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According to Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports, the Padres intend to explore a possible Jake Peavy trade with the Cubs and Dodgers at next week's GM meetings. Apparently Padres GM Kevin Towers would like to exhaust his possibilities with Peavy's five preferred NL clubs before engaging others.
Rosenthal notes that the Cubs do not have the quality young pitching the Padres crave. They still have interest in Peavy, especially if they fail to re-sign Ryan Dempster.
The Dodgers aren't keen on giving up Clayton Kershaw or James McDonald. Rosenthal believes the Dodgers have enough in-house pitching depth to buy out Brad Penny's 2009 option.
If Towers moves on to negotiate with the Yankees, Peavy will complicate matters by demanding his contract be supplemented.
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if the dodgers can pull of a deal that doesnt include:
bills/kershaw/mcdonald/eith/kemp/dewitt/martin/loney/brox....id say do it. maybe throw a package with dejesus/lambo/withrow as the main parts. Chris Withrow is the right handed version of kershaw.
Posted by: phrozendouja | October 31, 2008 at 09:01 AM
"bills/kershaw/mcdonald/eith/kemp/dewitt/martin/loney/brox."
That won't happen. Dodgers are intradivision, and thus it will cost more. And, you have to give up value to get value anyways.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 31, 2008 at 09:05 AM
I doubt McDonald or Martin are going anywhere, since Dodgers are not going to trade either. Cubs don't have the "players" that Towers wants. So, that leaves Braves, and they aren't giving up top prospects. So, I think Peavy will be a Padre at Opening Day 2009.
Posted by: BravesRed | October 31, 2008 at 09:06 AM
Yeah, I'm thinking either:
1. He is a Padres next year
2. The Braves agree to give up Hanson
3. He falls in the Cubs lap, which I doubt will happen, but thats a serious advantage.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 31, 2008 at 09:08 AM
is it possible that towers bites the bullet and settles for avg get with the dodgers. i mean i would love for one of two to happen:
a)peavys a dodger
b)peavy is in the AL(he kills the dodgers and i would like to not face him about 4+ times in a season)
Posted by: phrozendouja | October 31, 2008 at 09:11 AM
The Cubs just do not have the talent in their minor leagues to acquire Peavy. Pie is no longer a top rated prospect. I don't not see Samardzija being sent to Sand Diego.
Veal, Marshall, Cedeno, Castillo, Pie for Peavy? I doubt that is enough.
Veal and Marshall would solidify SD's back end of the rotation. Castillo is projected as being a solid catcher, which is a position SD has struggled with over the past few seasons. And Pie, who is not the top prospect everyone was hoping for, still would give SD a young,athletic outfielder to cover their spacious park. And Cedeno would allow SD to move Greene and get even more prospects.
but still, Peavy is one of the best pitchers in baseball, it would probably take more MLB ready talent of a higher caliber to get him.
Posted by: Ignignokt1 | October 31, 2008 at 09:12 AM
The only way Cubs get Peavy is if they do a 3-way trade. But i have no clue with who. Any thoughts?
Posted by: ChiCubs12 | October 31, 2008 at 09:19 AM
If any Peavy trade to the Cubs were to happen, a 3 way deal makes the most sense. Still, a lot of things would have to line up even for that scenerio. Just the thought of Peavy in a Cub uniform is great. But I will hold off the excitement and not believe this rumor yet. All they are doing is exploring possibilities. The stars and moon would have to line up on this this one.
Posted by: studio179 | October 31, 2008 at 09:27 AM
"I don't not see Samardzija being sent to Sand Diego."
He has a NTC, something that it took to get him to quit football. He isn't moving.
I'm not sure if they have enough either...and I just don't see how it could happen...but who knows.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 31, 2008 at 09:28 AM
I think Peavy may be damaged goods. It sure seems strange the Padres are trading him with such a reasonable contract.
Posted by: Big Mac | October 31, 2008 at 09:30 AM
Any way the Rangers get involved with their catching surplus? Just throwing out the idea of a Padres-Cubs-Rangers swap. No idea if they're compatible trade partners or not.
Posted by: O's in '13 | October 31, 2008 at 09:32 AM
"I think Peavy may be damaged goods. It sure seems strange the Padres are trading him with such a reasonable contract."
San Diego is trying to cutdown payroll. Even though his contract is reasonable they are still trying to cut it down by I think 40% or something like that. Also Peavy wants to be traded to a contender. He doesn't want to be a part of the rebuilding process out in San Diego.
Posted by: ChiCubs12 | October 31, 2008 at 09:35 AM
Big Mac - Padres are cutting payroll...Peavy has a very affordable contract but if the pads can get 2 young SP and a CF which will only cost them 400K a year and dump $11M and not have to pickup Giles option then they will do it.
Posted by: Steve | October 31, 2008 at 09:37 AM
i wonder wether the red sox are gonna have a look at penny, he could be another "rebuilding project" like colon if they can get him cheap
Posted by: loeres | October 31, 2008 at 09:38 AM
The rangers would have to like something the Cubs have...and be willing to give up a high upside pitching prospect as well as one of thier young catchers. Any ideas?
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 31, 2008 at 09:39 AM
If thats the case, I feel sorry for the Padre fans. Peavy's a stud and would be a great pick up for any team if he's healthy. I wonder if Peavy will ask for his contract to be re-structured by the team that takes him?
Posted by: Big Mac | October 31, 2008 at 09:40 AM
I do think Marshall could put up some very good numbers in PETCO...
Obviously, if it were a two team trade, I think it would be Pie/Marshall/Castillo/Cedeno or Thomas maybe? I just can't see that being enough...so I agree with everyone else, they have to involve a third team here if the Cubs want to make this happen.
Any other offseason, I'd say they should absolutely do this. But if they are going after Peavy, don't they have to choose between him and Dempster?
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 31, 2008 at 09:42 AM
i've said before that i don't think the cubs have what it takes to get him, and i still believe that. however, doesn't this sound like the padres are almost desperate to unload him? i know towers was absolutely disgusted with how the season went, and the owner's divorce, whether they admit it publicly or not, is likely going to affect payroll. if that is true, and obviously i'm speculating, does that mean that the padres settle for something less than what they could get? i think the twins overplayed their hand a bit with santana, are the padres in danger of doing the same thing? still, who knows if the braves are just posturing right now. but, i don't think they are. and, trading him to the dodgers obviously ups the price tag with the whole "in the division" thing. the dodgers probably feel they can just spend the money on sabathia/lowe/sheets etc. instead of draining the farm system. the dodgers do have a track record for holding onto their young players instead of trading them, don't they? peavy's NTC is kind of holding them for ransom, and if they're dead set on trading him, then maybe it's doable. i still doubt it, but i'm still salivating about the possibility. that's a great rotation:
peavy
z
lilly
harden
marquis
i think they lose dempster should they get peavy and maybe wood as well, though i really have a hard time believing wood goes elsewhere.
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | October 31, 2008 at 09:43 AM
The Red Sox may be a good team for the Cubs to get involved, they have the prospects that the Padres want and with Lowell leaving they can move Youkilis to 3rd and will be looking for a new 1B.
Posted by: Steve | October 31, 2008 at 09:44 AM
If it going to happen I hope they can have both. Dempster may not have another career year but he is a great guy in the club house and eases everybody around him. Then you have Peavy who is easily one of the best pitches in baseball. But once again, Cub Fans, we shouldn't get our hopes up.
Posted by: ChiCubs12 | October 31, 2008 at 09:47 AM
Unless the Cubs do something like a 6 0r 7 player deal it seems hard to believe they could get a deal done. Of top prospects they only have one Vitters and he is not a sure thing and at least 3 years away. Even if they added Veal, Marshall and Hart none of those guys have really proven to be starters much less frontline guys in the majors. And while Pie still has potential you don't know if he will ever pull it together. I think the only way this gets done is if they do a 5 man deal Theriot, Samardzija, Vitters, Pie and one pitcher between Ceda, Veal and Marshall. Its still not a great deal b/c there is no definitive starting pitcher, but it does have some ML talent. I don't think Cedeno has really any value left he is nothing more than a utility guy and not a good one at that. Castillo maybe a good catcher but he's not among the elite catching pospects in the game. I think there is a very good chance that Castillo is only a capable backup in this league so I don't consider him as much of a trade chip.
Posted by: Steveo26 | October 31, 2008 at 09:52 AM
100backeduptrucks-until recently the dodgers didnt have really a track record of holding onto their prized prospects. but i do think the dodgers will benefit from towers desperate unloading seeing as he wants to explore clubs outside peavys preference. my thinking is that if towers wasnt desperate, then he would stand pat with the 5 teams peavy picked and if nothing came up then he would be fine but i think peavy will be outta san diego. atlanta wont pony up and at the last moment SD will take the best offer they can get and the dodgers will get him.
Posted by: phrozendouja | October 31, 2008 at 09:53 AM
"The rangers would have to like something the Cubs have...and be willing to give up a high upside pitching prospect as well as one of thier young catchers. Any ideas?"
Outside of Big-Z what do the cubs have that the Rangers want. They are stacked with young major/minor league talent at every offensive posistion. This team can lose Bradley and not miss a beat offensivly. Everyone on the Cubs is to old/expensive for the Rangers to want (except for Soto but the Rangers have the best catching depth in the majors). So I really don't see any possible deal in the works.
Also yeah Penny is coming off a disappointing injury but he's not gonna sign for a minor league deal like Colon did. He may be a bit cheaper but you won't get him for free.
Posted by: Steveo26 | October 31, 2008 at 09:59 AM
SD wants young pitching but if they truly are desperate to deal Peavy it's conceivable that they would settle for a top young hitting prospect whom they could turn into young pitching. Vitters, if he's included in the deal, would go a long way toward filling in the gaps. It's not idea for SD but they do need hitting.
More likely Vitters would have to be moved to a third team to bring back the pitching that SD wants. Marshall is a descent young pitcher but he's not going to get it done. And saying that Marshall would put up good numbers in Petco isn't really saying much, almost any pitcher is going to put up good numbers in Petco. It's not really a compliment. I could probably keep my era under 6.00 there.
Posted by: pageian | October 31, 2008 at 10:04 AM
I don't think the Cubs have the bullets but maybe Kevin Towers gets drunk at the hotel bar....? Regardless, it'll be good for him and Hendry to begin conversations that could eventually lead to other fits, such as Brian Giles. I realize now he has 10/5 NTC, but this is his last year in SD anyways and his veto of the Boston trade last year may have had more to do with not going to Boston (for whatever reason they were on his specific 8 team NTC list) than him not wanting to leave SD.
Posted by: Teetz | October 31, 2008 at 10:07 AM
Peavy would NEVER agree to a trade to Texas, end of story.
Posted by: kinsler5 | October 31, 2008 at 10:08 AM
I dont think the Dodgers would want to give up too much young talent for Peavy. If they package their youngsters, it would be in a package for Matt Holliday.
Posted by: Big Mac | October 31, 2008 at 10:12 AM
Of course the Yanks have to get a mention. What about not wanting to pitch in the AL do you people not understand??? Seriously, the guy wants to pitch in the NL, I know it is difficult to comprehend, but it is a fact. And who cares who the Cubs get, they're the Cubs, they will fail anyway.
Posted by: njbraves | October 31, 2008 at 10:12 AM
Hendry just signed an extension so he's not going to move Vitters, nor should he have to. The Mets got Johan without giving up a top prospect (Carlos Gomez is not good at baseball) in a similar situation. The Brewers had to give up LaPorta to get CC, but CC also came with draft picks.
I'm not saying anything stupid like Marshall, Veal, Pie for Peavy...but I am saying Vitters for Peavy is way too much compared to what other teams will probably be offering.
Posted by: Teetz | October 31, 2008 at 10:13 AM
phroz-fair enough about the dodgers, but i was thinking about how loney, ethier, kemp, kershaw, billingsley were always untouchable and that has obviously turned out well for them. at the same time, however, colletti has had some serious FA signings be busts (pierre, jones, schmidt) and maybe he doesn't want to spend big money again with someone like sabathia. i could see it going either way. i agree though that towers is desperate and will unload him for the best he can get, i just have my doubts that the dodgers will part with their young players. but, what do i know?
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | October 31, 2008 at 10:16 AM
"I do think Marshall could put up some very good numbers in PETCO..."
I think so, too.
"i think they lose dempster should they get peavy and maybe wood as well, though i really have a hard time believing wood goes elsewhere."
I really don't think they loose Wood. Just a hunch I have and an interview I heard. Yeah, Dempster is too expensive with Peavy. They have to keep the budget. That would be nice though.
"I dont think the Dodgers would want to give up too much young talent for Peavy."
If the Dodgers were to get Peavy, they would have to give up more than other clubs (not that Peavy is going to be cheap for anyone) because Towers really does not want him to go there. Plus, like you say, I'm guessing Colletti does not unload for him.
Posted by: studio179 | October 31, 2008 at 10:18 AM
njbraves,
Have you ever thought that Towers can contact Cushman, and they can get one of the five teams to make it a three team trade?
Posted by: BravesRed | October 31, 2008 at 10:20 AM
Bob Sugar contacted Cushman and stole him away from Jerry Maguire....now Kevin Towers is trying to take him away from Sugar? Oh boy.
Posted by: Teetz | October 31, 2008 at 10:24 AM
^ hilarious
Posted by: Land-Man | October 31, 2008 at 10:30 AM
Teetz,
Remember, Santana was a free agent and had zero shot of resigning. Peavy is signed long term, to a very friendly contract, albeit.
Think Haren/Bedard, not Santana.
The most likely scenario has Jake Peavy and Khalil Greene headed to Atlanta for Tommy Hanson, Yunel Escobar and Jair Jurrjens.
Posted by: usctrojans31 | October 31, 2008 at 10:31 AM
100trucks-your right what do you know? what do i know? this is all speculation. at the end of the day i feel like this could turn into a mannyesque trade in which the dodgers dont really sell the farm in getting peavy. i mean they didnt give up anything to get manny. (granted that the pirates were involved in getting bay to the sox) also i think anyone "untouchable" that the dodgers send to the padres would be due for a huge raise in arbitration; thus raising payroll in SD which is something they are trying to shed
Posted by: phrozendouja | October 31, 2008 at 10:34 AM
Cushman?? 3-team trade where the Yanks get Peavy?? If so, you're lost.
Posted by: njbraves | October 31, 2008 at 10:37 AM
usc trojans, Seriously? JJ, Hanson, and Escobar?? Great idea, I'm sure Frank Wren will jump all over that proposal, you should see if you can contact him directly, there might be a future job in MLB for a mind like yours.
Posted by: njbraves | October 31, 2008 at 10:39 AM
usctrojans, seriously?? JJ, Hanson, and Escobar. Brilliant. Call Frank Wren immediately, best idea I've heard yet. There's a future in a MLB front office for a mind like yours.
Posted by: njbraves | October 31, 2008 at 10:42 AM
usctrojans,
Impossible, since Wren already said that Hanson and Jurrjens aren't going anywhere.
njbraves,
Do you have an IQ of like a 4 year old? Because, you can't read.
Posted by: BravesRed | October 31, 2008 at 10:46 AM
please completely disregard trojans comment, total lunacy...the only guy who even remotely has a chance of being in that deal is escobar, no writer has even speculated that jurrjens will be in the deal. i don't know where you made that up from. wren said hanson is off limits, the most likely deal would be escobar, schaefer, plus two other prospects.
Posted by: ibttw23 | October 31, 2008 at 10:47 AM
The Padres aren't going to trade Peavy in the same division and not get a top prospect. If Peavy goes to the Dodgers and Colletti doesn't have to give up any young studs, Towers loses some respect in my book.
Posted by: Dave | October 31, 2008 at 10:51 AM
Does anyone maybe think that these are the other two teams that will be doing the three team trading?... i do like the idea of the Cubs and Padres talking... Giles' numbers would look awfully good at Wrigley
Posted by: BlueCatuli | October 31, 2008 at 10:51 AM
not every deal is consumated with top prospects. it is incumbant on the team dealng the top talen to have a great scouting department to where they can say to the team receiving the top talent, keep your jurjjens and hanson. we dont want them. we want these 4 guys. yeah, they are only in A ball, but our scouting dept feels they will be better players than any other "top notch" talent you are offering. sometimes this works, sometimes it doesn't, but you have to trust your scouts. do you know how many teams had the opportunity to get soto away from the cubs but they never accepted the deal? now padres fans are saying any deal for peavy would require soto to be in it. it all starts with scouting.
Posted by: integr96 | October 31, 2008 at 10:51 AM
i posted this on the peavy thread from 1 week ago. it bears looking at again.
option 1: padres trade peavy and land an enormous haul.
option2: peavy stays with team and padres trade him in july for an enormous haul.
option3: peavy stays with team and padres try to trade him in july only to find out he will not wave his no trade clause and padres have to pay him all year and try to trade him next winter.
option4: peavy is traded to a team on his list for less than an enormous haul because peavy says trade me now or never. either way i still get paid.
option5: towers tells ownership it is better to trade and get a decent haul then have him get injured and have to pay him his 2009 salary, his salary for 2010 and 2011 so he can recover and rebuild his trade value.
option 6: peavy stays with team throughout his contract without getting injured and everyone is happy they had him stay.
Posted by: integr96 | October 31, 2008 at 10:55 AM
Would the Padres listen to a package of; Felix Pie, Sean Marshall, Rich Hill, Kevin Hart, and Ronnie Cedeno?
Posted by: GOCATS2 | October 31, 2008 at 10:59 AM
Okay people i am tired of hearing people say the cubs dont have what it takes to get Peavy BUT again and again we hear the Cubs are in trade talks for Peavy. I really think this will be a 3-team trade
Posted by: cubs land | October 31, 2008 at 11:03 AM
I think that its overblown looking at it like the have to trade him. Towers is doing his job by exploring whats best for the club. If the front office believes that we have to rebuild in order to contented in the near future, Peavy has said he doesnt want to be part of the rebuilding process. And no one has come out and said the Padres are rebuilding, so why would Kevin Towers get desperate. Peavy either stays or the Padres get close to what they want. Two possible frontline SP and a middle infielder.
And the Cubs might be able to pull it off, if they can come up with another good arm, not a back of the rotation type, SD has plenty of those in Geer/Leblanc/Banks/Reineke and others in AA that project mid to back of the rotation Imman/Buschmann/Garrison/Faris, so in other words we have 8 arms for three spots. But we lack anyone close that projects to top of the rotation. In fact Latos, is the only one with that rank and he is about 3 years away.
Posted by: AirmanSD | October 31, 2008 at 11:08 AM
"The most likely scenario has Jake Peavy and Khalil Greene headed to Atlanta for Tommy Hanson, Yunel Escobar and Jair Jurrjens."
by most likely, did you mean least likely???
"And who cares who the Cubs get, they're the Cubs, they will fail anyway."
Again, maturity isn't your strong suit, is it? Nice...
I do think Vitters goes a long way in getting this done...but it makes me cringe to think of giving up the guy that is pretty much the only gem in the Cubs system right now. You HAVE to think that Vitters, Pie, and their pick of Marshall/Gaudin/Ceda/Veal gets this done.
When you think about it, we lose 3 of our 5 SP in the next two years, Marquis and Harden after next year, and Lilly the year after that.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 31, 2008 at 11:10 AM
If the Cubs need a 3-way trade to get Peavy, the Astros have a better chance at getting a 3-way trade done. We have better MLB commodities we can trade for prospects that can go to San Diego--Valverde! Also, Pence is a much better player than Pie.
Plus, Houston is Peavy's first choice.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 31, 2008 at 11:14 AM
Yes i agree with Aduncaroo, next year we will have TWO pitchers under contract and i think this is a good idea to get a Peavy, but it will suck trading the people for him. Jim is in a tight position, but he will make the right choice.
Posted by: cubs land | October 31, 2008 at 11:22 AM
mistyck-if you were to trade valverde and pence, who takes over those positions? do you really want to trade the closer that had such a grat year for your team just to take on a starter? and pence is too good of a young talent to be willing to trade him. somehow the astros are a really good team. i wouldnt be surprised if they could compete next year without him if they go out and get a FA starting pitcher or two.
Posted by: integr96 | October 31, 2008 at 11:27 AM
"Would the Padres listen to a package of; Felix Pie, Sean Marshall, Rich Hill, Kevin Hart, and Ronnie Cedeno?"
Please stop bringing up Rich Hill in trade proposals. What good would Hill do for the Padres? Although a new place would be good for him, Hill has no trade value. Hill isn't going to get us anything. He is going to have a strong comeback in order to even have a little value.
Posted by: ChiCubs12 | October 31, 2008 at 11:28 AM
Zambrano
Harden
Peavy
Lilly
Samardjizza?
that's dirty.
Posted by: stetzach24 | October 31, 2008 at 11:31 AM
Vitters would be a nice player, and if he players SS it would be better. But remember the Padres have said their biggest needs are SP and SS/2B. Plus they dont want service time if at all possible, meaning prospects. I would like to see a deal with the cubs for another player in Giles but thats a whole different discussion.
Posted by: AirmanSD | October 31, 2008 at 11:32 AM
"Vitters, Pie, and their pick of Marshall/Gaudin/Ceda/Veal gets this done."
No it won't the one place the Padres have good depth is 3B so Vitters would be of little interest to the Padres. Its hard to sell anyone that Pie is still a top prospect and the Padres want 2 ML ready pitchers in the deal.
Posted by: Steve | October 31, 2008 at 11:32 AM
if you have 3 aces going for you (Z, Harden, PV) ,there is less pressure on the offense to score runs (as long as Soriano bats 6th :) )
Posted by: stetzach24 | October 31, 2008 at 11:35 AM
Pence can be replaced by either getting a FA like Hairston or Burrell or internal options of either Bogusevic or moving Wigginton to RF. Bogusevic is projected to be better than Pence. Just take a look at his AFL numbers. Valverde can be replaced by Hawkins, Gervacio, Paulino or Nieve.
The Astros will probably add another FA pitcher like Hampton, but they aren't going to compete for Sabathia, Sheets, Burnett or Lowe.
Another wildcard in all of this is the owner Drayton McLane loves Roy Oswalt and will do near anything to keep him happy and that includes trading Valverde and Pence for Peavy.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 31, 2008 at 11:35 AM
the padres can want all the mlb ready pitcers they want. it doesnt mean somone is going to offer them. other teams will tell the padres they can keep peavy. this might make padres fans happy. we want top prospects or you cant have peavy. but management might say ok, 1 ml ready pitcher is good enough along with a few other pieces.
Posted by: integr96 | October 31, 2008 at 11:36 AM
Also, if the Padres are looking for a 2B/SS, Drew Sutton fits that bill.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 31, 2008 at 11:37 AM
thanks for the info mistyck. i will look those players up.
Posted by: integr96 | October 31, 2008 at 11:37 AM
Vitters would be a good prospect for the Padres to trade for their young SP that they are looking for. I think that is what Aduncaroo was getting at.
Posted by: ChiCubs12 | October 31, 2008 at 11:39 AM
Even with the depth, I think that gets it done...maybe include two of the pitchers at the end if they want. It doesn't really matter, because I don't think the Cubs would do it anyway.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 31, 2008 at 11:40 AM
""Vitters, Pie, and their pick of Marshall/Gaudin/Ceda/Veal gets this done."
That could be the base of a deal , but it wouldn't get it done. If the Cubs would include Vitters, Ceda, Pie/Colvin, Veal and one of Marshall, Guzman and Gaudin, then the Padres would probably go that deal. And honestly, if I were the Cubs I would probably consider it.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 31, 2008 at 11:41 AM
Vitters could either be traded by the Pads to get the SP prospect that they want, or he could be what goes to the third team to get them the prospects. Either way, like I said, I don't think the Cubs are going to give him up, even for Peavy.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 31, 2008 at 11:41 AM
integr:
If the Astros trade for Peavy, our guys going to San Diego will probably be Pence, Sutton, Bud Norris and either Wandy Rodriguez or Felipe Paulino. Plus prospects gotten for Valverde.
Bogusevic, Sutton and Norris are playing in the AFL right now.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 31, 2008 at 11:42 AM
If any of the NL contenders (Phillies, Mets, Dodgers, Astros) get Peavy, they'd have to be the pre-season favorites to win the pennant.
Posted by: surfacetear | October 31, 2008 at 11:44 AM
how far away is Vitters from the big leagues? would the Twins be interested? they have good young pitchers they could throw in a 3-way.
Posted by: GeneralManager | October 31, 2008 at 11:53 AM
Don't expect the Cubs to take on any significant payroll this offseason. The group that brought Tribune/Cubs assumed a bussload of debt, and that is why they are trying to spinoff Cubs & Wrigley. Cuban or whoever buys the team would probably expect a freeze (if not salary reduction) until sale takes place..
Posted by: abcrazy4dodgers | October 31, 2008 at 11:54 AM
Hey Mistyck,
I say you should totally do that trade. Put Hawkins in the closer role and put Wiggington in RF. I only say that though because the Cubs would love that sad sack Hawkins as your closer, because we know he has no stones when it comes to the 9th inning, and I would love for Cub killer Pence to go away.
Posted by: erkman12 | October 31, 2008 at 12:01 PM
No wat Atlanta trades JJ. They do seem to want to dump Escobar, I hear, which apparently has more to do with his attitude than his performance.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | October 31, 2008 at 12:04 PM
And would you guys quit with the Cuban stuff? He's not going to buy the Cubs everyone. He was a pawn introduced by Zell to up the price. And he's happily playing along so that when he gets the chance to buy his hometown Pirates, he'll be in better favor with the MLB head honchos.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | October 31, 2008 at 12:07 PM
I posted this under the last Cubs Thread but it seams more appropriate here:
After reading Phil Rogers make the claim that the Cubs are trying to make a deal for Peavy & Adrian Gonzalez I first laughed along with reading all the criticism, but then started thinking if there was anyway possible to pull off the trade... this is what I came up with:(I know this is far fetched but figured worth speculating) Cubs trade Derrek Lee to the Giants for Matt Cain, but then the Cubs spin Matt Cain along with Sean Marshall, Josh Vitters, Felix Pie & Micah Hoffpauir to the Pads for Jake Peavy and Adrian Gozalez. The Cubs get another top of the rotation quality starter in Peavy and add a left handed Power bat and long time first base solution in Gonzalez. The Pads get 2 MLB proven ready starters (a lefty and a righty in Marshall & Cain), a "cheap" centerfield option in Pie, a left handed power hitting 1st base replacement for Gonzalez in Hoffpauier, and a former first round draft pick and probably best prospect in the Cubs system in Vitters. The Pads also dump salary and get younger. I know this is far fetched and is dependent on the first trade of D Lee to the Giants but let me know what you all think. If this looks familar I also posted as Cubsfan77 at Cubs.com
Posted by: gcheezpuff | October 31, 2008 at 12:13 PM
Hey JRD, what exactly could I not read?? If you caouldn't tell that my comments were dripping with sarcasm, then you have the problem, not me.
Posted by: njbraves | October 31, 2008 at 12:13 PM
"how far away is Vitters from the big leagues? would the Twins be interested? they have good young pitchers they could throw in a 3-way."
He was just drafted last year and is only like 18 or so....and while he put up very good numbers, and was considered the best hitter in the draft, I think he is probably 2 to 3 years from the bigs. Thats about when Aramis' contract will be up...so I don't think they trade him. But, being so young, he isn't a sure thing to do anything yet, just a very good prospect.
Gcheesepuff,
I don't think the Giants are trading Cain for Lee...and even if they would, not sure Lee would waive his NTC to go there, even if he is from Cali. Thats a very, very far fetched scenario.
"Don't expect the Cubs to take on any significant payroll this offseason."
I'm not, which is why I said that they would be picking between Dempster and Peavy, who would essentially make around the same amount of money for the next 3 years or so, when Peavy's salary goes higher.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 31, 2008 at 12:17 PM
Cheezpuff, the only problem with your scenario is that assumption that the Giants would trade Cain even up for Lee. No way in hell that is going to happen. I do like Adrian Gonzalez, tho I wonder why the Pads would trade him, he has a very favorable contract thru 2011.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | October 31, 2008 at 12:21 PM
erkman:
Be careful what you wish for...Hawkins probably won't close, it most likely will be either Paulino or Gervacio. Pence could very well be replaced by Bogusevic who could very well be the next Rick Ankiel.
gcheezpuff:
Why in the world would the Padres trade Gonzalez?
Posted by: Mistyck | October 31, 2008 at 12:24 PM
Has anyone talked about the Angels getting in the mix? Are they listed as one of Peavy's teams?
Halos have close to what the Padres are looking for.
Nick Adenhart
Jeff Mathis
Dustin Mosley
Sean Rodriguez
Reggie Wiliits
A package of these guys would be great for everyone. All of the players listed above are cheap and have proven they can play at the major league level.
Posted by: DownwithHudler! | October 31, 2008 at 12:25 PM
Fair enough... I actually do not see anything happening with Peavy and the Cubs. The Cubs are gonna be strethed if they resign Demp and/or Wood and have bigger needs then the Rotation. I'd like to see them make a play for Chone Figgins. As long as Teixeira leaves town the Angels will need a 1st base replacement and the Cubs could offer packages containing either D Lee or Micah Hoffpauir.
Posted by: gcheezpuff | October 31, 2008 at 12:30 PM
"Has anyone talked about the Angels getting in the mix? Are they listed as one of Peavy's teams?"
No, they aren't one of the teams, so Peavy would likely demand that his contract be "restructured", meaning he will want a lot more money. The Angels could just sign Burnett, CC, or one of those guys and not give up the prospects. Thats why the teams on that list have such a huge advantage in this.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | October 31, 2008 at 12:32 PM
DownwithHudler:
The Angels are the only AL team that I think Peavy would consider as it is close to his home in SD and a contender.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 31, 2008 at 12:34 PM
"Would the Padres listen to a package of; Felix Pie, Sean Marshall, Rich Hill, Kevin Hart, and Ronnie Cedeno?"
"Has anyone talked about the Angels getting in the mix? Are they listed as one of Peavy's teams?"
While all of the 5 teams on his list are in the NL, the general consensus is that he would waive to go to the Angels.
"Halos have close to what the Padres are looking for.
Nick Adenhart
Jeff Mathis
Dustin Mosley
Sean Rodriguez
Reggie Wiliits"
I think the Angels would probably say no on that one. They are really high on Rodriguez' defense and offensive upside and are grooming him to be the new Figgins, now that Figgins has become one of the best defensive 3B in baseball. I do think they would consider doing that deal with the rest of those guys, however.
Posted by: AA | October 31, 2008 at 12:36 PM
"Has anyone talked about the Angels getting in the mix? Are they listed as one of Peavy's teams?"
Don't think they are one of the 5 teams but I would imagine that Peavy would accept a trade there because he would not have to move.
Posted by: Steve | October 31, 2008 at 12:42 PM
Mystick,
Seriously Drew Sutton? The guy finally put up some numbers last season as a 25 year old in AA. Up until that point, I doubt a single person even saw him as a possible MLer. Maybe he would hold a tiny bit of value as a 5th piece in a deal or something, but he certainly doesn't qualify as the 2B/SS the Pads are looking (especially since he likely can't stick at 2B anyway).
Posted by: nixa37 | October 31, 2008 at 12:46 PM
Nixa:
Some guys are late bloomers...besides, the Astros had a horrible tendency to keep guys from progressing at the minor levels...look how long it took for them to bring up Pence!
Hopefully this changes with Wade as GM and Heck as Assistant GM now.
Another pitcher that could go to SD could be Sergio Perez...he's young and a starter.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 31, 2008 at 12:50 PM
The Angels have a history of signing FA, usually not trading away prospects. I highly doubt they get involved.
Posted by: studio179 | October 31, 2008 at 12:54 PM
The Astros certainly didn't stunt Sutton's growth, he just didn't hit particularly well in either of his two tries at high-A ball and didn't hit in his 1st try in AA either. Maybe Sutton is just a late-bloomer, but I think its far more likely that he's 25 and just happened to finally put together a good season against guys who are primarily 2-4 years younger then he is. As I said, he may have some value as a throw in, but he certainly doesn't qualify as the MI the Padres are looking for.
Just to put it into perspective Kelly Johnson is only a year older than Sutton and has already put up two seasons at the ML level that are better than anything Sutton had done at the minor league level until last year.
Posted by: nixa37 | October 31, 2008 at 01:11 PM
"Don't expect the Cubs to take on any significant payroll this offseason. The group that brought Tribune/Cubs assumed a bussload of debt, and that is why they are trying to spinoff Cubs & Wrigley. Cuban or whoever buys the team would probably expect a freeze (if not salary reduction) until sale takes place.."
-------------------
First of all, the debt of the Tribune Company is not the only reason why the Cubs and Wrigley are being sold. The primary reason for this is that Sam Zell, the majority owner of the tribune Company now, owns a good-sized stake in the White Sox... and has for years. That is his personal holding, and not a business-related holding. Since a person cannot own stakes in two MLB teams, Zell has to sell one off. Thus, he is selling the Cubs and Wrigley Field because it will help reduce the Tribune Company's debt, while his own personal stake in the White Sox feeds his own pockets.
Second, the team was officially placed up for sale last August. Yet, the team expanded payroll by a vast amount. The Tribune announced it was trying to sell itself off in the fall of 2006... before Alfonso Soriano was signed, Aramis Ramirez was re-signed, Carlos Zambrano's contract was extended, Kosuke Fukudome was signed, Mark DeRosa was signed, Ted Lilly was signed, Jason Marquis was signed, and Rich Harden was traded for. The impending sale of the team, through different situations, has yet to have much of an influence on the team's payroll.
Finally, multiple suitors to purchase the Cubs (Mark Cuban being one of them) have stated that extending the team's payroll wisely would not hinder their desires or attempts to purchase the team.
Posted by: Unlitedsoul | October 31, 2008 at 01:13 PM
Could someone please tell me why Pie keeps getting mentioned in BIG trade rumors? That guy blows. The deal with the Cubs would set the Padres back farther than they already are.
Marshall? Pie? Cedeno? C'mon. :-|
I think Peavy will land in Anaheim. A package deal sending Kendrick, Adenhart, Matthews Jr (with ANA eating most of the contract) and a few others to SD.
Posted by: la16 | October 31, 2008 at 01:45 PM
But I seriously think the Angels will make a push to acquire Matt Holliday anyways.
Posted by: la16 | October 31, 2008 at 01:47 PM
Any deal to the angles will involce willits and wood.
Posted by: Steve | October 31, 2008 at 02:03 PM
What about Houston-ATL-SD. Braves get Pence and give a few prospects. Houston gets Peavy and gives up Pence and prospects. SD gets prospects.
???
Posted by: BravesWorld | October 31, 2008 at 02:12 PM
My quess is just that SD is hoping Wren hears this and makes a mistake.
I doubt they move him in division, and I doubt the Cubbies wanna gut their farm for another high priced starting pitcher.
Posted by: nrmax88 | October 31, 2008 at 02:24 PM
United, your points are valid. Keep in mind, economic climates have changed since the fall of 2006 when the Trib went up for sale. It is much harder to get credit these days, even for the big boys and girls. Also keep in mind nobody, the bidders included, thought this process would take this long. Those contracts were signed in a different Cub/Tribune Climate. Everyone thought the deal would have closed by now and the new owners would be in place to take those contracts and the team. Again, things have changed. Now Zell used very little of his own money to buy the Tribune and the umbrella of businesses, including the Cubs. I believe it was around 300 mil, if I remember correctly. He has since sold off businesses the Trib owned for various reasons. Also, so he can make the payment he owes for the purchase. The Cubs are the money making crown jewel of the assests and he is holding out for his price. Until the credit situation loosens, it makes it more difficult. There are other factors here.
I agree the budget set will not hinder Cub moves, but it will limit them. Read one of the articles a day or two ago where Lou says the trade route is most likely. That is outside of trying to resign Dempster and Wood. Who knows? The GM meeting reports may give some insight. Maybe Hendry can pull some magic or lay the groundwork.
Posted by: studio179 | October 31, 2008 at 02:26 PM
"Also keep in mind nobody, the bidders included, thought this process would take this long."
I meant they thought it would NOT take this long.
Posted by: studio179 | October 31, 2008 at 02:27 PM
i dont want to drive this post completely to the cubs, but they can actually afford to make some trades this season since they have the opportunity to rebuild the farm system in coming years. if woody and howr were to leave that is potential for 4 picks this year. then dero, and harden next year might be 3-4 picks. and then lee, lilly and ramirez the following year could net 4-6 picks.
Posted by: integr96 | October 31, 2008 at 03:24 PM
BravesWorld:
That deal would be great for the Astros...Losing Pence isn't the greatest disaster for the Astros as they do have Bogusevic and could also sign a FA or have Erstad/Wiggy platoon with Blum/Loretta/Wiggy platooning at 3rd. That also leaves our closer alone. :-)
Astros would be willing to probably part with two of Paulino/Perez/Norris on top of Pence.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 31, 2008 at 03:25 PM
BravesWorld:
What pitching prospects would the Braves be willing to give up for Pence? Obviously it wouldn't be JJ or Hanson...
Posted by: Mistyck | October 31, 2008 at 03:29 PM
"You HAVE to think that Vitters, Pie, and their pick of Marshall/Gaudin/Ceda/Veal gets this done."
Come on Aduncaroo, you are better than that. I had to make sure it wasnt cubs land proposing that nonsense. 1 guy who MIGHT be a star in 3 years, one guy who has little value( Pie) and one of Marshall(average)Gaudin (average)Ceda(decent) and Veal (horrible, is he even pitching in the AFL or did they send him home already)? Come on now. You dont have one immediate difference maker in that whole group. And again, save it on Vitters, the NW league is somewhere between Rookie League and low A ball...I need to see more before i even consider him cant miss.
Posted by: forlife61 | October 31, 2008 at 03:34 PM
Padres talking to Cubs about Peavy is not something that I wanted to read >_<
Posted by: Cardsfan387 | October 31, 2008 at 03:46 PM