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Zrebiec On Miguel Tejada
I recently named the Baltimore Sun's Jeff Zrebiec as Rumor Royalty for the Orioles. He was kind enough to answer a few questions for the site.
MLBTR: Give us an example of a reasonable trade bounty for a team acquiring Miguel Tejada. Do you think the Orioles are targeting a certain number of players or certain positions? If the acquiring team intended to move him to third base, would this become a problem?
Zrebiec: All indications are that the Orioles are still looking for two high-level prospects for Tejada. I'm not sure they'll get that now with Tejada's defensive concerns and declining power numbers, but that could change when Miguel Cabrera is no longer on the market. The Orioles are in desperate need for young position player talent, but president of baseball operations Andy MacPhail has acknowledged that he is in no position to discriminate. He wants to bring in as much young talent as possible this offseason, regardless of position. "We'll sort it out later," he has said.
Tejada has given conflicting answers in the past about whether he'll move to 3B. He has made it clear that he'd prefer to stay at shortstop. However, he has also said that he would make the move for a playoff-caliber team. I don't foresee it being a problem at all. Everybody that knows Miguel insists that all he wants to do is win, and he'll do what he has to do to make that happen.
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Baltimore is in a fortunate position. They have a couple of players that teams want, Miguel Tejada and Eric Bedard, and they aren't playing to win in '08. They can also sit and wait for the Marlins to finish screwing around with the Angels and Dodgers, then take advantage of the team that couldn't land Cabrerra.
Two high-level prospects for Tejada seems pricey, but for a team like the Dodgers, who had no one hit more than 20 HR the last two seasons, it could be worth it. Although, I don't think Ned Colletti should give up Matt Kemp in this deal. Maybe Clayton Kershaw and Andy LaRoche?
Posted by: jskohl | November 29, 2007 at 07:31 AM
I can't see Coletti giving up Kershaw in a Tejada trade. Maybe LaRoche and Ebert?
Posted by: tolo316 | November 29, 2007 at 07:58 AM
Kershaw may be too much for Tejada. Now, if you include Bedard in the deal, then Kershaw is going to Baltimore, along with a few other Dodger prospects.
Posted by: jskohl | November 29, 2007 at 08:05 AM
Yea i agree, that was my idea to begin with. The dodgers should go after both bedard and tejada, they will get their middle of the order bat andleft handed ace in the same deal, which probably means they will have to pay less to get both of these guys. However, in order to get the deal done, you have to expect the orioles to ask for the sky. My expectations is that they will ask for Kemp, Laroche, Kershaw or Billingsly for that deal to occur, and that may be too pricey. However, if Coletti wants to do a blockbuster, i could see it happening.
Posted by: bravesbeast | November 29, 2007 at 08:32 AM
I fthe Dodgers have to give up their best young players, I'd rather they go after Miguel Cabrerra. At this point, it seems as if Colletti and McCourt are content on keeping the team as is. I think the '08 Dodgers will lok very similar to the '07 Dodgers.
Posted by: jskohl | November 29, 2007 at 08:41 AM
Problem is that Tejada is no longer a solid middle of the lineup hitter. There is a great chance that he will hit under 20 HR's this year.
Since 2004 his HR totals have been 34, 26, 24, and 18. His OPS has also dropped almost 100 points during that time.
With an expensive salary, declining offensive and defensive abilities I would be really hesitant to give up 2 good prospects for the guy.
Posted by: bjsguess | November 29, 2007 at 10:33 AM
Bottom line, I wouldn't touch the guy until I see the Mitchell Report. And If I'm the O's, I try and move him immediately.
Posted by: andrewh11882 | November 29, 2007 at 11:40 AM
If someone targets "Miggy"-Fat and ends up with "Miggy"-old while giving up a fairly similar package as the "Miggy"-Fat rumors...
...Well, lets just say I dont know if I will be able to stop laughing for a week...
Posted by: darkstar1661 | November 29, 2007 at 01:52 PM
Why did this guy completely ignore the question???
"Examples" = no answer
"Certain Players" = no answer
"Certain Positions" = no answer
A simple "i don't know" would suffice if he didn't have any info...
Posted by: kbrooks2LA | November 29, 2007 at 02:50 PM
If the Dodgers trade Kershaw for Tejada, then Coletti should be fired and banned from baseball. I'm convinced that Kershaw is the best pitching prospect in baseball, and he challenges Jay Bruce as the best overall prospect. I saw one potential offer that i believe was Andy LaRoche and either Greg Miller or Scott Elbert, and I could see that happening. If the Dodgers give up any of their truly elite prospects (Kemp, Loney, Kershaw and Billingsley) for Tejada, they are making an incredibly awful move.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 29, 2007 at 06:05 PM
" I saw one potential offer that i believe was Andy LaRoche and either Greg Miller or Scott Elbert, and I could see that happening. If the Dodgers give up any of their truly elite prospects (Kemp, Loney, Kershaw and Billingsley) for Tejada, they are making an incredibly awful move."
...Yeah, the second part is the kind of thing that will have me laughing for weeks. On the first part though, I'm not even too sure I would want to give LaRoche up that quickly in the deal. He was a Top-100 prospect entering 2007 and if he's given a shot could produce better than Miggy-Old as quickly as this year. I would understand it more if they just really, really dont want anything to do with him ~ but he alone could come back to bite them extremely quickly...
Posted by: darkstar1661 | November 29, 2007 at 07:42 PM
I never have really understood why the Dodgers won't give LaRoche a chance. Hes raked at every level, including AAA, and they have an opening at 3B. I mean they preferred putting Nomar there.. Thats why I thought maybe they would deal him, considering he seems to always be in rumors and they still haven't handed him a job he seems to deserve. The vibe I'm getting is that they just have some unknown problem with him that we don't know about. Which is odd because he seems to have decent star potential.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 29, 2007 at 08:53 PM
Yeah, infact after I had posted the Top-100 prospect thing I realized that it wasn’t only a Top-100 Prospect ranking ~ but it was Top-20! And, he was the highest ranking Dodger on the list ~ besting Kersh, Kemp, Loney ~ everyone…
And its not like posting a .309/.399/.589 line at AAA this year has really hurt his perception ~ yet so many fans seemed to have gotten to the point where they regurgitate the Dodger’s unwillingness to really try him into statements like “I think he’s overrated”. Same thing happens with Loney often, who again was ranked so high and done so well at the ML level so far but hears “he will be average at best” type stuff attached to his name…
Some of the feeling about LaRoche apparently comes from the fact that he was hurting a bit when he was first called up this last year, some of it comes from the .226 BA & .365 OBP. I see a guy who posted a .365 OBP over 93 random ABs in his first year with an amazing Stateline from the minors which not only portrays Mays-Like Power but also the OBP to match. Career .294/.374/.524 line in the minors while never really suffering at any level…
…he’s my 3B and I want nothing to do with either Miggy if its up to me…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | November 29, 2007 at 09:52 PM
I agree. They're better off keeping all their guys. The only realistic guys I can think of that it would be worth it are Erik Bedard and Scott Kazmir. But the thing is that Chad Billingsley and Clayton Kershaw could easily become those two in a matter of just a couple years. Seems sorta unfair that every team in baseball has this huge desire for great young talent and everyone is envious of the Dodgers situation, and yet the Dodgers are constantly choosing veterens over these guys. Maybe it has something to do with busts like Joel Guzman (#5 in 2005), Edwin Jackson (#4 in 2004) and Greg Miller (#8 in 2004). (Those were BA's Top 100 rankings for those guys)
Posted by: scribbletone | November 29, 2007 at 10:52 PM
hahaha, I had completely forgotten about Joel Guzman ~ thanks for that laugh...
Anyway, although that very well could be the reason they are weary ~ how stupid does it make them? I mean, if ya dont want them then trade them while they have value instead of sitting them on the bench for 3 years... Oh well...
I do disagree on keeping them all though, well, a little at least. There is enough depth on the club where I think they should do what they can to get an Ace. If Johan is really avail, they should be one of the teams right there if they were smart. The NL-C is a pitching division ~ they will not win if they insist on a rag-tag injury prone group. Not saying it doesnt have any talent, but reliability is the last word you can use to describe it.
Each and every park in the NL-C is made for pitchers with plus stuff ~ even Col and Arz with the large OFs can be used as an advantage. Last year Arz and Col made it to the playoffs because they had the pitching, both teams upgraded their staffs quite a bit. The Dodgers need to focus there, take advantage of the weak hitting teams up and down the division with pitching like the other teams do and then they can win with the bats they already have despite sending a couple off in the deal. But alas people with even semi-intelligent minds are not in charge of the team and instead they seem to be running in place for over 20 years now...
Posted by: darkstar1661 | November 30, 2007 at 12:56 AM