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By Tim Dierkes [November 18, 2008 at 9:22am CST]
A look at the latest column from FOX Sports' Ken Rosenthal:
- Rosenthal wonders if Jason Varitek's viral sickness and divorce last year contributed to his poor performance at the plate.
- Ken Griffey Jr.'s wife gave him her blessing to play anywhere he'd like. If he's focused on getting a ring, Seattle might not make sense. Griffey's doctor believes his knee will be in better shape in 2009.
- Padres GM Kevin Towers wonders if Jake Peavy would've accepted a trade to the Braves, given Atlanta's club policy against no-trade clauses. Towers isn't talking to the Braves, Dodgers, or Yankees about Peavy, and Rosenthal says he's "not making much headway" with the Cubs. ESPN's Peter Gammons says the Cubs' loss of Jose Ceda lessens their chances, while Frank Wren still believes Peavy will end up a Brave.
- The Cubs hope to resolve the Ryan Dempster situation this week. The team wants to do a four-year deal.
- The Giants are still in on Juan Cruz after their Jeremy Affeldt signing.
- The Phillies gave Pat Burrell "parameters" for a new deal, while Rosenthal speculates on the Giants and Dodgers as other possible fits.
I really hope that viral sickness and his divorce are the reasons why, from a baseball standpoint, i can understand how it would be, but i dont get the Posada contract remarks by Boras. If that is the reason why Varitek struggled last year, im totally willing to accept that, as long as he is ready to prove for reasonable money, 2/10, that he has still got it, i love him and wnat him to stay, but not for 4/50. I think once he notices the market is dry for catchers on the wrong side of 30 hitting barely over .200, he will come back to the sox to make a rebound.
Posted by: 04Forever | November 18, 2008 at 09:30 AM
Its gonna take more than Marquis if they are involving a third team. It's unlikely the Cubs are offering Vitters. Marquis has no trade value and they need to acquire chips that are attractive to the Padres.
It's starting to look like Peavy might not be going anywhere anyway... remember Brian Roberts last year? And I know this isn't the NFL but how about Chad Johnson
Posted by: dyaf96 | November 18, 2008 at 10:04 AM
You still need to figure out who you're going to trade to get prospects back for a Peavy trade. You're not going to get anything Towers wants by trading an average pitcher with a big salary (Marquis).
So the Cubs need to trade a quality player away to net them prospects which they can flip to SD for Peavy. And to get top prospects, it'll have to be someone good. Zambrano? Harden? Fukudome? Lee? Ramirez? Soto? Marmol? Ramirez? Soriano?
Posted by: tomfromsd | November 18, 2008 at 10:04 AM
"Seems like with each passing day the chances of the Cubs having a dream rotation is getting better and better."
I'm not sure what about that story made you think the Cubs' chances got better. Ceda was an attractive piece for Towers and now he is gone. Unless the Cubs are willing to pony up Vitters they can forget about Peavy.
Posted by: Brad426 | November 18, 2008 at 10:17 AM
fwiw, ceda was traded to the cubs by the padres. don't think they wanted him back.
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | November 18, 2008 at 10:28 AM
Sure seems like they did, if any of these rumors are to be believed...
Posted by: Brad426 | November 18, 2008 at 10:32 AM
Im not sure what made you think Ceda was an attractive piece for Towers, since he was traded to the Cubs from the San Diego farm system. Maybe they traded him because they didn't believe he would pan out, maybe they still believed that. Hendry wouldn't have traded one of his "key" trade chips if he still had a shot at Peavy.
Tomfromsd, Marquis would become a very attractive player for some teams if he was only going to cost $5M. We are going to have to trade Vitters in any deal to get Peavy, that is becoming more and more realistic. The likely scenerio would be:
Cubs receive: Peavy
Pads reveive: Pie/Marshall/Cedeno/prospects from team C
Team C receives: Vitters
It would have to be a team with excess pitching and a need for either a corner outfielder or 3B of the future. The Cubs may still have to trade another arm in that deal depending on what they can get for Vitters.
Brian Roberts will NOT be a part of the Peavy deal, that's laughable.
Posted by: Bdlugz | November 18, 2008 at 10:32 AM
I guess what made me think Ceda was an attractive piece for Towers was all the baseball pundits saying it was so. Who should I believe... Bdlugz and 100backeduptrucks or Peter Gammons?
Posted by: Brad426 | November 18, 2008 at 10:35 AM
Harden doesn't have much value being a 1 year rental with injury history
Fukudome has no value
Whats the point of trading Zambrano to get Peavy?
Derek Lee is a good player but his past season may have diminished his value a little bit
The Cubs would be stupid to trade Soto or Marmol.
Soriano's contract could only be handled by a couple of teams so his trade value would only be good if the Cubs ate a lot of his contract.
Ramirez is one of the top 3B in MLB but his $16M pricetag is steep.
The Cubs would need to trade young cheap position players (since they don't have pitching to trade) or top prospects. I just don't see a deal with Chicago happening.
Posted by: thunder12k | November 18, 2008 at 10:40 AM
LOL. Peter Gammons!? You have to be kidding me. He's about as reliable as Jhonny Damon's arm.
"It's starting to look like Peavy might not be going anywhere anyway... remember Brian Roberts last year?"
You forget that there's a slight difference between the Roberts situation and the Peavy situation: The Padres want to rebuild and get rid of payroll, and the owners have their approval; The owner of the Orioles, Angelos, always has to stick his nose in his GMs business, and he got in the way of the trade. At least, that's what the rumours were. It makes sense, as Roberts is a favourite of his, and, well, he's not a very good owner. Like James Dolan of the Knicks.
Posted by: Ink&Paper | November 18, 2008 at 11:09 AM
As for the Peavy trade, I agree, Vitters has to be included in it. I think the Padres might even be interested in Smardzija (sp?), as he is ready for a rotation role. And Marquis has to be included in any deal, to make room on their payroll for Peavy's contract.
I agree with Thunder that Soto and Marmol are going nowhere.
Posted by: Ink&Paper | November 18, 2008 at 11:12 AM
"Cubs receive: Peavy
Pads reveive: Pie/Marshall/Cedeno/prospects from team C
Team C receives: Vitters"
I agree that this is likely the only way in which the Cubs land Peavy. They would have to deal Vitters to a team that wanted an elite hitting prospect and had a little pitching to spare (Yankees? Twins? Giants?) and then go from there.
Basically something like this:
to Chicago: Peavy
to San Diego: Tim Alderson, Felix Pie, Ronny Cedeno and Sean Marshall
to San Francisco: Josh Vitters
Or in a magical Cubs world:
to Chicago: Peavy and Randy Winn
to San Diego: Alderson, Pie, Cedeno, Marshall
to San Francisco: Vitters and another young player (Micah Hoffpauir?)
Posted by: scribbletone | November 18, 2008 at 11:19 AM
Actually the Cub deal didn't happen because MacPhail didn't want the Cubs spare parts.
Posted by: XD23 | November 18, 2008 at 11:23 AM
so, before the cubs traded ceda for gregg, they were in the mix, but couldn't get a deal done. fine. then they trade ceda, one of their supposed high value chips, to another team, and towers comes out and says in a radio interview (i didn't hear it myself, i'm getting this secondhand) that he's "focused" on the cubs? AFTER they traded a rumored focal point of the deal? doesn't quite add up, does it? it's been said for how long, by towers himself, that a third/fourth team would have to be involved for the cubs to get him, and the ceda deal apparently hasn't changed that. the padres want young STARTING pitching, something ceda is not, and what the cubs don't have much to offer, if any. towers also said that for the cubs to give what the padres are asking for it wouldn't even be worth it at that point (i'm guessing guys like marmol and soto in that case). i found the link...
http://www.gaslampball.com/2008/11/17/663860/kevin-towers-it-s-been-pre
again, this isn't the gospel, it's just what i read. fwiw, if it's vitters making/breaking this deal, i make the deal, but i can understand those that don't. and now i've gone and speculated MORE on jake peavy, something i said i wouldn't do more of. oh well...
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | November 18, 2008 at 11:49 AM
As a phils fan when we put $25 million into ownership's coffers with a WS run and ticket sales/merchandise etc (and that's a conservative figure), I certainly hope they don't just give out arbitration raises and call it a day. I'm not saying they need to give Pat a 5 year $50 million contract, but the payroll needs to increase. I don't care if you go get an average left-fielder or make a trade for a Dye or a Magglio Ordonez and spend some on locking up Hamels and or Howard long term (Hamels before Howard please), but I don't want to see the Mets increase their payroll to $150-$170 million and see ours increase minimally.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | November 18, 2008 at 12:12 PM
Scribbletone...
In order for the Giants to get involved and trade Tim Alderson to the Madres they would require the Cubs to take Winn's full contract and to get Kouzmanoff. Which will never happen. So forget the Giants.
Posted by: Joe505 | November 18, 2008 at 12:46 PM
wow, divorce and viral infection, the cause of his very non-productive year, i think not, i agree with curt, to actually ASSume that is ABSURD, the man is the BIGGEST professional in baseball, he leaves personal issues out of things and brings it all everyday, as for his year i would say it was just not his year, getting salty or teagarden to take over in a few years would be smart but it would also be smart to get KC a personal batting trainer as his numbers were far worse then tek's, i do believe that from this day forward i will look at ken rosenthal in a different light because you talk about "lame duck" well hes the bush of journalism/sports writers.
Posted by: americans1901 | November 18, 2008 at 12:55 PM
"In order for the Giants to get involved and trade Tim Alderson to the Madres they would require the Cubs to take Winn's full contract and to get Kouzmanoff. Which will never happen. So forget the Giants."
I'm sure the Cubs would be willing to take on Winn's one year and like $9M. He would be an awesome fit for them, as a high OBP outfielder with some power and speed.
And just curious, but why the hell would the Giants want Kouzmanoff instead of Vitters, unless you meant to say they would want Kouz in addition? Kouzmanoff posted a .299 OBP last season and is a poor defensive third baseman, I don't understand why the Giants would have serious interest in him.
If San Francisco was okay with poor defense at third in order to get some power there, they would probably just stick Sandoval there and figure out how to get a hitter at first.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 18, 2008 at 12:59 PM
Scribbletone: Huge sucking whole at third and the power outages make some of the natives here overly jumpy.
Posted by: daveinexile | November 18, 2008 at 01:20 PM
Right. And if you're willing to settle defensively then put Sandoval at third and add a (more common) good hitting 1B. Forget Kouz.
And a future lineup with Sandoval, Vitters, Villalona, Posey, Gillespie and Noonan would be very talented.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 18, 2008 at 02:33 PM
"LOL. Peter Gammons!? You have to be kidding me. He's about as reliable as Jhonny Damon's arm."
With all due respect (which isn't all that much), I am more inclined to believe a professional with contacts in the organizations than I am a fan on a rumor blog, call me silly...
Posted by: Brad426 | November 18, 2008 at 03:32 PM
"As a phils fan when we put $25 million into ownership's coffers with a WS run and ticket sales/merchandise etc (and that's a conservative figure), I certainly hope they don't just give out arbitration raises and call it a day. I'm not saying they need to give Pat a 5 year $50 million contract, but the payroll needs to increase. I don't care if you go get an average left-fielder or make a trade for a Dye or a Magglio Ordonez and spend some on locking up Hamels and or Howard long term (Hamels before Howard please), but I don't want to see the Mets increase their payroll to $150-$170 million and see ours increase minimally."
The extra merchandise and price sales from the WS run will certainly be spent in arbitration (not even covering that). They already mentioned that they have no problem adding 40-50 mil pay raise at the least.
I like Burrell, he's a Phillie.. period.. but if he doesn't take a pay cut, then we can't take him. Wouldn't surprise me if they platoon LF this year, but hopefully they can deal someone like Jason Donald(SS) and trash Kendrick and get a young OF with potential.
I agree on Hamels before Howard. And Phuck the Mets.
Posted by: cben | November 18, 2008 at 06:52 PM
i think griffey going to the yankees would be an excellent idea..a drive to win mentality is exactly what the yanks need right now
Posted by: midnight5 | November 19, 2008 at 12:20 PM