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By Tim Dierkes [November 25, 2008 at 12:07pm CST]
Let's check in on the Padres.
- SI.com's Jon Heyman talked to GM Kevin Towers, who doesn't anticipate a deal for Khalil Greene anytime soon. The market for free agent shortstops is buzzing right now, so it makes sense to wait until after the top guys sign.
- MLB.com's Corey Brock says Towers can't move to address other team needs until the Jake Peavy situation is resolved. The package for Peavy will likely fill multiple pitching needs, and then Towers can move on to free agent bargains and a backup catcher.
- Sean McAdam has a Padres article up at ESPN.com, describing the sad state of affairs.
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Well I'm now becoming more confident that Peavy won't be a Padre next season, but Im becoming more skeptical about where he will land.
I still think the Cubs just arent going to happen, but if the Braves are supposedly out of negotiations then who else would Towers be dealing with.
Just please let it end.
Posted by: zephyr8 | November 25, 2008 at 12:25 PM
Towers has three opinions:
1. Trade to the Braves.
2. Trade to the Cubs with a third or fourth team.
3. Keep Peavy, and hope to cut payroll some other way. Like maybe firing Greene.
Posted by: BravesRed | November 25, 2008 at 12:26 PM
I agree lets get this over with...
Posted by: uww1 | November 25, 2008 at 12:27 PM
I really think the Braves still have the upper hand. I just wish Frank Wren and Kevin Towers would stop this little feud and just get the trade done and over with. It seemed like a fair trade and I really doubt the Padres can get more.
Posted by: zephyr8 | November 25, 2008 at 12:28 PM
"Here's a yet to be explored Peavy package...
METS GET - Jake Peavy
PADRES GET - John Maine, Wilmer Flores"
Do you not understand what NTC is? Astros, Braves, Cardinals, Cubs, and Dodger, and possibly Angels and Yankees.
Posted by: BravesRed | November 25, 2008 at 12:41 PM
It hasn't "been explored" because it's ridiculous.
Any Peavy to the Mets deal (though if he were to ok a move to NY, would he really choose the Mets over the Yankees?) would have to start with Pelfrey, Fernando Martinez, and 1-2 other prospects.
Posted by: vtadave | November 25, 2008 at 12:56 PM
I decided to look at what the Braves have to work from in the organization, so these are last years pitchers and their total starts and ERA from last year, accoring to mlb.com:
Pitcher/ Starts/ ERA
Jair Jurrjens/ 31/ 3.68
Jorge Campillo/ 25/ 3.91
Tim Hudson/ 22/ 3.17
Jojo Reyes/ 22/ 5.18
Mike Hampton/ 13/ 4.85
Charlie Morton/ 15/ 6.15
Tom Glavine/ 13/ 5.54
Chuck James/ 7/ 9.10
John Smoltz/ 5/ 2.57
James Parr/ 5/ 4.84
so Hudson is out for this season, Glavine and Smoltz are still uncertain, Mike Hampton is not resigned yet, and of course Tommy Hanson is in the minors.
Despite all reports, I think John Smoltz will come back as a starter(just using common knowledge on the character of John Smoltz)
Even with JJ, Campillo, Smoltz, Hampton, Reyes/Hanson the braves would probably need one more top 3 pitcher. And thats if they all stay healthy.
Posted by: zephyr8 | November 25, 2008 at 12:58 PM
and when you see the Mets prospects on BA Top 10, W Flores will actually be their number 1 prospect. He would not be included in any trade, similar to Jason heyward for the Braves.
Posted by: theJonathan | November 25, 2008 at 01:06 PM
BravesRed,
You make a point about the NTC, but there is a point you missed concerning it. That was a guideline according to his agent, to give the Padres something to work towards. If they can not come up with a trade to them, they can start else where, but Peavy will not give his approval until a solid deal is made. Meaning, any team could make an offer, its just he prefers those clubs. There is no info on who he would play for, in fact i am sure that list will grow just to get him out of San Diego at this rate.
Posted by: AirmanSD | November 25, 2008 at 01:08 PM
AirmanSD,
If they are only "guidelines," then why hasn't explored trade opinions with ANY other team?
Posted by: BravesRed | November 25, 2008 at 01:14 PM
Zephyr, the Braves may have the upper hand now, but I think Towers will wait until they miss out on the top FA starters, at which point he will gain leverage. It wasn't a fair offer, and if the Padres can't get more they'll keep him until they do.
Posted by: CptTopOff | November 25, 2008 at 01:15 PM
I forgot to put Towers between "hasn't" and "explored."
Posted by: BravesRed | November 25, 2008 at 01:16 PM
BravesRed, how do you know he hasn't? I agree with Airman, Peavy will loosen his demands as time goes on. IMO, as time goes on he's going to be willing to go to a lot of places rather than be a part of this sinking ship.
Posted by: CptTopOff | November 25, 2008 at 01:19 PM
Cause he respects that Peavy only wants to go to those teams. Thats the truth, with Houston being his first choice. But even Peavy understand that this isnt likely to happen. He has said that if it comes down to a deal they will look at the merits of the deal, regardless. Does that mean its a sure thing he would approve a trade to a team not on that list, no. But it is something to keep in mind.
I think he understands that the Padres are not going to trade him unless they get close to what the value him for. Meaning there is always an option to keep him. Payroll is expected be between 40-50 million. With Peavy we have 44 million committed. SO no, he doesnt have to be traded. Would it benefit the team, yes.
Posted by: AirmanSD | November 25, 2008 at 01:29 PM
Towers is a clown
Posted by: BraveNewWorld | November 25, 2008 at 01:51 PM
Please dont ever put Willmar Flores in the same sentence as Jason Heyward.
Posted by: Crown_royal_34 | November 25, 2008 at 02:02 PM
Lost in all off this is the sad fact that a team cannot keep a top player signed to a below market deal. MLB is really teetering on the edge of accidentally creating AAAA teams in a different bracket. Many teams could not afford a superstar even if they were to develop one.
Posted by: walkoffblast | November 25, 2008 at 02:05 PM
J. Peavy to yanks 09
J. Peavy
1. A. Jackson
2. I. Kennedy
3. M. Melancon
4. H. Sanchez
A. Jackson is still one of the most solid prospects out there
z
Posted by: arod13 | November 25, 2008 at 02:13 PM
arod,
I'm starting to think its more and more likely that the Yanks miss on CC and make a deal for Peavy instead. I think the deal you proposed is close, though I think Hughes or Betances will likely have to be subbed for Kennedy or Sanchez. The Yankees are really only a great fit with the Padres if they're willing to give up a near elite young starting pitcher. Personally, I think Hughes and Betances both fit the bill, while Kennedy and Sanchez don't.
I think Jackson is great as a #2 piece, but he leaves a little to be desired in terms of a true centerpiece. I think he's a great fit as a secondary piece, like Hernandez (who is a little behind Jackson) and to a lesser extent Schafer (think he's a notch above Jackson; BA's Jim Callis agreed in his recent chat).
I will admit that Hughes, Jackson, Melancon, and 1 other or Betances, Jackson, Kennedy, and Melancon would both make far more sense than any Braves deal centered around Escobar, Hernandez, and the Braves lesser pitching prospects.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 25, 2008 at 02:38 PM
Also, ESPN is scrolling something along the bottomline saying the Cubs are definitely out on Peavy and Pinella explicitly said they don't have interest in starter right now. Take it for what its worth.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 25, 2008 at 02:40 PM
Yeah, the Cubs really don't make a lot of sense anyhow. Pitching wasn't their problem in 08' and getting a 3rd team involved gets tricky. I think KT has only been using them to give the impression of a bigger market.
I wouldn't be surprised to see the Angels jump in soon.
Posted by: CptTopOff | November 25, 2008 at 02:57 PM
It is pretty unlikely yankees move hughes and jackson to get peavy.
Posted by: walkoffblast | November 25, 2008 at 02:57 PM
I don't think its likely they would, but if they are unwilling to include both (or Betances instead of 1 ) I think they end up in a comparable situation to the Braves where the Padres are going to want 3 additional very good prospects if they can't get the guys they covet at the top of a deal.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 25, 2008 at 03:21 PM
I have to laugh at all of the people calling Towers a joke. He is one of the best GM's in the game. But he is out of place in this situation.
1. He doesn't have the power, leverage or anything else in this talks.
2. He is stuck in tough place due to the situation regarding the monetary problems in San Diego.
3. And this is the biggie, he isnt in charge as a typical GM anymore. Alderson has to approve all player decisions, including trades and signings. SO even if he likes a trade, he has to get approval on them, blame Alderson not Towers for the mess that is the Padres.
As a Padres fan, our minority owner sucks, plain and simple. If you want a true view of how we feel go read Gaslampball.
Posted by: AirmanSD | November 25, 2008 at 03:31 PM
Probably the most obvious reason the yankees will not get peavy is what towers wants for him. He wants young affordable players that are ready to or almost ready to play at major league level. The yankees do not have a lot of those.
Posted by: walkoffblast | November 25, 2008 at 03:45 PM
So Towers is a joke and Wren is a brainsurgeon?? Love Braves fan who talks smack about Towers because he did not pull the trigger on your sub-par offer.
Understand that Towers is regarded by his peers as a very solid GM.
If they are only "guidelines," then why hasn't explored trade opinions with ANY other team?
Posted by: BravesRed | November 25, 2008 at 01:14 PM
Did not know that you were part of the Padres front office and you have been privy to all of the Pads dealings, thanks for the insight!!
Can't wait to see a) Braves give up more for Peavy or b) he goes elsewhere and the Braves are left with a staff of question marks.
Happy Holidays!
Posted by: Just another idiot | November 25, 2008 at 03:55 PM
to angels:
jake peavey
kevin kouzmanoff
to padres:
howie kendrick
brandon wood
jered weaver
nick adenhart
reggie willits
Posted by: crash | November 25, 2008 at 05:32 PM
or The Go Big version …
to angels:
jake peavy
adrian gonzalez
cla meredith
to padres:
howie kendrick
brandon wood
ervin santana
nick adenhart
reggie willits
hank conger
dustin moseley
Posted by: crash | November 25, 2008 at 05:38 PM
790 Sports Radio in Houston is reporting a possible Valverde/Wigginton trade to Cleveland for Andy Marte and 3 pitching prospects. The pitching prospects would go with Pence to San Diego for Peavy...
Not sure how good this rumor is, but 790 usually checks its sources pretty well before going on the air about something...
Posted by: Mistyck | November 25, 2008 at 06:55 PM
Just another idiot,
You must be a Padres fan. But, you can talk BS on the Braves all you want, but what it comes down too, Braves own the Padres. Braves have World Series wins, and Padres have none. Braves have have won more division titles in this decade, than Padres have won ever. Padres have had 3 more managers since 1990 than the Braves have had. One of Braves players have the same amount of Cy Young awards as the whole Padres organization has. The Braves have had more MVPs, No-hitters, and Cycles.
Posted by: BravesRed | November 25, 2008 at 08:44 PM
BravesRed,
And how far did all that get you last season ? No further than the Padres, you dumbass. Who cares that you've won a world series last decade ? The fact is that your team sucks and need Peavy more than you need a job.
Posted by: Peavo | November 25, 2008 at 09:37 PM
Peavo,
If i'm correct, Braves did a lot better than any thing Padres did. A rookie had a better record than the so called Padres "ace." I'm tired of people saying that the Braves need Peavy. Which seems wrong to me. The Padres need to trade Peavy more than the Braves needing Peavy. If Moores didn't have a gold digging wife, you could actually afford someone good.
Posted by: BravesRed | November 25, 2008 at 10:04 PM
Wow BravesRed, you sure know how to have a constructive conversation. I'm not sure how bringing up the Braves' past titles moves anything forward as far as a Peavy deal goes. But let's look at that statement first, we'll address Peavy after.
First of all, it would be really hard to compare those two teams, given the difference in media market size (where most of the revenue comes from - SD is one of the smallest). The Braves will always have higher payroll. Does that necessarily make them a better team?
I could compare the Rays and the Yankees, but don't you think using payroll as comparison would be slightly short-sighted? I think so, at least if we're talking about 2009.
You can talk about SD all you want, but I guarantee it's a better-run franchise financially than Atlanta. They may be sacrificing the team (unfortunately), but SD is financially sound (which can be said of maybe 6-7 teams max), and it holds a lot of value simply because of where it's located.
All I want to say if I'm going to watch a bad-performing team play, I'd much rather be in 80 degree weather year-round doing so than in Atlanta. I guess we have that going for us.
You can live in the past all you want, but ultimately the Braves were a 4th place team last year, and if you're one bit honest, there isn't a single starter in the Braves rotation better than Peavy.
I'm not trying to talk bad about Atlanta, but you know the Braves need a new ace, and Peavy is better than any FA you could sign except maybe CC. In any case, he's younger and cheaper. I'm sure 95% of Braves fans would love to have Peavy.
Whether you're not part of that is a different qestion, but don't let your subjectivity take over. Peavy can definitely improve your team.
Posted by: tomfromsd | November 26, 2008 at 03:04 AM
It is frustration setting in. Braves fans and management hoping somehow that Towers' hand is being forced to make a bad trade for peavy.. it is not going to happen and Atlanta is sewing up another 4th, or worse place finish for '09 now because of it.
To get quality, you have to give up quality, not fringe, or over rated prospects. Huntington of Pirates may be swindled in trades and a few others, but it's rarely going to happen to Kevin Towers. Frank Wren is holding an empty hand in this case.
Posted by: johns | November 26, 2008 at 03:51 AM
How about 3 possible trades that padres do:
1st one:
Braves get:SP:Jake Peavy
Padres get:SP:Tommy Hanson,OF:Gorky Hernandez,SS:Yunel Escobar,RP:Steve Marak or RP:Blaine Boyer
2nd one:
Cubs get:SP:Jake Peavy,SS:Khalil Greene,OF:Brian Giles maybe
Padres get:SS:Ryan Theorit, OF:Felix Pie, 3B/OF:Josh Vitters, RP:Jeff Samardzija, SP:Rich Hill, SP:Sean Marshall, and 2B:Tony Thomas
3rd one:
Giants get:1B:Derek Lee
Padres get:SP:Tim Alderson, SP:Henry Sosa, SP:Rich Hill, SS:Rodney Cedeno, OF:Felix Pie
Cubs get: SP:Jake Peavy
these trades are good plz comment on these trades
Posted by: BIGPADRESFAN2009 | November 26, 2008 at 07:43 PM