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By Ben Nicholson-Smith [May 9, 2009 at 10:10am CST]
Links for Saturday morning...
- On ESPN Radio, Keith Law says no team would pass on Manny Ramirez if he's available for $5MM in the near future, regardless of his suspension. He won't be available at that rate this offseason, as he has a $20MM player option for 2010.
- Andrew Baggarly of the San Jose Mercury News passes on a quote from Dodgers GM Ned Colletti: "My concern is still with the pitching."
- Phil Rogers of the Chicago Tribune believes the Dodgers' pitching will carry them while Manny serves his suspension.
- Jamey Newberg suggests on the Newberg Report that the Braves would deal the haul they received for Mark Teixeira- Casey Kotchman and Stephen Marek- for any one of four players they gave up to get Tex- Elvis Andrus, Matt Harrison, Neftali Feliz or Jarrod Saltalamacchia.
- The Chicago Tribune suggests the Orioles may try to sneak Felix Pie to Triple-A through waivers.
Who the hell is Jamey Newburg, and why doesn't he have a newspaper company behind his name? Because of the stupid sh** he wrote. Why in the hell would they trade their first-baseman for about 4-5 years and a average MRP who could make alot of teams bullpen, for a SS who wouldn't get a lick of playing time, a 5th starter at best(already have enough of them, not to mention that glass-arm Glavine), a relief pitcher who would be another body in our "stockpile" of them, and a Catcher/First-Baseman who struggles at both position and wouldn't be any better than Dave Ross?
Posted by: Braves for NL East!! | May 09, 2009 at 10:27 AM
Jamey Newberg runs the Newberg Report. It's a well-respected site worth checking out.
http://www.newbergreport.com/article.asp
Posted by: Ben Nicholson-Smith | May 09, 2009 at 10:48 AM
Barves, no way Marek is an average MRP that can make alot of teams bullpens. In two or three years, maybe. If he can't make the braves right now, he can't even make a well below average bullpen, so he definately isn't mlb ready. Feliz is one of the top ten pithching prospects in the game...not a "5th starter at best". Salty would be a huge trade chip, as would andrus. Jones and Harrison were toss ins, but both have more upside than Marek. I wouldn't call what the braves have a "stockpile" of relievers...having 1000 pennies in your pocket still only adds up to ten bucks.
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 10:48 AM
The 5th starter term was meant for Harrison, and Ben, I checked it out and maybe I jumped to conclusion too quick, as Newburg does have some interesting stuff.
Posted by: Braves for NL East!! | May 09, 2009 at 10:53 AM
If Felix Pie goes through waivers, the Chicago White Sox will be picking him up without any hesitation.
Posted by: ChiSoxKilla23 | May 09, 2009 at 11:04 AM
I don't know why you would call the Braves bullpen well below average, they are actually 1st (by a lot) in the majors in FIP, 4th in K/BB, 4th in K/9, etc., they have a very good bullpen but have been pretty unlucky (.349 BABIP).
Stating that the Braves would trade an above average starting first basemen and a prospect for Matt Harrison is nonsense though.
Posted by: trevor | May 09, 2009 at 11:05 AM
Personnaly, the way the braves have drafted, I'd have kept tex and taken the two picks. I really don't think Marek will ever amount to anything, and you have to think at least one of those two picks should produce value at least equal to kotchman. After the tribe got LaPorta for Sabathia, I was honestly shocked at the return Atlanta got for Tex.
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 11:07 AM
Wait, what does FIP and BABIP mean?
Posted by: Braves for NL East!! | May 09, 2009 at 11:09 AM
"for a SS who wouldn't get a lick of playing time, a 5th starter at best(already have enough of them, not to mention that glass-arm Glavine), a relief pitcher who would be another body in our "stockpile" of them, and a Catcher/First-Baseman who struggles at both position and wouldn't be any better than Dave Ross?"
That is the dumbest statement of homerish I've read on this site in a long time, probably ever since baseball guru stopped posting.
1) SS with not a lick of playing time? He has 83 ABs, .265 AVG, .700 OPS, and did I mention the kid is still a talented rookie. A year ago you would have licked your lips at the opportunity to get him back as AAA depth.
2) Feliz, despite a rocky start in AAA is still considered a potential ace, not a #5 like you're idiotically claiming.
3) Salty is outhitting McCann right now... so by the same logic you have of Ross being better than Salty, Salty must be better than McCann!
4) Stephen Marek is a guy struggling in AA. He has a couple of good pitches, but AA is full of prospects you can say the same about who have maybe one or two showings in the big leagues.
5) Kotchman has 3 years of service time and a streaky bat.
Just a year ago you'd have killed to have just one of these guys as AAA depth but now you're claiming now of them are worth anything??? How ignorant are you?
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | May 09, 2009 at 11:11 AM
FIP = Fielding Independent Pitching, which measures things for which pitchers are actually responsible. BABIP = Batting Average on Balls In Play, average is about .300ish I believe.
Posted by: trevor | May 09, 2009 at 11:13 AM
I don't think I'd call Kotchman above average. He's a good defensive 1st baseman that has hit for average and no power. He probably sits right about in the middle of the pack of MLB 1st baseman, but he really is a bad fit in an Atlanta lineup that needs a power guy somewhere. If they really wanted that type of player, they could have had nick johnson for peanuts this off season.
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 11:15 AM
Salty outhitting Mccann? Despite McCann having vision problems, he is still out-wOBAing Salty. Its close, but but McCann owes his low stats to a horrible BABIP. Salty, on the other hand, will probably regress.
Posted by: trevor | May 09, 2009 at 11:16 AM
So no team passes on Manny, therefore sending the message that even though steroids are illegal to take without a prescription and against MLB policy, it's ok if players do them?
Cute.
Posted by: section331 | May 09, 2009 at 11:17 AM
.480 slugging is no power? Dude just jacked a three-run homer off Lidge last night. I'll admit he's not THAT powerful, but no power is kind of an understatement. Also his fielding is really really good.
Posted by: trevor | May 09, 2009 at 11:18 AM
Personnaly, the way the braves have drafted, I'd have kept tex and taken the two picks. I really don't think Marek will ever amount to anything, and you have to think at least one of those two picks should produce value at least equal to kotchman. After the tribe got LaPorta for Sabathia, I was honestly shocked at the return Atlanta got for Tex.
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 11:07 AM
------------------------------
Whoo whoo wait... The way the Braves have drafted? Oh yeah the way we get what is now two of the top five prospects in baseball, and everyone on our starting nine is homegrown except Kotchman and Diaz.. And so what about the return for Sabathia.. Obviously pitching is valued more than hitting, disregard Tex's and Sabathia's contract differences, but who did the Indians get? LaPorta and who? The Braves have a future first-baseman in Freddie Freeman, and the second-best package was reportedly Chad Tracy and Micah Owings, not to mention what did Tex do for LAA, led them to the playoffs, were they were eliminated first round and he left for NYY.
Posted by: Braves for NL East!! | May 09, 2009 at 11:18 AM
Personnaly, the way the braves have drafted, I'd have kept tex and taken the two picks. I really don't think Marek will ever amount to anything, and you have to think at least one of those two picks should produce value at least equal to kotchman. After the tribe got LaPorta for Sabathia, I was honestly shocked at the return Atlanta got for Tex.
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 11:07 AM
------------------------------
Whoo whoo wait... The way the Braves have drafted? Oh yeah the way we get what is now two of the top five prospects in baseball, and everyone on our starting nine is homegrown except Kotchman and Diaz.. And so what about the return for Sabathia.. Obviously pitching is valued more than hitting, disregard Tex's and Sabathia's contract differences, but who did the Indians get? LaPorta and who? The Braves have a future first-baseman in Freddie Freeman, and the second-best package was reportedly Chad Tracy and Micah Owings, not to mention what did Tex do for LAA, led them to the playoffs, were they were eliminated first round and he left for NYY.
Posted by: Braves for NL East!! | May 09, 2009 at 11:18 AM
That's what I'm saying braves...the team could have done more with the two draft picks than they could have with the trade. I don' tthink frank wren really cared what Tex did for the LAA when he traded him, his concern was for what he did for the braves. If you can't get a decent offer for the guy, keep him. The big name besides LaPorta was Micheal Brantley, who's a decent prospect. The point is, a trade to rebuild doesn't make any sense if you trade for an average 1st baseman who's arbitration eligible already. I know they have freeman in the minors already, but having more depth never hurts.
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 11:27 AM
"Salty outhitting Mccann?"
Salty has a better average and OPS. My point goes to the Ross being better than Salty comment. Ross' offensive outburst is a fluke, Salty is still only 24 and will likely get better.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | May 09, 2009 at 11:29 AM
And I'd not put too much stock in last night's HR...It was in Citizens Bank T-ball Park after all.
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 11:30 AM
"I don't think I'd call Kotchman above average. He's a good defensive 1st baseman that has hit for average and no power. He probably sits right about in the middle of the pack of MLB 1st baseman, but he really is a bad fit in an Atlanta lineup that needs a power guy somewhere. If they really wanted that type of player, they could have had nick johnson for peanuts this off season."
Dead on. And great post.
And it wouldn’t have cost as much as a single one of Feliz, Saltalamacchia or Andrus to get a player like Garko or Johnson (as you mentioned) so I tend to agree with the article.
Posted by: SuzysMan | May 09, 2009 at 11:31 AM
Thanks, Trevor for the explanation. And SWP, tryin to defend my team, and hell, lets see you,me,anyone hit with vision problems.
Posted by: Braves for NL East!! | May 09, 2009 at 11:34 AM
Oh yes, his better OPS by 5 points...extremely relevant even though McCann couldn't see the ball.
I think Salty's numbers are the fluke right now. He has a .389 BABIP, which is pretty high. That's likely to drop as the season goes on, meaning his numbers will probably go down. And as I said, McCann has an extremely low BABIP, and is probably going to do much better now that he can see.
Posted by: trevor | May 09, 2009 at 11:35 AM
Nick Johnson??? The guy who missed all of 2007 and most of 2008? I think that to depend on him is an extremely poor decision for a front office. Kotchman is the safe choice, and while he's not incredible, he is above average and seems to be settling in nicely. I love his on-base skills.
Posted by: trevor | May 09, 2009 at 11:38 AM
Nobody should really be arguing that salty is better than McCann...thats a pretty stupid arguement. McCann is a beast, one of the top two or three catchers in the majors right now. But I don't know that I'd discount salty as a good catcher either, he's putting up good numbers, and it's one of the hardest positions to fill with a quality player on the field.
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 11:40 AM
1. Hoping for 2 picks is risky. Just ask the Brewers, Blue Jays, Yankees, and Diamondbacks (and about a dozen other teams) about that. Either their players were signed and they received NO first round picks or they decided not to offer arbitration to type A's. Point is, you can't just assume that you will land a 1st round pick. Odds are against you that you will receive your full compensation.
2. Kotchman does not have power. NONE. 35 HR's in 1550 PA's is pathetic. He doesn't hit for a high enough average or take enough walks to justify that. And while his defense is outstanding (arguably the best in baseball), that does not push him into the above average category. I like Kotchman a lot but at this stage he is a major bust. He was supposed to be a guy with great discipline, a high BA (320+) and 20-25 HR capability. So far, none of that has happened.
Posted by: bjsguess | May 09, 2009 at 11:41 AM
No doubt ski, Salty could be a very good catcher in the following years. I just think he's due for a little regression this season.
Posted by: trevor | May 09, 2009 at 11:43 AM
Kotchman doesn't have much HR power, but he has good doubles power. Where are you getting this 20-25 hr number? He has NEVER hit that many in pro baseball. He's doing really well this year and to call him a bust is extremely premature.
Posted by: trevor | May 09, 2009 at 11:46 AM
"1. Hoping for 2 picks is risky. Just ask the Brewers, Blue Jays, Yankees, and Diamondbacks (and about a dozen other teams) about that. Either their players were signed and they received NO first round picks or they decided not to offer arbitration to type A's. Point is, you can't just assume that you will land a 1st round pick. Odds are against you that you will receive your full compensation."
Bad example. Those teams didnt get First Rounders because the Yankees signed Tex - the very person in question. Atlanta was guaranteed to get their picks
“Nick Johnson??? The guy who missed all of 2007 and most of 2008? I think that to depend on him is an extremely poor decision for a front office. Kotchman is the safe choice,”
It is not about the “safe” choice – its about which would you rather have. Feliz/Andrus/Salty AND Johnson or Garko or one of the other cheap 1B options that were out there over the offseason OR just Kotchman?
Posted by: SuzysMan | May 09, 2009 at 11:47 AM
"And SWP, tryin to defend my team"
But not so much by misrepresenting facts so much as making things up. It was a dumb statement to make. Own up to that.
"I think Salty's numbers are the fluke right now."
And you're going to completely ignore the fact that he's still just 24 and my statement was still more to draw out the comparison to him and Ross? Let me make it much more clear: McCann is dealing with an issue right now, if at the beginning of the season you were told McCann would miss a significant amount of time which of the following players would you prefer behind the plate - Salty, a 24 year old prospect who has yet to reach his potential, or Ross, a journeyman catcher whose career line is far from inspiring. I never said Salty was better than McCann. Braves for NL East was flaunting Ross being better than Salty using his numbers, I used the same numbers to show something similiar. The truth is McCann > Salty > Ross.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | May 09, 2009 at 11:48 AM
Match Kotchman up against other teams 1st baseman, and honestly tell me he fits in the top 1/2 to make him above average. Tex, Youk, Pena, Cabrera, Morneau, Howard, Delgado, Cantu, Pujols, Fielder, Berkman, Gonzalez, and Votto are all no-brainers to take in front of Kotch. There's plenty of guys like Lee, Loney, Chris Davis, and Paul Konerko who you could make arguments that are better 1st basemen. He's not above average...Prince Filder is above average. Carlos Delgado is above average. Joey Votto is above average. Kotchman is average to below average, nothing special, and playing one of the easiest positions on the diamond to fill.
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 11:51 AM
OK, here's my position on the issue. I feel like Kotchman and Marek was a somewhat fair return. It's no Youkilis and Hansen or Matt LaPorta, but Kotchman is a decent enough player. He's currently one of our best hitters, mainly because most of our hitters really , REALLY suck. I think the organization handicapped itself when they demanded a MLB first baseman in return for Tex. Trading him meant punting on the season so nothing was an immediate need. I'd have taken the best return possible regardless of position. Maybe that was Kotchman and Marek. I don't know. Speaking of Marek, he was looking like a solid late-innings bullpen guy until spring training. He came to camp about 30 pounds overweight. And I'm not even joking. I saw him in the southern league last year and in spring training. He went from a few extra pounds to looking like Joba in an offseason. At the time of the trade, though, he was a legit prospect. Back to the origional thought. I would trade Kotchman and Marek for Feliz right now. Salty, probably not. Andrus, probably not (even though Escobar has done nothing but p!ss me off all season). And Harrison I definetly wouldn't acquire for Kotchman and Marek. It was a crappy trade and I didn't approve at the time and I've never approved, but Wren did a pretty decent job of cleaning up Schuerholz's mess and I'm fairly content with that portion of the Saga. This draft class doesn't really look that great so netting Kotchman was probably a best-case scenario. Every team that has acquired Teixeira has failed miserably so far. Seriously, the Braves offense scored more runs without Teixeira than with him, the Angels exited the playoffs early again like they would have without him, and the Yankees are off to a terrible start. I'm glad the whole saga is over. Scott Boras is a snake.
Posted by: PWHjort | May 09, 2009 at 12:26 PM
SkiBolton, it is also important to consider defense. And Kotchman is one of the best defensive first baseman in the game. I know it is an easy position to field and you can only save so many runs at first, but it shouldn't be overlooked when evaluating players.
Posted by: PWHjort | May 09, 2009 at 12:32 PM
Salty wouldn't have much room to make an impact on our team so he would've been part of another deal had we not moved him for Teixeira.
Posted by: PWHjort | May 09, 2009 at 12:34 PM
I've watched every game this season that Salty has caught, and he's improved SO much from last year defensively. He has shown quicker feet, better blocking, and an accurate, strong throw to 2nd. As a batter he is streaky, but he's been putting up good numbers this season, and I think a lot of his trouble last year was due to him only playing about 2 games a week as the junior member of that platoon with Laird. He's no McCann at this point, but if you look at his numbers, across the board you could make a strong case for him as a top 10 catcher in the AL, and possibly top 15 in all of baseball over the course of a whole season.
So Salty is a good.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | May 09, 2009 at 12:35 PM
PWHjort...you're dead on with the fact that schurholtz left a heck of a mess...the tex trade never should have been made in the first place. I think you're severely discounting the value of andrus and salty though. They may not fit in with the needs of the big league club right now, but they are very good prospects at the two premium defensive positions on the field. Both of those guys could be huge chips to use for pitching. Boston wasn't willing to do salty for bucholtz straight up, but you have to wonder if they would have done it for andrus and salty, filling their two biggest needs right now. Those guys would have been a great start to a peavy package, and I think there trae value alone would make them more valueable than kotch and marek.
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 12:35 PM
"Salty wouldn't have much room to make an impact on our team so he would've been part of another deal had we not moved him for Teixeira."
He could be at first now though. And when they traded Tex, they wouldnt have needed to receive a 1B in return. He has more upside then Kotchman, and a better player should have been received for Mark.
Posted by: SuzysMan | May 09, 2009 at 12:43 PM
Just taking the facts so far this season, Kotchman is better than Tex. Add the "I'll play anywhere for money", "I'll sign with the bastard agent of baseball", "Screw the team I'm with, just do all that you can for ME, ME, me, me...me!" I'm glad we have Kotchman.
Posted by: secretone | May 09, 2009 at 12:48 PM
So you're saying you shouldn't have signed lowe since he's a boras guy?
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 01:06 PM
Guess you shouldn't have asked for jair in the renteria trade since he's a boras guy...
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 01:10 PM
So no team passes on Manny, therefore sending the message that even though steroids are illegal to take without a prescription and against MLB policy, it's ok if players do them?
Cute.''
Im sorry, but your saying that you wouldnt take Mannys 320-35-115+ a year, for 5M? well your not a GM for a reason. The reason teams wouldnt pass on his is because it wasnt an anobaolic steriod or HGH, it was a sex drug. Calm down
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 09, 2009 at 01:10 PM
"Just taking the facts so far this season.....I'm glad we have Kotchman."
Posted by: secretone | May 09, 2009 at 01:10 PM
The other kid, hernandez, that they got in the renteria trade is a boras client too...
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 01:11 PM
It was not a "sex drug".
Reports have said it is similar to Clomid which boosts a person's testosterone when the body can not naturally produce enough. To boot, this was a drug designed primarily for WOMEN!
Manny is not Bonds and that is why every team would be willing to pay him a measly $5mm.
Posted by: Bernie Brewer | May 09, 2009 at 02:23 PM
Didn't pretty much every team except the Dodgers pass on Manny before the drug violation suspension? What makes this Law think all of a sudden "no team would pass on Manny", does his being a juicer all of a sudden make him a "hot commodity? I think there are still at least a few teams that wouldn't take Manny and all of his "Manny being Barry" antics if he played for free. Who really needs that circus?
Posted by: A | May 09, 2009 at 02:31 PM
“The reason teams wouldnt pass on his is because it wasnt an anobaolic steriod or HGH, it was a sex drug. Calm down”
Yeah, it isnt a sex drug. It is used in pregnancies for women and to normalize testosterone after steroids in men. In some rare cases it is given to men to create more active, mature sperm (the only other thing it does) but it is not commonly prescribed to do so, and wouldn’t be subscribed to athletes for this since it is banned. Besides, do you really think Manny has inactive sperm with three children already – and if so, why didn’t he tell the appeals office “I was just trying to have a child” and possibly have the suspension reduced?
“Manny is not Bonds and that is why every team would be willing to pay him a measly $5mm”
I don’t think every team would. It was just an opinion by one person. Manny is quickly approaching the negativity level of Bonds with regard to a traveling circus and steroid implications. 5Mil isnt much for a 37 YO (or whatever) with a bat like that (as opposed to Bonds who was 42+) but…
Posted by: SuzysMan | May 09, 2009 at 02:43 PM
Oh god. Was the Newberg report just "salt in the wound" to Braves fans or something? Now, I obviously hate the first Teixeira trade because I don't like when division rivals get
1. Salty is a young catcher with massive upside. Yes, he is better than Ross even despite this hot streak of Ross's, but McCann is a top 3 catcher in MLB.
2. Feliz is still an elite SP prospect with ace potential.
3. Andrus is still an elite SS prospect. Would he be blocked on the MLB club? Yes. Is he a HUGE trade chip? Absolutely. How many teams have nothing long term at SS and could give up some young pitching?
4. Harrison is a 5th starter. THOSE ARE ACTUALLY PRETTY VALUABLE.
5. Kotchman is also pretty damn valuable, as he is a really REALLY good defensive 1B, and is a decent hitter.
6. The first Teixeira trade was horrible for the Braves. John Schuerholtz's biggest weakness IMO was those rental trades. Adam Wainwright anyone? Knowing the uncertainty of any draft crop (especially since this draft crop is weak), I think Wren was smart to take the Kotchman/Marek offer and fly with it. It's not a bad return for 1/2 year of Teixeira + 2 draft picks.
Posted by: melonis rex | May 09, 2009 at 03:28 PM
It's really hard to say this is a weak draft...it's always such a crapshoot.
Posted by: SkiBolton | May 09, 2009 at 03:44 PM
I don't necessarily think that the Newberg report was dead wrong, but I don't think I would be willing to trade Kotchman AND Marek for Harrison, and probably not the others either. I still think Feliz, Salty, and Andrus have lots of potential and I agree, the first Teixeira trade was pretty much terrible.
"And you're going to completely ignore the fact that he's still just 24 and my statement was still more to draw out the comparison to him and Ross?"
Yes, I'm ignoring that he's 24, despite saying right before your comment that I thought he had a lot of potential and was still very young. Good job. And I only thought you were comparing McCann and Salty because you compared their numbers twice, using batting average and OPS to say that Salty is hitting better right now, which is kind of borderline to untrue.
Posted by: trevor | May 09, 2009 at 06:05 PM
At the time of the trade Feliz was the most valuable piece with Salty close behind and Andrus close behind him. Since the trade Feliz's value has shot through the roof after he made it all the way to AA in his full season debut where he continued to dominate. He'll most likely be the best pitching prospect in MiLB next year (assuming Strasburg will already be in MLB).
Posted by: PWHjort | May 09, 2009 at 06:20 PM
Don't all men take drugs supposedly meant for women even when they have artificially high levels of synthetic testosterone in their bodies? Do people even listen to what they are writing? Manny has been caught taking steroids( yes, testosterone is a steroid geniuses) and probably juiced his WHOLE CAREER unless you think he started 5 years after testing began.
Posted by: RED SOX DYNASTY! | May 09, 2009 at 09:01 PM
So...
Felix Pie gets pushed out of the Cubs because of Joey Gathright. About two months later, Felix Pie gets pushed out of the Orioles because of Joey Gathright.
Well, not really, but seems wierd.
If I were Pie, I would:
1) Start taking my baseball career very serious and start to hit and get on base.
2) Not invite Joey Gathright to any holiday dinner.
Posted by: studio179 | May 10, 2009 at 12:32 AM
Wow, when you get pushed off of two clubs by Gathright, what does that say about you? That is kind of like being replaced on the job, not once, but twice, by a helper monkey.
Do they have helper monkeys?
They should have helper monkeys!
Mojo!
Posted by: SuzysMan | May 10, 2009 at 11:14 AM
"On ESPN Radio, Keith Law says no team would pass on Manny Ramirez if he's available for $5MM in the near future"
I can think of at least one that would.
Posted by: Little Bear | May 10, 2009 at 03:10 PM