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MLBTR Polls

Poll: How Will The Athletics Finish?

By Mike Axisa | August 11, 2012 at 8:52am CDT

The Athletics have not qualified for the postseason since 2006, the year Frank Thomas went from DH flier to MVP candidate by hitting .270/.381/.545 with 39 homers. Oakland comes into today in a virtual four-way tie for one of the two AL Wild Card spots, and they’ve won 34 of 51 games (.667) over the last two calendar months. They lead the league with 13 walk-off wins.

GM Billy Beane swung two of the best trades of the offseason by acquiring Josh Reddick (for Andrew Bailey) and Jarrod Parker (for Trevor Cahill). Reddick is hitting .257/.330/.510 with 25 homers while Parker has pitched to a 3.55 ERA in 19 starts. Tommy Milone, who came over in the Gio Gonzalez trade, has a 3.91 ERA in 22 starts. Add in a strong performance from bargain signing Bartolo Colon (3.38 ERA in 22 starts) and big performance from big money signing Yoenis Cespedes (.307/.368/.515 with 14 homers), and you have arguably the best Athletics team in the last six years.

The A’s are currently in second place in the AL West but sit just a half-game ahead of the Angels. They’re 5.5 back of the Rangers. To finish with their first winning season since 2006, they’ll need to win at least 22 of their final 50 games. That seems like the easy part considering the tough competition for a playoff berth.

How will the Athletics' season unfold?
Above .500 but no playoffs 55.92% (5,298 votes)
Playoff berth 36.63% (3,470 votes)
Below .500 7.45% (706 votes)
Total Votes: 9,474
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Poll: How Will The Dodgers Finish?

By Zachary Links | August 10, 2012 at 8:16pm CDT

The Dodgers’ new ownership group has made it clear that they are committed to winning once again in Los Angeles and they spared no expense prior to the trade deadline to try and make that happen.  Inside of a week, General Manager Ned Colletti was given the greenlight to acquire shortstop Hanley Ramirez, outfielder Shane Victorino, and right-hander Brandon League.  The Dodgers’ deadline potentially could have been even more wallet-busting had the Phillies agreed to part with Cliff Lee and the roughly $95MM owed to him through the rest of his contract.

Since acquiring Ramirez in late July and putting him into action on the 25th, the Dodgers are 7-7 in 14 games.  The enigmatic star is now making his homecoming tonight in Miami as the Dodgers sport a 60-52 record.  Los Angeles sits just one game behind the Giants for first place in the NL West and 3.5 games back of the Pirates for the second wild card slot.

Will their recent offensive infusion help them get over the hump and return to the playoffs for the first time since 2009?  For the Dodgers to wind up below the .500 mark, they’d have to finish 20-30 or worse.  To win 90 games, they’d have to go 30-20.  There are 50 games remaining, how do you see it playing out?

How Will The Dodgers' Season Unfold?
Playoff berth 63.18% (7,206 votes)
Above .500 30.73% (3,505 votes)
Below .500 6.09% (694 votes)
Total Votes: 11,405
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Poll: How Will The Orioles Finish?

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | August 9, 2012 at 2:35pm CDT

The Orioles were one of MLB’s model franchises for decades, but teams of the 1960s, ‘70s and ‘80s have given way to clubs that have been unable to reach the .500 mark for the last 14 years. While no organization rivals the Pirates’ streak of losing seasons, the Orioles haven’t had a winning record or made the playoffs since 1997.

Everything could change this year if the Orioles continue to play well for the next two months. They're currently 60-51, tied with the Tigers and Athletics for the lead in the American League Wild Card race, and 1.5 games ahead of the Rays and Angels. With five teams playing for two spots, competition for the Wild Card spots will no doubt be heated.

The Orioles have allowed 47 more runs than they've scored, which suggests their .541 winning percentage is unsustainable. But their 60 wins aren’t going to disappear, so they’re very much in contention. Manny Machado is joining the team, and Dylan Bundy might be next. As Dave Cameron explained this morning, there’s a definite chance Baltimore could win enough to reach the postseason. Even if it’s not necessarily likely, the playoffs are within reach.

For the Orioles to end up below .500, they’d have to finish 20-31 or worse. To win 90 games, they’d have to finish 30-21 or better. There are still 51 games to go…

How will the Orioles' season unfold?
Above .500 but no playoffs 62.42% (6,070 votes)
Playoff berth 25.98% (2,527 votes)
Below .500 11.60% (1,128 votes)
Total Votes: 9,725
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Poll: How Will The Pirates Finish?

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | August 8, 2012 at 10:32am CDT

The Pirates are 20 wins away from assuring themselves of their first winning season since 1992, and they have a realistic chance at an even greater accomplishment. The Pirates are currently in playoff position, 2.5 games ahead of the Cardinals for the National League's second Wild Card spot. Baseball Prospectus calculates that there’s a 55.5% chance the Pirates make the playoffs this year.

But a lot can happen in two months. The Pirates made midseason upgrades a year ago, acquiring Derrek Lee and Ryan Ludwick, only to falter down the stretch and finish with a 72-90 record. This year's Pirates team is much better at preventing runs, yet it doesn't generate much offense. The Pirates are 11th in the NL in runs scored and their team on-base percentage is just .303.

For the Pirates to finish below .500, they’d have to finish 18-35 or worse. To win 90 games, they’d have to finish 28-25 or better. With 53 games to go, a lot of uncertainty exists…

How will the Pirates' season unfold?
Playoff berth 51.03% (8,868 votes)
Above .500 but no playoffs 45.45% (7,898 votes)
Below .500 3.52% (611 votes)
Total Votes: 17,377
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Poll: Player Most Likely To Be Traded In August

By Daniel Seco 2 | August 5, 2012 at 9:30pm CDT

The non-waiver trade deadline saw countless teams wheel and deal with hopes that acquiring the right piece or two would be enough to make a legitimate run during the playoffs this October. There's still an opportunity for a contender to make a move as teams have until the August 31 waiver trade deadline to make up for a just-missed transaction from last week. While some of the players passed through waivers over the course of August are capable of contributing to a winning team, many come with a bloated contract and statistics unworthy of those dollars. 

Which player do you see as the most likely to change uniforms via trade this month?

Which Player Is Most Likely To Be Traded In August?
Alfonso Soriano 40.17% (7,996 votes)
Heath Bell 11.63% (2,314 votes)
Scott Hairston 11.45% (2,279 votes)
Justin Morneau 10.47% (2,083 votes)
Josh Beckett 8.73% (1,738 votes)
Other 7.32% (1,456 votes)
Vernon Wells 5.79% (1,152 votes)
Carl Crawford 4.45% (885 votes)
Total Votes: 19,903
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Poll: Should The Phillies Let Cliff Lee Go?

By Zachary Links | August 4, 2012 at 1:54pm CDT

Last night, the Dodgers were awarded claiming rights on Phillies pitcher Cliff Lee after the nine other National League clubs with worse records declined.  By claiming Lee, the Dodgers opened themselves up to the possibility of either trading for the left-hander or being assigned his contract which would saddle them with roughly $95MM in future commitments.  The struggling Phillies could help kickstart their rebuilding effort and slim down their bloated payroll by letting Lee go out west, but as it stands it doesn't seem like Ruben Amaro Jr. wants to consider it.  "It's irrelevant. [Lee] is not going anywhere," said the GM.

It's not hard to understand why the Phillies would be reluctant to let Lee go.  The soon-to-be 34-year-old has been a bright spot for the club this year, posting a 3.73 ERA with 8.5 K/9 and 1.7 BB/9 in 18 starts.  While his performance may not put him near the top in Cy Young voting this year as it did in 2011, there's no denying that Lee is still going strong and could help anchor the Phillies' rotation in 2013 and beyond.

However, Lee's contract calls for him to make $21.5MM in 2012 and $25MM per season through 2015.  The committment could also extend through 2016 as he has a $27.5MM vesting option with a $12.5MM buyout.  The Phillies stretched their payroll to retain Cole Hamels to a six-year (or, potentially seven-year) extension and wiping Lee's salary from the books would help restore some flexibility.

 

Should The Phillies Let Cliff Lee Go?
Yes 67.62% (14,214 votes)
No 32.38% (6,807 votes)
Total Votes: 21,021
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Poll: Will Cliff Lee Be Claimed On Waivers?

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | August 3, 2012 at 8:05am CDT

Cliff Lee is on waivers, so MLB teams must now decide whether to place a claim on the left-hander. For the majority of teams, the decision will be simple. Lee earns far too much for most general managers to make a claim and risk taking on his contract ($21.5MM in 2012, $25MM per season through 2015, and a $27.5MM vesting option for 2016 with a $12.5MM buyout). It’s complex enough for GMs to boost payroll by a few million with a summer acquisition, so a player with $95MM on his contract will be out of the question in most cases. 

But Lee could tempt a team or two. He continues to pitch effectively — seven innings per start, five times as many strikeouts as walks and a 3.73 ERA in a so-called down year — and there’s no better staring pitcher available. Maybe $95MM for three-plus seasons would be acceptable for a team with aggressive ownership, such as the Dodgers. 

If Lee does get claimed, the Phillies could pull him back off of waivers, work out a trade, or assign his contract to the team that wins the claim (the left-hander can block trades to 21 teams). If he goes unclaimed, the Phillies will be able to trade Lee with the same restrictions they’d encounter in July or in the offseason. How will it all unfold?

Will Cliff Lee be claimed on waivers?
No 39.54% (6,192 votes)
Yes, by multiple teams 34.17% (5,352 votes)
Yes, by one team 26.29% (4,117 votes)
Total Votes: 15,661
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Poll: Will The Cubs Move Soriano This Month?

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | August 2, 2012 at 8:17am CDT

The Cubs made many trades before this week's non-waiver deadline, but Alfonso Soriano stayed put. Soriano wasn't dealt Tuesday despite some interest from rival teams. However, Cubs GM Jed Hoyer acknowledged on ESPN 1000 yesterday that "there is a chance” Soriano will be traded in August.

Two things would have to happen for the 36-year-old to be moved. He’d have to be placed on waivers and he’d have to approve the trade. Soriano is now hitting .273/.322/.499 with 19 home runs and 22 doubles, so he’d represent an offensive upgrade for many teams. Yet he earns $18MM per season through 2014, so there’s an excellent chance he’ll clear waivers this month. He also has a no-trade clause, which limits the Cubs' options. If Soriano does clear waivers, the Cubs can trade him to any team with his permission. In the unlikely event that he gets claimed, they can let him go for nothing but salary relief or work out a trade with the claiming team — as long as Soriano consents. How do you think it'll play out?

Will the Cubs move Soriano to another team this month?
Yes 58.55% (9,005 votes)
No 41.45% (6,375 votes)
Total Votes: 15,380
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Poll: Which Team Should Have Made A Trade?

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | August 1, 2012 at 9:29am CDT

The last ten days have featured dozens of trades, and most of baseball’s 30 teams were responsible for a share of the action. But four clubs — the Orioles, Nationals, Mets and Padres — decided not to make trades. The Orioles (starting pitching, third base), Nationals (bench depth, starting pitching) and Mets (bullpen help) considered upgrades with 2012 in mind, while the Padres considered trading established players such as Chase Headley. In each case the clubs ultimately decided against making major trades. 

Which of these teams, if any, should have made a move?

Which team needed to make a trade?
Orioles 41.50% (5,570 votes)
Nationals 29.13% (3,910 votes)
Mets 15.30% (2,053 votes)
Padres 7.35% (987 votes)
None 6.71% (901 votes)
Total Votes: 13,421
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Poll: Biggest Name Traded Today

By Tim Dierkes | July 31, 2012 at 7:15am CDT

As always, there are tons of intriguing names flying around on trade deadline day.  Our poll question is simple: tell us the biggest name that will be dealt today.

Biggest name traded today?
Ryan Dempster 18.84% (5,018 votes)
Cliff Lee 16.80% (4,474 votes)
Hunter Pence 15.57% (4,147 votes)
Shane Victorino 11.91% (3,173 votes)
Matt Garza 8.68% (2,312 votes)
Josh Beckett 4.70% (1,251 votes)
Justin Upton 4.36% (1,160 votes)
Justin Morneau 4.18% (1,112 votes)
Josh Johnson 2.95% (785 votes)
Shin-Soo Choo 2.84% (756 votes)
James Shields 2.40% (639 votes)
Chase Headley 2.32% (619 votes)
Jonathan Broxton 1.75% (465 votes)
Joe Blanton 1.55% (414 votes)
Stephen Drew 1.15% (307 votes)
Total Votes: 26,632
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