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Arbitration Rumors

The deadline for each team's arbitration decisions is 11pm CST tonight.  In this post I am gathering up all the rumors about those decisions.  I'll add updates throughout the day.  Check out MLBTR reader predictions here and here.


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Siding heavily with River Ave Blues. Can't imagine the Yankees wouldn't offer Pettitte arbitration given that his other two logical choices would result in 1st rounders. The risk of getting nothing in return far outweighs the loss of $4MM or so if he were to accept.

I really doubt Wood would take a one year, 9 million dollar contract when he could get a 3 year 27+ million dollar contract on the free agent market.

Besides, If he really wanted to help the cubs, he would reject the cubs arbitration offer and go out and sign with a team who has an unprotected first round pick.

I'd be surprised if the mets didn't offer arbitration to luis ayala...if he accepts and is overpaid, I don't think it will be hard to release him in spring training.

I would be surprised if woody didnt accept arb. He really did want to stay with the cubs ,but that had to hurt when they made the gregg ceda trade.

This is just another example of why the Cubs can never sustain a highly rated farm system. After running through an injury riddled contract, Hendry was able to get one great year of relief from Wood. You'd think the Cubs would at least cash in on their investment and sell high, netting two much needed draft picks. I mean, this is what smart teams do. Instead, the Cubs give up their top pitching prospect for an average veteran reliever AND are at risk of losing two high draft picks or, god forbid, they net the best closer on the market on an extremely team friendly one-year deal.

Lets say Burrell is offered arb and somehow accepts. Would the no-trade clause from his previous contract still apply?

RE: trading Wood.

If he accepts arbitration, the Cubs can't trade him due to his 10/5 rights granting him a full NTC. If he were ever to waive that, he might as well go get a 2-3 year deal with another team for more money in Free Agency.

Why would Pat Burrell be risky? Would Burrell really agree to a one year deal when so many multi-year deals will be out there for him? In addition, would it really be so bad to have a 125 OPS+ accept a one-year deal?

wayne gomes,

I would expect its a new contract he'd be signing and I'd be all for one more year of Pat at 14 million per. Then we can see how Taylor develops at AA.

"This is just another example of why the Cubs can never sustain a highly rated farm system. After running through an injury riddled contract, Hendry was able to get one great year of relief from Wood. You'd think the Cubs would at least cash in on their investment and sell high, netting two much needed draft picks. I mean, this is what smart teams do. Instead, the Cubs give up their top pitching prospect for an average veteran reliever AND are at risk of losing two high draft picks or, god forbid, they net the best closer on the market on an extremely team friendly one-year deal."

Amen to that! If the Cubs do not offer him arb it will be the dumbest thing they have done to date. Even if he accepts they could still look to trade him and get something for him. But I've got to believe that because of their "mutual respect", Wood will not accept and the Cubs will get the 2 draft picks.

philsWS how about the 10-5 issue though? Does it vest since 2009 will be his 10th professional season? Will it vest on the 10-year anniversary of his 1999 debut (ruling out trade deadline deal)? Or will it not vest until next year?

Thanks Trevor for all the memories.

Quick question about arb. Does it guarantee a salary of at least 80% of the current salary with the team?

More specific scenario. Gagne is a Type B FA meaning no sacrifice of a draft pick. But he made 10M last year... And likely no one will offer even half of that. So if arb is offered he's almost certain to accept. Correct?

philsWS how about the 10-5 issue though? Does it vest since 2009 will be his 10th professional season? Will it vest on the 10-year anniversary of his 1999 debut (ruling out trade deadline deal)? Or will it not vest until next year?


Oh crap i have no idea. To me its a new contract but I honestly don't know. I'll just be happy with someone anyone that puts up similar stats to him in LF. Or Manny would be nice too!

I do not believe there is a chance in hell that Kerry Wood will receive a three year contract.

K-Rod and Fuentes all have been healthy may have to settle for three year deals.

Wood will certainly accept arbitration and $10 plus million for one year from the Cubs.

Three different scenarios for the Phils:

1. Offer arbitration. Burrell does not accept and they net two high picks in '09 draft

2. Offer arbitration. Burrell accepts and they have a well above average OF on a team friendly one year deal. They could then trade him for a top prospect to the boatload of teams that would salivate at getting a Burrell type bat on a one year deal + the draft picks he would net in the '10 draft. Or they could keep him for the aforementioned reasons.

3. Do not offer arbitration, get nothing and either sign a worse OF for more money and years or simply do not replace his production at all and go young.


Something tells me option 3 is not an option at all.

Teetz, the only reason they wouldn't offer PTB would be because the ownership is reverting back to their classic cheapo ways. Either that or they are actually more serious for Burnett than most think

It would get a little muddied if the arb would exercise 10-5 rights (which I asked about above, no idea if it would), since that would take out the trade option

If they don't offer, he signs with Anaheim and we go with Mayberry/Jenkins in LF last year with no other significant FA signings (save Moyer), it's an inauspicious start to Amaro's term as GM

"Wood will certainly accept arbitration and $10 plus million for one year from the Cubs. "

It will be very interesting to see how this plays out. Hendry and Wood have claimed to be the best of friends and have stated on numerous occasions how much respect they have for one another. I have to believe that based on all of this that Wood will not accept arb WHEN it is offered.

The Cubs bullpen is pretty weak now.....I don't like Gregg. Even if Wood accepts and they are "stuck" with him.....big deal. It is for one year. But I do not see that happening, Wood will not accept it.

Is Pettitte ok? Does he still thinks he is worth 16 million? Aren't teams allowed to offer 20% less of their previous salary when they offer arbitration? If so, I think the Yanks should offer arbitration. Please correct me if I'm wrong on this one.

Teetz - you said it all. I don't see how one year of Burrell is considered a risk when you consider the alternatives. A one-year deal for him is exactly what they want. Worst case, as you said, they get the picks. It's a win-win. I don't think he would accept, but I really don't understand why they wouldn't offer.

Maybe Ruben has something big in the works. Haha.

I don't see Dunn getting an offer. The D-Backs wouldn't even shell out 5 million to keep RJ, so how could they afford the 15 million that Dunn would get in Arb. Way too much risk, unless he has assured them he will not accept.

"The D-Backs wouldn't even shell out 5 million to keep RJ, so how could they afford the 15 million that Dunn would get in Arb. Way too much risk, unless he has assured them he will not accept. "

If he does accept they can trade him since he doesn't have NTC protection. Since that is pretty much spelled out for Dunn, I think it's a clear choice for Dunn to go where he wants to go in Free Agency on a multi-year deal.

Word is on Cubs.com that they WILL offer Kerry arbitration, but not Howry. I hope its true.

If arb is offered why wouldn't Wood accept? He clearly loves playing for the Cubs and it would kill him if they went to the WS the year AFTER he left. $8-$10 mil for 1 season isn't chump change.

1. Wood will accept if offered. He might get a 2-1 deal on the open market but even that will be tough given his injury history. This will really come down to how close Wood and Hendry are.

2. Pettitte will accept arb if offered. First, he has a very limited number of places HE would like to play. Second, those places may not be interested in handing over a multi-year contract. So, why not just stay with the Yanks where you have a chance to win and can still make $12m+ in salary?

The DBacks should offer Dunn arbitration. That said, should be accept they would be screwed.

I'll be very surprised if the Mets don't offer Ayala arbitration, he could be a very useful 7th inning type.

"The DBacks should offer Dunn arbitration. That said, should be accept they would be screwed."

They can trade him very, very easily if he accepted, and get the value of two picks anywya. Dunn should be a no brainer.

I doubt that Dunn would accept arbitration. Many teams could use his power numbers and would be willing to give him a multiyear deal. Besides, I would have to imagine Dunn would be in fear of being traded since the Diamondbacks really want to cut payroll.

If Pettitte is offered arbitration there is no chance that he doesn't take it. The obvious reason is that he loves the Yankees and would still be getting a good salary. The less obvious reason is that the other teams that he would be willing to play for might not want to give up their 1st round pick to sign him. Andy's only real option, if offered arbitration, is to take it or retire. Needless to say, the Yankees will not get draft picks anyway around, so if they wanted him back real badly they would have signed him already.

Hawkeye nailed it. If arbitration is offered the other teams are going to back away from pettitte. So the yankees have to make a decision if they want him or not at that price.

Har to imagine Boston offering Paul Byrd abitration and him not accepting it, unless there is an agreement in hand already for him to deny it so the sox get a draft pick. Byrd had his incentives already obtained to make the 11 million already in 2008 am almost certain and his stats last 1 and 3 years would not be for a cut in pay it looks like.

The Phillies need Pat Burrell's bat, hard to see them chasing after injured pitcher Burnett, while they are letting a guy that produces like Burrell walk over less money.

I doubt that Dunn would accept arbitration. Many teams could use his power numbers and would be willing to give him a multiyear deal. Besides, I would have to imagine Dunn would be in fear of being traded since the Diamondbacks really want to cut payroll.

Posted by: Hawkeye86 | December 01, 2008 at 12:41 PM

The D-Backs aren't cutting payroll. They spent all their money.

I doubt that Dunn would accept arbitration. Many teams could use his power numbers and would be willing to give him a multiyear deal. Besides, I would have to imagine Dunn would be in fear of being traded since the Diamondbacks really want to cut payroll.

Posted by: Hawkeye86 | December 01, 2008 at 12:41 PM

The D-Backs aren't cutting payroll. They spent all their money (Adam Dunn). They assumed they would be able to get two free agent picks for Dunn at the end of the season. But the free agent market has be ominously quiet for Adam who openly said he loved playing in Arizona and they fear he would accept. That would wipe out the budget.

If they could trade Eric Byrnes their problem would be solved but no one really wants to spend $22 million on a player with torn hamstrings in both legs. Maybe they can trade Chad Tracy or Miguel Montero for a second baseman.

Or raise ticket prices a bit.

To Serg Rush,
I get what you are saying, and I agree for the most part. I do believe, however, that teams are quiet on Adam Dunn because they are waiting on others to start moving. Dunn could be the "back-up" plan of many teams (which probably wouldn't pan out anyway). For the price that Dunn commands, he is a good deal and fills an important specific role. I would also have to imagine that the agent for Dunn would be heavily influential with trying to get him a multiyear deal. I don't rule out acception of arbitration, but I do think that it is unlikely. I'm not sure that Dunn is one of them, but a lot of players see offered arbitration as a sign of not being wanted. My apologies for mentioning cutting payroll. I really meant that they did not have an innordinate amount to spend even after they let a few better players go.

"Joel Sherman says the Yankees are wavering a bit on the decision to offer arbitration to Bobby Abreu, in fear that he could accept."

What's to fear? Abreu has a big bat and the Yankees have money to spare, even if they sign CC, Tex, Lowe, and Burnett. Mr Hankey could rent a helicopter and dump bales of $20 bills on the Bronx and they'd still be swimming in cash.

I believe the Brewers will offer Sabathia, Sheets and Shouse arb. It is easy to say that Gagne will not get an offer and probably will have a hard time finding a job above Triple-A this upcoming season.

To that note I am guessing Sabathia will sign with a bigger club like the Yanks and if the Brewers do not offer Sheets arb they will be kicking themselves in the butt, considering the starting pitching is what already sucks with the team.

As for Shouse, he is looking for a two-year contract but the Brewers are offering one. They might be able to settle with him if they offer him some more money.

I say: Offer Abreu arbitration. If he accepts, trade him for a couple of established minor leaguers or one draft pick! It's a risk you have to take.

Offer it to Pettitte, too ... we don't have a rotation right now and he'll be a good 4 or 5.

I get that Dunn could theoretically be traded. But would it be that simple?

What Arizona paid for Dunn wasn't much. The market never materialized for Adam Dunn in 2007 or 2008 for the Reds. Now he doesn't have any teams seriously going after him. Is it possible that ML teams just don't value Dunn the way most of us do?

Whether he goes through arb or FA he stands to make between $13-16m. If no teams are interested in him at that price in FA why would you assume they would want to trade for him and pick up the tab + kick in prospects?

rossdfarian ... can't trade draft picks or players drafted within the last 365 days.

I do think the Yanks should offer arb to Abreu. I'm not sold on Nady, Matsui or their CF options. While they bodies to man those spots none are guaranteed to be producers like Abreu.

I agree wih Little Bear. Abreu is still a good overall player. He is a great #3 hitter and age would not be a problem since they would only have him for one year. Worst case scenario the Yankees get him and don't have to worry about signing a first basemen this year since they already have Swisher. I would have to imagine a push to trade Matsui though, since Damon would be ample for DH since LF is out of the question with Nady there. Keep in mind this is all with the assumption that Abreu will accept arbitration, which I don't think he will. A lot of other teams wouldn't mind giving up their pick to grab Abreu, in my opinion, so the Yankees really can't lose badly in any scenario.

I say: Offer Abreu arbitration. If he accepts, trade him for a couple of established minor leaguers or one draft pick! It's a risk you have to take.

Offer it to Pettitte, too ... we don't have a rotation right now and he'll be a good 4 or 5.

bjsguess is right and rossifarian why would a team do that, trade for an aging mid 30's player that can barely play the outfield and may give them 20hr's and 85 rbi's but may not. Why would someone take that and pay $15+ million. Yanks would have to eat a bunch of his salary for that to work even if it was allowed.

so i guess the yanks see a problem with pettitte on a one year deal worth more than 13 mil... good luck in the future, Andy. take that money and invest that in Sheet's revival; 2-3 years + incentive-laden option year

It appears the Cubs will not offer arbitration to Wood.

Economics of the game.

He walks and the team gets nothing.

Unbelievable.

Studio,

Where did you hear that the Cubs aren't going to offer???

Studio where did you hear that? Cubs.com says they will offer it. Not saying your wrong im just asking where you heard it. Cubs.com isnt exactly very credible.

can someone tell my why the White Sox wouldn't offer arbitration to Joe Crede?

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