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Rosenthal's Latest: Gross, Rios, Perez

The tireless Ken Rosenthal has another column up today. Not a whole ton in the way of trade rumors, but let's see what we can salvage from the article.

  • The A's could be a team interested in trading for the Brewers' Gabe Gross, who is the likely casualty once Mike Cameron returns from suspension. Gross can play all three outfield positions, and it's not clear whether the A's view him as a roving fourth outfielder, or a replacement for Emil Brown.
  • Rosenthal notes that the Blue Jays are following the lead of David Eckstein, hustling like crazy to first base. This, he notes, keeps fielders on their toes and makes them more apt to commit an error. The only one not buying in, apparently, is Alex Rios. How is this significant? Well, Rios just signed a six-year, $64MM contract before this season. Not exactly the impression you want to be making.
  • The Mets' Oliver Perez one a solid year away from cashing in this winter. Young, hard-throwing lefties are always in demand. He's on his way now, sporting a 2.49 ERA through four starts, striking out just a hair under a batter an inning. Now, if he can only find a pitching coach who can teach him to throw strikes -- he has 12 walks in those innings, which is less than a 2:1 ratio.

Posted by Joe Pawlikowski, who writes for River Ave. Blues, a Yankees blog.


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Comments

Why should we be impressed about Major Leaguers hustling to first base on ground balls? I believe it should be expected of everyone that plays the game regardless of the level. The fact that we have to applaud these guys for doing their job makes me wonder about the state of the game today.

If the Blue Jays don't want Alex Rios, they can ALWAYS trade him to the Reds for Adam Dunn. As a Reds fan, I would LOVE to have Rios instead of Dunn.

As an added bonus, I would even throw in Homer Bailey....

As a fan who watches every Blue Jays game, there are no problems with Alex Rios. His long strides make him look a bit lazy, but he always plays all out. Theres no concern about him from the Jays front office, or they wouldn't have signed him. He has always been a guy who gets frustrated after bad at-bats breaking plenty of bats over his leg. I have no problem with that kind of passion.

Why would anyone want Gabe Gross? He wouldn't be hitting his weight if he were a pregnant supermodel.

What a silly line. You add a word that conveys weight and one that doesn't. It would make more sense to say he wouldn't be hitting his weight if he was Tracey Gold's after a three week purging. Convey as pathetic as possible. He wouldn't be hitting his weight if he were a 8 year old Ethiopian boy in middle of a four year famine. He wouldn't be hitting his weight if he were made out of Balsa wood.

This doesn't work

http://www.flickr.com/photos/lionscavern/1557821463/

This does

http://hollywoodbackwash.com/wp-content/uploads/2007/01/skinny-model.jpg

"Now, if he can only find a pitching coach who can teach him to throw strikes -- he has 12 walks in those innings, which is less than a 2:1 ratio."

Unwarranted criticism of Rick Peterson. Compare his 2005 and 2006 to 2007. You can thank Rick Peterson for improving his K/BB and halving his ERA.

This is part of the reason why players like Eckstein or the Cubs Ryan Theriot benefit a club beyond the numbers. This is the part where the statheads (i.e. Baseball Prospectus) just don't get it.

Now if only Eckstein and Theriot had any baseball playing talent to go along with running hard 90 feet we statheads would get it.

Odd that "no talent" Eckstein has been a key component to two World Series championship teams, one of the best strikeout rates in baseball and plays on winners all the time.

Julio Lugo just won a WS title.

Eckstein can't hit, can't field and can't throw. The '06 Cardinals might go down as the worst team to ever win a title. The 2002 team was the best year of Eckstein's career in which he was a league average hitter at age 27 his prime. At his all time best he was average.

Post Season OPS: .668 -194 PA

.278/.333/.335

Career OPS: .713

.286/.351/.362

Damn he's not even clutch clutch clutchy clutch.

But he is tiny and white, so he's got that going for him.

"Now, if he can only find a pitching coach who can teach him to throw strikes -- he has 12 walks in those innings, which is less than a 2:1 ratio."

Wow someone that writes a Yankees blog impartially examines the Mets. If it wasn't for Rick Peterson there's a great chance Oliver Perez wouldn't be back on track in his career.

Just 18 months ago he was heralded as one of the "Worst Game 7 Starters of All Time" and now look where he is. Foolish comment.

Well, Eckstein is definitely scrappy. And gritty. Frisky, too. He's a gamer, for sure. And he knows how to win.

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/al/bluejays/2008-03-19-bluejays_N.htm
http://www.firejoemorgan.com/

On topic, I don't see the A's acquiring Gross. He doesn't look like an upgrade over Sweeney/Denorfia/Fiorentino/Brown to me.

Get over OPS. OPS is a stat for evaluating power hitters, not spark plugs. Eckstein isn't going to ever get much on the S part of OPS. What he will do is not strike out, which means a good BA and moving people over, as opposed to giving the pitcher a freebie. He is also a better than average defensive player.

Oh, and you fail to mention that your postseason stats are disproportionately affected by 3 series' as opposed to the 6 good series' and 2 amazing World Series'. You also fail to mention that his age 27 year was only his second in the majors, as he had no chance of breaking the Boston line up with Nomar in front of him.

A-Rod sucks, the way you look at baseball works for you when you play with your strat-0-matic cards in your mom's basement. Real life is much more complicated.

"Oh, and you fail to mention that your postseason stats are disproportionately affected by 3 series' as opposed to the 6 good series' and 2 amazing World Series'."

No I mention all of his post season stats because its more indicative of his abilities than cherry picking the WS series in which he slugged .500 in 22 ABs.

"Get over OPS. OPS is a stat for evaluating power hitters, not spark plugs."

Awesome.
Use whatever metric you wan't. He's still has a negative value.

" You also fail to mention that his age 27 year was only his second in the majors, as he had no chance of breaking the Boston line up with Nomar in front of him."

I'll start judging his major league career from the years he was blocked by players with talent on fictious numbers I come up with in my own head then.

Yup he is still bad.


I live in my dad's basement thank you very much.

Gross just got traded to Tampa Bay for Josh Butler.

Eckstein is an overrated guy that you love to root for, plain and simple.

Defensively, he tends to cleanly field most balls he gets to, but he doesn't get to near enough balls to justify his position. His arm is terrible, meaning he can't play deep in the hole and is hardpressed to turn a quality double play.

Offensively, he gets on base just enough to make him appealing, and his woefully inadequate slugging percentage discounts the nice OBP.

He's all those cliche's that fit a guy who tries hard and gets the most from his God-given ability, but that ability is limited and largely negates the intangibles.

I think one day we'll look back on this sabermetrics craze one day and we'll realize how overrated it all was. It's attractive because 1) it quantifies things in a nice little package...even to the point where it "tells" us how many wins a player is worth. Most people are uncomfortable with gray areas. We want definites even where they don't exist. And 2) it's easy enough to understand that it makes the average fan feel like they're some sort of genius.

Eck is a sparkplug,he's feisty,scrappy,blue collar, hard nosed, and I have no idea what any of that means! I've seen rios enough to see he runs out most every play just because he can control his body when he runs and glides instead of scraps his way to bases does not mean he's lazy. If someone who is a "stat nerd" please find out how many times ecktein has gotten on on errors and compare that with someone with similar amount of atbats. I'm going to go out on a limb here and say the difference is almost 0. Ops doesn't matter? Dude read up a little and if you still are not convinced go check up Vorp. Eckstein is so average to below average it's crazy. Oh by the way he's really tearing it up!

"I think one day we'll look back on this sabermetrics craze one day and we'll realize how overrated it all was. It's attractive because 1) it quantifies things in a nice little package...even to the point where it "tells" us how many wins a player is worth. Most people are uncomfortable with gray areas. We want definites even where they don't exist. And 2) it's easy enough to understand that it makes the average fan feel like they're some sort of genius."

3) Helps teams win
4) adds to the enjoyment of the game
5) allows for the undereducated to make unintentionally hilarious statements for the amusement of others.

I seriously doubt your education even approaches mine. But, hey, like I said, it makes the insipid feel smarter than they really are. As does this cut and paste style of posting...does that come out of some "debating for dummies" book?

I dropped out of the 7th grade but have spent many years taking online college courses in between breaking down k:bb ratios and IsoP in my mothers basement. I hope to one day graduate with a degree in Appreciating Intangibles.

Sarcasm...sigh. I suppose that's an example of being "intentionally" hilarious? The bottom line really is that sabermetrics is helpful but anyone who thinks it explains the whole game is limiting themselves. In the end, the game is played by human beings in social organizations. To think that people's effort, leadership, personality, intelligence and other factors have no effect on the success of any such organization is nothing less than foolish.

Hey arod I just got thrown out of my mom's basement can I stay with you? It all comes down to this
fire>ob
grit>ops
rogb(running out ground ball)>ops+
any of you jerks with any tangible information need to go back to your mother's basement and whack off to your jessica alba poster. I'll take intangibles all day. I want eck,theriot,erstad,Pierre.

The distorted comment above is exactly what I mean when I say it makes the insipid feel smart. Thanks for the illustration, joemorgan. You are the posterboy for what I was talking about.

"A-Rod sucks, the way you look at baseball works for you when you play with your strat-0-matic cards in your mom's basement. Real life is much more complicated.

Posted by: crunchy1 | April 22, 2008 at 05:10 PM"


Are you the pot or the kettle?

Isn't that your second response to the same post?

His posts are insipid, your response to my comments on Eckstein's playing ability is that I live in my mother's basement. You seem more like a kettle to me.

Isn't the kettle on the receiving end? (the pot calling the kettle black?) Anyway, I don't really think you live in your mother's basement. It was just my way of saying that such a pure reliance on sabermetric data seems a little removed to me. Same thing with the Strat-O-Matic reference. I think if you use sabermetrics as a piece of the puzzle, it works. But if you try to use it for the whole picture, it sterilizes the game into non-human elements. I don't know if you played baseball or not, but to me the personalities, the smarts, the leadership, the guys you look to, etc. make a difference. It's a social game. It isn't played in a vacuum (or on a computer). And it's not just the Ecksteins or scrappy players, I think David Ortiz has that same kind of influence on his team. I think he's worth more than his offensive numbers too. Then on the other end of the spectrum, you've got your Frank Thomas's and Albert Belle's who put up great numbers but add a certain tension to the environment. That's the part of the equation that sabermetrics experts leave out. They dismiss it because they can't quantify it, but it doesn't mean it isn't there.

“That's the part of the equation that sabermetrics experts leave out. They dismiss it because they can't quantify it, but it doesn't mean it isn't there.”

The fact that its there doesn’t mean that it really adds any value to the scoreboard either though.

There are plenty of guys like Lou Merolni and John McDonald who are rather crap hitters, but bring a great big pearly-white smile. To sign one and make him your everyday starter though? Having them on the bench as a once-a-week part-timer; cool deal! But whats the point of suffering though his playing just to have him around? Their “grit” or “fire” or whatever isnt going to win you more games than an extra 40 points of OBP and 60 points of SLG ~ so sign um for the bench, have the better player start and you get the best of both worlds… Beating out a single with hustle about once a month or just getting on base an extra 4 times a week? Humm, yeah the “grit” falls short on that one doesn’t it; but it does exist!

Now, more importantly; what exactly does that have to do with sabermetrics? A) Crappy player with great smile as starter or B) Great player as starter, and a crappy smile guy on the bench? Huh, I don’t need sabermetrics to tell me which one of those options to pick…

Crunchy well I did play college baseball and I am currently preparing for tryouts right now for independent leagues. So I can tell you right now I have been on all kinds of teams. I've met guys with grit and without. I've been on good and bad teams. I've been on teams with great chemistry andothers without. It all depends on the the situation. But no matter how much chemistry you have it doesn't beat numbers. The oakland A's in the 70's fought all day and they won. Other teams like the yankees of the late 90's got along and won. So I don't think you can really label this as reliable information. Now will there be exceptions to the rules, sure. But at some point statistical probability is going to catch up with you. There is just so much information out there and I know you are not stating it's false but you are kind of taking it less serious then it is. We are in a golden age in baseball right now and it's fun as hell.It does not take away from anybody's love for the game it just adds to it. I know my last comment was a little much but I'm an fjm man all the way.

joemorgan, we'll just have to agree to disagree on this one. To me, sabermetrics is the baseball equivalent of the mapping of the human genome. Yes, now we know a lot about which genes do what, now we have a blueprint of what makes us what we are...but it still falls short. The more we know about the genome, the more questions we have about what makes us say... "crunchy" or "joemorgan". The great thing about any scientific system like sabermetrics is that, like all science, it creates as many questions as it answers. It isn't that it's wrong. It's more like, the more you know, the more you find that you don't know. BP knows this. BP itself is constantly tweaking it's formula to add elements to the game that they had previously ignored. Systems like these aren't final, static solutions, they're dynamic and changing because they raise as many questions as they answer. In the end, though, they cannot account for everything, much as we'd like them to, as much as we as humans crave that ability to see into the future, it'll never fully happen. There will always be an element to the game that can't be measured. That's what's fun about the game for me, the UNpredictability. And despite the progress made in number crunching, the game is still largely unpredictable.

Book suggestion...have you ever read "The Tipping Point" by Malcom Gladwell? I recommend it. In it he talks about how influential people can affect the entire direction of a group of people's behavior. They set trends for the masses, so to speak. Eckstein seems to have had that type of impact on the Blue Jays. In Chicago, suddenly everyone is taking pitches the way Fukudome does. You cannot dismiss the fact that in the end, baseball players are social creatures and thus their behavior (and subsequent performance) is influenced by the environment around them.

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