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Odds And Ends: Bradley, Rodriguez

Some links this Saturday morning; I'll add more to the list as the day's news progresses.

Alejandro A. Leal writes for UmpBump.com. Comments? Rumors? alexo05 (at) umpbump (dot) com


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If the Angels want to sign K-Rod, they should sign Teixeira instead.

agreed we still have Scot Shields and young Jose Arredondo waiting in the wings.

Yankees should sign Bradley to play RF/DH.

I hate to break this to K-Rod but he's not worth $15 million for 60 innings a year.

"Yankees should sign Bradley to play RF/DH."

That'd be a mistake.

For one thing, Milton Bradley would be run out of town by May with his attitude. He's too brittle to play the OF. The Yankees have too many DH types. Damon and Matsui can barely play the OF and it's unlikely Posada will be an effective catcher again.

Why would Bradley play RF since Nady has a good arm and can play RF.

the guy is gonna reach 60 saves this year and isnt even in his prime yet. if he doesnt get 15 mill that would be a steal for the team that signs him. k rod deserves the money. put this into perspective. roger clemens last year got 25 mill for half a season in which he wasnt any good. yanks and sox will make a huge push for him and look for a number closer to 18- 20 a year

Why would the sox and yanks make a push for Krod? That makes ZERO sense. Papelbon and Rivera are the closers which would make Krod a 18-20mm setup man?

Newsflash: K-Rod isn't anywhere near the super stud that everyone thinks he is.

As of a few days ago...

K-Rod - 54 saves, 2.43 ERA, 1.23 WHIP

Wagner - 27 saves, 2.30 ERA, 0.89 WHIP

Lidge - 33 saves, 2.18 ERA, 1.20 WHIP

Yay... he gets lots of save opportunities. What a worthless stat.

K-Rod is not worth more than a league average starter, who will give you 150+ innings.

stellar- You left off Soria, Rivera, Papelbon, and Nathan.

He's not setting up for anyone either, so the Sox and Yanks are out.

$15M per season for K-Rod? No way. Arredondo is coming up quick and I'd rather have him at closer next season. Shields is good set-up man so why even move him.

Moreno needs to concentrate on signing Teixeira instead cuz Kendry Morales isn't going to cut it. Add to that, trying to lure CC to Anaheim.

Just playing devil's advocate on the "60 innings isn't worth $15 mil/yr" thing...

Anyone familiar with the 80/20 principle? (Also called the law of the vital few and the trivial many?)

Well, basically, how important those innings are might matter more than how many there are. The 9th inning is, by definition, the inning where a game is won or lost. Also, from an empirical standpoint, look at the Yankees dynasty of 98-2001. They literally won and lost entire World Series based on how Rivera performed.

Not saying K-Rod is completely deserving of that money, but you could certainly make the case that he (or any lights-out closer) is.

they should concentrate on signing texeira more than k-rod. IMO k-rod will still be an angel next season and for many more to come.

The only reason K-Rod has got so many saves is cause early on the angels offense sucked and theyre pitching was great causing very close games giving K-Rod more opportunities to save the game. Rivera, Lidge, Papelbon, Nathan, Wagner(dont like him that much) are all better than Krod. Maybe there is a few others but i cant remeber.

I like Soria too.

K-Rod deserves the money because he has been consistent ever since he became the closer. At age 26 he already has 200 saves, Frankie knows that... he knows he's gonna break the single season saves record this year and he knows he's gonna break the all time saves rcord if he stays healthy.

The Angels have enough money to afford resigning Frankie, Tex, Oliver, Rivera, picking up Vlad's option, picking up Lackey's option and signing CC... If it's gonna happen? maybe... it could and it might.

Frankie: 55 SV 5 BLSV


Papelbon: 35 SV 4 BLSV
Nathan: 36 SV 6 BLSV
Wagner: 27 SV 7 BLSV
Rivera: 32 SV 1 BLSV
Lidge: 34 SV 0 BLSV
Soria: 34 SV 3 BLSV

health is always the main concern
jj putz might be in there, too
based on today'splay, we can eliminate both bj ryan aand troy percival!!

I think it's really tough to actually say that K-Rod should be the highest paid closer in baseball. Were talking about a guy with a pretty violent delivery whose shown a decline in velocity over the past couple seasons. You're gonna give him 4/60 for maybe 65-70 innings a year? I wouldn't. It's practically impossible to distinguish him from any of the top closers outside of saves, which are completely situational. The guy has had 60 save attempts already. His save total is impressive but not terribly special in any way.

Yes, K-Rod is a good closer, not the best one. Any team that gives him more then 4/40 will be in trouble. As Scribble said, his velocity is down and he seems to be walking a tightrope a lot of times. Doesnt seem like a wise investment.

"Were talking about a guy with a pretty violent delivery whose shown a decline in velocity over the past couple seasons."

The thing that has made Frankie different this year from any other is that he is throwing a nasty change to both lefties and righties. Yah his velocity has dropped 1 or 2 mph and we all assume it's because of his violent delivery, but in the past he never had a great change so he had to throw 95+ to confuse guys with his nasty slider. This year he understands that he doesn't have to throw 95+, he can get away with 93-94 located at the knees.

"I think it's really tough to actually say that K-Rod should be the highest paid closer in baseball."

We're talking about a guy with 200 career saves at age 26 whose on pace to break not only the single season save record this year, but a guy on pace to break the all time saves record by the time he's 40. Rivera never reached 200 saves until halfway through the 2001 season when he was 31 and now he's 38 with 475 career saves, only 275 ahead of Frankie. Hoffman (the alltime saves leader) didn't reach 200 until he was 30 either. Lee Smith didn't reach 200 until he was 31. He ended with 478. Frankie is on pace to shatter the record, so yes he is best closer in baseball and should be the highest paid!

An exert from the guys from Beyondtheboxscore

http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2008/9/4/607253/the-worst-season-of-franci

"Rodriguez has still been very good this year; but, save total aside, he has also been very lucky. His ability to throw strikes and his fastball velocity are both down. His slider is less tight than it used to be – it’s no longer getting the two-plane break that it was getting before, and it’s being thrown at a slower velocity. These are all very troublesome signs, and they’re coupled with a lower strikeout rate (and a still-high walk rate)."


Needless to say, KRod's overall stuff is down, either through wear and tear or other problems. Don't think teams are not seeing the same thing.

"Don't think teams are not seeing the same thing."

If Frankie was as bad this year as this link says he is then why is he not blowing saves on a daily basis? And don't say he is lucky...that's BS! Franky has made the pitches when he needs to and he has gotten guys out. Yes the walks have hurt him, I'm not gonna disagree there, and if it weren't for the walks Franky would only have blown 1 or 2 saves. I dont think he is having arm problems, he's never been on the DL for any arm issues, but earlier this year he was sidelined because of tender ankles, so maybe his body is not able to maintain with his delivery. However he has calmed the delivery down this year than it was in past years. The adjustment to a smoother delivery may be the cause for a loss in velocity, control and break on his slider, but he still has the nasty change so that pitch hasn't been effected.

Yeah he sure did tonight....


He might be getting saves, but he still isn't the best closer in baseball. You want to see dominance, look at Nathan's #'s in Minn, or Rivera or even Papelbon or Soria this year. He might be the best reliver on the market, but that still doesn't make him the best in baseball, nor make he expected to be paid as such.

Some team might make the mistake of over paying him, but ask Cinci how those types of deals work out.

2 things. Great article in ESPN or yahoo a couple of weeks ago that bashed this idea of KRod as MVP. Basically saying the fact he has over 50 saves is unimportant and the saves stats for closers is much like the wins stats for pitchers, meaningless. KRod, is actually not the most dominate closer if you count in stats besides number of saves. Point beng, the Angels have other alternatives that won't cost them 15M and should entertain them. It will also give them flexibility to sign power hitting Tex and the flexibility to trade Kendry Morales for missing pieces.

Secondly, I'm actually a little surprised the Rangers didn't make a serious attempt to trade Bradley for at least a top pitching prospect. Makes me think they're more likely to try to sin him themselves.

'You want to see dominance, look at Nathan's #'s in Minn, or Rivera or even Papelbon or Soria this year."

If you actually read all of the postings, I did so here they are:

Frankie: 54 SV 6 BLSV


Papelbon: 35 SV 4 BLSV
Nathan: 36 SV 6 BLSV
Wagner: 27 SV 7 BLSV
Rivera: 32 SV 1 BLSV
Lidge: 34 SV 0 BLSV
Soria: 34 SV 3 BLSV

I also posted:

We're talking about a guy with 200 career saves at age 26 whose on pace to break not only the single season save record this year, but a guy on pace to break the all time saves record by the time he's 40. Rivera never reached 200 saves until halfway through the 2001 season when he was 31 and now he's 38 with 475 career saves, only 275 ahead of Frankie. Hoffman (the alltime saves leader) didn't reach 200 until he was 30 either. Lee Smith didn't reach 200 until he was 31. He ended with 478. Frankie is on pace to shatter the record, so yes he is best closer in baseball and should be the highest paid!

"Basically saying the fact he has over 50 saves is unimportant and the saves stats for closers is much like the wins stats for pitchers, meaningless."

How can you say the saves stat is meaningless?... That's the stupidest thing I've ever heard... That's the whole point of a closer. A closer is the teams' best reliever who comes into the game in either the 8th or 9th inning to "close" out the game, in other words to "save" the game and get the win for the team! They're not in there to focus on getting a 1.00 ERA or get 13 K/9 innings, they're in there to get the SAVE and end the game... THAT'S THE POINT OF A CLOSER AND THE MOST IMPORTANT STAT BECAUSE THAT'S WHAT THEY'RE SUPPOSED TO DO. THAT'S WHAT FRANKIE DOES CONSISTENTLY... HE DOES HIS JOB. I didn't know I would have to spell it out for you, I thought you knew the game of baseball enough to understand the job of a "closer", but I guess I was wrong.

A save is sub-optimal because it doesn't take into account leverage. If the Angels have a one run lead over the White Sox in the 8th inning and the White Sox have the bases loaded with with nobody out, that situation is far more important than the 9th inning where the White Sox are down a run and have nobody on.

K-Rod comes on to "save" the game, but the reality is that he didn't "save" anything. The two outs in the eighth inning were far more critical to the Angels winning than the three outs in the ninth. By the time the game got to the 9th inning, the game's result wasn't in nearly as much doubt as it was in the 8th.

It would be great to have a leverage stat that closers could point to because these days they only care about racking up saves, which limits a manager's ability to use his best reliever in high-leverage, late-game situations.

If that was the case and the Angels felt they needed Frankie to pitch in the 8th to get out of the jam then they would bring him in, however the Angels only use Frankie for 1 inning to keep him from burning out... The Yanks and Bosox would bring Rivera and Papelbon in to get out of those type of jams and have them pitch 2 innings. The Angels don't need to do that because they have strong set-up men wheras the Yanks and Bosox have difficulties getting the ball to Rivera and Pap.

If the Angels were to get out of that type of jam maintaining the 1 run lead then Frankie would come in into the 9th and "save" the game holding onto the lead. It may not be as difficult as getting out of a bases loaded jam, but it still is hard because the other team is still in striking distance... even a 2 or 3 run lead is difficult because a few baserunners reaching on bloops , errors, etc. would bring the tying run to the plate. The final 3 outs are always the hardest to get, whether it's little league baseball (as we saw in the LLWS) or in proffesional baseball... that's why saves are such an important stat!

Ok, Angels fan, first off. You have no footing in any argument involving the angels considering you're not objective.

As for stats being a meaningless stat, how is it any dumber than saying a win is a meaningless stat. If a starter wins 20 games, we'll be impressed but it could happen if a team is a winning team and under the right conditions. You can bring a closer in the 9th up by 3 run and they'll get a save. Can you really tell me those 3 outs are more important than up 3 runs and your opponent has bases loaded? The most important out in the game is when a team is in immediate striking distance, not speculative.

KRod has not pitched a game this year where he pitched more than 1 inning. In fact he hasn't since August of 2007. Whereas closers like Paps, Rivera, Nathan, etc have done it multiple times. Point being, he's brought in a game during conventional save situations, not reality save situations. Beau is correct and you're splitting hairs. Your argument is the closer is the best reliever but you're also implying strong set up men can negate their purpose.

Once again. Other stats show despite making a run at the single season save record, his STATS ARE NOT AS DOMINATE PARTICULARLY HIS WHIP, WALK RATE AND OPPONENT BATTING AVERAGE (see, I can use caps too, they look annoying, don't you agree). My point being, at least the original point I wanted to make before you decided to go nuts and prove you'll make an argument in favor of the Angels for any goddamn reason is this: The Angels have better things to spend 15M on. Let some other sucker waste that much money on a guy who'll only throw 70 innings.

"Your argument is the closer is the best reliever but you're also implying strong set up men can negate their purpose."

THE CLOSER IS THE BEST RELIEVER ON A TEAM, AND THE SET-UP MEN GET THE BALL TO THE CLOSER... I NEVER SAID SET-UP MEN NEGATE THEIR PURPOSE, I WAS SAYING THAT SCIOSCIA USES FRANKIE DIFFERENTLY THAN ANY OTHER MANAGER USES THEIR CLOSER (SO STOP POSTING FALSE STATEMENTS). FRANKIE PITCHES ONLY 1 INNING PER OUTING, THAT WAS MY POINT... YOU SUPPORTED MY POINT EXACTLY.

"You can bring a closer in the 9th up by 3 run and they'll get a save."

YES YOU CAN BRING IN THE CLOSER WITH A 3 RUN LEAD, HOWEVER THAT HAS BEEN A RARE CASE WITH FRANKIE THIS YEAR... THE ANGELS HAVE PLAYED VERY CLOSE GAMES THE MAJORITY OF THE YEAR SO FRANKIE HAS BEEN COMING IN WITH ONLY 1 RUN LEADS AND GETTING THE SAVES. THERE HASN'T BEEN EXTRA RUNS FOR FRANKIE TO PITCH WITH.

"...his STATS ARE NOT AS DOMINATE PARTICULARLY HIS WHIP, WALK RATE AND OPPONENT BATTING AVERAGE..."

RELIEVERS (AND CLOSERS) ARE NOT ALWAYS PERFECT, SO HOW MANY OF THOSE HITS, RUNS AND WALKS CAME IN POOR OUTINGS?... A LOT OF THEM! OR HOW MANY OF THOSE CAME EARLIER IN THE YEAR WHEN HE WAS PITCHING WITH TENDER ANKLES? A LOT OF THEM! YES HE DOES WALK QUITE A FEW BATTERS BUT AS LONG AS FRANKIE IS SAVING GAMES AND NOT BLOWING THEM ON A REGULAR BASIS, I DON'T CARE!

"...you'll make an argument in favor of the Angels for any goddamn reason..."

I WILL DEFEND MY FAV TEAM AND I WILL DEFEND MY TEAM'S CLOSER! I'M TIRED OF EVERYONE BEING ON THE FRANKIE-HATER BANDWAGON, HE IS A GREAT CLOSER. PERIOD.

"Let some other sucker waste that much money on a guy who'll only throw 70 innings."

WHAT?, DO YOU WANT HIM TO THROW 200 INNINGS, IS THAT IT? HE IS A CLOSER, 70 INNINGS FROM A CLOSER IS GREAT... ESPECIALLY IF HE IS SAVING GAMES ON A REGULAR BASIS LIKE FRANKIE HAS DONE!

HERE'S A STAT FOR YOU:

55/61

FRANKIE HAS 55 SAVES THIS YEAR AND HAS 61 TOTAL SAVE OPPORTUNITIES. THAT'S 90%!

First of all I said you implied. Implying something doesn't mean one said something, get a dictionary.

Second, the point of me calling the caps annoying was simply that... calling them annoying.

Third, again, his stats besides the number of saves are less than impressive.

Fourth, I don't hate KRod, I think he's a good closer, just not the end all be all of closers. I think spending 15M on a closer is a waste. And yes, I'd spend 15M on a pitcher who throws 200 innings rather than a closer, of course they have to be quality.

Fifth, you never answered my hypothetical.

Final, you're not defending your team... you're blindly attacking. And people say I'm bad because I'm a Red Sox fan... at least I argue rationally.

I never "implied" that setup men negate their purpose!

"And yes, I'd spend 15M on a pitcher who throws 200 innings rather than a closer, of course they have to be quality."

Yah I'd spend 15 mil on CC, but wer're not talking about CC, we're taliking about Frankie so maybe you should stay on task!

"Final, you're not defending your team... you're blindly attacking."

I'm not blindly attacking, I'm not attacking anyone, you're attacking Frankie and I'm defending him... everything I said about him is true.

Outside of his saves, this has been one of K-Rod's worst seasons. Every metric that is within his control has declined, except for his save total.

There's no doubt that closers are important in certain situations, but K-Rod right now has posted less-than-stellar numbers and I think anybody willing to take him on at 15 million per season is taking on a huge risk.

As for the save, I don't see how you can argue it's a less-than-useful stat. It often rewards players for doing something meaningless -- getting three outs at the end of a game. Again, a leverage-based stat would be great, but probably will never happen.

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