Aroldis Chapman Review

With all the information swirling around about free agent lefty Aroldis Chapman, I thought a summary would be helpful.  Chapman has been declared a free agent and can sign at any time, though a deal is unlikely before the conclusion of the World Series.  One GM told Yahoo's Tim Brown in July, "I'm sure all 30 teams will be interested to some degree."  Nonetheless, let's look at specific suitors.

  • Red Sox:  They've been a top suitor from the start.  Kiley McDaniel of Baseball Prospectus says Chapman was scheduled to throw a bullpen at Fenway today but it was cancelled due to inclement weatherESPN's Peter Gammons believes Boston's signing of former Chapman teammate Jose Iglesias may impact the pitcher's decision.
  • Yankees: They've also been a top suitor from the start.  ESPN's Jorge Arangure Jr. said Chapman met with GM Brian Cashman and other Yanks officials at the October 25th playoff game and "had good conversations."  Several reporters see Chapman as another Yankees-Red Sox battle. 
  • Mariners: Add them to the list – our source says they'd like to meet with Chapman in the next week.
  • Cardinals: A scheduled October 26th meeting was cancelled due to the Tony La Russa announcement.  The meeting is expected to be rescheduled.
  • Orioles: They've maintained interest and are pushing for a meeting soon.  In September, president Andy MacPhail admitted interest to MASN's Roch Kubatko, but added, "If some of the big boys are going to go after him, like the Red Sox did with Dice-K, that's not a risk that I would be willing to take."
  • Mets: They met with Chapman on October 23rd.  The New York Post's Bart Hubbuch said the Mets were out after being told Chapman wants up to $60MM to sign.  I'm not so sure the Mets and Chapman actually discussed dollar figures.
  • Tigers: They've confirmed interest.
  • Angels:  Scouting director Eddie Bane admitted interest in July, but noted that Chapman's breaking pitches are not yet effective in talking to Mark Saxon of the OC Register.  Bane more recently told Bill Shaikin of the L.A. Times that he'd need to see Chapman throw against live hitters before investing.  Chapman has mentioned L.A. as a place he'd like to visit.
  • White Sox:  Our source said they've expressed interest.
  • Cubs: Our source said they've expressed interest.
  • Athletics:  Named by Arangure Jr. as one of the teams "paying varying degrees of attention to Chapman."  Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle confirmed Oakland's interest but says they haven't met with him.
  • Giants:  Named by Arangure Jr. as one of the teams "paying varying degrees of attention to Chapman."
  • Dodgers: They aren't likely to be serious suitors, according to one of Arangure Jr.'s sources.
  • Blue Jays:  We named the Jays as an interested club, but GM Alex Anthopoulos told reporters that signing Chapman is "not realistic."
  • Astros: Owner Drayton McLane seemingly considers Chapman too pricey, based on his comments to Richard Justice of the Houston Chronicle.

Odds & Ends: Cubs, Byrnes, Orioles

Links for Wednesday…

Strong Interest In Aroldis Chapman

SUNDAY, 12:35pm: As suggested by Lennon earlier, Chapman's price tag is too high for the Mets. Bart Hubbuch of the New York Post reports (via Twitter) that the Mets were told Chapman wants up to $60MM to sign.

SATURDAY, 7:23pm: John Stockstill – the Orioles' director of international scouting – has confirmed that the club will meet with Chapman and his agent next week in New York, according to Roch Kubatko of MASN.comIn a piece yesterday, Kubatko wrote that he doesn't think Baltimore will end up signing the 21-year-old.

SATURDAY, 2:38pm: Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports the A's have also had interest in Chapman since he became a free agent.  However, they were not among the teams that met the hard-throwing left-hander in New York this week.

FRIDAY, 1:59pm: Lennon says (via Twitter) that the Mets won't bid $40-60MM for Chapman.

FRIDAY, 1:19pm: Add the Blue Jays to the mix of teams interested in Chapman, according to our source.  Also, the Orioles have maintained interest and want to meet.

THURSDAY, 2:39pm: MLBTR has learned that the Cubs and White Sox have expressed interest in free agenty lefty Aroldis Chapman.  The Cardinals have been more aggressive than those clubs, and plan to meet with Chapman next week.  The Yankees and Red Sox, of course, have also been among the aggressive suitors.  A meeting with the Mets will come later this week, according to Newsday's David Lennon.

The Chapman tour began yesterday in New York, as the 21-year-old's agency decided not to make MLB clubs come to Andorra.  ESPN's Jorge Arangure Jr. believes Chapman will command a contract in the $40-60MM range.

Odds & Ends: Reds, White Sox, Shimizu

More Thursday linkage…

  • MLB.com's Mark Sheldon guesses the Reds will buy out Ramon Hernandez's option for $1MM, but then try to re-sign him.  Sheldon also runs through the upcoming important hot stove dates.
  • White Sox GM Ken Williams wouldn't reveal much about his offseason plans, talking to MLB.com's Scott Merkin.  "I'm always looking at all the possibilities," said Williams.
  • WEEI's Rob Bradford talked to Tim Wakefield, who is aiming for 200 victories.  He's 11 shy, so he could pull it off in 2010.  The Sox figure to exercise his $4MM option once again.
  • Ryo Shinkawa of NPB Tracker says 33-year-old righty Naoyuki Shimizu has MLB aspirations.  Shimizu posted a 4.42 ERA this year in 144.6 innings for the Chiba Lotte Marines, striking out only 88.
  • Cot's Baseball Contracts informs us that Ryan Howard will earn $50K for his NLCS MVP award.  Tack that on to his $15MM salary.

Offseason Outlook: Chicago White Sox

Next up in our Offseason Outlook series, the White Sox.  Their likely commitments for 2010:

C – A.J. Pierzynski – $6.25MM
C/DH – Tyler Flowers – $400K
1B – Paul Konerko – $12MM
2B – Chris Getz – $401K
SS – Alexei Ramirez – $1.1MM
3B – Gordon Beckham – $400K
IF/OF – Brent Lillibridge – $403K
IF – Jayson Nix – $400K
LF –
CF – Alex Rios – $9.7MM
RF – Carlos Quentin – $550K+
OF –
DH – Dayan Viciedo – $1.25MM

SP – Mark Buehrle – $14MM
SP – Jake Peavy – $15MM
SP – Gavin Floyd – $2.75MM
SP – John Danks – $520K+
SP – Freddy Garcia – $1MM

RP – Bobby Jenks – $5.6MM+
RP – Scott Linebrink – $5MM
RP – Matt Thornton – $2.25MM
RP – D.J. Carrasco – $440K+
RP – Tony Pena – $430K+
RP – Randy Williams – $410K
RP - Carlos Torres - $400K

Other commitments: Mike MacDougal – $350K, Jermaine Dye – $1MM

Non-tender candidates: Bobby Jenks

The White Sox have about $82MM committed before arbitration raises to Quentin, Danks, Jenks, Carrasco, and Pena.  Those raises will be significant, and Jenks will probably be tendered a contract.  So we'll put the Sox at about $95MM for 2010.  According to Cot's Baseball Contracts, the Opening Day payroll was $96MM (after averaging $111MM the three previous years).

Trading or non-tendering Jenks would free up a good $7MM for GM Ken Williams.  MLB.com's Scott Merkin believes it'd take "a strong-to-overwhelming package" for Williams to move his closer.  With a surplus of available closers this winter, Jenks will stay put if Merkin is correct about the team's demands. 

The rotation appears set, since Garcia's option was exercised recently.  The pen is nearly ready, with a minor veteran addition possible (a lefty, if Jenks is traded and Thornton promoted to closer).

The infield is locked in as well, leaving vacancies at left field and DH (assuming Quentin moves to right).  Hopefully Williams is considering more than just Chone Figgins and Scott Podsednik for left field.  Most likely the free agent market will have corner outfield bargains once again.  It'd be even easier to fill the DH spot; re-signing Jim Thome on the cheap is one of many options.

Chicago's rotation looks strong, but the offense is filled with variables.  Will Williams make the right choices at left field and DH, two easy-to-fill spots?  Will Konerko and Beckham keep hitting, with Rios and Quentin bouncing back?  It's easy to imagine both extremes for the offense; that outcome should determine whether the Sox contend in 2010.

Baseball Blogs Weigh In: Twins, Mets, Rockies, Delgado, Nady, Butler

On this date six years ago, Aaron Boone ended the ALCS with an 11th inning home run off of Tim Wakefield. Yesterday we learned that Boone is likely to retire, ending his 12-year career. With this season's LCS underway, 26 teams are already in the Hot Stove season. Let's take a look at what is being written in the Blogosphere…

Cork Gaines writes for RaysIndex.com. If you have a suggestion for this feature, Cork can be reached here, and followed on Twitter here.

Odds & Ends: Cards, Red Sox, Jenks

After a great ending to the NLDS in Colorado, we'll be without baseball for a couple days. But not to worry, the links are still coming. Here's another set….

  • In their ESPN wrap-up of the St. Louis Cardinals' season, the Baseball Prospectus staff speculates that if Dave Duncan leaves town, his reclamation projects like Joel Pineiro might follow to wherever he lands.
  • The BP staff also takes a look at the Boston Red Sox for ESPN, pointing out that it'll be difficult to upgrade the offense in 2010, with the contracts of Mike Lowell and David Ortiz still on the books. Olney suggests that Miguel Tejada could provide solid production for the Sox if Theo Epstein could convince the infielder to sign at a discount for a chance to "win now."
  • MLB.com's Scott Merkin writes that, while Bobby Jenks wants to stay in Chicago for 2010 and beyond, the closer isn't happy about the team's comments about his conditioning.
  • Andrew Baggarly of the San Jose Mercury News expects Bruce Bochy and Brian Sabean to sign new contracts that will keep them in San Francisco — "probably within the next couple days."
  • The most important "free agents" for the New York Mets to target aren't actually players, according to Ben Shpigel of The New York Times. He wants the team to pursue managerial and front office options like Tony LaRussa and Kevin Towers, but is worried that none will still be available by the time the Mets give up on Jerry Manuel and Omar Minaya.
  • Seeing Wilson Betemit mentioned as a minor league free agent prompted Tyler Hissey of Around the Majors to revisit last November's Nick Swisher deal that sent Betemit to Chicago.
  • U.S.S. Mariner's Dave Cameron provides an interesting read about putting together a major-league roster.

Odds & Ends: Griffey, Podsednik, Valentine

A few afternoon links for you:

  • Some people may be expecting Ken Griffey Jr. to retire, but Phil Rogers isn't among them. Rogers says Griffey still has fun in baseball and the real surprise will be if he doesn't come back.
  • Adam McCalvy says the White Sox will meet with Scott Podsednik's agent, Ryan Gleichowski, this month. The two sides have had preliminary discussions, and Podsednik has expressed interest in a return for 2010.
  • Bobby Valentine may end up managing in Japan, according to Ken Rosenthal. The Yokohama Bay Stars are making a "concentrated effort" to hire him. Valentine has previously managed the Chiba Lotte Marines in Japan.

Odds & Ends: Thome, Anthopoulos, 2010 Draft

Here's a few links to check out while the Cardinals try to stave off elimination…

  • Prior to this evening's game, Jim Thome said he would "still love to come back" to the White Sox, according to Chris DeLuca of The Chicago Sun Times. ''I want to come back to the American League,'' said the 39-year-old Thome, who is making $13MM in the final season of the monster six-year, $85MM contract he signed with the Phillies prior to 2003.
  • Ken Fidlin of The Calgary Sun writes that new Blue Jays GM Alex Anthopolous "would do well to foster" what he calls the "Twins Way" in Toronto. He's referring to a "culture of professionalism and attention to detail."
  • Forgive the self-promotion, but if you're looking for a way to keep track of where each team's draft picks go once free agency starts, make sure you check out our 2010 Draft Order Tracker at River Ave. Blues. I'll keep that baby updated all winter as signings are make official, so make sure you check back in often.

White Sox Discussed New Deal For Podsednik

Outfielder DeWayne Wise has chosen free agency over a Triple A assignment from the White Sox, but there's a chance Scott Podsednik could return.  According to Mark Gonzales of the Chicago Tribune, Podsednik's agent Ryan Gleichowski had a preliminary discussion with Sox assistant GM Rick Hahn.  They'll talk again later this month.

Podsednik, 34 in March, signed a minor league deal with the Rockies in January.  He was released in April, and the White Sox scooped him up.  Pods went on to hit .304/.353/.412 in 587 plate appearances while playing mostly left and center field.  His defense graded out as average, based on UZR and plus-minus.

MLB.com's Scott Merkin spoke to Podsednik earlier this month, who expressed a desire to return but said "we are going to wait it out and see what happens."  Podsednik fell short of Type B status, so there will be no draft pick compensation involved.

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