free agent signings in history.

Lugo doesn't belong on the list. Pavano's getting too much credit as well. The worst deals are those like Hampton and Park which hamstring teams on budgets. Pavano would be a disaster on any other team, but the Yankees can just move on. It doesn't hurt them that much.

Jay Gibbons had a bad contract. Tampa Bay handed out a few bad ones before they smartened up. Roberto Alomar's Mets deal was a disaster. David Bell with the Phillies as well.

When youcombine a nine figure contract with diminished pitching ability and terrible results you have to put Zito on that list.

You have to

Well here are some Vernon Wells stats to see how valuable he is to the jays


Vernon in wins: 2183AB .322/.370/.579 .949OPS 115HR 408RBI
Vernon in losses: 2049AB .241/.292/.375 .666OPS 45HR 187RBI

Yes, Soriano does belong. Wait another year or two and he would be on such a list for sure ~ we are only starting year 2 of the 8... He wasn’t even that great to begin with, just the hyped name at the time given the huge contract.

Also kind of confused with the Brown contract being so high on Heyman’s list... He wasn’t that bad for the Yanks his first year, and they really couldn’t have had too high of expectations for the then 39YO to begin with ~ they were more happy to get ride of Weaver than anything else. And the Dodgers got rather big results for 4 of his 5 years there, and even his injured 02 could have been much worse than it was. As bad of a contract as it was, he produced nicely and 2000 was truly impressive…

BTW, where is Strawberry? That deal with the Dodgers almost has to be considered on any “worst ever” list. It would even be coupled with the one given to cousin Eric for a 1-2 punch of ignorance. The biggest explosions those two provided for the Bums came in the parkinglot when firecrackers were tossed at fans… Davis really was a mess…

I have to say the D-back's signing of Russ Ortiz before the '05 season was the worst free agent signing ever....that should have been numero uno on his list...brutal...$33 million for four years. Ortiz pitched for 1 1/2 seasons...2005 he was 5-11 with a 6.89 ERA...first half of 2006 he was 0-5 at 7.54..then the D-backs dumped him, but then ate the rest of his $22 million...I think they're still paying that disaster ;-)

I would say Jason Schmmidt, Vincente Padilla, Johnny Damon, Danny Baez, along with some of the afore mentioned contracts all fit into the crappy free agent signing category. Actually probably be a good article to rank the top ten Yankee bad free agent signings. Some future duds look to be Jorge Posada, Mike Lowell, Andruw Jones, and Aaron Rowand.

Jeffrey Hammonds to the Brewers for 3/$21M was ludicrous. A guy who couldn't stay healthy, and only productive years were in Colorado.

Dreifort was also ridiculous. 5/$55M for potential, yikes.

Andruw Jones signed a short deal with the Dodgers right? Like 2 years.

Across town, Torii Hunter, now there is a deal ready to head south ASAP

Dare I say: Pedro?

Darkstar, you're always so negative, I would be too if I had to watch the O's. It was pretty funny to see Carlos Pena last friday put the Rays ahead on a bases loaded walk and the 200 Orioles fans in a section not even change their facial expressions. Kinda reminds me of the Cubs before Soriano (not that he's completely at fauly which he's not).

I don't see Adam Eaton and am shocked...a injury prone fly ball pitcher signed to pitch in CBP. His 07 numbers show clearly how valuable he was

How bout the Rangers' signing of A-Rod. Of course they got great production, but they stymied the payroll and Rodriguez's short stint in Texas amounted to nothing notable team-wise. They then got Alfonso Soriano and Joaquin Arias (woo hoo!). Soriano was good, but the trade to the Nats was awful, i.e. the centerpiece was Brad Wilkerson.

Nothing to show for such a big investment.

Its too early to judge the Wells deal. If he produces, then whats not to like?

i dont get the bad press for Helton. He puts up 400+ obps and 900+ OPS's every year, and can be counted on to do so for awhile. he may have a power surge here and there too.

I'd say Colon's deal with the Angels should be considered bad. Sure he won a Cy Young but he never had an ERA under 5 in any of the other seasons.

I'd also like to add that he shouldn't have won the Cy Young either. But because he had 21 wins they gave it to him. Johan was the better pitcher that year.

Colon 3.48 ERA 1.16 WHIP 157 K
Santana 2.87 ERA .97 WHIP 238 K

rowand may turn into a pretty good deal. right now he is hitting poorly but that may be from his rib/groin injury. or i may just be an optomistic giants fan. at any rate i happy to see him in center instead of roberts. now zito i can only sigh and hope he feels bad and gives all the money back! oh and i know we can make a list on yankee blunders, but i think a list rivaling that would be the giants the last few years, so i may not be that optomistic.

I am no Orioles fan. And I am certainly not an apologist for Peter Angelos. However, isn't it a little disturbing that Mr Heyman can't write a single column without kicking Peter Angelos?? What did Angelos do to him? Surely Loria is more of a blight on the game than Angelos...

Mike Mussina and Barry Zito are the terrible contracts. Can't think of many worse.

“Darkstar, you're always so negative, I would be too if I had to watch the O's. It was pretty funny to see Carlos Pena last friday put the Rays ahead on a bases loaded walk and the 200 Orioles fans in a section not even change their facial expressions. Kinda reminds me of the Cubs before Soriano (not that he's completely at fauly which he's not).”

…WTF are you talking about? First, I’m not an O’s fan. Second, I’m negative because I talked about things that the thread said to talk about? One such thing (the Brown deal) I even disagreed about it being that much of a negative. Whatever dude…


“Andruw Jones signed a short deal with the Dodgers right? Like 2 years”

…Yeah, 2 years ~ 36+ Million. Guys off a 222/311/413 season and get that kind of contract with a team who has two CFers inhouse already. ***Scratches head***


“I'd say Colon's deal with the Angels should be considered bad.”

…Good one…

Heyman has pretty much solidified himself as an idiot to me. Albert Belle #3??? Yeah the Orioles only got two years out of the five, but they got every dime back for the years he didn't play and all it cost them was a spot on the 40 man roster. I mean, Heyman doesn't even justify why Belle should be third.
"Brought surly mood, diminished power and bad hip to Peter Angelos' brand of bad baseball."
Look at Belle's stats for those two years...not great but definitely not Mo Vaughn bad (Heyman probably though Mo deserved that MVP too). I don't see how getting one great year and one decent year out of a player right before he retires early due to injury is the third worst FA contract.

Giambi has put up an OPS of above .925 4 out of 6 years on his contract so far... that's obscenely good offensive production, and he isn't a liability at this point either.

Putting down the deal is iffy, putting it on a list of the worst deals ever is just plain stupid.

(not a yankees fan)

Not quite the high dollar, franchise-paralyzing deal that some of the others mentioned were, but Danys Baez to the O's for 3 years and $19 Million last off-season was absurd.

Coming off a season in which he spent time on the DL, converted on 9 save opportunities and blew 8, and had a horrible stretch run with ATL, interest in him was at a minimum. But Jim Duquette, probably the worst GM in the league at the time, bid against himself and gave Baez $6m+ per to come be the set up guy here in Baltimore.

Todd Hundley and Mel Rojas come to mind...

I think that the Adam Eaton deal needs to be included in this as well. 3/24 for maybe the worst pitcher in a starting rotation in all of baseball.

But I gotta say that Darren Dreifort was the worst deal ever. Not only because he gave the Dodgers NOTHING after he signed that deal, but simply for the fact that he was mediocre even before the deal. It'd be like giving $55M to Brandon Backe. When healthy, he's a decent back of the rotation starter, but he's never healthy. And LA thought it'd be a good idea to sign that guy for five years.

lugo..worst free agent signing ever...hes got about 2 more months before lowrie steps in

Too early to mention Carlos Lee's deal with the Astros? No way he doesn't get dealt as soon as his no trade clause is out in 2010. Actually, it might not actually belong on the list if that's the case...

Jason Kendall signing 6 years 60 million for a cash strapped team.

Matt Clement signing for too much for too long. Dont know the numbers.

Not only is it to early to count Carlos Lee but it would probably be pretty silly. The Astros have gotten what they paid for 100%. The man has been rock solid in a 'Stros uni. And it's not like the Astros were wrong in signing him, they made the WS in 2005 and just missed the playoffs in 2006. Getting a big bat like Lee to put in a weak OF was a good move.

Carlos Lee? Are you kidding? 2007 numbers: 190 Hits, 32HR, 119 RBI, .303 Average. In today's market, the Astros definitely got their money's worth in season 1.

Vernon Wells?? comeon Tim.

The 128 million dollar extension STARTS in 2008 and he is arguably the leagues best hitter so far. How is that fair to even mention him?

Here's my response to the Belle deal, taken from a post (by Mackus) at OriolesHangout: "No way should Belle be anywhere near this list.

The injury hurt, but he produced like crazy. "Diminished power" is an absolute joke. He had a .557 SLG in Baltimore compared to .564 for his career.

We paid Belle a total of $35M of that $65M, with insurance picking up roughly $10M per year for the 3 years he missed.

So we essentially gave him a 2/$35M deal with $9M of that deferred and in turn he gave us two seasons with an average line of .290/.373/.557/.930 with 30 HR and 110 RBI. Hardly a candidate for worst contract ever."

Obviously it didn't end optimally. But it's not even a bad deal! Heyman needs to find a new whipping boy now and then.

I have a couple other minor points to add. To balance out defending the Belle contract, I'm more than willing to throw Baez and Gibbons to the wolves, although Gibbons is defensible. The O's have a history of bringing players back for one contract too long - David Segui is another good example of a bad O's contract.

Second, in the same thread I got that excellent rebuttal I posted above, I found this gem: "I'd have to say that Sports Illustrated's 2006 signing of Jon Heyman has to land somewhere on this list."

:D

Richie Sexson

4 years and 80 million

Every year his stats have gotten progessively worse...

I gotta say Aaron Rowand is crapping out and will show up on the list sooner then later

Thought of two more which should have been on the list ~ one of which I cant believe I didn’t think of earlier…

My all-time, top-worst contract would have to be ~ Wayne Garland to the Indians. Goes way back to 1977; but this was a 2.3 Million, 10 Year deal for a guy with an on-again/off-again 4 year career where he was mainly used as a reliever ~ to be the Indians ace! What the Tribe got? A slightly above League-Average 1st year (3.60 ERA & 1.305 WHIP vs 3.95 PA-LgAvg ERA), 4 years of him mainly being hurt, and the opportunity to pay him for 5 years after his retirement. When all was said and done, he went 28-48 with an ERA around 4.5 and pitched 613 innings… This deal kind of solidified the Tribe as truly being the Mistake by the Lake…

And more recently, the 4YR/20M contract given to Jaime Navarro by the ChiSox in the late 90’s. 542IP with a 6.1-ish ERA and 25-43 record over 3 years before 2000 saw him get dealt to the Brewers, get released, sign with the Rockies, get released, sign with the Indians, get released, and sign with the BlueJays. He was technically a part of 5 teams in that 4th year the ChiSox committed 5M for ~ wow… This is the kind of contract that would be considered horrible if signed today, but the PaleHose somehow pulled it off 10 years ago!

All in all, my top-15 probably goes:
1) Garland / Indians
2) Hampton / Rockies
3) Denny Neagle / Rockies (5YR/51M for 3 years of 5.6-ish ERA and 1.47 WHIP over only 65 starts. Then the whole prostitute thing, the drunk driving, the court battles over his owed salary; plus now the Mitchell Report… Very deserving of #3 on the list)
4) Navarro / ChiSox
5) Ortiz / DBacks
6) Park / Texas
7) Pavano / Yankees
8) Vaughn / Angels
9) Strawberry / Dodgers
10) Bonillia / Mets
11) Zito / Giants (Its early on this one, but… His work ethics means his health should hold up better than most pitchers, so atleast they will probably get something close to 7 years worth of him pitching ~ but… Well, gotta be top-15 because of that amount)
12) Kaz Matsui / Astros (Again early, but… well… umm, 32YO who has averaged less than 400 AB a year with a .272/.325/.387 line ~ which that was even greatly inflated by a season in Colorado. And that means 3YR/16.5M? Plus he starts his Stros career on the DL? This one could move up the list quickly…)
13) Jaret Wright / Yankees (why did they do this one? Everyone knew this would never work. Thankfully the NY teams always have the O’s they can dump these bad contracts on ~ they took Benson from the Mets too…)
14) Alfonso Soriano / Cubs (we are just starting year 2 of 8, and already it looks like half his game –the Speed- is going to be greatly effected. Another good possibility to move up the list sometime in the near future)
15) Dreifort / Dodgers (not a true FA signing so only gets the last spot ~ but so bad it has to make the list…)

Honorable mention goes to the Angels for the Shea Hillenbrand contract. Cant make the list because it was only one year ~ but WTF were they thinking giving him 6.5M?

Anybody who has Alfonso Soriano on this list is a baseball moron. He can still hit 40 HRs, bat .300, and have 20 outfield assists. And though he will not steal 40 bases anymore, he's still fast and can easily steal 20. He's an ALL-STAR and carries his team when hot. In 5-6 years his salary will be considered quite low as other salaries climb. Before then he will likely lead the Cubs to the playoffs 4-5 times, and maybe a World Series. OMG mentioning his contract in this is moronic.

Worst ever (should be on the Top 13 list):
Todd Hundley

Others on Cubs' Wall Of Shame:
Mel Rojas
Danny Jackson
Candy Maldonado
Dave Smith

Eric Milton - Reds! Even casual Reds fans knew that was a terrible move to bring a fly-ball pitcher to GABP. It turned out worse than imagined.

I'd also put Jaret Wright on the list (although I shed no tears for the Yankees). He had one good year and they gave him a 4-year deal. Dumb.

P.S. The Cubs can easily afford his salary, and have plenty of money for a couple more like his (if they would just spend it.)

"Anybody who has Alfonso Soriano on this list is a baseball moron. He can still hit 40 HRs, bat .300, and have 20 outfield assists. And though he will not steal 40 bases anymore, he's still fast and can easily steal 20. He's an ALL-STAR and carries his team when hot. In 5-6 years his salary will be considered quite low as other salaries climb. Before then he will likely lead the Cubs to the playoffs 4-5 times, and maybe a World Series. OMG mentioning his contract in this is moronic."


I love how cubs fans are uncannily optimistic and always seem to laugh in the face of logic and reason.


How 'bout a new list.
"Athletes who injured themselves while leaping in celebration of a routine play."
1) Bill Gramatica
2) Alfonso Soriano

This is a no-brainer. Carl Pavano is the worst signing ever. In 4 years he's pitched 17 games with an ERA over 5 and has a record of 5-6. All that could be yours for the bargain price of 40 MILLION DOLLARS. He is the most hated player in Yankee history. Worst signing ever. The Yankees have been let down year after year with this guy. If he could have just made it through one month last season when everyone was getting hurt, the Yankees would have won the division. Instead Matt DeSalvo, Tyler Clippard and Sean Henn were on the mound.

I'm not saying Lee's deal is bad at this point, but he's a butcher at LF and he's only going to get worse. He won't live up to the contract in the end.

Heyman is a joke, in general. Once again, in reference to the Albert Belle deal, he takes a gratuitous knock at Peter Angelos. All winter long, he knocked Angelos for not allowing a Brian Roberts trade to the Cubs. He was clearly wrong all winter long; Angelos did nothing to get in the way. As to the Belle deal, he allowed his GM to make that decision, but wisely got insurance. Whether or not it was a bad deal, it wasn't Angelos's bad deal; Angelos made it a better deal than it might have been. I'm anything but an Angelos supporter or defender, but this kind of gratuitous slamming is very poor journalism. Of course, Heyman has shown in many other ways what a poor journalist he is.

I'll go with Darren Dreifort. In his age 26-28 seasons, Dreifort put up ERA+ of 101, 90 and 105. League average production in years that should have been-- and turned out to be-- his prime.

For their $55M the Dodgers got about 200 innings of mediocre relief and a giant hole in their rotation, making this signing the worst of all time in my opinion. Similar pitchers to Darren Dreifort: Dave Mlicki, Kent Bottenfield, Elmer Dessens, Miguel Batista.

If Dreifort is #1, then Pavano is #1A. At least Pavano was coming off a year when he was an All-Star and finished 6th in Cy Young voting. Dreifort never even had one really good season.

Ya know, I think this could be the most public support Albert Belle has ever gotten. Quick thought, seeing as how the Orioles recouped most of the contract due to career ending injury (something that rarely happens) wouldn't that make Belle's contract one of the best and not worst. Hear me out here, from a management standpoint Belle's contract was more team beneficial than anything.

How is 07 Clemens not way up on this list? The highest paid player in the majors at 6-6.
The only way they could have made this any worse would be by having Clemens announcing it over the PA in the middle of a game.

My vote is for Mike Hampton.

Belle belongs nowhere near this list. He wasn't showing diminished skills when the contract was signed and he produced in the years the Orioles actually had to pay for.

Soriano also seems like a whipping boy on this board, and I have no idea why. He still shows all 5 tools, and has settled into the outfield very well.

As for the ones that have actually been bad, there are plenty.

1. Dreifort: It was a sign of things to come, Dodger management freaking out about market issues they thought would bite them. Same thing happened when they signed Pierre to replace Drew. BTW, Dreifort was technically a free agent signing, because he was granted free agency that year.

2. Hampton: Actually, this is a bit unfair. Hampton was a hell of a pitcher in Houston and for the Mets and probably should have won the Cy Young over the Unit in 1999. The problem was that he went for the money in pre-humidor Colorado. If anything, the Dodgers should have given him the money, plus some, that they gave Dreifort. Things may have been very different then.

"Anybody who has Alfonso Soriano on this list is a baseball moron. He can still hit 40 HRs, bat .300, and have 20 outfield assists.”

Hahaha, ok lets just break that down one-by-one real fast:
“He can still hit 40 HRs”
~ Times he has actually done it in his 10 YR career – 1 (2006)
“He can still bat .300”
~ Times he has actually done it in his 10 YR career – 1 (2002)
“He can still have 20 outfield assists”
~ Times he has actually done it in his 10 YR career – 1 (2006)

For his career, Soriano is a .281/.326/.514 hitter. His 8 year ballooning contract with the Cubs takes him from Age 31 (2007) to age 38 (2014); and he will actually get paid these amounts per year/age:
2007 – 10M – Age 31
2008 – 13M – Age 32
2009 – 16M – Age 33
2010 – 18M – Age 34
2011 – 18M – Age 35
2012 – 18M – Age 36
2013 – 18M – Age 37
2014 – 18M – Age 38
…for a career .281/.326/.514 hitter!

But think of it this way, it’s the 8th highest contract ever given to a player; behind ARod (01), Adod (08), Jeter (01), Manny Ramirez (01), Miguel Cabrera (08), Todd Helton (03) and Johan Santana (08) ~ for a .281/.326/.514 hitter! So, lets look at those career batting lines real fast:
A. Rod - .306/.389/.579 - .968 OPS / 147 OPS+
D.Jeter - .317/.388/.462 – .850 OPS / 122 OPS+
Manny - .313/.409/.593 - 1.002 OPS / 154 OPS+
Miguel - .312/.387/.540 - .927 OPS / 142 OPS+
Helton - .331/.430/.582 – 1.012 OPS / 143 OPS+
&
Soriano - .281/.326/.514 - .840 OPS / 115 OPS+

…See the problem yet? His OBP is like .075 lower than the average. His SLG is like .037 lower than the average. His numbers are only semi comparable to Jeter, who still puts his up at SS instead of the easiest fielding position on a diamond… Everyone else has a 140+ OPS+ ~ the 115 Soriano brings just doesn’t even begin to cut it… He’s being paid like he is a HOFer based off a career year ~ in a contract year. For that commitment, so far the Cubs have gotten:
636 AB - .288/.326/.536/.862 (approx 118 OPS+) and 2 trips to the DL. But what was that career line again?
Oh yeah - .281/.326/.514/.840… ***sigh***

Honestly, I think its moronic to think this contract doesn’t belong on an all-time worst list; there really isnt anything good about it…

"How is 07 Clemens not way up on this list? The highest paid player in the majors at 6-6."

...It was pro-rated to the number of starts, it was only one year, and although he didnt pitch amazingly, the team did go on its tear as soon as it was announced he had signed it. Bad contract for sure, but not even close to the others.

i really cant understand how the Sexson and Kendall deals didnt make it. good points, what about Jerome Williams? Sure he wasnt a draft pick, but the cubs traded for him, and he went 6-8 then bounced around to oakland then to washington where he went 0-5 with a 7.20 era and then signed with the twins and now is trying to get back into A ball

i meant sure he wasnt a free agent, not draft pick

It's not fair to use hindsight to say a deal was bad, like w/Belle, Pavano, Giambi. Maybe they turned out bad in the end, but no GM/owner or human being could have predicted it.

Take Pavano, Belle, Giambi and Vaughn off the list. The only ones who were dumb w/Vaughn were the Mets, who should have known better after seeing what happened in Anaheim.

Truly bad signings would be Jeret Wright, who had a massive injury career but was signed nonetheless.

Neagle and Hampton -- Colorado has no business signing pitcher to long term contracts unless their names were 'Clemens' or 'Big Unit'. Same for Park in Texas.

A.Beltre -- one great season doesn't mean you should open the vault. And

V.Wells, cuz you should bet the farm on potential. Look at his stats prior to the signing. I don't care how exciting he is in the field, his glove could not be worth that much. Sheffield kills him in production with the bat -- even now. Rios should get the money instead, his bat is much better and the stat trends prove it out.

AJones (worse version of VWells).

JD Drew. A lot of money for the risk. Worst thing? BoSox didn't need another #3 hitter, which is what Drew is. They needed solid #5 hitter-- an outright 30+ hr/yr slugger like Reggie Sanders to knock in the .400+ onbase guys of Ortiz and Manny. Got Wily Mo? Lowell had a good 07, but he's won't do it again (check his 06 -- 44 doubles only 80 rbi! those donkeys are too slow to score on doubles, they need to 'trot'). I love you Theo, but you really blew it on that one. Good thing you have a $120 million budget!

Zito -- cuz everyone knows that Beane's leftovers are DONE. See Hudson, Mulder, Koch, Foulke, Bradford. He's the worst abuser of pitching (even confesses as much in Moneyball). Zito was declining even before the signing for several years. Was he supposed to magically rebound after all the innings Beane squeezed him for.

CC Sabathia (see Zito). Oh wait, that's next year.

baseballismylyf4, Sexson deal: 52MM not 80MM across 4 years. You were only 28MM off, but it's cool. Also, he definitely earned his money in 2005 and 2006 with 35+ HR, 100+ RBI seasons and solid if not GG caliber defense! Last year he missed 1/4 of the season and still hit 21 HRs and 63 RBIs. While his average was low, everything else would've been on par for career averages and yes, he is nothing amazing, but he is consistant.

Worst contract... EVER!! was Alex Rodriguez... Spare me the greatest player crap. He's never been clutch and in fact I dreaded his at bats when he played for my Mariners during the post-season and last year is a prime example... 10 years x 28MM + a 30MM bonus for averaging 24-25 homeruns a season and he's going to be well into his 40s while they are paying that. What really does it, is the fact that all the other bad contracts only make his worse!

If you notice, the other GMs in baseball have tailored back their spending except for Dumbrowski in Detroit, Cashman in New York, Epstein in Boston, Tony Reagins in Anaheim, and Ned Colletti in LA.

Reagins shouldn't count though because he signed Hunter before Thanksgiving and Torii knew it was the best deal and that's why he signed even though he was going to wait until after the holiday.

Colletti signed Jones on the 6th of December, so again it was their fault for diving into the FA pool. Almost every other player signed after that except Alex, Jorge, Mariano, and Johan were 12MM or less. Cashman outbid himself by far on all three as no one was ready to come within 50MM of their offer or Alex wouldn't have sucked it up and went back to NY with his tail between his legs. Mariano had ZERO offers for three years from any other team that was above 10-12MM and they paid 15MM x 3 for a guy that throws three fastballs (4 seam, 2 seam, and cutter), and the same holds true for Jorge a career year for a catcher who is getting older and won't even play a position by next season (he'll DH).

As far as Santana, he's one of the best pitchers in the game (I still think Peavy, Haren, Webb, and Beckett are better now), even though he only had 2/3 of his games count as quality starts 23 out of 33 to be exact, and of course his leverage in negotiations considering he could veto a trade if they weren't willing to meet his terms were all factors in what I consider to be a crazy deal! I hope to God you people are done talking about Sabathia making 20MM a season after the first four starts he's had so far!

The point is that these are all examples of ignorant decisions by GMs with too much money to spend per the owners stupidity. In most cases you can't even label it as ignorance on the part of the owners as they don't have the rudimentary knowledge of how to appropriate funds in a sports market.

For those that want to argue wealth comes with good business sense... Art Moreno made his fortune selling billboards across the southwest. This is hardly relevant to running a team and it's shown with all their bad contracts starting with the 4 year 45MM deal given Escobar, who has been injured way too much and the 5 year 55MM given Matthews Jr. When it's all said in done they are paying Escobar for a combined 2 years worth of starts or 22.5MM a season with two full year DL stints when sizing up the full contract.

Owners are scared to give bad money to players now and only rare talents like Ichiro will truly earn their contract as 18MM is steep, but you know you what you get with him. 7 seasons = 1 - MVP, 1 - ROY, 2 - SS awards, 7 - GGs, 7 AS games, 7 - 100+ run seasons, 7 - 30+ SB seasons, 7 - 200+ hit seasons, 7 - .300+ AVG seasons, 7 - .350+ OBP., and never played less than 157 games in a year. Consistency at the least and amazing on more than one occasion!

Don't be suprised if only three to four players this coming free agent year make more than 12-13MM a season and nothing over 5 years. I can think of Mark Teixeira (16MM x 6), C.C. Sabathia (15MM x 5), Francisco Rodriguez (14MM x 5), and Oliver Perez (14MM x 5) making more than that, but I think the days of 20MM players is done for a while. Even the dumb GMs I listed aren't going to make the same mistakes and look at what Miguel Cabrera got as an example, just less than 20MM a season and that was by the free spending Tigers!

My point with A-Rod is bad contracts will scare owners and bring the top salaries down and no one will make within 10MM of what he does for the next 5 years! Sorry for the long post, but it's a complicated topic accessing the value of a player to a franchise.

toshiro, what are you talking about?! Beltre's defense alone is worth 7MM a season and then you add in the fact that he's one of the best run producers at 3B for all of his seasons in Seattle... He may not have had .334, 48 HR, 121 RBI seasons so far, but damn he's I think the 3rd best RBI producer per season since the beginning of 2004 for all thirdbaseman in the league, he averaged 99 RBIs per and has averaged 23.33 HRs a season and his numbers have increased every year, he doesn't strike out much, and his only knock is his OBP., but if he's only 28 and he's becoming a more stable contributor! I think he gets a pass at 12MM when you look at what most players were signed for during that contract year, as you said, you have to look at when he signed. Getting him for 5 years and 60MM coming off that season was a steal and he's been at least equal to his contract. Otherwise, you are pretty accurate on the rest!

That's 99 RBIs per season including 2004 but without he's averaged 92 RBIs and the HR average was for just his time in Seattle. I bet this year he hits 30 HRs, 110 RBIs, and hits .320 with a .360 OBP.

For Seattle's sake, I hope you're right BaseballGuru. However his 3 years after 2004 look a lot like the 3 years before 2004, which is basically .260/.310!/.470. So, surprise! 2004 was a TOTAL aberration (maybe it was his 'steriods' year).

Awful, awful onbase, resulting in low runs scored (he creates a dead zone for hitters behind him). Doubles are good -- I'd put him right behind Ichiro, who could probably score on them at will. But then again-- the dead zone, can't put him 3rd or 4th. Don't see reason for you're optimism for 2008 -- he's likely peaked and will continue to post the .260/.310/.470 line. But those dozen inconsequential steals keep rotoheads hearts alive!

I think he owes Ibanez and Sexson for a lot of his production numbers. At least he plays a lot. And that glove!

"10 years x 28MM + a 30MM bonus for averaging 24-25 homeruns a season and he's going to be well into his 40s while they are paying that"

what makes you think he's going to hit 24-25 homeruns a season? he's only hit less than 35 once in his career and that was eleven years ago. he has too good of a work ethic and loves himself and his stats too much to let that happen.

also baseball guru, i think its funny that the only contracts you seem to think are worthwhile are mariners ones. ichiro is 34 years old and do you think hes going to be doing all of the things he does into his 40's? the most biased post ive ever read.

Honestly, I have to take Baseballguru's comments with a grain of salt. He obviously is homering for the M's. While I do agree that Ichiro is worth every penny because he makes that team money and will keep on performing at this level for the life of the contract, how in the world do you think Beltre was a good sign. If defense were worth 7 million a year, why is Omar Vizquel making less than 6? Why did John McDonald make less than a million last year?

As far as Reagins being characterized as a "dumb" GM, remember two things. One, Hunter is living up to the contract so far this season. Two, he isn't the one who signed Matthews in the first place, and even that isn't looking so bad right now since Matthews isn't being asked to lead off or protect Vlad. The real problem with those two is that they block Willits and (to a lesser extent) Rivera. That said, Anderson may well retire at the end of the season, or perhaps leave for a team willing to pay him close to the 14 million he would get if the Angels picked up his option. Either way, the Angels picked the best OFer on the market not named Bonds and it has allowed them to rest their other stars.

Well, I think Peavy has a great contract considering his $17MM per year, but I think it was too short if I'm management, but still an amazing deal. Who does not post about their hometown team you hypocrites! Talk about your own teams at will and then call me biased because I talk about what I'm most familiar with, how unfair of me to not run my mouth about players who I don't watch on a regular enough basis to assess fairly...

I also just defended Beltre because someone said he wasn't worth $12MM a year... Was I wrong about Ichiro being worth $18MM?! Was I wrong about Beltre being worth 12MM?! Then as far as me being bias goes, you can kick rocks!

John Difford, do some research you big dummie! He gets $30MM for breaking the all-time home run mark which is 240-250 HRs away which if divided by 10 seasons is?!?!? CORRECT 24-25 HRs... I guess I was hoping you would figure it out without me having to draw it out for you! I know he doesn't hit less than 35 HRs, but that's not the point! It's about getting paid $30MM if he doesn't do better than 25 HRs in a season! It's like a $30MM bonus for mediocrity how is that not a horrible signing?! No one ever came within three to five million of his last contract over 7 years and so they reward that boneheaded deal by making a 10 year mistake?!?! What the hell is Cashman smoking... I'd also like to say that Cashman is the worst GM I've ever seen underperform at their job!

homering for the Mariners?! How about you and jumping on the Torii Hunter bandwagon after 2 WEEKS!! Your opinion means nothing and you don't know what you're talking about! Also, Hunter's after 16 games which is EXACTLY 1/10 of a season has a .295 AVG, 2 - 2B, 4 - HR, 8 RBI, .368 OBP... Multiplied out he'd hit .295 with a .368 OBP, 20 doubles, 40 homeruns, and 80 RBIs. What crap are you smoking to think that 80 RBIs and 60 XBHs are satisfactory for 18MM a season?! That would mean that half the league is worth 18MM! Also he is responsible for the Matthews Jr. contract because he brought in another outfielder while he had a full outfield, that over crowding made Matthews Jr. the most expensive bench player in the league, even if he does play DH a lot...

As far as your comparison between Omar Vizquel and Adrian Beltre... Don't be stupid!!!

AGE:

Beltre - 29
Little O - 41

POSITION:

Beltre - 3B
Little O - SS

REACTION TIME:

Beltre - 90-100 ft.
Little O - 110-130 ft.

ARM STRENGTH:

Beltre - Best @ 3B in MLB.
Vizquel - Average in Prime.

RANGE:

Beltre - Good speed and agility.
Vizquel - Limited at best.

GOLD GLOVES WON IN 2008:

Beltre - One.
Vizquel - None.

TEAMS WANT THE PLAYER BACK:

Beltre - Yes.
Vizquel - Nope.

By the way, here's contracts I like, even though it's a misguided topic and everyone says I'm a Mariner fan, so I'll show an open mind and tell you who makes A LOT of sense!

JOSH BECKETT, GREAT CONTRACT
DAVID ORTIZ, GREAT CONTRACT
ROBINSON CANO, GREAT CONTRACT
CARLOS PENA, GREAT CONTRACT
GRADY SIZEMORE, GOOD CONTRACT
JOHNNY PERALTA, GOOD CONTRACT
FAUSTO CARMONA, GREAT CONTRACT
GIL MECHE, AMAZING CONTRACT
JUSTIN MORNEAU, GOOD CONTRACT
CARLOS BELTRAN, GREAT CONTRACT
CHIPPER JONES, GOOD CONTRACT
ETC.
ETC.
ETC.

Hahaha… Oh yeah, the Beltre contract was great! I mean, who wouldn’t want to pay Adrian nearly 13M a year over 5 years for that OBP under .320 and maybe 20-25 HR?

Seriously, that one really belongs somewhere really close to the list; it is a complete joke of a contract paid to someone off a career/contract-year who was considered lazy and whinny by his old team. Anyone who says it’s a good one must have their head so deep in the sand; esp after this offseason…

I mean really, lets compare some similar guys and their current contracts:
J Crede ~ 5.1M / 1YR ~ Not wanted on his team, or anywhere else
P. Felix ~ 8.5M / 2YR ~ Not wanted on his team anymore, took only other open job
B. Inge ~ 24M / 4YR ~ Not wanted on his team anymore
~ thats 37.6 Million over 7 Years worth of Beltre-Clone service (about 5.4M/YR)
OR
Beltre ~ 64M / 5YR (12.8M/YR) ~ the apparently “good” contract…

…Humm… Yeah, I think I would be more inclined to pay 5.4M-ish/YR instead of the 12.8M/YR the M’s are paying Beltre; well if I actually wanted that type of production ~ which most teams obviously don’t since Beltre-Clones are so easily avail to be had on the cheap… 64/5 to Beltre = complete and utter joke of a contract, no way around it…

And so no one can argue against Beltre being anything like Crede, Inge and Feliz, I figured I should do this…

Taking the 162G Average (from BB-R) for each player and spreading it over 600 AB (The amount Beltre holds) we see this:

Beltre ~ 600 AB, 33 2B, 3 3B, 25 HR, 89 RBI, 79 R (at Avg $12.8M a year)
Crede ~ 600 AB, 31 2B, 1 3B, 28 HR, 93 RBI, 77 R (Makes about 7.7M less)
PFeliz ~ 600 AB, 31 2B, 3 3B, 23 HR, 87 RBI, 73 R (Makes about 8.6M less)
BInge ~ 600 AB, 29 2B, 6 3B, 18 HR, 75 RBI, 70 R (Makes about 6.8M less)

To be honest I wasn't totally thrilled about the Hunter contract. He's pretty solid, with a good track record, but he's on the wrong side of 30 and historically he has a hard time cracking 100r/30hr/100rbi. He plays the great D, of course.

I think Matthews was an awful signing, though. It was the same effect as Beltre. Signed him after a breakout year, after years of mediocrity,. It seemed like both the Angels and M's should have gotten concessions from the players, just in case it was a mirage. Maybe they did, based on the market, but those were some pretty hefty contracts.

That was creative Darkstar, here's career numbers, maybe a little more representative! Percentages are based on career and other stats are averaged based on seasons with ATLEAST 100 games played! FYI, players who play in 100 or more games are starters and any games not played after 100 was due to injury would should be factored into your averages and will be accounted for in that way!

Your projections mean nothing if the players hurt all the time, that's like comparing Ben Sheets versus Greg Maddux talking about how much better he'd be IF he played in all the games he was SUPPOSED to start. I don't care what you would do, only what you did do...

No surprise being able to look to you for faulty thinking, Darkstar! Oh and I'm familiar with baseball-reference.com, not very good at thinking for yourself are you?! By the way, what do you consider defense to be worth?! 2-3MM?!

It would probably be fair to say that Beltre saves 1 run a game because of his defense, I can name off the top of my head at least 12 runs that didn't score because of catches like the one today which robbed Torii Hunter of a double down the line...

How about last season where he threw out a runner from 140 feet away in the Blue Jays series... FROM HIS BACK... As in laying on his back! It was a close call that the umpire botched, but the throw beat him and it was so shocking that the umpire wasn't ready to make the call and he missed it!

Feliz is serviceable, Inge is solid in a Willie Bloomquist/Nick Punto way, and Crede is serviceable at best. Also when Crede signed his contract he had no leverage due to arbitration, that wasn't free agency money.

You take Feliz's contract and he was offered way more than what he got, but his agent was a douchebag and held out for the big deal and there was no buyers when he was a seller.

He left about 10MM on the table by the time he signed because he wanted a 3rd year and the offer that would've given him 9MM was no longer there because of the owners being smart as stated in the previous post, but good selective vision!

Inge was also an arbitration signing and they ditched arbitration to wrap up his last year in the contract. Name me the 3B like Cabrera who'll make a couple hundred thousand less than 20MM for the next 8 seasons and can't play half the 3B position let alone man it with half the ability of Beltre!

Where's Alex in these discussions considering he's one of the worst 3B in the game defensively and is make 28-31MM a season and his defense is worth minusing 1 run, 1 rbi, or 1 hr from his stat column for every game he plays defensively. He's given away more runs per season than he's scored and I've seen the games that prove it! By the way, I LOVE how you just "FORGOT" to put in batting averages and OBPs with your "FAIR" choice of statistics! Wow is that a 20 point drop in average and 50 point drop in OBP career between Beltre and Feliz, yeah you're a fool Darkstar!

Oh and what teammate called him lazy or whinny?! He's considered to be the team leader here, his fav. player is Edgar Martinez and that's why he forced Boras to take less money to come to Seattle, his best friend is Odalis Perez who pitched in L.A. while he was there and all his teammates were glad to see him when we played them the last couple years and in addition to that, they were way upset when the Dodgers just let him go!

By the way, he's been like a brother to Yuniesky Betancourt, Jose Lopez, and Wladimir Balentien... He's helped them with their approach to hitting and fielding and made the transition easier for them to the big leagues, ALSO they said their families being so far away was easier since Beltre took them under his wings like a "Big Brother", how do you get away with generalizing and the other stupid insinuations that you make?! You want to win so bad that you just make up stuff to pile it on. Beltre is a good person and his first season in Seattle was a little slow in getting off the ground because his child was born a month into the season, after that he hit almost .300 the rest of the way, let alone the fact that his numbers have continued to go up every year and he's a smart baserunner which doesn't figure into statistics!

You should also consider that Beltre has been getting better and is just about to peak as he's now 29 this season where as Feliz was 29 in his first full season, where as you are comparing a talented young guy in Beltre to a player in the prime of his career. Beltre should've been beating up on AAA pitchers in the minors like most early 20 year olds and to match his past with another MLB starters prime years and have them hold up only substantiates my claims that you're a fool Darkstar.

Beltre(averages date back to before he could legally buy booze) ~ .272 AVG, .327 OBP, 76 R, 31 2B, 3 3B, 23 HR, 85 RBI, 10 SB

Feliz(prime time years of average league starter) ~ .252 AVG, .288 OBP, 69 R, 32 2B, 3 3B, 21 HR, 84 RBI, 2 SB

Crede(poor man's Beltre with no defensive ability or speed) ~ .260 AVG, .306 OBP, 66 R, 27 2B, 1 3B, 23 HR, 75 RBI, 1 SB

Inge(blind version of Beltre... MAYBE!!) ~ .242 AVG, .305 OBP, 59 R, 23 2B, 5 3B, 16 HR, 64 RBI, 6 SB

OH AND SPEAKING OF www.baseball-reference.com, I love how your deceitful ass ignored the bottom of Beltre's page when you went there to gather statistics and I know you did because they are the only site that does it like that and it's a favorite of Tim's to go there, so anyways, here's the real list of similar players...

These are players who have had similar careers to Beltre statistically, but most of these players retired, where as Beltre will be with a much more elite group of players in terms of career stats when he's done!

01) Eric Chavez
02) Kevin McReynolds
03) Mike Lowell
04) Carl Everett
05) Doug DeCinces
06) Rondell White
07) Rich Aurilia
08) Brian Jordan
09) Ken Keltner
10) Torii Hunter

These are players he compares favorably to by his current age of 28 when the season ended last year.

01) Ron Santo*
02) Reuben Sierra*
03) Cal Ripken***
04) Eric Chavez*
05) Johnny Bench***
06) Scott Rolen*
07) Miguel Tejada**
08) Ivan Rodriguez**
09) Andruw Jones**
10) Vern Stephens

*** = current hall of famer
** = guaranteed to make HOF
* = should make it into HOF

Wow, youre really reaching for this argument, aren’t ya? I mean, seriously? But if you really believe that dribble, then you really must be complete moron… 6 thousand words and you didn’t really make a single point… Wow… And I guess you stand by 12.8 Million for Beltre is great but extremely similar production for 5-Ish Million isnt the smart thing to do… Hahaha, ok dude!

Anyway, 2 things ~
First, this beautiful line:
“By the way, what do you consider defense to be worth?! 2-3MM?!”
…You do realize that most consider Inge, Crede and Feliz to be better defenders than Beltre right? So that was atleast shortsighted to even an extremely ignorant statement, wasn’t it?

Second ~ your similar lists from BB-R...
…HAHAHA!!!

I mean:
(Rank by OPS+)
164 OPS+ .313/.398/.564 ~ Santo 64 @24
163 OPS+ .334/.388/.629 ~ **Beltre 04 @25 (Beltre’s fluke contract year)
161 OPS+ .312/.412/.538 ~ Santo 66 @26
153 OPS+ .300/.395/.512 ~ Santo 67 @27
146 OPS+ .285/.378/.510 ~ Santo 65 @25
128 OPS+ .297/.339/.481 ~ Santo 63 @23
126 OPS+ .246/.354/.421 ~ Santo 68 @28
________________________________________125 OPS+ Mark
112 OPS+ .276/.319/.482 ~ **Beltre 07 @28
105 OPS+ .268/.328/.465 ~ **Beltre 06 @27
097 OPS+ .257/.303/.426 ~ **Beltre 02 @23
093 OPS+ .255/.303/.413 ~ **Beltre 05 @26
088 OPS+ .240/.290/.424 ~ **Beltre 03 @24

(Rank by OBP)
161 OPS+ .312/.412/.538 ~ Santo 66 @26
164 OPS+ .313/.398/.564 ~ Santo 64 @24
153 OPS+ .300/.395/.512 ~ Santo 67 @27
163 OPS+ .334/.388/.629 ~ **Beltre 04 @25 (Beltre’s fluke contract year)
146 OPS+ .285/.378/.510 ~ Santo 65 @25
126 OPS+ .246/.354/.421 ~ Santo 68 @28
128 OPS+ .297/.339/.481 ~ Santo 63 @23
________________________________________.330 OBP Mark
105 OPS+ .268/.328/.465 ~ **Beltre 06 @27
112 OPS+ .276/.319/.482 ~ **Beltre 07 @28
097 OPS+ .257/.303/.426 ~ **Beltre 02 @23
093 OPS+ .255/.303/.413 ~ **Beltre 05 @26
088 OPS+ .240/.290/.424 ~ **Beltre 03 @24

(Rank by SLG)
163 OPS+ .334/.388/.629 ~ **Beltre 04 @25 (Beltre’s fluke contract year)
164 OPS+ .313/.398/.564 ~ Santo 64 @24
161 OPS+ .312/.412/.538 ~ Santo 66 @26
153 OPS+ .300/.395/.512 ~ Santo 67 @27
146 OPS+ .285/.378/.510 ~ Santo 65 @25
________________________________________.500 SLG Mark
112 OPS+ .276/.319/.482 ~ **Beltre 07 @28
128 OPS+ .297/.339/.481 ~ Santo 63 @23
105 OPS+ .268/.328/.465 ~ **Beltre 06 @27
097 OPS+ .257/.303/.426 ~ **Beltre 02 @23
126 OPS+ .246/.354/.421 ~ Santo 68 @28
088 OPS+ .240/.290/.424 ~ **Beltre 03 @24
093 OPS+ .255/.303/.413 ~ **Beltre 05 @26

But really, HAHAHA!!!
…Yeah, I see the similarities there… ***Rolls eyes***

But really, he’s “similar” to those players only because of the counting stats, and his counting stats are high since the asinine amounts he has made means he is in the game all the time and because he was putting up his crappy rates since he was a teen. He has no similarities to guys like Ripken, Bench, Soto or hardly anyone else on that list though ~ Beltre is a joke compared to those guys. I mean, Beltre and his career .327/.460 OBP/SLG is somehow similar to the .372/.507 OBP/SLG Rolen carries? Hahaha… Yeah, great point man! LOL…

…On the other hand, I do think you inadvertently gave a really good comparison to Beltre though ~ Kevin McReynolds! Sure, he didn’t play when he was 19, but otherwise his lines are extremely similar… Couple semi-respectable years, but mainly an OBP around .320-.330 and a SLG in the .450 range. Sadly, McReynolds did it in a much tougher park to hit in though, so all in all I would have to give much more credit to Kevin for his marks…

Seriously, just give it a rest though. There is no getting around it, you can get Crede, Inge or Feliz at a fraction of the cost and they will provide very similar numbers. You can give lists of guys that Beltre is nothing like all you want, its not gonna change that. And yeah, paying more than twice as much for similar production to a bunch of guys that aren’t wanted by their teams is, well, stupid. The M’s were extremely stupid to sign Beltre to that contract, and it is one of the worst current contracts in baseball. 12.8 Million for a OBP floating around .310??? Hahaha, yeah keep showing your “intelligence” by arguing in favor of that one… hahaha…

You know what, that was a weak reply, even for you! I mean I've heard some thrown together crap theories, but that just made you look desperate and foolish! It's funny that you copied everything I said because you are too dumb to think for yourself.

You call my stats unfair yet you compare a guys that have been injured for large chunks of their season and who hit for upto 30 points less than Beltre career with as much as 50 less points in OBP.

I love how you dismiss those stats with a statement like "those stats don't tell the real story", you must say that because you can't use them in defense of your poor assertion. Interesting how you liked nailing Beltre for his low OBP and AVG, yet you took almost 15 points off his career ones!

Your a damn fool and no one really likes you on here anyways... but not because you make solid points and make them look dumb, rather because you don't use logic to support your points, you bandy about propaganda like, "Beltre's not liked by his teammates because he's whinny and lazy," or my favorite, "most know that those three guys are considered better defensive players," who's most?!

Give me a quote from the sports writers... and by the way, who won the Gold Glove last year?! So did Beltre cast all those votes by himself?! Wait, you're right he won the Gold Glove with a minority vote, brilliant...

You have to get the "MOST" votes to win the award, you big dump *ss not least, so MOST do think he's the best 3B in the league if not the game defensively and by my accounts Torii Hunter and Andruw Jones both just made about 10MM a season on their deals, purely for what they bring defensively!

Now let's look at the guys who are considered comparable by baseball-reference, a reliable source of information, unlike you, and see how old they were when they entered the league!

Beltre was 19 and I asserted that it was unfair to compare his younger years with prime years and you then said that Beltre had more years to collect those stats than the HOF candidates that he's compared with by this point in his career!

Again Beltre 19 when he began.

Ron Santo: 20 years old.
Reuben Sierra: 20 years old.
Cal Ripken Jr: 20 years old.
Eric Chavez: 20 years old.
Johnny Bench: 19 years old.
Scott Rolen: 21 years old.
Miguel Tejada: 23 years old.
Ivan Rodriguez: 19 years old.
Andruw Jones: 19 years old.
Vern Stephens: 20 years old.

I do keep showing my intelligence by arguing this point and so far I crapped on all of your points! Oh and your points about Santo being far and away better than Beltre probably had nothing to do with HOF'r Billy Williams hitting in front of him and HOF'r Willie Banks hitting behind him for most of his career, right?! In comparison Beltre's amazing season was done with most of his at bats coming before the likes of Juan Encarnacion and Alex Cora, but hey pitch selection is overrated and most guys bat between two first ballot HOF inductees!

Oh and Santo at 28 versus 2007 Beltre at 28:

Santo ~ 162 G, .246 AVG, .354 OBP, .421 SLG, .775 OPS, 86 R, 17 2B, 3 3B, 26 HR, 98 RBI, 3 SB

Beltre ~ 149 G, .276 AVG, .319 OBP, .482 SLG, .801 OPS, 87 R, 41 2B, 2 3B, 26 HR, 99 RBI, 14 SB

So show me season by season comparisons of their seasons done just like this and let's see how much greater Santo was, with his 2 HALL OF FAME BATTERS, BATTING BEFORE AND AFTER HIM!! The biggest difference is the supporting cast and only now does Beltre have Sexson and Ibanez batting around him, but those two are cusp HOF'rs at best and in LA he had Shawn Green, but he was batted 7th or 6th most of the season, so he did it with no one protecting him in the order! Just give it up Beltre is clearly worth what amounts to less than 40% of what Alex gets! Also the difference between Beltre and a .300 hitter with a .370 OBP is about 3 hits a month career or 1 more hit every week and a half roughly and with those extra hits he would need to walk a total of 3 times more a season every 2 months or roughly 10 more times for the year. So he's not comparable to Scott Rolen or the other big name 3B like David Wright because of 18 hits and 10 walks a season?! Sell that logic elsewhere... I can live without an extra base runner once every 8 games in exchange for a guy that plays GG defense and is a leader to all the young hispanic players in the clubhouse. You're a piece of crap... no... you aren't even a piece of crap because the piece of crap doesn't deserve to be lumped in with the likes of you... You're lower than excrement!

“You know what, that was a weak reply, even for you! I mean I've heard some thrown together crap theories, but that just made you look desperate and foolish! It's funny that you copied everything I said because you are too dumb to think for yourself.”

…WTF are you talking about? Can you even provide a single sentence that makes sense??? I didn’t copy anything you posted. Infact I didn’t even really read it… I got about two paragraphs in, realized it was yet another post of 4 thousands words about ten-thousand miles away from reality and just skimmed the rest ~ just like I did with this piece of crap book you just gave. It isnt worth reading your spiel, it never makes sense and is instead you trying to give thousands of words that say nothing to cover the fact that you don’t have a point or basis for your statements. Everyone feels the same, and next to no one ever reads your posts ~ you know that, people only tell it to you like every single time you post your nonsense dribble… So you had posted some crap about how Beltre is supposedly like Santos and all in your previous book, and I gave the actual stats which obviously show otherwise. Seems you still are trying to argue it for some reason, leads me to believe you are either too much of a Mariners-homer, or just flat out stupid, to see fact. But, I’ll give it once more just incase you are actually able to grasp some form of reality for once in your life:

(Rank by OPS+)
164 OPS+ .313/.398/.564 ~ Santo 64 @24
163 OPS+ .334/.388/.629 ~ **Beltre 04 @25 (Beltre’s fluke contract year)
161 OPS+ .312/.412/.538 ~ Santo 66 @26
153 OPS+ .300/.395/.512 ~ Santo 67 @27
146 OPS+ .285/.378/.510 ~ Santo 65 @25
128 OPS+ .297/.339/.481 ~ Santo 63 @23
126 OPS+ .246/.354/.421 ~ Santo 68 @28
________________________________________125 OPS+ Mark
112 OPS+ .276/.319/.482 ~ **Beltre 07 @28
105 OPS+ .268/.328/.465 ~ **Beltre 06 @27
097 OPS+ .257/.303/.426 ~ **Beltre 02 @23
093 OPS+ .255/.303/.413 ~ **Beltre 05 @26
088 OPS+ .240/.290/.424 ~ **Beltre 03 @24

…Now, because you apparently don’t know what this means ~ it means Santos was a lot better than Beltre. And I mean A LOT!!! Beltre holding an OPS+ average of about 100 over the last 6 years shows that his numbers are just around LgAvg at best, nothing more… Shoot, Santos only had 4 of 15 years with an OPS+ under 110, Beltre has only topped it 3 times, period ~ and that’s barley topping it… Beltre hasn’t gotten over 115 outside that fluke season, Santos posted a career 125…

(Rank by OBP)
161 OPS+ .312/.412/.538 ~ Santo 66 @26
164 OPS+ .313/.398/.564 ~ Santo 64 @24
153 OPS+ .300/.395/.512 ~ Santo 67 @27
163 OPS+ .334/.388/.629 ~ **Beltre 04 @25 (Beltre’s fluke contract year)
146 OPS+ .285/.378/.510 ~ Santo 65 @25
126 OPS+ .246/.354/.421 ~ Santo 68 @28
128 OPS+ .297/.339/.481 ~ Santo 63 @23
________________________________________.330 OBP Mark
105 OPS+ .268/.328/.465 ~ **Beltre 06 @27
112 OPS+ .276/.319/.482 ~ **Beltre 07 @28
097 OPS+ .257/.303/.426 ~ **Beltre 02 @23
093 OPS+ .255/.303/.413 ~ **Beltre 05 @26
088 OPS+ .240/.290/.424 ~ **Beltre 03 @24

…Now, because you apparently don’t know what this means ~ it again means Santos is a lot better than Beltre. And I mean A LOT!!! Beltre holding an OBP under .330 in 5 of the last 6 years is, well, rather pitiful…

(Rank by SLG)
163 OPS+ .334/.388/.629 ~ **Beltre 04 @25 (Beltre’s fluke contract year)
164 OPS+ .313/.398/.564 ~ Santo 64 @24
161 OPS+ .312/.412/.538 ~ Santo 66 @26
153 OPS+ .300/.395/.512 ~ Santo 67 @27
146 OPS+ .285/.378/.510 ~ Santo 65 @25
________________________________________.500 SLG Mark
112 OPS+ .276/.319/.482 ~ **Beltre 07 @28
128 OPS+ .297/.339/.481 ~ Santo 63 @23
105 OPS+ .268/.328/.465 ~ **Beltre 06 @27
097 OPS+ .257/.303/.426 ~ **Beltre 02 @23
126 OPS+ .246/.354/.421 ~ Santo 68 @28
088 OPS+ .240/.290/.424 ~ **Beltre 03 @24
093 OPS+ .255/.303/.413 ~ **Beltre 05 @26

…Now, because you apparently don’t know what this means ~ it once more means Santos is a lot better than Beltre. And I mean A LOT!!! Beltre topped the .500 mark once in the last 6 years, Santos did it 4 of 6 years leading up to his age 29 season. No comparison here, just like the others…

Also, I see some more crap about how Beltre is supposedly nothing like Crede, Inge or Feliz in that last post too. But here, since the four are nothing alike then we should be able to distinguish their stat lines, right?

.323 OBP, 31 2B, 0 3B, 30 HR ~ which one is that?
.305 OBP, 33 2B, 4 3B, 22 HR ~ which one is that?
.313 OBP, 29 2B, 2 3B, 27 HR ~ which one is that?
.319 OBP, 41 2B, 2 3B, 26 HR ~ which one is that?
.303 OBP, 21 2B, 0 3B, 22 HR ~ which one is that?
.303 OBP, 36 2B, 1 3B, 19 HR ~ which one is that?
.281 OBP, 35 2B, 5 3B, 22 HR ~ which one is that?
.330 OBP, 31 2B, 9 3B, 16 HR ~ which one is that?
(((…Its really almost spooky how similar their lines end up being most of the time, this was fun to compile…)))

BTW, do you know what this is:
.271 / .321 / .466 / .787 ~ 32 2B, 2 3B, 25 HR
…Yep, this is the 7 Year average that Beltre has put up from age 22 (2001) to 28 (2007). It even includes that fluke 2004 contract-year season ~ but for fun, lets take it out…
.260 / .309 / .437 / .746 ~ 32 2B, 3 2B, 21 HR
…Humm ~ yeah, that’s worth 12.8 Million a year… ***rolls eyes***

Or what about just taking his 3 year average?
.266 / .316 / .453 / .769
Oh and:
.271 / .338 / .423 / .761 (that’s the AL Average hitter last year!)
…Humm ~ yeah, ok… My @ss that’s worth 12.8M when I can get the same for about 5M…

Really, whatever…

BaseballGuru

Want to defend Meche's contract being "amazing"?

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been posted. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment


Top Stories



Search MLBTR

Lijit Search

MLBTR Features



Recent Posts


MLBTR Mailing List

Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner


Rumors By Team



Monthly Archives


Live Chats


Tuesdays at 2 p.m. CST



Site Map     Contact     About     Advertise     Privacy Policy     Widget     Twitter     Rss Feed


MLB Trade Rumors is not affiliated with Major League Baseball, MLB or MLB.com.