![]() |
|
|
| |
« Erik Bedard Rumors: Tuesday | Main | Thoughts On The Johan Santana Trade »
UPDATE, 1-29-08 at 4:22: Ken Rosenthal says the 72-hour window to sign Santana is now open.
UPDATE, 1-29-08 at 3:15pm: Bob Nightengale of USA Today says an agreement to trade Santana to the Mets has been reached. They'll send Carlos Gomez, Philip Humber, Deolis Guerra, and Kevin Mulvey to the Twins. The Mets still have to work out a six or seven year extension for Santana, according to Nightengale. If this baby reaches its true conclusion we'll sit down and analyze.
UPDATE, 1-29-08 at 2:55pm: More from Olney. His sources say the Mets have the best offer, the Red Sox also made offers, and the Yanks are out. Santana apparently asked the Twins to make a decision, wrap this thing up. Wrap it up! Olney is not sure whether F-Mart is part of the Mets' offer.
UPDATE, 1-29-08 at 2:06pm: SI.com's Jon Heyman weighs in. He sees the Mets as the frontrunner, the Red Sox on the fringes, and the Yankees as nearly out of the running. The Mets are offering Gomez/Humber/Mulvey/Guerra but not Fernando Martinez. If they get Santana, the Mets will commit to only five years but with a high average annual value of $22-25MM.
UPDATE, 1-29-08 at 1:11pm: WFAN's Mike Francesa believes the Twins upped their offer to five years, $100MM for Santana, but he rejected it.
UPDATE, 1-29-08 at 9:42am: ESPN's Buster Olney says the Twins asked for each team's "last and best offers" on Monday. They could decide Santana's fate as early as today. Olney adds that the Yankees "appear to be not presently engaged whatsoever in the Santana talks." Olney used to be a Yankees beat writer, so he's bound to have a good line on this.
As for the Red Sox - Olney is hearing conflicting things about Jon Lester's availability. It's possible that Lester could only be had in a more limited package - he, Coco Crisp, and not much else.
FROM 1-29-08 at 8:02am:
Over at MetsBlog today, Matthew Cerrone does a nice job summing up the Johan Santana situation.
The New York Daily News indicates that the Mets are the one team pushing for Santana, but the Twins might use the Erik Bedard haul as a measuring stick. Joel Sherman sees it as a Mets-Red Sox battle. He notes that Carlos Gomez will skip the Caribbean Series not because of an impending trade but just to limit his games.
We could finally get some kind of resolution with Santana this week. Just to keep things interesting, check out Mark Healey's note about the Dodgers "creeping into the picture."
TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d834515b9a69e2010534c06926970b
Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Johan Santana Traded To Mets:
This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.
As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.
Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.


|
|
again... just do the deal so we can get some fresh rumors. im gettin tired of this, bedard, and roberts and nothing else...
Posted by: bronx | January 29, 2008 at 08:04 AM
Healey really think the red sox are out of this picture? Is he out of his mind? the red sox are just leaving their offer on the table. they know that as far as the twins are concerned, the red sox have BY FAR the best offer. I do like the yankees offer to. the mets offer if you ask me is a joke. yes there are 2 mlb ready prospects involved with gomez and martinez but once again there in no insurance on any of these players. Kei igawa was a big japanese prospect, hes now in A trying to figure out how to pitch in MLB. The yankees deal is very good too especially if its hughes instead of kennedy, however here is my breakdown. They want a good center fielder tho which both crisp or ellsbury. cabrera is alright, but as i've said before if you look at his numbers, especially defensively, crisp or ellsbury is a much better selection and will cost the twins a bit less.
basically my main point is either lester or ellsbury both have proven their worth in the majors, which even hughes i cant really say has, due to an injury shortened season for him.
Posted by: Santana/Beckett FTW | January 29, 2008 at 08:14 AM
sorry for terrible grammar. still way to early. you get what i mean though i hope haha.
Posted by: Santana/Beckett FTW | January 29, 2008 at 08:20 AM
"The Mets offer if you ask me is a joke"
Thankfully, nobody is asking you.
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 08:30 AM
jersey i was going to tell him something like that, but its not even worth it. I feel like I have been defending the Mets prospects for months. One thing that will be nice about the Mets getting santana is the Omar bashers and Mets prospect bashers will have to give somewhere. How does a crappy GM get the best pitcher in baseball using a system full of scrubs?
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 08:37 AM
cuz Bill Smith is an idoit ..plan an simple
Posted by: Larsen101 | January 29, 2008 at 08:43 AM
I think that Johan should have sold himself to a TV station for the winter. Did any of you see the Truman show? It could be the Johan Show. Camera's just following him 24 hours a day 7 days a week so we can have nonstop access to exactly what he is doing every minute of the day. If he starts wacking it with the right arm, I might believe some of the rumors about his throwing arm :).
Seriously, imagine how many people would watch something like that? Its amazing how many people want to know what has happened in the last 10 minutes and check back in100's of times a day to look for updated news.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 08:44 AM
Yeah... I'm so tired of the Met bashers that I really don't care if this deal goes down or not.
It's funny how all of the homers say our prospects suck, and refuse to listen to guys like Keith Law, Jim Callis, or any other scouts that say the Mets should hang on to him and not even trade him for the best pitcher in baseball.
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 08:44 AM
And in related news nothing has changed.
Posted by: HazelMaesLandingStrip | January 29, 2008 at 08:46 AM
No one cares anymore
Posted by: Larsen101 | January 29, 2008 at 08:48 AM
Yeah, thats what everybody says but they all still come here everyday and talk about how much they dont care.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 08:56 AM
I'm guilty of that myself.
I tell myself that I don't care and I just want it to end one way or another, yet I'm here all day every day while at work just continuously hitting refresh...
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 09:04 AM
We are all a little guilty of that. I am as tired of it as anybody, and as is well known here, dont really want Santana, but I cant pretend that it does not still interest me. There are probably more then a few annoyed GM's of other teams not even involved in Santana who have their own business to attend to, but are being slowed down because everybody wants to see what happens with Bedard and Johan before the smaller pieces start moving around.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 09:10 AM
I'm pretty sure Cerrone goes to bed every night praying that Santana becomes a Met even with the package of crap they are offering.
Posted by: Josh | January 29, 2008 at 09:12 AM
The Mets offer is garbage. If the Twins wanted it this deal would have been done by now. They want the Yankees prospects and pushing stories that say they would take the Mets crap may make the Yanks come back and talk.
No one believes the Mets will get him for 2 long relievers, an OF'er who cannot hit and an 18 yr old Class A pitcher who doesnt have an off speed pitch.
Posted by: Josh | January 29, 2008 at 09:14 AM
Part of it is that while the Mets have a *decent* offer on the table, I think the Red Sox have a better one. The other part is that I just don't want the Mets to get Santana because I'm a Braves fan. In my perfect world, the Twins keep him away from the Evil Empire, the Evil Empire Part II, or my team's direct competitor.
Posted by: FineHamAbounds | January 29, 2008 at 09:19 AM
Deolis Guerra supposedly has a deadly changeup. Isnt that offspeed?
I can play that game too. The Twins obviously dont want the Yankees package.
They dont want a young and unproven, not to mention injury prone Phil Hughes, who has yet to prove anything.
They also dont want Melky, pretty much the worst starting CF in all of baseball. And why would they want scrubs like Marquez and Kennedy when they have much better options then that internally?
"No one believes the Mets will get him for 2 long relievers, an OF'er who cannot hit and an 18 yr old Class A pitcher who doesnt have an off speed pitch."
And by the way, lots and lots of people do believe that package will get it done.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 09:24 AM
But anybody who says Fernando Martinez cant hit and that Deolis Guerra has no offspeed pitch is obviously an ignorant fool talking out of their ass. Why am I wasting my time.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 09:25 AM
In other news, Josh is an MLB scout.
Educate yourself before you get in this discussion.
I wasn't aware that the Mets were offering long relievers in the deal. What I've read is that Mulvey/Humber project to be #3 pitchers at best, while Pelfrey has the potential to be a #2.
An OF'er who cannot hit... I assume you're talking about Carlos Gomez. You seem like the ignorant type that would focus solely on his major league numbers from last season. However, the only reason he got called up was because of the injuries that decimated the Mets OF. He never should have been called up in the first place.
As far as Guerra goes... I don't know where you even heard that. Do you have a source, or do you just make stuff up? Regardless, he's an 18 year old that put up a 1.17 WHIP and a 4.01 ERA in Hi-A ball. 18 years old. He should be in his senior year of High School right now.
To say the Mets offer is garbage is just 100% ignorance.
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 09:32 AM
"We could finally get some kind of resolution with Santana this week."
Or not.
"Just to keep things interesting, check out Mark Healey's note about the Dodgers..."
I've been wondering why they haven't "crept into the picture" for a couple of months now.
Posted by: mac_1103 | January 29, 2008 at 09:33 AM
Supposedly the Twins asked teams for their "Last, best offer" yesterday.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3220115
Posted by: metafrantic | January 29, 2008 at 09:43 AM
I'm sure the teams submitted their "last, best offers" yesterday and BS will take another 8-10 weeks to pick one of them.
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 09:46 AM
So, pretty much, the Twins will decide today whether or not they are going to make a decision today?
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 09:51 AM
nrmax88, that's how I read it to:
"The Twins could weigh the offers and decide to keep Santana into spring training, in the hope that a more aggressive market for the left-hander develops."
In other words: nothing's changed, the twins are still holding out for more.
Posted by: metafrantic | January 29, 2008 at 09:55 AM
It's done, Santana is a Met....Red Sox will never pay the money, AND the prospects, if the Yankees aren't willing to...done deal, I bet it's already agreed to, and Omar is working with Johan on an extension
Posted by: metzfan22 | January 29, 2008 at 10:01 AM
Gomez Stinks. Melky is better than him... Look at the stats in his minors and Melky's play in tougher league ...
At least Melky is patient hitter unlike Gomez who strikes out a ton..
Why would Twins Mulvey ? Kennedy is better than him and put better numbers in the minors than stinkin Mulvey. Kennedy was former first round pick , In case you forgot.
Pelfrey is sinker ball pitcher? Why would Twins want him?
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 10:01 AM
Arcthelad. Good stuff buddy. By the way, this is me being sarcastic.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 10:04 AM
Another Yankee homer... great.
I'm not getting into the Melky/Gomez debate again. You're just beating a dead horse.
As far as Kennedy and Mulvey go... what's your point? I'll even agree with you... I'd take Kennedy over Mulvey.
However, you're missing something.
Gomez > Melky
Kennedy > Mulvey
What about the rest of the package? Are you going to tell me that Tabata is better than F-Mart?
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 10:06 AM
"Are you going to tell me that Tabata is better than F-Mart?"
Yes, I would be willing to bet he will tell you that shortly.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 10:08 AM
Umm Arc... I'm not sure where to begin, but I'll start with this:
1) Melky is purely average, nothing more. Gomez has a much higher potential.
2) Kennedy isn't on the table from what I understand and the Twins would prefer Hughes over Kennedy
3) Is Pelfry a sinkerballer? CAn a Mets fan tell me, I'm not sure of his pitch list.
4) Twins adding Everett meant a superior infield defense which means a sinkerballer would post better numbers.
5) Many first round picks have gone on to suck, your argument is flawed.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | January 29, 2008 at 10:09 AM
I HATE THE YANKEES GO AWAY ARCTHELAD GO AWAY YOUR TEAM SUCKS
Posted by: metzfan22 | January 29, 2008 at 10:09 AM
Funny tidbit...
Gomez had as many steals in 2005 (A-ball, 120 games) as Melky has had in his minor league and major league career.... COMBINED.
64 steals.
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 10:09 AM
i think the fact that this has dragged out for so long has gotten to most of our heads.
in reality, every fan of the yankees is going to sell IPK, Melky, Marquez as better than what the Mets are offering, even without Hughes in the deal, because IPK and Melky specifically are MLB ready right now.
the mets fans are going to say that Gomez is better than Melky, and Mulvey and Guerra are as good as any of the Yankees pitchers.
and Red Sox fans are going to argue that their package of prospects, even without Bucholtz, is the best.
we are all fans trying to convince each other that our specific team's package is better than or as good as another team's, mainly because we all want Johan on our team in some way.
this just isnt going to happen...
Posted by: TurnTwo | January 29, 2008 at 10:10 AM
Team sucks?
Look in the mirror before saying something stupid...
The Yankees won 4 world series and made playoffs ever year. Where is the respect?
How about Ny Mets? Oops that's they choke last year and haven't won world series last 20 years. Arrogant Mets Fans always talking trash , they thought they won the world series last year..
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 10:12 AM
OK great... Yankees are god's gift to the world. We get it.
How about arguing some of the other points that were brought up?
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 10:14 AM
Ok it comes down to this:
Mets don't have the major centerpiece that the Red Sox and Yanks have (Hughes, Lester or Ellsbury) but they have enough good prospects and a decent quantity to make it work. Add to it, they really need a starter.
Ultimately I'm still betting on the Mets, though more because they're more likely to fold and add Martinez to the deal.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | January 29, 2008 at 10:14 AM
In that case The Yankees should add Marquez in deal for Santana. He's sinker ball pitcher like Pelfrey who throws mid-90's fast ball and former first round pick which Yankees got for losing Fat and Slob David Wells.
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 10:15 AM
Yes, Pelfrey is a sinkerballer. The movement he gets on his pitches almost reminds me of Webb, minus Webbs pretty good control. He runs the 4 seamer up to 97 or 98, and the 2 seamer comes inat 92-94, moving like crazy. It moves down and in on righties, and Pelfreys size really lets him get on top of the ball and get tremendous movement. His problem is location. He pretty much throws those 2 pitches and a slider and change that are works in progress. The slider is coming along fairly nicely though. Mets fans got a glimpse of Pelfreys upside in spring training of 07 when we watched this guys just bury sinker after sinker in on guys hands and get grounder after grounder.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 10:16 AM
nrmax, thanks, that's the best scouting report I've seen on him. So I'll revise my statement, if the deal is Gomez, Martinez, Pelfry, and 2 pitching prospects then the Mets pacackage is superior. Minus Gomez or Martinez and it's lacking.
TurnTwo, actually I'm a Red Sox fan and I seriously doubt the Red Sox have the best package, I'm betting the Sox are offering just enough to make the Yanks shy away.
Arc, once again, the fact that he's a former first round pick means jack.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | January 29, 2008 at 10:22 AM
"How about Ny Mets? Oops that's they choke last year and haven't won world series last 20 years. Arrogant Mets Fans always talking trash , they thought they won the world series last year.."
You are the only one talking trash you idiot. I love the guys who come in talking unwarranted trash that they cant even back up. Get called out, and then go on the defensive and talk about how their team won 4 world series in the 90's, but havent won a thing since 2000, yet they dont defend the points that we were arguing, they just say the Mets choked and that we show no respect for the yankees. Its almost as if Tim is getting so big he can afford to put idiots in the readers section for our entertainement now. What an imbecile this guy is.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 10:22 AM
i think start wearing purple has it.
Mets are most in need of Johan, but dont have the centerpiece. they are in the drivers seat as long as the Yankees refuse to part with Hughes.
the Sox prob have the next best package, because their two packages have MLB ready talent as a centerpiece. However, they are just as wary as the Yankees about giving up both the talent and the contract.
the Mets package isnt bad, and its definately better than the 2 draft picks the Twins would get by just letting Johan walk, but its more quantity than quality in the sense that the best potential prospects in the deal are so young and raw, you cant possibly know how they'll pan out yet as a MLB'er.
in the end, all things considered, i think the Twins would rather send Johan to the NL and take a package of possibles than trade him within the AL for packages that dont include Hughes or Ellsbury AND Lester.
Posted by: TurnTwo | January 29, 2008 at 10:25 AM
Mets Fans – Read above and substitute Giants for Yankees. Mets fans are cocky for no good reason. Every 7 or 8 years they catch lightning in a bottle, but for the most part they are all talk, and no results.
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 10:27 AM
Turntwo, but that can also work to the Twins advantage (getting young and raw players like Guerra, Gomez, Nando etc.). It could obviously work against them, but thats the only side people talk about. Lets say Gomez starts off at AAA and is hitting .300 and has 15 HR's and 35 SB through 300 at bats. And what if MArtinez is 100 percent and is mashing AA pitching to a .330/.400/.500 line? And what if Guerra takes a big step up in his development and ends the season dominating in AA at 19 years old. These guys could flame out, but it is also possible that this trade can be a Matt Kemp, Chadd Billingsley quality offer a few months from now if these guys have strong seasons.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 10:29 AM
this "your team sucks, no your team sucks" stuff really has to stop. It's so freakin' lame, it makes the comments section a waste. Just stop. I beg you.
Now, if I were Bill Smith, I'd be trying like mad to have Santana land in the NL so there's a lower "haunting" factor. Maybe he'd accept less from the Mets (if it's indeed less, I am not sure) just to have him out of the AL. Maybe the Dodgers can give up Kershaw and Kemp and others and he can feast in LA.
Just stop the petty name calling, fellas.
Posted by: jnr98 | January 29, 2008 at 10:33 AM
"Mets Fans – Read above and substitute Giants for Yankees. Mets fans are cocky for no good reason. Every 7 or 8 years they catch lightning in a bottle, but for the most part they are all talk, and no results."
Yea, because Mets fans are the only fans who talk. Lets be real. You act as if Yankee fans have more of a right to talk before a given season because of their history. Its not like you helped them win a damn thing. I would be willing to be the only reason you are a Yankee fan is either A) you picked it up at school to fit in better, or B) Becuase your daddy was a yankee fan so you were born into it. Its not like your special because your a yankee fan. Its not like the fans can have a say on the results anyway. Your posts are pretty much all talk, no results. All you do is spout your opinions and personal bias' and go on the devensive when you get called out for being the dolt that you are. And you still havent even given one piece of statistical evidence to even begin to support your case. Because you dont really have one.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 10:33 AM
It's Twins Decision to make which team has best package for Santana, Not Omar or Mets. Good Luck....
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 10:33 AM
"this "your team sucks, no your team sucks" stuff really has to stop. It's so freakin' lame, it makes the comments section a waste. Just stop. I beg you."
There is only one person posting that crap. And when confronted with evidence to argue his claims, he resorts to the typical "your team choked so they suck" copout line of most ignorant homers like arcthelad.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 10:36 AM
I would be Happy as Yankee Fan If Johan goes to Dodgers along side with Ex Yankee manager Joe Torre. :)
Or Johan could stay put and wait for free agency .
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 10:37 AM
Why is Carlos Gomez not a centerpiece? He absolutely is a centerpiece...Remember a scouts take early in the off-season?
Gomez vs. Ellsbury: "Ellsbury is more polished, but Gomez is the better talent." And Gomez is 2 years younger than Ellsbury...Stop hating on the Mets prospects, Gomez and Martinez are damn good young outfielders, and Guerra is dynamite, albeit very young
Posted by: metzfan22 | January 29, 2008 at 10:37 AM
Remember Five-tool and over hyped Alex Escobar? or Greg Jeffries..
Heheh..
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 10:39 AM
Ohhhh I get it... the Mets are the only team to ever have a failed prospect...
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 10:42 AM
I have a feeling it will be more of nothing and the Twins will go into spring training with him. The Mets offer is not bad but the Twins have a ton of options for the back of the rotation (not a terrible need for Mulvey/Humber types)and Guerra has a high ceiling as does Gomez but both are a lot of projection...a late round pick and supplemental first rounder may yield similar value (albeit possibly further from the majors if they go with highschool talent). Not saying the mets offer is bad or their prospects suck...but without F-Mart I would continue to play poker and piss of the rest of the world and drag it out further...a bit dangerous but you may see Santana relent at the deadline as well (pitch in obscurity in August or play for a world series?)....they could get 2-3 blue chippers for him as a rental as well...since the team that got him would be getting two first round picks if he did not resign.
Posted by: Jared78 | January 29, 2008 at 10:42 AM
"Part of it is that while the Mets have a *decent* offer on the table, I think the Red Sox have a better one. The other part is that I just don't want the Mets to get Santana because I'm a Braves fan. In my perfect world, the Twins keep him away from the Evil Empire, the Evil Empire Part II, or my team's direct competitor."
and...
"the Mets package isn’t bad, and its definitely better than the 2 draft picks the Twins would get by just letting Johan walk, but its more quantity than quality in the sense that the best potential prospects in the deal are so young and raw, you cant possibly know how they'll pan out yet as a MLB'er."
You objectivity is appreciated as there is not much of that going around. I have no problem if you like the Red Sox deal of Lester/Crisp/Lowrie/Masterson better, but to deny the Mets package is pretty good is utterly ridiculous.
Arcthelad09...Did you suit up for the Yankees last year? I'm missing why someone with no actual knowledge of the game deserves respect. I love talking baseball with Yankee fans that actually know baseball and can have constructive arguments. But when you start bringing up championships, you lose me. How does that exactly fit into what we are talking about now?
Posted by: themetros | January 29, 2008 at 10:42 AM
Yeah, but
1.) All prospects are a risk, and
2.) Gomez already showed flashes at AAA and in the majors, Escobar never really showed his all-world skills above AA
And Hughes is far from a sure thing as well, as is Ellsbury, or Lester, or anyone here...Hughes already had an injury last year, and otherwise was 6-6 with a 4.25 ERA, not relaly blowing anyone away, and Lester, not meaning to be evil because i actually really like lester, has already been sick....the point is, no one, or actually nothing in life (but lets stick to baseball), nothing is a sure thing, and Gomez has every right to be mentioned as a centerpiece, because he is one
Posted by: metzfan22 | January 29, 2008 at 10:43 AM
Remember Five-tool and over hyped Alex Escobar? or Greg Jeffries..
Heheh..
What about Brien Taylor? By your logic, since a top Yankee pitching prospect failed, everyone after that should as well. Airtight argument. Airtight.
Posted by: themetros | January 29, 2008 at 10:44 AM
Alex Escobar blew his knee out. A better example might have been Ochoa. Remember Eric Duncan? Brien Taylor?
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 10:44 AM
nrmax, thats an awful lot of "what if's" for me to consider.
fact remains, they are still too raw to think that what you've said here is possible.
FMart is considered along the same level OF prospect as Jose Tabata, who i consider a AA player right now... both very high ceiling guys who are supposed to grow into their bodies and hit for power... neither has lived up to these expectations yet, but they are still young enough to allow them time to develop.
Gomez is incredibly tool-sy, but i watched him a lot on the Mets last year, and i just dont see that from him, not next year... swings at WAY too many bad pitches.
Guerra could be great, but again, he's at least 2-3 years away. its hard to project what a player will do for 2008 in the minors, let alone what he might be able to do for the MLB club in 2011.
like i said, this Mets package isnt bad, its just not on the same level of what the Yankees and Saux have offered because there is noone who can step in this year and the Twins know what they have.
But, what the Mets are offering is definately a better package than the 2 picks they'd have in the draft in 2009... so in that sense, it makes sense to deal him to the Mets and take the best package they can get, even though they dont know how itll pan out in the end.
Posted by: TurnTwo | January 29, 2008 at 10:44 AM
Obviously Santana would prefer to pitch in the playoffs than stay with a mediocre Twins team.
HOWEVER, why the hell would he accept a trade knowing he is a mere 3-4 months away from a limitless payday? Can you imagine how much more he'd get paid if he was a FA? The sky's the limit.
Would he be willing to give that up when he's so close to it? I would hope not.
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 10:45 AM
"Remember Five-tool and over hyped Alex Escobar? or Greg Jeffries.."
As much as it pains me to side with Arcthelad for even a second (and believe me it feels like I'm disemboweling myself here), I'm pretty certain "center piece" here is referring to both talent AND "polish." Having scouts report that a player has a high ceiling is great, but their value in a trade is determined by risk vs. reward and Gomez has a good deal more risk at this point than Ellsbury (for example).
Posted by: gfulla | January 29, 2008 at 10:48 AM
The Mets rotation is bunch of Mercanaries only Great Aaron Heilman came from Minors.
Pedro- sign from Redsox
Maine - Trade from Orioles because Mets Owner is so sick of Kris Benso and his wife
El Duque- Former Yankee pitcher - traded from Dbacks
Odaliz Perez - Trade Nady to Pirates to get him.
Pelfrey's stinks and had 0-6 record last year. Hehe Omar Minaya who paid $6 million as signing bonus when He was selected by Mets in 2005 draft.
Meanhile The Yankees had Wang,Hughes,Joba,Kennedy, and Pettite, All Homegrown what do you say now Mets Fans?
Everyone blaming The Yankees for being Evil Empire and ruining baseball. How about Mets? Their whole starting pitching staff is full of mercanaries.. Where is the double Standard?
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 10:48 AM
I dont get where the dodgers come in to this, it really doesnt say they will its more like a suggestion. Well it would of course have to be centered around kemp. so kemp, and either kershaw or laroche, and then a third piece such as a preston mattingly. hell id take kemp, kershaw and mattingly, just those 3 for santana
Posted by: patsfanatic83 | January 29, 2008 at 10:50 AM
If Mets Add Johan. Welcome to Darkside Mets !! :) Along with Redsox, Tigers, and Angels......
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 10:50 AM
TurnTwo,
You are completely right about there being more risk. However, it is not inconceivable the Twins like those guys and the upside they bring.
They have done pretty well scouting players for trades and rule 5 pick-ups in the past. Maybe they really see something in Gomez and Guerra. Many others do and the Twins were interested in Gomez and Delmon Young earlier in the year. They got Young and have a chance to get Gomez as well.
"like i said, this Mets package isnt bad, its just not on the same level of what the Yankees and Saux have offered because there is noone who can step in this year and the Twins know what they have."
I just cannot agree with your assessment of the Yankee package though. Hughes is obviously more valuable than anyone in the Mets package, but Melky is one of the three worst fielder center fielders in the AL according to the fielding bible and has no pop and certainly does not have the raw tools of Gomez who is light years better with the glove right now.
What is the allure? You would find a very short list of GMs that want Melky over Gomez. Then who else is on the table? Marquez and who else?
Every single guy in the Met package is more valuable than anyone after Hughes. Throw in Kennedy, who I love, and I would reconsider, but that is not happening and all we keep hearing is Yankees interest is tepid at best at this point.
It boils down to the Red Sox and Mets seemingly at this point.
Posted by: themetros | January 29, 2008 at 10:51 AM
A little more on my post from above about holding out to the deadline...again dangerous but...a team like the Angels is in first place, they have a great rotation 1-5 but as we saw this past October they don't have a single guy that is a definite bet to shut-down a good offense in a short series...they decide they want to win at all costs...they get Santana and Joe Nathan for Nick Adenhart, Brandon Wood and Sean Rodriguez. They now go nto the post-season with Santana, Lackey, Escobar, Weaver and have Joe Nathan and Frank Rodriguez in the pen. While those prospects are alot to give up they have a great shot at the series and if they fall short they have four first round picks they can reload with. While people speculate whether or not Santana would waive his no-trade, I honestly believe if he has a shot to get to the world series he is going to take it over pitching for no reason for the Twins assuming they are out, which may not be the case with Santana/Liriano). Just a thought to keep in mind when considering these offers.
Posted by: Jared78 | January 29, 2008 at 10:52 AM
How are the Mets ruining baseball by signing free agents and trading for players they want? You make no sense whatsoever.
And I wasn't aware that Odalis Perez was a Met...
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 10:53 AM
"Meanhile The Yankees had Wang,Hughes,Joba,Kennedy, and Pettite, All Homegrown what do you say now Mets Fans?"
Well, first I say, that you are so ignorant you almost make it an art. Second of all, I would like to say, what does that have to do with anything? Why do you just change the subject everytime somebody challenges one of the ridiculous claims you make? Odaliz Perez? Wrong guy stupid. And either way, Maine and Perez were acquired in trades but spent time and refined their skill pitching in the Mets farm system. What about Roger Clemens, Johnny Damon, Hideki Matsui, Jason Giambi, Alex Rodriguez, Bobby Abreu, Andy PEttitte, (doesnt count as homegrown anymore he left you and came back only because you gave him the most money(isnt that what a mercenary is by definition?), not becuase he loves the yankees.) Kevin Brown, Gary Sheffield, Mike Mussina, Randy Johnson. The list can go on literally forever. You are reaching here.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 10:54 AM
HOWEVER, why the hell would he accept a trade knowing he is a mere 3-4 months away from a limitless payday? Can you "imagine how much more he'd get paid if he was a FA? The sky's the limit.
Would he be willing to give that up when he's so close to it? I would hope not."
I'm saying this as strictly a rental, he would still be a UFA after going to a contender. Teams have given up a ton for 3 month rentals before and would not..not go out and get Santana for 3 months if they were in a position to win aworld series.
Posted by: Jared78 | January 29, 2008 at 10:55 AM
Soriano was traded for Alex...
I would say same thing about Mets..
Carlos Beltran, Carlos Delgado,Moises Alou, Ryan Church, Brian Schneider, Ruben Gotay, Damion Easley, Luis Castillo,and Endy Chavez all came up from trade or free agents signings from Great Omar Minaya :)
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 10:57 AM
Well I guess if Santana drops the extension demand then he wouldn't be hurting himself by getting traded.
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 10:57 AM
Andy Pettite spent 9 years pitching for the Yankees? So According to Mets Fans He doesn't count lol?
Then you to take out Curt Schilling from Redsox who came up from Redsox Farm system according to Mets Fan logic.
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 11:00 AM
"While people speculate whether or not Santana would waive his no-trade, I honestly believe if he has a shot to get to the world series he is going to take it over pitching for no reason for the Twins assuming they are out, which may not be the case with Santana/Liriano). Just a thought to keep in mind when considering these offers."
I think he would accept a trade, but he certainly would not extend thereby lessening his value. The Angels are notoriously stingy with their prospects and all of sudden they will dish off of their studs for a three month rental?
I am not buying it. Santana's value is highest right now while he is willing to extend. After that, the offers will be decidedly lower because it would be insane to extend mid year with three to five big market teams salivating at the though of getting him.
Posted by: themetros | January 29, 2008 at 11:00 AM
Arcthelad, our of the Mets projected starting rotation... Pedro, Maine, Perez, El Duque, and Pelfrey/Humber/Mulvey, only one of those guys was even a free agent signing. What an idiot you are. The rest of them had no say in the matter so I would pretty much say that takes them out of the mercenary category. Do you even know what that means? Do you just make up things off the top of your head? Who has seen the movie idiocracy? Arcthelad reminds of the stupid people in that movie who insist that the gatorade like substance is the best product that there is to grow crops, even though it hasnt worked in years and has created a nationwide duststorm. They laugh at the logical idea of using water on plants, and only agree to his when Luke Wilson tells them that he can talk to plants and they prefer water. Maybe that is the approach that needs to be taken with arcthelad.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 11:01 AM
I originally thought the Red Sox package was the best, but the twins have been pretty good at picking the players they want and turning them in to major league talent (Milton, Guzman, Bonser, Liriano, A.J. to name a few). They must see something in these Mets prospects that they like and I will trust them. Also even if the Mets pitchers turn out to be only #2s or 3s, we can just trade them again for more prospects.
Posted by: los_dorados | January 29, 2008 at 11:02 AM
Melky really isnt as bad as the Mets fans are making him appear, either.
is he top 10? no, hell no.
but, he's got a strong accurate arm, plays a above average CF defensively, and is good enough to hit at the bottom of the lineup, hit about .270-.280, maybe get you 10-12 HRs, and 10-15 SBs.
Is he a pure slugger? no, but the fact is he has produced at least at at an average level at the MLB level now for 2 seasons. he'll never be the centerpiece of a MLB team, but he's proven he's a nice role player on a good team where he doesnt have to be the main guy.
Posted by: TurnTwo | January 29, 2008 at 11:04 AM
"Then you to take out Curt Schilling from Redsox who came up from Redsox Farm system according to Mets Fan logic."
Or, according to a regular persons logic. Besides, they traded for Schilling, they didnt sign him as a FA. A mercenary is a guy who goes wherever the most money is. Like most of the yankee roster. Guys that are acquired in trades dont fall into this category. Are you really this hard-headed?
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 11:05 AM
Whoa whoa whoa......
Eric Milton and Cristian Guzman are (or ever were) major league talent?
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 11:06 AM
This is starting to get childish. There's no team out there that can point to their success by strictly homegrown talent. Trades and FA are part of baseball for a reason. So get over it!
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | January 29, 2008 at 11:07 AM
They were for the twins, they both made all-star appearances. Once they left the twins they fell apart.
Posted by: los_dorados | January 29, 2008 at 11:08 AM
Maine, El Duque, Perez, Pedro didn't came up from Mets Farm system. They were trade or signings from Omar the great Minaya..
Please admit Nrmax88, your starting rotation is full of Mercenaries who came up from other organizations.
If Omar trade for Johan, All Mets starting five will be known as "Mercenaries" :0
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 11:08 AM
Well, according to people smarter than me, Melky is one of the three worst fielding center fielders.
I don't make that stuff up. He just adds to an already bad defensive team and can't slug over .400. I am missing where he has much value besides being a league average warm body in '08 and beyond.
CoCo Crisp is roughly 50% more valuable and you find many supporters of him these days.
Posted by: themetros | January 29, 2008 at 11:10 AM
TurnTwo, my real issue with Melky is Yank fans trying to declare him gods gift to centerfield, hell I got into an arguement the other day where some yank fan was trying to claim Melky was better than Beltran.
Yes, Melky is average, nothing more.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | January 29, 2008 at 11:11 AM
Maybe to you. Trading for a guy does not involve giving that player any money, which means that they are not mercenaries. If it makes you happy to call them mercenaries, by all means, go ahead. I sometimes like to refer to my pet dog as a monkey. So, I understand your hobby of using the completely wrong term over and over again for no reason.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 11:11 AM
I think he would accept a trade, but he certainly would not extend thereby lessening his value. The Angels are notoriously stingy with their prospects and all of sudden they will dish off of their studs for a three month rental?
I am not buying it. Santana's value is highest right now while he is willing to extend. After that, the offers will be decidedly lower because it would be insane to extend mid year with three to five big market teams salivating at the though of getting him."
Just using the Angels as an example, there will likely be 8-10 teams in the heat of the playoffs. Yes that is a lot to give up for 3 months of Santana and Nathan but four first round picks would soften the blow and if you think your team is in a good position to win the world series before adding Johan Santana you do not hesitate to add him for the playoffs, completely changes the dimensions. 2-4 prospects can be replaced with four first round picks. If you make it clear that Johan is available to the 8-10 playoff teams and they have to consider what he would do for their team and what he would do for a team they are likely to have to go through...and to add a UFA like Nathan as well to your bullpen? And to receive four first round picks?
I just think that neither of the Mets of Red Sox offers (I'm a Sox fan and I'm in the camp that doesn't believe they are really interested nor am i desperate to get him) are that impressive and by waiting to the deadline and packaging him with Nathan would escalate a ton of offers...even with both as rentals. From the Twins perspective a deal like the Angels scenario I proposed, they get a left-side of the infield and would have Wood and Rodriguez to add to Morneau, Mauer, Cuddyer, Delmon Young...and Adenhart to slot behind Liriano. Go out next off-season and get a #2/3 pitcher and they are right back in the mix.
Posted by: Jared78 | January 29, 2008 at 11:12 AM
All-Star appearances does not make major league talent.
Milton's best year? A 4.32 ERA. Yikes.
He's got a career ERA of 5.01. Yes, he got worse when he left Minny, but he went from bad to horrible, not from good to bad.
Guzman's career OPS+ is 75. He had one good season in 2001 when it was 110. Above average, but not that good. He proved it was a fluke by posting a sub-80 OPS+ in each of the following 4 years.
Posted by: JerseyMetFan | January 29, 2008 at 11:14 AM
mercenary-adj.
Motivated solely by a desire for monetary or material gain.
Hired for service in a foreign army.
One who serves or works merely for monetary gain; a hireling.
Seeing as how those descriptions of your word of the way dont accurately depict the nature that these guys were acquired, I would say that you are officially an idiot.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 11:15 AM
There needs to be a new topic so this one can hopefully die.
"My team's better!"
"Nuh-uh, mine's better!"
"Oh yeah?"
"Yeah!"
Posted by: FineHamAbounds | January 29, 2008 at 11:15 AM
Ok. Jordan Schafer is an absolute scrub. Literally a horrible player. One of the worst outfield prospects in baseball. I wonder how long it would take you to get annoyed and comment back in a confrontational matter after seeing a rival fan bad mouth your prospects with literally not one piece of statistical evidence. You would be hardpressed to find a logical thought anywhere in the assortment of trash that arc has posted in this thread.
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 11:19 AM
confrontational manner**
Posted by: nrmax88 | January 29, 2008 at 11:20 AM
Mercenary -adj
- Signings from other organization thru trade or free-agent signings. A mercenary doesn't label as homegrown who came up different organization
:)
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 11:23 AM
The Yankees drafted well and developed talent in the 90's. They took a hiatus and went with a different organizational philosophy. Now, they are on the enlightened path and I applaud them for that. They understand how it is necessary to grow your own players and maintain at least some sense of fiscal responsibility.
The Mets on the other hand, did not draft particularly well in the 90's nor the early part of this millennium while giving away too many first, second, and third round picks. They needed to fill in their rotation via other methods and Omar shrewdly picked up Maine and Perez. He should be applauded for that, no? I am willing to bet 29 other teams wished they picked up either one of those guys.
They have been drafting better of late and making better international free agent signings. However, I am missing what your point is? You keep bringing up obvious facts such as the Mets do not have one homegrown player in their rotation. That is relevant in what way?
Jared, I still think it would be hard for the Twins to extract multiple blue chippers mid-season.
Maybe I am underestimating some possible levels of desperation, but there is so much emphasis and value on young pitching and young players overall these days, it is hard to envision anyone giving that much up for rental no matter what his name is.
This is not exactly a perfect benchmark and you might be able to drum up examples when someone sold the farm for a chance to win (Omar sending Sizemore, Phillips, and Lee to the Indians does not count), but take a look what Beltran brought back.
Teahan? Wood? Buck?
Just not awe-inspiring and think the dynamics of baseball have change a bit more since them. Maybe some GM goes off the deep end, but most of the guys with the top tier talent are holding onto them.
Furthermore, a lot of these guys you might be looking to acquire mid-year for Santana might be playing a big role on these contending teams. A lot of players who might have been available now might be off the table later. Too many 'ifs' for them to risk holding onto him for me.
Posted by: themetros | January 29, 2008 at 11:24 AM
I never said that they were great players. Milton did win over 13 games three years in a row for really bad twins teams, that has to be worth something.
Guzman was only average again, but the point was that the twins have avoided some cornerstone prospects and have done all right.
Posted by: los_dorados | January 29, 2008 at 11:26 AM
even though i'm a yankees fan, i wish the Rays would just say screw it, we're all in, and send Evan Longoria and a couple minor league arms for Johan and go for it. now that would be great for the game.
Posted by: TurnTwo | January 29, 2008 at 11:34 AM
Melky is not average. He is a bottom 1/3rd CF'er in just about every offensive category. Great that he can play good defense. The fact is, if Melky was playing on KC no one would know who he is or care about him.
As for the Twins, they really are in a tough position. They have to make a decision about how competitive they will be this year and next. If they feel that they can play with Cleveland and Detroit I would expect them to take the Yankee or Red Sox deal (and more likely the Red Sox Ellsbury deal). If they believe that they are a few years away, the Mets package with Gomez and F-Mart makes more sense.
Personally, I don't see them as competitive in 08. Better to load up on higher ceiling prospects and ramp up for a run in 2010.
Posted by: bjsguess | January 29, 2008 at 11:36 AM
"Jared, I still think it would be hard for the Twins to extract multiple blue chippers mid-season."
I respect your opinion but I think they could do that for Nathan and Santana. Also I personally would not consider the options now to be awe inspriring...as I mentioned Guerra/Gomez are nice prospects with high ceilings and low floors. Mulvey/Humber types are repetitive with Perkins/Slowey/Bonser/Baker type guys that they have...right now you have the Mets bidding against a tepid at best red Sox organization. If you can get a bette ridea of the playoff teams you can create a market for him, rentals yes, but that is th ebest starting pitcher and arguably the best reliever in the game for the stretch. Teams would hate to see that go their rivals, with four first round picks coming back if they don't resign they may be able to get a package greater then the Mets or whatever the Sox are actually offering, if anything.
Posted by: Jared78 | January 29, 2008 at 11:42 AM
"Mercenary -adj
- Signings from other organization thru trade or free-agent signings. A mercenary doesn't label as homegrown who came up different organization
:)"
Posting fallacies over and over again doesn't make them true. Regardless, the more you post the more it becomes apparent that you're just a silly little kid trolling and it saddens me that you've gotten any attention.
Hopefully everyone else will start to realize you're just looking for attention and no one will respond to you in the future. (or better yet Tim decides to ban you)
And before you even comment on it, I'm not a Mets fan...
Posted by: gfulla | January 29, 2008 at 11:48 AM
"Mulvey/Humber types are repetitive with Perkins/Slowey/Bonser/Baker type guys that they have"
I would agree that they are in the same mold and a bit repetitive. Mid-to-back types. I think Slowey is better than the others, but we are splitting hairs there.
But pitching depth is never bad and maybe someone out of the group steps up. Also, Guerra and Gomez are still blue chip talents. Yes, there is still a ton of projection there, but that is why the Twins have scouts. Do they see something special? If not, they will likely pass.
That is all it boils down to. I suspect we will have an answer soon enough as to how much they like those two since they are the meat and bones of the deal.
Posted by: themetros | January 29, 2008 at 11:50 AM
A kid? Your calling me a kid? you don't know even me you idiot....
Ban Gfulla!!! Your the one that is trolling here..... Go Back to India with your stupid pathecic name. What hell is Gfulla means?
Posted by: Arcthelad09 | January 29, 2008 at 11:51 AM
Okay here goes.
I've been reading this for a while it saddens me. Of fucking course a Mets fan is gonna say his prospects are are the best, same with Yanks and same with Sox.
The Yanks haven't had an offer on the table for a month now so why are you arguing about this.
I'm a Yanks fan but I'm not going to argue like some ignorant guy and just take shots at teams I hate.
Cabrera led the lead in assists from the outfield last year, so just tell me how he is below average defense that's just funny to me. He's 23 and is hitting .280, and you people say he's terrible offensively. Oh yea, forgot that players stop developing after their 2nd season, theres no improvement.
I don't know much about Lowrie and Masterson, same with the Met's prospects beyond Gomez. So I'm not going to take shots at the Met's and Sox' additional pieces like you are when you know nothing about Marquez and Tabata.
I'm sorry that as a Yankee fan, i'm represented by Archthelad, cuz he knows nothing.
Let's all stop arguing because of course we are going to rep our team and think our offer is the best.
And sox fans that say that mets and yanks offer is garbage cuz the twins haven't accepted it yet.. then why haven't the twins accepted yours. By your standards then your offer is garbage as well.
I think the Mets are gonna get Santana and I'm glad for them, they need him the most.
Later Guys
Posted by: CorShep | January 29, 2008 at 11:58 AM
srry corshep but us twins fans already have the guy who led the league in outfield assists, and it wasnt melky, its cuddyer with 19 outfield assists on the year. Melky while not bad at his age, the only reason i wouldnt want him on the twins is because he is not the speedy leadoff guy we need, and this twins team has the offense set except for the leadoff guy, that would be the only reason id lean towards ellsbury, or maybe even gomez... pure speed
Posted by: patsfanatic83 | January 29, 2008 at 12:03 PM
"But pitching depth is never bad and maybe someone out of the group steps up. Also, Guerra and Gomez are still blue chip talents. Yes, there is still a ton of projection there, but that is why the Twins have scouts. Do they see something special? If not, they will likely pass."
Definitely agree with you there...Baker looked pretty good in several starts near the end of last year, kind of reminds me a bit of John Maine...good-looking prospect, fizzled a bit after struggling at MLB level and is kind of pushed aside and then puts it together and kind of surprises people who forgot he was pretty well regarded in the first place. I think Humber may surprise people a bit another year removed from TJ as well.
What I was suggesting is certainly a risky proposition,especially since I am very intrigued by Guerra/Gomez...but I like to roll the dice, it will be interesting to see if BS has got the stones or if his people just plain like the Mets guys.
Posted by: Jared78 | January 29, 2008 at 12:05 PM