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Mariners, Shintaro Fujinami Agree To Minor League Deal

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The Mariners have agreed to a minor league deal with hard-throwing righty Shintaro Fujinami, reports Jon Morosi of MLB Network. The Boras Corporation client will be in big league camp as a non-roster invitee this spring.

Fujinami, 31 in April, came over from Japan in 2023 when he signed a one-year deal with the A’s. After a calamitous start to his big league career in the former Oakland rotation, he moved to the bullpen and wound up settling in nicely. His season-long ERA never really recovered from being routed for 24 runs in his first 15 MLB innings, but Fujinami cruised to a 3.32 ERA, 25.6% strikeout rate and 7% walk rate over his final 21 2/3 innings before being traded to the Orioles — and he did so while averaging an eye-popping 99.5 mph on his heater and posting a mammoth 15% swinging-strike rate.

Fujinami got out to a fine start with the O’s post-trade, logging a 3.76 ERA with big strikeout totals in his first 26 1/3 innings. He was roughed up for five runs in his final 3 1/3 innings, spanning five appearances, and finished his time in Baltimore with a pedestrian 4.85 ERA. Still, the underlying numbers looked intriguing.

The Mets took notice of those under-the-hood numbers and inked Fujinami to a one-year contract last winter. He was expected to have a spot in the team’s bullpen but was limited in spring training by shoulder troubles. He began on the season on the injured list and rehabbed in the minors before being recalled in early May to move to the 60-day injured list (and open a 40-man spot) due to what was termed a shoulder strain. Fujinami was shelved until late June.

In 24 1/3 innings upon being reinstated in the minors, Fujinami posted a 1.85 ERA and 29-to-12 K/BB ratio. He did so with a 97.3 mph average fastball that was more than two full miles per hour shy of his 2023 mark, however, and he wilted in the season’s final weeks, yielding eight runs in his final 4 1/3 frames of minor league ball.

Fujinami revealed back in October that he planned to play winter ball on the heels of that injury-wrecked year. The aim was to catch on with another big league club, and he’s now done just that after thriving in the Puerto Rican Winter League. In 20 2/3 innings with los Gigantes de Carolina, Fujinami boasts a 3.05 ERA, 26.7% strikeout rate and 12.2% walk rate. Command remains an issue, but the right-hander’s blistering fastball, ability to miss bats and generally strong winter showing will earn him another opportunity to return to the majors.

The Mariners have a track record of finding hidden gems on the bullpen market and will hope Fujinami can be their latest rags-to-riches success story. Seattle’s bullpen is anchored by star righty Andrés Muñoz, and he’ll have Collin Snider, Trent Thornton, Gregory Santos and Tayler Saucedo in his setup corps. Options to fill out the bullpen include Gabe Speier, Eduard Bazardo, Carlos Vargas, Troy Taylor, Cody Bolton and waiver pickups Tyler Jay and Hagen Danner, among others. The M’s also have powerhouse reliever Matt Brash on the mend from last May’s Tommy John surgery, and they could get a look at Jackson Kowar early in the season as well; he underwent his own Tommy John procedure late last March.

Twins’ Trade Conversations Have Picked Up In Recent Weeks

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The Twins have been one of the quietest teams in Major League Baseball this winter, but president of baseball operations Derek Falvey tells Dan Hayes of The Athletic that trade conversations have picked up over the past couple weeks. Naturally, Falvey didn’t delve into specifics but expressed optimism that there’s been some “traction” in recent talks as some teams have begun to focus more on the trade market. “…I can tell you we’ve had more active conversations in the last couple of weeks than we’ve had prior,” said Falvey.

Minnesota has yet to sign a major league free agent this winter, and their only 40-man roster additions have come via the Rule 5 Draft (Phillies righty Eiberson Castellano) and via minor trades to acquire utilityman/catcher Mickey Gasper from Boston and former top catching prospect Diego Cartaya from Los Angeles. (The Dodgers had designated Cartaya for assignment prior to the trade.)

Ownership mandated a payroll cut of nearly $30MM for the Twins last offseason due to uncertainty stemming from the bankruptcy proceedings of Diamond Sports Group/Bally Sports. The Twins and DSG/Bally reached a one-year agreement at a reduced rate for 2024 broadcasts. Minnesota has now turned broadcast rights over to the league, securing some certainty for the upcoming season but still checking in at a reduced rate relative to their former Bally’s deal.

Despite the lesser television revenue, however, the Twins are not under any mandate to further reduce payroll from their currently projected mark, Hayes reports. For Minnesota fans, that’s good news to an extent, though Hayes adds that there’s minimal room for any additions. If the Twins have eyes on any decisive upgrades, they’d likely need to trim payroll to make that happen.

Christian Vazquez (owed $10MM in the final season of his contract) and Chris Paddack (owed $7.5MM in the final season of his own deal) have been the most speculated-upon targets, as the Twins have other options behind the plate and in the rotation. Ryan Jeffers is the clear starter at catcher, while the rotation includes Pablo Lopez, Joe Ryan, Bailey Ober and Simeon Woods Richardson — with prospects David Festa and Zebby Matthews among the options in the fifth spot, should Paddack be moved.

Hayes reports that utilityman Willi Castro ($6.4MM, free agent at season’s end) has been “asked about often” this winter as well. Presumably, given the switch-hitting Castro’s versatility, productivity and popularity with the rest of the roster, the Twins would prefer to hold onto him. Falvey & Co. surely wouldn’t mind dumping the final $4MM owed to twice-outrighted pitcher Randy Dobnak on another club, though they’d likely need to send a low-level prospect to another club to facilitate such a swap. The Twins have at least heard other teams out as they’ve approached about the likes of Lopez and Carlos Correa, but Falvey has also made clear that despite payroll constraints the Twins are in win-now mode, calling Lopez, Correa and Byron Buxton “key” players to the team’s 2025 hopes in the same breath. (Correa and Buxton have full no-trade protection anyhow.)

Vazquez’s contract is clearly underwater, but given the $4MM guarantee secured by a comparable glove-first backstop in each of the past two winters (Austin Hedges), the Twins may not have to eat his entire salary to facilitate a trade. Paddack’s $7.5MM guarantee seems reasonable, if not something of a discount, in the current climate for free agent starters. Castro has clear surplus value after hitting .251/.334/.395 (108 wRC+) with 21 homers and 47 steals in 1044 plate appearances and providing decent or better glovework at nearly every position on the diamond over the past two seasons.

The Twins have spent the offseason looking for help at first base, and they’ve been in the market for a right-handed-hitting outfielder as well. Their recent stockpiling of catching depth has led to plenty of speculation about finding a potential deal to move a portion of Vazquez’s contract, though there’s still no indication anything is close on that front.

Most of the first base market has been picked over. Pete Alonso is surely out of Minnesota’s price range, barring a wild about-face from ownership, but Justin Turner remains unsigned and there are rebound candidates to consider (e.g. Anthony Rizzo, Ty France, Connor Joe). Affordable corner outfield options who bat from the right side include Mark Canha (who can also play first), Randal Grichuk, Austin Hays, Tommy Pham and Ramon Laureano.

Twins fans will want to check out Hayes’ piece in full, as it also includes several updates on the ongoing sale process. That comes just one day after La Velle E. Neal III of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reported that there have been “double digit” inquiries from potential buyers/groups, Hayes writes that billionaire Justin Ishbia, who co-owns the NBA’s Phoenix Suns with his brother Mat, is “very, very serious” in his desire to buy the team and “could be aggressive” in his reported bid. The Ishbia brothers are the only known suitor to date, though Neal reported yesterday that some notable former Twins players — Joe Mauer, Justin Morneau and Torii Hunter among them — could each have interest in pitching a new ownership group on securing a 1-2% stake in the club.

Tigers To Re-Sign Tomas Nido On Minor League Deal

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The Tigers are re-signing veteran catcher Tomas Nido on a minor league contract, as first reported by Mike Mayer of Metsmerized. Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports that Nido would receive a $1.5MM base salary if he makes the big league roster. The ACES client will be a non-roster invitee in major league camp this spring.

Nido, 31 in April, began the 2024 season with the Mets before being cut loose and going on to sign free agent deals with both the Cubs and Tigers — though he only played in three Triple-A games with Detroit after signing in mid-September.

A premium defensive catcher with a light bat, Nido is a career .210/.245/.309 hitter (53 wRC+) in 323 games and 945 trips to the plate. He’s punched out in 26% of his career plate appearances and has a 4.1% walk rate. Despite the lack of punch, he’s gotten considerable MLB run due to elite framing grades and plus marks for both his blocking and throwing. Nido has nabbed 22% of runners who’ve attempted to steal against him in his career, including a 22.7% mark in 359 frames last season when the league-average was just 20.3%.

The Tigers don’t have a need for catching help on the big league roster at this juncture. Jake Rogers will reprise his role as the starter there. He hit just .197/.255/.352 in 2024 but was a Gold Glove finalist and is only a year removed from popping 21 homers and delivering roughly league-average rate stats in the batter’s box.

Former second-round pick Dillon Dingler is the favorite to serve as Rogers’ backup. He hit only .167/.195/.310 with Detroit, but that came in a tiny sample of 87 plate appearances. Dingler was worlds better in Triple-A Toledo, where he absolutely raked at a .308/.379/.559 pace (139 wRC+) and belted 17 homers in 301 trips to the plate. He draws better-than-average framing and blocking grades, and Dingler thwarted a gaudy 38% of stolen base attempts against him in Toledo as well.

Braves Claim Amos Willingham, Designate Allan Winans

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The Braves have claimed right-hander Amos Willingham off waivers from the Nationals, per a team announcement. Righty Allan Winans was designated for assignment in a corresponding move. Washington had designated Willingham for assignment last week.

Willingham, 26, is a Georgia native and Georgia Tech product who’s pitched in the majors in each of the past two seasons with the Nats. He’s totaled only 25 1/3 innings and been torched for a 7.11 ERA in that tiny sample, but the 6’4″, 223-pound righty has enjoyed plenty of success in the upper minors. Willingham was unscored upon in the brief 10 2/3 innings he spent at the Double-A level and carries a combined 3.47 ERA in parts of two Triple-A seasons (93 1/3 innings). He’s punched out a solid 23.3% of his Triple-A opponents — albeit against a more problematic 10.8% walk rate.

The claim of Willingham adds a power arm to the Braves’ depth chart — one who still has a minor league option year remaining. Willingham has averaged 95.9 mph on his heater in the majors and ran it up to 98 mph in his lone big league outing this past season. Though his strikeout rate in Triple-A was roughly in line with the major league average, his 13.1% swinging-strike rate against minor league opponents was well north of MLB’s 11.1% average. He pairs that heater with a 90 mph cutter and 85 mph slider.

Winans, 29, has pitched in the majors in each of the past two seasons as well. He’s similar to Willingham — beyond their identical ALW initials — in that both have struggled in the big leagues but pitched well in Triple-A. Winans has an ugly 7.20 earned run average with a 20.9% strikeout rate and 6.6% walk rate in the majors. In parts of three Triple-A campaigns, however, he touts a 3.26 ERA, 21.8% strikeout rate and 6.9% walk rate. That’s come in a sample of 256 innings, as Winans has operated primarily as a starting pitcher. Both pitchers also have one minor league option remaining.

The similarities broadly stop there. Winans sits just 90-91 with his four-seamer and 89-90 with his sinker. He pairs those modest fastballs with an upper-70s slider and a changeup that sits 82-83 mph. He’s generally gotten by in the minors with sub-par velocity thanks to strong command and a knack for inducing weak contact. Big league hitters haven’t made a lot of hard contact on average, but when they do square Winans up, the results haven’t been pretty. He’s yielded a 10% barrel rate and been tagged for an average of 1.80 home runs per nine innings pitched.

The Braves will have five days to look for a potential trade partner for Winans. At that point, they’d have to place him on outright waivers, which take an additional 48 hours to process.

Pirates To Acquire Chase Shugart

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The Pirates are acquiring righty Chase Shugart from the Red Sox in exchange for minor league right-hander Matt McShane, reports Robert Murray of FanSided. Boston designated Shugart for assignment earlier in the week. The Pirates will need to make a 40-man roster move of their own to finalize the swap.

Shugart, 28, made his big league debut with the BoSox last season and allowed four runs in 8 2/3 innings out of the ’pen. He averaged 96.1 mph on his heater in that brief cup of coffee. He’s pitched in parts of three Triple-A seasons, struggling in the first two before finding more success there in 2024: 4.46 ERA, 25.6% strikeout rate, 10.2% walk rate, 44.4% grounder rate.

During his brief look in the majors, Shugart showed five pitches — a four-seamer, cutter, sinker, slider and changeup. He didn’t induce many whiffs in the majors but logged a solid 11.7% swinging-strike rate in Triple-A. Shugart has a pair of minor league options remaining, so he’ll provide the Bucs with some flexible bullpen depth.

McShane, 22, was the Pirates’ 13th-round draft pick just last summer. He’s yet to pitch in pro ball. McShane posted a 3.76 ERA in parts of three seasons as a reliever at St. Joseph’s University and also pitched in the Cape Cod League in each of the past two summers. The 6’4″, 220-pound righty has a strong pitcher’s frame but amounts to little more than a lottery ticket. Odds are that the Sox also liked him coming out of St. Joe’s and might’ve considered him with their own pick in the later stages of the 2024 draft. He’ll likely head to a Class-A affiliate to begin the 2025 season.

Brewers Sign Elvin Rodriguez, Designate J.B. Bukauskas For Assignment

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The Brewers have signed right-hander Elvin Rodriguez to a one-year deal with a club option for the 2026 season, reports Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel. Rodriguez, represented by A&F Sports Agency and JP Sports Advisors, spent the 2024 season in Japan and is returning stateside on a big league deal after an impressive showing overseas. The Associated Press reports that he signed a split deal that comes with a $900K salary for his MLB work and a $300K sum in the minors. The team option is valued at $1.35MM, while Rodriguez could unlock another $250K this season via performance bonuses. Fellow right-hander JB Bukauskas has been designated for assignment to open space on the 40-man roster.

Rodriguez, 27 in March, pitched in the majors with the 2022 Tigers and the 2023 Rays. He’s logged a total of 33 MLB frames and been hit hard, surrendering a gruesome 9.55 earned run average. The bulk of that work came as a starting pitcher, but Rodriguez worked out of the bullpen in 2024 and delivered generally impressive results.

In 45 innings for Japan’s Yakult Swallows, Rodriguez logged a tiny 1.80 ERA with a 24% strikeout rate and 6.5% walk rate. He spent nearly as much time with Yakult’s minor league club early in the ’24 season as he did with their big league club later in the year, pitching to a similar 1.67 ERA with their farm team.

Milwaukee’s rotation is largely set at the moment, with Freddy Peralta, Nestor Cortes, Aaron Civale, Tobias Myers and a returning Brandon Woodruff expected to comprise that quintet. Southpaws DL Hall and Aaron Ashby are on hand as potential options as well.

Rodriguez could still factor in as a depth option. Given his experience in both a starting role and in the bullpen, it’d be sensible if Milwaukee brought him to camp and stretched him out. He could pitch in the Triple-A Nashville rotation — Rodriguez has two minor league option years remaining — and still be a big league bullpen option at any point. It’s easier to take a starter and move him to the ’pen than it is to stretch a reliever out as a starter in-season, however, so there’s good sense in at least letting Rodriguez build up in preparation for a rotation role even if he’s ultimately viewed as a relief option first and foremost.

As for Bukauskas, he’s been with the Brewers since being plucked off waivers early in the 2023 season. The former first-rounder and top prospect has pitched a dozen big league innings and turned in a pristine 0.75 ERA in that small sample, also brandishing an impressive 12-to-2 K/BB ratio. However, a lat strain limited him to just 12 total innings between Triple-A and the majors in 2024. Bukauskas hit the injured list in mid-April, headed out on a rehab assignment in mid-June and almost immediately had a setback. He got back on the mound in late July, made four rehab appearances in the minors, and was shut back down for the rest of the season.

The Brewers will have the next five days to trade Bukauskas. If he’s not moved in that time, he’ll head to waivers, which take another 48 hours to process. Within the next week, the outcome of his DFA will be known.

Red Sox, Jarren Duran Avoid Arbitration

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The Red Sox announced Friday that they’ve agreed to a one-year deal with outfielder Jarren Duran, avoiding arbitration. The BJB Group client reportedly receives a $3.85MM guarantee on a complex deal that also contains 2025 incentives and an $8MM club option for 2026 that can climb as high as $12MM based on escalators. Duran will be paid a $3.75MM salary, and the ’26 option comes with a $100K buyout.

Duran is already under club control through the 2028 season as a Super Two player. Even if the 2026 option is bought out — which would occur if the Red Sox feel his projected price in the arb process checked in south of the eventual option value — he would remain arbitration-eligible with the Sox for another three seasons. With Duran’s salary now locked in, the Red Sox have avoided arbitration hearings with their entire class (Duran, Garrett Crochet, Tanner Houck, Kutter Crawford).

In addition to his 2025 guarantee, Duran will earn $50K bonuses for reaching 450, 500 and 550 plate appearances. So long as he’s healthy, he should get the $4MM salary at which he filed. (The Red Sox had countered with a $3.5MM submission.)

As for the 2026 option, the base price will reportedly jump to $9MM if Duran finishes between 11th and 20th in AL MVP voting. (He finished eighth on the MVP ballot this past season.) It’ll be a $10MM option if he finishes between sixth and tenth, or an $11MM option if he lands second through fifth. If Duran is named the American League’s Most Valuable Player, the price of that option would jump to $12MM. If Duran is traded at any point between now and season’s end, the option would be eliminated and he’d receive a $100K assignment bonus from the acquiring team rather than the $100K buyout on said option.

Duran, who turned 28 in September, broke out with a monster 2024 showing this past season. In 735 trips to the plate, he logged a massive .285/.342/.492 batting line (129 wRC+) with 21 home runs, 48 doubles, 14 triples and 34 stolen bases (in 41 tries). The former top prospect walked at a career-best (but still below-average) 7.3% clip and slashed his strikeout rate to a lower-than-average 21.8%. For a player who punched out in 35.7% of his 112 plate appearances during 2021’s MLB debut, he’s made remarkable strides in his contact ability and swing decisions.

The Red Sox, like virtually every big league club, adopt the “file and trial” approach wherein they cut off negotiations on strict one-year deals after exchanging figures with a player. (The Cubs, notably, broke the near leaguewide file-and-trial approach to sign Kyle Tucker to a one-year deal yesterday.) The inclusion of a 2026 option on the contract, however, means that for arbitration purposes, Duran’s agreement is considered a multi-year deal. That option renders the Duran contract ineligible/inadmissible as a comp or data point in future negotiations (for the Sox and other teams) in one-year arbitration talks with other players.

Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com first reported Duran’s salary and option value. , bringing the total guarantee to $3.85MM. The 2026 option can climb as high as $12MM based on escalators tied to MVP voting and All-MLB honors, per Cotillo, Robert Murray of FanSided and Mark Feinsand of MLB.com added various financial details, while Alex Speier of the Boston Globe first reported the full breakdown of Duran’s option escalators.

Red Sox Sign Sean Newcomb To Minor League Deal

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The Red Sox announced Friday that they’ve signed veteran lefty Sean Newcomb to a minor league deal and invited him to major league spring training. Newcomb is represented by Klutch Sports. Boston also confirmed previously reported minor league deals/non-roster invites for right-handers Austin Adams, Robert Stock and Noah Davis. (We’ve previously written on their deals for Adams, Davis and Stock.)

Newcomb, 31, is a former first-round pick (Angels, 2014) and top prospect. The Halos shipped him to the Braves as part of their trade to acquire Andrelton Simmons ahead of the 2016 season, and for a couple years, Newcomb looked as though he could be a fixture on Atlanta’s staff in spite of sub-par command. He started 49 games for the Braves in 2017-18, registering a solid 4.06 ERA with a 23.3% strikeout rate but an ugly 12% walk rate. Atlanta bumped him to the ’pen in 2019, and the results were even more intriguing: 68 1/3 innings, 3.16 ERA, 22.2% strikeout rate, 9.9% walk rate.

Over the next three seasons, Newcomb’s results tanked. He pitched just 73 2/3 innings in the majors and logged a brutal 7.45 ERA. His strikeout rate held at 22.9%, but Newcomb’s walk rate jumped to 14.7%. After plunking only 10 hitters and tossing 11 wild pitches in 332 1/3 frames from 2017-19, Newcomb hit five batters and tossed eight wild pitches over those 73 2/3 frames from 2020-22. He not only saw his ability to throw strikes diminish — he saw his precision within the zone erode as well; after yielding an average of 0.97 homers per nine innings in ’17-’19, Newcomb averaged 1.59 long balls per nine frames in 2020-22.

Newcomb has spent the past two seasons with the A’s, pitching well in 2023 before undergoing season-ending knee surgery and struggling in 2024 on the heels of that procedure. He’s pitched 25 MLB innings over the past two seasons and allowed a dozen runs (4.32 ERA) on 17 hits, 17 walks, three hit batters and 24 strikeouts. He’s been far better in the minors, notching a 3.12 ERA in Triple-A between the Giants and A’s in 2023-24. He’s punched out 30.1% of opponents but again shown poor command (14.2%) in those two Triple-A seasons (totaling 40 1/3 innings).

Boston already has Aroldis Chapman, Brennan Bernardino and Justin Wilson as left-handed options locked into manager Alex Cora’s bullpen. Southpaw Zach Penrod is also on the 40-man roster. He worked more as a starter in the minors last year, but his path to the majors in 2025 would likely be in the bullpen, with Lucas Giolito returning and new acquisitions Garrett Crochet and Walker Buehler in the rotation.

Padres To Sign Top International Prospects Jhoan De La Cruz, Carlos Alvarez

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The Padres are in the process of finalizing signings of two top international prospects out of the Dominican Republic, lefty Carlos Alvarez and shortstop Jhoan De La Cruz, per reports from Will Sammon of The Athletic and Francys Romero of BeisbolFR.com. Alvarez will receive a signing bonus worth around $1MM, per Romero. De La Cruz’s bonus isn’t yet known, but Romero previously suggested he and the Padres had an agreement in the $2MM range. Baseball America’s Ben Badler had previously pegged De La Cruz between $1MM and $1.5MM. The broader takeaway here, however, is Romero tweeting that multiple sources have indicated the Padres believe they’re now out of the running for star Japanese right-hander Roki Sasaki.

Sammon adds that the Alvarez had been originally committed to the Padres but has since been exploring other opportunities in the wake of their emergence as a Sasaki finalist. He’ll now indeed sign in San Diego, which supports the notion that a signing of Sasaki is no longer in the cards for the Padres.

San Diego was one of three finalists for Sasaki, alongside the Dodgers and Blue Jays. There’s no indication that Sasaki has made a final decision yet. The Dodgers were said to be exploring trades to add extra space to their MLB-low $5.146MM international bonus pool. The Jays and Padres have a slightly larger pool, both landing at $6.262MM, though San Diego was also reportedly looking into trades to bolster their maximum potential bonus.

Agent Joel Wolfe has previously suggested, however, that Sasaki’s decision won’t simply come down to who offers the largest bonus. After all, if maxing out his earnings were Sasaki’s top priority, he could’ve waited two more years until he was 25 and thus a “professional” rather than an “amateur” under MLB’s international free agent structure. That’s the route Yoshinobu Yamamoto chose, and it resulted in a record $325MM contract with the Dodgers for the 25-year-old hurler.

Until Sasaki formally puts pen to paper with another team, a sliver of hope for Friars fans remains, but this morning’s reports are bleak with regard to their chances on Sasaki. De La Cruz and Alvarez, however, will still be additions of note to the lower levels of San Diego’s system. MLB.com ranks them as the No. 21 and No. 39 prospects in this year’s class. Badler writes that De La Cruz doesn’t have one standout tool but has average or better tools across the board, with present gap power and the physical frame (5’11”, 170 pounds) and defensive tools necessary to stick at shortstop long-term.

Alvarez turned 17 in November but is already 6’5″ tall and already hitting 93 mph with his heater, per Badler. MLB.com’s report on him notes that he’s a former outfielder, meaning his arm is fresher than many teenaged pitching prospects. That he’s already flashing better-than-average command and secondary pitches despite being relatively new to the mound is an encouraging sign as well.

The Marlins Should Be Bailing Out Cash-Strapped Teams (No… Really)

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The Marlins have added precisely four players to a 40-man roster that lost 100 games last season. Those four new acquisitions -- infielder Eric Wagaman, catcher Liam Hicks, infielder Max Acosta and first baseman Matt Mervis -- have boosted their currently NL-low payroll by ... well, zero, basically. Wagaman signed a split big league deal as a free agent. Hicks was a Rule 5 pick. Acosta came over in the Jake Burger trade. Mervis was swapped for Vidal Brujan after the latter was designated for assignment in Miami.

The only team currently projected for a lower payroll than the Marlins is the Athletics, and the A's have been active enough this winter that it still seems likely they'll make an addition or two and leapfrog over the Fish. (A's GM David Forst has already gone on record to say he's hopeful of another addition or two.)

Right now, the Marlins project for a $67MM payroll, per RosterResource. Their projected CBT number is $84MM. Both numbers are due largely to the $12MM owed to the since-released Avisail Garcia, whose four-year contract concludes in 2025.

Even by the Marlins' standards, the 2025 payroll is currently dipping to a new low when compared to recent seasons. Miami has trotted out payrolls of $84MM, $110MM and $106MM, respectively over the past three seasons. That's not much, of course, but those numbers are lightyears higher than the current projection. Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic has suggested that the Marlins, like the A's, may need to spend some additional funds to retain their revenue-sharing status. They haven't been as stingy as the A's in recent seasons, but the Fish certainly aren't a paragon of aggressive roster maneuvering. Miami's recent offseason activity (or lack thereof) doesn't bode well for subsequent additions. Their lone free agent signing last offseason was Tim Anderson on a one-year, $5MM deal.

Miami did spend a combined $25MM on Jean Segura and Johnny Cueto the prior season, though that was under a different front office regime. Second-year president of baseball operations Peter Bendix has made it abundantly clear -- through actions rather than words -- that he had zero faith in the roster he inherited returning to contention after a surprise postseason berth in 2023.

The Fish waited barely more than a month into the 2024 season before trading Luis Arraez to the Padres, and when the deadline rolled around they traded away a staggering nine more players who'd opened the season on the roster. In a span of just three months, Bendix traded nearly 40% of his Opening Day roster (including JT Chargois and Huascar Brazoban, who were only off the Opening Day roster due to injury and visa issues, respectively.) Had Jesus Luzardo not been injured, Miami would likely have traded 11 of 26 players from the Opening Day club.

Given those trends, there's little reason to think the Marlins will spend any meaningful money on the upcoming player payroll. And while the notion of "buying" prospects is suggested far, far more than it is actually put into practice -- so much so that I'm often reluctant to dedicate much time thinking about the concept at all. However, given not only the specific position in which the Marlins find themselves but the broader context of this individual offseason, it feels like the Marlins are missing an opportunity if they're not more seriously trying to drive this type of transaction.

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