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Considering A Tigers Fire Sale

The Tigers are ten games out in the AL Central, 10.5 out of the Wild Card.  Jon Heyman talks of fire sale speculation, but he doesn't know where they'd start.  Lynn Henning has ideas, though.  Let's discuss the trade candidates.

  • Magglio Ordonez, RF.  Henning thinks dealing him makes sense, since the Tigers have replacement options.  He earns $15MM this year and $18MM in '09 with possible expensive vesting options for '10 and '11.  He also has limited no-trade protection.  Brian Giles or Xavier Nady might be more sensible targets teams in need of right field help.
  • Ivan Rodriguez, C.  It appears that Rodriguez also has no-trade protection.  He's been reduced to a platoon and earns $13MM.
  • Edgar Renteria, SS.  Renteria has an $11MM club option for '09 with a $3MM buyout.  It appears that the Red Sox may be on the hook for the buyout though.  Renteria isn't hitting much and his defense is not rated highly.
  • Todd Jones, RP.  Teams will be wary of his 0.82 K/BB ratio.  He wouldn't bring much of a return.
  • Brandon Inge, 3B/C.  Unless the Tigers acquire a catcher have a free agent target in mind, they may want Inge around for '09.
  • Placido Polanco, 2B.  He's having a decent year and is signed through '09 at $4.6MM per year.  He may actually have some trade value.
  • Nate Robertson, SP.  Robertson earns $4.25MM in '08, $7MM in '09, and $10-11MM in '10.  He has a fairly respectable 2.2 K/BB despite his 5.88 ERA.  He has value, but a trade would mostly be a salary dump.
  • Kenny Rogers, SP.  He makes $8-10MM this year.  He's made all his starts but has not impressed.
  • After this exercise I can see what Heyman meant.  The Tigers' veterans don't have much trade value.


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Comments

Gotta think Omar would drool over the chance to add Magglio to the Mets.

I've heard a couple names from KC that are being shopped--Mark Grudzielanek and David DeJesus. I don't think Grudzy is all that interesting, but I could see a couple teams poking around for DeJesus. Cubs? Astros?

Omar would cease drooling (hopefully) when he realized that getting Magglio would cost F-Mart.

I'd MUCH prefer the Mets to have a firesale of their own, but that will never happen.

I fear another Kazmir/Zambrano deal because Omar knows he needs to do SOMETHING to turn this thing around. He likely won't be around when F-Mart is ready anyway, so he won't have a problem dealing him away.

Just a thought...

would it make any sense for the sox to bring renteria back to replace lugo? They are already paying a lot of his salary, why not have him in a sox uniform? His offensive numbers are better than lugo's, and his defense can't be any worse.

I know it doesn't make much sense since they have lowrie waiting in AAA. But its just an idea

Cards would love to bring Polanco back.

Wonder if Chris Duncan, Anthony Reyes and Adam Kennedy would do the trick? Cards might even throw in a bullpen arm if necessary...Parisi or Worrell?

No, the tigers don't want Adam Kennedy. He has negative trade value.

But Duncan and Reyes alone should be enough to get Polonco if the tigers are really serious about trading him.

No, the tigers don't want Adam Kennedy. He has negative trade value.

But Duncan and Reyes alone should be enough to get Polonco if the tigers are really serious about trading him.

How about Rentaria back to Atlanta? Put him at Short, Move Yunel Escobar to 2B and Kelly Johnson to LF. He was comfortable and enjoyed his time in Atlanta. Would put Rentaria back in a place he's comfortable and can preform and would be an answer to Atlanta's LF problem.

"His offensive numbers are better than lugo's, and his defense can't be any worse."

Stan, do you remember Rent-a-wreck's defense in Fenway. Having no one there might have been more beneficial. I remember a few distinctive plays where ionstead of throwing to first or home he threw to the ground two feet away. I really think Renteria is simply just a national league player and better with a less fanatical fanbase.

I'd be surprised if Mags was traded, but Rodriguez makes sense. I bet he'd move if he was asked. His leadership presense in a young club house (Marlins redux?) would be beneficial, might net the Tigers a nice pitching prospect.

No Dontrelle on the list? Humm…

Anyway, that Robertson contract (which was an obvious mistake) is going to be rather difficult to move considering it’s the going rate for a LgAvg-ish pitcher ~ a level Robertson has only reached once in his career. Not even sure if you can call him an innings eater since you are lucky if he lasts as many as 6 a game…

Detroit has won 3 of the past 4 so I don't think they should cash their chips in just yet. Maybe following the all-star break, if they're still not in reaching distance of the division, they can.

I'm gonna be honost, I'd rather see Detroit do a complete fire sale than just trade Maggs or Pudge.

By trading either, they're stating that they're playing long term. If that's the case, then there's no point to have guys like Kenny, Todd Jones, Renteria, etc, on your roster at all.

So here's how I'd rebuild the Tigers (as a self-admitted Tigers fan). It might big a bit long, but I'll continue.
-

Firstly, indentify who the team will be built around. On the offensive side of the ball, the obvious choice is Miguel Cabrera, but a veteran like Carlos Guillen and a youthful rally starter like Granderson would be ideal.

On the rubber, Verlander is the ace and the obvious choice to build the rotation around, despite the average year he's having. Keep Bonderman & Galaragga in the rotation in '09, and reluctantly accept the fact that Dontrelle is about as tradable as a bat boy.

So you're then left with Kenny Rogers and Nate Robertson. 2 lefties who can surely help you nab some sort of prospects. So now there's a temperary hole in the rotation which can be filled with Casey Fossum or even Zach Minor for the time being until a minor leaguer (Porcello?) earns a chance in the rotation. That would open up roster spots for Joel Zumaya and Fernando Rodney to re-enter the bullpen. Of course, Tigers might call them up far before they would start a fire sale.

Now, onto a tough one. Get Gary Sheffield healthy and trade him for anything and everything you can get. Even if you have to put the guy on marionette strings for games to make him look motional. Even if you must trade him outright for the best prospect offered to you. The guy offers nothing to Detroit long term.

Onto rebuilding the bullpen. Todd Jones is the first and only name to be traded. He hasn't blown a save all year (to be fair, he hasn't had a ton of save oppurtunities) and there has to be a team somewhere who wants him. What did Cleveland get for Bob Wickman? Is that a comparable value?

So now you build the bullpen around Rodney, Zumaya, and First-Round Pick Ryan Perry.

The new roster would give the Tigers payroll some breathing space and (if they're not wastefully trading the players away) some young studs to help the team for years to come.

Just some theoretical thoughts.

The Tigers aren't going to have a firesale!

Josh Banks, Michael Barrett and Brian Giles for Mags and cash

“What did Cleveland get for Bob Wickman? Is that a comparable value?”

Catching prospect Max Ramirez who was a good prospect but in Low-A at the time. They subsequently traded him straight-up last year for Kenny. Good comparable I imagine, low-minors high-upside guy (if you manage to find a taker)…

The biggest problem with dealing closers such as Jones or Wickman comes in the fact that they don’t pitch very well in setup. A closer routinely allowing 2-3 runners and letting a man cross the plate isnt a huge problem if it’s a 2 run lead. Same cant be said about a guy in the 8th… Limits the teams who would want such a player to only those who need a closer or the truly desperate for BP arms ~ making it unlikely that multiple teams bid…

Given Rogers is a FA after the season and Robertson has been disappointing, would the Tigers consider moving Zumaya into the rotation next season while signing one of the good FA closers that'll be available after this season like Francisco Rodriguez, Brad Lidge, Rafael Soriano etc.? Zumaya's not that far-removed from starting as he did so as recently as '05. That'd be an awesome 1-2 punch with both Verlander and Zumaya throwing 100+mph.

"No Dontrelle on the list? Humm…"

Dontrelle has negative value at this point. I don't even think they could do a salary dump on him to a team with a pitcher's park.

"Zumaya's not that far-removed from starting as he did so as recently as '05. That'd be an awesome 1-2 punch with both Verlander and Zumaya throwing 100+mph."

Actually, that might not be such a good thing. It is always good to have a mix of pitching styles so a team can't get comfortable over a series.

"Zumaya's not that far-removed from starting as he did so as recently as '05. That'd be an awesome 1-2 punch with both Verlander and Zumaya throwing 100+mph."

Throwing 100 MPH is rare as it is, maintaining it for more than 5 innings is even more rare. Zumaya may have started in AAA, but it doesn't look like he was ever really stretched beyond 5 innings, there's often a reason for that. I'm pretty sure all the scouting reports have said he should stick to set-up/closing. I think it's far more likely, even with recent injury woes, the Tigers see Zumaya as the closer next season.

Zumaya has openly stated that he never threw 100 until he was moved to the bullpen.

You've got to wonder if Dombrowski will be on the hot seat soon. The Yankees, Tigers, and Mets have the 3 highest payrolls in baseball, and none of them are doing very well. Interesting...

AnteaterPadre thanks for the good laugh of that trade of " Josh Banks, Michael Barrett and Brian Giles for Mags and cash"

themfightnwords, you forgot the Mariners as well. But I don't think Dombrowski is on the hot seat. Let's face it, everyone praised his offseason moves. Most people stated this could be one of the top offenses of the modern age. If anyone is on the hotseat, I'd say Leyland would get the axe before Dombrowski.

“But I don't think Dombrowski is on the hot seat. Let's face it, everyone praised his offseason moves.”

…Yes, but the contract extensions given out are looking atrocious for what those players are producing. Bringing back Pudge at that high of a cost was an obvious mistake ~ well, any person who knows (or can read a book on) sabermetrics would have told them that, and the system was gutted between the trades… Payroll went from middle of the pack to sky high, with commitments like you cant believe despite multiple holes about to open up and nothing in those minors to replace it with. Gotta be close to losing his job ~ the problem started last year, this year its been given new flashy neon signs…

Wasn't this article posted like 3-4 days ago? Anyone who thinks the Tigers are going to "Fire-Sale," or that Zumaya would even be considered for a starting role is absolutely drunk. They just took 2 of 4 to the Indians, and have already won 2 of 3 to the White Sox. They are showing signs of waking up, and in a division where nobody is breaking away the Tigers would be stupid to throw in the towel. Not too mention that Zumaya, Rodney, and their 100 mph throwing first round pick will all be in the pen come crunch time. With those circumstances, and the fact that there are roughly 100 games left, who would have a "Fire-Sale"?

One more thing, you should reference check salaries and such, considering they are wrong in the article, and I imagine that is a key part to any trade.

Tigers are not having a fire sale. Mike Illitch (Tigers owner) is 100% dedicated to win a World Series. I wouldn't be surprised to see the Tigers make moves to improve. The only Tigers that are both on the trading block and could get something of value in return are Raburn, Inge, Thames, Clevlen, and Renteria.

That being said, I'd love to see the offers for Maggs, if some kind of really good prospect were involved I'd take it in a heartbeat.

The sweep of the WhiteSox just decreased the chances of this happening by a ton.

"The sweep of the WhiteSox just decreased the chances of this happening by a ton."

I agree. Detroit is rolling at the moment. I think if there WILL be a firesale, it's coming in the off-season.

The last 25 games Detroit has been playing quite well!About the "Firesale" I'd say this "If my grandfather was my son, I'd be his great-grandfather".Its not broken so don't try to fix it.

The tigers have won 6 straight i think we can put out the fire now and say there is not going to be a fire sale.

you all are crazy, there is a reason we play 160+ games a year. the tigers are playing in a bad division this year and all our players will be backto normal in no time. 1st thing we need to do is get rid of gary sheffield(terrible) move inge to 3rd guillen to 1st and cabrera to lf or dh. thames could rotate with cabrera. or keep cabrera in lf anddo the unthinkable, which isn't as unthinkabl with sheff gone, but go out and get bonds. he's good for the year(no court) just have to work out the differences with andy vanslyke. as far as pitching we are getting good outings from young rooks. rodney has to go back down to the minors. fossom has to be released. as glad as i was to get rid of grilli i hate it now.

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