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Ocker On Blake, Marte, Dellucci, Borowski And Lee

Sheldon Ocker of the Akron Beacon Journal does some speculating on the Indians' third base, left field, and closer situations.

  • Casey Blake's contract expires at the end of the season, and at age 35, Ocker doesn't believe that Indians' GM Mark Shapiro will re-up for him.  Ocker points to two reasons why Andy Marte probably won't work out as the in-house solution to Blake's potential absence: he could be lost on waivers if he doesn't make the team as a utility man coming out of Spring Training, and he shows no sign of figuring things out and becoming an impact player.  Check out his Dominican Winter League performance if you need further proof that the 24 year-old Marte is regressing: .198/.213/.260 with seven errors.  Small sample size?  Yes, but wowza!
  • Who from the available 2009 free agent list could be had to man third base?  Could Asdrubal Cabrera be shifted to shortstop, and Jhonny Peralta moved to third?  If so, who could move in to play second in place of Cabrera?
  • Ocker also speculates that Shapiro will allow Jason Michaels of the Michaels/David Dellucci platoon walk unless their productivity rises substantially.  Michaels is slated to make $2.15MM this season, and the club has an option for $2.6MM in 2009.  What about Ben Francisco?  Could he be an option to take over for Michaels in the platoon?
  • This could also be Joe Borowski's last year as closer in Cleveland, Ocker says.  Borowski will be 37 in 2009, and it has long been speculated that Borowski is on the cusp of losing his job.  Ocker points out that it is always tough to find a closer on the free agent market, but remarks that it's "questionable" that the role could be filled in-house.  I still don't understand the reluctance to place Rafael Betancourt in the role.  Anyone?
  • Finally, Ocker wonders how Cliff Lee would handle losing the number five slot in the rotation to Aaron Laffey or Jeremy Sowers.  Relying on Lee's response to last year's demotion -- which was one of surprise at a player with a multi-year contract being sent to the minors ($3.75MM this year) -- Ocker says that Lee has a sense of entitlement regarding the number five slot.  Ocker says that is "fine as long as he holds up his end of the bargain."

Posted by Matt Birt


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"Who from the available 2009 free agent list could be had to man third base? Could Asdrubal Cabrera be shifted to shortstop, and Jhonny Peralta moved to third? If so, who could move in to play second in place of Cabrera? "


Josh Barfield.

Yeah, it's not like Barfield is old...he's only 25 this season. Peralta to 3B, Cabrera to SS and Barfield in at 2B can work nicely if all adapt to their positions.

Those marte numbers are awesome. I'm pretty sure nine out of the ten readers here could put up at least that line. Wow that's bad.

I kind of assumed that Barfield was permanently in Wedge's doghouse.

Andy Marte-->Edgar Renteria. Steal of the century for Atlanta.

With a .270 OBP, erratic fielding and 25 total extra base hits, he'd be in my doghouse too. Are fans in Cleveland really counting on that guy?

The numbers up I just posted were for Barfield, not Marte. I was too frightened to look up Marte's numbers.

It has been speculated in Baltimore that Brian Roberts might be traded to the Indians, with Cabrera & Peralta shifted, as described. This could be one of the teams that MacPhail has talked of being interested in Roberts.

“Relying on Lee's response to last year's demotion -- which was one of surprise at a player with a multi-year contract being sent to the minors ($3.75MM this year)”

…You can also add flipping off the fans to that “handling” thing ~ and it’s a good chunk of why he was actually sent to Buffalo…


Coco Crisp & Josh Bard --> Andy Marte & Kelley Shoopach = nothing of a cost for the Indians to give a Top-10 prospect in all of baseball a shot…


Indians situation = not a single person needs to really be signed. 3B could be handled by Peralta or Marte or Blake under different situations. SP is Laffey or Sowers or Miller or Lee. Closer is JoBo or RaffyRight or RaffyLeft or Lewis or Mujica or longshot even Kobayashi … 2B is Cabrera or Barfield. SS is Peralta or Cabrera. LF is Michales or DavidD or Francisco or even longshot Crowe. Or a FA is singed for anywhere between 2B, SS, 3B or a corner spot and everyone else’s positions start falling into place. This team has options growing out of their ears…

Cleveland tried Betancourt at closer in 06. He wasn't the same pitcher. He is a world class setup man, but not the closer of the future.

Let me offer this as some evidence. Several beat writers have hinted that "some" relievers might not be comfortable in the closer spot. Baseball Prospectus hints at this as well in its write up on Wedge. My guess "some relievers" = RaffyRight.

Cleveland hopes to make the playoffs this year, and one Jose Mesa moment is enough. You don't want a closer that prefers to pitch in the 8th.

If JoeBo goes down or flames out, expect to see Kobayashi. He has closer experience, if not closer stuff. But that won't bother a team that is running Joe Borowski out there now.

Their closer of the future is Rafael Perez, but I think that Cleveland would like to give at least one more year in the setup role.

Playwright, what do you expect the Indians would give up for Roberts?

"Cleveland tried Betancourt at closer in 06. He wasn't the same pitcher. He is a world class setup man, but not the closer of the futur"

Not true. He only got scattered save chances when other guys they were trying failed. His few save opps were on April 13th, August 12th, August 25th, Sept 23rd and Sept 28th.

Now, I wont say that “My guess "some relievers" = RaffyRight” is really wrong, but we have no clue because it really hasn’t ever been tried…

And I only question Perez as the future closer because he’s a lefty. Lefties generally stay setup guys and the dominate ones become much more important than closers a good chunk of the time. Cleveland is one of those teams that is more concerned with great relievers over closers though ~ much like Atlanta and Oakland… The Closer spot in Cleveland is one of their lowest concerns I imagine, they offered to Ryan and Hoffman back a couple years ago now but in the end have just gone with Wicky1 (the regional) and Wicky2 (JoBo) instead knowing that getting to the Closer is much more important than a guy who wont allow a baserunner or two before collecting the save.

"Playwright, what do you expect the Indians would give up for Roberts?"
Posted by: crunchy1

Why?

You know that there has never been a rumor saying what the Indians would be willing to give up and if you knew anything about the Indians you would probably know we probably wouldnt hear about a possible deal being near until it was pretty much done. The team keeps a rather tight lip about their actions and they have so many prospects to offer everywhere from teh majors to rookie ball that it could be some of countless guys possibly included...

It’s a foolish thing to ask because there is no real answer anyway, and no matter what the answer is you will just do your best to try to bash it like you are doing in the Marquis thread. I gave you a list of like 10 guys who could be included, as well as told you there are even more than that ~ nothing more than that needs to be said…

darkstarr
Okay, maybe I am not being fair to Betancourt's tryout for the closer position in 06. You are right. He didn't really get a chance. But if he isn't comfortable pitching in the closer role, I think that eliminates him some consideration. We lost one world series because our choked. (You seem to know you stuff. So I am assuming you know Vizquel's account of Mesa choking.) You can't let that happen again. Don't you agree?

Now, maybe I am wrong. Maybe those hints and murmurs don't refer to Betancourt. But I think the evidence indicates that they do.

With regard to RaffyLeft as a future closer, he is no LOOGY. He is a power pitcher that relies on his sinker, like Carmona. And of course as no one will ever forget, it was this tried to use Carmona as a closer.

Yes, I remember the guys you mentioned --like Ande Marte, aka "the next Brandon Phillips". Looks like he'll have to up his stolen base abilities from a career high of 5 to become a 30/30 man. Is a 600% increase too much to ask? You're Indians "prospect" list made for some interesting reading. I didn't know that Jeremy Sowers and his 85 mph heat was still a coveted prospect. Is it still 2002? You learn something everyday.

"With a .270 OBP, erratic fielding and 25 total extra base hits, he'd be in my doghouse too. Are fans in Cleveland really counting on that guy?"

counting on him no....

but it would be ridiculous to just write the guy off after one bad year... the guy has proven he can hit in the past

"Their closer of the future is Rafael Perez, but I think that Cleveland would like to give at least one more year in the setup role."

Perez might get a shot at it sometime but i believe that Jensen Lewis is the closer of the future

Darkstar, maybe Crunchy asked playwright because he was interested in HIS opinion. Believe me, we are all perfectly clear about where you sit in this discussion.

Maybe so. He's a talented guy and a one-time highly regarded prospect. I'm not exactly sure what happened to Barfield last year; but it wouldn't hurt for Cleveland to get a plan B in place. They're third base prospects are still 2-3 years away and I don't think Blake will be around to hold the fort.

ThatTeam,

Nah, not saying a LOOGY for Perez at all ~ saying the teams setup man. Well, 7th or 8th inning depending on if RaffyRight is still around in setup as well. Much like last year really, with the team keeping a filler closer who gets the job done but isnt some high-priced lights out guy…

“Yes, I remember the guys you mentioned --like Ande Marte, aka "the next Brandon Phillips". Looks like he'll have to up his stolen base abilities from a career high of 5 to become a 30/30 man. Is a 600% increase too much to ask? You're Indians "prospect" list made for some interesting reading. I didn't know that Jeremy Sowers and his 85 mph heat was still a coveted prospect. Is it still 2002? You learn something everyday.”

See Crunchy, you are just trying to troll...


And just because its such an strange comment that you have now stated twice...

"I didn't know that Jeremy Sowers and his 85 mph heat was still a coveted prospect. Is it still 2002? You learn something everyday"

I dont know, ask Baseball America. They ranked him the 53rd best prospect in baseball the last time he was eligible to be ranked as a prospect (prior to the 2006 season) ~ since then he went 7-4, 3.57 ERA, 1.189 WHIP in 14 ML starts in 2006 and struggled in his sophomore attempt (6.42 & 1.559 WHIP in 13 starts last year). Humm, guy is able to post a 3.57 ERA and 1.189 WHIP in 14 ML games in the AL central where 3 teams (not including the Tribe) finished with 90 wins that year ~ yeah, I understand why you call him such trash! And BTW, not sure what “info” you are reading, but Sowers wasn’t drafted in 2002 ~ he was drafted in 2004 out of college so he has only been in professional ball 3 years. He has been eligible to be ranked 2 times, and those two times he was ranked 90th (2005 - prior to him pitching a pro game) and 53rd (2006).

Do you know anything about the guys you are trying to bash, or are you just blindly trying to say any wrong thing you can think of in an attempt to bash?

"Darkstar, maybe Crunchy asked playwright because he was interested in HIS opinion. Believe me, we are all perfectly clear about where you sit in this discussion.”
Posted by: sweetswingingbw"

He wants to know what an O's fan thinks the Indians might offer out of their system despite his knowing already who the Indians could offer? Ok, yeah…

That's the catch, Crunchy, as far as I can see. I haven't heard names mentioned that make a lot of sense coming back. Marte has been mentioned. Barfield has been mentioned. But the star of each has dimninished, so I don't know. It's hard to see the Indians giving up somebody like Laffey, especially with the likelihood that they'll lose Sabathia after the season's over. Maybe David Huff. I can't figure it, really. Most of the Indians' top prospects are outfielders or corner guys, where the Orioles don't have great need for prospects. Of their best pitching prospects, many are projected as relievers, but without the obvious upside of Ceda or Petrick. I'm guessing there isn't nearly as good a fit as with the Cubs. I keep thinking that the best fit would involve a middle infield prospect and a pitcher coming back. Colorado has that, but probably thinks they're fine at 2nd (Nix this year; Gomez or Nelson soon). So, I still think the Cubs make the most sense. I've heard Houston mentioned. I've heard San Diego.

Playwright,I don't think Laffey would even be enough for Roberts. He's kind of a low ceiling guy with an 86-87 mph fastball. They'd have to part with Lofgren, but like you said, How do you do that when Sabathia is anything but a certainty? Lofgren seems like a logical inhouse replacement for them. I think the Cubs and O's will work something out before opening day. I think in the end, Hendry gives up another arm. McPhail loves stockpiling pitching, figuring he can always trade them for position players if he has too many. At least that's what he tried to do with the Cubs before all their pitching prospects seemingly got hurt. My gut feeling is that Hendry and McPhail are playing a game of chicken and, unfortunately (from my point of view), Hendry's going to cave.

By the way, I watched Ceda pitch and he's HUGE. He kind of rears back and absolutely flings high 90's fastballs. If I were up at the plate, I'd be bailing out halfway to Indiana.

The fight for the 5th spot should be interesting.

I don't have a problem with Lee having a confident/arrogant attitude, if it is part trying to pitch with confidence. I could see how some players might mentally prepare to pitch with confidence by fronting an arrogant public persona.

Tom Hamilton was saying today that Sowers is speeding up his delivery, and that change is giving him a couple of more ticks on the radar gun. (Not that I want to enter into the darkstar vs. crunchy debate.) But Hamilton was saying that this is going to make Sowers a much better pitcher.

And Laffey pitched well to finish the season last year.

I think that your team is trouble, if Laffey, Lee and Sowers are your 3, 4, and 5. But I think that Cleveland has a good chance of having a decent 5 spot and a decent replacement for the inevitable injuries.

thattamfromcle, I actually like Laffey, I just don't think he's a high ceiling type. But then again, neither was Jamie Moyer. I like Laffey's chances better than Sowers. But that's just my opinion.

Crunchy,

And in the end we are left with a bunch of who knows and what ifs… We don’t know if the Indians are really that interested to begin with, if they are interested we don’t know how much they would be willing to offer and if they are willing to offer a lot we don’t know if “a lot” equals something like Asdrubal Cabrera (who wouldn’t really have a job if Roberts was brought in) and a guy like Laffey or Sowers or Lofgren or even Miller. We don’t know if an offer would include guys like Hodges or Weglarz, or one of the Lewis’ (Scott or Jensen) or Salazar or any number of countless other guys may or may not be included in some combination. Since Cleveland is rather tight lipped, there is no way of knowing. Since they have a surplus of guys everywhere, anything is pretty much possible. Since much of that surplus is in the ML ready already with no real spot to play, guys like Marte and Laffey could even be pretty much throw-ins with other prospects as well. Or the O’s might even want a guy like Lee thrown in, who would be a cheap innings eater with a pretty good track record until recently. Its just a complete unknown in all aspects…

We just have no idea what so ever and talking about it in a bunch of threads while trying to bash the Tribes possibilities is silly because of said unknowns… I could give you a list of 25+ names that could be included, and I could say its anywhere between 2-6 of them going to be in a package for Roberts and in the end there is still no point what so ever to the conversation we would have had because we don’t know anything about the Indians real interest…

ThatTeam,

Don’t forget longshots Miller and Lofgren possibly sneaking their way into the picture as well sometime soon… 5 guys doing what they can to try to fill one spot is extremely interesting and should provide for a fascinating season-long situation…

As far as Sowers, his control is rather extreme and if he does add a tick it might help, but even time adjusting to the ML-caliber hitters capabilities might do wonders. I don’t have a ton of confidence in him as he is not a K guy at all, but his offspeed stuff is pretty sick and it wouldn’t be the first time a pitcher of his style provided rather impressive results…

Crunchy, I don't see big differences in terms of stuff between these three lefties. All project to be back of the rotation/long relief. Laffey does have a better ground rate. But the Jake isn't the Great American. So, I don't know how weight that should have.

It seems to me the thing that will make or break them are the cliches. Who will "trust his stuff" this year? Who will "attack the hitters and get ahead in the count?"

I think all three have small margins of error. That is why it is good we have 3 trying for 1 position.

True, Darkstar. It all comes back to speculating but it's fun sometimes. What might Cleveland offer? What could they offer that would be better than the Cubs rumored offer? In the end, you're right, it doesn't really mean anything at all. It's just a diversion for us fans.

Cleveland fans dont call anyone the closer of the future its like a curse you guys have
remember fernando cabrera?

Darkstar, I haven't forget Miller or Lofgren, but they are all but guaranteed to break camp headed to AAA. (Injuries can change that.)

Miller could be a stud, if you could ever get healthy. I don't have a clear sense of Lofgren's ceiling, but it seems higher than Lee, Laffey, or Sowers.

But Miller and Lofgren are more mid season possibilities.

Hawkeyes, a Fernando Cabrera curse??? Isn't that taking things a bit far?

Call me a curse purist, but I think you have to star for a team and then get traded to be curse material (or a billy goat).

"Cleveland fans dont call anyone the closer of the future its like a curse you guys have
remember fernando cabrera?"

And lets not forget Paul Shuey... Or Baez... Or Jimenez (*ugh*, but his situation was a tad different I guess since we brought him in with hopes of making him that)...

Although I agree with ThatTeam on this one and you cant displace Rocky, Hawkeyes does have a bit of a point...

ahh, I re-read what I posted and must admit I became a tad saddened when I realized I could expand it back to Olin and the tragedy that took him and our Dodger imports for the pen that year...

Still one of the saddest days of my life as far as events taking place which didnt actually personally affect me...

I was just saying all those guys cleveland called the "closer of the future" before they even got a real chance to close and well...they didnt work out

what about Wes Hodges? second rated prospect according to Baseball Prospectus. Looks like he's gonna be at Double-A this year. Concievably he could make the jump right? I don't know much about the guy nor have seen him play, but he sounds like the best bet to fill in 3B in 09. .288/.367/.473 at High A last year.

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