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By Ben Nicholson-Smith [June 30, 2009 at 11:53am CST]
ESPN.com's Buster Olney imagines there will be a long lineup of suitors for Felix Hernandez when he hits free agency after the 2011 season. Players as good as King Felix will sign massive deals regardless of the economy, Olney says. Here are the rest of his rumors:
- The Reds, who are looking for a right-handed bat, will probably choose between marginal improvements and busting the budget for a pricier hitter like Matt Holliday or Jermaine Dye. They'd have to give up better prospects to obtain the salary relief they'd like, but they're reluctant to part with top talent.
- For those wondering if Jermaine Dye could fit in San Francisco, Olney says the White Sox and Giants don't match up particularly well.
- Olney suggests the Red Sox should trade for a first baseman and move Kevin Youkilis over to third if Mike Lowell has to miss much time,
- It makes sense for the Rockies to play Garrett Atkins more. Not only is he hitting better, teams will have more interest in Atkins if they see him perform well.
- Any deal that makes the Indians stronger for 2010 is worth making if they aren't going to contend this year. Cleveland's now 12.0 games out of a playoff spot.
If Cleveland is indeed doing a firesale the Red Sox could get V-Mart to play 1B
Posted by: drumzalicious | June 30, 2009 at 11:56 AM
Since everybody seems to think Yunel Escobar is headed to Boston, why not include Kotchman? Wonder if Atlanta could get, say, Lowrie ++?
Personally, the only person I'd trade Escobar to Boston for is Youkilis, but that ain't happening...
Posted by: daslied | June 30, 2009 at 12:13 PM
Would The Reds do a Homer Bailey for Josh Willingham swap. Sounds even for both teams as Willingham is a power bat under team control for a while and Bailey was once a top prospect who could benefit from a change of scenery.
Posted by: metfan57 | June 30, 2009 at 12:20 PM
I think the reds still over-value bailey to swap him for Willingham. Honestly, the reds should just throw in the towel and firesale some of the elders, in order to compete next year. Rhodes, Arroyo, Weathers, and RHernandez are all valuable and could net prospects. Then they could get Bailey into the rotation and make him work out the kinks, get Hannigan some more playing time and go after a big bat in the off season.
Posted by: DocBot | June 30, 2009 at 12:29 PM
"Personally, the only person I'd trade Escobar to Boston for is Youkilis, but that ain't happening..."
Yes, you're right... Beckett, Lester, Bay, Pedroia, Papelbon... the entire bullpen.
They are all inferior to Escobar.
Posted by: carini26 | June 30, 2009 at 12:29 PM
Um, trades are meant to fill needs. Youkilis has mad power. The Braves do not. Bay's great, but he's a free agent in a few months. Beckett, Lester and Papelbon are great, but Atlanta has plenty of starting pitching and two closers. Pedroia might be nice, but he's less likely to go than Youkilis.
Sounded for years like Boston wants a shortstop. Gee, the teams match up in terms of needs!
This is MLBTRADErumors.com, not MLBWhosBetter.com.
Posted by: daslied | June 30, 2009 at 12:45 PM
Yes, and part of TRADES is the skill of the two players. Yunel Escobar, while a good SS, is NOT the player Kevin Youkilis is. T
herefore, the trade wouldn't make sense for Boston.
Posted by: RedSox21 | June 30, 2009 at 01:00 PM
No way the Reds trade Bailey for Willingham. If they are willing to move Bailey it would be in a bigger deal (Dye/Holliday).
Posted by: Slasher | June 30, 2009 at 01:01 PM
RedSox21 - correct. That's why I said "but that ain't happening".
Posted by: daslied | June 30, 2009 at 01:03 PM
Escobar isn't going to Boston. No lazy head cases allowed and especially SS that don't want to field, already had a run with the tail end of Garciaparra's career, Rent-A-Wreck and now Lugo and the Sox FO isn't going to take on another "problem child" like Escobar, that is EXACTLY like Rey Quinones that the Sox had in the mid 80's for a year and dumped off for Spike Owen to be rid of.
Posted by: johns | June 30, 2009 at 01:17 PM
If Cleveland is indeed doing a firesale the Red Sox could get V-Mart to play 1B
Posted by: drumzalicious | June 30, 2009 at 11:56 AM
Shapiro is no doubt going to ask for the moon for V-Mart if he got his closer of the future and PTBNL for a half season of a cheap DeRosa contract.
Posted by: carini26 | June 30, 2009 at 01:22 PM
"Escobar isn't going to Boston. No lazy head cases allowed and especially SS that don't want to field, already had a run with the tail end of Garciaparra's career, Rent-A-Wreck and now Lugo and the Sox FO isn't going to take on another "problem child" like Escobar, that is EXACTLY like Rey Quinones that the Sox had in the mid 80's for a year and dumped off for Spike Owen to be rid of."
You're also forgetting O-Cab, who was apparently a nightmare in the clubhouse... still is, according to the Angels and Chi Sox.
Posted by: carini26 | June 30, 2009 at 01:27 PM
I agree (and hope) that Escobar isn't going to Boston, or anywhere. Forgot about the troubled Red Sox history with the SS position...weird.
Well, at least Yunel is good, unlike Renteria in 2005, 2004 Nomar and Lugo at any point.
Posted by: daslied | June 30, 2009 at 01:36 PM
Get a grip, man. Wow.
Posted by: daslied | June 30, 2009 at 01:46 PM
Where the hell is all this "Yunel Escobar is a headcase" talk coming from?
Posted by: melonis rex | June 30, 2009 at 01:50 PM
I honestly don't get a lot of the hostility towards Escobar. Yeah, he makes some mental mistakes and he clearly got way more upset than he should have with the recent scoring decision that apparently led to him sitting the past few days, but he's still a young guy and he's among the most talented young SS in the game. If the Braves end up trading him for pennies on the dollar just because he doesn't have the best relationship with Chipper and Bobby, I'm going to be real worried about the future of this organization.
Posted by: nixa37 | June 30, 2009 at 01:55 PM
He apparently doesn't fit in that well in the clubhouse, (probably because) Chipper and Bobby don't seem to like him, he's made a few mental mistakes this year, and he got really pissed about the official scorer charging him with an error on a play that probably should have been scored a hit. Because he's not a "perfect Brave" and he's not white everyone seems to blow everything out of proportion.
Posted by: nixa37 | June 30, 2009 at 01:59 PM
Melonis/Nixa - I have no idea. He makes some stupid mistakes, but I don't think he's crazy or anything.
And yes, if he's traded because he and Bobby don't have an ideal relationship then I worry for the future of Atlanta.
Posted by: daslied | June 30, 2009 at 02:02 PM
I think it would be a huge mistake if the Reds didn't go out and get a Dye/Holliday type. They haven't been to the playoffs since 95 and have a shot to do it this year. Say what you want about how they are 'average', but they're 2.5 games out of first in a weak division. They've been playing without their best player for a month now and Bruce has been struggling all season. With Votto coming back and Bruce picking up some slack, the addition of a Dye/Holliday can bolster the Reds into the playoffs.
Bailey + mid level prospect for Dye
Bailey + Dickerson + Wood for Holliday
Posted by: Redman | June 30, 2009 at 02:17 PM
I personally get sick and tired every year when Reds fans say that they should trade their veterans for prospects. The Reds have the BEST rated farm system in the major leagues right now. Why would they need MORE prospects? Let alone, trade their best relievers out of their pen for them?
Trades are meant to fill needs, and the Reds don't need more prospects. They have plenty. They need RAW major league talent to fill a gap in the lineup and on the field. Particularly a SS.
Posted by: Rob Dicken | June 30, 2009 at 02:17 PM
Actually Rob, the Rangers have the best farm system according to most experts and the Reds are just midde-of-the-pack. That's what happens when guys like Bruce, Votto and Cueto graduate to the big leagues.
Posted by: MickS | June 30, 2009 at 02:23 PM
"Actually Rob, the Rangers have the best farm system according to most experts and the Reds are just midde-of-the-pack. That's what happens when guys like Bruce, Votto and Cueto graduate to the big leagues."
The top 2 farm systems, Rangers and A's, both promoted a TON of guys, so it'll be interesting to see how the systems rank after this season. Teagarden, Salty, Andrus, Holland won't qualify for prospect status next year, same with the A's system and Mazarro, Anderson, Cahill, Outman, Gio, Bailey, and Cunningham probably won't on the A's side.
"Trades are meant to fill needs, and the Reds don't need more prospects. They have plenty. They need RAW major league talent to fill a gap in the lineup and on the field. Particularly a SS."
Raw, young major league talent is so rarely traded though. You're more likely to get them as prospects who are close to MLB ready (as in AA or higher).
Posted by: melonis rex | June 30, 2009 at 02:35 PM
Redman:
If the Reds wanted Dye, they'd start with Dickerson. I doubt they have interest in trading such a solid player in Dye for such a big question mark in Bailey.
Posted by: Cold Golden Falstaff | June 30, 2009 at 02:41 PM
Dye may very well be solid, but given the current market conditions he's also clearly overpaid. Given that you also can't really risk offering him arbitration and thus can't get draft picks once he leaves, he becomes even less appealing. As a fan of neither team, I don't even know if I'd trade Bailey straight up for Dye.
Posted by: nixa37 | June 30, 2009 at 02:56 PM
the reds should trade Arroyo and Thompson for Dye
they could also trade Arroyo and a top prospect for Vernon Wells or Alex Rios since the Jays want to lose one of the salaries to help pay for Roy Halladay
Posted by: Reds420 | June 30, 2009 at 03:11 PM
the reds should trade Arroyo and Thompson for Dye
they could also trade Arroyo and a top prospect for Vernon Wells or Alex Rios since the Jays want to lose one of the salaries to help pay for Roy Halladay
Posted by: Reds420 | June 30, 2009 at 03:11 PM
maybe you could get Wells for Arroyo and top prospect, but not Rios, he'd still demand a ton.
Posted by: rype123 | June 30, 2009 at 03:20 PM
Didn't I hear that Arroyo is having some kind of surgery or did I mis-read.
Posted by: MickS | June 30, 2009 at 03:36 PM
No self-respecting Red Sox fan wants anything to do with Yunel Escobar - who is little more than an Edgar Renteria clone on defense. So I suggest you try peddling that turd somewhere else.
Posted by: midtown | June 30, 2009 at 01:38 PM
Edgar Rentia clone???? Are you serious? Yunel is one of the best young shortstops in baseball both offensively AND defensively. I don't want him to be traded because I think he is the best player on the team short of Brian McCann. Unfortunately, he doesn't get along with Booby so he will probably be traded for peanuts. Then the Braves can get the boring .235 hitting shortstop they they seem to like so much.
Posted by: BravesAllTheWay | June 30, 2009 at 04:08 PM
RE: Lowell, Red Sox -
Johnny Peralta to play 3rd for the Sox I'd think would be a solid fit. This way when/if Lowell can come off the DL the Sox can use Peralta at SS (on occasion) for the extra bat.
With Kotsay being solid defensively as well as a decent "professional hitter" (i.e he doesn't give away at bats but isn't exactly super productive either) the Sox probably aren't pressed to find a solution for Lowell.
Other possible options(although the first 2 are from AL East teams)
1. Aubrey Huff or Ty Wigginton
2. Scott Rolen or Lyle Overbay
3. Ryan Garko
4. Mark Teahen
5. Todd Helton (expensive but the Sox do have room in the budget for a move like this that won't cost prospects; just cash)
6. Chris Duncan - The Cards have too many OF's and Duncan really isn't that good; but he can "play" first.
7. Kevin Kouzmanoff
8. Jorge Cantu
Basically; its a pretty long list of available options so I don't see the Sox jumping in on the "best" guy and overpaying.
Posted by: baxter4218 | June 30, 2009 at 04:09 PM
If something has to happen, I'd love to see Helton with the Sox. He may be a bit of a product of Coors but that short right field fence would work just fine for him. I've also always been a fan.
Again, I don't think it's going to need to come to that, but I'd like that scenario.
Posted by: RedSox21 | June 30, 2009 at 04:32 PM
Teahan for the Sox would be a younger version of DeRosa it seems with his fielding versatility. We got the Royals to bite on taking Crisp....think we could get them to take Lugo? I know that's a dream scenario........
Posted by: turnthe2 | June 30, 2009 at 04:40 PM
If the Reds didn't trade Bailey in the offseason for Dye, I don't see him going anywhere now. Unless it is for a big name like Matt Holliday and as long as the Reds can work out a long-term deal with him. Bailey for 3 months of Holliday ain't happening. Now I can see them trading Bronson Arroyo. He salary is inflated and he's got that carpal tunnel thing going on.
Posted by: BigRedOne | June 30, 2009 at 04:41 PM
nixa + BravesAllTheWay:
If Escobar is being shopped around due to issues with Cox, do you think a deal with the A's, most likely involving two of the A's top position prospects and non-MAC/Ynoa pitching would fly? Braves probably would need some middle IF help and some young corner OF help, I'd think?
Posted by: melonis rex | June 30, 2009 at 04:43 PM
Helton won't be traded, btw. He's the franchise player and borderline HOF caliber. There would be riots in Colorado if that happened.
Posted by: melonis rex | June 30, 2009 at 04:46 PM
They Have a 1B Prospect already in AA, why can't they just wait till he's ready in a year or so & bring him up. If there looking for help now, why not go after Nick Johnson.
Posted by: Ms4life | June 30, 2009 at 06:41 PM
Cleveland looking to address their bullpen problems and Boston needing a guy for 3rd how about a deal sending Peralta to Boston and Bard coming back to Cleveland in the deal.
Posted by: baseballnuts | June 30, 2009 at 07:16 PM
maloney,taveras and minor leaguer for yunel
dye- homer bailey, chris dickerson,valkia for dye or bailey arroyo and dickerson for dye
what you guys think?
maybe we can get jhonny to play third for
Posted by: kwhizz2011 | June 30, 2009 at 09:07 PM
jhonny for frazier and tompson
Posted by: kwhizz2011 | June 30, 2009 at 09:08 PM
Yumel is far more valuable than Dye as a trade chip, yet you have the Reds giving up far less to get him. I don't care how upset the Braves are with him, they still laugh at that ridiculous offer as the phone gets hung up.
Posted by: nixa37 | June 30, 2009 at 09:19 PM
the curse of nomar, the red sox are cursed at that position
Posted by: Cwsbaseballyes | July 01, 2009 at 02:04 AM
for the reds to get yunel it would take Stubbs, Bailey or Alonso, Thompson to get that done not Maloney and garbage....
Posted by: Vottomatic | July 01, 2009 at 08:58 PM
As for dye the only way the reds pull that trigger is if the chisox take carpel tunnel arroyo and is outrageous contract.
Posted by: Vottomatic | July 01, 2009 at 09:01 PM