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Ohtani Pivots From His Signature Sweeper, Fans Nine In Improved Start
Shohei Ohtani made his 10th start of the season Sunday afternoon against the Twins. It was a bounce-back performance for the Halos ace, who ended his streak of home runs allowed and held the Twins to just two hits and one run in six innings while fanning nine. The Japanese hurler’s season ERA is down to 3.03 and is striking out hitters at a 34.6% rate. He is also leading the majors with a .142 opponent batting average.
Although he held the Twins to two hits, Ohtani regretted walking three batters and hitting one. He was able to pitch around it, however, and gave the Angels the length that they needed from him. The sole run came from a Carlos Correa double in the 3rd inning.
Ohtani has consistently provided the Angels staff with length. Sunday was the fifth time out of the last six starts that Ohtani lasted at least six innings. It was an encouraging performance for the 2021 AL MVP, who has been going through a rut on the mound.
Ohtani closed out his strong performance by striking out the side in the sixth inning. He did not get the decision, but the Angels got the win off of a Mickey Moniak go-ahead two-run double in the seventh.
The trend of decreased sweeper usage for Ohtani continued on Sunday, with usage down to 27% from his season average of over 40%. He did not throw the sweeper until the 10th pitch of the game. The adjustment comes from hitters going deep five times on the sweeper. He pivoted and instead relied heavily on his cutter and splitter.
“I kept the pitch percentages in mind,” Ohtani said. “I threw a few hittable pitches, but since they weren’t sitting on it [like the sweeper] I was able to get away with it.”
The improved approach paid dividends, as Ohtani matched his season-high of 22 whiffs that he recorded on April 21 against the Royals.
“I was trying to control the home runs and not make them feel comfortable at the plate. I was trying to make sure they were not taking good swings,” Ohtani said.
Former Red Sox pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka said that even if Ohtani wasn’t throwing the sweeper, the thought of his sweeper was enough to keep hitters on their toes. He noted the pitch sequencing in Ohtani’s sixth-inning matchup with Carlos Correa.
“After getting to two strikes against Correa, his fourth pitch was a splitter on the outside to try to get him out, but this was a ball. Correa was probably expecting a sweeper next, but Ohtani elected to throw the fastball so he was late and struck out,” Matsuzaka said. “Every pitch can be an outpitch for him. I think that he reestablished himself as a pitcher who’s hard to break down.”
Ohtani’s next projected start is at home on May 28 against the Miami Marlins and their #1 pitching prospect Eury Perez at 4:07 PM EST/1:07 PM PT.
Ohtani Nearly Hits For The Cycle While Tossing Seven Innings
Shohei Ohtani made his ninth start of the season Monday night against the Orioles. It was another shaky start for the Japanese right-hander, who tossed seven innings in 98 pitches, struck out five, and gave up five earned runs off of three home runs. Ohtani’s ERA for the season is now at 3.23.
Ohtani has now allowed at least three runs in four straight starts, something that has never happened in his career. It was just the third time in his career that he gave up three home runs in a start and the second time against the Orioles.
Hanging sweepers continue to haunt Ohtani, with Adam Frazier and Anthony Santander capitalizing on mistakes with two-run homers in the 2nd and 3rd innings. Although hitters are only hitting .138 against Ohtani’s sweeper, they have homered five times off of it. Last season, hitters homered off of the only sweeper six times
Heavily relying on the sweeper was not an issue against the Orioles. Ohtani’s sweeper usage was at a season-low 27% on Monday night, and he mixed in his cutter and split-fingered fastball at a higher rate, showing different looks to hitters. The problem was the poor location of sweepers at the heart of the plate.
“I’ve noticed a couple of things [about the sweeper], so if I keep making corrections it will still be effective,” Ohtani said after the game.
Ohtani also gave up a rare home run off of a fastball to Cedric Mullins in the fifth inning. He only allowed three home runs off a fastball last season, and Mullins’ homer was the first this season. He retired 13 of the last 15 hitters faced and completed seven innings.
Despite giving up multiple long balls, Ohtani allowed just four hits against the Orioles. Even with the recent four-game pitching slump, hitters are only hitting .171 against Ohtani this season.
Although it was a night to forget on the mound Ohtani more than made up for it at the plate, going 4 for 5 with 3 RBI and a walk and finishing a double-shy of the cycle. The 2021 AL MVP’s towering three-run homer traveled 456 feet and recorded an exit velocity of 114.6 mph. It was the longest homer of the season for Ohtani.
“I think there was a little anger behind that swing,” said Halos skipper Phil Nevin.”An impressive night. I know he gave up the five runs, but like I said, the damage was minimal because the hits were down and not a lot of guys on base.”
Ohtani got the chance to complete the cycle in the ninth after a Mike Trout walk but settled for a single to left field after getting behind on the count at 0-2.
“I was trying [to get a double], but I got down in the count so I wanted to make contact,” Ohtani said. “At least I was able to get a hit so that was good.”
Ohtani’s next projected start is at home against the Twins on Sunday at 4:07 PM EST/1:07 PM PST
Submit Your Questions For The MLB Trade Rumors Podcast!
Each week on the MLB Trade Rumors podcast we’ll answer questions submitted by our readers. With the next episode due out Wednesday morning, we’re looking for MLBTR readers to submit their questions and we’ll pick three to answer.
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You can also listen to Episode 6 on Spotify, Apple Podcasts and wherever you get your podcasts! On that episode, Katie Woo and I discussed the the state of the Cardinals and their handling of Willson Contreras, while Darragh Macdonald and I talked the Rays’ continued success and the sluggish start from the Astros.
Ken Giles To Hold Showcase For Interested Clubs
Free agent right-hander Ken Giles is planning to throw live bullpen sessions for interested clubs on Friday, reports Jon Heyman of the New York Post.
Giles previously held a showcase for clubs in February and then threw in front of Padres officials at that club’s Arizona complex shortly thereafter, but a deal didn’t come together and he remains unsigned. Heyman notes that Giles has spent the past five weeks working out with Driveline, the data-driven biomechanics company, at their Arizona facility.
The 32-year-old Giles has been one of the most dominant relievers in baseball at times in his career but has been dealing with some challenges recently. From 2014 to 2019, he pitched for the Phillies, Astros and Blue Jays, posting a 2.67 ERA in that time while racking up 114 saves. He struck out 33.3% of batters faced while issuing walks at just a 7.5% clip.
He was only able to make four appearances in 2020, ultimately requiring Tommy John surgery that wiped out his 2021 season. He signed a two-year deal with the Mariners that covered 2021 and 2022, with the club knowing the first year of that deal would be dedicated primarily to rehabbing the surgery. He made five scoreless appearances for the M’s last year but walked 22.2% of the batters he faced. His 94.8 mph fastball velocity was a few ticks below the 97-99 mph range he managed in previous seasons. He was designated for assignment in August, elected free agency and signed a minor league deal with the Giants but was released about a week later.
Despite that rough stretch, a healthy Giles should garner interest, especially if the work with Driveline did anything to get him closer to his previous form. When he was last able to pitch for an extended stretch in 2019, he posted a 1.87 ERA for the Jays while striking out 39.9% of opponents against an 8.2% walk rate. With various clubs throughout the league dealing with pitching injuries and the trade deadline still a few months away, taking a flier on Giles might be intriguing for clubs that could use a boost in the bullpen.
Shohei Ohtani Outdueled By Framber Valdez
Shohei Ohtani took the mound against AL West rivals Astros Tuesday night and recorded his first loss of the season, despite seven strong innings of work.
Ohtani finished the outing with 103 pitches, his second-highest total of the season, with seven strikeouts and three runs allowed. He was outdueled by Astros ace Framber Valdez, who only allowed a single run and fanned 12 in eight innings. Ohtani is now at a 2.74 ERA and has given up 12 runs over his last 18 innings.
Ohtani allowed yet another home run against the Astros, making it the third consecutive start with a home run allowed. This time it came against an unlikely opponent, defensive catcher and former teammate Martin Maldonado. The home run once again came off of Ohtani’s signature sweeper.
“The pitch location was bad, so it’s on me,” Ohtani said after the game. “I’m not hitting the spots I need to.”
Ohtani finished his start strong and came back in the sixth and seventh innings to keep the Halos in the game.
Ohtani mentioned after his previous start that he didn’t like that hitters were able to lift the ball against him. Against the Astros, he induced 13 groundballs. The increase in groundballs may be a result of his increased sinker usage. He dramatically increased his sinker usage, throwing it 32 times. In just one start, he threw his sinker as many times as all of his other starts combined.
In his last start, Kazuhiro Sasaki pointed out that Ohtani needed to adjust his game plan. Ohtani did just that. Ohtani threw his sweeper only 39% of the time, compared to his season average of nearly 50%.
The decrease in sweeper usage and change in gameplan may also have been a result of a new catching partner in Chris Okey, who was filling in for the injured Chad Wallach.
“It’s difficult for catchers to catch pitches that they haven’t seen before,” Ohtani said. “I didn’t know his blocking data, so it was weighing the risks of throwing [certain] pitches,” Ohtani said.
Ohtani threw his splitter just once, and his average horizontal movement on his sweeper was once again down to 15 inches compared to the season average of 17 inches.
Ohtani also was dealing with a cracked middle finger, but said it was not an issue.
“I didn’t really feel it and I was good in the sixth and seventh, and the pitches I threw weren’t bad so I don’t think it had a big impact,” Ohtani said.
Ohtani’s next start will be against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards on May 16, 6:35 PM EST/ 3:35 PM PT.
How Much Revenue Does Shohei Ohtani Actually Generate?
Shohei Ohtani’s impact on the field as a two-way superstar is undisputed. Ohtani is a Cy Young-level talent on the mound, hurling 100 mph fastballs and making hitters look silly with his frisbee-like sweepers and devastating splitters. At the plate, he is one of the premier sluggers in the game, winning the Edgar Martinez Award for most valuable designated hitter in the last two seasons.
The 2021 AL MVP’s impact beyond the field is equally noteworthy.
Last October, Katsuhiro Miyamoto, renowned economist and Professor Emeritus at Kansai University, released a report on Ohtani’s economic effects in the 2022 season.
The study found that Ohtani’s economic effects totaled an estimated 45 billion Japanese Yen, approximately 337 million US dollars.
Miyamoto is a sports economics expert who has previously studied topics such as the economic impact of championship seasons of NPB teams and the economic damage sustained by the Japanese sports industry as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic.
The bulk of Ohtani’s economic effects came from ticket sales, merchandise sales, Ohtani’s salary and sponsorships, and MLB broadcasting rights related to Ohtani.
Ohtani’s effect on ticket sales was calculated by hypothesizing the number of fans (both home and away) who attended Angels games because of Ohtani. The total estimate resulted in 631,174 fans, which accounts for roughly ¥6 billion ($45MM) in ticket sales. Ohtani merchandise sales in the US equaled ¥984MM ($7.26MM).
The ticket and merchandise sales coupled with his salary and sponsorships brought Ohtani’s direct impact on the US economy to ¥19.4 billion ($143.6MM).
Ohtani’s direct impact on the Japanese economy was calculated through merchandise sales, travel packages for Ohtani games, and appearance fees for TV commercials, which totaled an estimated ¥1.7 billion ($12.55MM).
In addition to these direct effects on the economy, Miyamoto accounted for primary and secondary economic ripple effects on related industries to calculate the final amount.
The estimated value of Ohtani’s economic effects in the 2022 season was nearly double that of Ohtani’s groundbreaking 2021 AL MVP season, which was an estimated 24 billion Japanese Yen ($178MM). Miyamoto explained that the increased effect was a result of higher attendance at games in 2022 because of the MVP campaign and inflation.
Miyamoto, who has been conducting similar studies for years, was stunned by the findings. “These numbers are unprecedented for a single athlete,” Miyamoto said. “For example, this [economic effect] is the equivalent of a championship campaign of a popular NPB team like the Yomiuri Giants, Hanshin Tigers, or Softbank Hawks and that is considering a team having about 70 players.”
Ohtani’s economic impact could also be found during Team Japan’s championship run at the World Baseball Classic. In February, before the tournament, Miyamoto stated that Team Japan can generate nearly 59.6 billion yen ($444MM) if they won the tournament. The final number was boosted to 65 billion yen ($484MM) after the tournament by what Miyamoto calls the “Ohtani Effect.” “It took every player’s contribution for Samurai Japan to win the world championship, but this was Ohtani’s tournament,” Miyamoto said.
It’s possible that the Ohtani’s economic effects in 2023 will dwarf the 2022 estimate. A free agent to-be in the fall, Ohtani is projected to sign the largest contract in MLB history. Earlier this year, he signed a long-term deal with Boston-based apparel company New Balance. In March, Forbes reported that Ohtani will collect $65 million in total earnings, the highest-ever in MLB, for the 2023 season before taxes and agents’ fees.
“We are thankful to live in the same era where we can witness Ohtani’s greatness,” Miyamoto said.
Pedro Strop Eyeing Comeback Attempt
Longtime Cubs reliever Pedro Strop is eyeing a comeback attempt, as the right-hander himself made clear when tweeting out video of himself throwing a bullpen session this weekend. “I want to come back,” Strop wrote in yesterday’s tweet. It’s the second time in the past couple weeks that he’s alluded to a comeback by tweeting out video of a ’pen session, though yesterday’s was more direct than the first.
Strop, who’ll turn 38 in June, hasn’t pitched in the Majors since 2021 and has thrown just 4 1/3 big league innings since the conclusion of the 2019 season. He’s pitched for los Leones del Escogido in the Dominican Winter League in each of the past two offseasons, combining for 23 2/3 innings of 3.80 ERA ball with a 25.2% strikeout rate and 11.6% walk rate. Strop also tossed 14 innings in the 2021 Mexican League, allowing five runs (3.21 ERA) on 14 hits and five walks with 16 punchouts.
Strop’s last season with a significant amount of time spent in the Majors was back in 2019, when he limped to a 4.97 ERA in 41 2/3 frames. His 27.5% strikeout rate that year remained plenty strong, but Strop’s 11.2% walk rate was one of the highest of his career and his velocity dipped to what was then a career-low 93.6 mph. In two subsequent seasons, he tossed 4 1/3 frames between the Reds and Cubs but walked eight of his 25 opponents in that time while sitting at 91.8 mph with his heater.
Prior to those struggles, Strop was a durable and excellent reliever over a six-year stretch with the Cubs. Acquired alongside Jake Arrieta in an absolute heist of a trade with the Orioles, Strop’s first six seasons in Chicago resulted in a 2.63 ERA over 331 1/3 innings. He pitched to a sub-3.00 ERA every season, fanned 28.2% of his total opponents and walked 9.5% of them. He picked up 19 saves and another 114 holds during regular-season play along the way, and he also excelled in the postseason. Through 17 total innings, he allowed just four runs (2.12 ERA) on eight hits and six walks with 12 strikeouts — including two scoreless frames during the Cubs’ 2016 World Series run.
Time will tell whether Strop actually gets another opportunity with an affiliated club and whether he can take that hypothetical opportunity a step further and ultimately return to a big league mound. He certainly wouldn’t be the first pitcher to engineer a successful big league return in his late 30s, though. Daniel Bard returned from a seven-year MLB absence at age 35 back in 2020, and Rich Hill was also 35 by the time he kicked off a late-career renaissance that he’s still continuing into his age-43 season.
Shohei Ohtani Matches A Babe Ruth Record Despite Rough Start
Shohei Ohtani took the mound for the first time in the month of May against the Cardinals last Wednesday night.
The 2021 AL MVP had another rough start by his standards, allowing four runs in five innings. His season ERA has now gone up to 2.54, after back-to-back starts with four or more runs allowed.
Although he only lasted five innings, Ohtani tied his career high in single-game strikeouts with 13. He has struck out 38.6% of hitters in 39 innings this season. With the 13th strikeout, Ohtani reached 500 career strikeouts in MLB. He is now the first player since Babe Ruth to have 500 career strikeouts as a pitcher and 100 home runs as a hitter.
It was the second consecutive start where Ohtani allowed multiple home runs: a solo shot from Nolan Gorman in the first inning, and a two-run homer from Dylan Carlson in the fourth.
Both home runs came off of Ohtani’s sweeper, which was not at its best. The average horizontal break on the sweeper was three inches below the season average. The drier conditions of Busch Stadium may have played a role in the reduced movement.
Ohtani was disappointed with the short start. “I wanted to get through six or seven innings, minimum, more than the strikeouts, I’m more disappointed that I didn’t get that far in the game,” Ohtani said.
Former Seattle Mariners reliever and current analyst Kazuhiro Sasaki said that it might be time for Ohtani to make adjustments to his pitch mix. “The average velocity of Ohtani’s fastball was the highest so far this year at 98 mph,” Sasaki said for Nikkan Sports. “Ohtani’s kept his pitch mix consistent this season. With more divisional games on the way, if he changes his pitch tendencies for one or two games he’ll keep teams guessing,” Sasaki said.
91% of Ohtani’s pitches on Wednesday were either sweepers or fastballs, with the occasional splitter and sinker. “It felt like they were sitting on certain pitches on certain counts,” Ohtani said. Ohtani had been using more cutters and curveballs in recent starts, but not in this game. Going back to mixing the occasional cutter and curveball, and increasing his splitter and sinker usage may be an adjustment that Ohtani can make to keep hitters on their toes.
The Angels won the game 6-4 on account of Mike Trout and Jake Lamb homers in the 9th inning.
The matchup between Ohtani and WBC teammate Lars Nootbaar was highly anticipated by Japanese media. Like the matchup against Masataka Yoshida last month, Ohtani got the upper hand. Ohtani struck out Nootbaar in all three at-bats, on a sweeper, splitter, and fastball. “It looked like he went into another gear in that matchup,” Sasaki said.
Ohtani’s next scheduled start is an AL West divisional showdown at home against the Houston Astros on May 9, 9:38PM EST/6:38PM PT.
Submit Your Questions For The MLB Trade Rumors Podcast
Each week on the MLB Trade Rumors podcast we’ll answer questions submitted by our readers. With the next episode due out Wednesday morning, we’re looking for MLBTR readers to submit a voice memo with their question and we’ll pick three to answer.
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We look forward to hearing from you!
In the meantime, don’t forget to subscribe to the podcast on Spotify and Apple Podcasts.
You can also listen to Episode 4 on Spotify, Apple Podcasts and wherever you get your podcasts! On that episode, Betsy Helfand and I discussed the A’s likely move to Las Vegas and the state of the Twins, while Anthony Franco and I talked Bryan Reynolds’ extension with the Pirates and what’s next for Madison Bumgarner.
