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« Pie-Greene Rumor Denied | Main | Boras Discusses Oliver Perez »
WEDNESDAY: Armstrong, through a spokesman, clarified that his comments about Griffey were meant in a broad, rather than impending, context. It doesn't sound like any trade talks have occurred at this point. I'm sure we'll be revisiting this topic though.
TUESDAY: Bob Nightengale spoke to Ken Griffey Jr. recently. Junior's comments were not surprising or new - if the Reds decide to trade him he wants to play for a contender. Nightengale also has a comment from Mariners President Chuck Armstrong, who admitted he'd like Griffey to retire a Mariner.
Griffey makes $12.5MM this year and has a $16.5MM option for '09 with a $4MM buyout (much of the money is deferred). It's unknown whether Griffey would require that the '09 option be exercised in the event of a trade, but that wouldn't be surprising. Reds GM Walt Jocketty has yet to engage in trade discussions about Griffey.
Peter Gammons suggested the Cubs might be a fit, but they won't pick up the option and that figures to be a problem. The Mariners could certainly make room at DH and right field. Griffey could help the Indians, Braves, and Padres as well.
Trading Junior makes more sense than trading Adam Dunn. While Griffey might be able to maintain Type A status when the Elias rankings come out this winter, the Reds would not get draft pick compensation for him unless they offer arbitration. That'd be a risky move.
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Why is Griffey a fit for the Cubs? Because he is LH? Enough switching outfielders around. Sori stays in LF Fukudome in RF - end of story. Wait until a P becomes available and then make a move. If they are so intent on bringing in a LH power bat then sell the farm and make a huge splash - ( ok I know this won't happen but I do so like to annoy those that hate fantasy trades ) Get Sizemore. Let Cleveland pick 5 from :
Marmol
Vitters
Hart
Veal
Pie
Murton
Gallegher
Smardijaaz - whatever the kid from notre dame is.
Cleveland could replace CC, get a closer, get a 3B all in 1 shot. Cubs have an OF of Sori/Sizemore/Fukudome for years. Rip away - but I don't want to hear crap from overvalueing cubs prospects I am including 5 of them for gods sake lol.
Posted by: touchmymonkey | May 06, 2008 at 06:14 PM
"Get Sizemore. Let Cleveland pick 5 from :
Marmol
Vitters
Hart
Veal
Pie
Murton
Gallegher
Smardijaaz - whatever the kid from notre dame is."
Dude are you crazy?
Yeah lets get Grady Sizemore for Carlos Marmol, Felix Pie, Josh Vitters, Sean Gallagher and Donald Vea. Thats a fair deal. Sizemore is a great player, but thats way too much for him. He doesn't have great power, and although he is 100% completely a perfect fit for them (LH CF with good OBP and speed), that'd make them a worse team long term.
Marmol is proving that last year wasn't a fluke and he's gonna end up as the Cubs' closer by July. He's going to be a stud for years. Pie is a great defensive CF who has the potential to swing a great bat, he's only 24. Vitters is only 18 and was considered was of the best pure hitters in last years draft. He's the best prospect they have and potentially the heir to 3B if/when A-Ram leaves. Gallagher is a potential #2-3 who may already be capable of pitching in the back of the rotation. And Veal is a solid pitching prospect with #2-3 ceiling although he's not close to hitting it.
Maybe something like Sizemore for Pie, Gallagher, Colvin, and Veal. Marmol is completely off limits and I would argue that for now its the same with Vitters.
Posted by: scribbletone | May 06, 2008 at 06:24 PM
Scribble - I know it is abit much but normally when I make what I think are normal proposals I get hammered for overvalueing cubs players. Ok - I may have gone a little overboard on this to avoid that stigma. I think Vitters or Marmol would have to be in a trade for a stud like Sizemore - Vitters/Marmol/Veal maybe? Vitters MAY turn out to be a stud but he is blocked for at least 4 yrs with ARAM at 3rd. Sizemore IS a stud.. a lefthanded one at that - who leads off too. I would hate to lose Marmol but again - have to give to get. I would rather go after a SP and just work with what we have now. Pitching wins playoffs Zambrano/Burnett/Lily sounds tons better than Zambrano/lily/Dempster.
Sorry if I twitched you up too bad scrib - my bad lol
Posted by: touchmymonkey | May 06, 2008 at 06:36 PM
I'll just stick with this statement then try to be reasonable: you're both out of your mind if you think Shapiro will part with Sizemore. Simply that. The Indians have him signed through 2011 with an option for 2012 worth 8.5M. People have been attacking Red Sox and Yankee fans for moronic suggestions and thinking we can trade for anyone... but both of you thinking Sizemore could be had at any price is just lunacy (and yes, the world might be ending, I defended yankee fans). We're not talking about a video game, some players just simply can't be had. And right now, Sizemore is one of them. Trade him would mean you're waiting for a few years for prospects to mature. The Indians are a competing team now.
Now as for Griffey. Seriously, what would be his price tag, 2 A prospects?
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | May 06, 2008 at 07:44 PM
I never actually said that the Indians would move Sizemore, I'm just fantasizing. He's their best position player arguably and their bset building block for the future.
And I think the Reds would be willing to take slightly less than 2 A prospects for Griffey. Maybe an A and a B?
Posted by: scribbletone | May 06, 2008 at 08:07 PM
every new post gets funnier about how much you guys think that the reds want to move griffey. as i have said in other posts, junior will be a red in 2009 and beyond. This offseason, they will restructure a contract, getting rid of the 09 option, in favor of a 3 year, 30 million dollar option, with incentives (reaching 660, 500 ABs, etc) But seriously...why would the reds move junior with Hatteberg, Freel, and Dunn in the lineup? whatever is said about griffey being let go to sign dunn is backwards...junior will be a red in 09...dunn will not...probably a yankee.
Posted by: coltholt | May 06, 2008 at 09:58 PM
Just a thought. I would love to see Griffey in the Tigers lineup. They certainly could use another left-handed bat in their and they should be a contender in the next month or so the way the central in going these days.
Granderson
Polanco
Guillen
Ordonez
Cabrera
Griffey
Renteria
Sheffield
Pudge
Posted by: krymc | May 06, 2008 at 10:53 PM
For me, a guy like Sizemore is a slight step ahead of Crawford. And while Crawford would net a bounty, I don't think anyone would say he is untouchable. I also doubt if you would hear people saying he is worth more than 5 good ML players / high ceiling prospects.
I don't know what the Indians would do, but I know what I would do. If the Cubs offered me Marmol, Pie, Vitters, Veal, and Gallagher for Sizemore I would jump on that in a heartbeat.
This also represents the first time ever, in the history of MLBTR that a Cubs fan offered a deal that might slightly benefit another team. I'm shocked and amazed.
Posted by: bjsguess | May 07, 2008 at 02:05 AM
I'm assuming thats a compliment bjsguess - thanks. Crawford would be a nice fit too but again - I would rather go for SP, but its always nice to dream. Of course Cleveland would not want to part with Sizemore. You cannot tell me that Shapiro wouldn't contemplate that trade - if only for a split second - might even think about it veal wasn't in it.
Since I am on a roll with this - anyone want to hear about my "Cedeno and Howry for Papelbon" trade ;o)
Posted by: touchmymonkey | May 07, 2008 at 06:00 AM
Leave the Cubs outfield alone...for now. Give Pie a decent chance to prove himself! I hate how Lou benches him for weeks on end. His defense is superb and his bat is coming around. Reed Johnson has been fantastic as his counterpart. I'm pretty comfortable with those two. If by the All-Star Break, the Cubs need a big push (and offense hasn't been their problem, they're leading the league in runs) then I wouldn't mind a deal for Griff, putting him in left and Fuku in CF. Bat Fuku 2nd, Griff 5th. But I find it highly unneccessary at this point. If we're going to sell off prospects for anything, secure a top of the rotation starter or kick Lilly in his head until he gets out of his funk.
Just cuz it makes me kinda warm and fuzzy inside...deadline deal for Maddux anyone? One last hurrah for the Maddog in Cubbie blue to help make the WS push?? Ehh?? Ehh?? Probably wouldn't cost much? Ok, probably won't happen but my XBOX and I can pretend.
Posted by: BigBatsMcHellfire | May 07, 2008 at 12:09 PM
Whoops, and I mean putting Griff in right, obviously, not left. I'm firing my proofreader.
Posted by: BigBatsMcHellfire | May 07, 2008 at 12:09 PM
“(and offense hasn't been their problem, they're leading the league in runs)”
Ya know Cubs fans seem to have a tendency to say generalized stuff like that all the time but, yet never put it into perspective. Just like “our rotation will be fine, they had the 2nd best ERA in the game last year” or whatever, right? Well, putting that statement into perspective, one would have realized that the Cubs did have the 2nd best ERA (or whatever), but almost all of it was because of the first month and a half of the season ~ where the stretch run showed a rather different trend (the starters held a 5.0-ish ERA in Aug/Sept)…
Now, putting this seemingly hourly stated “they're leading the league in runs” sentence into perspective real fast:
In the last 14 Games, they have scored 3 or fewer runs 9 times. Yes, 9 times! So how do they lead the league in scoring? Well, in those other 5 games, they scored 7+ runs each time; with a total of 49 R in those other 5. The team has scored 9+ runs 8 times, and 7+ in 14, but in half their games (17/34) they haven’t scored more than 3… Hence the reason the team can be having a difficult time at the plate while still leading the league in Runs Scored ~ its all out one way or the other with absolutely no balance. The team pounds the ball or has problems scoring, its nearly a 50/50 split of Under-3 or Over-7. Since the “Over-7” is probably a rather difficult one to maintain, then Lou should be concerned…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | May 07, 2008 at 02:11 PM
In my opinion, Carl Crawford isnt really close to Sizemore's level. For starters, Sizemore gets on base at around 50-60 points highers then Crawford. Since they both leadoff (although it is debatable whether Grady should be hitting 3rd), that is a big advantage to have when comparing them head to head. Then take into account that Crawford doesnt have the same power capabilities as Sizemore. Crawford has an edge in speed, and steals more bases, but it isn't as if Grady cant burn, he can, and he is still up there with guys like Reyes, Crawford, Hanley and Rollins in that explosive player category, can beat you with their bat, speed, power, etc. Then finally, Grady Sizemore plays a tremendous CF, where he puts up better offensive numbers then Crawford does in LF, where you are looking for more of a power bat. Crawford's OPS+ for his career is 103, Sizemore's is 124. Not to take anything away from Crawford, who is no doubt explosive, exciting, and a hell of a player, but he is not in the same category as Sizemore in my opinion. Now, whether that bounty would be sufficient enough to pry Sizemore away from me is a different story. I honestly couldn't tell you what I would do in Shapiro's shoes.
Posted by: nrmax88 | May 07, 2008 at 07:31 PM
In closing, in my opinion, if Crawford was capable of playing a CF like Grady, then he would be closer, but the fact that Grady produces like a corner OF, playing a dynamite CF pushes him on top to me. Carl Crawford is a great player. Grady Sizemore is an elite player.
Posted by: nrmax88 | May 07, 2008 at 07:35 PM
Ok, darkstar, you got me. You obviously did a bit more homework than I did. I HAVE noticed from watching the games (and I watch every single one that's broadcast on WGN and FOX) that they seem to be a big bi-polar. And by that, I mean what you're saying: they either score a lot or a little. However, when Soriano gets out of his slump, that will obviously provide a boost. I don't expect him to go 40-40 or even live up to his ridiculous contract but he's not going to bat .171 all year. My point was, Griffey would be nice but I'd rather spend my talent on a legitimate leadoff hitter (Roberts) or a top of the rotation starter. I've never, in any thread, been opposed to adding more proven pitching. If Griff can be had for cheap, then by all means, add him to the mix. Couldn't hurt.
Posted by: BigBatsMcHellfire | May 07, 2008 at 07:59 PM
“My point was, Griffey would be nice but I'd rather spend my talent on a legitimate leadoff hitter (Roberts) or a top of the rotation starter. I've never, in any thread, been opposed to adding more proven pitching. If Griff can be had for cheap, then by all means, add him to the mix. Couldn't hurt.”
Oh yeah, I think a SP is more needed than an OF bat ~ and I agree a LH-LO type is more desirable than a LH-Power guy. But, the team has failed trying to fill that LH-LO type, and seem content playing patch-work from within with the rotation so…
Now, the team is hitting only .218/.304/.334/.638 with an average of 2.5 R/G in their losses. It could be a complete fluke, but… If Lou wants to shake it up by bringing in a LO Power-type CF/RF, then I would have to think that it might have something to do with that issue. He’s been around long enough that I would give him the benefit of the doubt on what he thinks will fix the teams problems ~ and yeah, there is probably a problem if thats what he is requesting…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | May 07, 2008 at 08:58 PM
Two Points!!
One why in the hell would they want a left-handed leadoff guy?! The point for getting a left handed bat in their lineup is to break up Soriano/Lee/Ramirez with something other than Fukodome, who'll end up with around 5-10 HRs by the end of the season... Don't get me wrong, I think Fukodome is the second best Japanese player in the majors behind Ichiro, but he's best suited to bat 2nd where he can get on base before the big bats...
Also what in the hell does a leadoff hitter need to have power for?! They are there to get on and steal bases! The reason they haven't scored that many runs is their leadoff hitter is running everytime he gets on base and the league knows it, which is why he's been caught so many times. Without a leadoff guy on, there's no one for the big guns to drive in!
I like Gary Matthews Jr. for the job of CF'er... He'd be good for 20-25 HRs in Wrigley and can play all three outfield positions and with the depth the Angels have at OF & DH, they really don't need him or to get Pie back in return. This allows you to keep Pie as a late innings replacement for Soriano!
My guess would be it'll take Marmol and Gallagher for Matthews. They need to find a guy they can groom to replace Rodriguez at closer in case he walks during Free Agency and with Escobar maybe not returning at all, they'll need to plug a hole in their rotation during the offseason and Gallagher should fall in nicely behind Lackey, Santana, Weaver, and Saunders.
Lineup
SS Theriot (R)
RF Fukodome (L)
1B Lee (R)
3B Ramirez (R)
CF Matthews (S)
LF Soriano (R)
C Soto (R)
2B DeRosa (R)
P (undefined)
Second point is that Griffey has stated in many newspapers that he wants to come back to Seattle, so Coltholt, please shut the hell up with the propaganda of trust me I know he'll be back as if your red hot desire alone will force him back into Cinci for 3 more years at 10MM a season, while they have Jay Bruce, Norris Hopper, and Ryan Freel who are much more inexpensive ready to take over for Dunn and Griffey...
With what Bruce brings to the table once he gets going, along with how Encarnacion and Votto have been hitting the baseball, and finally what type of power Phillips has at 2B, they clearly do not need yet another power bat, they'll have 4 for the middle of the order that'll hit 30-35 bombs... Griffey and Dunn are a waste of space as far as a 70MM payroll team is considered! Griffey goes to Seattle within two months, I bet Darkstar's virginity on it!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | May 08, 2008 at 08:53 AM
"Second point is that Griffey has stated in many newspapers that he wants to come back to Seattle, so Coltholt, please shut the hell up with the propaganda of trust me I know he'll be back as if your red hot desire alone will force him back into Cinci for 3 more years at 10MM a season, while they have Jay Bruce, Norris Hopper, and Ryan Freel who are much more inexpensive ready to take over for Dunn and Griffey..."
Is that sort of like hoping your red hot desire will get 2 pretty average players in Adrian Beltre and Richie Sexson into the hall of fame as first ballot guys?
Posted by: nrmax88 | May 08, 2008 at 10:31 AM
Man, you seriously are proving yourself to be the single stupidest person I have ever seen in my life… Anyway,
“One why in the hell would they want a left-handed leadoff guy?!”
…They 1) Don’t want Soriano leading off 2) If if they lead off with Soriano, they wouldn’t have to use that LH-LO guy in the 1 spot ~ he could hit 2nd behind Soriano just the same 3) THAT’S WHAT THEY CONTINUELLY SAY THEY WANT!!!!!!
“Also what in the hell does a leadoff hitter need to have power for?! They are there to get on and steal bases!”
…WTF are you talking about again? Is thread also going to be filled with your input on stuff that no one ever talked about?
“The reason they haven't scored that many runs is their leadoff hitter is running everytime he gets on base and the league knows it, which is why he's been caught so many times. Without a leadoff guy on, there's no one for the big guns to drive in!”
…Ahhh…. Ok, see this is the complete and utter crap sentence that lead to my “single stupidest person” comment… Soriano has ZERO Caught-Stealing; ZERO!!! Shoot, he’s not even getting on base to try to steal… Seriously, where do you come up with this stuff…
“I like Gary Matthews Jr. for the job of CF'er...”
…They are not going to take on his contract. People are saying Griffey wouldn’t work because he would want his 09 option picked up. Matthews just doesn’t fit…
“This allows you to keep Pie as a late innings replacement for Soriano!”
…Unless the team is allowed to carry some 30 players on its squad, Pie would be in the minors when another OFer is added. See, teams are limited to 25 guys…
“My guess would be it'll take Marmol and Gallagher for Matthews.”
…They wouldn’t trade Pie and Gallagher for Roberts, who fit their desires perfectly, but will trade their set-up man/future closer and their top young starter now, while the team has exactly 1 reliable starter in its rotation? Really?
“SS Theriot (R)
RF Fukodome (L)
1B Lee (R)
3B Ramirez (R)
CF Matthews (S)
LF Soriano (R)
C Soto (R)
2B DeRosa (R)
P (undefined)”
…And you would bat Matthews 5th??? Seriously, youve got to be kidding me right? Wow…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | May 08, 2008 at 11:44 AM
“Second point is that Griffey has stated in many newspapers that he wants to come back to Seattle, so Coltholt, please shut the hell up with the propaganda of trust me I know he'll be back as if your red hot desire alone will force him back into Cinci for 3 more years at 10MM a season, while they have Jay Bruce, Norris Hopper, and Ryan Freel who are much more inexpensive ready to take over for Dunn and Griffey...”
…Man you say the same thing constantly, whether its true or not…
“Griffey and Dunn are a waste of space as far as a 70MM payroll team is considered! Griffey goes to Seattle within two months, I bet Darkstar's virginity on it!”
…But atleast you are still opening showing your lack of intelligence and pre-school conversation level though…
Nrmax,
“Is that sort of like hoping your red hot desire will get 2 pretty average players in Adrian Beltre and Richie Sexson into the hall of fame as first ballot guys?”
…Hahaha!!!
Posted by: darkstar1661 | May 08, 2008 at 11:46 AM
"I bet Darkstar's virginity on it!"
That is priceless.
Dark, what Lou is saying he wants is a 5th place left handed hitter so he can bat Fukudome 2nd. They have not been saying since spring training that they want a leadoff guy...I don't know where you are getting that. Lou has realized that Fukudome is a better AVG and OBP guy than he thought, and less of a power guy than he thought. SO....he is IDEAL for the 2 spot, but he still wants a lefty in the 5 hole that can protect Rami.
So, what all that means is that you are dead wrong on the leadoff guy...that isn't what anyone is talking about here. They now see their need as being a 5th place left handed hitting bat, and Lou seems to want it in the outfield, which means its most likely CF. That says to me that he is willing to trade Pie for exactly that, assuming it was someone he thought would fit perfectly. I personally think that they already have the PERFECT #5 hitter, even though he isn't left handed. His name? Geovanny Soto. Move Fukudome now and bat Soto 5th!!!
Also Dark, one reliable starter? I'm not the biggest Dempster fan in the world, but look at his numbers. He has been pretty much exactly what you would call reliable. Under 3 era isn't good enough in your book??? Come on.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | May 08, 2008 at 01:07 PM
"ESPN's Peter Gammons has a new blog post to discuss. Gammons says Cubs manager Lou Piniella would like to add a left-handed hitting right or center fielder to bat fifth."
No one is talking about a leadoff hitter here...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | May 08, 2008 at 01:47 PM
“"I bet Darkstar's virginity on it!"
That is priceless.”
…Yeah, if youre 12 years old. Well, I guess it would also be possible if a person shared that level of mental capacity…
“Dark, what Lou is saying he wants is a 5th place left handed hitter so he can bat Fukudome 2nd.”
…That’s great ~ except for the fact that Fukudome has exactly 1 game (April 11th) where he has batted lower than 4th. Add in the fact that Fukudome is hitting .296/.310/.370 the last 7 games, and .273/.317/.400 the last 14 ~ well, are you so sure “he is IDEAL for the 2 spot”?
“Also Dark, one reliable starter? I'm not the biggest Dempster fan in the world, but look at his numbers.”
Sure, what do you want to look at? The .192 BAbip? Or maybe the 20BB to 29K in 43IP? Or maybe youre thinking about the H/R split of 4.30 ERA, 1.35 WHIP in 4G at Home vs 0.90 ERA and 0.75 WHIP in 3G on the road (vs Pitt, Wash and Cin)...
He hasn’t faced a winning team yet, the combined record of the teams he has gone up against is 58-77, and 4 of them are in the bottom 6 offenses in the NL ~ with only Pitt escaping that so far. He has pitched well so far, but I’ll refrain from calling him “reliable” until he faces a team that can actually hit the ball, sees his BAbip find a more sustainable level and stops walking a guy pretty much every other inning…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | May 08, 2008 at 01:56 PM
I'm looking at his 2.72 ERA, his .172 BAA, the fact that he is allowing an OBA of .272, and the fact that his WHIP is 1.07!!! And that takes his biggest problem, walks, into account.
I will refrain from making any guarentees, because I'm not so sure he can sustain it either...but, you would have to say that SO FAR, he has been much, much more than "reliable".
"…That’s great ~ except for the fact that Fukudome has exactly 1 game (April 11th) where he has batted lower than 4th. Add in the fact that Fukudome is hitting .296/.310/.370 the last 7 games, and .273/.317/.400 the last 14 ~ well, are you so sure “he is IDEAL for the 2 spot”?"
What does how many games he has hit in a higher slot have to do with anything? you think that will change his approach?? He hit 3rd most of his career in Japan! And let me give you an emphatic YES, I am SURE he is ideal for the 2 slot. He takes as many pitches per at bat than anyone in the game, and has a TERRIFFIC OBP and AVG. He is absolutely IDEAL for the 2 slot. Thats not too hard to figure out...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | May 08, 2008 at 02:11 PM
“I'm looking at his 2.72 ERA, his .172 BAA, the fact that he is allowing an OBA of .272, and the fact that his WHIP is 1.07!!! And that takes his biggest problem, walks, into account.”
…with a .192 BAbip! If his BAbip was more in the normal .300 range, his BA-A and OBP-A goes from .172/.272 to about .271/.358. It would also increase his WHIP to about 1.42… Facing nothing but bottom dwelling teams, and being extremely lucky when doing that ~ well, that doesn’t make “reliable”…
“What does how many games he has hit in a higher slot have to do with anything?”
…Uhh, maybe it has something to do with the fact that youre here telling us they want him in the 2 hole above all in the face of the team flat-out not even trying to use him in the 2 spot. If they really, really, really want him there, don’t you think they would actually play him there atleast a couple times?
“YES, I am SURE he is ideal for the 2 slot. He takes as many pitches per at bat than anyone in the game, and has a TERRIFFIC OBP and AVG. He is absolutely IDEAL for the 2 slot. Thats not too hard to figure out...”
…Yeah, .273/.317/.400 the last two weeks is “a TERRIFFIC OBP and AVG”, and that’s definitely the type of hitter I want in my #2 spot… You also really have to love that .209/.289/.299 line on the road in 77 PA…
…Heres an idea though, how about we make sure he can hit American pitching first? Does that sound ok?
Posted by: darkstar1661 | May 08, 2008 at 02:41 PM
"…Yeah, .273/.317/.400 the last two weeks is “a TERRIFFIC OBP and AVG”, and that’s definitely the type of hitter I want in my #2 spot… You also really have to love that .209/.289/.299 line on the road in 77 PA…"
See if he can hit American pitching??? You may be the only person in America that thinks he hasn't proven that yet. He is hitting an overall .320/.411/.456/.867, and you don't think he can hit American pitching?
That is ridiculous.
Ok, lets look at how he does at home, you know, the park where he plays half his games.
.448/.543/.638/1.181(!!!)
But yeah, he can't hit American pitching. oh, and you want to wait to see if he can hit American pitching before you put him in the 2 hole, but leave him in the 5 hole? What are you smoking? How does that make sense???
"“I'm looking at his 2.72 ERA, his .172 BAA, the fact that he is allowing an OBA of .272, and the fact that his WHIP is 1.07!!! And that takes his biggest problem, walks, into account.”"
Did I really just see you say that those numbers don't qualify as "reliable"??? What a joke.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | May 08, 2008 at 03:06 PM
Man, you will illogically argue about absolutely anything wont you…
“See if he can hit American pitching???”
IN THE LAST 14 DAYS HE’S HITTING .273/.317/.400!!!!!!! How are you not grasping that? I mean, that’s lower than Juan Pierre territory, and absent the 50 or so steals… But you are going to sit there and say that he has proven he can hit American pitching because of the first 3 or so weeks of his being in the states? Really? So the first 3 weeks of a players American ML career = proves what he can do? Dude, seriously???
“Ok, lets look at how he does at home, you know, the park where he plays half his games. .448/.543/.638/1.181(!!!)”
…with a .532 BAbip!!! Do you seriously believe that half of the balls he puts into play at home the rest of the way will fall in for hits? Normal is about .300, but you think he will sustain a .532?
I’m not saying he is going to suck, but come on! The last two weeks he has been a below average hitter while posting a fairly normal .330-ish BAbip, so its not bad luck. Do you generally take guys who are hitting below the average and move them to an important lineup spot where he will see more ABs and be expected to set the table? Or do you generally do that with guys who are actually playing well?
“Did I really just see you say that those numbers don't qualify as "reliable"??? What a joke.”
…in the post AFTER:
“because I'm not so sure he can sustain it either...”
…HUH??? Ok, so let me get this straight ~ you don’t think he will continue to pitch like this, but he is reliable because he has pitched like this? So when someone gets really, really lucky for a short period of time, and no one thinks he will keep it up, he becomes "reliable"? Ok man…
Really, whatever dude…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | May 08, 2008 at 03:39 PM
"I mean, that’s lower than Juan Pierre territory, and absent the 50 or so steals"
I didn't know Juan stole 50 bases in the last 14 days. Amazing Dark.
Unlike you, who are taking 14 days worth of sample sizes, I'm willing to take his whole body of work. Still not the best sample size, but a whole hell of a lot better than you giving me the crap you did. The bigger the sample size, the better. And the biggest you can get for him is everything he has done against American pitching. What is that?
Again: .320/.411/.456/.867
I'd say from everything he has shown, he can sure hit American pitching just fine.
As for Dempster, I would say "reliable" means that you can "rely" on him keeping you in the game most of the time. I don't know if our definitions of the word are different...but thats what I would say. So far, he has done more than just be "reliable". However, he may not, and probably won't keep pitching quite THIS well...and I will say that your BABIP reference would help make a case for that. However, I don't think, even if it does go up, that its going to take him out of the "reliable" stage...which is the whole point I'm trying to make. He may implode, who knows...but so far at least, he has gone above and beyond just "reliable"...and its the only sample size we have for him so far. So going back to the original point...the Cubs, as of right now, have at least two "reliable" pitchers in their rotation.
By the way dark...I'd love to know your thoughts on Soto. Has he proven yet to you that he is one of the best catchers in the NL, already! The guy is just flat out awesome. Don't you think that he would be a terriffic #5, regardless of hitting right handed, which would allow Lou to move Fukudome to the 2 hole?
Posted by: Aduncaroo | May 08, 2008 at 04:24 PM
“Unlike you, who are taking 14 days worth of sample sizes, I'm willing to take his whole body of work.”
…Oh yeah, my bad ~ I mean, why would someone put less weight on the small portion of his time where ML pitchers had never faced him before, and instead be more concerned with the recent .717 OPS that he has sustained for two weeks? And if he continues to hit .273/.317/.400 the rest of the year, it wont matter ~ he already proved he could hit American pitching back when there weren’t solid scouting reports made-up yet… Right?
“As for Dempster, I would say "reliable" means that you can "rely" on him keeping you in the game most of the time. I don't know if our definitions of the word are different...but thats what I would say. So far, he has done more than just be "reliable". However, he may not, and probably won't keep pitching quite THIS well...and I will say that your BABIP reference would help make a case for that.”
…Ummm, well if that BAbip when to a more normal .300-ish then his line-against would be around .271/.358 and 1.4-ish WHIP ~ we already learned that. But, what does that .271/.358-ish w/ 1.4-ish mean on the mound? Well, that’s fairly close to what Dave Bush has produced for the Brewers so far. Bush has also carried a fairly normal .286 BAbip in putting up that line with a similar BB/K rate, so its probably rather close to what you can expect.
Also, Dempster wouldn’t really have to “implode” or “regress” to get to that Bush Level though, it would be him pitching like he is just not getting as lucky. And unfortunately, I don’t think you would find many people that would call Bush “reliable”. Ryan is not pitching that great, he is just getting much better results than he should ~ hence my saying that he isnt “reliable” even if he has a nice looking statline…
“Reliable” would have to be someone who I can count on to be solid and get solid results because of it ~ not a guy who has produced nice lines mainly because of luck…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | May 08, 2008 at 05:13 PM
"But, what does that .271/.358-ish w/ 1.4-ish mean on the mound? Well, that’s fairly close to what Dave Bush has produced for the Brewers so far."
You can't just tack that on like it happened. The REALITY is that he is pitching well, and above reliable status, period. What you are saying didn't happen...period. He has been more than reliable so far, and thats the only point I was trying to make, and have made it. You saying well...if this had happened than these would be his numbers, so he isn't reliable...is just dumb. It didn't happen. Could in the future, but hasn't right now.
"…Oh yeah, my bad ~ I mean, why would someone put less weight on the small portion of his time where ML pitchers had never faced him before, and instead be more concerned with the recent .717 OPS that he has sustained for two weeks?"
Did you really really just say "sustained for two weeks?"
Thats just stupid all by itself. He has "sustained" a .320/.411/.456/.867 line for the entire year so far...but hey, that doesn't matter, right? Its only about what he has done in a 2 week sample size...
Come on...you act like I don't know your bu*lsh*t act by now...
And you never answered me about Soto...are you ready to say you were wrong about him yet?
Posted by: Aduncaroo | May 08, 2008 at 05:31 PM
Ohhh, WTF…
Look, you are just trying to illogically nit-pick a minor sentence from yesterday into a runaround argument without a point for what reason again? Just because you think Dempster should be called reliable? Even if you yourself somehow feel Dempster is reliable, what difference would it make anyway?
“You can't just tack that on like it happened. The REALITY is that he is pitching well, and above reliable status, period. What you are saying didn't happen...period. He has been more than reliable so far, and thats the only point I was trying to make, and have made it. You saying well...if this had happened than these would be his numbers, so he isn't reliable...is just dumb. It didn't happen. Could in the future, but hasn't right now. “
…Yeah, what HAS HAPPENED is he has been lucky. Take the luck away and you have numbers which look close to what Bush has provided. Has Bush pitched well? Well, Depmster has pitched rather similar to Bush, he has just gotten a bunch of luck added in. Its not brain surgery here…
“Did you really really just say "sustained for two weeks?"
Thats just stupid all by itself. He has "sustained" a .320/.411/.456/.867 line for the entire year so far...but hey, that doesn't matter, right? Its only about what he has done in a 2 week sample size...
…See, youre just reaching in your eternal attempt to argue here too. Yes, he has “sustained” a .273/.317/.400 the last two weeks because he has produced basically the same results both weeks! Last week it was .296/.310/.370, the week before it was .250/.323/.429 ~ that looks like he is sustaining that range to me… See, “sustained” means “continued”, which is what he did… Now, if he had hit .320/.411/.867 nearly every week to this point then he would have “sustained” that line. But he hasn’t, has he? This isnt rocket science either man…
“Come on...you act like I don't know your bu*lsh*t act by now...”
See, you “know (my) bu*lsh*t act”, right? An “ACT” which is nothing more than going with Facts and Trends instead of the generalized, out-of-context statements like “they have the best offense in baseball so far” or “their rotation is fine, they were 2nd in ERA last year” right? Yeah, my “bu*lsh*t act” that is absolutely more than wondering WTF you could even remotely be thinking when you do these little nitpick the smallest sentences you can find and runaround for hours without a real point games you pull… There was absolutely no need for any of the above conversation, you are just in the same runaround argument you always give when you feel like you want to argue about nothing…
“And you never answered me about Soto...are you ready to say you were wrong about him yet?”
…And why the F* would I want to listen to more of your babble when I never wanted to have a conversation with you in the first place? You tried to nitpick me, you called me out for things you don’t think are true, and your “point” is in its normal continual-change mode as you try to find something else to draw out the conversation long enough for you to feel correct or whatever. I don’t care man, you can believe they have the best offense in spite of their scoring score 3 or fewer 50% of the time, or Fukudome is a sure thing monster at the plate because of his pre-scouting report numbers, or Dempster is a reliable rotation arm because he has been lucky or whatever else you want ~ it doesn’t matter to me at all what you feel inside. I myself would like to see real, solid, sustainable proof or evidence of such things, but that doesn’t mean you cant get all excited over all the crap… And seriously, throw all the runaround arguments you try to throw out wont change the fact that I don’t care…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | May 08, 2008 at 06:09 PM
Hahahaha....
Still couldn't bring yourself to answer the Soto question, could you?
Dempster and Bush have not pitched the same. BABIP is an over rated stat, and you act like its the ONLY stat. What a joke. Does Bush have a 1.07 WHIP? You are an idiot if you think Bush and Dempster have pitched the same because of BABIP. Seriously...pathetic. Act least act like you are smarter than this...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | May 08, 2008 at 09:17 PM
Okay things I said that no one believed at the time within the last few months... For the benefit of nrmax and darkstar... I said Wang was a number 1 and EVERYONE said I was nuts yet he's clearly going to be sniffing 20 wins yet again... I said Blanton wasn't an ace and low and behold, he hasn't been... I said Clement and Balentien would be up within a month of the season starting, back in February, not once everyone could hit in April... Easy to predict that one! I did it when everyone was still talking about Bedard being a Mariner... I said that the Rangers were going to be a much better team than everyone thought... I said the Yankees would be close to the bottom and that the Rays and Orioles would probably be better than them... I said that Boston and Blue Jays will be in the top two positions in the East... ALL OF THESE POINTS I WAS CRAZY, ALL OF THESE POINTS I WAS STUPID, YET I'M ALWAYS RIGHT... KEEP NOTES FOR NOW ON, SEE HOW MANY TIMES I PUT A PREDICTION OUT THERE AND IT HAPPENS SMART *SS, YOU GOT THE BALLS TO DO THAT MUCH OR JUST KEEP TALKING SH*T WHILE I KEEP PULLING BOLD PREDICTIONS OUT OF MY *SS THAT KEEP COMING TRUE!! I ALSO PREDICTED THE MARINERS RE-SIGNING KENJI WHILE EVERYONE SAID HE WAS GONE... I BET THE MARINERS STILL ROLL OFF 95-100 WINS THIS SEASON, EVEN WITH THEM 8 GAMES UNDER .500 RIGHT NOW! SO TALK CRAP, BUT KISS MY *SS THIS FALL WHEN THEY'RE IN THE PLAYOFFS! I'LL BET DARKSTAR THEY STILL WIN 95 GAMES AND IF THEY DO, HE'S GOTTA STOP COMING TO THIS SITE, IF THEY DON'T, I'LL STOP COMING HERE!!! NEED YOUR MOMMY TO LET YOU HAVE YOUR BALLS BACK SO YOU CAN MAN UP, OR CAN YOU IOU THE TESTOSTERONE AS USUAL?!?!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | May 09, 2008 at 04:39 AM
Aduncaroo, it doesn't matter what you say to Dark, he'll keep using illogical arguments... I know what you mean, you made good points, but it doesn't matter it wasn't good enough to bestow logic upon our little buddy Darkstar! Also, even Ichiro has gone through dry spells and he's only the most consistent hitter in BASEBALL HISTORY... No other hitter has ever has 7 200 hits seasons and he'll have 8 by the end of this year... But you know the fact that his only bad (hits under .300) month is April, but if he went through a slump in April we could assume Ichiro sucks and we should just bat him 5th... In the other post he wanted to bat Dunn there... So I don't know what Darkstar considers a 5 hole hitter to be... On one side he picks a guy that's all AVG, OBP, and speed... On the other he picks a one-dimensional power hitter with no ability to come up with the clutch hit, living and dying on the long ball for all of his run-production... I'm lost, so when you figure out what DimStar wants out of a 5-hole hitter let me know... I've got more important things to do than wait for another one of his responses... "Where the hell are my toe-nail clippers?!??!" Anyways, good look talking to the brick wall!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | May 09, 2008 at 04:55 AM
had 7 consecutive 200 hit seasons...
Posted by: BaseballGuru | May 09, 2008 at 04:55 AM
"If Lou wants to shake it up by bringing in a LO Power-type CF/RF, then I would have to think that it might have something to do with that issue."
Above is the post before my post you TRIED TO SH*T ALL OVER...
------------------------------------------
"("Also what in the hell does a leadoff hitter need to have power for?! They are there to get on and steal bases!”
"…WTF are you talking about again? Is thread also going to be filled with your input on stuff that no one ever talked about?")"
The above is a copy of my line in responses to the first quote and then you talking sh*t about how I responded to something that no one said, but you had said it yourself two posts before, you need to carry a notepad with you to remember what you just said, I'm sure we could get the guys here at MLBTR to pitch in on a mini-recorder if it meant you would post something somewhat logical and could not act like an alzheimers patient! Way to go nrmax, you picked sides with a guy that can't remember his posts from 2 messages back and 14 hours and XX minutes before! By the way, SEXSON AND BELTRE MAKE THE HOF, BET ON IT CAUSE I SAID IT!! SUCK IT NRMAX AND DARKSTAR! WHAT ARE YOU GOING TO DO, BRING IT UP AGAIN?!?! SEE IF I CARE YOU CIRCLE JERKIN' BITCH*S!!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | May 09, 2008 at 05:05 AM
sus·tain Audio Help (sə-stān') Pronunciation Key
tr.v. sus·tained, sus·tain·ing, sus·tains
1) To keep in existence; maintain.
2) To supply with necessities or nourishment; provide for.
3) To support from below; keep from falling or sinking; prop.
4) To support the spirits, vitality, or resolution of; encourage.
5) To bear up under; withstand: can't sustain the blistering heat.
6) To experience or suffer: sustained a fatal injury.
7) To affirm the validity of: The judge has sustained the prosecutor's objection.
8) To prove or corroborate; confirm.
9) To keep up (a joke or assumed role, for example) competently.
Okay Darkstar, last post tonight... above is the definitions for sustained, based off YOUR WORD choice here are the ways we can take what you meant about the "two week time period Soto """""SUSTAINED""""", but tell me which way you meant it after I break each number down to you!!
1) For you to keep in existence or maintain it would infer that it is irregular for you to produce stats on that level, and so you would resort to the mean which is much higher or in other words, you incorrectly used the word, making you an idiot or you supported the oppositions' argument, making you an idiot, you choose!
2) You would have to be an idiot to use it like this as it has a 2nd person/3rd person tone to this referring to the care for and that clearly doesn't apply!
3) So if you say this, then you anticipate his slump to be his average and below his average will be yet another slump?! I'm not following... You think that he got in a groove for the other how many games?! Then when he was already raking, he double up and got hotter that hot?! I'll tell Peter Gammons that you've earmarked a new term He's Raking to the 2nd Power!! Because clearly he has a better gear than this one you chose to point out and you seem to infer that there's a worse... Sorry but EVERY PLAYER IN THE HISTORY OF BASEBALL HAS A RAKING TOTAL AND A SLUMPING TOTAL THAT IS FAIRLY SIMILAR YEAR IN AND YEAR OUT, THAT MEANS HE'S A .310 AVG CAREER HITTER IS MY GUESS!
4) How would one encourage a batting average, OBP, and slugging percentage?! Just curious, NEXT!!!
5) Again presupposes that he has two levels of slump and two levels of raking, just not realistic, either makes you ignorant or a moron, I just don't know if your stupidity is legitimate or if you can be educated into making a logical argument... For now we'll go with you're a moron, I feel more comfortable putting my reputation behind that!
6) Now we're talking, this sounds like the correct meaning, because he is clearly hitting way worse than he is capable of hitting and probably well below what his career average will be! So you just proved the plaintiffs side, go job defendant, want a cookie?!
7) Okay in this example you would be validated that the numbers are accurate, way to go!! You overcame illiteracy, want a party?! NEXT!!!
8) Again, confirming you numbers are accurate, which we'll say they are for argument's sake and still that is only a glimpe of the real picture, but you give slanted evidence... A judge would hold you in contempt if you were a lawyer with all your double-dealing "information" you'd be disbarred, you're like the ambulance chasing litigators of blogging! So you confirmed he's in a slump only helps the other side, not really proves anything for you!
9) This can't be the one because it would associate you with being competent! Clearly you are many things but that is not one of them! The only role you've sustained by bringing up that comment is not a level of mediocrity for Soto, but rather your own less than pleasing efforts resulting in poor performance... You are a fool that doesn't know how to build an argument with stats and my Peruvian girlfriend who speaks English as a 2nd language has better language comprehension than you do! Way to go!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | May 09, 2008 at 05:35 AM
Adun, you really are proving yourself to be truly pitiful… Really, like that obsessed ex-girlfriend who follows the object or her affection around, doing or saying absolutely anything (no matter how incorrect, irrelevant or flat-out asinine it is) in her continued attempt to make herself feel better about herself for even a moment or get some sort of attention for her lacking life…. No point, no relevance, and a consistent inaccurate or exaggerated view of the situation ~ with only the obsession driving her forward…
And then we have another 1500+ words from “guru”, which probably makes such “accurate” and “astute” statements as “you suck”, “youre a loser”, and his personal favorite ~ “you live in your moms basement”… ***sigh***
Posted by: darkstar1661 | May 09, 2008 at 02:11 PM
What do you know? Dark comes back and gets involved in YET ANOTHER Cubs thread, saying more things that show is lack of an IQ over 10.
Ready to eat your crow about Soto yet?
That first paragraph you wrote doesn't say anything relevent to anything, and its just idiotic. Get an IQ, get a life, and then get back to me.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | May 09, 2008 at 05:09 PM
Wow, you came back to prove my “obsessed bitter-ex” theory?
“Ready to eat your crow about Soto yet?”
…Hahaha!!! Ok, ok, ok ~ just because it really is beyond funny… Yeah, I sure do feel stupid for saying such outrageous stuff as “its more likely he sustains one of the two (the Power and Average increase) than both” and “I’ll wait to see sustained numbers before proclaiming him the best catcher in the NL”. I mean, I should just be shot and thrown in a pool of man eating sharks for such bold statements that have been proven so blatantly incorrect in 1.3 months of the season…
…Like I said, its really like the “obsessed bitter-ex” syndrome ~ endlessly argue or attack with no point, no relevance, little to no bases in fact or extremely exaggerated claims; all for an undistinguishable purpose which is important to you for reasons which can only come from psychological issues… Youre really doing everything you can to fit that mold, arent ya?
Posted by: darkstar1661 | May 09, 2008 at 05:35 PM
A third grader knows how to use quotes...yet you still haven't figured it out. You quote something, in this case yourself, when ITS SOMETHING YOU ACTUALLY SAID! You never said that, you are making a paraphrase that makes it sound like thats all you said, instead of the idiotic statements that you actually made. Go to school for a day in your life...hell, third grade probably, and you would know this stuff.
You mocked me for saying Soto could be a top 5 catcher in the NL...and right now, he is among the best in all of baseball. Get off your high horse you pathetic little pri*k. Go away. You are to cubs threads like a maggot is to sh*t. Shew.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | May 09, 2008 at 07:26 PM