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Archives for July 2025

Orioles Place Félix Bautista On Injured List Due To Shoulder Discomfort

By Steve Adams | July 24, 2025 at 10:14am CDT

The Orioles announced Thursday that closer Félix Bautista has been placed on the 15-day injured list due to right shoulder discomfort. Righty Kade Strowd has been recalled from Triple-A Norfolk to take his spot on the active roster.

Bautista, 30, is in his first season back on the mound after missing the 2024 campaign due to Tommy John surgery. He has, in many ways, picked up where he left off pre-injury and reclaimed his status as a high-end reliever. He’s tossed 34 2/3 innings, saved 19 games and logged a 2.60 ERA with a gaudy 35.2% strikeout rate.

Bautista’s command, however, isn’t as sharp as it was prior to surgery. He’s walked 16.2% of his opponents this year — way up from the 10% mark he recorded in 2022-23. Bautista has also changed up his pitch selection, scrapping his four-seamer in favor of a sinker. That’s led to an uptick in grounders (50.7% in 2025 compared to 39.9% in 2022-23) but fewer whiffs. Impressive as that 35.2% strikeout rate is, it pales in comparison to the superhuman 46.4% rate he posted in 2023. Bautista’s sinker, notably, is sitting 97.2 mph — a good bit shy of the 99.3 mph he averaged on his four-seamer prior to surgery.

The Orioles control Bautista via arbitration for another two seasons beyond the current one. He’s come up in trade rumblings over the past month, but not because the Orioles have been shopping him. Contending clubs around the league have long since zeroed in on the Orioles as a club that will function as a seller on the summer market and have hoped to pry Bautista loose. The O’s have reportedly listened out of due diligence, but general manager Mike Elias has been clear that he has every intention of competing in 2026. Bautista will play a prominent role in that effort. Elias has, accordingly, been focused primarily on discussing players who are “towards the end of their contracts,” as he put it last week.

Whatever slim chance there was of a team making an overwhelming offer to convince the O’s to part with Bautista was dashed with today’s placement on the injured list. Contending clubs would almost certainly have balked at the exorbitant asking price even for a healthy Bautista. Now that there’s uncertainty regarding the health of his shoulder, it’ll be next to impossible for the O’s to find someone willing to meet whatever sky-high price they’d set.

Bautista is set for an MRI to determine the extent of the discomfort, which arose yesterday while he was getting loose in the bullpen, interim manager Tony Mansolino told the Orioles’ beat (link via Andy Kostka of the Baltimore Banner). Mansolino added that he’s not yet sure who will step into closing duties while Bautista is sidelined. Right-hander Seranthony Dominguez and left-hander Gregory Soto have been next in the pecking order in terms of high-leverage work for the Orioles, but they’re both impending free agents who will likely be traded within the next week. Hard-throwing Yennier Cano has plenty of experience in high-leverage spots but is in the midst of an uneven season that saw him optioned to Triple-A for a bit earlier this summer.

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Baltimore Orioles Felix Bautista Kade Strowd

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Rockies To Select Nick Anderson

By Steve Adams | July 24, 2025 at 9:49am CDT

The Rockies are set to select the contract of right-hander Nick Anderson from Triple-A Albuquerque, as first reported by Chase Ford of MiLB Central. Colorado is off today while traveling to Baltimore for a three-game set against the Orioles, so the move might not be formally announced until tomorrow.

Anderson, 35, signed a minor league pact with Colorado back in late May. He spent the early portion of the season with the Cardinals’ Triple-A club after originally signing a minor league deal with St. Louis. He opted out of that deal before landing with the Rox.

A veteran of five big league seasons, Anderson has an outstanding track record of results in the majors but a poor track record of health. Dating back to the 2020 season, he’s missed time with a shoulder strain, an internal brace procedure on his right ulnar collateral ligament, plantar fasciitis, a back strain and forearm inflammation.

When healthy enough to take the field, Anderson has pitched 158 1/3 innings with a 3.18 ERA, a 31.6% strikeout rate and a 7.8% walk rate. He boasts an excellent 34.1% opponents’ chase rate and 15.4% swinging-strike rate in his big league career.

Anderson has pitched 11 1/3 innings with the Rockies’ Triple-A club and allowed six runs on 13 hits and six walks (three intentional) with 15 strikeouts. It comes out to a 4.76 ERA, though nearly all of the damage against him came in one nightmare outing where he yielded four runs to the Padres’ Triple-A club without recording an out.

The Rockies’ 4.91 bullpen ERA is fifth-worst in the majors, and over the past month they’re at a 5.87 mark that ranks 28th in MLB. Jake Bird, their most effective reliever for much of the season, has run into a particularly rough patch over the past 30 days (10 runs in 8 2/3 frames). It’s not a surprise to see Colorado taking a look at a fresh arm.

Beyond that, it’s quite possible that some members of the bullpen will be shipped off to new clubs in the week between now and the July 31 trade deadline. Recent struggles notwithstanding, Bird stands as a logical trade candidate alongside veterans Tyler Kinley and Jimmy Herget. If the Rockies want to go a step further, controllable power arms like Seth Halvorsen and Victor Vodnik would surely command prominent interest. Vodnik is controlled through 2029, however, while Halvorsen is controlled all the way through 2030.

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Colorado Rockies Transactions Nick Anderson

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Padres Among Teams Interested In Sandy Alcantara

By Steve Adams | July 24, 2025 at 9:34am CDT

As the Padres gear up for a deadline that seems like it’ll see them operate on both the buying and selling side of the market, they’ve reached out to the Marlins to inquire about right-hander Sandy Alcantara, reports Dennis Lin of The Athletic.

San Diego’s interest in Alcantara comes less than 24 hours after it was reported that they’ve been willing to discuss fellow righty Dylan Cease with other clubs. Lin adds that he’s heard similarly. Both right-handers have underperformed this season but feature strong track records and power arsenals. Shipping out an underperforming former Cy Young finalist to bring in an underperforming former Cy Young winner might seem like shuffling the deck chairs, but there’s typically a method to president of baseball operations A.J. Preller’s deadline madness.

Cease is earning $13.75MM in his final season of club control before reaching free agency. Alcantara is earning $17MM this season and is signed for the same amount in 2026, with a $21MM club option for the 2027 season. If the Padres were to trade Cease and acquire Alcantara, they would essentially be swapping out — not directly for one another, of course — two pitchers of comparable upside but coming away with the one who provides rotation stability beyond the current season.

As ever, there are roadblocks to be considered. The Padres’ baseball operations staff isn’t believed to have much financial flexibility at its disposal presently. That was a key driver in their frugal slate of offseason signings (e.g. Jason Heyward, Connor Joe, Elias Diaz, Martin Maldonado, Jose Iglesias), and it’s also a factor in why they’re listening to offers on Cease in the first place.

Even if they were to trade Cease and the entirety of his remaining salary, turning and adding Alcantara would add about $1.153MM onto the current payroll — and do so at a time when the Padres are also looking for help in left field and behind the plate. That said, the Marlins were willing to pay down virtually all of Luis Arraez’s salary when they lined up with the Padres on a May 2024 trade. Doing so allowed Miami to ask for more talent in exchange and allowed the Padres to get the player they coveted even in the face of payroll constraints from ownership. They could try a similar path here.

That brings up a potentially even more prominent roadblock: a thin farm system. San Diego’s prospect cache has been repeatedly leveraged to acquire veteran players over the years and left the team with a top-heavy system. Shortstop Leo De Vries and catcher Ethan Salas are considered among the sport’s very best young talents. The Padres are ostensibly loath to part with either, and the rest of the system is less compelling.

Trading Cease could help in that regard. Even with the right-hander falling shy of his prior standards this season, he’s still averaging better than 97 mph on his heater and missing bats at an elite level. He’d surely command a notable return. It’s possible Cease could be swapped out for big league help at another position of need (e.g. the previously referenced left field or catcher), but a contending club would likely be reluctant to give the Padres a big league outfielder or catcher in exchange for a rental arm. A trade for prospects would be more straightforward, and because the Padres are a luxury tax payor, there’s incentive to move him rather than make a qualifying offer. Their CBT status would drop the compensation for Cease from a pick after the first round to a pick after the fourth.

Speculatively speaking, the Padres can look to find a trade partner for Cease while in the same breath using some of that return to help pry Alcantara loose from Miami. They could potentially even structure it as a three-team trade, though that’s not necessary. They went through a similar sequence in the 2023-24 offseason when trading Juan Soto to the Yankees for a prospect package headlined by right-hander Drew Thorpe, only to turn and trade Thorpe to the White Sox a couple months later as part of the package to acquire Cease.

Adding Alcantara would be of extra importance to the Padres because of that remaining club control. Both Cease and Michael King are free agents at season’s end. Next year’s rotation outlook currently includes Nick Pivetta, Yu Darvish (in his age-39 season), Joe Musgrove (in his return from Tommy John surgery) and some combination of Randy Vasquez, Stephen Kolek and Ryan Bergert. Pivetta can opt out of his contract after the 2026 season.

Whether some form of Cease/Alcantara shell game comes to fruition or not, the mere fact that the Padres are looking into the possibility serves as a prominent reminder of the type of frenetic dealing that has become a hallmark of the Preller-led Padres this time of year. With several holes on the roster, a tight payroll and a farm system that could work against them, the stage appears to be set for another July of creative dealing from the Padres.

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Miami Marlins Newsstand San Diego Padres Dylan Cease Sandy Alcantara

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The Opener: Trout, Morton, Blue Jays, Tigers

By Nick Deeds | July 24, 2025 at 8:38am CDT

Here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world today:

1. Trout goes for a milestone:

Mike Trout was the greatest player of the 2010s, a three-time MVP and would be a surefire Hall of Famer even if he retired today. His accomplishments in the game speak for themselves, but he’ll enter tonight’s game against the Mariners in Anaheim with a chance to reach another major milestone. Trout knocked in the 999th run of his career in last night’s lost to the Mets when he clubbed a solo home run, and now he sits on the precipice of being the latest addition to the 1000 RBI club. The outfielder is currently in the midst of his healthiest season in years and has done well for himself overall, with 18 home runs in 76 games and a 15.2% walk rate to go with his .237/.359/.467 slash (125 wRC+). Trout will look to knock in another runner when tonight’s game starts at 6:38pm local time, with rookie Logan Evans (3.81 ERA in ten starts) on the mound for Seattle.

2. Morton’s final start in Baltimore?

The trade deadline is a matter of days away at this point, and prospective trade candidates around the game are gearing up for what could be their final starts in their current uniform. Today, that’s true of veteran right-hander Charlie Morton. Morton landed with the Orioles on a one-year deal this past winter and has emerged as a frequently talked about trade candidate despite his lackluster 5.58 ERA on the season. He’s looked like a much better pitcher since returning to the rotation after a stint in the bullpen back in May, with a 3.78 ERA and 3.45 FIP across his last nine starts. His most recent outing against the Rays was a clunker, however, as he surrendered seven runs in just 5 1/3 innings. A strong start this afternoon against the Guardians in Cleveland would surely go a long way to reassuring potential suitors that Morton could provide rotation stability down the stretch.

3. Series Preview: Blue Jays @ Tigers

A series between two division leaders in the AL kicks off this evening when the Blue Jays head to Detroit for a four-game set against the Tigers. Both clubs have fairly solid leads in their division, with the Tigers a whopping eight games up on the next best team in the Central while the Jays lead the Yankees by four games in the East.  The series could still have implications in terms of positioning between the two teams, as both eye a potential bye through the Wild Card round this October.

Detroit enters the series just half a game back of both the Blue Jays and Astros as the three clubs jockey for the AL’s top two records. They’ll send right-hander Reese Olson (2.71 ERA in 12 starts) to the mound opposite Jays lefty Eric Lauer (2.80 ERA in 15 appearances/nine starts) for tonight’s game. Toronto veteran Jose Berrios (3.87 ERA) will take on Detroit youngster Keider Montero (4.28 ERA in 12 appearances/eight starts) tomorrow, with veteran Kevin Gausman (4.01 ERA) set to go opposite reigning AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal (2.19 ERA) on Saturday. The series wraps up on Sunday with Max Scherzer (5.14 ERA in six starts) on the mound opposite Jack Flaherty (4.77 ERA).

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The Opener

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Fantasy Baseball Subscriber Chat With Nicklaus Gaut

By Nicklaus Gaut | July 24, 2025 at 8:04am CDT

Nicklaus Gaut will be talking fantasy baseball with Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers today at 11 am Central Time. Get your question in early or participate in the live event at the link below!

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9 Under-The-Radar Bullpen Trade Candidates

By Anthony Franco | July 23, 2025 at 11:50pm CDT

There'll be plenty of relievers who change teams between now and July 31. Most will be straightforward -- productive veterans with one or two seasons of remaining club control on non-contenders (e.g. David Bednar, Dennis Santana). With teams like the Dodgers and Phillies motivated to add an impact arm, someone like Jhoan Durán or Emmanuel Clase could go.

Those names have all been kicked around the rumor mill for weeks. Each deadline season also features a few trades of controllable bullpen arms who weren't atop any trade boards. Last summer saw the likes of Tanner Banks, Huascar Brazobán and Nick Mears change hands. The Orioles and Rays already lined up on the Bryan Baker deal before this year's draft.

We'll highlight a few under-the-radar names whom teams could call on in the next week. None of these players made MLBTR's Top 40 trade candidates list, and they've not been mentioned more than in passing (if at all) on our pages this year. Still, clubs always look beyond the most obvious trade candidates in their deadline preparation.

Ronny Henriquez, RHP, Marlins (pre-arbitration, controllable through 2030)

Miami claimed the 25-year-old Henriquez off waivers from the Twins during the offseason. The 5'10" righty was once a notable prospect in the Texas and Minnesota farm systems. He saw a bit of MLB action with the Twins in 2022 and '24 but was mostly in a depth role in Triple-A. Henriquez has stepped into a high-leverage role in Miami, recording 13 holds and the first six saves of his big league career. He carries a flat 3.00 earned run average while striking out more than 32% of opponents across a career-high 48 innings. He's sitting in the 96-97 MPH range on his fastball and missing bats with a mid-80s sweeper.

Henriquez's command can come and go, but he has a live arm and is capable of missing bats in bunches. Going back to the beginning of May, he has a 35% strikeout rate and a solid 7.3% walk percentage with a sub-3.00 ERA in 33 appearances. He is picking up closing experience, and while a contender would probably eye him more as a seventh or eighth inning type, he should draw a lot of interest. Miami has him under club control through the end of the decade, but Henriquez is less than six months removed from being on waivers. They should be open to selling high even if they won't force a deal.

Brock Stewart, RHP, Twins ($870K salary, controllable through 2027)

Stewart was out of MLB for more than three years before he resurfaced with the Twins in 2023. He reeled off 27 2/3 innings of 0.65 ERA ball out of nowhere until elbow surgery cost him almost all of the season's second half. Shoulder issues limited him to 16 games last season. Stewart began this season on the injured list with a hamstring strain.

The 33-year-old righty has been healthy for the past three months, however. He's back in good form, pitching to a 2.59 ERA while fanning more than 31% of opponents. He's limiting walks (7.8%) while averaging 96 MPH on a fastball that headlines a five-pitch mix. Stewart has picked up 13 holds and only blown one lead all year. He's playing for barely above the league minimum and will be cheaply controllable for another two seasons in arbitration. Stewart isn't going to command anywhere near the prospect return that Minnesota would receive if they trade Durán or Griffin Jax. He's an effective setup option in his own right, but the Twins would certainly listen to offers based on his age and injury history.

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Draft Signings: Schoolcraft, Watson, Russell, Quick, Flemming, Root

By Anthony Franco | July 23, 2025 at 11:28pm CDT

There were a handful of draftees who signed for between $2MM and $4MM on Wednesday. All signings were first reported by Jim Callis of MLB Pipeline. View pre-draft scouting reports from Baseball America, FanGraphs, MLB Pipeline, Kiley McDaniel of ESPN and Keith Law of The Athletic.

  • The Padres reached agreement with first-rounder Kruz Schoolcraft on a $3.6066MM bonus that matches the slot value for the #25 overall pick. A 6’8″ left-handed prep pitcher from Oregon, Schoolcraft was committed to Tennessee. Evaluators credit him with a potential plus changeup and the ability to run his fastball into the upper 90s on occasion, though his velocity varies between starts. Schoolcraft was a two-way player in high school and would have been a legitimate prospect as a first baseman, but scouts agree that he has greater upside on the mound. He placed between 19th and 41st on the linked pre-draft rankings.
  • The Reds went well above slot with a $2.75MM bonus for second-round pick Aaron Watson. The 51st overall selection comes with a slot value around $1.89MM. Watson is a 6’5″ prep right-hander who had been committed to Florida. He sits in the low-90s at present and has advanced command and feel for manipulating a potential above-average slider. The Reds saved a bit of money by going below slot for first-rounder Steele Hall, allowing them to reallocate some money to Watson.
  • The Rangers have a $2.6MM agreement with second-rounder A.J. Russell against an approximate $1.85MM slot value. A University of Tennessee product, he’s a 6’6″ righty who missed parts of the 2024-25 seasons recovering from elbow surgery. Russell had dominated as a reliever during his freshman year but only managed 70 innings in his college career. Evaluators suggest he has a potential mid-rotation ceiling, but he’ll face questions about his ability to stick as a starter until he builds more of a track record.
  • The Twins signed supplemental first-rounder Riley Quick for $2.692MM, matching the 36th selection’s slot value.  Quick is a 6’6″ righty from the University of Alabama with a power arsenal but a limited college track record because of Tommy John surgery.
  • The A’s signed second-round pick Devin Taylor. He’s an Indiana University product who hit .374/.494/.706 with 18 homers and 52 walks against 30 strikeouts in his draft year. The lefty-hitting Taylor is viewed as one of the best offensive players in the college class but projects as below-average left fielder who might be limited to designated hitter.
  • The Rays have an overslot deal with second-round pick Cooper Flemming. The California high school infielder receives a $2.2975MM bonus that comes in above the $1.8MM slot value. A left-handed hitter who was committed to Vanderbilt, Flemming ranked around 50th on Law’s and McDaniel’s boards but placed as low as 102nd at Baseball America. He projects to third base and has a well-rounded skillset with advanced hitting ability but doesn’t project for many plus tools.
  • The Dodgers signed 40th overall selection Zachary Root for $2.2MM, a little below the $2.43MM slot. They signed 41st selection Charles Davalan for exactly $2MM, also below slot. Root, a 6’1″ lefty from Arkansas, is viewed as a likely back-end starter on the strength of his secondary stuff. He posted a 3.62 ERA with 126 strikeouts in 19 starts this past season. Davalan was Root’s teammate with the Hogs. He hit .346 with 14 homers in his junior season. A short left-handed hitter, Davalan has plus contact skills with some bat speed and could project as an above-average defensive left fielder.

Note: This post initially called Taylor a Minnesota draft pick. MLBTR apologizes for the error.

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Cincinnati Reds Los Angeles Dodgers Minnesota Twins Oakland Athletics San Diego Padres Tampa Bay Rays Texas Rangers A.J. Russell Aaron Watson Charles Davalan Cooper Flemming Devin Taylor Kruz Schoolcraft Riley Quick Zach Root

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Rays Option Taj Bradley

By Anthony Franco | July 23, 2025 at 10:11pm CDT

The Rays optioned Taj Bradley to Triple-A Durham after tonight’s rough start against the White Sox, reports Marc Topkin of The Tampa Bay Times. They’ll presumably announce that decision and a corresponding roster move tomorrow. Joe Boyle, who has been working in long relief, stands as the obvious candidate to step into the rotation.

Bradley didn’t make it out of the second inning tonight. He gave up four hits and three walks, allowing four runs in an inning and two-thirds. That promptly erased a four-run lead that the Rays had built in the bottom of the first. They took the lead back in the middle frames before an eighth-inning implosion by setup man Kevin Kelly led to an 11-9 defeat to the American League’s worst team.

This pushed Bradley’s season earned run average to 4.61 across 111 1/3 innings. The 24-year-old righty has a slightly below-average 20.2% strikeout rate against a 9.3% walk percentage. Leading up to tonight, he was coming off two of his best outings of the season. Bradley blanked the Orioles over six innings with as many strikeouts in his first start out of the All-Star Break. He’d closed the first half with six innings of one-run ball against Boston.

Bradley has been in Kevin Cash’s rotation all season. This is his first optional assignment since the end of 2023. Boyle, who was one of five relievers called upon tonight, worked three innings of one-run ball. He carries a 1.42 ERA in 19 innings over five MLB appearances. Acquired from the A’s in the Jeffrey Springs trade, Boyle has a huge arm but has struggled with command throughout his career.

The 25-year-old has seemingly taken a step forward in that regard this year. He walked 10.8% of batters faced across 15 Triple-A outings. That’s still higher than average but much more tolerable than the 17-20% range at which he’d sat for most of his minor league career. Boyle fanned 33% of Triple-A opponents with a 1.85 ERA while working from Durham’s rotation.

Bradley’s demotion one week before the deadline is interesting. USA Today’s Bob Nightengale reported a couple weeks ago that the club was open to offers on Bradley. ESPN’s Jeff Passan similarly wrote this morning that the one-time top pitching prospect is available in trade discussions. Bradley is likely still a season away from arbitration and under club control for four years beyond this one. If the Rays don’t trade him, they’ll need to keep him in Durham for at least 15 days unless he’s brought up to replace someone who is going on the injured list.

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Newsstand Tampa Bay Rays Joe Boyle Taj Bradley

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Rays Prefer To Keep Pete Fairbanks

By Anthony Franco | July 23, 2025 at 9:51pm CDT

The Rays “strongly prefer” to hold closer Pete Fairbanks, report Patrick Mooney, Will Sammon and Katie Woo of The Athletic. Tampa Bay is one of many bubble teams, holding a 53-50 record that has them right on the edge of the Wild Card chase.

While the Rays are generally open to offers on almost everyone at any time, it’s understandable that they’re reluctant to deal Fairbanks this summer. They’ve had a middle-of-the-pack bullpen overall. They added to that group by acquiring Bryan Baker from the Orioles before the draft. At the same time, setup man Manuel Rodríguez will be out for an extended stretch with a forearm injury.

Garrett Cleavinger is an excellent left-hander, but they’re already short on high-leverage options from the right side. Even with Baker in the fold and Edwin Uceta racking up strikeouts this month, they’re better off acquiring another righty rather than trading one away. The Athletic reports that the Rays would indeed prioritize the bullpen if they buy in the next week.

The 31-year-old Fairbanks is operating as Kevin Cash’s primary closer for a third straight season. He’s 17-20 in save chances with a 2.84 earned run average across 38 innings. That comes with a career-low 20.3% strikeout rate that is cause for some alarm. The bottom line results nevertheless make Fairbanks one of their most trusted relievers.

Fairbanks is in the final guaranteed season of his three-year extension. He’s playing on an affordable $3.667MM salary. Fairbanks is guaranteed at least a $1MM buyout on a club option that is currently valued at $8MM but is likely to end up in eight figures by season’s end as he triggers escalators based on his appearances and games finished. That might be rich for Tampa Bay’s taste, but they’re under no financial pressure to move Fairbanks this season and could reevaluate their 2026 payroll situation once the offseason arrives.

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Tampa Bay Rays Pete Fairbanks

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MLB Mailbag: Spencer Jones, Mason Miller, Angels, Cubs, Blue Jays, Dodgers

By Tim Dierkes | July 23, 2025 at 9:30pm CDT

This week's mailbag covers Yankees prospect Spencer Jones, comps for a Mason Miller trade, and trade deadline situations involving the Angels, Blue Jays, Cubs, and Dodgers.

Angel asks:

Do you believe the Yankees now view Spencer Jones as untouchable? His trajectory is so similar to Judge's, but I'd sign right now for 75% of Judge.

Jack asks:

Why does it feel like lots of the Yankees prospects don’t pan out in the MLB? Do you believe it’s because they’re overhyped, poor player development, a mix of both, or something completely else?

Sandy asks:

Volpe made another critical error last night. He seems to wilt under pressure in clutch defensive situations even if his dWar is positive at 0.8. Are the Yankees having second thoughts about their long-term shortstop? Should they? His bat has never been up to league average. Thanks!

Charles asks:

What would it take for the Yanks to get Bednar, Keller, and IKF in a package from the Pirates? It seems that if they are going to be contenders they need something like that.

Jones  is an interesting and polarizing prospect.  His stock seemed to drop in 2024, as he spent the season at Double-A and posted a 127 wRC+ with a whopping 36.8% strikeout rate.

In another 208 PA at the level this year, Jones still struck out 33.7% of the time, but posted a massive 186 wRC+ to earn a Triple-A promotion.  That came on June 27th.  He has since annihilated Triple-A pitching with a 205 wRC+, which includes 10 home runs in 79 PA.  His strikeout rate for the RailRiders is down to 26.6%.

The sample size makes this tricky.  Jones tinkers with his swing a lot, but 79 PA isn't enough to say that he's truly cut the strikeouts.  If he'd struck out five additional times in Triple-A - one additional time every three games -  his K% would be 32.9.

The error bars on Jones are wide, but the odds are currently stacked against him becoming a star.  Jones' Double-A sample is still bigger than his Triple-A one.  Let's see if we can find some comps who struck out at least 30% of the time at Double-A at age 24 or younger while posting a 130 wRC+ or better.

  • 2014: Joey Gallo
  • 2015: Will Swanner
  • 2016: Yoan Moncada, Dylan Cozens, Nellie Rodriguez
  • 2017: Eric Haase
  • 2019: Colton Shaver, Riley Adams, Vince Fernandez, Drew Ward

Gallo and Moncada at least had a few star-caliber seasons in the Majors between them.  Otherwise, these guys did not become stars or even MLB regulars.  They also did not cut their strikeout rates and dominate Triple-A pitching, so if Jones keeps that up he'll be charting a new trajectory.

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Front Office Originals

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