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Archives for April 2013

NL East Notes: Wheeler, D’Arnaud, Simmons, Nolasco

By Tim Dierkes | April 18, 2013 at 2:46pm CDT

The day after he was rocked for six earned runs in 1 2/3 innings, the Phillies placed lefty John Lannan on the DL with a strained quadriceps in his left knee.  There's no word yet on who will replace him in the rotation, but he could be out six-to-eight weeks.  Tonight, the fourth-place Phillies and Cole Hamels host Adam Wainwright and the first-place Cardinals.  Elsewhere in the NL East:

  • "Let's just say if this continues, certainly we've gotta start visiting that here pretty soon," Mets manager Terry Collins told Mike Francesa of WFAN in regard to a question about quality reinforcements including top pitching prospect Zack Wheeler.  The Mets' rotation has struggled beyond Matt Harvey and Jon Niese.  GM Sandy Alderson was noncommittal, telling Kristie Ackert of the New York Daily News, "It was always a case that it would be Zack’s sufficiency and the major-league team’s need.  If those two things merge, the need and the performance converge, then it is a possibility.  That could happen sooner or it could happen later."  Ackert hears that people within the organization privately do not feel Wheeler is ready, plus the Mets would like to avoid the pitcher achieving Super Two status after the 2015 season (necessitating a promotion in mid-June or later).
  • Meanwhile, another top Mets prospect won't be seeing Citi Field anytime soon.  Catcher Travis D'Arnaud, acquired from Toronto in the R.A. Dickey trade, fractured a bone in his left foot yesterday in a Triple-A game.
  • The Nationals' depth is on display, explains James Wagner of the Washington Post, with Kurt Suzuki seamlessly taking over as the starting catcher after Wilson Ramos suffered a hamstring injury.     
  • Braves shortstop Andrelton Simmons is now represented by SFX, MLBTR has learned.  He'd previously been with The Sparta Group, up until the August switch.  A few new additions to our agency database include Jonathan Gray (advised by Jay Franklin of BBI Sports Group), Oswaldo Arcia (Martin Arburua), and Tony Cingrani (Curtis Dishman).
  • "He's decent for a club that needs a starter. There are worse No. 5 starters in the big leagues right now, but he's not the pitcher he used to be," a scout told Jon Heyman of CBS Sports in reference to the Marlins' Ricky Nolasco.  Nolasco, Miami's highest-paid player by a long-shot at $11.5MM, is a strong candidate to be traded this summer.
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Atlanta Braves Miami Marlins New York Mets Washington Nationals Andrelton Simmons Ricky Nolasco Travis D'Arnaud Zach Wheeler

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Draft Notes: Gray, Appel

By Tim Dierkes | April 18, 2013 at 1:08pm CDT

The 2013 Rule 4 draft takes place on June 6th, with the Astros, Cubs, Rockies, Twins, and Indians taking the first five picks.  You can check out the full draft order here.  The latest draft info:

  • 6-foot-4, 240 pound Oklahoma righty Jonathan Gray is shooting up draft boards.  ESPN's Keith Law had him eighth on March 14th, but now has him as the clear number two player behind another college righty, Stanford's Mark Appel.  Gray, who hit 101 in several recent games according to scouts who talked to Jon Heyman of CBS Sports, was drafted by the Royals in the 13th round in 2010 and the Yankees in the 10th round in 2011, and now projects to go very early in the 2013 draft.  Oklahoma head baseball coach Sunny Golloway told ESPN's Teddy Mitrosilis, "He's going to Houston or the Cubs, No. 1 or No. 2."
  • Appel is "still clearly the best player in this draft," in the eyes of Law.  Law wonders if the Astros or Cubs can "try to work out a deal less than the recommended bonus number but more than the figure Appel turned down from the Pirates last year ($3.8 million), with the carrot of a big league callup in September if he throws well after signing."  Appel is an advisee of the Boras Corporation.
  • Prep outfielder Austin Meadows, college lefty Sean Manaea, and prep righty Kohl Stewart are the next three players on Law's draft board, which is ranks players by talent and upside and is not a mock draft.
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2013 Amateur Draft Chicago Cubs Houston Astros Jonathan Gray

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Astros Designate Xavier Cedeno For Assignment

By Tim Dierkes | April 18, 2013 at 11:35am CDT

The Astros designated lefty reliever Xavier Cedeno for assignment to open a 40-man roster spot for infielder Brandon Laird, according to a team press release.  The Astros also optioned Brett Wallace to Triple-A.

Cedeno, 26, was scored upon in four of his five appearances this year.  In 2012, he posted a 3.77 ERA, 10.5 K/9, 4.1 BB/9, 0.87 HR/9, and 50.0% groundball rate in 31 relief innings, tossing another 27 2/3 innings at Triple-A.  A native of Puerto Rico, Cedeno was drafted by the Rockies in the 31st round in 2004.  They released him in March 2010, and he signed with the Astros as a free agent in December of that year.  Cedeno made seven appearances in the World Baseball Classic this year for Puerto Rico.

Astros GM Jeff Luhnow professed a desire to keep Cedeno in the organization, reports MLB.com's Brian McTaggart.

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Houston Astros Transactions Xavier Cedeno

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AL Notes: Victorino, Peavy, La Russa

By Tim Dierkes | April 18, 2013 at 11:32am CDT

26-year-old Yankees righty Phil Hughes makes his third start of the year tonight against the Diamondbacks after being hit hard in his first two outings.  He's a free agent after the season, and John Harper of the New York Daily News opined on Saturday, "Hughes is a useful pitcher who probably will get a multi-year contract with a National League team that will hope his 4.41 career ERA will improve if he pitches in a roomier ballpark against lineups without a DH."  Elsewhere around the American League:

  • Why did the Red Sox target Shane Victorino during the offseason?  WEEI's Alex Speier lists four reasons: defense, the lack of draft pick compensation required, the ability to get him on a shorter term, and his fit in their market.
  • "When you get to a point that I am in my career, no-trade (clauses) mean nothing to me," said White Sox righty Jake Peavy to Mark Gonzales of the Chicago Tribune, in explaining why he didn't require one in his recent two-year deal with the team.  Peavy hopes to win a World Series in Chicago, but he acknowledged that if the Sox look to trade him at some point, it would only be if the team is not contending.  Peavy was nearly traded to the Blue Jays in October before signing, we learned Tuesday from Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca.
  • "I'm not going to manage again," Tony La Russa told Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports amid "industry speculation" that he could replace Mike Scioscia as Angels manager.  La Russa, currently working in the commissioner's office, intends to eventually join a team in an executive capacity.
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Boston Red Sox Chicago White Sox Jake Peavy

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2014 Free Agent Power Rankings

By Tim Dierkes | April 18, 2013 at 9:42am CDT

Roughly nine percent of the regular season is in the books, and it's time for a new installment in our 2014 Free Agents Power Rankings series.  Since our last update, top potential free agent starter Adam Wainwright was locked up by the Cardinals through 2018.

The full list of players who will be eligible for free agency can be found here.

1.  Robinson Cano.  Interesting news earlier this month, as Cano fired agent Scott Boras in favor of CAA and Jay-Z's Roc Nation Sports.  Seasoned baseball agent Brodie Van Wagenen of CAA will take lead on contract negotiations, though the agent told Jon Heyman of CBS Sports Jay-Z will be "intimately involved."  There's a general feeling that Cano's agency switch makes an extension more likely, but we haven't heard of any progress on that front lately.  In an MLBTR poll a week ago of over 13,000 readers, 78% felt Cano would be extended by the Yankees.

2.  Jacoby Ellsbury.  Ellsbury is not off to a blazing start — he's got six extra-base hits in 67 plate appearances, but he's drawing fewer walks than ever.  I'm willing to overlook that for now and focus on the fact that the 29-year-old appears fully healthy.

3.  Shin-Soo Choo.  The 30-year-old doesn't appear suited for center field, but he's off to a great start offensively.  With good health, he could hit 15+ home runs and score 100 with his usual solid OBP, which should play quite well in free agency.

4.  Josh Johnson.  JJ looked good in his last start against the White Sox, a nice bounceback from a career-worst 1 1/3 inning stint against Detroit.  In an MLBTR poll Monday of over 15,000 readers, Johnson was voted the best free agent starter of the upcoming class.  However, he won that vote with about 19.6% of the total, and plenty of readers favored Tim Lincecum, Roy Halladay, Tim Hudson, Matt Garza, or Paul Maholm.

5.  Hunter Pence.  He's shown some pop in the early going, but Pence's walk rate is down and his strikeout rate is up.  Pence's ranking here is tenuous.

6.  Chase Utley.  A new entrant to this list, Utley is finally healthy and is hitting for big power.  His .566 slugging percentage ranks fourth among qualified second basemen.  A healthy campaign should lead to a multiyear deal, though at age 35 in December it may be difficult to find a third guaranteed year.

7.  Matt Garza.  That Garza ranks as the second best free agent starter speaks to the huge question marks in this free agent class, since he hasn't pitched in the Majors since July 21st of last year due to injuries.  Garza is slated for a minor league rehab appearance tomorrow, weather permitting, and Cubs manager Dale Sveum told reporters including Paul Sullivan of the Chicago Tribune that the righty will make four rehab starts before the team decides whether to activate him.

8.  Brian McCann.  As he rehabbed from shoulder surgery, McCann encountered some tenderness in his right wrist.  It's said to be a minor issue, and he should begin catching in extended spring training soon.

9.  Tim Lincecum.  There's been nothing positive about Lincecum's first three starts, as he leads MLB in walks allowed and has surrendered three home runs in 16 innings.  It's much too early to declare him finished as a useful starting pitcher, but he is in danger of dropping out of the top ten free agents.

10.  Roy Halladay.  It hasn't been much better for Doc, who looked quite bad in his first two starts of the season.  He did shut down the Giancarlo Stanton-less Marlins on Sunday, a team currently hitting .209/.272/.271.  Tomorrow's start against the Cardinals will be a better test.

Four starting pitchers are nipping at the heels of Lincecum and Halladay: Paul Maholm, A.J. Burnett, Tim Hudson, and Hiroki Kuroda.  Curtis Granderson does not yet have a timetable to resume swinging a bat after fracturing his right forearm, but perhaps he will return in May and make a run at the list.

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2014 Free Agent Power Rankings

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The Agency Choice: Big Or Small?

By Tim Dierkes | April 18, 2013 at 8:01am CDT

Do you prefer the personal service of your local mom-and-pop hardware store, or do you lean toward the advantages offered by a big box corporate establishment?  It's the type of choice we're faced with as consumers every day.  Similarly, baseball players with Major League aspirations must choose their representation, and a major factor is whether they prefer a big or small agency.

Reds right fielder Jay Bruce, who left the Boras Corporation for Sosnick Cobbe Sports when he was still in high school, told me in February, "If you take the baseball part out of it and think about small companies vs. big corporations, there's more personal service at a small company."  Rays righty Jake Odorizzi seems to agree, saying, "I think it's more personable, really, talking to the same guy about everything.  You don't feel like a dollar amount when you're in a smaller firm.  [At a big agency] I'm sure some of them get lost in translation a little bit."

Surely one gets better service at the local hardware store than at a chain, but is that really true of baseball agencies?  Baseball's most powerful and well-known agent, Scott Boras, certainly doesn't think so.  In a February conversation, he explained that having a 75-employee staff frees up more time for him to focus on what's important.  "In my job, I have the ability to focus on certain parts of representing the player: talking with them, dealing with them at the Major League level, talking about their approach, taking care of their needs.  All the administration, all the management of the company, all the things that have to do with the operation of the company are done by other staff members.  Frankly by being a company of size, the top executives can focus on players while they can also afford to hire people to do a lot of the work that is needed to operate a company.  When you have a small company and you have the jack of all trades doing all the things, buying the copy machines, renting the offices, paying the bills, doing all these administrative things, they lose focus that they have on the players."

B.B. Abbott of Jet Sports Management is one of three full-time employees at his agency, which represented Chipper Jones and currently has Brian McCann, Jonathan Broxton, Chris Sale, and top prospects like Zack Wheeler, Byron Buxton, and Mike Zunino.  Despite running a small agency, Abbott doesn't feel bogged down by administrative tasks.  "We have systems in place for the more administrative portions of our business and client representation.  I would argue that these systems and how they are structured allow for a more substantial and meaningful representation of our clients.  I would also tell you that I am completely informed and included in every decision for each of our clients, because I want to be.  That does not distract me from the more critical parts of the representation process because we feel as if we maintain a manageable number of clients."

Abbott highlighted the importance of his relationships with his clients.  He told me in an email, "The type of relationship I am talking about can ONLY come from spending time with a client and his family.  You cannot make that up with more resources, contracts and clients."  

The extra resources offered by large agencies matter to some players, however.  Mets first baseman Ike Davis, an Octagon client, told me in March, "There's just more people reaching out trying to improve your brand, getting more opportunities and more business ventures.  There's more connections and more hands that are working on stuff."  Boras, who boasted of a $6 million computer system, a 20-man arbitration staff, a scouting system, a sports fitness institute, and psychologists on staff, said, "I think it's very difficult for a boutique agency to offer all the necessary resources an athlete needs.  When you're talking about an agency that has less than ten employees, it would be very difficult for them to manage their Major Leaguers, manage their minor leaguers, and manage the people in the draft, mainly because if all the needs of all the players were to be taken care of – medical, psychological, growth, endorsement, contract, at all different levels."

Furthermore, Boras sees a conflict of interest in a small agency relying on a handful of players for its revenue.  "When you have a small number of players you run into something that's very difficult.  The teams know that one or two particular players are the revenue base, are the ability of existence of that company for the future, and thereby they can't afford to turn down contract proposals.  They can't afford to turn down $60 or 70 million so that the player in six months can make $200 million." 

The client's goals come first, countered Abbott, since the client ultimately calls the shots.  "The bottom line with any agency, big or small, should always be that decisions should be driven by what the client is trying to achieve.  Clients and their desires should always be at the forefront of that process, and those decisions are arrived at after considering all the information about a contract proposal and his/his family's future.  I know we pride ourselves on giving complete information to each player and family so that they can make the best decision for themselves.  That should be true of any agency, regardless of their size."

Both Abbott and Boras say they have intentionally limited the size of their agency. Abbott feels he offers the best of both worlds: "Complete full service and one stop shopping in an environment that thrives upon one on one contact, building relationships and providing extensive information to our clients and their families."  Boras feels his agency could also be bigger, but he would rather be picky.  "We represent players that have very high skill levels.  We have our own scouting system and we're very selective."  The numbers back that up, as the Boras Corporation ranks second in 2012 wins above replacement per Major League player.

The big versus small agency choice will always come down to personal preference.  Big firms will tell prospective clients about their resources and experience, and small groups will highlight personal service.  There seems to be plenty of room for both — by my count, 100 different agencies had at least one big leaguer contribute positive value in 2012.

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NL Central Notes: Brewers, Price, Cubs, Cardinals

By Zachary Links | April 17, 2013 at 10:20pm CDT

Earlier tonight, the Brewers picked up Francisco Rodriguez up on a minor league deal.  Here's more on K-Rod and other notes out of the National League Central..

  • Brewers GM Doug Melvin says that Rodriguez represents another option that they can go to if necessary and is a low-risk signing, writes MLB.com's Adam McCalvy.  Melvin also said that he spoke to a prosecutor before re-signing Rodriguez to ensure that Rodriguez’s legal troubles were closed.  The reliever was charged with misdemeanor domestic battery in September, but those charges were dropped.
  • In an interview with Mut & Merloni of WEEI, ESPN.com's Buster Olney said that he sees the Cubs as the most likely team to trade for the Rays' David Price with the Cardinals also in the mix.  In Olney's estimation, the Cards can blow everyone else out of the water if they decide to dip into their farm system to pull off a trade.
  • Henry Schulman of the San Francisco Chronicle (on Twitter) credited Melvin for picking up Yuniesky Betancourt late in the spring after he didn't hook on with the Phillies.  The signing looks particularly good at the moment after Betancourt's grand slam last night and third inning home run earlier this evening.
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How To Use MLBTR

By Zachary Links | April 17, 2013 at 8:47pm CDT

An explanation of the many ways to enjoy MLB Trade Rumors:

  • If the main site doesn't load perfectly on your cell phone, try the more mobile-friendly mlbtraderumors.mobi.  It's a simple page that shows you just the headlines and lets you click through to what you want to read.
  • If you're an iPhone user, be sure to pick up our app for the latest news and rumors. MLBTR just introduced an Android app as well.
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  • To return to the main page at any time, just click on the title or the Home button on the navigation bar below the title. 
  • The navigation bar will cover many of your needs.  Use the About dropdown to learn about this site or any of its writers. 
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  • MLBTR's Agency Database lets you know which agencies represent which players. It's searchable by team, agency or player, so be sure to check it out.
  • Feeds By Team is a very useful dropdown.  Hover over it to see all 30 teams.  Click on the team name to bring up a page of every post containing information about that team, with the latest on top.  These are the same pages you'll find if you go to the Rumors By Team section on the sidebar and select A's Rumors, Angels Rumors, etc.  
  • Also under the Feeds By Team dropdown, you'll find RSS and Twitter buttons.  Those links allow you to follow a single team's rumors via RSS or Twitter.  Did you know we have a separate Twitter account for each of the 30 teams?  For example you can follow @mlbtrtigers, where you would get the latest Tigers updates.
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Nationals Notes: Harper, Zimmerman, Skole

By Zachary Links | April 17, 2013 at 7:14pm CDT

Earlier this week, we learned that the Nationals' acquisition of Denard Span indirectly stemmed from maneuverings involving the Upton brothers.  Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports explained that the Nats made a strong attempt to deal for Justin Upton early in the offseason and when they realized that they couldn't land him, they refocused on finding a left-handed hitting center fielder who could bat leadoff.  However, they didn't get their man on the open market after B.J. Upton's lucrative five-year, $75MM deal scared them away from free agents.  Here's the latest out of Washington..

  • General Manager Mike Rizzo says it's too soon to discuss a contract extension for Bryce Harper, according to Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com (via Twitter).  Rizzo doesn't feel compelled to work on a new deal for Harper just yet since he is a "zero plus" player, meaning that he has less than one full year of service time under his belt.
  • While Ryan Zimmerman's throwing struggles have led some pundits to ask if the Nationals need to consider other options at third, Rizzo shot that notion down earlier today, writes Amanda Comak of the Washington Times.  “The Nationals do not need a new third baseman,” the GM said. “We’ve got one of the best, if not the best, third basemen in all of baseball. We love the guy. He’s ours. And I’m glad we have him.”
  • Rizzo also disclosed that prospect Matt Skole tore the UCL in his left elbow, Comak tweets.  Skole, who is ranked No. 4 in the Nats' system by Baseball America, will undergo Tommy John surgery and his recovery should take 3-4 months (link).
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Brewers Sign Francisco Rodriguez

By Zachary Links | April 17, 2013 at 6:08pm CDT

6:08pm: Rodriguez will get $2MM or more if he makes the big league squad, according to Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com (on Twitter).

5:23pm: The Brewers officially announced that they have signed Francisco Rodriguez to a minor league deal.  Milwaukee has 30 days to assign the reliever, who will train at the club's spring training facility in the interim.

The 31-year-old Rodriguez appeared in 78 games for the Brewers last season and posted a 4.38 ERA, 9.0 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 72 innings. He initially came to Milwaukee from the Mets in a trade during the final year of the three-year, $37MM contract he signed to be New York's closer. The Brewers offered Rodriguez arbitration following the 2011 season, and he made the surprising decision to accept, leaving GM Doug Melvin on the hook for an $8MM salary.

In his 11-year career, K-Rod has a 2.70 ERA, 11.0 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9 in 720 2/3 innings. His 294 saves rank 25th all-time, and he set the all-time single-season saves mark with 62 back in 2008 with the Angels.

MLB.com's Adam McCalvy first reported that the two sides were nearing a deal.  Steve Adams contributed to this post.

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